Category Archives: NFL

TGIS NFL Preview – Week 14

By: Nick Radivoj

I went back to the drawing board this week as I’ve hit a slump in NFL action going 5-10 last week bringing the season total to 96-95-4. I’m barely hovering above .500 but still losing action with the juice so let’s get back on track here. Only 13 games of NFL action this weekend as we ewave goodbye to the Falcons, Bears, Packers, Colts, Saints, and Commanders this weekend. Let’s get ourselves healthily back over .500 with a winning Week 14.

Las Vegas Raiders (5-7) at Los Angeles Rams (3-9)

When: 8:15 PM on 12/8

Line: Raiders -6

O/U: 44

Raiders have found their groove as of late utilizing their outside threat in Devante Adams and then bruising between the tackles with Josh Jacobs. Jacobs has looked like a man running wild as he’s trying to get paid this offseason either by the Raiders or someone else. Meanwhile, Rams look like a far different team from last years Super Bowl winner as they are missing a plethora of key options on both sides of the ball. If you are playing a side the best route to go is more than likely laying the points with Vegas but I’m playing the over in this game. Raiders should be able to score on the Rams causing them to play catchup early and often. Mcvay is still regarded as one of the best offensive minds in football so we will lean on him to get us 20 points here.

The Play: Over 44

New York Jets (7-5) at Buffalo Bills (9-3)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Bills -9.5

O/U: 44

The Mike White experiment continues as he will enter his 3rd game as the starting QB for New York. The test doesn’t get easy as he gets ready to go up against the #1 seed in the AFC in Buffalo. New York was able to upset Buffalo last time utilizing a good blend between their round game and outside weapns and I can see tha thapening again in this spot. Buffalo hasn’t looked like themselves lately and if rookie DB sensation Sauce Gardner can slow down Stefon Diggs throughout the afternoon then they should have a chance here to upset them again. I’m grabbing the points here with New York as it’s just too many in a divional matchup with playoff implications on the line.

The Play: Jets +9.5

Cleveland Browns (5-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (8-4)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Bengals -6

O/U: 47

Deshaun Watson is back in action with 1 win under his belt. It had been almost 2 years since Watson played in an NFL game and it showed on Sunday against the Texans either skipping balls to wide receivers or being wide of the mark. I expect some of that rust to continue to knock off as he gets ready for a divional matchup against Joe Burrow and the Bengals. Cincinnati will have revenge on their minds as they got blown out on Monday Night Football previously to this Browns team before Watson. I’m playing over as I believe this one has the looks of a shootout with a star-studded matchup headlined by Burrow and Watson. I expect big games from both wide receivers on opposite sides of the field in Ja’Marr Chase and Amari Cooper.

The Play: Over 47

Houston Texans (1-10-1) at Dallas Cowboys (9-3)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Cowboys -16.5

O/U: 45.5

With a line this large I don’t normally do this but I’m laying the ponts here with Dallas. Dallas is the superior team in this contest and should win easily by multiple scores. I expect Dallas’ defense to have a field day like they did on Sunday Night Football against the Colts and set up their offense with scoring opportunities deep in Houston territory. Dallas HC Mike McCarthy has seemed more than fine to run up scores against opposing teams throwing the ball late in contests that have already been secured as a win. Houston will continue their quest for the #1 pick in next years NFL Draft as they don’t have the players yet to compete in these types of games.

The Play: Cowboys -16.5

Minnesota Vikings (10-2) at Detroit Lions (5-7)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Vikings -2.5

O/U: 53

This should be one of the more exciting games of the weekend with an NFC North divisional matchup as the Lions try to get back in the NFC playoff hunt. Detroit has had one of the most explosive offenses all throughout the year and I don’t see that stopping now as Minnesota’s secondary looked susceptible to big plays downfield last week against the Jets. I expect the total to be spot on as it has one of the highest totals of the year and I still expect it to go over as a shootout is in order in Minneosta. Detroit contains explosive options in St. Brown and Swift but have now welcomed back first round WR Jameson Williams who has been ramping up and should add more excitement to this Lions offense. Minnesota will go toe to toe with Detroit behind their weapons in Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson.

The Play: Over 53

Jacksonville Jaguars (4-8) at Tennessee Titans (7-5)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Titans -3.5

O/U: 41.5

Not in love this play as Tennessee is coming off a bye but I’m grabbing the number with Jacksonville on the road. I don’t expect rookie WR Treylon Burks to be active in this game as he recovers from a concussion. Without Treylon this Titans wide receiver room isn’t scary at all which should lead to the Jaguars loading up the box to try and stop RB Derrick Henry. If the Jaguars are able to limit Henry over the course of the afternoon then I have confidence in them to not only cover but upset the Titans. The Jaguars won’t be able to run the ball on Tennessee as they have one of the best defensive lines in football so this game will depend heavily on the shoulder of Trevor Lawrence. If Lawrence is able to play like the #1 pick he is then this underdog is live to steal one on the road.

The Play: Jaguars +3.5

Philadelphia Eagles (11-1) at New York Giants (7-4-1)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Eagles -7

O/U: 45.5

It is finally time to stop fading the Eagles as they have proven time and time again to doinate opponents. Jalen Hurts showed off his passing capabilities last week as him and AJ Brown threw up some revenge stats last weekend against Tennessee. Tennessee was able to minimize the ground game from Philly but that didn’t matter over the afternoon with Hurts’ breakout this year. Staying away from the line, I’m playing the under in this game as I expect a tough divisional match up with plenty of runs coming from both sides. Saquon Barkley will be heavily leaned on again as New York doesn’t have many of outside weapons to depend on. Defensive lines will be stout in this one as we are able to take an under ticket to the window.

The Play: Under 45.5

Baltimore Ravens (8-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-7)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Steelers -2.5

O/U: 37

Easiest one of the weekend as I grab the ponts with the Ravens here. Lamar Jackson will be out but backup QB Tyler Huntley has proven that he can come in and give Baltimore great spot starts to keep them afloat as they wait for Lamar to come back from injury. I expect Baltimore’s defense to shut down this Pittsburgh offense as Huntley will be able to do enough to not only cover but win this game for a tight AFC North between Baltimore and Cincinnati.

The Play: Ravens +2.5

Kansas City Chiefs (9-3) at Denver Broncos (3-9)

When: 4:05 PM on 12/11

Line: Chiefs -9

O/U: 43

Kansas City is coming off 2 losses last weekend as they lost to Cincinnati for a 3rd straight time and also lost the #1 seed in the AFC. I expect a major bounce back from this Chiefs team as they line up against a Denver team with minimal offensive explosion. Denver has a phenomenal defense but going up against Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes is a tall task to keep them in this game. I expect Kansas City to come out swinging to get the team back on track. Kansas City wins by multiple scores here as Denver shows again an inability to consistently move the ball over the course of 4 quarters.

The Play: Chiefs -9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6) at San Francisco 49ers (8-4)

When: 4:25 PM on 12/11

Line: 49ers -3.5

O/U: 37.5

Under is the play and should be a relatively easy one. 49ers will be without their QB Jimmy G for an extended amount of time and will be rolling with rookie QB Brock Purdy. Brock looked decent in his action against the Dolphins coming in after Jimmy’s injury but he was still the last pick in last year’s draft for a reason. I expect Kyle Shanahan to have an excellent game plan for the young QB to get the ball out quick to their playmakers outside. The reason under is such a tasty play is that this San Francisco defense should lock down a underwhelming Tampa Bay offense. With their starting QB out, San Francisco will lean even more on their top defensive unit to keep games close for them if the offense hits a wall.

The Play: Under 37.5

Carolina Panthers (4-8) at Seattle Seahawks (7-5)

When: 4:25 PM on 12/11

Line: Seahawks -3.5

O/U: 43.5

Carolina is coming off their bye and travelling across a few timezones to face off against Seattle in this contest. I normally fade teams travelling across timezones but think it’s not as big of a problem in this game as Carolina should be well rested off their bye. I would have grabbed the points with Carolina earlier in the week as they were originally given 6 points but that was quickly bought down to the number we currently have at 3.5. Since we missed the value with the line we will instead play the over as we’ve seen over the past few weeks that Seattle’s defense is a tad fraudulent from what they have showed earlier this season. I expect Carolina to have some success of their own on offense and Seattle to do what they have been throughout this year with their outside weapons in DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.

The Play: Over 43.5

Miami Dolphins (8-4) at Los Angeles Chargers (6-6)

When: 8:20 PM on 12/11

Line: Dolphins -3

O/U: 50.5

Miami is facing adversity as they suffered their first loss in what seems like a long time. Luckily, they should be welcoming back their starting LT Terron Armstead in this matchup which should help Tua have a clearner pocket to throw the ball to his outside weapons in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. I’m expecting a big day from the speedy duo as Los Angeles has been susceptible to big plays on the outside and in the run game. I’m laying the points here with Miami but playng the over could also be a safer play as the Chargers are playing for the playoff lives. Los Angeles has fallen back to .500 and with a loss here will face an uphill climb to make the playoffs so I expect Brandon Staley to be full throttle in this game to get the Chargers in the win column. Justin Herbert should be able to take advantage of a weak Miami secondary if he has enough time to get the ball out to his playmakers. I’m laying th epoins with the road warriors but this is sure to be one of the best games of Week 14.

The Play: Dolphins -3

New England Patriots (6-6) at Arizona Cardinals (4-8)

When: 8:15 PM on 12/12

Line: Patriots -1

O/U: 44

After an exciting Sunday Night Football matchup we are welcomed by a relatively unexciting Monday night matchup. I expect an offense revitalized in New England as it seems the QB Mac Jones and several others have been calling out the playcalling and inability to score. With that, I will be playing the over as I believe New England gets their offense back on track and the Cardinals to have a good offensive game plan ready as they come off their bye. I expect Arizona to be able to stretch the Patriots out wide and downfield with Deandre Hopkins and Hollywood Brown.

The Play: Over 44

NFL Week Preview – Week 13

By: Nick Radivoj

Week 13 is here as we wave goodbye to the Cardinals and Panthers for one week as they enjoy their Winter Break hopefully on a beach somewhere. The ball did not bounce our way Week 12 as we ended up going 7-9 bringing our season total to 91-54-4 (51.7%) on the year. A lot of great NFL action ahead of us with several opportunities to take advantage of value plays so let’s not waste any time as we dive right in to Week 13.

Buffalo Bills (8-3) at New England Patriots (6-5)

When: 8:15 PM on 12/1

Line: Bills -5

O/U: 43.5

An exciting AFC East divisional matchup is set for a Thursday Night Football matchup between a team fighting for the #1 seed and a team fighting to get into the big dance. I’m grabbing the number here with the Patriots at home as they will need to throw the kitchen sink at the Bills in order to get an upset. Buffalo has looked more vulnerable over the past month of football and I expect New England to give a heavy dose of Rhomandre Stevenson throughout the night. I believe over is a good play here as well as New England’s defense looks more human after Minnesota’s offensive explosion against them on Thanksgiving night.

The Play: Patriots +5

Pittsburgh Steelers (4-7) at Atlanta Falcons (5-7)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Steelers -1

O/U: 43

I will be laying the points here with the road team as Pittsburgh gets hot coming off a MNF win against Indy. Pittsburgh has too many offensive weapons for Atlanta to quiet down all afternoon which will lead to the Steelers soaring over 20 points. TJ Watt is back and so is a scary defense in Pittsburgh as the whole nature of the defense is different with him in the lineup. I expect heavy pressure all day on Marcus Mariota and potentially a few turnovers which will account for some easy scores for Kenny Pickett.

The Play: Steelers -1

Green Bay Packers (4-8) at Chicago Bears (3-9)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Packers -3

O/U: 42.5

Aaron Rodgers or Jordan Love? Either way no problem. Chicago has a bottom tier defense which Green Bay should be able to capitalize on. I believe that Justin Fields may not be back for this game either as there is no need to rush him back from injury with nothing to play for down the stretch here. Chicago is already down their top receiving option in Darnell Mooney who suffered a season ending ankle injury so adding a long term Fields’ injury on top of that by rushing him back wouldn’t be great news for a young Chicago team. If Fields does end up playing I love this play a little less but still feel that Green Bay will come out victorious in either outcome.

The Play: Packers -3

Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7) at Detroit Lions (4-7)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Lions -1

O/U: 51.5

Not many times you can find me suggesting a Detroit Lions under and you won’t find it here either. Detroit’s defense has been better as of late but if Trevor Lawrence is build off his last game throwing over 300 yards and 3 touchdowns last week then I feel good. Detroit will provide what we have seen most all season on offense which is explosion from an exciting and unique offense. Be on the lookout for redzone to jump over to this game a lot throughout the afternoon as a shootout should be in store for these two young teams.

