TGIS College Football Preview – Week 4

OVERALL RECORD: 189-154-1 (55.1%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 18-16-1 (53%)

We have started just OK in 2022. However if you have been paying attention to the Miller Lite Minute… we are an astounding 7-2 through the first three weeks with two undefeated weeks (for you three game parlayers out there). We are going to have a great week 4… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 4 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#10 Arkansas +2 vs. #23 Texas A&M UNDER 48.5 – 6:00pm

Texas A&M showed a slight improvement to the offense against Miami… but it still was not great. I’d expect a low scoring game with Arkansas loving to run the ball and Texas A&M attempting to do whatever they do with Max Johnson. Arkansas has had really bad injury luck to their defensive backs, but returns a few guys including starter Myles Slusher for this game. Texas A&M won’t be able to take advantage anyways…

Pick: Arkansas 21-17.

TOP PICKS OF THE WEEK

#17 Baylor +3 at Iowa State UNDER 46 – 11:00am

This Baylor team averaged 3.6 yards per play against BYU. Meanwhile, the Iowa State Cyclones averaged just 4 yards per play against Iowa. These are two average offenses that won’t be able to score. Expect a low scoring, tough battle in Ames. Also give me the 3 points with the Baylor Bears.

TCU -2 at SMU – 11:00am

The Battle of the Iron Skillet is set to be played in Dallas, Texas. I really like TCU as they have a better defense and the more talented team. Expect quite a bit of points, but TCU to pull it off especially after SMU’s performance against Maryland. TCU 38-31

#5 Clemson -7 at #21 Wake Forest – 11:00am

Wake Forest had just 11 yards rushing from their running backs against Liberty and you expect them to stay within a touchdown of Clemson? No way, Clemson by double digits.

#20 Florida +11 at #11 Tennessee – 2:30pm

Tennessee’s offense will score, but Florida can keep this a single digit ball game. I expect it to be like the 7 point game Tennessee played with Pittsburgh (the close game between Florida and USF was a look ahead game… write it off).

Minnesota -3 at Michigan State – 2:30pm

The Michigan State secondary is absolutely garbage. Offensive coordinator Kirk Ciarrocca and quarterback Tanner Morgan will be able to take advantage. Minnesota wins decisively.

Notre Dame at North Carolina -1.5 – 2:30pm

The battle of a bad offense (Notre Dame) verse a poor defense (North Carolina). The difference here is that North Carolina’s offense is the best unit of the bunch with one of the top quarterbacks in the nation: Drake Maye. North Carolina wins this and the Notre Dame nightmare season continues.

Texas at Texas Tech UNDER 60 – 2:30pm

The Texas defense is much improved from last year and that will give Texas Tech quarterback Donovan Smith some trouble, especially considering his interceptions issues the last few games. Additionally, Texas has been much more conservative with Hudson Card in the lineup than when they let Quin Ewers sling the ball around. The under 60 is the play here.

#7 USC -6.5 at Oregon State – 8:30pm

USC’s offense looks fantastic. But the defense is still an issue as they gave up over 6 yards per play with Fresno State quarterback Jake Haener still in the lineup (before he was injured). The Oregon State offensive line, one of the best in the Pac-12, may be able to take advantage. But this is too much offense for Oregon State to keep up. USC 45-35.

#13 Utah -14.5 at Arizona State – 9:30pm

Utah will get back to dominate football and Arizona State may just quit after their coach Herm Edwards was fired this past week. Utah runs away with it.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 4

By: Nick Radivoj

A losing 4-6 Week 3 brings us back to average on the season as we are now 15-15 losing some money on the juice. Quite the frustrating weekend as We barely missed the under in a few games and while staying up late to watch Fresno State and USC we had a QB injury quickly put the kiss of death on that line. We learn and we move forward as we are on to College Football Week 4.

Maryland (3-0) at #4 Michigan (3-0)

When: 12 PM on 9/24

Line: Michigan -16.5

O/u: 65.5

High powered offenses will be squaring off in Ann Arbor come Saturday as Maryland comes in averaging 40 points per game while Michigan is scoring over 55 points a game. These numbers may be deceiving as neither team has faced off against a Big 10 opponent yet. Although they have been scoring in bunches as of late, Michigan and Jim Harbaugh coached teams are not known for running teams off the field but more so tough defense. The spread has stayed steady a majority of the week while the total has gone up by almost 3 points. I expect these teams to come back to Big 10 football with Michigan coasting to a win.

The Play: Under 65.5

#5 Clemson (3-0) at #21 Wake Forest (3-0)

When: 12 PM on 9/24

Line: Clemson -7

O/u: 55.5

Something smells here with this line and I may find myself in a trap. Clemson, with their below standard offense, managed to beat Wake Forest 48-27 last year. With improvement in the offense and still a top Clemson defense I’m unsure how this Clemson team doesn’t blow out Wake Forest on the road here. Wake Forest barely snuck out with a win over Liberty last week. Clemson has a clear talent advantage in the trenches here and will surely dominate in the run game like they did last year. I also like playing the over here in this spot but will end up laying the points with Clemson.

