TGIS College Football Preview – Week 6

OVERALL RECORD: 199-165-4 (54.7%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 28-26-3 (51.9%)

We had a chance last week for our 200th victory overall. But we will get it this week as we are spraying the board. Oh and by the way… the Miller Lite Minute is 12-4 on the season. LET’S GET TO THE PICKS

Week 6 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#8 Tennessee -2.5 at #25 LSU – 11:00am

I guess this the game of the week? But anyways, LSU was lucky to win against Auburn after only putting up 270 total yards and 3.6 yards per play. That won’t beat this Tennessee team that has scored at least 34 points every game this year. LSU will not be able to score enough points to keep up.

Pick: Tennessee 38-27

TOP PICKS OF THE WEEK

Louisville -3 at Virginia – 11:00am

Virginia has been struggling all year with no offensive line and a stagnant Tony Elliot offense. After getting beat by Duke 38-17, look for Virginia to fall big against Louisville (I have faith starting Louisville QB Malik Cunningham will play).

Arkansas +9.5 at #23 Mississippi State – 11:00am

This line is way too big. Arkansas has won the last two games against Mississippi State with Barry Odom at DC. The Razorbacks defense will continue to have a good plan of attack to slow down this Bulldog offense. I like Arkansas and maybe even a little moneyline sprinkle at +275.

#5 Clemson -20.5 at Boston College – 11:00am

Boston College has a terrible offensive line that is decimated by injuries. Clemson’s defensive line will take advantage. And do not look now, but DJU is actually playing decent at QB this year. Clemson in a blowout.

#17 TCU at #19 Kansas Over 67.5 – 11:00am

I do not trust Kansas’ defense to slow down this TCU offense. I also think Kansas and Jalon Daniels will be able to enter a track meet with TCU to keep the scoring pace. Over hits.

Texas -7 vs Oklahoma – 11:00am

Oklahoma’s defense is just awful. There were scheme breaks everywhere against TCU last week. Meanwhile, Quinn Ewers could be back and Dillon Gabriel may miss the game… seven points is nowhere near enough even though it is a rivalry game. Texas by double digits.

Texas Tech +10 at #7 Oklahoma State – 2:30pm

Oklahoma State is ranked 7th but is fraudulent. The Pokes were outgained by Baylor and the defense gave up 6.5 yards per play. What do we do? FADE THE FRAUDS. Texas Tech keeps it close.

#3 Ohio State -26.5 at Michigan State – 3:00pm

I have told you the last two weeks Michigan State’s secondary is awful. They have zero shot to stop the best passing attack in the Big Ten… Ohio State.

Duke -3 at Georgia Tech – 3:00pm

It was very impressive for Georgia Tech to go on the road and beat Pittsburgh. But it was a little fluky with Jeff Sims only having 102 passing yards. Duke has been the better team and hasn’t fired their coach this year, unlike Georgia Tech. Vegas has not caught up on Duke, Blue Devils win by a touchdown.

Army +17 at Wake Forest – 6:30pm

Wake Forest could not stop Army last year when they had 595 yards of total offense. Army will keep this close.

Iowa +4 at Illinois – 6:30pm

No I don’t trust Iowa to score, but I don’t really trust Illinois to score on Iowa either. Take the 4 points and run. (The under 35.5 is tempting)

South Carolina +10.5 at #13 Kentucky – 6:30pm

The battle of the bad offensive lines. Kentucky is favored by way too many points here. Northern Illinois was able to keep it a single digit deficit against Kentucky… South Carolina can do it too. (Update: Kentucky starting QB Will Levis is questionable for the game).

Texas A&M at #1 Alabama -23.5 – 7:00pm

This is a revenge game for Alabama similar to 2020 against LSU. Alabama’s players are motivated to demolish a banged up A&M team (injuries to the starting QB and all across the defense). Look for Bryce Young to play and Alabama to win BIG.

#12 Oregon -13 at Arizona – 8:00pm

Arizona gave up 49 points against Cal… I can’t trust them at all. Oregon’s offense has been rolling and they’ll roll here. Oregon wins big in Tuscon.

BONUS PICK THAT DIDN’T MAKE THE CARD

Kent State -5.5 at Miami (Ohio) – 2:30pm

Kent State put up 736 yards of offense last week against Ohio and I think they’re the best team in the MAC. Miami Ohio continues to have their starting QB Brett Gabbert out. Kent State wins big.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 6

By: Nick Radivoj

Got ourselves back into the winners circle this past weekend going 6-4 moving us to 26-24 (52%) on the year. We have plenty of work left to do as we may have a winning record but are losing from the juice on the year. Plenty of action in Week 6 so let’s see what value we spotted so far.

#8 Tennessee (4-0) at #25 LSU (4-1)

When: 12 PM on 10/8

Line: Tennessee -3

O/u: 64

The SEC supplies us with yet another TOP 25 matchup to start off Week 6 of College Football on Saturday afternoon. These two teams seem to be on opposite sides of the spectrum here as LSU comes in with a rather pedestrian offense but a solid defense while Tennessee has an explosive offense but a questionable defense at times. Jayden Daniels managed to get LSU the come from behind victory last week versus Auburn but did not have the greatest of showings doing so. This game being played in Death Valley is a great neutralizer for LSU against Tennessee, but the Volunteers did not play last week as they are working with 2 weeks of time to prepare for this matchup. Tennessee’s offense will take a hit as they will still be without their top receiving option who is recovering from ankle surgery. LSU will offer the toughest defense that Tennessee will have played to date and I’m unsure that the Tigers offense can take advantage of a secondary that can be thrown on. I don’t believe either of these teams reach 35 in this SEC matchup so give me the under here.

The Play: Under 64

#17 TCU (4-0) at #19 Kansas (5-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/8

Line: TCU -7

O/U: 67.5

We welcome both teams into the Top 25 for the first time this year and for the first time since 2009 for Kansas. If the rankings weren’t the first shock to you you’ll be excited to hear that College Gameday will be travelling to Kansas this week for yes a football game. Max Duggan and the Horned Frogs gave Oklahoma a beat down that they (and me) won’t forget for a while as they dropped 55 points on the Sooners. Both offenses have looked high powered to start the year behind Max Duggan and Jalon Daniels and that trend continues this weekend as we are sure to see some Big 12 football. This number is too large to lay here for me with TCU but with their offense putting up 48 points per game to start the year we easily find ourselves on the over for this game.

The Play: Over 67.5

Arkansas (3-2) at #23 Mississippi State (4-1)

When: 12 PM on 10/8

Line: Mississippi State -8

O/u: 61.5

This line has moved a lot since the open as the health of Arkansas QB KJ Jefferson is in question. Arkansas’ offense would take a major hit if their signal caller can’t end up going in thi sone as they have suffered back-to-back losses. Although the final score reflects Alabama winning by 23, Arkansas was a 2-point conversion away from only trailing the now #1 team in the nation by 3 points entering the 4th quarter at home before their defense let Alabama run wild. Mississippi State HC Mike Leach and QB Will Rogers are surely licking their lips this week as Arkansas brings into town a defense that is vulnerable in the passing game which is a terrific sign for an air raid offense like the Bulldogs possess. It’s unfortunate that the health of KJ is unknown at this time but with that being the case I intend to stay way from any side here and suggest the over until hearing more.

The Play: Over 61.5

Texas (3-2) at Oklahoma (3-2)

When: 12 PM on 10/8 (Dallas, TX)

Line: Texas -7

O/u: 65.5

For the first time since 1998, the Red River Rivalry between these two games will feature a showdown where neither team is ranked. The once defensive mastermind Brent Venables has a lot of work to do as Oklahoma has dropped 2 games in a row and the defense has looked horrific in the process. A keynote to be on the lookout for is who starts at QB for both teams as Texas QB Quinn Ewers could be making his return this weekend and Oklahoma QB Dillon Gabriel is questionable to play this weekend after leaving early against TCU with an injury. With how Oklahoma’s defense has looked over the past few weeks and the chances of Dillon Gabriel playing highly unlikely I don’t see anyway to back the Sooners In this spot here. I normally would love taking the points with both Arkansas and Oklahoma this weekend but can’t in good faith with the questions both team shave at QB. Texas QB Steve Sarkisian will surely have players running wide open Saturday afternoon against a patchy Oklahoma defense and with Gary Patterson holding down the Longhonr defense against what should be a backup QB I’ll gladly take Texas.

The Play: Texas -7

Auburn (3-2) at #2 Georgia (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/8

Line: UGA -30

O/u: 49

Check your local milk cartons as there might be a missing poster for this Georgia team. After playing an unusual game against Kent State they followed that up by barely pulling out a win over a middling Missouri team on the road. Forget dropping to #2 in the polls as this Georgia team is lucky to have escaped last week with a victory. Meanwhile, Aubur drops to 3-2 on the year following a loss to LSU in which they led for a good majority of the game. Georgia is favored by over 4 touchdowns here and I believe they cover this number finally after missing that mark over the past few games. Auburn fans and faithful have been up in arms wanting HC Bryan Harsin out and after what transpires in Athens Saturday afternoon I believe they finally get their wish.