The Play: Over 51.5

New York Jets (7-4) at Minnesota Vikings (9-2)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Vikings -3

O/U: 45.5

Under is the play here as New York has shown to have a top defense in the NFL which should be up for the task in slowing down Justin Jefferson and this Minnesota explosive offense. I don’t expect Mike White’s offensive output to continue as he was able to go up against a bottom tier defense I Chicago last week. Minnesota is different than Chicago both in terms of talent on defense and location. Location may seem like a weird thing to lock in on but Minnesota has one of the best home field advantages in football which should throw some confusion at a relatively young New York offense.

The Play: Under 45.5

Washington Commanders (7-5) at New York Giants (7-4)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Commanders -2.5

O/U: 40.5

NFC East divisional match up which could go a long way in determining who ends up making the playoffs later in the season. New York has the injury bug at wide receiver as they will be without 3 of their top options on the outside. New York’s biggest threat on offense is their star RB in Saquon Barkley which is surprisingly good news for Washington. Washington has one of the best defensive lines in football which should be up for the task in slowing down New York. Meanwhile, Washington has a nice plethora of weapons on the outside to attack New York deep and expose their outside corners. If it wasn’t obvious enough already I will be laying the points with the road team here.

The Play: Commanders -2.5

Tennessee Titans (7-4) at Philadelphia Eagles (10-1)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Eagles -5.5

O/U: 44.5

Philadelphia has one of the best records in football but has shown some vulnerability over the past few weeks of football. Ever since Jordan Davis went down with injury Philly’s run defense has been susceptible against both Washington and Green Bay over the past couple of weeks. I expect a heavy dose of Derrick Henry in this contest and the Titans try to control the clock and the game. Philly is a run first type of team and Tennessee has a very stout defensive line which should be up for the task here led by Jeffrey Simmons. If this doesn’t get ugly fast I have confidence in Tennessee to keep this one within the number. If Philly jumps out to a big lead all bets are off if Ryan Tannehill has to play catch up.

The Play: Titans +5.5

Denver Broncos (3-8) at Baltimore Ravens (7-4)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Ravens -8

O/U: 38.5

I have flipped multiple times in this contest as I originally laid the points with Baltimore then came back to potentially play the under. Ultimately, I land on the home team laying the points here as Baltimore wins by double digits. My biggest fear in this match up is that Baltimore will have a double digit lead late as each of their losses have come at the hands of losing a double digit lead late. Luckily, Baltimore will be tasked with stopping one of the worst defenses in the NFL in Denver. Denver is unable to string together plays for long drives and don’t have explosion o offense to score in 1 play. Baltimore should be able to control the ground game similarly to how Carolina did last week against Denver at home. Lamar and company earn their 8th win of the season as Denver falls yet again.

The Play: Ravens -8

Cleveland Browns (4-7) at Houston Texans (1-9-1)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Browns -7

O/U: 47

11 week suspension is up and Deshaun Watson is officially cleared to play again in the NFL. I’m excited to see how this game pans out as Watson returns to Houston where he spent every year of his career so far. I expect a blow out from Cleveland here as they will be too much to handle for Houston both offensively and defensively. Kyle Allen started for Houston last week and looked rather lost out there as Miai was able to pressure Allen all throughout the afternoon. I expect Myles Garrett to have the same kind of impact in this one as turnovers should be in order for this Cleveland defense.

The Play: Browns -7

Seattle Seahawks (6-5) at Los Angeles Rams (3-8)

When: 4:05 PM on 12/4

Line: Seahawks -8

O/U: 41.5

This will be short and sweet as I lay the points with Seattle on the road. The amount of players not playing for Los Angeles will be too much to overcome as they will be without Cooper Kupp, Allen Robinson, a majority of their offensive line starters, Matthew Stafford, and Aaron Donald in this one. Seattle has dropped 2 straight as they became the hunted as opposed to the hunter and need to establish that they are a team to be feared going into their late season push.

The Play: Seahawks -8

Miami Dolphins (8-3) at San Francisco 49ers (47-4)

When: 4:05 PM on 12/4

Line: 49ers -3.5

O/U: 46.5

The apprentice meets the master in this one as former OC for the 49esrs Mike McDaniel comes back to California to upset the home favorites. Unfortunately, Miami will be without one of their prized offseason acquisitions in Terron Armstead. This is a rather big loss as Armstead has been one of the best OTs in football when playing this year. Without him, I expect constant pressure coming from the left side as Nick Bosa will be challenging to block single handed. Double teams are sure to be in order all afternoon for Mr. Bosa. I expect Miami to stay away from the run game and attack San Francisco through the air with their speed demons they have on the outside. 49ers on offense will be able to attack Miami through the air as well as Miami has had difficulty stopping tight ends this year. I expect a big game from George Kittle and Miami’s top WR’s as this one goes flying over the total.

The Play: Over 46.5

Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (7-4)

When: 4:25 PM on 12/4

Line: Chiefs –2.5

O/U: 52.5

A rather easy one here for me as Kansas City looks for their redemption from last year as they dropped 2 pivotal games against Cincinnati last year. If Kansas City loses this game not only does their confidence shake in terms of beating Cincy but they will have lost the #1 seed in the playoffs with 5 games left to play if Buffalo beats New England on Thursday night. Andy Reid will have the team up and ready to play for this one with an improved defense to help stop Joe Burrow and company.  If you would rather stick away from a side then the over would be a fun and exciting way to keep in touch with what’s happening in this one.

The Play: Chiefs -2.5

Los Angeles Chargers (6-5) at Las Vegas Raiders (4-7)

When: 4:25 PM on 12/4

Line: Chargers -2

O/U: 50.5

Most of me wanted to lay the points here with Justin Herbert and the Chargers but I ultimately land on the over. I believe Josh Jacobs will have a field day against Los Angeles run defense as long as he comes into the game healthy. Las Vegas can pair their ground game nicely with Devante Adams outside to put up north of 20 points in this one. Meanwhile, Chargers will be able to move the ball on Las Vegas’ defense as Seattle easily threw up over 30 last weekend. Justin Herbert throws for 3 touchdowns again and continue their playoff push.

The Play: Over 50.5

Indianapolis Colts (4-7-1) at Dallas Cowboys (8-3)

When: 8:20 PM on 12/4

Line: Cowboys -11

O/U: 44

Dallas has looked every bit the part of a Super Bowl contender throughout this year. They have a top defense behind young players like Micah Parsons and Trevon Diggs. When Dallas’ offense gets clicking with the weapons they have paired with their defense they will be a tough out late in the season as playoffs game around. I expect Dallas’ defense to shut down what little offense Indy has and for Dallas to build up a lead to take the air out of the ball in the second half. Dallas reaches the 20 point threshold but their top defense quiets Indy to under 17 as we land an under win.

The Play: Under 44

New Orleans Saints (4-8) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6)

When: 8:15 PM on 12/5

Line: Buccaneers -3.5

O/U: 40

Both offenses have looked rather pedestrian over the past month or so of football but we stand here on Monday Night Football to play the over. These 2 teams know each other and know what the other is best at. New Orleans won’t waste their time trying to run the ball against Tampa and will air the ball out to attack the weakest part of their defense being their back end. Meanwhile, Tampa has found a better compliment of the run and pass game as of late and depending on which New Orleans defense shows up they could have their way on offense with their top weapons outside.

The Play: Over 40

NFL Week 12 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

We are on to Week 12 action as we welcome back the Buccaneers, Dolphins, Jaguars, and Seahawks from bye. Week 11 ended up being a wash of a weekend as we ended up 6-7-1 on the weekend bringing our season total to 84-76-5 (52.5%) on the year. We have no one on bye this week as everyone will be joining in on the Thanksgiving festivities. 16 games of action to get to with little time to waste so let’s dive right in!

Buffalo Bills (7-3) at Detroit Lions (4-6)

When: 12:30 PM on 11/24

Line: Bills -9

O/U: 54

Start your Thanksgiving off right laying the points here with the Buffalo Bills. Buffalo shouldn’t be strained too much on the offensive end as I’m expecting north of 30 this Turkey day from the team in Western New York. Detroit’s defense has been better as of late but should get exposed here by a Buffalo team with a Top 5 offense in the NFL behind Josh Allen. Detroit has displayed their offensive capabilities throughout the season but I expect a Leslie Frazier led defense to pull together a few stops in time for Buffalo to build upon a 2 or even 3 score lead. I would make sure to fill up your Thanksgiving plate to kick back and watch what should be a high scoring game for the first of 3 NFL Thanksgving games.

The Play: Bills -9

New York Giants (7-3) at Dallas Cowboys (7-3)

When: 4:30 PM on 11/24

Line: Cowboys -9

O/U: 44.5

Enjoy America’s team with a big plate of Turkey and sides as the Thanksgiving meals should be underway by the team this game gets underway. Unfortunately, I will be playing under in this game as I expect Dallas to run away and hide in this game as New York lost yet another offensive weapon in Wandale Robinson last week. Dallas will focus in on elite RB Saquon Barkley but after that don’t face many threats with this New York team. Although I’m playing the under I would even recommend laying the points here with Dallas as I think their combination of offensive skill players with an exciting defense will be too much for New York to overcome.

The Play: Under 44.5

New England Patriots (6-4) at Minnesota Vikings (8-2)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/24

Line: Vikings -2.5

O/U: 42.5

I originally leaned towards laying the points with the home team here in the final of 3 tNFL Thanksgiving games but landed on under instead. Under is the play because New England has a snail’s pace of an offense but combined with a top defense along with defensive mind should equal a quiet afternoon for this Vikings team that was just stifled by Dallas all afternoon to the tune of a 40-3 loss. New England will have a plan to double or even triple star WR Justin Jeffersson all afternoon and with the health of LT Christian Darrisaw up in the air could lean to a long day for Kirk Cousins. New England should be able to score a few touchdowns on offense as opposed to last week here but still any drive they do have resulting in points will surely bleed the clock dry.

The Play: Under 42.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-5) at Cleveland Browns (3-7)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Buccaneers -3

O/U: 42.5

Buccaneers come off their week of rest to head on the road to face Jacoby Brissett for the final time this season as Deshaun Watson’s suspension is set to be over following this game. I lean on laying the points here with the road team as it appears that the offense has found their stride over the past game showing a more well rounded rushing attack to pair with their passing game. Tampa is more vulnerable through the air on defense versus the ground game which Cleveland will attempt to establish over the course of the afternoon through Nick Chubb. Chubb will be welcomed by a brick wall of Buccaneers having no fun over the course of the afternoon. Bucs win again as they strengthen their hold on a weak NFC South.

The Play: Buccaneers -2.5

Cincinnati Bengals (6-4) at Tennessee Titans (7-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Bengals -1.5

O/U: 42.5

A rematch of the AFC Divisional round from last year is set to go underway Sunday in Tennessee as the Titans are looking for redemption from last years late game collapse. Ryan Tannehill will be looking for redemption himself as his multiple interceptions last year were a leading cause of Tennessee falling to Cincy in last years playoff run. Tennessee should still own the point of attack with their talented defensive line but I believe Cincy will be able to take advantage of Tennessee’s secondary throughout the afternoon. Keep an eye out on Ja’Marr Chase as he is set to return to practice this week and could end up playin gin this game as well. Cincy’s defense is a far cry away from what they shouwed on their playoff run last year giving up 30 to a quiet Steelers’ offense last week. I’m excited to watch this game to see who ends up victorious as I will be staying off either side but playing the over as Tennessee’s offense has something to prove.

The Play: Over 42.5

Houston Texans (1-8-1) at Miami Dolphins (7-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Dolphins -13

O/U: 46

Miami comes off their week of rest to welcome in a Houston team with only 1 win on the year. I originally started breaking down this game aiming towards taking the over here but the more and more I talked about Miami’s offense against Houston’s defense I found myself laying the points with the home team. I figured Miami’s explosive offense will easily find themselves swimming north of 30 and unless Houston starts to show some explosion on offense that we haven’t seen all year then Miami should win here by multiple scores. Miami scores over 30 while Houston doesn’t cross through the “teens”.

The Play: Dolphins -13

Chicago Bears (3-8) at New York Jets (6-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Jets -4.5

O/U: 41

The squeaky wheel gets the grease and I think that is what will happen here for the New York Jets. Zach Wilson is coming off one of his worst performances as a professional QB and will look to bounce back against Chicago who has one of the worst defenses in the NFL. New York has shown that they have a top tier defense and needs an offense capable to score points to both keep them in games and win them late as they fell 10-3 last week to the Patriots with a touchdown coming late in the contest via special teams for New England. I think this could be one of Zach Wilson’s last games as a starter if he doesn’t come out looking great. Note: keep an eye out on the health of Justin Fields as he currently has a sprained shoulder and could be sitting out this game to recover.

