OVERALL RECORD: 263-225-9 (53.9%)

2023 SEASON RECORD: 22-13 (62.9%)

TGIS Game of the Week

#6 Ohio State at #9 Notre Dame UNDER 55.5 – 6:30pm

I’m not sure I trust Kyle McCord yet and think each team keeps it on the ground. That is why the under is the call here.

Prediction: Notre Dame 25-24

Top Picks of the Week (All Times Central)

#4 Florida State -2 at Clemson – 11am

Clemson doesn’t have the fire power to keep up with the Seminole’s offense. Florida State gives Clemson their second loss.

#16 Oklahoma -13.5 at Cincinnati – 11am

Cincinnati squeaked by Pitt and loss to Miami (Ohio), They aren’t good, Oklahoma wins big.

#2 Michigan at Rutgers UNDER 44 – 11am

Rutgers defense is sneaky OK. Michigan continues to play at a slow pace and the under hits.

BYU +10 at Kansas – 2:30pm

TOO MANY POINTS. BYU will take Kansas down into the muck and keep it close.

Colorado State at Middle Tennessee State -2.5 – 6pm

The Rams are coming off a double OT loss and don’t have their top pass rusher… Middle Tennessee State takes care of business.

#14 Oregon State -3 at #21 Washington State – 6pm

This Oregon State team has been fantastic. I know Washington State beat Wisconsin, but the Beavers take care of business.

#3 Texas -14.5 at Baylor – 6:30pm

This Baylor team cannot run the ball. Texas in a blowout

UCF at Kansas State -4 – 7pm

Will Howard will try to go for Kansas State, but even if he can’t Kansas State is a much better team than UCF.

OVERALL RECORD: 256-221-9 (53.7%)

2023 SEASON RECORD: 15-9 (62.5%)

TGIS Game of the Week

#11 Tennessee at Florida UNDER 58 – 6pm

I have not been sold on Joe Milton and the Tennessee offense this year. Meanwhile, Florida struggles to have any offensive success. LOW scoring game.

Prediction: Tennessee 24 – Florida 20

Top Picks of the Week (All Times Central)

Georgia Southern +20 at Wisconsin – 11am

Georgia Southern QB and TGIS supporter Davis Brin finished last week 38-47 for 318 yards and 2 TDs as the Eagles offense put up 49 points. Meanwhile Tanner Mordecai and the Badgers offense have looked real average. Way too many points in what I think could be a close game. Might even sprinkle a little on the +700.

Colorado State at #18 Colorado OVER 60.5– 11am

I told you last week I did not believe in Colorado’s defense. While they could stop Nebraska (just like anybody), I still have my doubts. Meanwhile Deion is going to try to run up the score and stats for his QB and son Shaddeur Sanders.

Minnesota at #20 North Carolina -7 – 11am

The Golden Gophers secondary has not been challenged… that changes when Drake Maye plays against them. The Tar Heels will score points, while I see Minnesota to struggle much at all. Tar Heels big.

Vanderbilt -4.5 at UNLV – 11am

Vanderbilt less than a TD favorite seems disrespectful. Vandy still has talent, especially at WR, to make UNLV pay. Vandy by double digits.

#14 LSU at Mississippi State +9.5 – 11am

Too many points in Starkville. The Bulldogs are going to bring LSU down into the mud with them in a close game that I see LSU ending up with the win.

#10 Alabama -32 at South Florida – 2:30pm

Alabama still has a QB competition that is not settled. Expect Bama to work all three during the game and be aggressive to see which one is the guy. That means lots of points.

#8 Washington -16 at Michigan State – 4pm

The Spartans are a mess and the Huskies are blowing out everyone. Don’t overthink it.

BYU +8 at Arkansas – 6:30pm

I liked it better when BYU was a 10 point favorite, but 8 points will do. BYU won the game outright last year. In a low scoring battle, give me the points.

Bowling Green at #2 Michigan UNDER 53 – 6:30pm

Michigan has been playing at a super slow pace in its first two games, treating them like scrimmages against inferior teams. That happens again, under 53 points all day. I see the final score something like… 38-3.

TCU -7 at Houston – 7pm

Houston just lost to Rice (or as College Football Analyst Josh Pate calls “food”). TCU is going to want to show up after losing on the national stage against Colorado. TCU by double digits.

TGIS Game of the Week

Texas at Alabama -7 – 6:00pm

Jalen Milroe answered all my questions in Week 1. And with Alabama’s defense probably the best it has been in the past five years… Bama is ready for Texas.

Prediction: Alabama 34 – Texas 24

Top Picks of the Week (All Times Central)

Friday

Illinois at Kansas -3 – 11:00am

It is never good when you barely escape with a 2 point win against a MAC Opponent in Week 1. That is exactly what Illinois experienced in their game against Toledo. Going into Week 2, Kansas has Jalon Daniels at QB coming back from injury. Kansas runs away with this one.

Saturday

#14 Utah -6 at Baylor UNDER 51 – 11am

I grabbed this one at six points as soon as it came out. Utah dominated Florida and Baylor lost to Texas State… this Baylor team has the makings of a team falling apart. Utah wins big. Also, with Baylor’s Blake Shappen injured after the Texas State game… Baylor will struggle to put up points. Take the Under as well.

Nebraska at Colorado OVER 58.5 – 11am

I’m sticking with Colorado overs. The Buffs can put up points, but I don’t trust them to stop anyone. Even Nebraska who only scored 10 points against Minnesota (But averaged 5.3 yards per play)

Ole Miss -6 at Tulane – 2:30pm

Michael Pratt played phenomenal against South Alabama in Week 1 going 14/15 for 294 yards and 4 TDs. But he won’t be able to keep up with Ole Miss’ offense. The Rebs by double digits.

Iowa -4 at Iowa State – 2:30pm

Iowa State will not be able to score in this game. Cade McNamara just needs to score a few touchdowns for Iowa and I am confident in this. At least the players will also (probably) not be betting on the game this year… give me the -4.

Texas State +13 at UTSA – 2:30pm

The Vegas rankings have not properly power rated Texas State with all of their transfers. We get double digit points after they just pulled the upset against Baylor? Yep, we are taking them.

SMU at Oklahoma UNDER 70 – 5:00pm

I have a theory that Brent Venables constructed a decent defense this year at Oklahoma. If that is the case, 70 points is way too high. We like the under.

Arizona at Mississippi State –8 – 6:30pm

Zero faith the Wildcats will know how to handle Starkville. Grab this line early.

Oklahoma State -3 at Arizona State – 9:30pm

I know the Cowboys are on the road, but this is Arizona State’s true Freshman Jaden Rashada’s first test against an actual defense (not Southern Utah). Trust Gundy.

Auburn -6.5 at Cal – 9:30pm

I know… it is a tough travel game on the west coast. I don’t care, this Auburn defense is nothing like Cal’s last opponent North Texas. Plus Cal’s starting QB, Sam Jackson might be out. Under a touchdown is an easy bet.

TGIS Game of the Week

#5 LSU -2.5 vs #8 Florida State – 6:30pm

The Florida State hype has become a little out of control. To trust them to take on LSU as under a three point underdog with all the players LSU has coming back? That is a no for me. LSU wins this one in Orlando.

Prediction: LSU 34- Florida State 28

Top Picks of the Week

Thursday

NC State -14 at UConn 6:30pm

NC State brought in quarterback Brennan Armstrong and his old offensive coordinator, Robert Anai, from Virginia. Under Anai, Virginia put up 35 points per game. Expect the same with NC State who will be able to exploit a poor UConn defense. Line is only 14? We are taking NC State.

Florida +7 at #14 Utah UNDER 46 – 7:00pm

Cam Rising playing in this game is no sure thing as he is still limited in his recovery from the ACL tear from the Rose Bowl. Meanwhile, Florida’s defense is extremely strong and going against them is going to be no easy task for a backup quarterback. Utah’s defense is also strong so don’t expect many points, especially with the new running clock on first down limiting the amount of plays.. Finally, Florida getting 7 seven points is also way too many. Utah wins a low scoring 21-17 game.

Nebraska +7.5 at Minnesota UNDER 44 7:00pm

Over a touchdown is too many points for a questionable Minnesota offense. Especially with how many returning starters are coming back in Nebraska’s secondary. A low scoring, close game should be expected.

