TGIS College Football Preview – Week 12

OVERALL RECORD: 235-193-8 (54.9%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 64-54-7 (54.2%)

Coming down the final stretch and the battle to go above 55% continues. Last week TGIS was slightly over the 55% mark finishing 5-4-1. This week… we go undefeated. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 12 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

USC at UCLA +2.5 – 7:00pm

This is the best team USC has faced. There will be plenty of points scored, but I trust the UCLA defense a little bit more. The UCLA loss last week against Arizona was a fluke as the Wildcat’s quarterback Jayden De Lauria was making some very lucky hero ball plays. Things get back to normal with a UCLA win.

Game Pick: UCLA 45-41

Top Picks of the Week

#4 TCU at Baylor Over 57.5 – 11:00am

TCU scored 17 points and Baylor only scored 3 points last week, why in the world would I take the Over? Because things get back to normal with Blake Shapen moving this offense and TCU will be able to take advantage of a bad Baylor secondary. Over hits with ease.

Boston College +21 at Notre Dame – 1:30pm

Notre Dame has messed around with bad teams all year and I still don’t trust them to move the ball. 3 touchdowns is too many.

#1 Georgia -22.5 at Kentucky – 2:30pm

Have you seen Will Levis and the Kentucky offense play the last few weeks?

Miami at #10 Clemson UNDER 48.5 – 2:30pm

Miami can’t really score… and neither can Clemson. The under the key number of 48 is the play.

Texas at Kansas +10 –  2:30pm

Not sure if Jalon Daniels is going to play (game-time decision), but Kansas as a double digit dog at home against a Texas team that plays everyone close? Give me Kansas all day.

Iowa at Minnesota OVER 32 – 3:00pm

Defensive touchdowns exist… and Iowa has moved it (a little) better the last few weeks. 32 is the lowest point total I have ever seen so we are going over.

Georgia Tech +21 at North Carolina – 4:30pm

Another ACC team that plays everyone close, Georgia Tech covers the 3 touchdown spread.

Ole Miss -1.5 at Arkansas – 6:30pm

If KJ Jefferson doesn’t play, this line makes no sense. Arkansas can not move the ball with Malik Hornsby. Ole Miss wins comfortably.

Utah at Oregon OVER 60 – 9:30pm

Utah will be able to take advantage against a poor Oregon secondary. I know Bo Nix might not play, but I still think the Ducks can move the ball. Give me the over.

NFL Week 11 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

We are on to Week 11 of NFL action as we welcome back from bye the Bengals, Patriots, Jets, and Ravens. We wave farewell to the Dolphins, Seahawks, Buccaneers, and Jaguars for a week as they look to unwind with a nice drink on the beaches of Mexico. Week 10 brought us good fortune as we end up going 10-4 on the week bringing out season total to 78-69-4 (53%) on the year. Even though we are missing my Miami Dolphins for Week 11 there is still a lot of exciting action to be seen so let’s not waste any time tas we jump right in.

Tennessee Titans (6-3) at Green Bay Packers (4-6)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/17

Line: Packers -3

O/U: 41.5

I wouldn’t quite count out the Packers just yet as they have a chance to make a fun towards one of the Wildcard teams in a weak NFC. The defensive game plan should be simple here for Green Bay as they should load the box to stop Derrick Henry and force Ryan Tannehill to beat you downfield. I loved this line when it was Green Bay -1 but still feel as if the Packers will come out victorious here by 4 and get their season back on track. Green Bay will lean on their ground game here to keep a strong Tennessee defensive line at bay led by star Defensive Tackel Jeffrey Simmons. Simmons can turn just about any game plan upside down with his pressure coming from the inside but as long as Green Bay is able to establish the run and let Aaron Rodgers facilitate to his playmakers outside then this one should get us to the window.

The Play: Packers -3

Chicago Bears (3-7) at Atlanta Falcons (4-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Falcons -3

O/U: 50

The script has flipped for Chicago as they started the year off sluggish on offenser but have since found their groove scoring 28 or more in their last 4 games. Justin Fields has shown to be a threat with his legs as he’s able to break away from defenders in the open field with his blazing speed. I would normally play the over here given that Chicago has one of the worst defenses in the NFL but don’t think Atlanta’s offense has enough firepower to take advantage. I’m playing the Bears with the points here as I grab a key number of 3 looking towards Chicago to keep this one close with a field goal late deciding the winner.

The Play: Bears +3

Cleveland Browns (3-6) at Buffalo Bills (6-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Bills -8.5

O/U: 43.5

I would keep an eye out on the weather forecast in Western New York come Sunday afternoon as this total has already moved 3.5 points because of over 3 feet of snow predicted in the forecast. If the snow comes then that would point towards this game being controlled more on the ground than through the air which favors the Browns here who have one of the best rushing attacks in the NFL bolstered by RB Nick Chubb. Buffalo is built to play through the air utilizing on eof the best quarterbacks in the league in Josh Allen. Snow will surely have an ipact on the passing attack and with Buffalo’s rushing attack being one of the worst in the NFL that leads me to grabbing the points here with Cleveland. Note: Buffalo’s run offense isn’t strong on paper as they lean on Josh Allen and the passing game to do most of their work for them.

The Play: Browns +8.5

Philadelphia Eagles (8-1) at Indianapolis Colts (4-5-1)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Eagles -6.5

O/U: 45

Finally, Washington takes down the undefeated Eagles in Week 10 as the 1972 Miami Dolphins can pop their champagne as they are still the only undefeated team in NFL history. Washington ran the ball on the Eagles over 40 times Monday night owning the time of possession battle an dlimiting the amount of possessions Philadelphia’s explosive offense could have. Philly will still be without DT Jordan Davis in this one which is a big concern as their rushing defense greatly drops when they are without the rookie defensive lineman. I believe the Eagles win this one but Indy will follow the same recipe that Washington did on Monday night giving a heavy dose of Jonathan Taylor to this Eagles defense. Eagles get back in the win column but Interim HC Jeff Saturday is 2-0 against the spread.

The Play: Colts +6.5

New York Jets (6-3) at New England Patriots (5-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Patriots -3

O/U: 38.5

Both teams should be coming into this one well rested a they are coming off a Week 10 bye. This will be their second time playing this year with the first going New England’s way late in the second half. This game will depend mightily on the shoulders and mind of QB Zach Wilson. Wilson has been prone to costly turnovers over the course of his young career but if he is able to minimize those mistakes then New York should find themselves within the number here and even in the winners circle. Under is also a good play here with both defenses being strong but with it being difficult to beat teams twice in the NFL I ultimately land on grabbing the points with the road dog.

The Play: Jets +3

Los Angeles Rams (3-6) at New Orleans Saints (3-7)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Saints -4

O/U: 38.5

When you thought Los Angeles season couldn’t get any worse they are hit with new s of Coope rKupp heading to the IR for a minimum of 4 weeks. Ultimately, I expect Kupp to be shut down for the rest of the season because in 4 weeks time the Rams should be nearing elimination for the playoffs and shouldn’t risk further injury from their star WR. Luckily for the Rams, they should be getting their star QB back as Matthew Stafford is set to return from injury but is welcomed by an offense without his morning cup of coffee friend. New Orleans should be able to quiet a stagnant Rams offense throughout the afternoon and once the Saints get a lead behind their offensive weapons they will end up taking the air out of the football getting out of dodge with a win and an under victory. 2022 season is over for Los Angeles but they pushed all of their chips in to secure a Super Bowl last year so who really can complain.

The Play: Under 38.5

Detroit Lions (3-6) at New York Giants (7-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Giants -3

O/U: 46

The Play: Over 46

Carolina Panthers (3-7) at Baltimore Ravens (6-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Ravens -12

O/U: 43

The bye week came at a great time for Baltimore as they have been it with the injury bug an offense over the past few weeks. I expect Coach Harbaugh to have a good game plan to face off against poor Panthers team which is looking more into 2023 than this year. Carolina will look to establish the ground game and if Baltimore is successful in shutting that down then they should have a relatively easy afternoon making QB PJ Walker beat them through the air. I normally hate laying a spread this high but see value in a well rested Ravens team putting it to a bottom feeder team in the Panthers right now.