The Play: Jets -4.5

Atlanta Falcons (5-6) at Washington Commanders (6-5)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Commanders -4

O/U: 42

Washington has been on a roll as of late and I think that trend continues as they take down the Falcons at home. What leads me to the Commanders here is the fact that they will be without one of their top receiving options in TE Kyle Pitts as he found his way on injured reserve. Atlanta is already a team that doesn’t pass the ball well and without Pitts they don’t look scary on that front. Washington has one of the best defensive lines in football and has been stifling rushing offenses for a better part of this season and should quiet Atlanta’s rushing attack throughout the afternoon. With all of the weapons they have on offense, Washington should find themselves with scoring opportunities against Atlanta while finding themselves now 2 games above .500.

The Play: Commanders -4

Denver Broncos (3-7) at Carolina Panthers (3-8)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Broncos -2.5

O/U: 36

Here is the game I hope to not have anywhere on my screen over the course of Sunday afternoon. I will keep this one short and simple as I will laythe points again here with Denver (they can’t let me down every week can they). It seems as if the playcalling duties have switched hands in Denver and that possibly can change the fortune of their offense going forward. I trust Denver’s defense to hush whatever Carolina has to offer and as long as Denver’s offense can put up a mere 17 they should find themselves with a win and the cover.

The Play: Broncos -2.5

Baltimore Ravens (7-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-7)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Ravens -4

O/U: 43.5

Baltimore’s offense has seemed to have lost their way as the explosion we saw at the beginning of the season has been nowhere to be found as of late. Jacksonville comes back from a week of bye rest to welcome in Baltimore. I was originally slated to take the under here in this game but landed on taking the points with the home underdog. I think Coach Doug Pederson will have a good game plan designed to pick apart at Baltimore’s weaknesses. Jacksonville has shown to be a better team than last year but unable to close games late which is perfect as I grab 4 points. Baltimore ultimately wins this game late with a Justin Tucker field goal helping them win on the road but helping us get to the window with the underdog.

The Play: Jaguars +4

Los Angeles Chargers (5-5) at Arizona Cardinals (4-7)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/27

Line: Chargers -4.5

O/U: 47.5

Chargers offense seems to have found their stride with the return of Keenan Allen and breakout of WR Josh Palmer on Sunday night against Kansas City. Justin Herbert will be leaned on heavily down the stretch run for Los angeles as they try to make a playoff push. Chargers defense has shown to be shaky at best over the course of the season being decimated by injuries. I wish I could throw a disclaimer on this play with the health of Kyler Murray still in question but feel confident on this over total if the franchise QB is able to suit up in this ocontest.

The Play: Over 47.5

Las Vegas Raiders (3-7) at Seattle Seahawks (6-4)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/27

Line: Seahawks -3.5

O/U: 47.5

Seattle welcomes in in Las Vegas after having a week of rest to prepare for this game coming off their bye week. I believe Seattle will be up and ready for this game which is why I will lay the points. Seattle’s defense has been a nice surprise as they have found some late gems in the draft to bolster their back end of their defense, but the main reason I find myself laying the points here is because of their offense. I believe in Geno Smith and the numerous weapons he has on the outside paired with the breakout of RB Kenneth Walker will be too much for this Vegas team to stop. The line ends up just right as the Seahawks win by 4 late in the second half.

The Play: Seahawks -3.5

Los Angeles Rams (3-7) at Kansas City Chiefs (8-2)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/27

Line: Chiefs -14.5

O/U: 44

What looked like once a great game on paper prior to the start of the season now looks like an overwhelming game with Chiefs slotted to win big. Rather than laying the points with the Chiefs I will be playing the under as I figure that Kansas City will be up quick and rather than run up the score they will burn clock over the course of Sunday afternoon and get out of dodge under the total. I don’t expect a lot from Los Angeles on offense as they are without their best offesnvie weapon still in Cooper Kupp and are slated to be without starting QB Matthew Stafford yet again. Not a whole lot to break down on offense for the Rams here as this one shouldn’t be close.

The Play: Under 44

New Orleans Saints (4-7) at San Francisco 49ers (6-4)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/27

Line: 49ers -9

O/U: 43

It looks as if the 49ers have finally figured I tout on offense as they put up 38 points on Monday night in Mexico against their division rival Arizona Cardinals. I expect more of the same here for San Francisco as they should find themselves close to 30 again if not over and with a New Orleans team who isn’t afraid to throw the ball deep they should help us get over the total in this one. My only fear in this game is that an elite San Francisco defense shows up yet again and quiets New Orleans to under 14 points which will find us under the total, but ultimately believe that garbage time will be our friend.

The Play: Over 43

Green Bay Packers (4-7) at Philadelphia Eagles (9-1)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/27

Line: Eagles -7

O/U: 46.5

One of the hardest games of the weekend to break down as the line and total seem right on point. I finally landed on playing the over as Philly will get their offense back on track with Aaron Rodgers trying to play hero ball late. Not in love with this play at all as I can also see how this one goes comfortably under the total here. The more I continue to think the more I continue to doubt so will keep this one short and sweet as both teams find themselves above 20 in this contest helping us secure the over.

The Play: Over 46.5

Pittsburgh Steelers (3-7) at Indianapolis Colts (4-6-1)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/28

Line: Colts -2.5

O/U: 39

A thriller is slated for us on Monday night as two offensive powerhouses should combine for what is figured to be a great game. April fools. I’m playing the under here as we’ve seen the type of football that Indy wants to play under Jeff Saturday as they want to run the ball grind out the clock to put themselves in a position to win it late. I expect a heavy dose of Jonathan Taylor in this game and now that TJ Watt is back for Pittsburgh the elite defense is back as well. Both defenses are great and I expect the punters to be more involved than the field goal kickers in this one as they play ping pong back and forth throughout Monday night trying to pin the offenses deep in their own territory.

The Play: Under 39

NFL Week 11 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

We are on to Week 11 of NFL action as we welcome back from bye the Bengals, Patriots, Jets, and Ravens. We wave farewell to the Dolphins, Seahawks, Buccaneers, and Jaguars for a week as they look to unwind with a nice drink on the beaches of Mexico. Week 10 brought us good fortune as we end up going 10-4 on the week bringing out season total to 78-69-4 (53%) on the year. Even though we are missing my Miami Dolphins for Week 11 there is still a lot of exciting action to be seen so let’s not waste any time tas we jump right in.

Tennessee Titans (6-3) at Green Bay Packers (4-6)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/17

Line: Packers -3

O/U: 41.5

I wouldn’t quite count out the Packers just yet as they have a chance to make a fun towards one of the Wildcard teams in a weak NFC. The defensive game plan should be simple here for Green Bay as they should load the box to stop Derrick Henry and force Ryan Tannehill to beat you downfield. I loved this line when it was Green Bay -1 but still feel as if the Packers will come out victorious here by 4 and get their season back on track. Green Bay will lean on their ground game here to keep a strong Tennessee defensive line at bay led by star Defensive Tackel Jeffrey Simmons. Simmons can turn just about any game plan upside down with his pressure coming from the inside but as long as Green Bay is able to establish the run and let Aaron Rodgers facilitate to his playmakers outside then this one should get us to the window.

The Play: Packers -3

Chicago Bears (3-7) at Atlanta Falcons (4-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Falcons -3

O/U: 50

The script has flipped for Chicago as they started the year off sluggish on offenser but have since found their groove scoring 28 or more in their last 4 games. Justin Fields has shown to be a threat with his legs as he’s able to break away from defenders in the open field with his blazing speed. I would normally play the over here given that Chicago has one of the worst defenses in the NFL but don’t think Atlanta’s offense has enough firepower to take advantage. I’m playing the Bears with the points here as I grab a key number of 3 looking towards Chicago to keep this one close with a field goal late deciding the winner.

The Play: Bears +3

Cleveland Browns (3-6) at Buffalo Bills (6-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Bills -8.5

O/U: 43.5

I would keep an eye out on the weather forecast in Western New York come Sunday afternoon as this total has already moved 3.5 points because of over 3 feet of snow predicted in the forecast. If the snow comes then that would point towards this game being controlled more on the ground than through the air which favors the Browns here who have one of the best rushing attacks in the NFL bolstered by RB Nick Chubb. Buffalo is built to play through the air utilizing on eof the best quarterbacks in the league in Josh Allen. Snow will surely have an ipact on the passing attack and with Buffalo’s rushing attack being one of the worst in the NFL that leads me to grabbing the points here with Cleveland. Note: Buffalo’s run offense isn’t strong on paper as they lean on Josh Allen and the passing game to do most of their work for them.

The Play: Browns +8.5

Philadelphia Eagles (8-1) at Indianapolis Colts (4-5-1)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Eagles -6.5

O/U: 45

Finally, Washington takes down the undefeated Eagles in Week 10 as the 1972 Miami Dolphins can pop their champagne as they are still the only undefeated team in NFL history. Washington ran the ball on the Eagles over 40 times Monday night owning the time of possession battle an dlimiting the amount of possessions Philadelphia’s explosive offense could have. Philly will still be without DT Jordan Davis in this one which is a big concern as their rushing defense greatly drops when they are without the rookie defensive lineman. I believe the Eagles win this one but Indy will follow the same recipe that Washington did on Monday night giving a heavy dose of Jonathan Taylor to this Eagles defense. Eagles get back in the win column but Interim HC Jeff Saturday is 2-0 against the spread.

The Play: Colts +6.5

New York Jets (6-3) at New England Patriots (5-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Patriots -3

O/U: 38.5

Both teams should be coming into this one well rested a they are coming off a Week 10 bye. This will be their second time playing this year with the first going New England’s way late in the second half. This game will depend mightily on the shoulders and mind of QB Zach Wilson. Wilson has been prone to costly turnovers over the course of his young career but if he is able to minimize those mistakes then New York should find themselves within the number here and even in the winners circle. Under is also a good play here with both defenses being strong but with it being difficult to beat teams twice in the NFL I ultimately land on grabbing the points with the road dog.

The Play: Jets +3

Los Angeles Rams (3-6) at New Orleans Saints (3-7)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Saints -4

O/U: 38.5

When you thought Los Angeles season couldn’t get any worse they are hit with new s of Coope rKupp heading to the IR for a minimum of 4 weeks. Ultimately, I expect Kupp to be shut down for the rest of the season because in 4 weeks time the Rams should be nearing elimination for the playoffs and shouldn’t risk further injury from their star WR. Luckily for the Rams, they should be getting their star QB back as Matthew Stafford is set to return from injury but is welcomed by an offense without his morning cup of coffee friend. New Orleans should be able to quiet a stagnant Rams offense throughout the afternoon and once the Saints get a lead behind their offensive weapons they will end up taking the air out of the football getting out of dodge with a win and an under victory. 2022 season is over for Los Angeles but they pushed all of their chips in to secure a Super Bowl last year so who really can complain.

The Play: Under 38.5

Detroit Lions (3-6) at New York Giants (7-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Giants -3

O/U: 46

The Play: Over 46

Carolina Panthers (3-7) at Baltimore Ravens (6-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Ravens -12

O/U: 43

The bye week came at a great time for Baltimore as they have been it with the injury bug an offense over the past few weeks. I expect Coach Harbaugh to have a good game plan to face off against poor Panthers team which is looking more into 2023 than this year. Carolina will look to establish the ground game and if Baltimore is successful in shutting that down then they should have a relatively easy afternoon making QB PJ Walker beat them through the air. I normally hate laying a spread this high but see value in a well rested Ravens team putting it to a bottom feeder team in the Panthers right now.

The Play: Ravens -12

Washington Commanders (5-5) at Houston Texans (1-7-1)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Commanders -3

O/U: 40.5

Commanders take down the once undefeated Eagles on Monday night football and now travel on the road to face a bad Houston team. Houston has one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL which should see a heavy dose of both Brian Robinson Jr and Antonio Gibson throughout the afternoon as Washington will look to get themselves above .500 and back in the playoff push. Washington rushed over 40 times against the Eagles and I expect more of the same here against Houston. Washington’s defense is vulnerable more through the air as opposed to the ground game as they have one of the better defensive lines in the league but I don’t see Davis Mills being able to take advantage of a skeptical Washington secondary.

The Play: Commanders -3

Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) at Denver Broncos (3-6)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/20

Line: Broncos -2.5

O/U: 41.5

I end up shocking myself here as I’m laying the points here with Denver as opposed to playing the under which I have grown accustomed to in Broncos games. I expect star DB Patrick Surtain to end up following WR Devante Adams over the course of the afternoon quieting Derek Carr’s favorite target. One of the main reasons I love the Broncos in this spot her is the home field advantage of the altitude. Denver is used to their altitude as they deal with it on a daily asis but road teams coming in get wiped out from the altitude and end up drained come 4th quarter which is when Denver will secure this win for us. Denver will be without WR Jerry Jeudy which isn’t great for an already shaky offense but I will put my faith in Russel Wilson to make enough plays late to get us to the window.