Saturday

Colorado at #17 TCU OVER 59.5 – 11:00am

The Colorado defense is full of transfers and not great depth. TCU should be able to take advantage. But Colorado still has the potential to put points up with QB Shaddeur Sanders, solid skill position players and no huddle offensive coordinator Sean Lewis.

Fresno State at Purdue -3.5 – 11:00am

So Fresno State lost star QB Jake Haener, four of their top wide receivers, and most of their defensive secondary. I am supposed to trust them going into Purdue and keeping it close against transfer QB Hudson Card? Give me Purdue.

Virginia at #12 Tennessee -27.5 – 11:00am

Virginia can’t score and is terrible, meanwhile Tennessee will let Joe Milton loose. Any questions?

Boise State at #10 Washington OVER 58 2:30pm

Both of these teams bring experienced offenses back from last year… especially Washington. On Washington’s defense I question the secondary. Points, points and more points.

Texas State +27.5 at Baylor – 6:00pm

I don’t trust Baylor to win by over four touchdowns. Texas State is also underrated after the transfers they brought in. Give me Texas State.

#21 North Carolina vs. South Carolina +3 – 6:30pm

The one part of South Carolina I don’t trust is the offensive line. But I also don’t trust North Carolina to take advantage. Give me the points, Spencer Rattler will get after the North Carolina secondary.

Sunday

Northwestern at Rutgers UNDER 40 – 11:00am

Do I need to even go into depth on this one? Rutgers has a sneaky good offense and a terrible offense. Northwestern is just bad across the board. Under all day.

#18 Oregon State at San Jose State +17 – 2:30pm

San Jose State looked good against USC as they found a solid QB with Chevan Cordeiro. At home against a run heavy Oregon State team? Ya, Spartans are covering.

1. Georgia Bulldogs

Projected Record: 13-0

I mean what can I say… this defense returns almost everybody and is going to be insanely good again. Sure you can nitpick and question edge rusher and the second cornerback spot, but the Bulldogs are still elite. On offense, Carson Beck will step in for Stetson Bennett. While they aren’t unbeatable and have a few question marks, the Bulldogs have way less questions than other teams in the nation.

2. Penn State Nittany Lions

Projected Record: 12-1

I am buying the hype as this is Coach James Franklin’s most talented team. On offense, I trust this offensive line to open up holes for one of the most talented running back duos in the country, Nic Singleton and Kaytron Allen. Quarterback Drew Allar ceiling is off the charts and where this team’s ceiling is dependent on him. Defensively, they are loaded with athleticism with 4 players making Bruce Feldman’s “Freak List”. One of those players who didn’t make the list is cornerback Kalen King… a potential first round pick. I put Penn State up there with Ohio State and Michigan even if the betting market doesn’t. Go ahead and sprinkle a little on Penn State +550 to win the Big Ten.

3. Michigan Wolverines

Projected Record: 10-2

Michigan made it to the playoff the last two years, but have fell flat when they get there. The offense will be good again, but it depends on if quarterback JJ McCarthy can take a step forward or if his ceiling is capped. The defense is where this group shines as they were a top ten unit last year and should be even better. this year The Wolverines are led by Kris Jenkins up front and Will Johnson as one of the best young corners in the secondary. Michigan is a legitimate contender for a playoff spot again.

4. Alabama Crimson Tide

Projected Record: 11-2

This is another talented Alabama team, but it has the biggest quarterback question since the start of the 2016 season where Jalen Hurts, Blake Barnett, and Cooper Bateman battled it out. What doesn’t add to the optimism is Alabama adding Notre Dame’s Tyler Buchner to the mix after both Jalen Milroe and Ty Simpson failed to win the job. I still believe the starter will be Milroe or Simpson. The rest of the offense is stellar with a really good offensive line, talented running back room and deep receiving group.

The defensive talent is undeniable. Dallas Turner and Chris Braswell will lead the pressure off the edge with 5-star true freshman Keon Keeley waiting right behind him. One of the best players on the defense will be another 5-star freshman, safety Caleb Downs and also the best corner in the country Kool-Aid McKinstry. Overall, the quarterback question keeps them out of the elite group (Georgia)… but if Saban has a quarterback emerge from medicority, the Tide are a National title contender.

5. LSU Tigers

Projected Record: 10-2

LSU’s offense will be solid as they return most of their offensive line and have a top 5 receiving group in the country. While I think Jayden Daniels has a ceiling, he proved last year to be an efficient player. The defensive line is the strength with Mekhi Wingo and Maason Smith. Add in Harold Perkins and Oregon State transfer, Omar Speights, the Tigers will be fine in the front seven. However, people are glancing over the depth at corner behind transfer starters Duce Chesnut (Syracuse) and Zy Alexander (Southern). LSU could win the SEC West again.

6. Ohio State Buckeyes

Projected Record: 10-2

Ohio State can’t lose three times in a row to Michigan right? There are legitimate questions with this team though: (1) They haven’t named a starter at quarterback between Kyle McCord and Devin Brown. (2) The offensive tackles were not impressive in the spring and the Buckeyes were forced to go to the transfer portal to pick up Josh Simmons from San Diego State to start. (3) They lost 4 of their top 6 defensive backs from last year and had to replace those guys via the portal. However, outside of those three questions this team has the best receiving group in the country and some real difference makers on defense. I just see those questions leading to 1-2 losses this year.

7. Texas Longhorns

Projected Record: 11-2

I know. I know. “You can’t trust Texas.” But I can’t find a football reason not to trust this team. Offensively, I like Quinn Ewers’ potential, the running back room is fine, they bring back everyone back to what will be the best offensive line in the Big 12, and the wide receiver room is legitimately a top 3 unit in the nation with Xavier Worthy, Adonai Mitchell (Georgia transfer), Isaiah Neyor, Jordan Whittington, and Five-Star Freshman Johntay Cook. On defense, the Longhorns return many of their key starters that finished 1st in the Big 12 in points per game. Texas is by far the favorite to win the Big 12… which would be their first since 2009.

8. USC Trojans

Projected Record: 11-2

There is no secret USC is led by their offense. It will even be better in 2023 with Caleb Williams getting South Carolina’s top running back, Marshawn Lloyd, and Arizona’s top wide receiver, Dorian Singer. The defense remains the question. It should be slightly improved after continuing to add via the transfer portal with potential breakout defensive linemen Bear Alexander and Anthony Lucas. This is a team with College Football Playoff potential because of their offense, but it all will be determined how much their defense holds them back.

9. Clemson Tigers

Projected Record: 11-2

Clemson is revamping their offense with new offensive coordinator Garrett Riley. Cade Klubnik takes over at quarterback and if they find a wide receiver to step up, this offense should be much improved. On defense, there will be also improvement with Tyler Davis and Peter Woods on the interior defensive line and returning the entire secondary. Clemson is the team to beat in the ACC, not Florida State.

10. Florida State Seminoles

Projected Record: 9-4

Florida State hit the transfer portal hard and strengthened their wide receiving room (Keon Coleman -MSU), tight end room and defensive line. Add in expereinced players Jordan Travis, Trey Benson, and Jared Verse… this is a very good team ready to make the jump. Now is that a jump to ACC champs remains the question.

11. Tennessee Volunteers

Projected Record: 10-2

Out goes Hendon Hooker, in comes Joe Milton at quarterback. The offense is set up for success with the skill position players, Josh Heupel’s offense, and new left transfer left tackle John Campbell Jr. The defense returns almost everyone, but are there any standouts? Can the Vols get a pass rush? I’d expect a slight improvement to the defense and another solid season for Tennessee.

12. Washington Huskies

Projected Record: 10-3

Overall, Washington finished 11-2 last year and had a top 15 offense. Expect them to be really good again with all three talented wide receivers back, two very good offensive tackles, and a solid quarterback – Michael Penix Jr. Defensively, I expect them to also be a strong unit after bringing back their entire defensive line and adding Oklahoma State transfer corner Jabbar Muhammad. This is a dark horse candidate to win the entire Pac-12.

13. Utah Utes

Projected Record: 10-2

Utah is a tough team that is led by their players on the line of scrimmage. While they don’t have the playmakers at the skill position of a Oregon or USC, the Utes have a solid overall team and one of the best home-field advantages in college football. Add in a good veteran quarterback with Cam Rising… they will have another solid year.