The Play: Clemson -7

#20 Florida (2-1) at #11 Tennessee (3-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Tennessee -10.5

O/U: 62.5

Anthony Richardson and the Gators have laid a few eggs in back-to-back weeks after an impressive Week 1 Top 10 win over Utah. Since then, Anthony Richardson has looked more like a project than a top quarterback in this year’s upcoming NFL Draft. The season look ahead line for this game was Tennessee favored by 8 points as we see the line creep up to the Volunteers favored by 11 now. I don’t feel comfortable laying that many points with a Tennessee team but that doesn’t mean I’m eager to take them with Florida. Glancing at the total, I see value in playing the over as Florida should be able to move the ball on this Tennessee team while Hendon Hooker and the Vols should be able to match them on their own.

The Play: Over 62.5

#22 Texas (2-1) at Texas Tech (2-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Texas -6.5

O/u: 60

Texas Tech QB Donovan Smith has underwhelmed during his 2 starts after coming in Week 1 for injured Tyler Shough. He has turned over the ball in each of his starts thus far and with the Longhorns coming to town I envision the ball flying in harms way yet again. Meanwhile, Hudson Card brought the Longhorns back to the winners’ circle after losing on a last second field goal the week prior. Card is leading the offense now that Ewers is recovering from injury and although Card was a starter last year he doesn’t provide quite the explosion that Ewers does when he was lined up behind center. Texas DC Gary Patterson will sure have a plan to confuse the ripe Red Raider quarterback.

The Play: Under 60

Notre Dame (1-2) at North Carolina (3-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: North Carolina -1.5

O/u: 57

First one is always the hardest, right? Notre Dame HC Marcus Freeman secured his first win last week as they grinded out a 24-17 win over California. Plenty of teams are in this new wave of College Football spreading the field out and passing the ball down field, but Notre Dame is not one of those teams. Marcus Freeman is keen on getting back to his roots and playing hard nosed defense for 60 minutes while playing power football on the offensive side. Meanwhile, Drake May and North Carolina provide fireworks and quick soring drives with explosive plays. One of the best ways to limit an offense like that from clicking is by having them sit on the sideline longer. Once again, a slow grind it out game that stays under the total for us going to the window.

The Play: Under 57

James Madison (2-0) at Appalachian State (2-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Appalachian State -8

O/U: 58

Appalachian State survives gameday last week as they win in the final seconds off a Hail Mary by QB Chase Brice. Appalachian State has had two long drawn-out games that have gassed this team as they upset Texas A&M on the week prior to their comeback win last week. James Madison comes in as an undefeated team and a perennial powerhouse in their conference and in a spot where Appalachian State is sure to run out of gas give me James Madison to cover here with a potential outright winner.

The Play: James Madison +8

#15 Oregon (2-1) at Washington State (3-0)

When: 4 PM on 9/24

Line: Oregon -6.5

O/u: 57.5

Oregon travels on the road after an impressive victory over a #12 ranked BYU team. Bo Nix often seems like two different quarterbacks when he plays at home versus on the road so we shall see if we get Jekyll or Hide this upcoming week. Meanwhile, JUCO transfer QB Cam Ward has led the Cougars to a 3-0 start as he’s impressed in his first action in Power 5 so far. Washington State’s defense has impressed along with the offense this year as they have one of the top scoring defenses in the Pac 12 currently.  Dependent on which Bo Nix arrives game time on Saturday I believe that Washington State has a chance to win this game outright but with Dan Lanning interested in running the ball to minimize Nix’s turnover opportunities I will yet again play an Oregon under.

The Play: Under 57.5

#10 Arkansas (3-0) at #23 Texas A&M (2-1)

When: 7 PM on 9/24

Line: Texas A&M -2

O/u: 48.5

KJ Jefferson and the Razorbacks were almost caught sleeping last weekend looking ahead to this game as they pulled off a second half come from behind win to remain undefeated. The Aggies right their ship by taking down a highly ranked Miami team that came into town. How luck are these Aggie fans? It can’t get much better than multiple Top 15 night games. Although Texas A&M is the home team this rivalry game is played in Dallas for a mutual site game every year.  Jimbo Fisher seemed much happier with Max Johnson’s play over what he had received from Haynes King over the prior weeks. I trust KJ Jefferson and Arkansas’ offense over what A&M has put on display this year so far but with the inability for both of these teams to push the ball down field I believe the under is a good play.

The Play: Under 48.5

Vanderbilt (3-1) at #2 Alabama (3-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Alabama -40

O/u: 59

I should have seen it last week but I’m not going to miss it this week. Alabama should have been the play last week as opposed to the under as we all know Nick Saban lights a fire under his team after a loss or a close win as everything is a learning experience with this man. Saban knows what can happen to a team if they are caught looking ahead as Alabama plays a Top ranked Arkansas team next. Bryce Young will be set to get back on track to tune up after throwing a few interceptions in last week’s contest. I look for Alabama to put it on them early so that we can get out of dodge with no injuries for their next contest against Arkansas.