The Play: Broncos -2.5

Dallas Cowboys (6-3) at Minnesota Vikings (8-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/20

Line: Cowboys -1

O/U: 47.5

Trends are meant to be broken. A year ago Minnesota was victim to falling short in 1 score games but the script has flipped as they have dominated in that category so far thi season. They managed to escape out of Buffalo with a win after trailing by 3 scores late in the 3rd quarter. They have an exciting offense headlined by star WR Justin Jefferson who very well may have earned himself the title of best WR in the NFL. I’m looking forward to the matchup between Jefferson and star DB Trevon Diggs. Both teams are coming off overtime games last week which should lead to some exhaustion playing another 10 minutes of brutal football. Cowboys fell short to Green Baay last weekend but find themselves back in the win column as they take down  one of the top dogs in the NFC.

The Play: Cowboys -1

Cincinnati Bengals (5-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/20

Line: Bengals -5

O/U: 41

TJ Watt is back for Pittsburgh and seems like he hasn’t missed a beat helping the Steelers overcome New Orleans last week at home. Cincy will still be without star WR Ja’Marr Chase here as he is still recovering from an injury suffered a month earlier. I expect the Steelers defense to have a great impact on this game similarly to what they did to Joe Burrow and Cincy earlier in the season in Week 1. Even without Chase, Cincy has playmakers sprinkled throughout their offense which makes them difficult to stop but have shown to be stagnant at times. Under is also a good play here with Pittsburgh having a great defense combined with a relatively robust offense behind rookie QB Kenny Pickett. Pickett has shown flashes of excellence but quickly followed by rookie mistakes which makes it hard to back Pittsburgh’s offense. Cincy comes back to Ohio with a win but fail to cover.

The Play: Steelers +5

Kansas City Chiefs (7-2) at Los Angeles Chargers (5-4)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/20

Line: Chiefs -7.5

O/U: 50

We are getting close to having must win games for Los Angeles here soon as a loss here will bring the Bolts back down to .500 and in jeopardy of falling further in the standings. Both WR’s Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are practicing this week for Los Angeles and eyeing a return to action Sunday Night against Kansas City but another week of rest could be beneficial for both players with their given injuries. Similarly to last Sunday night, I will be grabbing the touchdown number here plsu the hook as I believe Justin Herbert and the Chargers keep this one within one score with the winner being decided late in the 4th quarter. Injuries have decimated this Chargers season thus far but with a win here they find themselves right back into the thick of it for the late season playoff push.

The Play: Chargers +7.5

San Francisco 49ers (5-4) at Arizona Cardinals (4-6)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/21 (Mexico)

Line: 49ers -8

O/U: 43.5

We had outside of the United States yet again as these NFC West rivals head down to Mexico city fo this contest. It’s looking like Arizona will be without their franchise QB yet agin as Kyler Murray looks to be sidelined with injury. I was planning on grabbing the points with the underdog if Kyler wound up playing aswe’ve seen this elite 49ers defense to struggle some against QBs who can make plays with their legs and go off script. Ultimately, I landed on the under here as 49ers should be able to hush Arizona’s offense with a backup QB at the helm. With not a lot of threat in a shootout I expect 49ers to run the ball while on offense to kill clock and shorten the game quickly behind the use of Christian Mccaffrey and Elijah Mitchell. Mexico unfortunately gets a snooze fest as we find ourselves with an under ticket in hand.

The Play: Cardinals +8

NFL Week 10 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

We are officially into Week 10 action as we welcome the Broncos, Browns, Cowboys, Giants, Steelers, and 49ers from their bye. We wave goodbye to the Bengals, Jets, Patriots , and Ravens to their bye week and to Week 9 overall as we went 5-7-1 on the weekend bringing out season total to 68-65-4 (51%) on the year. We have been hovering near the 50% mark throughout the year so let’s dive into Week 10 to take us over the hump.

Atlanta Falcons (4-5) at Carolina Panthers (2-7)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/10

Line: Falcons -3

O/U: 44

PJ Walker gets the nod again to start at QB for the Panthers which surprisingly may be a good thing for this offense. He has shown flashes of good play but we see in the end why he isn’t an NFL starting QB. I will be grabbing the points here with the Panthers at home to cover in a game in which they should have won against the Falcons 2 weeks ago. Both teams do not provide too much explosion on the offensive side of the ball so hopefully we can get an exciting Thursday Night Football game to keep us thrilled.

The Play: Panthers +3

Seattle Seahawks (6-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5)

When: 9:30 AM on 11/13 (Germany)

Line: Buccaneers -2.5

O/U: 44.5

The NFL heads over to Germany to showcase a Geno Smith versus Tom Brady matchup. Surprsignly, Seattle has been the better team this year behind a late career breakout from Geno Smith who has displayed a brilliant command of this offense utilizing his weapons outside and new toy in RB Kenneth Walker. Walker is always a threat to break off an explosive play but will be going up against an above average Bucs run defense. Tom Brady may have found something in TE Cade Ottin who helped them to take down The Rams last week at home providing a sparkto this Bucs offense.

The Play: Buccaneers -2.5

Minnesota Vikings (7-1) at Buffalo Bills (6-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Bills -6

O/U: 46

The football world took a deep breath in unison last week as Josh Allen suffered an injury to his UCL on his throwing arm in last weeks loss to the Jets. It looks like the injury won’t be too serious and that Allen will look to play through but I don’t expect this offense to bring back all of the explosive plays 1 week after suffering this injury. Buffalo is a tough place to play and DC Leslie Frazier for the Bills will have a good gameplan schemed up to slow down an exciting Vikings offense with Justin Jefferson and Dalvin Cook. I wish I could have offered an under earlier in the week with a key number of 47 and 48 available but still feel this goes under the total.

The Play: Under 46

Detroit Lions (2-6) at Chicago Bears (3-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Bears -3

O/U: 48.5

One of the most explosive offenses over the past month going up against one of the worst defenses in the NFL brings me to an easy pick as I will be playing the over here. Chicago has scored 29 points or more the past 3 games facing the Cowboys, Patriots, and Dolphins throughout that stretch and should find themselves north of 20 yet agin. Detroit was able to shut down a Packers offense last week but the numbers are misleading as Green Bay had 3 turnovers inside Detroits side of the field causing a misleading number. Detroit’s explosive offense has quieted down since what they showed earlier in the year bt are going up Chicago who isn’t the terrifying defense we all love and remember.

The Play: Over 48.5

Denver Broncos (3-5) at Tennessee Titans (5-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Titans -3

O/U: 39

Death, taxes, and going under in a Denver Broncos football game. It’s possible that Denver got the offense back on track and clicking during the bye week but we can only use the data we have from throughout this season. Patrick Surtain will be looking for work this afternoon as he is used most afternoons to lock down opposing star WRs and with Tennessee not having on eof those I’m curious who they have him lined up against. I expect a heavy dose of Derrick Henry in this game with their still being doubts on who starts behind center for the Titans. Both teams burn clock as we get out of dodge under the total.

The Play: Under 39

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Chiefs -9.5

O/U: 50.5

If I were to set the line of Trevor Lawrence turnovers in this game at 1.5 would you take the over or the under? I would take the over here which is why I will be laying the points with Kansas City here. Kansas City shouldn’t have issues moving tehb all on a young Jaguars defense and taking advantage of short fields from Jaguars turnovers they should find themselves up quick. Jacksonville is an exciting young team with a bright future over the next few years but they are still a ways away from making noise. Trevor Lawrence struggles to not turn the ball over and seems rather defeated when that happens and the team gets down in a game. I will take the experience with Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes to get us to the window.

The Play: Chiefs -9.5

Cleveland Browns (3-5) at Miami Dolphins (6-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Dolphins -4

O/U: 48.5

Miami comes back after taking home 2 road wins against NFC North opponents in the Lions and Bears. Both games ended rather closer than they should have but the Dolphins have shown capable to close games out late. Miami’s passing defense has been shaky at best throughout the season but is going up against a former QB of theirs in Jacoby Brisset. Miami should have good knowledge of how to impact Jacoby throughout this game and should focus their defensive game plan on loading the box to stop running backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Cleveland’s defense has allowed big plays all year and I expect more of the same this weekend with Miami’s high powered offense coming back home. Miami covers here and takes their 3rd win in a row.

The Play: Dolphins -4

Houston Texans (1-6-1) at New York Giants (6-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Giants -6

O/U: 40.5

One of the more unappealing games in the Sunday afternoon slate which I hoope not to have on my screen besides scoring plays. New York is coming off a bye an dshould be well rested with a good game plan to attack this Houston defense. I expect several big plays to be made from RB Saquon Barkley over the course of the afternoon and for the Texans to be playing from behind yet again. They will be forced to throw the ball and either leading to scores or potential turnovers as we are gunning for the over here.

The Play: Over 40.5

New Orleans Saints (3-6) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line:  Saints -2.5

O/U: 41.5

New Orleans drops on Monday Night football giving up 27 points to a Baltimore offense who was without 4 of their top contributors on offense. New Orleans as able to shut down the Raiders offense the week prior but came back to their norm as they have been a bad ddefense over the 9 weeks we have playes so far. Pittsburgh will slowly add more on to the plate of rookie QB Kenny Pickett as he gets his professional legs underneath him. New Orleans will air the ball out on offense utilizing their new weapon in rookie WR Chris Olave. Both teams find themselves over 20 aswe find ourselves with a winning play of over.

The Play: Over 41.5

Indianapolis Colts (3-5-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (2-6)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/13

Line: Raiders -6.5

O/U: 42.5

A new regime is underway in Indy as former C Jeff Saturday now takes the reigns as interim Head Coach for the Colts. Meanwhile, Las Vegas has a coach of their own on the hot seat as the Raiders blow another lead to the Jaguars last weekend. Las Vegas looked to be running away with a win having a 3 score lead last weekend which slowly faded away into a 27-20 loss by the hands of Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars. Las Vegas has too much talent on offense to be getting shutout in a half let alone an entire game from a couple weeks back. This gaem screams to take Vegas but I will take the points with a new Interim HC trying to make a name for himself in todays NFL.

The Play: Colts +6.5

Dallas Cowboys (6-2) at Green Bay Packers (3-6)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/13

Line: Cowboys -5

O/U: 43

R-e-l-a-x. Relax! This isn’t your Packers team of old and I very well could be falling into a trap here but I will put my faith in Aaron Rodgers to have this team in a position to win late going up against his former coach. If the Packers have any late season aspirations then it starts and ends with this game because if they fall to 7 losses on the season it will show to be too much to overcome even for a Hall of Fame QB like Aaron Rodgers. All the numbers and all the outlying stats point towards the Cowboys winning this coming off a bye but I will put my faith one final time in the team that resides in Green Bay. If you want to stay away from this side then an under play could also prove to be good here as Dallas has a Top 10 defense in the NFL and Green Bay has played better as of late.

The Play: Packers +5

Arizona Cardinals (3-6) at Los Angeles Rams (3-5)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/13

Line: Rams -3

O/U: 43.5

I’m laying the points with the Rams here at home which may cause some unease in most people’s stomachs but not mine. Sean Mcvay has shown that he has dominated the Cardinals in his tenure as Head Coach of the Rams and I think that trend continues here with Los Angeles finally finding themselves in the win column. Los Angeles has come out hot the past few games scoring on their opening scripts but the offensive efficiency has fallen over the course of the game late in the second half. They need to figure out how best to utilize the talent they have on the team as the trade deadline has come and gone and no reinforcemnts are coming to help ease the storm. I expect Jalen Ramsey to follow WR Deandre Hopkins throughout the afternoon and if he is able to control him then the Cardinals don’t have a plethora of weapons to lean on to move the ball. LA finally gets a win as Kliff Kingsbury’s seat gets hotter by the week in the Arizona sun.

The Play: Rams -3

Los Angeles Chargers (5-3) at San Francisco 49ers (4-4)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/13

Line: 49ers -7

O/U: 46

Ultimately, I believe the 49ers win this game in what could be a blow out but I will be grabbing a key number of 7 here hoping the Chargers can keep this one close late. Los Angeles is crippled right no win the receiving room missing both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams but if you are one fo the best in the leagues then you will find a way to keep this one close. I have faith in Justin Herbert to attack San Francisco’s defense and keep this one within one score. 49ers shouldn’t have too much trouble moving the ball on a weak Chargers’ run defense so playing nan over card in this game may also be a good play. I’m excited to sit back as a fan to watch how Kyle Shanahan will use the combination of Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel.

The Play: Chargers +7

Washington Commanders (4-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (8-0)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/14

Line: Eagles -11

O/U: 44

Everything here screams to take Eagles to cover the points here but I will be taking the divisional dog here as the Commanders cover 11. One of the best parts of the Commanders’ defense is their rushing defense which will be going up against one of the best rushing offenses in the NFL. Commanders have shown they are capable to hang with most teams but not quite finish out at the finish line. Philadelphia almost caught slipping last week against Houston with Damian Pierce running wild against their stout defense with Washington hopefully able to do the same.