14. Oregon Ducks

Projected Record: 10-2

I really like Oregon’s skill guys and Bo Nix is a very good Pac-12 quarterback. Losing four starting offensive lineman hurts though. The Ducks are also faced with improving their secondary which wasn’t very good last year. But it just might happen with the transfers the Ducks brought in. Oregon will be a tough out for many in the Pac-12.

15. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Projected Record: 9-3

This is a very strong team that will rely on a solid defense and experienced offensive line. Oh and transfer quarterback Sam Hartman helps. The Fighting Irish will make a massive jump from last year’s offensive performance and be a top 15 team in the country.

16. Texas A&M Aggies

Projected Record: 9-3

Connor Weigman enters season two and he showed some glimpses of being a pretty good quarterback. Plenty of help is in the wide receiver room with upcoming star Evan Stewart, Noah Thomas, and seniors Moose Muhammad II and Ainias Smith. The offensive line was just alright last year, but they return almost everyone. Defensively, A&M will take a step forward with so many returning starters. McKinley Jackson and Walter Nolen will lead the interior defensive line, but they will need an edge rusher to step up. Overall, this is a very good team with a high ceiling and a low floor, like we saw in last year’s 5-7 season. The floor will end the Jimbo train quicker than a motorcycle accident, if the offense doesn’t get it together under Bobby Petrino.

17. Iowa Hawkeyes

Projected Record: 10-3

Iowa finished 120th in offense and in the top five on defense. This led to OC Brian Ferenz’s contract restructuring where if Iowa does not score 25 points per game this year, he will be fired. Let the chase to 300 begin (12 games x 25 points = 300 total points). This should be easy with new quarterback Cade McNamara and four returning starters at offensive line. The defense will also be just as good. This should absolutely be Iowa’s year to win the west.

18. Wisconsin Badgers

Projected Record: 10-2

The Luke Fickell era starts in Madison. Add in Phil Longo’s new “Dairy Raid” offense and this should be fun. The Badgers’ offense will be fast pace and led by running back Braelon Allen. But I’m not sure they have the playmakers on the outside to be one of the top scoring teams in the Big Ten. Luckily, the defense can lead this team as the unit remains solid with plenty of returning starters. Expect a big year for the Badgers in year one of Fickell.

19. Kansas State Wildcats

Projected Record: 9-4

Kansas State’s offense could be better than last year with the entire offensive line back and returning quarterback Will Howard. I say that even with losing their best player, Deuce Vaughn. Defensively, I think the front is strong, but they lack some size on the interior of the defensive line. If they get the FCS transfer corners to step up (big question) this will be a dangerous team in the Big 12.

20. Oklahoma Sooners

Projected Record: 9-3

2022 was more than disappointing for Oklahoma, finishing with a losing record and 3-6 in conference play. However, the offense was pretty good when Dillon Gabriel was healthy. He returns, and even though I have no idea who will step up in their receiving room and take over the #1 position left by Marvin Mims, the offense will be fine with OC Jeff Lebby. The offensive line also lost a few starters, but I see them being set at the tackle position with Tyler Guyton at Right Tackle and the Stanford transfer Walter Rouse at Left Tackle. Defense is the unit that needs to improve if the Sooners want to finish in the top of the Big 12. With the amount of talent Oklahoma has returning, the transfers they acquired in the portal, and Venables defensive mind… I trust there will be a jump. Overall, I project the Sooners to finish in the top quarter of the division, but making the Big 12 championship? I don’t know if I am buying it. The easy schedule gets them to 9 wins.

21. TCU Horned Frogs

Projected Record: 8-4

Sonny Dykes returns for season number two after a dream season where TCU beat Michigan in the Fiesta Bowl and nothing else happened after that. While the Horned Frogs did lose quite a few players to the NFL draft, they lessened the impact with transfers. Chandler Morris will also be starting at QB after winning the QB battle for the second year in a row (Max Duggan took over due to injury). I’m still not in love with the running back room with Emani Bailey at starter and Trey Sanders taking 2nd team reps. But the receiver room is deep/intriguing with transfers John Paul-Richardson, Jojo Earle Jack Bech, Jaylon Robinson, and Dylan Wright. Savion Williams also returns to this receiving room. Damonic Williams is the star at the defensive line at nose tackle, but as for the other defensive line starters?? Huge concern. The strength of this TCU defense will be on the back end with solid starting corners Josh Newton and Avery Helm and returning safeties Bud Clark and Mark Perry. Overall, I expect more of a regression to the mean with a solid 8-4 season.

22. North Carolina Tar Heels

Projected Record: 8-4

North Carolina can be summed up as having a very good offense (would be better if Tez Walker received a transfer clearance) and below average defense. However, the defense should improve with everyone in the front seven that played 200 snaps being back. Drake Maye can carry this team to eight wins.

23. Ole Miss Rebels

Projected Record: 8-4

I could go in depth on every transfer Lane Kiffin took and every single one that left. But I know for a fact you would not sit here and read all that. So we will keep it simple: I like Jaxson Dart and I trust the direction of this offense with Quinshon Judkins at running back. But the defense is a total question mark with transfers all over the place (watch out for Five-Star freshman LB Suntarine Perkins though). Just like Lane, the defense makes this team a total wildcard. I’m going on the positive side with an 8-4 prediction, which tracks with history as Lane Kiffin hasn’t won less than 8 games in a full season during his time with the Rebels.

24. Oregon State Beavers

Projected Record: 8-4

What an incredible job Johnathan Smith has done turning around this Oregon State program. The question going into 2023 is their quarterback situation. Will DJ Uiagalelei play to his recruiting ranking or like he did in his last season at Clemson? While Oregon State is confident in their wide receivers, I’m a little hesitant. This is all sounding negative, but I expect Oregon State to be really good again because of their offensive line and defense. However, there is a dam on how high the Beavers can climb.

25. Kentucky Wildcats

Projected Record: 7-5

Last year’s offense was absolutely atrocious. This is a new season though where there is a lot to believe in offensively: Liam Cohen coming back at OC, Devin Leary coming in at QB, RB Ray Davis transferring from Vandy, a dangerous, young receiving tandem, and a retooled offensive line with a legit LT in Marques Cox. Defensively the Cats were fantastic last year, but expect a step back. Especially with the corners being transfer dependent (JQ Hardaway and Jantzen Dunn). The offensive improvement will be enough to get this team to 7 wins.

Pac 12 Championship: USC over Washington

1. USC Trojans

Projected Record: 11-2

Wins: San Jose State, Nevada, Stanford, Arizona State, Colorado, Arizona, Utah, Cal, Washington, UCLA, Washington (Pac-12 Championship)

Losses: Notre Dame, Oregon

There is no secret USC is led by their offense. It will even be better in 2023 with Caleb Williams getting South Carolina’s top running back, Marshawn Lloyd, and Arizona’s top wide receiver, Dorian Singer. The defense remains the question. It should be slightly improved after continuing to add via the transfer portal with potential breakout defensive linemen Bear Alexander and Anthony Lucas. This is a team with College Football Playoff potential because of their offense, but it all will be determined how much their defense holds them back.

2. Washington Huskies

Projected Record: 10-3

Wins: Boise State, Tulsa, Michigan State, Cal, Arizona, Oregon, Arizona State, Stanford, Utah, Washington State,

Losses: USC, Oregon State, USC (Pac-12 Championship)

Overall, Washington finished 11-2 last year and had a top 15 offense. Expect them to be really good again with all three talented wide receivers back, two very good offensive tackles, and a solid quarterback – Michael Penix Jr. Defensively, I expect them to also be a strong unit after bringing back their entire defensive line and adding Oklahoma State transfer corner Jabbar Muhammad. This is a dark horse candidate to win the entire Pac-12.

3. Utah Utes

Projected Record: 10-2

Wins: Florida, Baylor, Weber State, UCLA, Oregon State, Cal, Oregon, Arizona State, Arizona, Colorado

Losses: USC, Washington

Utah is a tough team that is led by their players on the line of scrimmage. While they don’t have the playmakers at the skill position of a Oregon or USC, the Utes have a solid overall team and one of the best home-field advantages in college football. Add in a good veteran quarterback with Cam Rising… they will have another solid year.

4. Oregon Ducks

Projected Record: 10-2

Wins: Portland State, Texas Tech, Hawaii, Colorado, Stanford, Washington State, Cal, USC, Arizona State, Oregon State

Losses: Washington, Utah

I really like Oregon’s skill guys and Bo Nix is a very good Pac-12 quarterback. Losing four starting offensive lineman hurts though. The Ducks are also faced with improving their secondary which wasn’t very good last year. But it just might happen with the transfers the Ducks brought in. Oregon will be a tough out for many in the Pac-12.