The Play: Alabama -40

Wisconsin (2-1) at #3 Ohio State (3-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Ohio State -18.5

O/u: 57

The Ohio State offense we all know and love was finally back this past Saturday against Toledo as the Buckeyes explode for 77 points on the day. Ohio State DC Jim Noles is slowly getting his scheme implemented but still doesn’t have his defense playing like he wants them. As for Wisconsin, the blueprint is out on how to slow this Ohio State team if you watch the recap of their first game against Notre Dame. DC Jim Leonhard will surely be able to take notes from that game as Notre Dame eliminated any plays from going over the top and forced Ohio State to prove they could score through long drives down the field. I would love to play the under again hear but to not pull my hair out rooting for too many unders this weekend I will take the points with the Badgers.

The Play: Wisconsin +18.5

NFL Week 3 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

An unfortunate wash of a weekend in Week 2 as I finish with an average 8-8 record across the board bringing the season total to 17-15 (still up!). This NFL Week 3 slate seems a lot tougher to dissect so join me as we maneuver our way through the board to pick out the best bet from each game!

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-1)

When: 8:15 PM on 9/22

Line: Browns -4.5

O/u: 38.5

A pair of division rivals are set to face off Thursday night to jump start us into Week 3 of NFL action. This Steelers team will look different than the last time Cleveland faced them as they will be missing their defensive star TJ Watt to injury and Hall of Fame QB Big Ben to retirement. The Jacoby Brissett experience has been a roller coaster to start the season as Cleveland finds themselves at .500 currently but could easily be both defeated and undefeated. Pittsburgh’s offense is still pedestrian from last year as OC Matt Canada’s offense refuses to take deep shots down the field but rather play in a 5 yard box away from the line of scrimmage. I rarely encourage taking the under in low totals but with Mitch Trubisky and Jacoby Brissett at the helm I don’t see any other way.

The Play: Under 38.5

Houston Texans (0-1-1) at Chicago Bears (1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Bears -2.5

O/u: 40.5

Two quarterbacks from the 2021 NFL Draft are set to face off for the first time in Davis Mills and Justin Fields. Both teams are projected to have a high pick in next year’s draft but both have been a nice surprise to start this year as Houston has been in both of their first two games and Chicago started off the year with an underdog win. Chicago may be rebuilding but they really need to see what they have in QB Justin Fields as throwing the ball 14 times per game isn’t the best way to evaluate what you have in him. On the other hand, Davis Mills has led Houston down the wire in both of their games but unable to seal the victory come closing time. Cheers to hoping the Bears open their playbook and Houston continues to move the ball down the field. I’m a happy camper to not be tuning into this game on Sunday.

The Play: Over 40.5

Las Vegas Raiders (0-2) at Tennessee Titans (0-2)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Raiders -2.5

O/u: 45.5

Titans HC Mike Vrabel looked absolutely disgusted on the sideline Monday night as Tennessee was pummeled by Buffalo by 34. After losing their home opener on a missed game winning field goal, Tennessee comes back home in an attempt to find their first win of the season welcoming in the also defeated Raiders. Las Vegas was on their way to securing their first win last week but blew a 20-0 lead as Kyler Murray brought back Arizona for their first win. Titans OT Taylor Lewan left Monday’s game early with an injury and will be a player to keep an eye out for as Tennessee will be tasked with keeping their QB upright against Maxx Crosby and Chandler Jones. Although Monday’s loss left an incredibly poor taste in my mouth, I will keep faith in Mike Vrabel to right the ship here at home with the points.

The Play: Titans +2.5

Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Chiefs -6.5

O/u: 49.5

The Colts come into this game still defeated on the year as they are unable to get the monkey off their back losing yet again to Jacksonville in Florida. Keep an eye out for injury updates on Colts WR Michael Pittman as he was unable to play last week and without him Indy is unable to move the ball downfield. Kansas City comes on the road undefeated after an exciting home win Thursday night against the Chargers. The key to beating any star QB is to limit the amount of possessions that team gets and insert variance into the mix hoping for a turnover or two. Indy will lean on the back of their star running back in order to win the time of possession battle and maybe, just maybe, sneak out a win. Colts plus the points is in play here but rather play the under with slow methodical drives sure to come.

The Play: Under 49.5

Buffalo Bills (2-0) at Miami Dolphins (2-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Bills -5.5

O/u: 53.5

Buffalo looks every bit the Super Bowl favorite as they crush the Titans 41-7 in their home opener. As a Dolphins fan, I truly won’t believe they can beat the Bills until they finally do as this team has owned Miami for the past several years. Bills offseason signee Von Miller has seemed to transform their defensive front 7 as they have caused havoc in both games thus far and will be the biggest test for Miami’s new look offensive line. Miami showed off their new offense this past week as they managed to come back down 3 touchdowns in the 4th quarter to overcome Baltimore. Tua had the game of his short career as he threw for over 450 yards and 6 TDs but will need to build off this game as he welcomes Josh Allen and the undefeated Bills. I’m unable to back Miami until they prove it but that doesn’t mean I’m going against them so with too much offensive talent on display give me points and give me a lot of them.