The Play: UGA -30

#11 Utah (4-1) at #18 UCLA (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/8

Line: Utah -4.5

O/u: 65

Cameron Rising and the Utes have looked explosive on offense and have gotten back on track after their road loss against Florida to start the year. Meanwhile, UCLA has looked just as talented offensively behind seasoned vet Dorian Thompson Robinson (DTR). DTR has displayed the ability to operate this Chip Kelly offense leading the Bruins to an undefeated record so far. Utah shouldn’t be challenged too much o offense as UCLA’s defensive unit is weak but will have their hands full trying to stop DTR. I could see a UCLA upset win over Utah at home but leaning towards the over as I believe this will be a high scoring affair.

The Play: Over 65

#3 Ohio State (5-0) at Michigan State (2-3)

When: 4 PM on 10/8

Line: OSU -26.5

O/u: 64

His one is a rather simple one for me as I will easily be laying the points here with the Buckeyes. The only reason for any worry here is that this game is on the road for Ohio State and over the years have shown to be vulnerable taking their game on the road. Michigan State has one of the worst secondaries in the Big 10 and CJ Stroud and the Buckeyes offense will be sure to exploit it this weekend. Meanwhile, Michigan State has lost their offense losing 3 straight and only putting up a combined 20 points over the last 2 games against the likes of Maryland and Minnesota. Ohio State has better talent on defense than both of those teams and should get out of East Lansing rather comfortably with a cover.

The Play: Ohio State -26.5

Washington State (4-1) at USC (5-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/8

Line: USC -13

O/u: 66

This game will offer an exciting matchup between Cameron Ward and Caleb Williams as both are off to terrific starts this year. Everyone and their mother knows that USC has a high powered offense but only those who have watched the Trojans will know that their defense is prone to giving up big players and will be what holds this USC team back late in the year. Their defense gives up a shade under 20 points a game which puts them near the Top 30 in scoring defense but this number is very misleading. Cameron Ward has impressed thus far as  a Cougar and will continue as their passing attack will be able to exploit USC’s poor defense. Ultimately, I believe USC will still win this game but if the Trojans end up going undefeated with a a Pac 12 championship I look forward to fading them once they play in the College Football Playoff.

The Play: Washington State +13

#16 BYU (4-1) at Notre Dame (2-2)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/8 (Las Vegas, Nevada)

Line: Notre Dame -3.5

O/u: 52

Both teams are coming into this game with ample time to prepare as both had a bye last week. Neither team should have a home field advantage in this matchup as this game will be played in Nevada. BRYU QB Jaren Hall has impressed all year and will face yet another tough defense as he has done so all season long already facing off against Baylor and Oregon. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has seemed to get their season back on track with 2 straight wins after starting their season off 0-2. I think the line for this one is on the money here and instead will play the under as both of these teams bring in underrated defenses. I expect both teams to try and establish the run game and the winning team won’t cross over the 30 mark in this one.

The Play: Under 52

Texas A&M (3-2) at #1 Alabama (5-0)

When: 8 PM on 10/8

Line: Alabama -24

O/u: 51.5

A big sigh of relief could be heard around the country from Tuscaloosa as QB Bryce Young is listed as day to day suffering an AC joint sprain last week against Arkansas. Alabama was leading Arkansas by multiple scores when Bryce left the game against Arkansas in the 2nd quarter and fans watched in disbelief as the lead slowly dwindled downt o just 5 points. We finally get the clash of Jimbo Fisher and Nick Saban that we have been waiting for since Texas A&M’s upset win last year and all the heated discussions between the two this offseason. A&M has struggled all year to move the ball behind both Max Johnson and Haynes King and without their best receiving option I’m unsure how they will be able to go toe for toe with Alabama. Meanwhile, RB Jahmyr Gibbs finally burst onto the scene as the transfer put up over 200 rushing yards against Arkansas with 2 70+ yard touchdowns in the 4th quarter to seal the win for the Tide. I believe the under is a great play here but as an Alabama fan I want to see this team blow the doors off here in payback fashion from what happened last year in College Station.

The Play: Alabama -24

NFL Week 5 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

I was unable to capitalize on my Week 3 performance as Week 4 gave me a 7-9 record as I total to 36-28 (56%) on the year. A rather frustrating performance from Week 4 given that a few overs were there for the taken but missed because of either no scoring in the second half by a team or no points scored in the entire 4th quarter from either side. Reagrdless, we are back for Week 5 firing at the board.

Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1) at Denver Broncos (2-2)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/6

Line: Broncos -3

O/u: 43.5

The injury bug has hit both of these running back rooms as Colts Jonathan Taylor is dealing with an injury of his own that may either keep him ot or slow him down while Broncos suffered worse news as Javontae Williams suffered a torn ACL in their last matchup. Under is the play here as neither of these offenses seem to be able to move the ball easily throughout any of thir games so far either with bad playcalling or not having the athletes out there to make the needed plays. Colts are an indoor team coming to play in the outside at Mile High so don’t forget about that element as conditioning could play a factor in this game com elate, but good news for Matt Ryan is I heard ducks fly better at higher altitude.

The Play: Under 43.5

New York Giants (3-1) at Green Bay Packers (3-1)

When: 9:30 AM on 10/9 (London)

Line: Packers -8

O/u: 41.5

If you wake up early on Sunday mornings then brew yourself a nice cup of coffee and enjoy some early football as we have another game overseas this week. Aaron Rodgers looks to lead the Packers to their 4th straight win on the season after coming out flat in their opening game against Minnesota. Slowly but surely, it seems like Rodgers is starting to connect with his new weapons as earlier this year it seemed they were often not in sync. Green Bay seemed to underestimate the Patriots last week as they barely escaped in overtime with a win, so I expect them to be prepared this week for whatever Brian Daboll and the Giants have ready to throw at them. Run at them may be the correct phrase as Saquon Barkley is healthy and looks like his 1st round caliber self again and if the Packers are able to key in on him and bottle him up then this Giants offense is in for a long day.

Packers -8

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3) at Buffao Bills (3-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Bills -14

O/u: 47

The Kenny Pickett era has begun 4 games into the season as the rookie will make his first start this week on the road in Buffalo. Unfortunately, Buffalo is not the most welcoming of places for a rookie to have his first start and with this being only the second home game for the Bills this season, so I expect the fans to be rowdy and full of energy. The line speaks for itself here as Vegas is expecting a blowout but I’m never high on laying 2 TDs against a professional football team so that leaves us with either taking the points with Pitt or looking towards the total here. Although their offensive line seems to be overpowered on paper by the Bills defensive line, Pittsburgh does have weapons on the outside to attack a banged-up Bills secondary. I will most likely regret this, but I will take the points in hopes of a backyard cover here for us late.

The Play: Steelers +14

Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Chargers -3

O/u: 48

Justin Herbert brings his team back to .500 on the year after gutting out a great performance against Houston. You can see that Herbert isn’t 100 percent healthy still but he’s still managing to gut it out for his team. Los Angeles is hopeful to get Keenan Allen finally back this week to pair him alongside Mike Williams and Austin Ekeler who broke out last week totalling 3 total touchdowns. Cleveland, on the other hand, comes home after a disappointing last second loss to the Falcons on the road. Keep an eye out on the status of both of Cleveland’s defensive ends because if they are unable to give it a go then life gets a whole lot easier for Justin Herbert not having to worry about them. Just as I did in the first 4 weeks, I will continue to fade Jacoby Brissett and this Browns team.

The Play: Chargers -3

Chicago Bears (2-2) at Minnesota Vikings (3-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Vikings -7

O/u: 44

My hope of Justin Fields becoming a dynamic QB in the NFL gets smaller and smaller as the weeks dwindle by. He has yet to look the part and the blame isn’t fully on him as Chicago’s front office did very little to help him out whether it be regarding his offensive line or offensive weapons. I do not intend on backing him here either as Minnesota has one of the best home field advantages in the NFL and the fan swill make it difficult on Fields’ all throughout the contest. Color me very shocked here if Minnesota doesn’t come out of this game with multiple turnovers forced. Vikings don’t have the strongest of defenses in the NFL but with what Chicago can throw at them and this home environment give me the Vikings.

The Play: Vikings -7

Detroit Lions (1-3) at New England Patriots (1-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Patriots -3

O/u: 46.5

I learned my lesson and if the Lions are playing then I’m playing the over. Detroit has one of the highest scoring offenses in the league but when you couple that with the worst defense in the NFL then it’s not a recipe for success. For this game make sure to keep an eye on the injry report for Swift, St. Brown, and Brian Hoyer as whether these players are inactive or playing could severely move both the total and spread here. Regardless, Patriots should dhave a field day on the ground with their 2 headed monster.

The Play: Over 45.5

Seattle Seahawks (2-2) at New Orleans Saints (1-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Saints -5.5

O/u: 46

Geno Smith has been one of the biggest surprises in the NFL this season as he has looked rather impressive in his first 4 starts. Seahawks finally got the run game going against Detroit last week but playing the worst defense in the NFL may have something to do with that. Saints return from London empty handed but should get Jameis Winston back this week behind center. Over is the play here as New Orleans shouldn’t have too much difficulty moving the ball on Seattle as they, along with the Lions, have one of the worst defenses in the league. If Geno Smith continues to cook then we should be cruising over the total.