5. Oregon State Beavers

Projected Record: 8-4

Wins: San Jose State, UC Davis, San Diego State, Cal, UCLA, Colorado, Stanford, Washington

Losses: Washington State, Utah, Arizona, Oregon

What an incredible job Johnathan Smith has done turning around this Oregon State program. The question going into 2023 is their quarterback situation. Will DJ Uiagalelei play to his recruiting ranking or like he did in his last season at Clemson? While Oregon State is confident in their wide receivers, I’m a little hesitant. This is all sounding negative, but I expect Oregon State to be really good again because of their offensive line and defense. However, there is a dam on how high the Beavers can climb.

6. UCLA Bruins

Projected Record: 7-5

Wins: Coastal Carolina, San Diego State, North Carolina Central, Washington State, Colorado, Arizona State, Cal

Losses: Utah, Oregon State, Stanford, Arizona, USC

UCLA will have a high floor quarterback whether that be Moore, Garbers, or Schlee. The skill position players should be solid also. But offensive line? Total wildcard after all of the transfers they took in. Add in a poor defense from last year and there is some room for pessimism. But with plenty of returning starters expect a slight improvement. UCLA is a team that is just slightly below the upper tier of the Pac-12.

7. California Golden Bears

Projected Record: 7-5

Wins: North Texas, Idaho, Arizona State, Oregon State, Washington State, Stanford

Losses: Auburn, Washington, Utah, USC, Oregon, UCLA

Cal was a 4-8 team last year that returns a ton of experience. However, both the defense and offense were both below average units. TCU transfer Sam Jackson will start and he offers some explosiveness this offense is missing. They also have a few transfers on both side of the ball that will help improve the team including Florida linebacker David Reese and San Diego State transfer cornerback Patrick McMorris. This could be a sneaky alright team in 2023 if their transfers hit and their returning starters take a step forward.

8. Washington State Cougars

Projected Record: 6-6

Wins: Colorado State, Northern Colorado, Oregon State, Arizona, Stanford, Colorado

Losses: Wisconsin, UCLA, Oregon, Arizona State, Cal, Washington

Washington State is a team who was led by their defense all last year. After losing key starting linebackers, I’m expecting a step back. Quarterback Cam Ward also needs to play better and they have a new offensive coordinator that will help him. I like this team’s defensive line, but outside of that the other position groups are underwhelming. A bowl game would be a good finish for Jake Dickert’s squad.

9. Arizona Wildcats

Projected Record: 5-7

Wins: Northern Arizona, UTEP, Stanford, Oregon State, Arizona State

Losses: Mississippi State, Washington, USC, Washington State, UCLA, Colorado, Utah

Even after losing one of Arizona’s best offensive weapons in Dorian Singer, this offense should be good again. Jayden De Lauria is a talented quarterback, but will have to focus on limiting turnovers. He will have three talented wide receivers (Jacob Cowing, Tetairoa McMillan, and Montana Lemonious-Craig) to assist reaching his potential. Star left tackle Jordan Morgan helps too. But the defense was disgustingly bad last year and after losing their top defensive linemen to graduation and the transfer portal… I wouldn’t expect a huge improvement. Making a bowl game would be a good season for them.

10. Colorado Buffaloes

Projected Record: 4-8

Wins: Colorado State, Arizona State, Stanford, Arizona

Losses: TCU, Nebraska, Oregon, USC, UCLA, Oregon State, Washington State, Utah

The Buffaloes’ offense should be good even with a below average offensive line. Shadeur Sanders is a solid quarterback and Deion Sanders brought in standout skill transfers including wide receivers Xavier Weaver and Jimmy Horn Jr. from USF, Travis Hunter, and running backs Alton McCaskill from Houston and Kavosiey Smoke from Kentucky. Defense is another story, where Colorado took 13 defensive line transfers, 4 linebacker transfers and 11 defensive back transfers. There are some standouts on the defense who could breakout like: Travis Hunter and freshman Cormani McClain at cornerback, former five star linebacker Savell Smalls from Washington, defensive linemen Shane Coaks from Dartmouth, Derrick McClendon from Florida State, and Leonard Payne from Fresno State, and finally linebackers Demouy Kennedy and Vonta Bentley from Alabama and Clemson. But overall, the defensive talent and depth isn’t up to par right now. Making a bowl game would be phenomenal in Deion Sanders’ first season.

11. Arizona State Sun Devils

Projected Record: 3-9

Wins: Southern Utah, Fresno State, Washington State

Losses: Oklahoma State, USC, Cal, Colorado, Washington, Utah, UCLA, Oregon, Arizona

The college football media made a huge uproar on how much Colorado is using the portal… Arizona State is the second highest transfer portal team with over 50 new scholarship players. The Sun Devils had one of the worst defenses last year and the defense this year will be pieced together by transfers. Arizona State is a rebuilding team with a few nice skill position pieces, but this is going to be a multi-year rebuild. Especially since they are starting a true freshman, Jaden Rashada, at quarterback.

12. Stanford Cardinals

Projected Record: 3-9

Wins: Hawaii, Sacramento State, UCLA

Losses: USC, Arizona, Oregon, Colorado, Washington, Washington State, Oregon State, Cal, Notre Dame

Overall, I really like new coach Troy Taylor as he wins everywhere he goes and brings an exciting offense. But with only five returning starters and the football program not able to fully utilize the transfer portal, Stanford is one of the worst power five teams out there.

ACC Championship: Clemson over Florida State

1. Clemson Tigers

Projected Record: 11-2

Wins: Duke, Charleston Southern, Florida Atlantic, Florida State, Syracuse, Wake Forest, NC State, Notre Dame, Georgia Tech, South Carolina, Florida State (ACC Championship)

Losses: Miami, North Carolina

Clemson is revamping their offense with new offensive coordinator Garrett Riley. Cade Klubnik takes over at quarterback and if they find a wide receiver to step up, this offense should be much improved. On defense, there will be also improvement with Tyler Davis and Peter Woods on the interior defensive line and returning the entire secondary. Clemson is the team to beat in the ACC, not Florida State.

2. Florida State Seminoles

Projected Record: 9-4

Wins: Southern Miss, Boston College, Virginia Tech, Syracuse, Duke, Wake Forest, Miami, North Alabama, Florida

Losses: LSU, Clemson, Pittsburgh, Clemson (ACC Championship)

Florida State hit the transfer portal hard and strengthened their wide receiving room (Keon Coleman -MSU), tight end room and defensive line. Add in expereinced players Jordan Travis, Trey Benson, and Jared Verse… this is a very good team ready to make the jump. Now is that a jump to ACC champs remains the question.

3. North Carolina Tar Heels

Projected Record: 8-4

Wins: Appalachian State, Minnesota, Syracuse, Virginia, Georgia Tech, Campbell, Duke, Clemson

Losses: South Carolina, Pittsburgh, Miami, NC State

North Carolina can be summed up as having a very good offense (would be better if Tez Walker received a transfer clearance) and below average defense. However, the defense should improve with everyone in the front seven that played 200 snaps being back. Drake Maye can carry this team to eight wins.

4. Miami Hurricanes

Projected Record: 8-4

Wins: Miami (Ohio), Bethune-Cookman, Temple, Georgia Tech, North Carolina, Clemson, Virginia, Louisville

Losses: Texas A&M, NC State, Florida State, Boston College

Miami will make a massive improvement mostly because they finally have some dudes on the offensive line (Matt Lee – UCF, Javion Cohen – Alabama, Francis Mauigoa – FIve Star Freshman). With Tyler Van Dyke improving after a rocky sophomore season and the defensive transfer additions, this team is going to go at least bowling.

5. Pittsburgh Panthers

Projected Record: 8-4

Wins: Wofford, Cincinnati, West Virginia, North Carolina, Virginia Tech, Louisville, Florida State, Boston College

Losses: Wake Forrest, Notre Dame, Syracuse, Duke

Expect your classic hard-nosed Pitt team. But also with some improvement since Phil Jurkovic takes over for Kedon Slovis at quarterback. Pitt will be a tough out in the ACC.