The Play: Over 53.5

Detroit Lions (1-1) at Minnesota Vikings (1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Vikings -6

O/u: 53.5

Minnesota’s offense took a major step back after their Week 1 performance as they looked lost in Philadelphia Monday night. Kirk Cousins looked every bit Primetime Kirk as he continuously threw up turnover worthy balls into the Philadelphia night. Luckily, Minnesota will welcome in a Lions team that has yet to allow less than 27 points in a game thus far. Their defense may be a work in progress, but their offense has been explosive as Detroit has put up over 35 points in each game to start the season. I expect Minnesota’s offense to get back on track behind Justin Jefferson and Dalvin Cook this week while Detroit will continue providing explosive plays on their side of the ball.

The Play: Over 53.5

Baltimore Ravens (1-1) at New England Patriots (1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Ravens -3

O/u: 43

Baltimore comes to New England with a poor taste in their mouth as they let up a 3-touchdown lead in a losing battle against the Dolphins this past Sunday. Lamar Jackson looks like a man looking for a new contract as he was nearly perfect in this game throwing for 3 TDs while adding another one on the ground against Miami. New England was able to find themselves in the win column for the first time this year as they managed to defeat another AFC North team in the Steelers. Although they managed to secure the win, New England’s offense has yet to pop off this year under second year QB Mac Jones which may not be the biggest surprise as the team did little to surround him with weapons this offseason. Baltimore’s defense can’t look any worse after allowing 35 second half points, can they? With minimal weapons on the offensive side of the ball and with running QBs often giving their defense mishaps I don’t love New England in this spot at home.

The Play: Ravens -3 

Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) at New York Jets (1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Bengals -4.5

O/u: 45.5

Super Bowl hangover? Cincinnati looks like a far cry from the team that played in last year’s Super Bowl as they start this year 0-2 and losing to a Dak Prescott-less Cowboys team. Zac Taylor could have easily found himself on the hot seat were it not for Cincinnati’s Super Bowl run last year. Joe Burrow has looked terrified this year running for his life from both TJ Watt and Micah Parsons in his first two games behind what was supposed to be one of the best revamped offensive lines in the league. Disappointed after their second loss, Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase seemed to have choice words calling out their offense. Meanwhile, New York logged their first win of the season last week in a thrilling 13-point comeback in the final 2 minutes of the game. Despite the slow start, Cincinnati will need a commanding victory this week if they have any aspirations this year for another deep playoff run.

The Play: Bengals -4.5

Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Washington Commanders (1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Eagles -6.5

O/u: 47

Jalen Hurts and the Eagles looked impressive on Monday night as they begin their season off 2-0. The Carson Wentz experience in Washington hasn’t been a horrendous start this year as the offense has put up over 24 points in both of their games to start the season. This game will display good against good as Washington’s defensive line will battle Philadelphia’s offensive line in the trenches. Commanders’ defense has been slightly overrated to start the year but if they are able to contain and get pressure on Jalen Hurts with their front 4 anything is possible. Carson Wentz will be looking for redemption against the team that gave up on him as the division dog is alive at home to take this one outright.

The Play: Commanders +6.5

New Orleans Saints (1-1) at Carolina Panthers (0-2)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Saints -3

O/u: 41  

A few different bounces of the ball and Carolina could see themselves as undefeated as opposed to defeated entering this game. The Baker Mayfield led Panthers have looked rather sloppy thus far on offense while the defense, for the most part, has held their own. They welcome in Jameis Winston and the Saints at home as they also look to bounce back after a loss to Tom Brady last weekend. Two major factors in this game to keep an eye out for is if Saints RB Alvin Kamara will play and this game and second is if Jekyll or Hide will be playing QB for New Orleans this week. How New Orleans looks heavily correlates with whether Jameis takes care of the ball or not. If Brian Burns and company can create some short fields off turnovers for the offense then the Panthers can secure their first win this season. One thing is for certain and that is we need more characters like Jameis in the NFL as he gets me excited to watch him on the field and listen to his pressers postgame as well.

The Play: Panthers +3

Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) at Los Angeles Chargers (1-1)

When: 4:05 PM on 9/25

Line: Chargers -7

O/u: 48

Everything in my normal process tells me to lay the points with the Chargers here as the Jaguars are coming across country and 3 time zones to play in this one, but with the way Trevor Lawrence looked in Week 2 I can’t resist in backing this Jacksonville team. Under new regime, Jacksonville looks more composed and more confident out on the field as they are filled with young talent across the field. Keynote to look out for is the health of Justin Herbert as he injured his rib in Los Angeles’ loss last Thursday to Kansas City. If Jaguars do arrive in LA as expected then this game could also lead us to a shootout with the over as a good play as well but give me the young, tough Jaguars here instead.