The Play: Over 46

Miami Dolphins (3-1) at New York Jets (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Dolphins -3

O/u: 44.5

No Tua, no problem for the Dolphins in this one. Miami is coming off having extra rest and a disappointing effort against Cincinnati last Thursday. Keep an eye on the health of both Dolphins’ starting cornerbacks as Byron Jones should return from the IR and Xavien Howard left the matchup against the Bengals early. I expect for the defense to get back on track mixing up their coverages and confusing the relatively inexperienced Zach Wilson. Ne York has explosive wide receivers on the outside in Elijah Moore and Garret Wilson but Zach Wilson hasn’t shown the ability to consistently get them the ball to create plays. Running game finally gets on track for Miami here as they run away with the win and run back down to Miami to hopefully get Tua back for Week 6.

The Play: Dolphins -3

Atlanta Falcons (2-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Buccaneers -8.5

O/u: 48

Although in a losing effort, Buccaneers finally got their offense back on track with Mike Evans returning from suspension and Chris Godwin returning from injury. Unfortunately, Tampa’s offense may have found a groove, but their defense underwhelmed as they had over 40 points dropped on them on Sunday Night Football. Luckily, Tampa’s defense gets to face off against the likes of Marcus Mariota who looks far from what everyone remembers at Oregon. Atlanta has lost their leading running back on the year and seem to have forgotten who Kyle Pitts is as he gets under utilized game in and game out. Tampa rights their ship and catapults back into first place.

The Play: Buccaneers -8.5

Tennessee Titans (2-2) at Washington Commanders (1-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Titans -2.5

O/u: 42.5

I’m unsure how anyone can logically back the Commanders after seeing what they have put on display over the first few weeks of the season thus far. The offense has been rather abysmal despite having talent in spots over the field while the defensive players seem to hate their DC Jack del Rio. None of this is a recipe for success and ultimately Ron Rivera is on a sinking ship in Washington as this is going to be blown up after this year. Titans have gotten their season back on track winning 2 straight behind King Henry and I expect the trend to continue here. Titans defense is susceptible to plays downfield and I expect Wentz and company to put together a better offensive outing this week.

The Play: Over 42.5

Houston Texans (0-3-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Jaguars -7

O/u: 44.5

If we are Trevor Lawrence we are going to chalk up what happened in Phily because of the rain and forget about it moving forward. Jacksonville has surprised us how they have played to start this year but are they good enough to be laying a touchdown even against Houston? This is a divisional matchup for the Texans  who played another division foe tight earlier this year in the Colts to a tie. The offseason hype of Damian Pierce seemed to have finally come to fruition as he totaled over 100 yards on the ground last week against the Chargers. I’m taking the points here with the divisional dog here and if the game isn’t close late then back door is sure to be alive.

Texans +7

San Francisco 49ers (2-2) at Carolina Panthers (1-3)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/9

Line: 49ers -6.5

O/u: 39

This is going against the trend here with the over play. Through 4 games the 49ers have hit the under in all of them and Panthers aren’t far behind. As trends like this occur, people will often blindly take the under and with oddsmakers knowing this they will make a line to favor themselves into an over win. We saw how good the 49ers defense were on Monday Night football but travelling across country on a short week could have an impact on the unit. If they weren’t already, Panthers players and staff are fighting for their jobs and need to show up or possibly be looking for work come Tuesday morning. San Francisco’s offense opened up last week with Jimmy getting in a more of a rhythm coming back in the starting role and from injury.

The Play: Over 39

Dallas Cowboys (3-1) at Los Angeles Rams (2-2)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/9

Line: Rams -4.5

O/u: 43.5

Rams look like a far cry from the team that won the Super Bowl just 8 months ago as they seem to miss Odell badly on offense. Cooper Kupp may always be open but he can’t be the only focal point of your offense. Meanwhile, Cooper Rush has filled in nicely since Dak suffered his injury winning 3 straight games. I’m banking on Sean Mcvay and his stars to right their ship as I lay the points here. The Cooper Rush experiment behind this banged up offensive line will get a heavy dose of Aaron Donald throughout this game mixed in with Jalen Ramsey getting in your head. Rams may finally use their big offseason addition in Allen Robinson as they paid him to be their top guy next to Kupp but has yet to produce. I don’t love this one here but something’s got to give.

The Play: Rams -4.5

Philadelphia Eagles (4-0) at Arizona Cardinals (2-2)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/9

Line: Eagles -5

O/u: 49.5

Arizona has gotten themselves back to .500 but welcome an Eagles team to town that look like one of the best team in football right now. Kyler Murray and the offense looked nonexistent in the first half but finally were able to find their stride in the second half ultimately putting up 26 in the game. Jalen Hurts finally looked human against the Jaguards last week but the grond game behind Miles Sanders was able to secure the win regardless. Eagles win a close one on the road here but give me the Cardinals to cover.

The Play: Cardinals +5

Cincinnati Bengals (2-2) at Baltimore Ravens (2-2)

When: 8:20 PM on 10/9

Line: Ravens -3

O/u: 48.5

Both teams find themselves at 2-2 entering this game with two different paths to get there as Bengals have fought back starting the year off 0-2 while Baltimore has surrendered 2 double digit leads at home in both of their losses. Marlon Humphrey has looked like one of the best corners in football so far but he is only 1 man. This isn’t your Ravens defense of old with Ray Lewis and Ed Reed as they have been prone to giving up points and big plays. Bengals are coming off of a long week of rest as they played last Thursday and seemed to have found some magic late in that contest downfield to both Higgins and Chase. This won’t be your father’s AFC North matchup as I expect a defensive struggle here.

The Play: Over 48.5

Las Vegas Raiders (1-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-1)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/10

Line: Chiefs -7

O/u: 51

It’s hard to not back the Chiefs after seeing what they did to a good Buccaneers team on the road on Sunday Night Football. Derek Carrr managed to get their first win this season but find themselves with a tough task as they travel on the road to Arrowhead for a primetime Monday Night Football game. Vegas finally found some magic in former 1st round pick Josh Jacobs as his breakout game led them to a win. Ultimately, I believe the Chiefs are too overwhelming with what they can do to you on offense as Patrick Mahomes has shown a mastery of this offense so far taking what the defense gives him. Raiders put up a fight but Kansas City is too much at the end.

The Play: Chiefs -7

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 5

OVERALL RECORD: 195-159-3 (55.1%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 24-21-2 (53.3%)

Another OK, above 50% week for TGIS. But if you have been paying attention to the Miller Lite Minute… we are an astounding 10-3 through the first four weeks!! We are going to have the success of the Miller Lite bleed over into these week 5 locks… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 5 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#2 Alabama at #20 Arkansas UNDER 61 – 6:00pm

Alabama has a top five defense in the nation and should be able to slow down Arkansas’ attack. Meanwhile, Alabama’s offense has not shown it can travel on the road (last five ranked road games 1-4 against the spread). If you were to take Arkansas +17.5 I wouldn’t hate it… But I like the under more.

Pick: Alabama 34-17.

TOP PICKS OF THE WEEK

#4 Michigan -10.5 at Iowa – 11:00am

Maryland kept up with Michigan in their 34-27 game because they could throw the ball around. That is something Iowa absolutely cannot do. Michigan takes care of business.

Purdue at #21 Minnesota -12.5 – 11:00am

Starting QB Aidan O’Connell is most likely out along with a few other players. Meanwhile, Tanner Morgan and offensive coordinator Kirk Ciarrocca are picking up where they left off after Minnesota’s 2019 season where they finished 11-2. Minnesota keeps rolling.

Wake Forest at Florida State -6.5  – 11:00am

Jordan Travis came back from injury against Boston College last week and looked fantastic. Wake Forest can’t stop anyone, Florida State wins this one by 10.

Virginia Tech at North Carolina OVER 51 – 11:00am

Notre Dame had scored 55 points all season before playing North Carolina… they then scored 45 points against them last week. Meanwhile the Tar Heels have scored more than 32 points in every game this season. Over easily hits.

#18 Oklahoma -6.5 at TCU – 2:30pm

TCU’s offense looked very good against SMU… but that was SMU Oklahoma will have a bounce back week and Venables will get the defense right. By the way… nothing is wrong with the Oklahoma offense after racking up 7.5 yards per play against Kansas State.

Michigan State at Maryland -7 – 2:30pm

I told you last week Michigan State’s secondary was trash. Maryland can throw the ball and take advantage. Maryland wins big.

Cal at Washington State UNDER 53.5 – 4:30pm

The offenses aren’t as good as they seem from last week (even though both team put up over 40 points). The number is inflated… expect a low scoring ugly game.

LSU -8 at Auburn – 6:00pm

Auburn has a terrible offensive line, they can’t run the ball, the wide receivers are not good, most of their quarterbacks are banged up… should I go on? LSU blows them out and this is Bryan Harsin’s last game as the head coach.

#10 NC State at #5 Clemson OVER 40 – 6:30pm

Clemson just played a 51-45 game and the Over/Under is 40 points??? Clemson’s secondary is still banged up and quarterback Devin Leary will be able to take advantage. I expect more of a 27-24 type of game.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 5

By: Nick Radivoj

It feels like the season had just started and here we are already entering October football – enjoy it while it lasts folks! We are 20-20 so far on the year losing some dough on the juice but this just might be the week we break through like we did in NFL. An exciting slate of games is upon us with numerous Top 25 matchups so in we go.