The Play: Ravens -12

Washington Commanders (5-5) at Houston Texans (1-7-1)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Commanders -3

O/U: 40.5

Commanders take down the once undefeated Eagles on Monday night football and now travel on the road to face a bad Houston team. Houston has one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL which should see a heavy dose of both Brian Robinson Jr and Antonio Gibson throughout the afternoon as Washington will look to get themselves above .500 and back in the playoff push. Washington rushed over 40 times against the Eagles and I expect more of the same here against Houston. Washington’s defense is vulnerable more through the air as opposed to the ground game as they have one of the better defensive lines in the league but I don’t see Davis Mills being able to take advantage of a skeptical Washington secondary.

The Play: Commanders -3

Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) at Denver Broncos (3-6)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/20

Line: Broncos -2.5

O/U: 41.5

I end up shocking myself here as I’m laying the points here with Denver as opposed to playing the under which I have grown accustomed to in Broncos games. I expect star DB Patrick Surtain to end up following WR Devante Adams over the course of the afternoon quieting Derek Carr’s favorite target. One of the main reasons I love the Broncos in this spot her is the home field advantage of the altitude. Denver is used to their altitude as they deal with it on a daily asis but road teams coming in get wiped out from the altitude and end up drained come 4th quarter which is when Denver will secure this win for us. Denver will be without WR Jerry Jeudy which isn’t great for an already shaky offense but I will put my faith in Russel Wilson to make enough plays late to get us to the window.

The Play: Broncos -2.5

Dallas Cowboys (6-3) at Minnesota Vikings (8-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/20

Line: Cowboys -1

O/U: 47.5

Trends are meant to be broken. A year ago Minnesota was victim to falling short in 1 score games but the script has flipped as they have dominated in that category so far thi season. They managed to escape out of Buffalo with a win after trailing by 3 scores late in the 3rd quarter. They have an exciting offense headlined by star WR Justin Jefferson who very well may have earned himself the title of best WR in the NFL. I’m looking forward to the matchup between Jefferson and star DB Trevon Diggs. Both teams are coming off overtime games last week which should lead to some exhaustion playing another 10 minutes of brutal football. Cowboys fell short to Green Baay last weekend but find themselves back in the win column as they take down  one of the top dogs in the NFC.

The Play: Cowboys -1

Cincinnati Bengals (5-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/20

Line: Bengals -5

O/U: 41

TJ Watt is back for Pittsburgh and seems like he hasn’t missed a beat helping the Steelers overcome New Orleans last week at home. Cincy will still be without star WR Ja’Marr Chase here as he is still recovering from an injury suffered a month earlier. I expect the Steelers defense to have a great impact on this game similarly to what they did to Joe Burrow and Cincy earlier in the season in Week 1. Even without Chase, Cincy has playmakers sprinkled throughout their offense which makes them difficult to stop but have shown to be stagnant at times. Under is also a good play here with Pittsburgh having a great defense combined with a relatively robust offense behind rookie QB Kenny Pickett. Pickett has shown flashes of excellence but quickly followed by rookie mistakes which makes it hard to back Pittsburgh’s offense. Cincy comes back to Ohio with a win but fail to cover.

The Play: Steelers +5

Kansas City Chiefs (7-2) at Los Angeles Chargers (5-4)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/20

Line: Chiefs -7.5

O/U: 50

We are getting close to having must win games for Los Angeles here soon as a loss here will bring the Bolts back down to .500 and in jeopardy of falling further in the standings. Both WR’s Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are practicing this week for Los Angeles and eyeing a return to action Sunday Night against Kansas City but another week of rest could be beneficial for both players with their given injuries. Similarly to last Sunday night, I will be grabbing the touchdown number here plsu the hook as I believe Justin Herbert and the Chargers keep this one within one score with the winner being decided late in the 4th quarter. Injuries have decimated this Chargers season thus far but with a win here they find themselves right back into the thick of it for the late season playoff push.

The Play: Chargers +7.5

San Francisco 49ers (5-4) at Arizona Cardinals (4-6)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/21 (Mexico)

Line: 49ers -8

O/U: 43.5

We had outside of the United States yet again as these NFC West rivals head down to Mexico city fo this contest. It’s looking like Arizona will be without their franchise QB yet agin as Kyler Murray looks to be sidelined with injury. I was planning on grabbing the points with the underdog if Kyler wound up playing aswe’ve seen this elite 49ers defense to struggle some against QBs who can make plays with their legs and go off script. Ultimately, I landed on the under here as 49ers should be able to hush Arizona’s offense with a backup QB at the helm. With not a lot of threat in a shootout I expect 49ers to run the ball while on offense to kill clock and shorten the game quickly behind the use of Christian Mccaffrey and Elijah Mitchell. Mexico unfortunately gets a snooze fest as we find ourselves with an under ticket in hand.

The Play: Cardinals +8

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 11

OVERALL RECORD: 230-189-7 (54.9%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 59-50-6 (54.1%)

It is hard to win bets later in the year. Vegas has pinpointed these teams and lines where finding variance is tough. The last two weeks TGIS has finished 5-5…. we will find the advantage this week though. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 11 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#4 TCU +7.5 at #18 Texas – 6:30pm

The ultimate battle of two opposite teams. Texas starts fast and blows leads. TCU starts slow and comes back. We love TCU to backdoor cover this.

Pick: Texas 34-31

Top Picks of the Week

East Carolina +5.5 at Cincinnati – Friday 7:00pm

East Carolina beat UCF by 21 and is a legitimate team with Holton Ahlers at QB. Meanwhile, we have been fading Cincinnati all year. I like the moneyline sprinkle here too… ECU easy money.

Colorado +34.5 at #9 USC – Friday 8:30pm

Way too many points for this bad USC defense. I know Colorado is bad, but even they can score on USC.

#7 LSU -3 at Arkansas – Saturday 11:00am

LSU is coming off a huge win against Alabama. Arkansas is coming off a terrible loss to Liberty. I don’t understand how the line is only 3 points… LSU is the pick here.

#6 Alabama -11.5 at #11 Ole Miss – 2:30pm

The Ole Miss defense is totally banged up. Expect a similar result of the Mississippi State game after the Tennessee loss.

Wisconsin at Iowa Under 36 – 2:30pm

Neither offense will be able to score on the opposing defense. Expect a defensive battle and low scoring game.

#22 UCF at #16 Tulane -1.5 – 2:30pm

Not sure if John Rhys Plumlee or Mickey Keene is starting at QB for UCF. Doesn’t matter, I like Tulane’s defense against both of them.

#3 Georgia -16.5 at Mississippi State – 6:00pm

Kirby Smart and Nick Saban both have the formula to play defense against Mike Leach. Expect a blowout.

#15 North Carolina at Wake Forest -3.5 – 6:30pm

North Carolina allowed Virginia to score 28 points… Wake Forest might score a million.

Florida State -6.5 at Syracuse – 7:00pm

This Syracuse team is reeling after losing their starting quarterback and their best defensive player. Seminoles in a blowout.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 11

By: Nick Radivoj

We are on to Week 11 of College Football as we were welcomed with another upset from Week 10 with LSU taking down Alabama and now controlling their own destiny to reach Atlanta for the SEC Championship game and a College Football Playoff berth. Last week provided us with a wash of a weekend going 5-5 bringing the season total to 53-46-1 (53.5%) on the year. Plenty of Top 25 matchups and opportunities for teams to play spoiler late in the season here so let’s get to it!

Missouri (4-5) at #5 Tennessee (8-1)

When: 12 PM on 11/12

Line: Tennessee -21

O/U: 56.5

Tennessee’s reign as the number 1 team in the country was short lived as they fall to Georgia on the road. Not all hope is lost because if they handle their business they can find themselves sneaking through the backdoor to the College Football Playoff party. I’ll take Tennessee to cover in a blowout here as the offense gets back on track after being quieted by a top Georgia defense. Star WRs Hiyatt and Tillman will get back in their groove and start looking like star wideouts again. Missouri falls on the road big.

The Play: Tennessee -21

#7 LSU (7-2) at Arkansas (5-4)

When: 12 PM on 11/12

Line: LSU -3

O/U: 64

LSU won their biggest game of the season to date taking down Alabama and now controlling their own destiny to find themselves in Atlanta playing for an SEC Championship game. They now need to shake off the excitement and get ready for their next biggest game of the season as they still need to handle the business in front of them – can the young team do it? I’m grabbing the key number of 3 here with the Razorbacks as this team often loves to play spoiler and can see them doing it yet again to someone at home. They face a similar attack in practice everyday as both teams are led by running QBs so that should give them an advantage there. I’m not in love with this play here but with fans storming the field and players going crazy for a win last week at home cwill they be able to get up for this game?