The Play: Jaguars +7

Los Angeles Rams (1-1) at Arizona Cardinals (1-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/25

Line: Rams -3.5

O/u: 49

The Rams have not looked like the Super Bowl winner from last year as they lose handedly to Buffalo Week 1 and sneak out of LA with a win against the Falcons that should have been a whole lot easier than it was. Los Angeles was up 28-3 with little time remaining in the 3rd quarter but as soon as you look back Atlanta has the ball with a chance to win it at the end. Rams have yet to cover a game this season but that comes to a screeching halt here as Sean Mcvay has owned the Cardinals since he took over as HC for the Rams. Kyler Murray was able to pull off a miraculous comeback last weekend against the Raiders, but his heroics may not be enough this time as he isn’t left with many offensive weapons with Deandre Hopkins suspension and Arizona’s defense often resembling Swiss cheese.

The Play: Rams -3.5

Atlanta Falcons (0-2) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/25

Line: Seahawks -2

O/u: 42

Atlanta has surprised many this year as they have come out in both games and nearly stolen a win against 2 quality teams in the Saints and Rams. Atlanta has been able to move the ball on offense behind first round WR Drake London and with former 1st round pick Kyle Pitts sure to get in the mix soon this offense has the capability to be tough to stop. Meanwhile, Seattle forgot to show up playing the 49ers this week as they looked like a completely different team that played Denver the week prior. Offense seems rather uncapable of creating explosive plays with the unwillingness to throw the ball downfield to star WR DK Metcalf. Definitely not one of the top games I’m looking forward to this weekend, but Atlanta finds themselves in the winners circle for the first time this year.

The Play: Falcons +2

Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0)

When: 4:25 on 9/25

Line: Buccaneers -2

O/U: 41

Much of this game has lost its spark as Tampa Bay will be without many of their key offensive weapons with Mike Evans facing a suspension and Chris Godwin likely out with injury. Aaron Rodgers got the Packers back on track Sunday night as the offense was proficient with the defense stepping up making plays left and right. I wold normally love playing an over as low as this with Rodgers and Brady set to face each other but with both of these defenses being stout units and Tampa missing offensive players I don’t think it’s a smart play here. Rather, I will take the 2 points given to the team up in Greeen Bay as they continue to build off of their win against Chicago.

The Play: Packers +2

San Francisco 49ers (1-1) at Denver Broncos (1-1)

When: 8:20 on 9/25

Line: 49ers -1.5

O/u: 41.5

After losing their starting running back in Week 1, 49ers have the injury bug strike yet again as they lose QB Trey Lance for the rest of the season. Luckily. San Francisco still has last year’s starter Jimmy Garoppolo on the team as he slides back into the starting role. Offense shouldn’t miss a beat with Jimmy behind center as he has been the starter for the past couple years. This 49ers defense is also familiar with their opposing QB as they have faced Russel Wilson for the majority of his career when he was sporting Seahawks colors. 49ers have one of the best defensive lines in football and with a few offensive playmakers missing for Denver I see a slow day moving the ball for Russ. The altitude will surely play a factor on a California based team and with that combined with the 49ers defensive prowess I’m taking the under.

The Play: Under 45

Dallas Cowboys (1-1) at New York Giants (2-0)

When: 8:15 PM on 9/26

Line: Giants -2.5

O/u: 39.5

No Dak Prescott? No problem. The Cowboys find themselves in the winners’ circle for the first time this year after taking down Cincinnati at home. The key to that win was playing mistake free football and leaning on the back of the defense and elite pass rusher Micah Parsons. Dallas is trying to scratch and claw their way to any win they can get to keep their young season alive while awaiting on Dak to return from an injury suffered in Week 1. Meanwhile, the Giants find themselves in unknown territory as they start their season off 2-0 under their new regime. I see this game playing out a lot likeDallas’ prior game with defense causing chaos and forcing Daniel Jones to turn the ball over. Under may be the right play here but I can’t find myself on the side of two under below 40 this week.

The Play: Cowboys +2.5

TGIS Week 3 College Football Preview

OVERALL RECORD: 185-149-1 (55.4%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 14-12-1 (53.8%)

Week 3 Games of the Week (All Times CST)

#12 BYU at #25 Oregon -3.5 – 2:30pm

The big question going into this game is whether wide receivers Puka Nacua and Gunner Romney will play. .. or whether Romney will miss out on Oregon like the 2012 election. During BYU’s game against Baylor they showed some vulnerability against the run. Oregon has a good offensive line which can take advantage of the BYU defensive line. I like Oregon to win.