#4 Michigan (4-0) at Iowa (3-1)

When: 12 PM on 10/1

Line: Michigan -10.5

O/u: 42

A tale of two stories for this Iowa team as they are top in the nation in scoring defense but dead last in total offense. Their defense as always is one of the best in the country and will be able to get pressure on JJ McCarthy all day long but will have their hands full as Michigan has one of the top running backs in the nation in Blake Corum. Michigan passed its first true test this season as they prevailed over Maryland but will face the toughest defense this year to date. I don’t feel comfortable taking the points here with Iowa given with how their offense has looked so far this season but with this being the first real defense Michigan has seen laying the points doesn’t seem that appetizing for me as well.

The Play: Under 42

#7 Kentucky (4-0) at #17 Ole Miss (4-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/1

Line: Ole Miss -6.5

O/u: 54.5

This matcup kicks off an exciting College Football Saturday as Kentucky and Ole Miss lead the first of 5 Top 25 matchups. This game will showcase good versus good as Ole Miss brings in one of the top rushing attacks in the nation being ranked 4th nationally. Kentucky brings in a Top 30 ranked rush defense as it was on display earlier in the season quieting Florida’s impressive run game. Kentucky will also be getting Chris Rodriguez back from suspension this week as the star from last year will provide much needed balance to this Wildcat offense. Kentucky’s Will Levis has an NFL caliber arm but has had very little time to make decisions in the pocket as his offensive line has not been as formidable as it was last year. Kentucky will get a boost from the return of Chris Rodriguez and putting my faith in Will Levis to keep this one within a touchdown.

The Play: Kentucky +6.5

#18 Oklahoma (3-1) at TCU (3-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/1

Line: Oklahoma -6.5

O/u: 68.5

Oklahoma travels on the road as they look to bounce back after their first loss of the season. Oklahoma Dillon Gabriel has been nothing short of impressive this year after transferring over from UCF. Oklahoma’s defense will have their hands full this week as TCU QB Max Duggan has led the Horned Frogs to a 3-0 start. Offense was not the issue for Oklahoma in their loss last week as the offense racked up over 500 yards of offense and over 7 yards per play. What killed the Sooners was their inefficient rate of converting 3rd downs as they were below 25 percent in doing so last week. The over seem sto be a logical play but I’m backing an angry Oklahoma team to come out of Texas with a win by a touchdown or more.

The Play: Oklahoma -6.5

#2 Alabama (4-0) at #20 Arkansas (3-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Alabama -17.5

O/u: 61

This game could have been featuring 2 undefeated teams and a potential Top 10 matchup were it not for a missed field goal to win the game for Arkansas at the end. Alabama seems to have found their groove again after their close scare in Austin earlier in the year. Alabama will face a familiar face in Arkansas’ defense as transfer LB Drew Sanders leads this defense in the nation currently in sacks. Arkansas is coming off a heartbreaking loss but will have their fans behind them to create havoc for Alabama communicating throughout the contest. Ultimately, I believe Alabama’s passing attack will be too much for Arkansas to handle with their limited secondary. Alabama leaves Arkansas winning by 3 touchdowns as Will Anderson keeps this Alabama defense stout.

The Play: Alabama -17.5

#9 Oklahoma State (3-0) at #16 Baylor (3-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Baylor -2.5

O/u: 56.5

Oklahoma State comes into Waco, Texas undefeated on the year as they take on the Bears for their first Big 12 conference game. The 2 teams squared off last year in the Big 12 Championship game with Baylor winning 21-16. The final score would have cruised way under the total we have this weekend but keep in mind that Oklahoma State lost their defensive coordinator to Ohio State and is still trying to regain their form they ad last year. Spencer Sanders has impressed so far this year for Oklahoma State, but this will be his biggest test yet. The best part of this Oklahoma State defense is probably their front 4 so I expect Baylor QB Blake Shapen to take advantage of throwing the ball downfield as opposed to running into their stout line. This game will lie heavily on the shoulders of Spencer Sanders as last year he threw 7 of his 12 interceptions on the year to a Baylor defender. If he can keep the turnover worthy plays to a minimum then the Sooners have a shot to upset this week. Give me Baylor with the home field advantage in this sure to be close match up.

The Play: Baylor -2.5

#22 Wake Forest at #23 Florida State (4-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Florida State -6.5

O/u: 65.5

Sam Hartman and the Deacons come into Tallahassee after a heartbreaking loss to #5 Clemson at home in overtime. Wake led a majority of the second half and seemed to be on their way to an upset win before Clemson fought back to ultimately win in 2OT. Meanwhile, Jordan Travis and the Seminoles are perfect so far this season but face their toughest match to date with a highly ranked Wake Forest team. You can see how much playing at home versus on the road matters in College Football as Wake were 7 point underdogs to Clemson at home and now nearly 7 point underdogs to Florida State on the road as Clemson and FSU would not be a pick’em on a natural field currently. I still don’t love the idea of laying a big number like this with a young Florida State team who still needs to prove their new Top 25 ranking so let’s have a fun shootout down in Florida.

The Play: Over 65.5

#17 Texas A&M (3-1) at Mississippi State (3-1)

When: 4 PM on 10/1

Line: Mississippi State -3.5

O/u: 45.5

Texas A&M managed to recover after their shocking loss to Appalachian State with back to back Top 25 wins over Miami and conference rival Arkansas. Although they got the win, Texas A&M still looks rather lost on offense. Ultimately, I believe the Aggies luck will run out as the injuries begin to pile up. Texas A&M may have won their last 2 match ups but were outgained in both of them and rather lucky to have snuck out a win against Arkansas with a 99 yard fumble return. Aggies have a stout defense but better in the run game rather than through the air. Mike Leach’s air raid offense test you far and wide as Mississippi State QB Will Rogers will look for their first conference win this season. Bulldogs win and put Texas A&M’s luck to bed.

The Play: Mississippi State -3.5

LSU (3-1) at Auburn (3-1)

When: 7 PM on 10/1

Line: LSU -9

O/u: 45.5

Jordan-Hare night game? Hopefully LSU faithful say a prayer before the match up Saturday night as there’s surely going to be a crazy play or 2 happen inside that haunted stadium. A key to look out for is the health of LSU QB Jayden Daniels as he is recovering from injury from last weeks matchup. Although 3-1, Auburn is not the team we all know from years past as fans are up in arms with the direction of their beloved team as they barely eked out a win against a below average Missouri team at home. There are very few circumstances now this year where I will back the Auburn Tigers as they have questions at QB and questions moving the ball on offense in general. Since the health of LSU QB Jayden Daniels is till rather bleak currently it leaves me with one faithful Auburn play for this week and that is to see some bad football.

The Play: Under 45.5

#10 NC State (4-0) at #5 Clemson (4-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Clemson -6.5

O/u: 40

Clemson returns home unblemished as they fend off Wake Forest in double overtime. After exhausting themselves they don’t come back for an easy matchup as they are faced with yet another Top 25 contest. Luckily, Clemson will have home field advantage this time and the impact of Death Valley rocking in a night game. Wake Forest QB Sam Hartman continuously picked on a young and inexperienced Clemson secondary either completing a long pass or forcing a pass interference flag to continue their drive. If Devin Leary can take note of what Hartman did this past week then an upset might be on the table, but no doubt Dabo will have an answer. With such a lower total, Vegas is predicting an offensive struggle for these two teams and if Clemson can clean up their secondary points may be hard to come by for the Wolfpack. Fool me once can’t get fooled again? Clemson by a touchdown.

The Play: Clemson -6.5

Georgia (4-0) at Missouri (2-2)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/1

Line: UGA -28

O/u: 54.5

Kirby Smart is a Nick Saban disciple, and the apple doesn’t fall far from the tree on one thing here. Georgia and Alabama led teams nearly always come out firing after a game in which they didn’t play up to their standards. Some may look at the box score and be confused as Georgia ultimately won the contest by 3 scores, but they looked far from the #1 team in the nation last Saturday. They looked sloppy on offense and the defense looked lackluster throughout the afternoon giving up the most points it had in a very long time to a Kent State team. No disrespect to Kent State and the program they are running but you would always expect Georgia to handle that game better than they did. Georgia wins this one in a blowout as Missouri is one of the bottom teams in the SEC.

The Play: UGA -28

NFL Week 4 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

Week 3 was kind to us as we had an explosive 12-4 record on the week bringing our total on the year to 29-19. We can’t celebrate and rest on our loreals as we still have plenty of weeks in front of us and more work to do. A fun slate of games are in front of us so let’s find the value!

Miami Dolphins (3-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-2)

When: 8:15 PM on 9/29

Line: Bengals -4

O/u: 47

Joe Burrow gets his Bengals team back on track as they get their first win of the season last weekend against the Jets. After their road victory, they welcome in the undefeated Miami Dolphins who are coming off of back-to-back games in which they took the lead late inside the 4th quarter. This game surely favors the Bengals here on paper as the Dolphins must travel over 1000 miles on short rest after exerting themselves against both Baltimore and Buffalo. The defense is sure to be gassed as they were on the field for 90 plays and nearly 40 minutes against Buffalo. With that exhaustion, I believe Cincinnati will be able to put up scores and with an explosive offense of their own Miami will be in recovery mode to try to come from behind yet again. Bengals ultimately win this game, but we will see if they can cover from the sidelines.