The Play: Arkansas +3

Oklahoma (5-4) at West Vrginia (3-6)

When: 12 PM on 11/12

Line: Oklahoma -8

O/U: 66

Definitely not the story book start for this Oklahoma regime afte taking over for longtime HC Lincoln Riley but the season isn’t over yet with plenty of time to right the ship for the future. I expect more of the same here in this one as Oklahoma’s offense behind QB Dillon Gabriel. The issue doesn’t lie with the offense but more so the defense as throughout the entire year they’ve shown uncapable of stopping opposing offenses. West Virginia doesn’t offer a whole lot but score is one thing that they can do. I believe this game will illustrate perfectly what Big 12 football has been over the years in  a shootout to the finish line.

The Play: Over 66

#9 Alabama (7-2) at #11 Ole Miss (8-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 11/12

Line: Alabama -12

O/U: 63.5

One of the easier plays of the weekend as I will be laying the points here with Alabama. Alabama has been one of the most talented teams throughout the year but just hasn’t been able to put it all together on the field. Their SEC West champion hopes are dwindling away and are in the hands of others as opposed to controlling their own destiny. I expect Nick Saban to get Bryce Young and this team ready as the remainder of these games could be as an audition for both players and coordinators as I expect some shakeups to be made here in the offseason. Ole Miss offense is mainly through the ground game and being one dimensional I expect Bamaa to be able to lock in on Dart and the ground attack. Any hopes Alabama does have for a late season run needs to be showcased here as they take care of business.

The Play: Alabama -12

#22 UCF (7-2) at #17 Tulane (8-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 11/12

Line: Tulane -2

O/U: 54.5

A Top 25 matchup most no one would have predicted entering this season as UCF and Tulane square off in a battle to see who will be leading the AAC. I will be fading Gus Malzahn in this spot here as  hi soffense seems to be rather 1 dimensional these days with the Knights. I’m hoping that UCF QB John Rhys Plumlee is cleared to start this game as Tulane will look to load the box to stop the rushing attack since Plumlee isn’t the most dangerous of threats to throw the ball. Green Wave keep their streak alive and take down the Knights from Florida.

The Play: Tulane -2

#1 Georgia (9-0) at Mississippi State (6-3)

When: 7 PM on 11/12

Line: Georgia -16.5

O/U: 53.5

The National Champion Georgia Bulldogs find themselves atop of the College Football world yet again after taking down then #1 Tennessee in dominating fashion at home. The offense seemed to be clicking on all cylinders along with the defense. Georgia was able to shut down Tennessee explosive passing game and I expect more of the same here as Kirby Smart will be able to develop a game plan to shut down the Bulldog’s air raid attack. Georgia gets out of Starkville with a 3 score lead with their eyes still on the prize for another National Championship run.

The Play: Georgia -16.5

#25 Washington (7-2) at #6 Oregon (8-1)

When: 7 PM on 11/12

Line: Oregon -13.5

O/U: 72.5

An exciting Pac 12 matchup awaits in Eugene, Oregon this weekend in what could showcase the team that ends up coming out victorious in the Pac 12. These offenses showcase some skilled offensive play led by QBs Bo Nix for Oregon and Michael Penix for Washington. Penix has been an exciting revelation for what used to be a relatively unexciting Washington offense. Meanwhile, Bo Nix looks like a completely different person from his days at Auburn as he has been lighting up the scoreboards and opponents this season. Oregon’s early season loss might be explained away as a first time Head Coach led by a transfer QB not quite clicking on all cylinders right off the bat. I expect more of the same here as Oregon should pile over 040 points and with Penix and the Huskies playing catchup I see this one heading over on yet another high total of the weekend.

The Play: Over 72.5

#19 Kansas State (6-3) at Baylor (6-3)

When: 7 PM on 11/12

Line: Baylor -2.5

O/U: 53

I’m expecting Big 12 style football to show up yet again as this one will be going over the total. I would prefer to have a clearer depiction of who will be starting behind center for the Wildcats but still believe that Kansas State will move the ball down the field to provide us with a shootout. Meanwhile, the Bears have shown over the past month of football that their offense can stand toe to toe with most anyone in College Football. Winner reaches the 30 mark and loser isn’t far too behind as we go over the total.

The Play: Over 53

#4 TCU (9-0) at #18 Texas (6-3)

When: 7:30 PM on 11/12

Line: Texas -7

O/U: 64.5

Texas ha showcased week in and out that they have some of the most talent in College Football but also display why they have 3 losses som far on the season. They are a young talented team who haven’t quite figured out yet how to win a tight game. Meanwhile, TCU stays unbeaten managing to hold off Texas Tech winning 34-24. The score doesn’t do the game much justice as it was tied for relatively most of the afternoon. Star WR Quentin Johnston exited the game early against Texas Tech and was aunable to return impacting the Horned Frog offense greatly as they didn’t look the same bit explosive without him. Keep an eye out on any injury update regarding the star WR because if he can’t suit up and play then this one won’t be close.  I feel as if the spread is taking that injury into consideration so as will I. I’m playing the under here as we won’t be getting an afternoon of trading touchdowns but rather methodically driving the ball and if Johnston plays he surely won’t be 100 percent.

The Play: Under 64

#15 North Carolina (8-1) at Wake Forest (6-3)

When: 7:30 PM on 11/12

Line: Wake Forest -3.5

O/U: 76.5

Never in my wildest dreams would I think I would find myself suggesting an over with a total this high but alas here I am. This could prove to be one of the most exciting games of this football season ans it delivers us with two exciting offenses led by two talented QBs in Drake Maye for North Carolina and Sam Hartman for Wake Forest. Both teams find themselves staring at the mirror here as they have high powered offenses but defenses that struggle mightily. I don’t expect either one of these teams to have much success stopping the other and believe both teams could reach the 40 point threshold here.

The Play: Over 76.5

NFL Week 10 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

We are officially into Week 10 action as we welcome the Broncos, Browns, Cowboys, Giants, Steelers, and 49ers from their bye. We wave goodbye to the Bengals, Jets, Patriots , and Ravens to their bye week and to Week 9 overall as we went 5-7-1 on the weekend bringing out season total to 68-65-4 (51%) on the year. We have been hovering near the 50% mark throughout the year so let’s dive into Week 10 to take us over the hump.

Atlanta Falcons (4-5) at Carolina Panthers (2-7)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/10

Line: Falcons -3

O/U: 44

PJ Walker gets the nod again to start at QB for the Panthers which surprisingly may be a good thing for this offense. He has shown flashes of good play but we see in the end why he isn’t an NFL starting QB. I will be grabbing the points here with the Panthers at home to cover in a game in which they should have won against the Falcons 2 weeks ago. Both teams do not provide too much explosion on the offensive side of the ball so hopefully we can get an exciting Thursday Night Football game to keep us thrilled.

The Play: Panthers +3

Seattle Seahawks (6-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5)

When: 9:30 AM on 11/13 (Germany)

Line: Buccaneers -2.5

O/U: 44.5

The NFL heads over to Germany to showcase a Geno Smith versus Tom Brady matchup. Surprsignly, Seattle has been the better team this year behind a late career breakout from Geno Smith who has displayed a brilliant command of this offense utilizing his weapons outside and new toy in RB Kenneth Walker. Walker is always a threat to break off an explosive play but will be going up against an above average Bucs run defense. Tom Brady may have found something in TE Cade Ottin who helped them to take down The Rams last week at home providing a sparkto this Bucs offense.

The Play: Buccaneers -2.5

Minnesota Vikings (7-1) at Buffalo Bills (6-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Bills -6

O/U: 46

The football world took a deep breath in unison last week as Josh Allen suffered an injury to his UCL on his throwing arm in last weeks loss to the Jets. It looks like the injury won’t be too serious and that Allen will look to play through but I don’t expect this offense to bring back all of the explosive plays 1 week after suffering this injury. Buffalo is a tough place to play and DC Leslie Frazier for the Bills will have a good gameplan schemed up to slow down an exciting Vikings offense with Justin Jefferson and Dalvin Cook. I wish I could have offered an under earlier in the week with a key number of 47 and 48 available but still feel this goes under the total.