Pick: Oregon 27-21

#13 Miami +5.5 at #24 Texas A&M – 8:00pm

Can Texas A&M get back on track? After a terrible game against Appalachian State where their offense could not move the ball at all, the Aggies now have the Hurricanes coming to College Station. I’m expecting this to be a very close game. Expect Texas A&M to perform much better this week… but I’m still taking Miami. It comes down to trusting Tyler Van Dyke over Texas A&M. We are not locking this one up though due to the wild card that is Texas A&M football right now.

Pick: Miami 21-20

Top Picks of the Week

Air Force -15 at Wyoming – Friday 7:00pm

Air Force just got done absolutely obliterating Colorado 41-10 and rushing for 435 yards. What does Wyoming not do well? Stop the run. Air Force is an underrated team and who I think will end up winning the Mountain West. Air Force wins big.

#1 Georgia -24 at South Carolina – 11:00am

South Carolina’s offensive line has not been good in the first two games of the season. Now they are facing a vicious Georgia defensive front seven. Georgia took their foot off the pedal last week against Samford because Samford head coach Chris Hatcher gave Kirby Smart his first job. The Dawgs won’t be as nice to South Carolina. Georgia wins big.

Purdue at Syracuse (-0) – 11:00am

If you haven’t noticed, new Syracuse offensive coordinator Robert Anae has flipped this offense around with a new offense. Sean Tucker is one of the most underrated running backs in the nation for the Orange… and why I like them to win at home.

Vanderbilt +2.5 at Northern Illinois – 2:30pm

Northern Illinois has beat Eastern Illinois (FCS) by 7 and lost to Tulsa by 3. No way would I pick them to beat Vanderbilt where quarterback Mike Wright has been impressive. Vanderbilt is a competent team that ends up winning this game.

Kansas +10 at Houston – 3:00pm

Houston has played in two straight overtime games where they have scored at least 30 points. Kansas is also coming off a 55-42 OT win where their defense did not play well. I think both teams will be able to score plenty of points with Kansas keeping it close. Take a Lance Leipold coached team to make this a game.

Texas Tech +10.5 at NC State – 6:00pm

NC State plays a very conservative style of play where winning by double digits is unlikely. Plus this is a very scrappy, decent Tech team that will keep it close. Texas Tech covers (maybe even worth a little money line sprinkle).

Michigan State +3.5 at Washington UNDER 57 – 6:30pm

Jalen Berger and Jarek Broussard are one of the best running back combos in college football for the Spartans. Michigan State is the much better team and you get 3.5 points. Meanwhile, I’m not trusting the untested Washington offense with Michael Penix at quarterback. This is going to be a low scoring Michigan State win.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 3

By: Nick Radivoj

It feels like College Football just kicked off yesterday and here we are already entering Week 3. We had our first major upset of the year as Texas A&M loses at home to an unranked Appalachian State team causing them to fall 18 slots in the polls. Alabama sneaks out of Texas with a last second field goal as defending champs Georgia cruises along and hops up to the #1 team in doing so. We are currently 11-9 over the course of the first 2 weeks putting us up 1.1u taking the juice into consideration. Let’s give us some wiggle room with a fun Week 3 slate.

#1 Georgia (2-0) at South Carolina (1-1)

When: 12 PM on 9/17

Line: UGA -24

O/u: 52

It has only been 2 weeks but Georgia is beginning to look like a problem this year as many thought they would take a step back after losing so much from their National Championship team. Stetson Bennett has shown a mastery of this offense in distributing to playmakers left and right. Georgia cruised to a win last week over Samford while South Carolina was in a battle on the road against Arkansas. Spencer Rattler finished with a serviceable stat line although in a losing effort. Rattler will need to limit the sacks and turnover worthy plays in this one if South Carolina has a chance to pull off the upset. After fielding a historic defense last year, Georgia still seems to have a top tier defense under HC Kirby Smart. Unless I’m not taking the crowd into full context here, I think this one will get ugly as Georgia cruises to their third win this season.

The Play: Georgia -24

#6 Oklahoma (2-0) at Nebraska (1-2)

When: 12 PM on 9/17

Line: Oklahoma -11.5

O/u: 67

A new HC will lead the Cornhuskers into battle Saturday as Nebraska and Scott Frost part ways after opening the season 1-2 and losing to Georgia Southern at home. Offense did not seem to be the issue last week for Nebraska as the defense surrendered over 40 points to Georgia Southern. Meanwhile, new HC Brent Venables and transfer QB Dillon Gabriel look every bit the Big 12 front runner they are after two weeks. Never underestimate the impact playing on the road will have for college students as it’s never easy to go into unknown territory and pull out a win as shown last week by Alabama. I love following the trend of trailing teams the week after they part ways with a head coach as the team almost always seems to rally for a hard-fought battle. This historic rivalry has seen a one score game over its past few contests and I expect the same here.