The Play: Over 47

Minnesota Vikings (2-1) at New Orleans Saints (1-2)

When: 9:30 AM on 10/2 (London)

Line: Vikings -2.5

O/u: 44

Minnesota and New Orleans will kick off our first overseas game of the 2022 NFL Season as they are set to match up in London. Kirk Cousins gets redemption from his primetime flop against Philadelphia as he leads Minnesota to a late come from behind win over their division rival Detroit. Meanwhile, New Orleans is looking to bounce back after dropping two games in a row following their Week 1 heroics. Key notes to keep an eye out for are Saints WRs Jarvis Landry and Michael Thomas as they both left last Sunday’s game at one point with injuries. New Orleanshas struggled in their first few game sto get the offense going early as majority of their points have come from second half scoring. It’s quite possible that trend ends here as Minnesota doesn’t bring one of the top defenses in the league to town but again neither did the Falcons or Panthers. I’m looking for their scoring draught to end for New Orleans while Minnesota unleashes star WR Justin Jefferson after he has been relatively quiet since his Week 1 explosion.

The Play: Over 44

Cleveland Browns (2-1) at Atlanta Falcons (1-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Browns -1.5

O/u: 49.5

Atlanta has been a nice surprise to start off this year as they finally get their first win last weekend against Seattle. Although it was their first win, Atlanta has been in both of their first 2 games with the Saints and Rams. Cleveland is coming to Atlanta on the road after long rest as they played division rival Pittsburgh in the past Thursday night game. In Jacoby Brissett has been serviceable in the first 3 games this season as Cleveland waits patiently for Deshaun Watson’s suspension to run its course. The script is laid out for us as we know Cleveland will utilize their two top running backs and limit the opportunity for Brissett to lose the game. I expect Cleveland to control the clock with their run game and for Atlanta’s offense to come back to Earth as this one stays under.

The Play: Under 49.5

Washington Commanders (1-2) at Dalls Cowboys (???

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Cowboys -3

O/u: 41.5

Dallas has survived their first 2 games without QB Dak Prescott as they’ve won 2 in a row behind backup Cooper Rush. Meanwhile, Washington has dropped 2 in a row after their home win against the Jaguars in Week 1. Carson Wentz and the Commanders offense have looked half asleep in their past two games as the offense has done little to nothing in the first halves and only putting up points in garbage time when the games are all but done. Maybe, just maybe, Washington can get their offense back on track here if they are able to protect Wentz and with Washington’s defense often resembling Swisss cheese I will begrudgingly play the over.

The Play: Over 41.5

Seattle Seahawks (1-2) at Detroit Lions (1-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Lions -4.5

O/u: 50

This Detroit Lions team is exciting to watch as they provide explosive plays across the field everywhere on offense. They are a fun team but a young team as well as they need to work on closing out games as we saw them last week lose a lead late to division rival Minnesota. Seattle also comes in looking for their second win on the year as they drop back-to-back games after beating their ex-QB Russel Wilson in Week 1. As seen by the previous weeks, I usually love playing over in Detroit games as they provide explosion on offense and a defense that can be scored on. My intention here earlier in the week was to take Seattle with the 6 points but as the health of Lions offensive weapons have come into question the line has dropped a point and a half. Losing value in playing Seattle, I now am playing the under with less offensive weapons for Goff to utilize and a Seattle team that would rather play slow than have a shootout.

The Play: Under 50

Tennessee Titans (1-2) at Indianapolis Colts (1-1-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Colts -3

O/u: 42.5

These 2 division rivals finally secured their first win of the season last week. Both Tennesee and Indianapolis were the front runners to win their division earlier this summer but have looked far from a team destined to make a playoff run. It seemed that Tennessee was able to get their offense back on track last week while Indy managed to squeak out a victory by capitalizing on turnovers against the Chiefs. Prior to the season, I expected these division foes to split their head-to-head matchup against one another and still feel like that will be the outcome. With the line seeming right on point, I turn my attention to the total and see value in playing the over here as Jonathan Taylor and Derrick Henry finally show the NFL why they are the two best in the game.

The Play: Over 42.5

Chicago Bears (2-1) at New York Giants ((((

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Giants -3

O/U: 39

Go ahead and pinch yourself because no you aren’t dreaming as the records are accurate here with both teams coming in with a 2-1 record. New York has impressed me so far this year while the Bears have won off poor weather conditions and playing a bad Texans team. Unfortunately, Giants lost Sterling Shephard for the season as he tore his ACL in Monday’s contest against the Cowboys. DaDaniel Jones should have more time to get his playmakers the ball as Chicago doesn’t have nearly the pass rushers that Dallas has. Justin Fields has started the year off with 2 wins in 3 games but still doesn’t look like the once highly touted prospect that he was. A sloppy game that I gladly won’t have on my tv.

The Play: Giants -3

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-0)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Eagles -6.5

O/u: 48

Doug Pederson revenge game? The revenge game theory didn’t work as well last week as Carson Wentz most likely needs to check his boxers after that performance but I have more faith in Dougie P! He has impressed us with how the Jagshave played so far this season who currently own sole possession of the ARC South. Meanwhile, Jalen Hurts and the Eagles look like juggernauts as their past 2 games have essentially been over mid-way through the 3rd quarter. I expect more of the same for both teams as Hurts will lead the Eagles offense to multiple scoring drives with Trevor Lawrence not lagging far behind. Points won’t be at a premium in this one as Philly fans finally get a fun game on the way.

The Play: Over 48

New York Jets (1-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Steelers -3.5

O/u: 40.5

No analysis on this one these are two bad teams that I’m excited to not have on screen here. Zach Wilson is set to return Sunday but don’t cheer yet as that may not be a good thing. This will be my shortest write up to date and probably all season but go Steelers.

The Play: Steelers -3.5

Buffalo Bills (2-1) at Baltimore Ravens (2-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Bills -3.5

O/u: 51.5

This game will feature a match up between what should be the top leaders currently in the MVP race. Buffalo comes off their first loss this season and share a commonality with Baltimore as both teams suffered their sole loss to the Miami Dolphins. Baltimore’s defense does not look like the defense as old as they have been susceptible to big plays over the past few weeks and that recipe is not one for success as you welcome in an explosive Josh Allen offense. Buffalo’s secondary has been pretty banged up as of late as they were without both of their starting safeties last week and still await for Tre’Davious White’s return from the IR. I trust Josh Allen to get his offense back on track after only scoring 17 points on over 90 plays and combine that with how Lamar Jackson has showcased this season leads us to an easy conclusion.

The Play: over 51.5

Los Angeles Chargers (1-2) at Houston Texans (0-1-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Chargers -5

O/u: 44

Chargers have caught the injury bug and they caught it bad as they lose their LT for the rest of the season. Justin Herbert is already a tad banged up himself so losing his blind side protector is something to note. They should be getting Keenan Allen back this week and have playmakers throughout the offense and defense. HC Brandon Staley needs to get back a Chargers team on track that had playoff aspirations to start the year. Luckily, they face a Houston team that has looked more like a Top 5 pick in the NFL Draft after their Week 1 contest against the Colts. Davis Mills doesn’t look like the long term solution and if the Chargers have playoff hopes they will handle this one and handle it easily.

The Play: Chargers -5

Arizona Cardinals (1-2) at Carolina Panthers (1-2)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/2

Line: Panthers -1.5

O/u: 42.5

This will be an ugly play here is I go with the over but stay with me here. Under totals are cashing at an all-time percentage throughout the first few weeks of the NFL season and that percentage is bound to regress towards the mean. I think Week 4 is the week that you will be taking over tickets to the window. Baker Mayfield should be able to take advantage of this poor Cardinals secondary as long as he remembers that he has an explosive weapon in DJ Moore. Meanwhile, Arizona has been one of the best road teams as underdogs since Kyler has taken over behind center. A final of 24-20 gets us to the window.

The Play: Over 42.5

New England Patriots (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (2-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/2

Line: Packers -10

O/u: 40.5

What used to be an exciting match up featuring Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers has now lost even ore juice as second year QB Mac Jones looks to be out with injury for several weeks suffering an injury in last Sunday’s loss against the Ravens. Backup QB Brian Hoyer should be filling in for the injured Mac Jones and isn’t welcomed to the starting lineup with a plethora of weapons as New England’s offense has looked subpar to say the least to start this year. Green Bay has gone under the total in all 3 games so far this year while New England has gone to the window with 2 under totals snd with how these teams are designed to play another under is in the cards. New England will surely throw the kitchen sink at back to back MVP Aaron Rodgers in an attempt to slow their offense down and New England’s offense doesn’t look to threatening to a much improved Green Bay defense.

The Play: Under 40.5

Denver Broncos (2-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (0-3)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/2

Line: Raiders -2.5

O/u: 45.5

I wouldn’t let the record fool you as Denver has looked far from a winning team so far. Russ and the offense seem to be out of sorts through the first 3 weeks of the season as their punter was getting more work in their win against San Francisco than their kicker. Las Vegas is truly the key to this game as they come in still looking for their first win under their new head coach. Falling to 0-4 on the season for a team that made the playoffs last year and looking to improve on that would be rather disastrous. This game can easily determine how this game goes for Las Vegas as they can either right the ship or call in the season early as it’s an uphill climb to make a postseason push after starting off 0-4. Give me Raiders or get ready to start hearing the fire McDaniels chants in Vegas.