The Play: Commanders +11

NFL Week 9 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

The trade deadline has come and gone as we saw an exciting flurry of moves from contenders who have pushed their chips in to win it all now. We are on to Week 9 as Week 8 brought us good company going 12-3 on the weekend bringing out season total to 63-58-3 (52%) on the year. We welcome back the Chiefs and Chargers from byes but say goodbye to the Broncos, Browns, Cowboys, Giants, Steelers, and 49ers. A lot of teams on bye this week but still plenty of NFL for us to consume.

Philadelphia Eagles (7-0) at Houston Texans (1-5-1)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/3

Line: Eagles -14

O/U: 45

A homecoming of sorts for QB Jalen Hurts as the Houston native looks to put on a show for his family at home. The Eagles have been one of the best teams all year on offense and defense and I expect that trend to continue here. Houston QB Davis Mills hasn’t taken that second year lap that some were hoping for and there may be even more trouble in paradise as WR Brandin Cooks seems to want out of Houston. I’m playing under in this game as I think that Philadelphia will comfortably have a lead and run out the clock throughout the second half like they’ve done multiple times throughout this year.

The Play: Under 45

Los Angeles Chargers (4-3) at Atlanta Falcons (4-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Chargers -3

O/U: 49

Los Angeles travels on the road after hopefully healing up during their bye week as they will be without WR Mike Williams for this game do to injury and expect WR Keenan Allen to be back in full strength from his injury. Since the Chargers are coming off the bye week that means travel shouldn’t be an issue here in this one like it normally could impact a team. Atlanta as a team loves to run the ball and drain the clock while doing so. They should have some success in the run game as the Chargers are built more to defend the pass than stopping the run. I believe the Chargers will take advantage of a depleted Falcons secondary and come out of Atlanta with a win.

The Play: Chargers -3

Miami Dolphins (5-3) at Chicago Bears (3-5)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Dolphins -5

O/U: 44

Dolphins just pushed their chips in gearing up for a playoff run after trading their first round pick for star edge rusher Bradley Chubb from the Denver Broncos. Chubb brings in exciting pass rush capability to pair up nicely with Jaelan Phillips on the other side who has been racking up pressures left and right. Meanwhile, Chicago has traded 2 key defensive players in Robert Quinn and Roquan Smith which Miami will surely take advantage of. Miami should have success on offense throughout the afternoon both via the pass and ground game. Miami wins by a touchdown and improves to 6-3 on the year.

The Play: Dolphins -5

Carolina Panthers (2-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (4-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Bengals -7

O/U: 42.5

Bengals were embarrassed on the road Monday night against Cleveland losing by multiple scores to an under .500 Browns team. Cincinnati has plenty of playmakers on offense which makes it curious as to why this Cincy team has difficulty moving the ball periodically throughout the year. HC Zac Taylor has proven time and time again that he fumbles play calling with star wideouts and a budding QB. Although without Ja’Marr Chase, Joe Burrow still has Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd to make plays for him. This feels a lot like when another NFC South team visited Cincinnati and received a beatdown and I expect more of the same here. Carolina has shown progression since moving on from Matt Rhule but will face a Bengals team looking for revenge.

The Play: Bengals -7

Green Bay Packers (3-5) at Detroit Lions (1-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Packers -3.5

O/U: 49.5

Although they suffered a loss on Sunday Night Football by the hands of the Buffalo Bills, Green Bay showed some promise on both sides of the ball. Green Bay is still missing a trusted outside threat but with time some young players could begin to develop and the health of Randall Cobb and Allen Lazard could also improve helping QB Aaron Rodgers. Luckily, Green Bay will be facing one of the worst defenses in the NFL in Detroit and should be able to move the ball at will throughout the afternoon. Detroit has shown throughout the season that their offense can be explosive but if Green Bay can build up a lead of their own then they should be able to control this one from start to finish.

The Play: Packers -3.5

Indianapolis Colts (3-4-1) at New England Patriots (4-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Patriots -5.5

O/U: 39.5

It was not the story book ending many were looking for in QB Sam Ehlinger’s first career start as a professional as Indy ends up blowing a 9 point lead late against Washington to fall yet again. Things won’t get easier for the young QB as he will take on a Bill Belichick lead defense which will surely have disguised coverages to confuse the young QB making his second start. I expect both coaches to be contempt with leaning on their ground game as Ehlinger is young and Mac Jones has been prone to throwing turnovers as of late. Leaning on the ground game, the teams will be able to bleed the clock and have this one go under the total. I will gladly take a 20-14 final and see everyone at the window.

The Play: Under 39.5

Buffalo Bills (6-1) at New York Jets (5-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Bills -13

O/U: 47

I was originally leaning on playing the under in this one but with the health of star S Jordan Poyer in question I wanted to give myself some breathing room. I expect Buffalo’s offense to do more of the same on Sunday afternoon as they will put up north of 20 points but the key here is their defense. Their defensive line should have no problem hunting on second year pro QB Zach Wilson who has struggled as of late to keep the ball out of the other teams hands. More responsibility has fallen on the QBs hands since the injury to RB Breece Hall and as Buffalo will surely build a lead then he will be forced to throw and potentially cause more turnovers. I don’t normally love laying the points when the line is this large but for Buffalo I will make an exception.

The Play: Bills -13

Minnesota Vikings (6-1) at Washington Commanders (4-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Vikings -3.5

O/U: 43.5

An already weak Washington secondary just found themselves getting a bit weaker as they trade CB William Jackson to Pittsburgh at the trade deadline. I expect Minnesota should find success through the air behind star WR Justin Jefferson and company. Washington will have to play comeback ball yet again with Minnesota able to build themselves a comfortable lead. Washington has playmakers of their own with electric wide receivers on the outside and a QB willing to extend plays and make the throw downfield to give his guys a chance. Minnesota wins this one but finds themselves over the total to get us to the window.

The Play: Over 43.5

Las Vegas Raiders (2-5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Raiders -1

O/U: 48

Las Vegas seemed to have forgotten to get off of the plane last week against New Orleans as they were shut out 24-0 to fall to 2-5 on the year. Although they will need to make a climb, their season is not over as they’ve shown they can be an explosive offense behind RB Josh Jacobs and WR Devante Adams. I will excuse the poor performance from Adams last week as he was dealing from flu symptoms throughout the week but we need him to perform big here. Jacksonville has improved drastically this year but doesn’t quite reflect in the win column yet as they are a young team who hasn’t figured out quite yet how to close games off and take home the win. The old saying lose big, lose little, then win little, win big applies here as the Jags are probably a year or so away from making noise as long as they keep improving.

The Play: Raiders -1

Seattle Seahawks (5-3) at Arizona Cardinals (3-5)

When: 1 PM on 11/6

Line: Cardinals -2

O/U: 50.5

This play may look questionable as we all saw what ranspired last matchup between these 2 ending 19-9 with Seattle being victorious. I’m rolling with the over here in this one as Arizona has seemed to have gotten their offense back on track with the return of Deandre Hopkins back to the lineup. Hopkins has logged over 100 receiving yards in both games since coming back from suspension and should be the main target for Kyler Murray here yet again. Seattle has many play makers of their own with budding RB Kenneth Walker able to break a long touchdown run at any point in time. Arizona laying the points is also an interesting play here as I expect these teams could split their season series but will play the trend of overs coming our way halfway through the season now.

The Play: Over 50.5

Los Angeles Rams (3-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/6

Line: Buccaneers -3

O/U: 42.5

What was once an exciting matchup on paper has now lost most of its buzz as these prior Super Bowl winners find themselves below .500 and in dire need of a win to keep their playoff hopes alive. Los Angeles offense is built around their run game being establishes so that they can set up play action passes off that but as their run game has been nonexistant it has led to their offense being a fire tire to start the year. They received help last week in the WR room as Va Jefferson returned from injury and Allen Robinson seemed to be more involved than previous but still face an uphill battle in both protecting Matthew Stafford and creating explosive plays. Meanwhile, Tom Brady has looked less the part than normal as his offensive line is a shell of itself than what he’s had in front of him in his previous years with the Bucs. I’m grabbing the key number of 3 here with the Rams as I trust Sean Mcvay to develop an offensive gameplan than I do Todd Bowles and Byron Leftwich to cover this line.

The Play: Rams +3

Tennessee Titans (5-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-2)

When: 8:25 PM on 11/6

Line: Chiefs -12.5

O/U: 46.5

Kansas City hasn’t had as much a problem on offense as may suggested prior to the season when they lost star WR Tyreek Hill. Their outside paraphile numbers still suggest that they have one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL. They still have star TE Travis Kelce and with WR Juju Smith-Schuster rounding into form the possibilities for this Chiefs offense are endless. I fully expect Titans HC Mike Vrabel to come into this game with the intent to take the air out of the ball and the stadium leaning heavily on RB Derrick Henry. I expect Derick Henry to log over 20 carries in this one and drain the clock limiting the amount of possessions that Patrick Mahomes and his offense get to score. Under is a good play here but ultimately grabbing the points with the dog to keep this one within 2 scores.

The Play: Titans +12.5

Baltimore Ravens (5-3) at New Orleans Saints (3-5)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/7

Line: Ravens -3

O/U: 48.5

I have gone back and forth on this game multiple times throughout the week but landed on the over. My hesitation was do to the fact that New Orleans jhas looked shot on defense all year but finally showed up last week shutting out the Raiders. New Orleans showed last week what their talent on offense can do behind star RB Alvin Kamara and rookie WR Chris Olave and if they are able to jump out then Lamar Jackson and Baltimore will have to win in a shootout like they’ve done multiple times this season. I see grabbing the points here with New Orleans as a great play as well as they have an incredible home field advantage and could run away with this one with Lamar possibly being short a few key offensive weapons.

The Play: Over 45

NFL Week 8 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

Week 7 was not as welcoming as we would have liked as we go a putrid 4-10 on the week bringing the season total to 51-55-2 (48%) on the year. We still have plenty of NFL action to make this up for the rest of the year and it all starts with NFL Week 8. We welcome the Bills, Eagles, Rams, and Vikings back from bye as well as say goodbye to Chiefs and Chargers for a week. No time to waste so let’s dive in!

Baltimore Ravens (4-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/27

Line: Ravens -1.5

O/U: 45

Tom Brady may very well be close to blowing a gasket in Tampa as he suffered his worst loss of the season last week against Carolina and maybe even worst loss in his career. Offense was sputtering all day unable to move the ball consistently throughout the afternoon. If the Bucs have any aspiration of post season football it starts here, offense needs to get back on track and that starts with the man under center connecting with the weapons he has outside in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Meanwhile, Ravens bring to town an explosive offense of their own as they finally welcomed back WR Rashod Bateman last week from injury. Bateman makes explosive plays able to take it to the house at any given time. I expect the Bucs to finally find their way north of 20 points and for the Ravens to not be too far behind.

The Play: Over 45

Denver Broncos (2-5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-5)

When: 9:30 AM on 10/30 (London)

Line: Jaguars -2.5

O/U: 39.5

This could very well be the biggest game for both Russel Wilson and Nathaniel Hackett in their short time as Denver Broncos. Rumors are circling that if Broncos don’t win this game then Hackett could find himself on the way out only 8 games into his first season as Head Coach. With their backs up against a wall, I will take the points with the Broncos here. I wish I could have gotten on this line earlier at 3.5 but still feel like there’s a chance this offense could get back on track behind Russ. Jacksonville is a young team in their own right who have shown that they aren’t able to win games late either which could bode well for Denver here. Russ better be Dangerous this week over the pond or his Broncos could find themselves in trouble early in this 2022 season.

The Play: broncos +2.5

Carolina Panthers (2-5) at Atlanta Falcons (3-4)

When: 1 PM on 10/30

Line: Falcons -4.5

O/U: 42

Panthers find their second win of the season shortly after trading away their star RB to the San Francisco 49ers. Coincidence? I think not. All joking aside, Panthers getting draft capital from CMC is good for their long term growth as a franchise as they are nowhere close to being able to win now. Panthers now have the luxury to spreading the ball around as they have no need to force feed anyone the ball as no one demands that kind of power over this offense. Carolina’s secondary is beaten up but luckily find themselves playing an Atlanta team who rarely sees themselves throw more than 20 times a game this year. Atlanta wins this game but I will take the points with the division dog as I can grab main key numbers of 3 and 4 with Carolina.