The Play: Under 46

Detroit Lions (2-6) at Chicago Bears (3-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Bears -3

O/U: 48.5

One of the most explosive offenses over the past month going up against one of the worst defenses in the NFL brings me to an easy pick as I will be playing the over here. Chicago has scored 29 points or more the past 3 games facing the Cowboys, Patriots, and Dolphins throughout that stretch and should find themselves north of 20 yet agin. Detroit was able to shut down a Packers offense last week but the numbers are misleading as Green Bay had 3 turnovers inside Detroits side of the field causing a misleading number. Detroit’s explosive offense has quieted down since what they showed earlier in the year bt are going up Chicago who isn’t the terrifying defense we all love and remember.

The Play: Over 48.5

Denver Broncos (3-5) at Tennessee Titans (5-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Titans -3

O/U: 39

Death, taxes, and going under in a Denver Broncos football game. It’s possible that Denver got the offense back on track and clicking during the bye week but we can only use the data we have from throughout this season. Patrick Surtain will be looking for work this afternoon as he is used most afternoons to lock down opposing star WRs and with Tennessee not having on eof those I’m curious who they have him lined up against. I expect a heavy dose of Derrick Henry in this game with their still being doubts on who starts behind center for the Titans. Both teams burn clock as we get out of dodge under the total.

The Play: Under 39

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Chiefs -9.5

O/U: 50.5

If I were to set the line of Trevor Lawrence turnovers in this game at 1.5 would you take the over or the under? I would take the over here which is why I will be laying the points with Kansas City here. Kansas City shouldn’t have issues moving tehb all on a young Jaguars defense and taking advantage of short fields from Jaguars turnovers they should find themselves up quick. Jacksonville is an exciting young team with a bright future over the next few years but they are still a ways away from making noise. Trevor Lawrence struggles to not turn the ball over and seems rather defeated when that happens and the team gets down in a game. I will take the experience with Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes to get us to the window.

The Play: Chiefs -9.5

Cleveland Browns (3-5) at Miami Dolphins (6-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Dolphins -4

O/U: 48.5

Miami comes back after taking home 2 road wins against NFC North opponents in the Lions and Bears. Both games ended rather closer than they should have but the Dolphins have shown capable to close games out late. Miami’s passing defense has been shaky at best throughout the season but is going up against a former QB of theirs in Jacoby Brisset. Miami should have good knowledge of how to impact Jacoby throughout this game and should focus their defensive game plan on loading the box to stop running backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Cleveland’s defense has allowed big plays all year and I expect more of the same this weekend with Miami’s high powered offense coming back home. Miami covers here and takes their 3rd win in a row.

The Play: Dolphins -4

Houston Texans (1-6-1) at New York Giants (6-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Giants -6

O/U: 40.5

One of the more unappealing games in the Sunday afternoon slate which I hoope not to have on my screen besides scoring plays. New York is coming off a bye an dshould be well rested with a good game plan to attack this Houston defense. I expect several big plays to be made from RB Saquon Barkley over the course of the afternoon and for the Texans to be playing from behind yet again. They will be forced to throw the ball and either leading to scores or potential turnovers as we are gunning for the over here.

The Play: Over 40.5

New Orleans Saints (3-6) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line:  Saints -2.5

O/U: 41.5

New Orleans drops on Monday Night football giving up 27 points to a Baltimore offense who was without 4 of their top contributors on offense. New Orleans as able to shut down the Raiders offense the week prior but came back to their norm as they have been a bad ddefense over the 9 weeks we have playes so far. Pittsburgh will slowly add more on to the plate of rookie QB Kenny Pickett as he gets his professional legs underneath him. New Orleans will air the ball out on offense utilizing their new weapon in rookie WR Chris Olave. Both teams find themselves over 20 aswe find ourselves with a winning play of over.

The Play: Over 41.5

Indianapolis Colts (3-5-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (2-6)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/13

Line: Raiders -6.5

O/U: 42.5

A new regime is underway in Indy as former C Jeff Saturday now takes the reigns as interim Head Coach for the Colts. Meanwhile, Las Vegas has a coach of their own on the hot seat as the Raiders blow another lead to the Jaguars last weekend. Las Vegas looked to be running away with a win having a 3 score lead last weekend which slowly faded away into a 27-20 loss by the hands of Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars. Las Vegas has too much talent on offense to be getting shutout in a half let alone an entire game from a couple weeks back. This gaem screams to take Vegas but I will take the points with a new Interim HC trying to make a name for himself in todays NFL.

The Play: Colts +6.5

Dallas Cowboys (6-2) at Green Bay Packers (3-6)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/13

Line: Cowboys -5

O/U: 43

R-e-l-a-x. Relax! This isn’t your Packers team of old and I very well could be falling into a trap here but I will put my faith in Aaron Rodgers to have this team in a position to win late going up against his former coach. If the Packers have any late season aspirations then it starts and ends with this game because if they fall to 7 losses on the season it will show to be too much to overcome even for a Hall of Fame QB like Aaron Rodgers. All the numbers and all the outlying stats point towards the Cowboys winning this coming off a bye but I will put my faith one final time in the team that resides in Green Bay. If you want to stay away from this side then an under play could also prove to be good here as Dallas has a Top 10 defense in the NFL and Green Bay has played better as of late.

The Play: Packers +5

Arizona Cardinals (3-6) at Los Angeles Rams (3-5)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/13

Line: Rams -3

O/U: 43.5

I’m laying the points with the Rams here at home which may cause some unease in most people’s stomachs but not mine. Sean Mcvay has shown that he has dominated the Cardinals in his tenure as Head Coach of the Rams and I think that trend continues here with Los Angeles finally finding themselves in the win column. Los Angeles has come out hot the past few games scoring on their opening scripts but the offensive efficiency has fallen over the course of the game late in the second half. They need to figure out how best to utilize the talent they have on the team as the trade deadline has come and gone and no reinforcemnts are coming to help ease the storm. I expect Jalen Ramsey to follow WR Deandre Hopkins throughout the afternoon and if he is able to control him then the Cardinals don’t have a plethora of weapons to lean on to move the ball. LA finally gets a win as Kliff Kingsbury’s seat gets hotter by the week in the Arizona sun.

The Play: Rams -3

Los Angeles Chargers (5-3) at San Francisco 49ers (4-4)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/13

Line: 49ers -7

O/U: 46

Ultimately, I believe the 49ers win this game in what could be a blow out but I will be grabbing a key number of 7 here hoping the Chargers can keep this one close late. Los Angeles is crippled right no win the receiving room missing both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams but if you are one fo the best in the leagues then you will find a way to keep this one close. I have faith in Justin Herbert to attack San Francisco’s defense and keep this one within one score. 49ers shouldn’t have too much trouble moving the ball on a weak Chargers’ run defense so playing nan over card in this game may also be a good play. I’m excited to sit back as a fan to watch how Kyle Shanahan will use the combination of Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel.

The Play: Chargers +7

Washington Commanders (4-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (8-0)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/14

Line: Eagles -11

O/U: 44

Everything here screams to take Eagles to cover the points here but I will be taking the divisional dog here as the Commanders cover 11. One of the best parts of the Commanders’ defense is their rushing defense which will be going up against one of the best rushing offenses in the NFL. Commanders have shown they are capable to hang with most teams but not quite finish out at the finish line. Philadelphia almost caught slipping last week against Houston with Damian Pierce running wild against their stout defense with Washington hopefully able to do the same.

The Play: Commanders +11

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 10

OVERALL RECORD: 225-184-7 (55%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 54-45-6 (54.5%)

There were so many close loses and bad beats last week. Still, TGIS finished 5-5. We will look to go undefeated on College Football’s BIGGEST weekend. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 10 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#1 Tennessee at #3 Georgia UNDER 66.5

Georgia has seen all the game film on the Tennessee offense. Guess what? The key is to not let Jalin Hyatt get deep. This Georgia secondary is plenty talented to keep Tennessee from breaking open the flood gates. On the offensive side of the ball, I see Georgia running the ball and having a conservative offensive game plan. I don’t see this being a shootout like the Alabama/Tennessee game, but think it will still be a classic.