The Play: Raiders -2

Kansas City Chiefs (2-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1)

When: 8:20 PM on 10/2

Line: Chiefs -2

O/u: 45

Finally, an exciting matchup to look forward to on Sunday Night Football as we get a Super Bowl rematch with Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady. Both teams still have their QBs under center, but the teams look a tad different this year as Mahomes lost one of his explosive weapons to South Beach this year in Tyreek Hill and the once best offensive line in football in front of Tom Brady has become familiar with the injury bug. Both teams are coming off a loss and with historical information I love trusting Big Red (Andy Reid) off of a bye or coming off of a loss. There’s a chance this game does not end up taking place in Tampa Bay because of Hurricane Ian and if that happens that eliminates any home field advantage the Bucs would have in this one. Welcome the Chiefs back into the winners circle after this contest.

The Play: Chiefs -2

Los Angeles Rams (2-1) at San Francisco 49ers (1-2)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/3

Line: 49ers -2.5

O/u: 42

San Francisco looks out of sorts this year on offense as the team hasn’t scored over 17 in 2 out of their first 3 games to start the season. Facing off a Super Bowl winner from last year in the Rams may not be the best formula for success but in the past few years Kyle Shanahan and company have owned the Rams in the regular season. I look for the offense to get back on track a little bit with Deebo Samuel finally getting himself in the endzone. I projected these teams to split games during the season with each winning their home contest so with 49ers having the home field advantage I will be riding with the team in San Fran.

The Play: 49ers -2.5

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 4

OVERALL RECORD: 189-154-1 (55.1%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 18-16-1 (53%)

We have started just OK in 2022. However if you have been paying attention to the Miller Lite Minute… we are an astounding 7-2 through the first three weeks with two undefeated weeks (for you three game parlayers out there). We are going to have a great week 4… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 4 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#10 Arkansas +2 vs. #23 Texas A&M UNDER 48.5 – 6:00pm

Texas A&M showed a slight improvement to the offense against Miami… but it still was not great. I’d expect a low scoring game with Arkansas loving to run the ball and Texas A&M attempting to do whatever they do with Max Johnson. Arkansas has had really bad injury luck to their defensive backs, but returns a few guys including starter Myles Slusher for this game. Texas A&M won’t be able to take advantage anyways…

Pick: Arkansas 21-17.

TOP PICKS OF THE WEEK

#17 Baylor +3 at Iowa State UNDER 46 – 11:00am

This Baylor team averaged 3.6 yards per play against BYU. Meanwhile, the Iowa State Cyclones averaged just 4 yards per play against Iowa. These are two average offenses that won’t be able to score. Expect a low scoring, tough battle in Ames. Also give me the 3 points with the Baylor Bears.

TCU -2 at SMU – 11:00am

The Battle of the Iron Skillet is set to be played in Dallas, Texas. I really like TCU as they have a better defense and the more talented team. Expect quite a bit of points, but TCU to pull it off especially after SMU’s performance against Maryland. TCU 38-31

#5 Clemson -7 at #21 Wake Forest – 11:00am

Wake Forest had just 11 yards rushing from their running backs against Liberty and you expect them to stay within a touchdown of Clemson? No way, Clemson by double digits.

#20 Florida +11 at #11 Tennessee – 2:30pm

Tennessee’s offense will score, but Florida can keep this a single digit ball game. I expect it to be like the 7 point game Tennessee played with Pittsburgh (the close game between Florida and USF was a look ahead game… write it off).

Minnesota -3 at Michigan State – 2:30pm

The Michigan State secondary is absolutely garbage. Offensive coordinator Kirk Ciarrocca and quarterback Tanner Morgan will be able to take advantage. Minnesota wins decisively.

Notre Dame at North Carolina -1.5 – 2:30pm

The battle of a bad offense (Notre Dame) verse a poor defense (North Carolina). The difference here is that North Carolina’s offense is the best unit of the bunch with one of the top quarterbacks in the nation: Drake Maye. North Carolina wins this and the Notre Dame nightmare season continues.

Texas at Texas Tech UNDER 60 – 2:30pm

The Texas defense is much improved from last year and that will give Texas Tech quarterback Donovan Smith some trouble, especially considering his interceptions issues the last few games. Additionally, Texas has been much more conservative with Hudson Card in the lineup than when they let Quin Ewers sling the ball around. The under 60 is the play here.

#7 USC -6.5 at Oregon State – 8:30pm

USC’s offense looks fantastic. But the defense is still an issue as they gave up over 6 yards per play with Fresno State quarterback Jake Haener still in the lineup (before he was injured). The Oregon State offensive line, one of the best in the Pac-12, may be able to take advantage. But this is too much offense for Oregon State to keep up. USC 45-35.

#13 Utah -14.5 at Arizona State – 9:30pm

Utah will get back to dominate football and Arizona State may just quit after their coach Herm Edwards was fired this past week. Utah runs away with it.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 4

By: Nick Radivoj

A losing 4-6 Week 3 brings us back to average on the season as we are now 15-15 losing some money on the juice. Quite the frustrating weekend as We barely missed the under in a few games and while staying up late to watch Fresno State and USC we had a QB injury quickly put the kiss of death on that line. We learn and we move forward as we are on to College Football Week 4.

Maryland (3-0) at #4 Michigan (3-0)

When: 12 PM on 9/24

Line: Michigan -16.5

O/u: 65.5

High powered offenses will be squaring off in Ann Arbor come Saturday as Maryland comes in averaging 40 points per game while Michigan is scoring over 55 points a game. These numbers may be deceiving as neither team has faced off against a Big 10 opponent yet. Although they have been scoring in bunches as of late, Michigan and Jim Harbaugh coached teams are not known for running teams off the field but more so tough defense. The spread has stayed steady a majority of the week while the total has gone up by almost 3 points. I expect these teams to come back to Big 10 football with Michigan coasting to a win.

The Play: Under 65.5

#5 Clemson (3-0) at #21 Wake Forest (3-0)

When: 12 PM on 9/24

Line: Clemson -7

O/u: 55.5

Something smells here with this line and I may find myself in a trap. Clemson, with their below standard offense, managed to beat Wake Forest 48-27 last year. With improvement in the offense and still a top Clemson defense I’m unsure how this Clemson team doesn’t blow out Wake Forest on the road here. Wake Forest barely snuck out with a win over Liberty last week. Clemson has a clear talent advantage in the trenches here and will surely dominate in the run game like they did last year. I also like playing the over here in this spot but will end up laying the points with Clemson.

The Play: Clemson -7

#20 Florida (2-1) at #11 Tennessee (3-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Tennessee -10.5

O/U: 62.5

Anthony Richardson and the Gators have laid a few eggs in back-to-back weeks after an impressive Week 1 Top 10 win over Utah. Since then, Anthony Richardson has looked more like a project than a top quarterback in this year’s upcoming NFL Draft. The season look ahead line for this game was Tennessee favored by 8 points as we see the line creep up to the Volunteers favored by 11 now. I don’t feel comfortable laying that many points with a Tennessee team but that doesn’t mean I’m eager to take them with Florida. Glancing at the total, I see value in playing the over as Florida should be able to move the ball on this Tennessee team while Hendon Hooker and the Vols should be able to match them on their own.

The Play: Over 62.5

#22 Texas (2-1) at Texas Tech (2-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Texas -6.5

O/u: 60

Texas Tech QB Donovan Smith has underwhelmed during his 2 starts after coming in Week 1 for injured Tyler Shough. He has turned over the ball in each of his starts thus far and with the Longhorns coming to town I envision the ball flying in harms way yet again. Meanwhile, Hudson Card brought the Longhorns back to the winners’ circle after losing on a last second field goal the week prior. Card is leading the offense now that Ewers is recovering from injury and although Card was a starter last year he doesn’t provide quite the explosion that Ewers does when he was lined up behind center. Texas DC Gary Patterson will sure have a plan to confuse the ripe Red Raider quarterback.

The Play: Under 60

Notre Dame (1-2) at North Carolina (3-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: North Carolina -1.5

O/u: 57

First one is always the hardest, right? Notre Dame HC Marcus Freeman secured his first win last week as they grinded out a 24-17 win over California. Plenty of teams are in this new wave of College Football spreading the field out and passing the ball down field, but Notre Dame is not one of those teams. Marcus Freeman is keen on getting back to his roots and playing hard nosed defense for 60 minutes while playing power football on the offensive side. Meanwhile, Drake May and North Carolina provide fireworks and quick soring drives with explosive plays. One of the best ways to limit an offense like that from clicking is by having them sit on the sideline longer. Once again, a slow grind it out game that stays under the total for us going to the window.

The Play: Under 57

James Madison (2-0) at Appalachian State (2-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Appalachian State -8

O/U: 58

Appalachian State survives gameday last week as they win in the final seconds off a Hail Mary by QB Chase Brice. Appalachian State has had two long drawn-out games that have gassed this team as they upset Texas A&M on the week prior to their comeback win last week. James Madison comes in as an undefeated team and a perennial powerhouse in their conference and in a spot where Appalachian State is sure to run out of gas give me James Madison to cover here with a potential outright winner.

The Play: James Madison +8

#15 Oregon (2-1) at Washington State (3-0)

When: 4 PM on 9/24

Line: Oregon -6.5

O/u: 57.5

Oregon travels on the road after an impressive victory over a #12 ranked BYU team. Bo Nix often seems like two different quarterbacks when he plays at home versus on the road so we shall see if we get Jekyll or Hide this upcoming week. Meanwhile, JUCO transfer QB Cam Ward has led the Cougars to a 3-0 start as he’s impressed in his first action in Power 5 so far. Washington State’s defense has impressed along with the offense this year as they have one of the top scoring defenses in the Pac 12 currently.  Dependent on which Bo Nix arrives game time on Saturday I believe that Washington State has a chance to win this game outright but with Dan Lanning interested in running the ball to minimize Nix’s turnover opportunities I will yet again play an Oregon under.