6. NC State Wolfpack

Projected Record: 8-4

Wins: UConn, Notre Dame, VMI, Virginia, Louisville, Marshall, Miami, North Carolina

Losses: Duke, Clemson, Wake Forest, Virginia Tech

Brennan Armstrong comes in to take over at quarterback with his former offensive coordinator Robert Anai. I also really like the defense as they have one of the best corner tandems in the nation. The Wolfpack need to figure out something at WR, but overall expect a solid season.

7. Louisville Cardinals

Projected Record: 7-5

Wins: Georgia Tech, Murray State, Indiana, Boston College, Duke, Virginia Tech, Virginia

Losses: NC State, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Miami, Kentucky

It is year one back at his alma matter for coach Brohm. He will get this offense going right a way. If the defense can also get rolling, and with their very easy ACC schedule… this team could have a decent amount of wins.

8. Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Projected Record: 7-5

Wins: Elon, Old Dominion, Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, Pittsburgh, NC State, Syracuse

Losses: Vanderbilt, Clemson, Florida State, Duke, Notre Dame

Wake Forrest loses Sam Hartman, which is a huge loss, but I just expect Wake Forest to continue to make bowls especially in a weak ACC. The loss of wide receiver Donovan Greene does hurt quite a bit.

9. Duke Blue Devils

Projected Record: 7-5

Wins: Lafayette, Northwestern, UConn, NC State, Wake Forrest, Virginia, Pittsburgh

Losses: Clemson, Notre Dame, Florida State, Louisville, North Carolina

There is a lot to like about this Duke team especially with Riley Leonard and all of their receivers back. The Blue Devils will actually be better than they were last year… but their schedule is brutal. It will be tough for them to make a bowl, but I trust coach Mike Elko.

10. Syracuse Orange

Projected Record: 6-6

Wins: Colgate, Western Michigan, Army, Boston College, Pittsburgh, Georgia Tech

Losses: Purdue, Clemson, North Carolina, Florida State, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest

Syracuse lost some really good transfers to some major programs and also some key offensive linemen to the draft. But with Garrett Shrader back, they’ll be good enough to make a bowl game.

11. Boston College Eagles

Projected Record: 6-6

Wins: Northern Illinois, Holy Cross, Virginia, Army, UConn, Miami

Losses: Florida State, Louisville, Georgia Tech, Syracuse, Virginia Tech, Pittsburgh

Boston College was starting defensive players at offensive line last season after suffering several injuries. Expect the offense and defense to be improved and this team to fight for a bowl game.

12. Virginia Tech Hokies

Projected Record: 5-7

Wins: Old Dominion, Marshall, Syracuse, NC State, Virginia

Losses: Purdue, Rutgers, Pittsburgh, Florida State, Wake Forrest, Louisville, Boston College

The transfer quarterback could not beat incumbent starter Grant Wells. That is not a good sign. Overall, expect the Hokies to be led by their defense in a struggle for a bowl game.

13. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Projected Record: 4-8

Wins: South Carolina State, Bowling Green, Boston College, Virginia

Losses: Louisville, Ole Miss, Wake Forrest, Miami, North Carolina, Clemson, Syracuse, Georgia

Haynes King takes over as the starting quarterback after transfering from A&M. While the offensive line is experienced and the receiver room should be improved, defensively they lost too much. With a tough schedule it will be tough for the Yellow Jackets to make a bowl game.

14. Virginia Cavaliers

Projected Record: 2-10

Wins: James Madison, William & Mary

Losses: Tennessee, Maryland, NC State, Boston College, North Carolina, Miami, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Duke, Virginia Tech

This team is really bad and Tony Elliott’s offense offers no upside.

TEAM THAT PLAYS AN ACC SCHEDULE BUT REFUSES TO JOIN THE CONFERENCE

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Projected Record: 9-3

Wins: Navy, Tennessee State, Central Michigan, Duke, Louisville, USC, Pittsburgh, Wake Forrest, Stanford

Losses: NC State, Ohio State, Clemson

This is a very strong team that will rely on a solid defense and experienced offensive line. Oh and transfer quarterback Sam Hartman helps. The Fighting Irish will make a massive jump from last year’s offensive performance and be a top 15 team in the country.

SEC Championship: Georgia over Alabama

SEC East

1. Georgia Bulldogs

Projected Record: 13-0

Wins: UT Martin, Ball State, South Carolina, UAB, Auburn, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Florida, Mizzou, Ole Miss, Tennessee, Georgia Tech, Alabama (SEC Championship)

Losses: None

I mean what can I say… this defense returns almost everybody and is going to be insanely good again. Sure you can nitpick and question edge rusher and the second cornerback spot, but the Bulldogs are still elite. On offense, Carson Beck will step in for Stetson Bennett. While they aren’t unbeatable and have a few question marks, the Bulldogs have way less questions than other teams in the nation.

2. Tennessee Volunteers

Projected Record: 10-2

Wins: Virginia, Austin Peay, Florida, UTSA, South Carolina, Texas A&M, Kentucky, UConn, Missouri, Vanderbilt

Losses: Alabama, Georgia

Out goes Hendon Hooker, in comes Joe Milton at quarterback. The offense is set up for success with the skill position players, Josh Heupel’s offense, and new left transfer left tackle John Campbell Jr. The defense returns almost everyone, but are there any standouts? Can the Vols get a pass rush? I’d expect a slight improvement to the defense and another solid season for Tennessee.

3. Kentucky Wildcats

Projected Record: 7-5

Wins: Ball State, Eastern Kentucky, Akron, Vanderbilt, Florida, South Carolina, Louisville

Losses: Georgia, Missouri, Tennessee, Mississippi State, Alabama

Last year’s offense was absolutely atrocious. This is a new season though where there is a lot to believe in offensively: Liam Cohen coming back at OC, Devin Leary coming in at QB, RB Ray Davis transferring from Vandy, a dangerous, young receiving tandem, and a retooled offensive line with a legit LT in Marques Cox. Defensively the Cats were fantastic last year, but expect a step back. Especially with the corners being transfer dependent (JQ Hardaway and Jantzen Dunn). The offensive improvement will be enough to get this team to 7 wins.

4. Florida Gators

Projected Record: 6-6

Wins: McNeese State, Charlotte, Vanderbilt, Arkansas, LSU, Missouri

Losses: Utah, Tennessee, Kentucky, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida State

5. South Carolina Gamecocks

Projected Record: 6-6

Wins: North Carolina, Furman, Mississippi State, Florida, Jacksonville State, Vanderbilt

Losses: Georgia, Tennessee, Missouri, Texas A&M, Kentucky, Clemson

If you look at this team from a 30-foot view, things don’t seem bad at all. (1) Shane Beamer is on season three coming off two seasons in a row of winning 7 or more games. (2) Quarterback Spencer Rattler and star WR Juice Wells are coming back for a final year. (3) South Carolina has had back to back top 25 recruiting classes. But when you really dive in… I’m worried. The offensive line is heavily inexperienced and the defense lost some of their best players to the NFL draft and the transfer portal. This includes six of their top eight snap count players in 2022. Overall, expect a little step back especially with a difficult schedule.

6. Missouri Tigers

Projected Record: 6-6

Wins: South Dakota, Middle Tennessee, Kansas State, Memphis, Kentucky, South Carolina

Losses: Vanderbilt, LSU, Georgia, Tennessee, Florida, Arkansas

With Mizzou, I actually believe in the defense, It is the offense I have an issue with when you consider QB Brady Cook is still starting and their offensive line is no better than OK (even after stealing 40% of Houston’s OL starters) I’ll say one nice thing about the Tigers offense: they have a very good, underrated receiving group. But this is an average team who won’t score very many points and play low scoring games. THEY ARE MID.

7. Vanderbilt Commodores

Projected Record: 5-7

Wins: Hawaii, Alabama A&M, Wake Forest, UNLV, Missouri

Losses: Kentucky, Florida, Georgia, Ole Miss, Auburn, South Carolina, Tennessee

In the last few years, the Vanderbilt preview was straight doom and gloom. I actually think Vandy is competent this year and starting to build off their improved recruiting. AJ Swann at quarterback isn’t terrible and the offensive line returns almost everyone. Defense won’t be great, but they’ll be feisty. Things are looking up around Vandy…. but they’ll still finish last in the SEC East.