The Play: Panthers +4.5

Chicago Bears (3-4) at Dallas Cowboys (5-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/30

Line: Cowboys -10

O/U: 42.5

The Play: Under 42.5

Miami Dolphins (4-3) at Detroit Lions (1-5)

When: 1 PM on 10/30

Line: Dolphins -3.5

O/U: 51.5

Miami welcomed their starting QB back last week as Tua is now 4-0 on the season in games he starts and finishes. This offense seems to be firing on all cylinders with Tua behind center as opposed to the backups they had the prior 3 weeks. Shocking. Detroit has one of the worst defenses in the NFL and I expect Miami to capitalize here with explosive plays from Tyreek, Waddle, and Mostart come Sunday afternoon. Detroit has calmed down from their explosion they put on display earlier in the season but barring turnovers they should find themselves over 20 points here as well. Miami has been playing multiple backup level players in their secondary as they have been dealing with injury which Lions QB Jared Goff should exploit. Dolphins win as they swim over the total in the Motor City.

The Play: Over 51.5

Arizona Cardinals (3-4) at Minnesota Vikings (5-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/30

Line: Vikings -3.5

O/U: 49

Buyers beware as the new Call of Duty gets released this weekend so Cardinals QB Kyler Murray could be showing up sleepy for this one. Cardinals welcomed back a much-needed Deandre Hopkins who added a great jolt of energy coming back from suspension. Byron Murphy has had good success this year defending against opposing #1 WRs but Justin Jefferson brings too much big play potential to be silenced all game. Ultimately, Minnesota wins by 4 with a bye week to prepare for this game and an intense home field advantage which should mess up the timing of Arizona’s offense. 

The Play: Vikings -3.5

Las Vegas Raiders (2-4) at New Orleans Saints (2-5)

When: 1 PM on 10/30

Line: Raiders -2

O/U: 48

Raiders RB Josh Jacobs has been playing like a player possessed over his last 3 games as he has averaged over 140 rushing yards in each and totaled 6 touchdowns over the same stretch. Raiders offense has shown to be explosive putting up over 30 last week while also giving up over 20 to a rather bad Texans’ offense. New Orleans brings big play potential with rookie WR Chris Olave and RB Alvin Kamara wich should help us go over this total. New Orleans needs to beware of Raiders edge rushers coming in to sack whoever they plan to start this week but besides that should find matchups over the field to attack.

The Play: Over 48

New England Patriots (3-4) at New York Jets (5-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/30

Line: Patriots -1.5

O/U: 40

New England got embarrassed on Monday Night Football losing by almost 20 to Chicago at home. After taking a 14-10 lead early in the second quarter the patriots found themselves not scoring another point for the rest of the game. Patriots should come out firing behind Mac Jones this week to get themselves back to .500 on the year. New York lost an explosive rookie this past week in Breece Hall as the running back suffered a torn acl. Missing that explosive play potential, New York will need to find a way to make plasy in othe r ways behind second year QB Zach Wilson. Wilson hasn’t been asked to do much this season thus far as they have leaned heavily on a run game and solid defense, but with the run game taking  ahuge hit ther could be trouble brewing in New York. Patriots defense takes advantage of a still unexperienced Zach Wilson and get themselves back to .500.

The Play: Patriots -1.5

Pittsburgh Steelers (2-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (6-0)

When: 1 PM on 10/30

Line: Eagles -11

O/U: 43

We welcome back the only undefeated team remaining in football from bye as the Eagles are set to host their in-state counterpart in the Pittsburgh Steelers. My expectation is for this high powered Philadelphia offense to come out firing on all cylinders and for the Steelers to have to play catchup early. Philadelphia getting up early will give us variance for Pittsbuurgh throwing to get back in the game either creating turnovers and short fields or Pitt finding the endzone to reach thsis number. Eagles to score close to 30 while Steelers get over double digits as well.

The Play: Over 43

Tennessee Titans (4-2) at Houston Texans (1-4-1)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/30

Line: Titans -2

O/U: 40.5

We all saw what Josh Jacobs did this past weekend to the Houston Texans defense and why are we to think that Derrick Henry won’t do more of the same. Over the past few year, Derrick Henry has dominated the Texanans’ and I expect that trend to continue as he will rush for over 100 and most likely snag a few rushing touchdowns of his own in this one. Davis Mills has shown flashes of talent but still demonstrates that he isn’t a long term solution at the QB position. Titans stay hot after starting the year off shaky as they move to 5-2.

The Play: Titans -2

Washington Commanders (3-4) at Indianapolis Colts (3-3-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/30

Line: Colts -3

O/U: 40

Indianapolis Colts have seemed to have enough of the Matt Ryan experiment as the long tenured QB has been delegated to the bench as Indy will move forward the Sam Ehlinger as their starting QB along with Nick Foles as their primary backup. This game will feature backup QBs on both sides of the field as Washingto will still be without Carson Wentz but seemed to have found some spark on offense behind their backup. Washington’s Taylor Heinecke may be the backup but has had experience in the starting role over the past few years. Colts will more than likely lean on Jonathan Taylor and the run game this weekend as Ehlinger makes his first career start in the NFL which should bode well for Washington’s defense as they are much better defending the run than the pass. I’m grabbin the number of 3 here with the underdog but don’t love anything in this game overall.

The Play: Commanders +3

San Francisco 49ers (3-4) at Los Angeles Rams (3-3)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/30

Line: 49ers -1.5

O/U: 43

A rather tough season so far for both of these California teams as both have underwhelmed. Both offenses should get a nice jolt of energy as Rams should be welcoming back WR Van Jefferson while 49ers will be incorporating new weapon Christian McCaffrey more into the offense. This 49ers team looks deadly to face on paper as they now have playmakers all over the field in CMC, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle but will the trigger man behind center be able to take advantage of his weaons on the outside. The two teams faced off earlier this year with Rams losing 24-9 on the road. I expect Sean Mcvay and this Rams offense to look more in sync now with a field stretcher coming back into the fray and a much needed bye helping the offense return to form. Both teams get into double digits and hopefully end with a 24-20 final.

The Play: Over 43

New York Giants (6-1) at Seattle Seahawks (4-3)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/30

Line: Seahawks -3

O/U: 45.5

New York enters this game 6-1 as everyone expected earlier in the offseason. Both Geno Smith and Daniel Jones have impressed this year showcasing a good handle of their offenses leading to Seahawks being atop the NFC West and the Giants having one of the best records in football. Seattle will be without star WR DK Metcalf as he is recovering from an injury, so I expect the offense to lean more towards running the ball behind rookie RB Kenneth Walker. Same goes for New York as Daboll and the Giants offense have leaned heavily on RB Saquon Barkley throughout this year. I expect both teams to keep this one on the ground for a main portion of this game and to try to enter the 4th quarter in a 1 possession game in an attempt to win it late. One thing that scares me is the obvious breakaway potential that both of these running backs contain able to pop off an 80 yard touchdown at any point. We are aiming for a 24-20 final here to cash an under for us.

The Play: Under 45.5

Green Bay Packers (3-4) at Buffalo Bills (5-1)

When: 8:20 PM on 10/30

Line: Bills -11.5

O/U: 47.5

In hopes of being fully transparent, I will throw the disclaimer that I hate this pick and it’s mainly a grab at Aaron Rodgers being this large of an underdog. This Packers team can very well just not be good but they still have one of the best QBs to ever play the position. Bad news for Green Bay is that they are going up against one of the best teams in the NFL currently on the road. Buffalo isn’t an easy place to play along with the fact that they have playmakers littered all over the offense and deefense. The more I dive into this game the more I hate it for Green Bay but I’m going to assume that Lafleur and company can get something figured out on the offensive end and keep this one within 11.

The Play: Packers +11.5

Cincinnati Bengals (4-3) at Cleveland Browns (2-5)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/31

Line: Bengals -3

O/U: 47

This Bengals offense has changed drastically since the start of the year. To begin the season, Bengals offensive gameplan had been running on 1st and 2nd  down with Mixon and then depending on Joe Burrow to play hero ball on 3rd down which led to turnovers, sacks, and drives being killed. Now, Bengals HC Zac Taylor has allowed Burrow to have more control at the line using his best skillset of being able to dissect a defense and take advantage of mismatches that they may have. I believe Bengals should take this one but won’t discount an AFC North primetime game as Cleveland has playmakers of their own to keep this one within a field goal.

The Play: Over 47

NFL Preview Week 7

By: Nick Radivoj

We are on to Week 7 as we finished 6-7-1 last weekend bringing out season total to 47-45-2 (51%). Several games that felt should have gone our way this past weekend with Niners, Panthers, and Dolphins to name a few but we take our lumps and charge on. We elcome back a few teams from bye and say goodbye to the Rams, Bills, Eagles, and Vikings.

New Orleans Saints (2-4) at Arizona Cardinals (2-4)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/20

Line: Cardinals -1.5

O/U: 45

Just as quickly as Cardinals get good news of Deandrew Hopkins being reinstated for this game the bad news quickly follows as WR Hollywood Brown seems to be out for a long time with injury. Cardinals have also traded for veteran WR Robbie Anderson which along with Hopkins should help this offense get back on track. New Orleans has WR questions of their own as they were without Chris Olave and Michael Thomas last week and should welcome at least one back into the fold this week. New Orleans has at least looked the part this year while Arizona only sows up for half a game if that. Taking the free points here with what very well could be the better team in this one.

The Play: Saints +1.5

Atlanta Falcons (3-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Bengals -6

O/U: 47.5

Atlanta has been one of the best surprises of the year as the tea is just a few wins away from already surpassing their season total from earlier in the preseason. Atlanta is also perfect on the year thus far against the spread which may come to a screeching halt come Sunday afternoon. Cincinnati has seemed to hit their stride on offense this past weekend coming from behind on the road to take down New Orleans. I envision Cincinnati holding a two score lead late into this game and become worried about yet another back door cover for this Falcons’ team, so the total is where I go. Both teams here seem keen on establishing the run game which helps us keep the clock ticking.

The Play: Under 47.5

Detroit Lions (1-4) at Dallas Cowboys (4-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Cowboys -7

O/U: 48

We welcome back the Detroit Lions off bye and Cowboys QB Dak Prescott as well returning from injury. Huge praise should go out to Cooper Rush in Cowboy Country as he performed admirably leading Dallas to 4 wins over the 5 games that Dak was out. Dak should be licking his lips as he gets welcomed back from injury to face one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Dallas should have no problem scoring over 24 in tis game and with Detroit bringing in a high-powered offense of their own this one has a high scoring affair in the making. Lions should have full health back from playmakers in Swift and St. Brown which should lead this offense to get back on track and forget what they put on the field against New England.

The Play: Over 48

Indianapolis Colts (3-2-1) at Tennessee Titans (3-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Titans -3

O/U: 42.5

After missing 2 games most people are expecting a return from Colts RB Jonathan Taylor which should provide another explosive option for Indy after they were able to finally get the passing game going. Both teams have found their groove after struggling to start off the season. These teams have already faced off this year with Titans taking the victory 24-17 in Indy. The Colts seem to be on their revenge tour as they managed to get back at Jacksonville last week after losing to them earlier in the season and I think the same is going to happen here. Side thought – incredibly strange for Indy to have played 5 division games through the first 7 weeks of the year. Both teams are even in this matchup so take the points we will.

The Play: Colts +3

Green Bay Packers (3-3) at Washington Commanders (2-4)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Packers -5.5

O/U: 41.5

While many teams have surprised us with how well they have played this year, Green Bay is one of the few teams to surprise us with how bad they’ve looked so far. Defense came into the year expecting to be top half of the league but find themselves on the other side while offense led by back-to-back MVP Aaron Rodgers looks pedestrian at best. Luckily, Green Bay finally gets back on track here facing a Washington team who has shown inconsistency moving the ball so far this year. Washington has explosive players on offense, but their offensive line is severely lacking talent and with a backup QB starting this game it could be a recipe for disaster.

The Play: Packers -5.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3) at Carolina Panthers (1-5)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Bucs -10.5

O/U: 40.5

Two offenses that have sputtered most of this year leaves us with only one option as we go under. Tom Brady and the Bucs haven’t looked to be in sync so far this year and unless they put up 35 themsleves I can’t see this going over. Carolina is in full rebuild mode now trying to shop their assets for draft capital and looking towards the future. Who will be starting at QB for these Carolina Panthers? No matter who I believe Tampa Bay gets their defense locked in not allowing Carolina to pass into double digits. Bucs to cover is another good option here but playing under here instead.

The Play: Under 40.5

New York Giants (5-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Jaguars -3

O/U: 42.5

Jaguars lose a heartbreaker late to drop to 2-4 on the year after coming out of the gates hot. Meanwhile, New York Giants have one of the best records in football at 5-1 just like everyone expected. New York is in for some regression. I believe Jaguars take this one at home as New York is in a let down game here coming from behind to beat the Ravens and celebrating their hot start of the year. There aren’t too many outside weapons for Jacksonville to lock in on but need to be very cautious of RB Saquon Barkley as he brings the potential to pop off a big one at any moment. Trevor Lawrence get his Jags back into the winners circle as New York suffers their second loss of the season.