The Play: Under 57.5

#10 Arkansas (3-0) at #23 Texas A&M (2-1)

When: 7 PM on 9/24

Line: Texas A&M -2

O/u: 48.5

KJ Jefferson and the Razorbacks were almost caught sleeping last weekend looking ahead to this game as they pulled off a second half come from behind win to remain undefeated. The Aggies right their ship by taking down a highly ranked Miami team that came into town. How luck are these Aggie fans? It can’t get much better than multiple Top 15 night games. Although Texas A&M is the home team this rivalry game is played in Dallas for a mutual site game every year.  Jimbo Fisher seemed much happier with Max Johnson’s play over what he had received from Haynes King over the prior weeks. I trust KJ Jefferson and Arkansas’ offense over what A&M has put on display this year so far but with the inability for both of these teams to push the ball down field I believe the under is a good play.

The Play: Under 48.5

Vanderbilt (3-1) at #2 Alabama (3-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Alabama -40

O/u: 59

I should have seen it last week but I’m not going to miss it this week. Alabama should have been the play last week as opposed to the under as we all know Nick Saban lights a fire under his team after a loss or a close win as everything is a learning experience with this man. Saban knows what can happen to a team if they are caught looking ahead as Alabama plays a Top ranked Arkansas team next. Bryce Young will be set to get back on track to tune up after throwing a few interceptions in last week’s contest. I look for Alabama to put it on them early so that we can get out of dodge with no injuries for their next contest against Arkansas.

The Play: Alabama -40

Wisconsin (2-1) at #3 Ohio State (3-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Ohio State -18.5

O/u: 57

The Ohio State offense we all know and love was finally back this past Saturday against Toledo as the Buckeyes explode for 77 points on the day. Ohio State DC Jim Noles is slowly getting his scheme implemented but still doesn’t have his defense playing like he wants them. As for Wisconsin, the blueprint is out on how to slow this Ohio State team if you watch the recap of their first game against Notre Dame. DC Jim Leonhard will surely be able to take notes from that game as Notre Dame eliminated any plays from going over the top and forced Ohio State to prove they could score through long drives down the field. I would love to play the under again hear but to not pull my hair out rooting for too many unders this weekend I will take the points with the Badgers.

The Play: Wisconsin +18.5

NFL Week 3 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

An unfortunate wash of a weekend in Week 2 as I finish with an average 8-8 record across the board bringing the season total to 17-15 (still up!). This NFL Week 3 slate seems a lot tougher to dissect so join me as we maneuver our way through the board to pick out the best bet from each game!

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-1)

When: 8:15 PM on 9/22

Line: Browns -4.5

O/u: 38.5

A pair of division rivals are set to face off Thursday night to jump start us into Week 3 of NFL action. This Steelers team will look different than the last time Cleveland faced them as they will be missing their defensive star TJ Watt to injury and Hall of Fame QB Big Ben to retirement. The Jacoby Brissett experience has been a roller coaster to start the season as Cleveland finds themselves at .500 currently but could easily be both defeated and undefeated. Pittsburgh’s offense is still pedestrian from last year as OC Matt Canada’s offense refuses to take deep shots down the field but rather play in a 5 yard box away from the line of scrimmage. I rarely encourage taking the under in low totals but with Mitch Trubisky and Jacoby Brissett at the helm I don’t see any other way.

The Play: Under 38.5

Houston Texans (0-1-1) at Chicago Bears (1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Bears -2.5

O/u: 40.5

Two quarterbacks from the 2021 NFL Draft are set to face off for the first time in Davis Mills and Justin Fields. Both teams are projected to have a high pick in next year’s draft but both have been a nice surprise to start this year as Houston has been in both of their first two games and Chicago started off the year with an underdog win. Chicago may be rebuilding but they really need to see what they have in QB Justin Fields as throwing the ball 14 times per game isn’t the best way to evaluate what you have in him. On the other hand, Davis Mills has led Houston down the wire in both of their games but unable to seal the victory come closing time. Cheers to hoping the Bears open their playbook and Houston continues to move the ball down the field. I’m a happy camper to not be tuning into this game on Sunday.

The Play: Over 40.5

Las Vegas Raiders (0-2) at Tennessee Titans (0-2)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Raiders -2.5

O/u: 45.5

Titans HC Mike Vrabel looked absolutely disgusted on the sideline Monday night as Tennessee was pummeled by Buffalo by 34. After losing their home opener on a missed game winning field goal, Tennessee comes back home in an attempt to find their first win of the season welcoming in the also defeated Raiders. Las Vegas was on their way to securing their first win last week but blew a 20-0 lead as Kyler Murray brought back Arizona for their first win. Titans OT Taylor Lewan left Monday’s game early with an injury and will be a player to keep an eye out for as Tennessee will be tasked with keeping their QB upright against Maxx Crosby and Chandler Jones. Although Monday’s loss left an incredibly poor taste in my mouth, I will keep faith in Mike Vrabel to right the ship here at home with the points.

The Play: Titans +2.5

Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Chiefs -6.5

O/u: 49.5

The Colts come into this game still defeated on the year as they are unable to get the monkey off their back losing yet again to Jacksonville in Florida. Keep an eye out for injury updates on Colts WR Michael Pittman as he was unable to play last week and without him Indy is unable to move the ball downfield. Kansas City comes on the road undefeated after an exciting home win Thursday night against the Chargers. The key to beating any star QB is to limit the amount of possessions that team gets and insert variance into the mix hoping for a turnover or two. Indy will lean on the back of their star running back in order to win the time of possession battle and maybe, just maybe, sneak out a win. Colts plus the points is in play here but rather play the under with slow methodical drives sure to come.

The Play: Under 49.5

Buffalo Bills (2-0) at Miami Dolphins (2-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Bills -5.5

O/u: 53.5

Buffalo looks every bit the Super Bowl favorite as they crush the Titans 41-7 in their home opener. As a Dolphins fan, I truly won’t believe they can beat the Bills until they finally do as this team has owned Miami for the past several years. Bills offseason signee Von Miller has seemed to transform their defensive front 7 as they have caused havoc in both games thus far and will be the biggest test for Miami’s new look offensive line. Miami showed off their new offense this past week as they managed to come back down 3 touchdowns in the 4th quarter to overcome Baltimore. Tua had the game of his short career as he threw for over 450 yards and 6 TDs but will need to build off this game as he welcomes Josh Allen and the undefeated Bills. I’m unable to back Miami until they prove it but that doesn’t mean I’m going against them so with too much offensive talent on display give me points and give me a lot of them.

The Play: Over 53.5

Detroit Lions (1-1) at Minnesota Vikings (1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Vikings -6

O/u: 53.5

Minnesota’s offense took a major step back after their Week 1 performance as they looked lost in Philadelphia Monday night. Kirk Cousins looked every bit Primetime Kirk as he continuously threw up turnover worthy balls into the Philadelphia night. Luckily, Minnesota will welcome in a Lions team that has yet to allow less than 27 points in a game thus far. Their defense may be a work in progress, but their offense has been explosive as Detroit has put up over 35 points in each game to start the season. I expect Minnesota’s offense to get back on track behind Justin Jefferson and Dalvin Cook this week while Detroit will continue providing explosive plays on their side of the ball.

The Play: Over 53.5

Baltimore Ravens (1-1) at New England Patriots (1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Ravens -3

O/u: 43

Baltimore comes to New England with a poor taste in their mouth as they let up a 3-touchdown lead in a losing battle against the Dolphins this past Sunday. Lamar Jackson looks like a man looking for a new contract as he was nearly perfect in this game throwing for 3 TDs while adding another one on the ground against Miami. New England was able to find themselves in the win column for the first time this year as they managed to defeat another AFC North team in the Steelers. Although they managed to secure the win, New England’s offense has yet to pop off this year under second year QB Mac Jones which may not be the biggest surprise as the team did little to surround him with weapons this offseason. Baltimore’s defense can’t look any worse after allowing 35 second half points, can they? With minimal weapons on the offensive side of the ball and with running QBs often giving their defense mishaps I don’t love New England in this spot at home.

The Play: Ravens -3 

Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) at New York Jets (1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Bengals -4.5

O/u: 45.5

Super Bowl hangover? Cincinnati looks like a far cry from the team that played in last year’s Super Bowl as they start this year 0-2 and losing to a Dak Prescott-less Cowboys team. Zac Taylor could have easily found himself on the hot seat were it not for Cincinnati’s Super Bowl run last year. Joe Burrow has looked terrified this year running for his life from both TJ Watt and Micah Parsons in his first two games behind what was supposed to be one of the best revamped offensive lines in the league. Disappointed after their second loss, Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase seemed to have choice words calling out their offense. Meanwhile, New York logged their first win of the season last week in a thrilling 13-point comeback in the final 2 minutes of the game. Despite the slow start, Cincinnati will need a commanding victory this week if they have any aspirations this year for another deep playoff run.