SEC West

1. Alabama Crimson Tide

Projected Record: 11-2

Wins: Utah State, Texas, Louisiana-Monroe, Vanderbilt, Arkansas, Texas A&M, Tennessee, Mississippi State, LSU, Ole Miss, Austin Peay, Auburn, Georgia (SEC Championship)

Losses: Texas A&M, Georgia (SEC Championship)

This is another talented Alabama team, but it has the biggest quarterback question since the start of the 2016 season where Jalen Hurts, Blake Barnett, and Cooper Bateman battled it out. What doesn’t add to the optimism is Alabama adding Notre Dame’s Tyler Buchner to the mix after both Jalen Milroe and Ty Simpson failed to win the job. I still believe the starter will be Milroe or Simpson. The rest of the offense is stellar with a really good offensive line, talented running back room and deep receiving group.

The defensive talent is undeniable. Dallas Turner and Chris Braswell will lead the pressure off the edge with 5-star true freshman Keon Keeley waiting right behind him. One of the best players on the defense will be another 5-star freshman, safety Caleb Downs and also the best corner in the country Kool-Aid McKinstry. Overall, the quarterback question keeps them out of the elite group (Georgia)… but if Saban has a quarterback emerge from medicority, the Tide are a National title contender.

2. LSU Tigers

Projected Record: 10-2

Wins: Florida State, Grambling State, Mississippi State, Arkansas, Ole Miss, Missouri, Auburn, Army, Georgia State, Texas A&M

Losses: Alabama, Florida

LSU’s offense will be solid as they return most of their offensive line and have a top 5 receiving group in the country. While I think Jayden Daniels has a ceiling, he proved last year to be an efficient player. The defensive line is the strength with Mekhi Wingo and Maason Smith. Add in Harold Perkins and Oregon State transfer, Omar Speights, the Tigers will be fine in the front seven. However, people are glancing over the depth at corner behind transfer starters Duce Chesnut (Syracuse) and Zy Alexander (Southern). LSU could win the SEC West again.

3. Texas A&M Aggies

Projected Record: 9-3

Wins: New Mexico, Miami, Loisiana-Monroe, Auburn, Arkansas, Alabama, South Carolina, Mississippi State

Losses: Tennessee, Ole Miss, LSU

Connor Weigman enters season two and he showed some glimpses of being a pretty good quarterback. Plenty of help is in the wide receiver room with upcoming star Evan Stewart, Noah Thomas, and seniors Moose Muhammad II and Ainias Smith. The offensive line was just alright last year, but they return almost everyone. Defensively, A&M will take a step forward with so many returning starters. McKinley Jackson and Walter Nolen will lead the interior defensive line, but they will need an edge rusher to step up. Overall, this is a very good team with a high ceiling and a low floor, like we saw in last year’s 5-7 season. The floor will end the Jimbo train quicker than a motorcycle accident, if the offense doesn’t get it together under Bobby Petrino.

4. Ole Miss Rebels

Projected Record: 8-4

Wins: Mercer, Tulane, Georgia Tech, Arkansas, Auburn, Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, Louisiana Monroe

Losses: Alabama, LSU, Georgia, Mississippi State

I could go in depth on every transfer Lane Kiffin took and every single one that left. But I know for a fact you would not sit here and read all that. So we will keep it simple: I like Jaxson Dart and I trust the direction of this offense with Quinshon Judkins at running back. But the defense is a total question mark with transfers all over the place (watch out for Five-Star freshman LB Suntarine Perkins though). Just like Lane, the defense makes this team a total wildcard. I’m going on the positive side with an 8-4 prediction, which tracks with history as Lane Kiffin hasn’t won less than 8 games in a full season during his time with the Rebels.

5. Auburn Tigers

Projected Record: 7-5

Wins: UMass, Cal, Samford, Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, Arkansas, New Mexico State

Losses: Texas A&M, Georgia, LSU, Ole Miss, Alabama

Auburn and Hugh Freeze announced mediocre starter Payton Thorne will start, but they did revamp their entire offensive line and receiving group with transfers. On defense, they need someone to step up at edge rusher. However, Auburn keeps the strength of the defense by returning almost the entire secondary. This could be a sneaky good Auburn team in Hugh Freeze’s first season.

6. Mississippi State Bulldogs

Projected Record: 6-6

Wins: Southeast Louisiana, Arizona, Western Michigan, Kentucky, Southern Miss, Ole Miss

Losses: LSU, South Carolina, Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Texas A&M

Will Rogers returns for another season as the SEC’s all-time completions leader. This will be a very different offense going from Mike Leach’s air raid to new offensive coordinator Kevin Barbay’s run-heavy offense coming from Appalachian State. The offense will go behind the Bulldog offensive line that returns every starter from last year. Look for leading rusher Jo’Quavious Marks and Penn State transfer Keyvone Lee to be the key running backs. The receiver room is OK with a few returning starters and Freddie Roberson who had 792 receiving yards at Eastern Washington last year.

Defensively, they have to replace their three starting safeties and NFL first round pick and Emmanuel Forbes. Decamerion Richardson will lead the secondary as a starting corner in this 3-3-5 defense. Jett Johnson and Nathaniel Watson returning at linebacker certainly helps with each player having over 100 tackles last year. The defensive line has two solid starters with Nathan Pickering and Jaden Crumedy, but they will need someone else to step up.

It is going to be an interesting year for first time head coach Zach Arnett. With all of the departures in the secondary it will be tough for them to compete at the top of the SEC West. However, this is a veteran team that will be a tough out in the middle of the SEC.

7. Arkansas Razorbacks

Projected Record: 6-6

Wins: Western Carolina, Kent State, BYU, Mississippi State, FIU, Mizzou

Losses: LSU, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Alabama, Florida, Auburn

Yes, I like QB KJ Jefferson and RB Rocket Sanders, but I have no idea what the Razorbacks are going to get from the wide receiver transfers they took from FCS and D2 schools. The defense is surprisingly still pretty good as they are really deep at defensive line and are decent in the secondary with Dwight McGothern leading the charge. I know I have them last in the SEC West… but someone has to be last. Arkansas is a quality team that is in the same tier as Mississippi State and Auburn.

Big 12 Championship: Texas over Kansas State

1. Texas Longhorns

Projected Record: 11-2

Wins: Rice, Wyoming, Baylor, Kansas, Oklahoma, Houston, BYU, TCU, Iowa State, Texas Tech, Kansas State (Big 12 Championship)

Losses: Alabama, Kansas State

I know. I know. “You can’t trust Texas.” But I can’t find a football reason not to trust this team. Offensively, I like Quinn Ewers’ potential, the running back room is fine, they bring back everyone back to what will be the best offensive line in the Big 12, and the wide receiver room is legitimately a top 3 unit in the nation with Xavier Worthy, Adonai Mitchell (Georgia transfer), Isaiah Neyor, Jordan Whittington, and Five-Star Freshman Johntay Cook. On defense, the Longhorns return many of their key starters that finished 1st in the Big 12 in points per game. Texas is by far the favorite to win the Big 12… which would be their first since 2009.

2. Kansas State Wildcats

Projected Record: 9-4

Wins: Southeast Missouri, Troy, UCF, Oklahoma State, TCU, Houston, Texas, Baylor, Iowa State

Losses: Missouri, Texas Tech, Kansas, Texas (Big 12 CHampionship)

Kansas State’s offense could be better than last year with the entire offensive line back and returning quarterback Will Howard. I say that even with losing their best player, Deuce Vaughn. Defensively, I think the front is strong, but they lack some size on the interior of the defensive line. If they get the FCS transfer corners to step up (big question) this will be a dangerous team in the Big 12.

3. Oklahoma Sooners

Projected Record: 9-3

Wins: Arkansas State, SMU, Tulsa, Cincinnati, Iowa State, UCF, Kansas, West Virginia, TCU

Losses: Texas, Oklahoma State, BYU

2022 was more than disappointing for Oklahoma, finishing with a losing record and 3-6 in conference play. However, the offense was pretty good when Dillon Gabriel was healthy. He returns, and even though I have no idea who will step up in their receiving room and take over the #1 position left by Marvin Mims, the offense will be fine with OC Jeff Lebby. The offensive line also lost a few starters, but I see them being set at the tackle position with Tyler Guyton at Right Tackle and the Stanford transfer Walter Rouse at Left Tackle. Defense is the unit that needs to improve if the Sooners want to finish in the top of the Big 12. With the amount of talent Oklahoma has returning, the transfers they acquired in the portal, and Venables defensive mind… I trust there will be a jump. Overall, I project the Sooners to finish in the top quarter of the division, but making the Big 12 championship? I don’t know if I am buying it. The easy schedule gets them to 9 wins.