The Play: Jaguars -3

Cleveland Browns (2-4) at Baltimore Ravens (3-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Ravens -6.5

O/U: 46.5

Ravens are one of the most talented teams in the league but seem to struggle closing games out as all of their losses this year have come from giving up a lead late. Baltimore should have an easy time running the ball Sunday as Cleveland has one of the worst rushing defenses in the league currently. Offensively, Cleveland seems to be counting down the weeks until they can welcome Deshaun Watson back from suspension as they struggle to move the ball consistently with backup QB Jacoby Brissett. With all of that being said, I think this spread is too much to pass up in a divisional matchup against 2 hated fivals. I have faith in Nick Chubb and this rushing offense to keep this one within a touchdown.

The Play: Browns +6.5

New York Jets (4-2) at Denver Broncos (2-4)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/23

Line: Broncos -2.5

O/U: 39.5

I normally would automatically play the under for a Broncos game but as the line has already moved 3 points I can’t recommend it after losing too much value. New York has been hot as of late, but with a young team playing in altitude I don’t expect their best. Broncos defense has been one of the best in the league so far but with the lack of production on the offensive side it doesn’t show in the win column. Russ and the offense finally finish in the endzone and take this one at home.

The Play: Broncos -2.5

Houston Texans (1-3-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (1-4)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/23

Line: Raiders -7

O/U: 45.5

Both teams here should be well rested as they are coming off of their bye week on the beaches of Cancun. I may be disrespecting this Raiders team as a whole but I don’t believe they should be favored by a touchdown over any team right now in the NFL. They’ve shown promise over the past few weeks by running the offense a little more through Josh Jacobs allowing the field to open back up for Derek Carrr and the weapons outside. Houston seems to have struck some gold with Damian Pierce as the rookie RB has looked explosive with the ball in his hands. I believe the Raiders take this one but Houston shows more life than many would expect either losing late or giving us the back door cover.

The Play: Texans +7

Seattle Seahawks (3-3) at Los Angeles Chargers (4-2)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/23

Line:  Chargers -6.5

O/U: 51

I wish I could put a disclaimer in but if Keenan Allen plays I believe Chargers finally get their offense back on track and score over 30 themselves. After getting bottled up on Monday Night Football by a very good Denver defense, Los Angeles will come out firing as Allen is set to return to pair with Mike Williams and Austin Ekeler. I wouldn’t let last week fool you as Seattle has one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Although the defense is lacking, Geno Smith and the offense have been a well oiled machine this year behind some nice outside weaons and new RB Kenneth Walker taking the carries now. Chargers win and get us over the total.

The Play: Over 51

Kansas City Chiefs (4-2) at San Francisco 49ers (3-3)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/23

Line: Chiefs -3

O/U: 48

Kansas City may have very well seen the top seed in the AFC slip from their fingertips last week as Buffalo took a late lead in their matchup last week and took the #1 seed in the conference. There are a few trends I always follow and one of those is trusting Big Red off of a bye or a loss. I fully expect Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid to get this team back on track as they will face off against a depleted 49ers team. This game has the ability to get ugly quick if San Francisco doesn’t get some injury luck go their way this week for both Nick Bosa and Trent Williams. Just like in the Super Bowl, Chiefs take this one and cover.

The Play: Chiefs -3

Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4) at Miami Dolphins (3-3)

When: 8:20 PM on 10/23

Line: Dolphins -7

O/U: 44

After winning their first 3 games, Miami follows it up by losing 3 straight but there seems to be light at the end of the tunnel as Miami will finally welcome back their starting QB Tua Tagovailoa after he missed the past almost 3 games from injury. This offense looks to be on another level with Tua leading the way and in no way do I see the Dolphins’ losing this game on Sunday Night Football while the team commemorates their 1972 undefeated team. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has some QB issues of their own as rookie QB Kenny Pickett left last Sunday’s game with concussion and will have to pass through concussion protocol in order to play this week. Miami wins this game as offense and defense finally get back on track.

The Play: Dolphins -7

Chicago Bears (2-4) at New England Patritos (3-3)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/24

Line: Patriots -7.5

O/U: 39.5

This game has everything in the making for New England to come out and put a beat down on Chicago. Chicago is a ground team first wanting to establish the run and with New England bottling up Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt last week I think they will be ready for this Bears attack. Bill Belichick will surely have a defensive plan up his sleeve to confuse the second year QB in Justin Fields. Fields has a ton of potential but often shows an inability to read the field in front of him and get baited into making turnover worthy throws. Patriots take it at home putting themselves back over .500.

The Play: Patriots -7.5

NFL Week 6 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

A forgettable Week 5 that we will put behind us looking towards the rest of the season. We went 5-10-1 in Week 5 bringing out season total to 41-38-1 (52%) on the season. We learn and we move forward! We wave a gentle goodbye to Titans, Lions, Raiders, and Texans as they begin their bye week on the beaches of Cancun so we will see them in Week 7! Still plenty of football to be watched in front of us so let’s hit the board.

Washington Commanders (1-4) at Chicago Bears (2-3)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/13

Line: Even

O/u: 38

We start off Week 6 action with an absolute thriller! Washington was en route to securing their second win of the season last week before a boneheaded play by QB Carson Wentz resulted in a turnover and a heartbreaking loss for us and the Commanders, but like a junkie we are hooked and back on the wagon! Chicago is a young team with a new HC looking for buy in from the rest of their roster but Commanders’ finally get back in the winners circle Thursday night as they are able to key in on David Montgomery and the rather ineffective passing game of the Bears. Carson Wentz gets redemption from his head coach calling him out as he leads Washington to their second win of the season.

The Play: Commanders PK

 San Francisco 49er (3-2) at Atlanta Falcons (2-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: 49ers -5.5

O/u: 43.5

49ers looked to have gotten their offense back on track over the past few weeks and will continue their success here in Atlanta. They have an embarrassment of riches on offense with Kittle, Deebo, and Aiyuk who should have success against the Falcons secondary. Meanwhile, 49ers lost their starting CB to an ACL injury in their win last week and most likely will be without star DE Nick Bosa because of a groin injury. San Francisco has an elite defense but will be missing 2 key cogs of their unit which should allow Atlanta to move the ball throughout the afternoon. Give me points and give me a lot of them.

The Play: Over 43.5

New England Patriots (2-3) at Cleveland Browns (2-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Browns -3

O/u: 42.5

For the first few years of his career, Jacoby Brissett was a backup QB for the New England Patriots so I’m sure HC Bill Belichick will have some tricks up his sleeve to confuse the former Patriot. He will know exactly what tricks up Brissett and how to attack him from a defensive perspective. On the other side of the ball, Patriots will be without Damien Harris but their backup Rhamondre Stevenson is more than capable to pickup the slack against this lackluster run defense that Cleveland has put on display so far this year. I believe over is an excellent play here as well this weekend but ultimately took the free 3 points for Patriots to cover.

The Play: Patriots +3

New York Jets (3-2) at Green Bay Packers (3-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Packers -7

O/u: 45.5

I don’t believe many people would have predicted that both teams would be coming in with the same record here in this contest Week 6. Jets have been a nice surprise as they have rattled off 3 straight wins after dropping their first 2. Rookies have been the main story line for the Jets as RB Breece Hall and WR Garret Wilson have looked explosive with the ball in their hands. Green Bay’s defense hasn’t looked as dominant as many thought them to be entering the season and I expect that to continue as New York is able to tack on some points here. Aaron Rodgers will straighten out the offense and get the ball into his best playmakers hands as New York is able to be beat downfield with their young secondary.

The Play: Over 45.5

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-3) at Indianapolis Colts (2-2-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Colts -2

O/u: 42

Colts have bounced back after their early season woes tying the Texans and losing to these Jags on the road. It seem slike the story for these two teams has been the same for as long as I can remember where they each win their home games accordingly. Jacksonville took their first one ant home and Indy will bounce back here with a healthier Jonahtan Taylor and what Sseems to be a careless with the football Trevor Lawrence as of late. Lawrence has undeniably a ton of talent but watching him on the sidelines and during games it feels like he isn’t the greatest leader of men and team motivator. Indy ties up the season series and finds themselves back on top of the AFC South.

The Play: Colts -2

Minnesota Vikings (4-1) at Miami Dolphins (3-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Vikings -3

O/u: 45.5

Dolphins came out of the gates hot and explosive after winning their first 3 but have quickly found themselves nearing .500 after dropping 2 straight. As a Dolphins fan, I may be biased here but think this is a spot that Miami either needs to win or needs to keep it close. It’s still warm down in South Beach and the heat will have an impact on this indoor Minnesota team that travels down to Miami t play this game. Hopefully, Miami will retain one of their 2 starting CBs who have been out with injury because if they don’t you may see Justin Jefferson running wild come Sunday afternoon. Vikings have started the year out hot but I believe this is a let down opportunity for them on the road facing a Dolphins team who finds themselves backed up in a corner.

The Play: Dolphins +3

Cincinnati Bengals (2-3) at New Orleans Saints (2-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Bengals -1.5

O/u: 43.5

Super Bowl hangover has been a thing for both Cincinnati and Los Angeles this year as both teams find themselves at 2-3 on the year. Cincy lost in primtime last week against divisional rival Baltimore but will look to bounce back here against New Orleans. Cincy won’t be too uncomfortable in this environment down in New Orleans as star QB Joe Burrow and WR Ja’Marr Chase played their college ball just down the road at LSU. It seems that Tee Higgins will be back and available for the Bengals and with a team aspiring to make a deep playoff run this is a game you need to win on the road. New Orleans may have QB Jameis Winston back in this one but trending towards WR Chris Olave being out with a concussion. Cincy takes the win and heads back home at .500.

The Play: Bengals -1.5

Baltimore Ravens (3-2) at New York Giants (4-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Ravens -5

O/u: 44

Baltimore is able to get redemption from last year’s beat downs that the Bengals gave them as they end up winning Sunday Night. Meanwhile, New York Giants and Brian Daboll are one of the biggest surprises on the year thus far as they are 4-1 and quickly closing in on their season win total numbers. Daniel Jones has looked serviceable in this offense limiting his mistakes and leaningon the explosiveness of RB Saquon Barkley. This isn’t your Baltimore Ravens of old as they have struggled this year to run the ball causing Laar to throw it over the yard and their defense has been one fo the worst in the leagues giving up explosive play after explosive play. With a low total I land on the over but would love to Giants here.

The Play: Over 44

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-4)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Bucs -8

O/u: 43.5

A rough first start for Kenny Pickett and the Steelers might be the best way to sum it up? Over the years, both defenses here have been known as elite stop units but don’t let that trick you as they are no longer as dominant as they used to be. Tampa can be had through the air where I believe Kenny will have slightly more success than he did his first start and Pittsburgh quite frankly can’t stop anything right now without their Defensive Player of the Year candidate TJ Watt. I expect Tom Brady to get this offense back on track behind Mike Evans and Chris Godwin and for Pittsburgh to show some life after embarrassing themselves against Buffalo last week.

The Play: Over 43.5

Carolina Panthers (1-4) at Los Angeles Rams (2-3)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/16

Line: Rams -11

O/u: 41

Super Bowl hangover is right for these Rams as they look far from the team they were last year. Good news is they welcome in a Carolina team that looks even worse than they had earlier this season as now they no longer have an active head coach after firing Matt Rule. Rule will surely find himself with a pretty college contract while still collecting from Carolina – not a bad gig? Surely, Los Angeles will win this game but 11 is just too many points to lay with how they have looked to start the season so far. Matthew Stafford has a bad offensive line in front of him which should give Panthers DE Brian Burns an opportunity to tally up some sacks on the day. Rams win but back door is alive.

The Play: Panthers +11

Arizona Cardinals (2-3) at Seattle Seahawks (2-3)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/16

Line: Cardinals -3

O/u: 51

I’m starting to sound like a broken record, but Seattle has one of the worst defenses in the NFL> If Kyler and the Cardinals offense don’t start the game off half asleep then this one should be heading over quickly as we saw last week with Saints and Seahawks. Once they get down, Seattle is forced to throw the ball over the field with Geno Smith, who has looked great so far this year. With DK and Tyler Lockett on the outside, Seattle can score and make plays of their own. My only concern here is that offenses will play closer to the vest being a divisional matchup between 2 NFC West teams who are very familiar with each other.

The Play: Over 51

Buffalo Bills (4-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/16

Line: Bills -3

O/u: 54

I can’t fully believe myself that I’m doing it but I’m taking the cute play of under here. Bills are a solid play here as well as they always want to prove that they can beat Kansas City since they are the monkey on their backs during each of their layoff runs. Bills have a top defense in the league bolstered by their front 7 and Kansas City has a much improved defense from what they had on the field last year. Chiefs have rookies sprinkled everywhere on defense that are beginning to play better as a cohesive unit and as everyone has seen they don’t have the explosive offense they’ve had in years past. Their offense more lines up with having to drive down the field rather than a quick 2 play 75 yar quick touchdown. I want to see the fireworks but think this one goes under the total.