The Play: Bengals -4.5

Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Washington Commanders (1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Eagles -6.5

O/u: 47

Jalen Hurts and the Eagles looked impressive on Monday night as they begin their season off 2-0. The Carson Wentz experience in Washington hasn’t been a horrendous start this year as the offense has put up over 24 points in both of their games to start the season. This game will display good against good as Washington’s defensive line will battle Philadelphia’s offensive line in the trenches. Commanders’ defense has been slightly overrated to start the year but if they are able to contain and get pressure on Jalen Hurts with their front 4 anything is possible. Carson Wentz will be looking for redemption against the team that gave up on him as the division dog is alive at home to take this one outright.

The Play: Commanders +6.5

New Orleans Saints (1-1) at Carolina Panthers (0-2)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Saints -3

O/u: 41  

A few different bounces of the ball and Carolina could see themselves as undefeated as opposed to defeated entering this game. The Baker Mayfield led Panthers have looked rather sloppy thus far on offense while the defense, for the most part, has held their own. They welcome in Jameis Winston and the Saints at home as they also look to bounce back after a loss to Tom Brady last weekend. Two major factors in this game to keep an eye out for is if Saints RB Alvin Kamara will play and this game and second is if Jekyll or Hide will be playing QB for New Orleans this week. How New Orleans looks heavily correlates with whether Jameis takes care of the ball or not. If Brian Burns and company can create some short fields off turnovers for the offense then the Panthers can secure their first win this season. One thing is for certain and that is we need more characters like Jameis in the NFL as he gets me excited to watch him on the field and listen to his pressers postgame as well.

The Play: Panthers +3

Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) at Los Angeles Chargers (1-1)

When: 4:05 PM on 9/25

Line: Chargers -7

O/u: 48

Everything in my normal process tells me to lay the points with the Chargers here as the Jaguars are coming across country and 3 time zones to play in this one, but with the way Trevor Lawrence looked in Week 2 I can’t resist in backing this Jacksonville team. Under new regime, Jacksonville looks more composed and more confident out on the field as they are filled with young talent across the field. Keynote to look out for is the health of Justin Herbert as he injured his rib in Los Angeles’ loss last Thursday to Kansas City. If Jaguars do arrive in LA as expected then this game could also lead us to a shootout with the over as a good play as well but give me the young, tough Jaguars here instead.

The Play: Jaguars +7

Los Angeles Rams (1-1) at Arizona Cardinals (1-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/25

Line: Rams -3.5

O/u: 49

The Rams have not looked like the Super Bowl winner from last year as they lose handedly to Buffalo Week 1 and sneak out of LA with a win against the Falcons that should have been a whole lot easier than it was. Los Angeles was up 28-3 with little time remaining in the 3rd quarter but as soon as you look back Atlanta has the ball with a chance to win it at the end. Rams have yet to cover a game this season but that comes to a screeching halt here as Sean Mcvay has owned the Cardinals since he took over as HC for the Rams. Kyler Murray was able to pull off a miraculous comeback last weekend against the Raiders, but his heroics may not be enough this time as he isn’t left with many offensive weapons with Deandre Hopkins suspension and Arizona’s defense often resembling Swiss cheese.

The Play: Rams -3.5

Atlanta Falcons (0-2) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/25

Line: Seahawks -2

O/u: 42

Atlanta has surprised many this year as they have come out in both games and nearly stolen a win against 2 quality teams in the Saints and Rams. Atlanta has been able to move the ball on offense behind first round WR Drake London and with former 1st round pick Kyle Pitts sure to get in the mix soon this offense has the capability to be tough to stop. Meanwhile, Seattle forgot to show up playing the 49ers this week as they looked like a completely different team that played Denver the week prior. Offense seems rather uncapable of creating explosive plays with the unwillingness to throw the ball downfield to star WR DK Metcalf. Definitely not one of the top games I’m looking forward to this weekend, but Atlanta finds themselves in the winners circle for the first time this year.

The Play: Falcons +2

Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0)

When: 4:25 on 9/25

Line: Buccaneers -2

O/U: 41

Much of this game has lost its spark as Tampa Bay will be without many of their key offensive weapons with Mike Evans facing a suspension and Chris Godwin likely out with injury. Aaron Rodgers got the Packers back on track Sunday night as the offense was proficient with the defense stepping up making plays left and right. I wold normally love playing an over as low as this with Rodgers and Brady set to face each other but with both of these defenses being stout units and Tampa missing offensive players I don’t think it’s a smart play here. Rather, I will take the 2 points given to the team up in Greeen Bay as they continue to build off of their win against Chicago.

The Play: Packers +2

San Francisco 49ers (1-1) at Denver Broncos (1-1)

When: 8:20 on 9/25

Line: 49ers -1.5

O/u: 41.5

After losing their starting running back in Week 1, 49ers have the injury bug strike yet again as they lose QB Trey Lance for the rest of the season. Luckily. San Francisco still has last year’s starter Jimmy Garoppolo on the team as he slides back into the starting role. Offense shouldn’t miss a beat with Jimmy behind center as he has been the starter for the past couple years. This 49ers defense is also familiar with their opposing QB as they have faced Russel Wilson for the majority of his career when he was sporting Seahawks colors. 49ers have one of the best defensive lines in football and with a few offensive playmakers missing for Denver I see a slow day moving the ball for Russ. The altitude will surely play a factor on a California based team and with that combined with the 49ers defensive prowess I’m taking the under.

The Play: Under 45

Dallas Cowboys (1-1) at New York Giants (2-0)

When: 8:15 PM on 9/26

Line: Giants -2.5

O/u: 39.5

No Dak Prescott? No problem. The Cowboys find themselves in the winners’ circle for the first time this year after taking down Cincinnati at home. The key to that win was playing mistake free football and leaning on the back of the defense and elite pass rusher Micah Parsons. Dallas is trying to scratch and claw their way to any win they can get to keep their young season alive while awaiting on Dak to return from an injury suffered in Week 1. Meanwhile, the Giants find themselves in unknown territory as they start their season off 2-0 under their new regime. I see this game playing out a lot likeDallas’ prior game with defense causing chaos and forcing Daniel Jones to turn the ball over. Under may be the right play here but I can’t find myself on the side of two under below 40 this week.

The Play: Cowboys +2.5

TGIS Week 3 College Football Preview

OVERALL RECORD: 185-149-1 (55.4%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 14-12-1 (53.8%)

Week 3 Games of the Week (All Times CST)

#12 BYU at #25 Oregon -3.5 – 2:30pm

The big question going into this game is whether wide receivers Puka Nacua and Gunner Romney will play. .. or whether Romney will miss out on Oregon like the 2012 election. During BYU’s game against Baylor they showed some vulnerability against the run. Oregon has a good offensive line which can take advantage of the BYU defensive line. I like Oregon to win.

Pick: Oregon 27-21

#13 Miami +5.5 at #24 Texas A&M – 8:00pm

Can Texas A&M get back on track? After a terrible game against Appalachian State where their offense could not move the ball at all, the Aggies now have the Hurricanes coming to College Station. I’m expecting this to be a very close game. Expect Texas A&M to perform much better this week… but I’m still taking Miami. It comes down to trusting Tyler Van Dyke over Texas A&M. We are not locking this one up though due to the wild card that is Texas A&M football right now.

Pick: Miami 21-20

Top Picks of the Week

Air Force -15 at Wyoming – Friday 7:00pm

Air Force just got done absolutely obliterating Colorado 41-10 and rushing for 435 yards. What does Wyoming not do well? Stop the run. Air Force is an underrated team and who I think will end up winning the Mountain West. Air Force wins big.

#1 Georgia -24 at South Carolina – 11:00am

South Carolina’s offensive line has not been good in the first two games of the season. Now they are facing a vicious Georgia defensive front seven. Georgia took their foot off the pedal last week against Samford because Samford head coach Chris Hatcher gave Kirby Smart his first job. The Dawgs won’t be as nice to South Carolina. Georgia wins big.

Purdue at Syracuse (-0) – 11:00am

If you haven’t noticed, new Syracuse offensive coordinator Robert Anae has flipped this offense around with a new offense. Sean Tucker is one of the most underrated running backs in the nation for the Orange… and why I like them to win at home.

Vanderbilt +2.5 at Northern Illinois – 2:30pm

Northern Illinois has beat Eastern Illinois (FCS) by 7 and lost to Tulsa by 3. No way would I pick them to beat Vanderbilt where quarterback Mike Wright has been impressive. Vanderbilt is a competent team that ends up winning this game.

Kansas +10 at Houston – 3:00pm

Houston has played in two straight overtime games where they have scored at least 30 points. Kansas is also coming off a 55-42 OT win where their defense did not play well. I think both teams will be able to score plenty of points with Kansas keeping it close. Take a Lance Leipold coached team to make this a game.

Texas Tech +10.5 at NC State – 6:00pm

NC State plays a very conservative style of play where winning by double digits is unlikely. Plus this is a very scrappy, decent Tech team that will keep it close. Texas Tech covers (maybe even worth a little money line sprinkle).

Michigan State +3.5 at Washington UNDER 57 – 6:30pm

Jalen Berger and Jarek Broussard are one of the best running back combos in college football for the Spartans. Michigan State is the much better team and you get 3.5 points. Meanwhile, I’m not trusting the untested Washington offense with Michael Penix at quarterback. This is going to be a low scoring Michigan State win.