Game Pick: Georgia 34-24

Top Picks of the Week

Duke -10 at Boston College – Friday 6:00pm

Boston College is literally using defensive lineman to play offensive line.. After losing to UConn 13-3, we are all over Duke.

Air Force vs Army Under 40.5 – 10:30am

Academy service unders are 42-9-1. Just take the under and take the win.

#17 North Carolina -7 at Virginia – 11:00am

This line went from -11 to -7 after defensive players Noah Taylor and Des Evans were announced out for the season… the shift in the line is way too big. I cannot imagine Virginia’s offense being able to keep up with the Drake Maye-led North Carolina offense.

Texas Tech +9.5 at #7 TCU -11:00am

This line is too big. The key is to take Baylor’s 45-17 win last week against the Red Raiders with a grain of salt as Baylor was able to confuse Texas Tech quarterback Behren Morton with scheme diversity. I don’t think TCU’s 90th ranked defense can do that. Texas Tech will keep this game tight and this is worth a moneyline sprinkle at +275.

Navy +20 at Cincinnati – 3:00pm

20 points is too many for this Cincinnati team who has messed around with bad teams before (specifically South Florida). Navy keeps this close.

#24 Texas at #13 Kansas State OVER 54 – 6:00pm

You just saw the Wildcats scorch Oklahoma State’s defense winning 48-0. I like Texas to score some points coming off the bye week in what is a pivotal game to see who will take control of who will go to the Big 12 championship. Over 54 all day.

#6 Alabama -12.5 at #10 LSU – 6:00pm

Alabama needed the bye week. I can see this being a statement game for the Tide who flat out do not lose when they play at Tiger Stadium (Bryant-Denny West). Jayden Daniels won’t be ready for this Tide defense. With the line under two touchdowns, give me the Tide.

#5 Clemson -3.5 at Notre Dame – 6:30pm

I have no idea how Notre Dame will move it on Clemson. The key is to attack Notre Dame’s secondary which I can’t see Notre Dame doing. Further, the Fighting Irish’s win against Syracuse was kind of fraudulent after Syracuse QB went out of the game. I’m all over Clemson in this one and believe they will win comfortably.

Florida State -7 at Miami – 6:30pm

There was exactly zero touchdowns scored in the Miami and Virginia 14-12 (4OT) game. Miami’s QB Jake Garcia has a lot of talent, but is not developed yet. Miami’s offense won’t be able to keep their scoring up with Jordan Travis and Florida State. Florida State -7.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 10

By: Nick Radivoj

We enter Week 10 of the College Football season which also brings us the first ranking of the College Football poll. A shake up inside the Top 3 as Tennesssee finds themselves atop the College Football landscape for the first time in decades. Before jumping into Week 10 action let’s recap the week that was. Week 9 brought us a 4-5-1 record on the week bringing us to 48-41-1 (54%) on the season. We have multiple exciting Top 10 matchups this weekend so let’s not waste anymore time and jump in to the action.

Texas Tech (4-4) at #7 TCU (8-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/5

Line: TCU -9.5

O/U: 69.5

TCU has been one of the more exciting revelations in College Football this season behind their high-powered offense. U OC Garrett Riley might have a familiar name to most as he is brother of offensive mastermind Lincoln Riley. Garrett has shown that the apple hasn’t fallen far from the family tree as TCU displays one of the best offenses in football week in and out. TCU has aspirations of bigger things in the playoffs but needs to play one week at a time as we’ve seen throughout this season that any team can fall on any given Saturday. TCU went on the road and won by 10 last weekend behind QB Max Duggan’s big day but the score may be a little misleading as the game was close the entire time and got stretched to 10 points with under a minute left to play. Texas Tech got throttled by Baylor at home by 28 points and I’m unsure how we don’t see more of the same this week as they travel on the road to face an undefeated TCU team. I was leaning towards a potential under here but see this Horned Frogs team winning by double digits against their in state rival.

The Play: TCU -9.5

#17 North Carolina (7-1) at Virginia (3-5)

When: 12 PM on 11/5

Line: North Carolina -7.5

O/U: 59

It’s looking like a potential North Carolina Clemson matchup awaits us in early December to determine who will win the ACC. North Carolina behind first year starting QB Drake Maye has looked every bit the part this year on offense but seem to struggle on the defensive side of the ball. Virginia has been one of the bottom teams in the ACC this year and doesn’t have the weapons on offense to be able to expose North Carolina consistently throughout the 60 minutes of this contest. This line started at 9.5 earlier in the week with money coming in on the Cavaliers to bring it back down to 7. I will gladly take one of the high powered offenses in the ACC to run away with this one as Virginia won’t be able to hold serve against the Tar Heels. Virginia couldn’t surpass 12 points with 4 overtimes against Miami last Saturday while North Carolina can put up over 12 points in under 4 minutes.

The Play: North Carolina -7

Florida (4-4) at Texas A&M (3-5)

When: 12 PM on 11/5

Line: Texas A&M -3

O/U: 54

This play is based more on outside factors of a program needing a win more than what is displayed on the field. Jimbo Fisher got more out of QB Conner Weigman than he’s gotten all year from Max Johnson or Haynes King so Texas A&M may have finally found their stride on offense. Both teams are coming off losses from last week but while A&M can stay at home Florida has to return from Jacksonville then head west to play this game in College Station. Florida QB Anthony Richardson seemed a little hobbled against Georgia beind a minimal threat on the ground to run and without that threat he becomes very one dimensional ass a limited passing QB at this point in his career. Jimbo and this Aggie program needs a win and can’t fall to 3-6 after the strides they had in last years recruiting cycle.

The Play: Texas A&M -3

#1 Tennessee (8-0) at #3 Georgia (8-0)

When: 3:30 PM

Line: Georgia -8.5

O/U: 65.5

After 8 weeks of undefeated football, I finally am a believer of this Tennessee football team. They may not pull off the upset inside Athens, but I think they keep this one within the number. Unfortunate for Georgia as they lose one of their top defensive players in Nolan Smith for the season before their biggest game of the year. Nolan is a key contributor to Georgia’s defense and one of the biggest leaders as this is his 4th year in the program. Meanwhile, Tennessee got star WR Cedric Tillman back from an ankle injury to pair with breakout speedster Jalin Hyatt. QB Hendon Hooker has displayed a mastery of this offense as he can beat you threw the air and then pick up first downs on the ground when everything is defended perfectly on the back end. Georgia’s speed on defense will be something that Tennessee hasn’t faced all year but when their hurry up offense gets going it’s hard for anyone to stop. Georgia will need their offense to snap back into shape as QB Stetson Bennett has looked shaky over the past few weeks throwing a pair of interceptions last week against Florida. Florida doesn’t have the offensive firepower to take advantage of mistakes but this Volunteer defense does.

The Play: Tennessee +8.5

#18 Oklahoma State (6-2) at Kansas (5-3)

When: 3:30 PM on 11/5

Line: Oklahoma State -2

O/U: 65.5

Oklahoma State is looking for revenge on the state of Kansas in this game as they suffered a beat down of 48-0 by the hands of Kansas State last week. QB Spencer Sanders was under pressure all afternoon by Wildcat defenders but should face an easier time in this one as Kansas doesn’t have nearly as talented a defensive line as their in state counterparts. Kansas showed to have offensive firepower earlier in the season behind QB Jalon Daniels but have since been quieted after his injury. Backup QB Jason Bean has shown flashes at times but still doesn’t show the hold of the offense that Daniels had earlier. Mike Gundy and the Cowboys team get back on track going 1-1 inside the state of Kansas.

The Play: Oklahoma State -2

#6 Alabama (7-1) at #10 LSU (6-2)

When: 7 PM on 11/5

Line: Alabama -13

O/U: 58

These teams share a few tings in common coming into this game in that they are both coming off of a bye and both have their lone SEC loss handed to them by Tennessee. No favors were handed here to Alabma as they go into a hostile environment at night in Death Valley to take on a Top 15 ranked LSU team. LSU has progressed all year under first year HC Brian Kelly but will have one of their tougher tasks ahead of them in slowing down former Heisman winning QB Bryce Young. Bryce has showcased why many think he will be a top QB in next years NFL Draft and this Alabama team could very well find themselves with a few more losses were in not for his late game heroics. Alabama’s defense got back on track prior to the bye and I expec tt a good game plan to keep LSU’s offense under transfer QB Jayden Daniels in check. A night game will surely have an impact on Bama’s offense which has shown signs to struggle on the road as they don’t clearly have a number one WR to lean on week over week. Points at a premium here.