4. TCU Horned Frogs

Projected Record: 8-4

Wins: Colorado, Nicholls State, Houston, SMU, West Virginia, BYU, Texas Tech, Baylor

Losses: Iowa State, Kansas State, Texas, Oklahoma

Sonny Dykes returns for season number two after a dream season where TCU beat Michigan in the Fiesta Bowl and nothing else happened after that. While the Horned Frogs did lose quite a few players to the NFL draft, they lessened the impact with transfers. Chandler Morris will also be starting at QB after winning the QB battle for the second year in a row (Max Duggan took over due to injury). I’m still not in love with the running back room with Emani Bailey at starter and Trey Sanders taking 2nd team reps. But the receiver room is deep/intriguing with transfers John Paul-Richardson, Jojo Earle Jack Bech, Jaylon Robinson, and Dylan Wright. Savion Williams also returns to this receiving room. Damonic Williams is the star at the defensive line at nose tackle, but as for the other defensive line starters?? Huge concern. The strength of this TCU defense will be on the back end with solid starting corners Josh Newton and Avery Helm and returning safeties Bud Clark and Mark Perry. Overall, I expect more of a regression to the mean with a solid 8-4 season.

5. Kansas Jayhawks

Projected Record: 7-5

Wins: Missouri State, Nevada, BYU, UCF, Texas Tech, Kansas State, Cincinnati

Losses: Illinois, Texas, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Iowa State

Call me a Lance Leipold believer after turning Kansas into a bowl team for the first time since Mark Mangino was the coach in 2008. As for 2023, the offense is a really solid unit that brings just about everyone back including star quarterback Jalon Daniels. It is the questionable defense holding them back after finishing in the bottom twenty in the nation last year. The Jayhawks took a bunch of transfers on the defensive line with the hopes of improvement, while they return the entire secondary. This team takes another step as long as the defense play is even just average.

6. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Projected Record: 7-5

Wins: Wyoming, Tarleton State, West Virginia, Houston, Baylor, Kansas State, UCF

Losses: Oregon, BYU, TCU, Kansas, Texas

Texas Tech enters year two of the Joey McGuire era as the nation’s pick to be the “Dark Horse in the Big 12”. While I am on board with McGuire’s recruiting and believe the Red Raiders have upside…. I’m not ready to project them to make the Big 12 championship. The offense is an experienced unit at quarterback with Tyler Shough (8-0 in games he was healthy in 2022) and also at receiver, especially Jerrand Bradley. The offensive line is the question mark to see if they improve after being highly inconsistent last year. Defensively, there are exciting players on the defensive line, especially with Syracuse transfer Steve Linton and 6’6 285 pound defensive lineman Myles Cole. Overall, this is a solid football team whose upside, if everything hits, is the Big 12 championship game.

7. Oklahoma State Cowboys

Projected Record: 7-5

Wins: Central Arkansas, Arizona State, South Alabama, Kansas, West Virginia, Cincinnati, BYU

Losses: Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, UCF, Houston

Oklahoma State had a mass exodus via the transfer portal. But the Cowboys still kept some of their best players and this is usually when Mike Gundy is at his best, as the underdog. The schedule also sets up extremely well. It is crazy to think about, but their starting quarterback is Alan Bowman who was starting games for Texas Tech from 2018-2020. His number one option will be returning leading receiver Brennan Presley. On defense, they transition to a 3-3-5 defense and believe they have a sleeper nose tackle with Utah Tech’s Justin Kirkland. But I still have questions in the secondary. Overall, Gundy will find a way to make a bowl game.

8. UCF Knights

Projected Record: 7-5

Wins: Kent State, Boise State, Villanova, Baylor, Cincinnati, Oklahoma State, Houston

Losses: Kansas State, Kansas, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Texas Tech

UCF is an intriguing new Big 12 team as their recruiting has taken a step up since joining the conference and the Knights already had decent talent on their roster. John Rhys Plumlee will lead the offense again with a solid duo of former Iron Bowl wide receivers Kobe Hudson and Javon Baker. The offensive line is also good enough to hold up in the Big 12. Along the same theme, the defensive line has some intriguing talent. It’s going to be the back seven that may not be up to Power 5 standards, but linebacker Rian Davis from Georgia should help. Overall, I see this as a team that will compete in the middle of the Big 12 in its first year.

9. BYU Cougars

Projected Record: 6-6

Wins: Sam Houston, Southern Utah, Cincinnati, Texas Tech, Iowa State

Losses: Arkansas, Kansas, TCU, Texas, West Virginia, Oklahoma State

BYU is a team I am higher on than others. The offense is sneaky good with transfers QB Kedon Slovis (Pitt) and running back Aidan Robbins (UNLV). The offensive line will be decent with the depth added in the transfer portal and returning starters including LT Kingsley Suatamala. While the defense will not be great, I project there will be improvement as they rely heavy on transfers (including players from new DC, Jay Hill, last coaching job Weber State). Playing in Provo isn’t easy and BYU is ready to play spoiler.

10. Baylor Bears

Projected Record: 5-7

Wins: Texas State, Long Island, Cincinnati, Houston, West Virginia

Losses: Utah, Texas, UCF, Texas Tech, Iowa State, Kansas State, TCU

Year 3 of head coach Dave Aranda and we absolutely nailed the prediction last year. The AP poll had this team as a 2022 preseason top 10 team and TGIS told you that was nuts (Baylor ended up finishing 6-7). Question number one is how much does QB Blake Shappen develop after beating out Mississippi State transfer Sawyer Robertson in camp? This team has a good running back with Oklahoma St. Dominic Richardson, but there are quite a bit of new starters up at the offensive line and an average receiving group. The offense is average! Defensively, the secondary is incredibly young after losing a few starters to Arkansas and there is a weakness on the defensive line as I do not see them being able to replace Siaka Ika. Sorry Waco… I’m not in love with this Baylor team.

11. Iowa State Cyclones

Projected Record: 5-7

Wins: Northern Iowa, Ohio, TCU, Baylor, Kansas

Losses: Iowa, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Cincinnati, BYU, Texas, Kansas State

It turns out both me and the Iowa State players were betting on games last year. Iowa State already announced a few suspensions of players for gambling, including (now former) starting quarterback Hunter Dekkers. Expect more players suspended as we get closer to their first game. I still expect Matt Campbell’s underdog Cyclone team to pull out some surprising wins.

12. West Virginia Mountaineers

Projected Record: 4-8

Wins: Duquesne, UCF, BYU, Cincinnati

Losses: Penn State, Pittsburgh, Texas Tech, TCU, Houston, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Baylor

This is it. This will be head coach Neal Brown’s last season. Other than the five starters returning on the offensive line and Devin Carter as the top wide receiver, the offense is filled with below average starters. Defensively, the Mountaineers lost a large number of players and must rely heavily on transfers, especially in the secondary. This is a bottom of the conference team where the rebuilding seems to be never ending.

13. Cincinnati Bearcats

Projected Record: 4-8

Wins: Eastern Kentucky, Miami (Ohio), Iowa State, Houston

Losses: Pittsburgh, Oklahoma, BYU, Baylor, Oklahoma State, UCF, West Virginia, Kansas

The Cincinnati offensive line is going to be highly questionable following all the departures. Add in a shaky starter in Emory Jones and a new receiving group… this won’t be one of the top units in the Big 12. The defense will also take a step back after losing some key guys including Ivan Pace, although they still have his brother Deshawn at nickel. The corner transfer from Florida, Jordan Young, made an immediate impact this spring and will be CB1. This defensive unit is unpredictable as they are transfer-reliant. Below average offense and average defense projects to a rough start for the Bearcats in the new Big 12.

14. Houston Cougars

Projected Record: 4-8

Wins: UTSA, Rice, Sam Houston, West Virginia

Losses: TCU, Texas Tech, Texas, Kansas State, Baylor, Cincinnati, Oklahoma State, UCF

Texas Tech former starting quarterback Donovan Smith steps in after showing promise with tools, but not production. The offense suffered huge hits in the portal after losing several offensive line projected starters and their playmaker RB Alton McCaskill, I don’t see Houston having a scary offense anymore. Defense is also a wildcard as they are transfer-led. This might be a rough first year for the Cougars as they enter Big 12 play.