The Play: Under 54

Dallas Cowboys (4-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-0)

When: 8:20 PM on 10/16

Line: Eagles -5

O/u: 42

An exciting NFC East divisional match up is brought to us on Sunday Night Football! 4 weeks ago when Dak left Sunday Night against the Bucs I’m sure 90 percent of us didn’t think Dallas would be entering this game coming off 4 straight wins to be challenging undefeated Philadelphia for the lead atop the NFC East but here we are. Game plan is simple for Dallas as it looks like Dak will be out another week and so they will play clean ball on offense to allow their defensive unit to step up yet again to keep this one close down the stretch. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles showed some chink in their armor last week against the Cardinals so we shall see if Cooper Rush and the Cowboys are able to exploit it. Too many points not to take in a divsisional match up.

The Play: Cowboys +5

Denver Broncos (2-3) at Los Angeles Chargers (3-2)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/17

Line: Chargers -5.5

O/u: 45.5

I’m not going to waste my team or yours here as this one is easy as can be. Until the Broncos can consistently show me that they can score over 20 points I will be playing their unders. Denver has a top defensive and an offense that many have seen thus far which has been unable to move the ball throughout each of their games so far.

The Play: Under  45.5

NFL Week 5 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

I was unable to capitalize on my Week 3 performance as Week 4 gave me a 7-9 record as I total to 36-28 (56%) on the year. A rather frustrating performance from Week 4 given that a few overs were there for the taken but missed because of either no scoring in the second half by a team or no points scored in the entire 4th quarter from either side. Reagrdless, we are back for Week 5 firing at the board.

Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1) at Denver Broncos (2-2)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/6

Line: Broncos -3

O/u: 43.5

The injury bug has hit both of these running back rooms as Colts Jonathan Taylor is dealing with an injury of his own that may either keep him ot or slow him down while Broncos suffered worse news as Javontae Williams suffered a torn ACL in their last matchup. Under is the play here as neither of these offenses seem to be able to move the ball easily throughout any of thir games so far either with bad playcalling or not having the athletes out there to make the needed plays. Colts are an indoor team coming to play in the outside at Mile High so don’t forget about that element as conditioning could play a factor in this game com elate, but good news for Matt Ryan is I heard ducks fly better at higher altitude.

The Play: Under 43.5

New York Giants (3-1) at Green Bay Packers (3-1)

When: 9:30 AM on 10/9 (London)

Line: Packers -8

O/u: 41.5

If you wake up early on Sunday mornings then brew yourself a nice cup of coffee and enjoy some early football as we have another game overseas this week. Aaron Rodgers looks to lead the Packers to their 4th straight win on the season after coming out flat in their opening game against Minnesota. Slowly but surely, it seems like Rodgers is starting to connect with his new weapons as earlier this year it seemed they were often not in sync. Green Bay seemed to underestimate the Patriots last week as they barely escaped in overtime with a win, so I expect them to be prepared this week for whatever Brian Daboll and the Giants have ready to throw at them. Run at them may be the correct phrase as Saquon Barkley is healthy and looks like his 1st round caliber self again and if the Packers are able to key in on him and bottle him up then this Giants offense is in for a long day.

Packers -8

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3) at Buffao Bills (3-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Bills -14

O/u: 47

The Kenny Pickett era has begun 4 games into the season as the rookie will make his first start this week on the road in Buffalo. Unfortunately, Buffalo is not the most welcoming of places for a rookie to have his first start and with this being only the second home game for the Bills this season, so I expect the fans to be rowdy and full of energy. The line speaks for itself here as Vegas is expecting a blowout but I’m never high on laying 2 TDs against a professional football team so that leaves us with either taking the points with Pitt or looking towards the total here. Although their offensive line seems to be overpowered on paper by the Bills defensive line, Pittsburgh does have weapons on the outside to attack a banged-up Bills secondary. I will most likely regret this, but I will take the points in hopes of a backyard cover here for us late.

The Play: Steelers +14

Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Chargers -3

O/u: 48

Justin Herbert brings his team back to .500 on the year after gutting out a great performance against Houston. You can see that Herbert isn’t 100 percent healthy still but he’s still managing to gut it out for his team. Los Angeles is hopeful to get Keenan Allen finally back this week to pair him alongside Mike Williams and Austin Ekeler who broke out last week totalling 3 total touchdowns. Cleveland, on the other hand, comes home after a disappointing last second loss to the Falcons on the road. Keep an eye out on the status of both of Cleveland’s defensive ends because if they are unable to give it a go then life gets a whole lot easier for Justin Herbert not having to worry about them. Just as I did in the first 4 weeks, I will continue to fade Jacoby Brissett and this Browns team.

The Play: Chargers -3

Chicago Bears (2-2) at Minnesota Vikings (3-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Vikings -7

O/u: 44

My hope of Justin Fields becoming a dynamic QB in the NFL gets smaller and smaller as the weeks dwindle by. He has yet to look the part and the blame isn’t fully on him as Chicago’s front office did very little to help him out whether it be regarding his offensive line or offensive weapons. I do not intend on backing him here either as Minnesota has one of the best home field advantages in the NFL and the fan swill make it difficult on Fields’ all throughout the contest. Color me very shocked here if Minnesota doesn’t come out of this game with multiple turnovers forced. Vikings don’t have the strongest of defenses in the NFL but with what Chicago can throw at them and this home environment give me the Vikings.

The Play: Vikings -7

Detroit Lions (1-3) at New England Patriots (1-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Patriots -3

O/u: 46.5

I learned my lesson and if the Lions are playing then I’m playing the over. Detroit has one of the highest scoring offenses in the league but when you couple that with the worst defense in the NFL then it’s not a recipe for success. For this game make sure to keep an eye on the injry report for Swift, St. Brown, and Brian Hoyer as whether these players are inactive or playing could severely move both the total and spread here. Regardless, Patriots should dhave a field day on the ground with their 2 headed monster.

The Play: Over 45.5

Seattle Seahawks (2-2) at New Orleans Saints (1-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Saints -5.5

O/u: 46

Geno Smith has been one of the biggest surprises in the NFL this season as he has looked rather impressive in his first 4 starts. Seahawks finally got the run game going against Detroit last week but playing the worst defense in the NFL may have something to do with that. Saints return from London empty handed but should get Jameis Winston back this week behind center. Over is the play here as New Orleans shouldn’t have too much difficulty moving the ball on Seattle as they, along with the Lions, have one of the worst defenses in the league. If Geno Smith continues to cook then we should be cruising over the total.

The Play: Over 46

Miami Dolphins (3-1) at New York Jets (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Dolphins -3

O/u: 44.5

No Tua, no problem for the Dolphins in this one. Miami is coming off having extra rest and a disappointing effort against Cincinnati last Thursday. Keep an eye on the health of both Dolphins’ starting cornerbacks as Byron Jones should return from the IR and Xavien Howard left the matchup against the Bengals early. I expect for the defense to get back on track mixing up their coverages and confusing the relatively inexperienced Zach Wilson. Ne York has explosive wide receivers on the outside in Elijah Moore and Garret Wilson but Zach Wilson hasn’t shown the ability to consistently get them the ball to create plays. Running game finally gets on track for Miami here as they run away with the win and run back down to Miami to hopefully get Tua back for Week 6.

The Play: Dolphins -3

Atlanta Falcons (2-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Buccaneers -8.5

O/u: 48

Although in a losing effort, Buccaneers finally got their offense back on track with Mike Evans returning from suspension and Chris Godwin returning from injury. Unfortunately, Tampa’s offense may have found a groove, but their defense underwhelmed as they had over 40 points dropped on them on Sunday Night Football. Luckily, Tampa’s defense gets to face off against the likes of Marcus Mariota who looks far from what everyone remembers at Oregon. Atlanta has lost their leading running back on the year and seem to have forgotten who Kyle Pitts is as he gets under utilized game in and game out. Tampa rights their ship and catapults back into first place.

The Play: Buccaneers -8.5

Tennessee Titans (2-2) at Washington Commanders (1-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Titans -2.5

O/u: 42.5

I’m unsure how anyone can logically back the Commanders after seeing what they have put on display over the first few weeks of the season thus far. The offense has been rather abysmal despite having talent in spots over the field while the defensive players seem to hate their DC Jack del Rio. None of this is a recipe for success and ultimately Ron Rivera is on a sinking ship in Washington as this is going to be blown up after this year. Titans have gotten their season back on track winning 2 straight behind King Henry and I expect the trend to continue here. Titans defense is susceptible to plays downfield and I expect Wentz and company to put together a better offensive outing this week.

The Play: Over 42.5

Houston Texans (0-3-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Jaguars -7

O/u: 44.5

If we are Trevor Lawrence we are going to chalk up what happened in Phily because of the rain and forget about it moving forward. Jacksonville has surprised us how they have played to start this year but are they good enough to be laying a touchdown even against Houston? This is a divisional matchup for the Texans  who played another division foe tight earlier this year in the Colts to a tie. The offseason hype of Damian Pierce seemed to have finally come to fruition as he totaled over 100 yards on the ground last week against the Chargers. I’m taking the points here with the divisional dog here and if the game isn’t close late then back door is sure to be alive.

Texans +7

San Francisco 49ers (2-2) at Carolina Panthers (1-3)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/9

Line: 49ers -6.5

O/u: 39

This is going against the trend here with the over play. Through 4 games the 49ers have hit the under in all of them and Panthers aren’t far behind. As trends like this occur, people will often blindly take the under and with oddsmakers knowing this they will make a line to favor themselves into an over win. We saw how good the 49ers defense were on Monday Night football but travelling across country on a short week could have an impact on the unit. If they weren’t already, Panthers players and staff are fighting for their jobs and need to show up or possibly be looking for work come Tuesday morning. San Francisco’s offense opened up last week with Jimmy getting in a more of a rhythm coming back in the starting role and from injury.

The Play: Over 39

Dallas Cowboys (3-1) at Los Angeles Rams (2-2)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/9

Line: Rams -4.5

O/u: 43.5

Rams look like a far cry from the team that won the Super Bowl just 8 months ago as they seem to miss Odell badly on offense. Cooper Kupp may always be open but he can’t be the only focal point of your offense. Meanwhile, Cooper Rush has filled in nicely since Dak suffered his injury winning 3 straight games. I’m banking on Sean Mcvay and his stars to right their ship as I lay the points here. The Cooper Rush experiment behind this banged up offensive line will get a heavy dose of Aaron Donald throughout this game mixed in with Jalen Ramsey getting in your head. Rams may finally use their big offseason addition in Allen Robinson as they paid him to be their top guy next to Kupp but has yet to produce. I don’t love this one here but something’s got to give.

The Play: Rams -4.5

Philadelphia Eagles (4-0) at Arizona Cardinals (2-2)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/9

Line: Eagles -5

O/u: 49.5

Arizona has gotten themselves back to .500 but welcome an Eagles team to town that look like one of the best team in football right now. Kyler Murray and the offense looked nonexistent in the first half but finally were able to find their stride in the second half ultimately putting up 26 in the game. Jalen Hurts finally looked human against the Jaguards last week but the grond game behind Miles Sanders was able to secure the win regardless. Eagles win a close one on the road here but give me the Cardinals to cover.

The Play: Cardinals +5

Cincinnati Bengals (2-2) at Baltimore Ravens (2-2)

When: 8:20 PM on 10/9

Line: Ravens -3

O/u: 48.5

Both teams find themselves at 2-2 entering this game with two different paths to get there as Bengals have fought back starting the year off 0-2 while Baltimore has surrendered 2 double digit leads at home in both of their losses. Marlon Humphrey has looked like one of the best corners in football so far but he is only 1 man. This isn’t your Ravens defense of old with Ray Lewis and Ed Reed as they have been prone to giving up points and big plays. Bengals are coming off of a long week of rest as they played last Thursday and seemed to have found some magic late in that contest downfield to both Higgins and Chase. This won’t be your father’s AFC North matchup as I expect a defensive struggle here.

The Play: Over 48.5

Las Vegas Raiders (1-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-1)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/10

Line: Chiefs -7

O/u: 51

It’s hard to not back the Chiefs after seeing what they did to a good Buccaneers team on the road on Sunday Night Football. Derek Carrr managed to get their first win this season but find themselves with a tough task as they travel on the road to Arrowhead for a primetime Monday Night Football game. Vegas finally found some magic in former 1st round pick Josh Jacobs as his breakout game led them to a win. Ultimately, I believe the Chiefs are too overwhelming with what they can do to you on offense as Patrick Mahomes has shown a mastery of this offense so far taking what the defense gives him. Raiders put up a fight but Kansas City is too much at the end.

The Play: Chiefs -7