The Play: Under 58

#24 Texas (5-3) at #13 Kansas State (6-2)

When: 7 PM on 11/5

O/U: Texas -2.5

O/U: 54.5

In Sark I trust. I’m laying the points here with the Longhorns as I have full faith in Coach Sark and star QB Quinn Ewers to pull this one off on the road. Defensive Coordinator Gary Patterson will surely have a good game plan up his sleeve to be able to quiet this Kansas State offense who seems to be able to move the ball despite who is behind center these days. Teas’ offensive line will have a tough test ahead of them as Kansas State has one of the better defensive lines in the Big 12 which was on display last week sacking Oklahoma State QB Spencer Sanders repeadtedly throughout the afternoon. With all of that being said, I trust Coach Sark’s playcalling here to have players running wide open just as he did as OC for Alabama. Texas is a talented young team who struggles to close out games at the end but look to change the narrative here.

The Play: Texas -2.5

#4 Clemson (8-0) at Notre Dame (5-3)

When: 7:30 PM on 11/5

Line: Clemson -4

O/U: 44.5

This play would have easily been the under if I were able to release this earlier in the week. Total sat at 47.5 earlier in the week before being bought down to the current total of 44.5. I’m with the people here as I’m expecting a defensive minded and ground game type of game. I don’t expect Dabo to come out throwing the ball with DJ Uiagalelei but rather maintain and establish the ground game. DJ has shown in his time as a starter to both show flashes of great play but then make boneheaded mistakes giving everyone doubts when he drops back to pass. Clemson’s stout defensive line will set the tone for them on defense but it is the secondary which scares me in this contest as they have been the weak link on defnese throughout the year. If Clemson has any playoff hopes they need to come out of South Bend with a win here but this game will be a fight until the end. Clemson wins by 3 but Notre Dame proves to be a great team with the cover.

The Play: Notre Dame +4

Florida State (5-3) at Miami (4-4)

When: 7:30 PM on 11/5

Line: Florida State -7.5

O/U: 53

A major battle inside the state of Florida for these once top football programs. Both teams hope to have found their head coaches for the future in Mario Cristobal for Miami and Mike Norvell for Florida State. Patience is a virtue for these fan bases as it takes time to establish a culture and get your guys in the building to then win some football games. With all that being said, Miami has struggled to score points against Power 5 defenses as they barely managed to score 14 last weekend in a 4 overtime win over Virginia. No disrespect to Virginia but they aren’t exactly the 1985 Chicago Bears. Although they have struggled on offense, Miami has sent out a stout defense to keep their team within arms reach and I expect that to continue here. I would have loved to grab the touchdown and hook with the Hurricanes here but as I still believe they are far away from the talent Florida State has on the offensive end I will play the under. Miami’s defense will be able to keep the Seminoles in check but if they pop off for a few scores Miami’s offense does not have the firepower to keep it within 7.

The Play: Under 53

#20 Wake Forest (6-2) at #21 NC State (6-2)

When: 8 PM on 11/5

Line: Wake Forest -4.5

O/U: 54

Rather unusual weekends for these two teams last weekend as Wake Forest ended up getting routed by Louisville on the road and NC State managed a come from behind win in the 4th quarter. NC State has missed their star QB Devin Leary since his injury earlier in the season but have managed to find wins behind their strong defensive line and care for the ball on the offensive side of the ball. Wake Forest has shown signs of offensive explosion over the course of the year but was quieted last weekend against the Cardinals. NC State’s key to the game will be not not lose it on the offensive side of the ball and give their defense a chance to make plays. Every drive should end for a kick for this Wolfpack team whether it be a point after, field goal, or punt. Wake Forest runs a mesh point style offense where it drags out the run pass option as long as it can making the opposing defense to commit one way or the other. This results in some illegal man downfield penalties but big explosion plays as well. I trust NC State’s strong defensive line to blow up the mesh point and create havoc for Sam Hartman and the Deacons throughout the night. Yet again points will be at a premium.

The Play: Under 54

NFL Week 9 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

The trade deadline has come and gone as we saw an exciting flurry of moves from contenders who have pushed their chips in to win it all now. We are on to Week 9 as Week 8 brought us good company going 12-3 on the weekend bringing out season total to 63-58-3 (52%) on the year. We welcome back the Chiefs and Chargers from byes but say goodbye to the Broncos, Browns, Cowboys, Giants, Steelers, and 49ers. A lot of teams on bye this week but still plenty of NFL for us to consume.

Philadelphia Eagles (7-0) at Houston Texans (1-5-1)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/3

Line: Eagles -14

O/U: 45

A homecoming of sorts for QB Jalen Hurts as the Houston native looks to put on a show for his family at home. The Eagles have been one of the best teams all year on offense and defense and I expect that trend to continue here. Houston QB Davis Mills hasn’t taken that second year lap that some were hoping for and there may be even more trouble in paradise as WR Brandin Cooks seems to want out of Houston. I’m playing under in this game as I think that Philadelphia will comfortably have a lead and run out the clock throughout the second half like they’ve done multiple times throughout this year.

The Play: Under 45

Los Angeles Chargers (4-3) at Atlanta Falcons (4-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Chargers -3

O/U: 49

Los Angeles travels on the road after hopefully healing up during their bye week as they will be without WR Mike Williams for this game do to injury and expect WR Keenan Allen to be back in full strength from his injury. Since the Chargers are coming off the bye week that means travel shouldn’t be an issue here in this one like it normally could impact a team. Atlanta as a team loves to run the ball and drain the clock while doing so. They should have some success in the run game as the Chargers are built more to defend the pass than stopping the run. I believe the Chargers will take advantage of a depleted Falcons secondary and come out of Atlanta with a win.

The Play: Chargers -3

Miami Dolphins (5-3) at Chicago Bears (3-5)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Dolphins -5

O/U: 44

Dolphins just pushed their chips in gearing up for a playoff run after trading their first round pick for star edge rusher Bradley Chubb from the Denver Broncos. Chubb brings in exciting pass rush capability to pair up nicely with Jaelan Phillips on the other side who has been racking up pressures left and right. Meanwhile, Chicago has traded 2 key defensive players in Robert Quinn and Roquan Smith which Miami will surely take advantage of. Miami should have success on offense throughout the afternoon both via the pass and ground game. Miami wins by a touchdown and improves to 6-3 on the year.

The Play: Dolphins -5

Carolina Panthers (2-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (4-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Bengals -7

O/U: 42.5

Bengals were embarrassed on the road Monday night against Cleveland losing by multiple scores to an under .500 Browns team. Cincinnati has plenty of playmakers on offense which makes it curious as to why this Cincy team has difficulty moving the ball periodically throughout the year. HC Zac Taylor has proven time and time again that he fumbles play calling with star wideouts and a budding QB. Although without Ja’Marr Chase, Joe Burrow still has Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd to make plays for him. This feels a lot like when another NFC South team visited Cincinnati and received a beatdown and I expect more of the same here. Carolina has shown progression since moving on from Matt Rhule but will face a Bengals team looking for revenge.

The Play: Bengals -7

Green Bay Packers (3-5) at Detroit Lions (1-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Packers -3.5

O/U: 49.5

Although they suffered a loss on Sunday Night Football by the hands of the Buffalo Bills, Green Bay showed some promise on both sides of the ball. Green Bay is still missing a trusted outside threat but with time some young players could begin to develop and the health of Randall Cobb and Allen Lazard could also improve helping QB Aaron Rodgers. Luckily, Green Bay will be facing one of the worst defenses in the NFL in Detroit and should be able to move the ball at will throughout the afternoon. Detroit has shown throughout the season that their offense can be explosive but if Green Bay can build up a lead of their own then they should be able to control this one from start to finish.

The Play: Packers -3.5

Indianapolis Colts (3-4-1) at New England Patriots (4-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Patriots -5.5

O/U: 39.5

It was not the story book ending many were looking for in QB Sam Ehlinger’s first career start as a professional as Indy ends up blowing a 9 point lead late against Washington to fall yet again. Things won’t get easier for the young QB as he will take on a Bill Belichick lead defense which will surely have disguised coverages to confuse the young QB making his second start. I expect both coaches to be contempt with leaning on their ground game as Ehlinger is young and Mac Jones has been prone to throwing turnovers as of late. Leaning on the ground game, the teams will be able to bleed the clock and have this one go under the total. I will gladly take a 20-14 final and see everyone at the window.