Big Ten Championship: Penn State over Iowa

Big Ten East

1. Penn State Nittany Lions

Projected Record: 12-1

Wins: West Virginia, Delaware, Illinois, Iowa, Northwestern, UMass, Ohio State, Indiana, Maryland, Rutgers, Michigan State, Iowa (Big Ten Championship)

Losses: Michigan

I am buying the hype as this is Coach James Franklin’s most talented team. On offense, I trust this offensive line to open up holes for one of the most talented running back duos in the country, Nic Singleton and Kaytron Allen. Quarterback Drew Allar ceiling is off the charts and where this team’s ceiling is dependent on him. Defensively, they are loaded with athleticism with 4 players making Bruce Feldman’s “Freak List”. One of those players who didn’t make the list is cornerback Kalen King… a potential first round pick. I put Penn State up there with Ohio State and Michigan even if the betting market doesn’t. Go ahead and sprinkle a little on Penn State +550 to win the Big Ten.

2. Ohio State Buckeyes

Projected Record: 10-2

Wins: Indiana, Youngstown State, Western Kentucky, Notre Dame, Maryland, Purdue, Rutgers, Michigan State, Minnesota, Michigan

Losses: Penn State, Wisconsin

Ohio State can’t lose three times in a row to Michigan right? There are legitimate questions with this team though: (1) They haven’t named a starter at quarterback between Kyle McCord and Devin Brown. (2) The offensive tackles were not impressive in the spring and the Buckeyes were forced to go to the transfer portal to pick up Josh Simmons from San Diego State to start. (3) They lost 4 of their top 6 defensive backs from last year and had to replace those guys via the portal. However, outside of those three questions this team has the best receiving group in the country and some real difference makers on defense. I just see those questions leading to 1-2 losses this year.

3. Michigan Wolverines

Projected Record: 10-2

Wins: East Carolina, UNLV, Bowling Green, Rutgers, Nebraska, Minnesota, Indiana, Michigan State, Purdue, Penn State

Losses: Maryland, Ohio State

Michigan made it to the playoff the last two years, but have fell flat when they get there. The offense will be good again, but it depends on if quarterback JJ McCarthy can take a step forward or if his ceiling is capped. The defense is where this group shines as they were a top ten unit last year and should be even better. this year The Wolverines are led by Kris Jenkins up front and Will Johnson as one of the best young corners in the secondary. Michigan is a legitimate contender for a playoff spot again.

4. Maryland Terrapins

Projected Record: 7-5

Wins: Towson, Charlotte, Virginia, Michigan State, Indiana, Northwestern, Michigan, Rutgers

Losses: Ohio State, Illinois, Penn State, Nebraska

Mike Locksley has really turned Maryland from a doormat in the Big Ten to a legitimate team. This season the offensive and defensive line are questionable. But outside of that, the Terps are talented with Taulia Tagovailoa at quarterback and several young upcoming stars on the defensive side. Maryland is not a team that you will look forward to play.

5. Michigan State Spartans

Projected Record: 6-6

Wins: Central Michigan, Richmond, Maryland, Rutgers, Nebraska, Indiana

Losses: Washington, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio State, Penn State

The Spartans were over ranked going into last year (TGIS called it). But look for them to bounce back and make a bowl game. Replacing Payton Thorne isn’t a monumental challenge, but replacing receivers Jayden Reed and Keon Coleman will be near impossible. Still with a group that returned almost their entire offensive line and getting back healthy on defense will do wonders. Especially with the transfers Michigan State added like TexasA&M’s Tunmise Adeleye. Overall, Sparty should be bowl bound.

6. Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Projected Record: 5-7

Wins: Northwestern, Temple, Virginia Tech, Wagner, Indiana

Losses: Michigan, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Ohio State, Iowa, Penn State, Maryland

The offense was terrible last year and there is a real question on whether quarterback Gavin Wimsatt can play at this level. But the defense is sneaky good. It is just whether Rutgers can improve from “eyes-bleeding” bad offense to just “makes you a little sick” offense. Don’t think Rutgers makes a bowl… the Scarlett Knights will be home for Christmas.

7. Indiana Hoosiers

Projected Record: 2-10

Wins: Indiana State, Akron

Losses: Ohio State, Louisville, Maryland, Michigan, Rutgers, Penn State, Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan State, Purdue

I’m not going to waste your time…. Indiana is a bad football going into 2023. Keep it moving with the rest of the Big Ten preview.

Big Ten West

1. Iowa Hawkeyes

Projected Record: 10-3

Wins: Utah State, Iowa State, Western Michigan, Michigan State, Purdue, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Northwestern, Rutgers, Illinois

Losses: Penn State, Nebraska, Penn State (Big Ten Championship)

Iowa finished 120th in offense and in the top five on defense. This led to OC Brian Ferenz’s contract restructuring where if Iowa does not score 25 points per game this year, he will be fired. Let the chase to 300 begin (12 games x 25 points = 300 total points). This should be easy with new quarterback Cade McNamara and four returning starters at offensive line. The defense will also be just as good. This should absolutely be Iowa’s year to win the west.

2. Wisconsin Badgers

Projected Record: 10-2

Wins: Buffalo, Washington State, Georgia Southern, Purdue, Rutgers, Ohio State, Indiana, Northwestern, Nebraska, Minnesota

Losses: Iowa, Illinois

The Luke Fickell era starts in Madison. Add in Phil Longo’s new “Dairy Raid” offense and this should be fun. The Badgers’ offense will be fast pace and led by running back Braelon Allen. But I’m not sure they have the playmakers on the outside to be one of the top scoring teams in the Big Ten. Luckily, the defense can lead this team as the unit remains solid with plenty of returning starters. Expect a big year for the Badgers in year one of Fickell.

3. Illinois Fighting Illini

Projected Record: 8-4

Wins: Toledo, Kansas, Florida Atlantic, Nebraska, Maryland, Wisconsin, Indiana, Northwestern

Losses: Penn State, Purdue, Minnesota, Iowa

Welcome to being a Big Ten West contender Illinois! Last year their defense was fantastic and now they return the entire front seven. The defensive line is up there with Ohio State and Michigan for top defensive lines. The unit is led by potential first round pick Johnny Newton. If Illinois wants to win the West they must improve on their offense which ranked 100th last year in the nation. Quarterback Luke Altmyer steps in after transferring from Ole Miss. Expect Illinois to have another solid season under Brett Bielema.

4. Nebraska Cornhuskers

Projected Record: 7-5

Wins: Colorado, Northern Illinois, Louisiana Tech, Northwestern, Purdue, Maryland, Iowa

Losses: Minnesota, Michigan, Illinois, Michigan State, Wisconsin

History says to bet on new head coach Matt Rhule in season 2 rather than season 1. History may be right as the team isn’t great up front on either side of the ball and the Cornhuskers will have to rely on inexperienced wide receivers. But with the top 6 of the 7 guys back in the secondary and experienced transfer QB Jeff Sims… I sense a little upside. Look for Nebraska to go bowling.

5. Purdue Boilermakers

Projected Record: 7-5

Wins: Fresno State, Virginia Tech, Syracuse, Illinois, Minnesota, Northwestern, Indiana

Losses: Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio State, Nebraska, Michigan

New coach Ryan Walters brings his defensive mind to the Boilermakers, but he has some work to do relying mostly on transfers. The offense received a huge boost with transfer Texas QB Hudson Card. While the offensive line is sketchy also, Card can get them to 7 wins in the Big Ten West.

6. Minnesota Golden Gophers

Projected Record: 6-6

Wins: Nebraska, Eastern Michigan, Northwestern, Louisiana-Lafayette, Michigan State, Illinois

Losses: North Carolina, Michigan, Iowa, Purdue, Ohio State, Wisconsin

I just can’t trust this team in 2023. While the starting Quarterback Athan Kaliakmanis is nicknamed “The Greek Rifle”, his play has not lived up to the awesome name. Add in a regressing offensive line leads to a lack of faith in the Golden Gophers offense. This team will be led by their defense again, but there are questions on that side of the ball after losing three of their four top corners from last year. The boat most likely coasts this year rather than rowing with Minnesota not competing at the top of the Big Ten West.

7. Northwestern Wildcats

Projected Record: 2-10

Wins: UTEP, Howard

Losses: Rutgers, Duke, Minnesota, Penn State, Nebraska, Maryland, Iowa, Wisconsin, Purdue, Illinois

Yeah…. there is a lot going on with this program. The Wildcats are going to get bullied in the Big Ten this season.