The Play: Nebraska +11.5

#12 BYU (2-0) at #25 Oregon (1-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/17

Line: Oregon -3.5

O/u: 57.5

BYU travels on the road for another Top 25 matchup this week after winning in overtime last week against Baylor. In normal circumstances this would be a BYU play al day, but teams often come out flat after an emotional victory. BYU played a draining game against Baylor last week while Oregon bounced back with an easy victory over Eastern Washington putting up 70 points in the process. Having seen Bo Nix at Auburn, I’m very hesitant to lay 3.5 with the Ducks as he’s prone to make bone headed turnovers which can turn a game over on its head. I expect BYU to unfortunately come out flat this week after extending themselves against Baylor as well as Oregon HC Dan Lanning having a solid gameplan to keep BYU QB Jaren Hall in check. I find myself eyeing the total as BYU has a formidable defense of their own.

The Play: Under 57.5

#22 Penn State (2-0) at Auburn (2-0)

When: 3:30 on 9/17

Line: Penn State -3

O/u: 47

Penn State travels to Auburn in a rematch of lat year’s exciting game which ultimately came down to the wire. Something has to give here in this meeting sa Penn State is 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games against SEC opponents while Auburn is also 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games against Big 10 teams. Nick Singleton provides Penn State their first 100-yard rusher in what seems like eons as he climbs over the century mark in last week’s win over Ohio. This game will be decided in the trenches as Auburn will look to establish their run game while attacking Penn State QB Sean Clifford on the other side with a very polished defensive line. I wouldn’t be doing you any justice to be on the lookout for whatever witchcraft will be in store inside Jordan-Hare stadium as it always seems the luck falls Auburns way there. I feel like the line is exactly right here so give me a slow methodical game of running the ball here.

The Play: Under 47

#20 Ole Miss (2-0) at Georgia Tech (1-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/17

Line: Ole Miss -16

O/U: 63.5

Both teams are coming off commanding wins last week but that may not be the best thing for one of them. Georgia Tech is 1-10 against the spread in their last 11 games coming off of a win and 2-14 against the spread in their last 16 non-conference games. This contest will showcase good versus bad as Ole Miss brings in a Top 20 rushing offense while Georgia Tech has a bottom rushing defense nationally. I don’t see Georgia Tech having the firepower to keep up with Lane Kiffin’s offense as the offensive mastermind shouldn’t have too much difficulty putting up points. Georgia Tech QB Jeff Sims doesn’t have much help on offense but also doesn’t help himself making mistakes week over week. A rather easy one here as we can’t back the Jackets given their trends.

The Play: Ole Miss -16

UL Monroe (1-1) at #2 Alabama (2-0)

When: 4 PM on 9/17

Line: Alabama -49

O/u: 60.5

I would love to be a fly on the wall in Alabama’s locker room after their narrow victory over Texas in Austin last week. For starters, Alabama came in as a 3-touchdown favorite against Texas and won on a last second field goal as time expires and the players feel the need to give the horns down sign?? Rightfully so, Nick Saban put that to a screeching halt. Nonetheless, a win is a win. Coach Saban does not have a short memory and doesn’t forget when ULM came into Alabama and upset the Tide at home in 2007. Bryce Young and company will look to get the offense back on track as they had a pedestrian game for their standards in Austin while the defense was able to keep the game tight while the offense sputtered. In no way, shape, or form am I predicting an upset from 2007 but it boils down to how much is the victory by? Ultimately, I believe defense can pitch a shutout or close to it once again while the offense does their damage to cruise in the second half.

The Play: Under 60.5

Texas Tech (2-0) at #16 NC State (2-0)

When: 7 PM on 9/17

Line: NC State -9.5

O/U: 55.5

Texas Tech heads on the road this week to face another Top 25 team in NC State after prevailing over Houston at home. Texas Tech QB Donovan Smith was able to pull off the overtime win over Houston but didn’t look as sharp as he did in Week 1 throwing 3 interceptions in this contest. A performance like that on the road will surely find Texas Tech in the losers’ circle. Devin Leary and the Wolfpack cruised to a Week 2 victory after escaping their first contest against East Carolina with a win. I don’t want to sound too much like a broken record but with Texas Tech coming off an emotional overtime victory and travelling on the road doesn’t sound like a winning recipe to me. A tad unsure how I find myself laying the points with NC State again after they broke my heart in the opening game of the season but here I am.

The Play: NC State -9.5

#11 Michigan State (2-0) at Washington (2-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 9/17

Line: Washington -3.5

O/u: 56.5

Both teams come into this contest 2-0 but both will have their first real test of the season here as they didn’t face A Power 5 team over the first 2 weeks of the season. Where Washington is most vulnerable is in the secondary as they lost multiple starters last year to the NFL draft and are pretty banged up in the secondary to start this year as well. The question here is if Michigan State can exploit that weakness? Unfortunately, I don’t believe that the talent under center is there for the Spartans to capitalize on the road against a tough Huskies team. I’m interested to see how this one unfolds as I haven’t had the pleasure to watch much of either of these team sthis year.