The Play: Under 39.5

Buffalo Bills (6-1) at New York Jets (5-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Bills -13

O/U: 47

I was originally leaning on playing the under in this one but with the health of star S Jordan Poyer in question I wanted to give myself some breathing room. I expect Buffalo’s offense to do more of the same on Sunday afternoon as they will put up north of 20 points but the key here is their defense. Their defensive line should have no problem hunting on second year pro QB Zach Wilson who has struggled as of late to keep the ball out of the other teams hands. More responsibility has fallen on the QBs hands since the injury to RB Breece Hall and as Buffalo will surely build a lead then he will be forced to throw and potentially cause more turnovers. I don’t normally love laying the points when the line is this large but for Buffalo I will make an exception.

The Play: Bills -13

Minnesota Vikings (6-1) at Washington Commanders (4-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Vikings -3.5

O/U: 43.5

An already weak Washington secondary just found themselves getting a bit weaker as they trade CB William Jackson to Pittsburgh at the trade deadline. I expect Minnesota should find success through the air behind star WR Justin Jefferson and company. Washington will have to play comeback ball yet again with Minnesota able to build themselves a comfortable lead. Washington has playmakers of their own with electric wide receivers on the outside and a QB willing to extend plays and make the throw downfield to give his guys a chance. Minnesota wins this one but finds themselves over the total to get us to the window.

The Play: Over 43.5

Las Vegas Raiders (2-5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Raiders -1

O/U: 48

Las Vegas seemed to have forgotten to get off of the plane last week against New Orleans as they were shut out 24-0 to fall to 2-5 on the year. Although they will need to make a climb, their season is not over as they’ve shown they can be an explosive offense behind RB Josh Jacobs and WR Devante Adams. I will excuse the poor performance from Adams last week as he was dealing from flu symptoms throughout the week but we need him to perform big here. Jacksonville has improved drastically this year but doesn’t quite reflect in the win column yet as they are a young team who hasn’t figured out quite yet how to close games off and take home the win. The old saying lose big, lose little, then win little, win big applies here as the Jags are probably a year or so away from making noise as long as they keep improving.

The Play: Raiders -1

Seattle Seahawks (5-3) at Arizona Cardinals (3-5)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Cardinals -2

O/U: 50.5

This play may look questionable as we all saw what ranspired last matchup between these 2 ending 19-9 with Seattle being victorious. I’m rolling with the over here in this one as Arizona has seemed to have gotten their offense back on track with the return of Deandre Hopkins back to the lineup. Hopkins has logged over 100 receiving yards in both games since coming back from suspension and should be the main target for Kyler Murray here yet again. Seattle has many play makers of their own with budding RB Kenneth Walker able to break a long touchdown run at any point in time. Arizona laying the points is also an interesting play here as I expect these teams could split their season series but will play the trend of overs coming our way halfway through the season now.

The Play: Over 50.5

Los Angeles Rams (3-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/6

Line: Buccaneers -3

O/U: 42.5

What was once an exciting matchup on paper has now lost most of its buzz as these prior Super Bowl winners find themselves below .500 and in dire need of a win to keep their playoff hopes alive. Los Angeles offense is built around their run game being establishes so that they can set up play action passes off that but as their run game has been nonexistant it has led to their offense being a fire tire to start the year. They received help last week in the WR room as Va Jefferson returned from injury and Allen Robinson seemed to be more involved than previous but still face an uphill battle in both protecting Matthew Stafford and creating explosive plays. Meanwhile, Tom Brady has looked less the part than normal as his offensive line is a shell of itself than what he’s had in front of him in his previous years with the Bucs. I’m grabbing the key number of 3 here with the Rams as I trust Sean Mcvay to develop an offensive gameplan than I do Todd Bowles and Byron Leftwich to cover this line.

The Play: Rams +3

Tennessee Titans (5-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-2)

When: 8:25 PM on 11/6

Line: Chiefs -12.5

O/U: 46.5

Kansas City hasn’t had as much a problem on offense as may suggested prior to the season when they lost star WR Tyreek Hill. Their outside paraphile numbers still suggest that they have one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL. They still have star TE Travis Kelce and with WR Juju Smith-Schuster rounding into form the possibilities for this Chiefs offense are endless. I fully expect Titans HC Mike Vrabel to come into this game with the intent to take the air out of the ball and the stadium leaning heavily on RB Derrick Henry. I expect Derick Henry to log over 20 carries in this one and drain the clock limiting the amount of possessions that Patrick Mahomes and his offense get to score. Under is a good play here but ultimately grabbing the points with the dog to keep this one within 2 scores.

The Play: Titans +12.5

Baltimore Ravens (5-3) at New Orleans Saints (3-5)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/7

Line: Ravens -3

O/U: 48.5

I have gone back and forth on this game multiple times throughout the week but landed on the over. My hesitation was do to the fact that New Orleans jhas looked shot on defense all year but finally showed up last week shutting out the Raiders. New Orleans showed last week what their talent on offense can do behind star RB Alvin Kamara and rookie WR Chris Olave and if they are able to jump out then Lamar Jackson and Baltimore will have to win in a shootout like they’ve done multiple times this season. I see grabbing the points here with New Orleans as a great play as well as they have an incredible home field advantage and could run away with this one with Lamar possibly being short a few key offensive weapons.

The Play: Over 45

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 9

OVERALL RECORD: 220-179-7 (55.1%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 49-40-6 (55.1%)

Well last week we went 4-6-2 (not sure what is happening with all the ties this year). After the lackluster week we are hitting exactly 55.1% both on the season and overall. That is decent… but TGIS can do better. This is a major dog week with multiple highly ranked teams going on the road. Get ready for a wild one… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 9 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#2 Ohio State at #13 Penn State UNDER 61.5 – 11:00am

Don’t let the 54 points against Iowa fool you, the Ohio State offense did not look great against Iowa. It was more of the Iowa offense just being the worst offense I’ve ever seen and not being able to stay on the field. Meanwhile, Ohio State’s defense has played well so far this season. I’m going to bet this game stays under control with Penn State trying to establish the run.

Game Pick: Ohio State 34-20

Top Picks of the Week

East Carolina +3 at BYU– Friday 7:00pm

BYU is a flat out bad football team. Last week Liberty’s third string quarterback Johnathan Bennett completed 82.8% of his passes against the BYU defense. This was after he completed a little over 50% of his passes against Gardner-Webb and UMass. East Carolina has a solid quarterback in Holton Ahlers, I believe ECU can win this game, give me the points while you are at it.

Oklahoma -1 at Iowa State – 11:00am

Oklahoma is a totally different team with quarterback Dillon Gabriel healthy. No way Iowa State can score enough points to keep up.

Notre Dame at #16 Syracuse UNDER 47.5 – 11:00am

Syracuse’s defense has been very good this year and may get their star cornerback Garrett Williams back. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has struggled to score. This one will be low scoring.

Northwestern at Iowa UNDER 37.5 – 2:30pm

Iowa unders. End of story. Especially against Northwestern.

#9 Oklahoma State at #22 Kansas State OVER 56 – 2:30pm

Have you seen Big 12 games recently? The last three Oklahoma State games have all had over 72 total points. I’m betting on Adrian Martinez playing and this over hitting with ease.

#8 Oregon -17 at Cal – 2:30pm

Oregon’s offense has been unstoppable against Pac-12 competition. On the other side is a Cal team that was beat by Colorado and has averaged under 5 yards per play against the last two weeks. This won’t be a Golden Bear trap, expect a huge day for Bo Nix against Cal.

#10 USC -15.5 at Arizona – 6:00pm

You know that terrible Cal offense I just talked about? The Wildcats gave up 49 points to them. Arizona won’t be able to stop USC at all.

#19 Kentucky at #3 Tennessee -12.5 – 6:00pm

Tennessee has too much offense and the Vols defensive line will dominate against a bad Kentucky offensive line. Tennessee wins big, huge, gigantically.

Michigan State at #4 Michigan -21.5 – 6:30pm

Michigan State had 7 rushing yards when they played Ohio State. They’re not going to be able to run on Michigan either. I’ve said it all year to fade this Michigan State team… don’t stop now.

#15 Ole Miss at Texas A&M UNDER 55– 6:30pm

Texas A&M is suspending players, has two offensive lineman out for the year and starting QB Haynes King has a bad shoulder. I would take Ole Miss, but they have injuries as well. 55 points is too high of an Over/Under for a Texas A&M game, especially with Wegman most likely starting. Give me the under all day.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 9

By: Nick Radivoj

We recap Week 8 with a lackluster 4-6 record bringing us to 44-36 (55%) on the year. Last week easily could have given us another winning record as we were a mere point away from a total we played along with some spreads we could have easily landed our way on. We learn and we move forward as Week 9 provides us an exciting slate to look forward to.

#2 Ohio State (7-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1)

When: 10 PM on 10/29

Line: Ohio State -15.5

O/U: 61

CJ Stroud and the Buckeye offense have finally hit their stride looking explosive in every facet of their offense. Stroud has his eyes on a Heisman Trophy this year but better yet a National Championship as Ohio State has everything they need to compete. Penn State is better equipped to face Ohio State than they were Michigan as they contain a better pass defense than rush defense but ultimately it won’t be enough to quiet this Ohio State team. Penn State’s QB Sean Clifford could be the game changer in this one either being Jekyll or Hyde but with his shaky track record I don’t expect him to shock the world. This one may be close early but Buckeyes pull away big late.

The Play: Ohio State -15.5

#7 TCU (7-0) at West Virginia (3-4)

When: 12 PM on 10/29

Line: TCU -7.5

O/U: 69

TCU could have very well found themselves coming into this game with their first loss of the season were it not for a second half explosion from the Horned Frogs and some injury luck on their side with Kansas State starting QB going down in that contest. They were almost caught slipping and it almost caught them so I fully expect the Horned Frogs to be ready in this one. West Virginia is coming off a horrific 48-10 loss by the hands of Texas Tech and I see more of the same in this game. Max Duggan and TCU’s offense shouldn’t have too much difficulty moving the ball against West Virginia and building themselves a comfortable lead will make this already pass happy West Virginia team even more one dimensional. TCU keeps their perfect season going with a blowout win.

The Play: TCU -7.5

Florida (4-3) at #1 Georgia (7-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/29 (Jacksonville)

Line: Georgia –22.5

O/U: 57

Both teams come into this contest well rested as they are both coming off a bye. Although lacking in the passing game, Florida QB Anthony Richardson brings a different skill set behind center that Georgia and most every other team haven’t seen this year. Richardson is very capable to killing opposing defenses in the run game but still needs to develop tenfold as a passer. Georgia should handle this one rather easily as the Gators are still a year or so away from competing under Billy Napier’s new regime. I think Georgia builds an early lead and looks to get out of dodge as they prepare for their biggest game net week against Tennessee. Early lead for Georgia leads to running the ball the rest of the game.

The Play: Under 57

#8 Oregon (6-1) at California (3-4)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/29

Line: Oregon -17

O/U: 58

Oregon has quietly dominated their schedule after the beating they took from Georgia Week 1 of this College Football season. Oregon’s domination continues as they find themselves playing one of the worst teams in the Pac 12 in California. As long as Bo Nix’s road woes don’t show up here then I think this game should look awfully similar to the one played last weekend against UCLA. I’m going to keep this one short and sweet just like Oregon will for us behind Bo Nix and this rather explosive offense located in Eugene.

The Play: Oregon -17

#9 Oklahoma State (6-1) at #22 Kansas State (5-2)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/29

Line: Kansas State -1.5

O/U: 56

A tale of two stories for these teams as Oklahoa State comes from behind late against Texas to win while Kansas State folds over an 18 point lead to ultimately lose by 10 against TCU. Kansas State didn’t score a point in the 2nd half but much of that is do to their starting QB exiting the game with injury. Martinez is expected to be back for this game which is great news for the Wildcats as they didn’t find much success moving the ball behind their backup QB not scoring a single point after halftime. Meanwhile, Spencer Sanders and company look to keep their Big 12 Championship dreams alive but face a difficult contest going on the road to face Kansas State. I believe under could be a great play in this one, but Kansas State has shown time and time again the ability to play spoilers at home.

The Play: Kansas State -1.5

#17 Illinois (6-1) at Nebraska (3-4)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/29

Line: Illinois -7.5

O/U: 50.5

No, you aren’t dreaming Illinois still finds themselves in the Top 25 here in Week 9 of this College Football season. Unfortunately for them, I think their run ends here with a potential outright underdog winner for Nebraska. I’m taking the points here with the Cornhuskers as some young teams aren’t built to win on the road. Nebraska’s offense seems to have hit their stride here scoring over 35 in 2 of their last 3 and winning 2 since the firing of Scott Frost. Meanwhile, Illinois’ offense has takena  little bit of a step back and with a young team going on the road I will gladly take the points for a Nebraska cover.

The Play: Nebraska +7.5

#19 Kentucky (5-2) at Tennessee (7-0)

When: 7 PM on 10/29

Line: Tennessee -12.5

O/U: 63.5

Death, taxes, and a Tennessee over. Tennessee fans and faithful find themselves experiencing the highest of highs being ranked #3 in the nation with what should be the biggest game of the year next week facing off against #1 Georgia in Athens. I know this game is coming up and most likely so do Tennessee players so let’s hope we aren’t overlooking Kentucky here and slip up before the big dance. Hendon Hooker and this Volunteer offense provide too much explosion for Kentucky, or any team, to contain. Tennessee’s hurry up offense and explosive plays leave opposing defenses drained and defeated. Kentucky should be playing catch up which will help us find ourselves over this total. I love taking Will Levis in big games but can’t find myself pciking against Tennessee after having seen how they’ve looked the past few weeks.

The Play: Over 63.5

Michigan State (3-4) at #4 Michigan (7-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/29

Line: Michigan -22

O/U: 54.5

Week 9 welcomes us with an exciting matchup between these in state Big Ten rivals. A tale of 2 stories for these two teams as Michigan has its eyes set on a Big Ten Championship game and potential College Football Playoff berth while Michigan State is scratching and clawing their way to try and stay bowl eligible. As displayed throughout the year, one of the easiest ways to take down Michigan State is through the air passing. Michigan has shown the ability to pass the ball all over the field but at the same time are much more of a run team behind star RB Blake Corum. The BIg House will surely add an extra element to this game as it will be packed for a night time showdown with the Spartans. Michigan’s defense isn’t as stout as normally would expect but don’t go up against much talent in Michigan State so this one should result in a blow out on paper but never know what to expect in a rivalry game.

The Play: Michigan -22

#15 Ole Miss (7-1) at Texas A&M (3-4)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/29

Line: Ole Miss -2.5

O/U: 55

How will Ole Miss bounce back after taking their first loss of the season? The Rebels seemed to be on their way to their 8th win of the year last season jumping out to an early 17-3 lead before LSU came stormng back to take that one away in a big win for the Tigers. Ole Miss stays somewhat alive for the SEC West needing a little help from friends, but they will all but seal their fate if they don’t win in College Station this weekend. Texas A&M is coming off a loss of their own losing to South Carolina on the road last weekend but will have the 12th man behind them in this one to impact Ole Miss. Both teams enjoy running the ball here and with that continuously keeping the clock ticking I will gladly find myself on yet another Texas A&M under. Neither team crosses the 30 mark as we cash another under in Kyle Field.

The Play: Under 55

Pittsburgh (4-3) at #21 North Carolina (6-1)

When: 8 PM on 10/29

Line: North Carolina -2.5

O/U: 64

Pat Narduzzi and this Pittsburgh team look like a far cry away from the team we saw last year with QB Kenny Pickett. Their offensive playcalling seems to have fallen back to old school football as opposed to the scheme they were running last year and it shows on tape and in the stat sheets. I normally love playing  aNorth Carolina over but with a major question mark in regards to Pittsburgh’s offense I can’t recommend. North Carolina’s defense has been shaky all year which should lead to some easier drives for Pittsburgh than they have experienced as of late but Pitt will be going up against a buzzsaw in North Carolina’s offense. Drake May has continued to impress throughout the year and will showcase this high powered Tar Heel offense under the lights as North Carolina wins this one at home.

The Play: North Carolina -2.5