The Play: Washington -3.5

#13 Miami (2-0) at #24 Texas A&M (1-1)

When: 9 PM on 9/17

Line: TAMU -5.5

O/u: 45

Texas A&M found themselves looking ahead to this game last week as they lose to Appalachian State at home as 19-point favorites. This game lost some of its shine as TAMU falls 18 points in the rankings to 24. I guess Jimbo Fisher may need to give Nick Saban an apology as it isn’t quite as easy as he says it is to win with the undisputed top recruiting class. New Miami HC Mario Cristobal and QB Tyler Van Dyke will face their toughest test in their short time together as a night game inside Kyle Field is no easy task. Jimbo Fisher will need to get his offense back on track as it’s quite embarrassing to only put up 14 points against an Appalachian State defense that gave up over 60 to North Carolina the week prior (7 of TAMU’s points came off of a kick return TD as well). This game will fall on the shoulders of Tyler Van Dyke and if he can withstand the pressure and noise come Saturday night in College Station. Give me a 1 score game with TAMU prevailing in the end.

The Play: Miami +5.5

Fresno State (1-1) at #7 USC (2-0)

When: 10:30 PM on 9/17

Line: USC -12

O/u: 73.5

Lincoln Riley and Caleb Williams cruise to another win as they take down Stanford at home last week. The offense seems to be in midseason form as Riley brings in a balanced attack able to establish the run and throw downfield with weapon Jordan Addison on the outside. USC’s defense is still an unknown as they did give up some points to Stanford last week and will face a tougher test this week as Fresno State brings a more prevalent offense to town behind QB Jake Haener. I don’t see either one of these defenses slowing down the opposing offense this weekend and would have loved playing the over but can’t recommend as it’s moved 5 points off its opening total of 68.5. Stanford found themselves within 2 TD’s last week and with a better offense I see Fresno State in this game late.

The Play: Fresno State +12

NFL Week 2 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

NFL Week 1 comes to a close and leaves fans drooling for more as there was plenty of excitement to go around. We had multiple underdogs win outright as well as a couple games needing extra time to decide a winner… or not? We leave opening week of football with a 9-7 record and up 1.3u taking into account the juice. I believe a lot of meat was left on the bone and very well could have had a better week so let’s pick up where we left off and dive into Week 2!

Los Angeles Chargers (1-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-0)

When: 8:15 PM on 9/15

Line: Chiefs -4

O/U: 54.5

No Tyreek Hill? No problem. Patrick Mahomes came out last Sunday with an absolute masterpiece totaling 5 TDs on the day. More impressively, Kansas City held Kyler Murray and the Cardinals to 1 TD over 3 quarters as they tacked on 2 more in mop up duty in the final quarter. Chiefs’ new look defense held up against Arizona but will be faced with a tougher task Thursday night as one of the best young QBs in the league comes to town. Unfortunately, it looks as if Herbert won’t have one of his top options in Keenan Allen as he left Sunday’s game early with a hamstring injury. Mike Williams underwhelmed with only 2 catches in his Week 1 debut and will need to have a bigger game if Chargers expect to win. Key matchup to watch is versatile Safety Derwin James against TE Travis Kelce as he led Kansas City in receiving last week. I may be getting too cute with this play here but both defenses are mproved from last year and I’m not expecting the shootout that most are predicting.

The Play: Under 54.5

New York Jets (0-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/18

Line: Browns -6

O/U: 40

Ugly is the best word to describe these two passing offenses in Week 1. Both QBs averaged under 5.2 yards per attempt in their Week 1 performances. Cleveland is rather lucky to have secured a win last week as they landed 2 rather questionable flags on their game winning FG drive. We quickly glance at the line as there’s a close to zero percent chance I will lay a TD with Jacoby Brissett at QB for the Browns. Cleveland illustrated how their offense will run as they patiently wait for Deshaun Watson’s suspension to run its course. My suggestion to teams facing Cleveland Is to load up the box to stop Cleveland’s 2 headed monsters at running back and make Jacoby beat you. Begrudgingly, I will take Jets to cover here with a strong defensive game plan and signs of hopeful life from their offense. It can’t get any worse for Flacco, can it?

The Play: Jets +6

Washington Commanders (1-0) at Detroit Lions (0-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/15

Line: Lions -2.5

O/U: 48.5

Commanders’ fans got the full Carson Wentz experience in Week 1 as he turned over the ball a few times on some rather ugly plays. With that being said, he still led Washington in a 4th quarter comeback to prevail against the Jaguars. This offense could be explosive with playmakers on the outside if Wentz is able to minimize his mistakes over the course of the season. Meanwhile, a track meet took place in Detroit last week as the Lions lost a close one to Philadelphia 38-35. Lions HC Dan Campbell may have had one of the more intriguing introductory press conferences to date but he truly inspires his team to play hard until the clock shows 0’s. Detroit will be a tough out in almost every game this year and if they are able to hold off Washington’s pass rush I love their odds in covering here but landed on the total instead.

The Play: Over 48.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0) at New Orleans Saints (1-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/18

Line: Buccaneers -3

O/U: 44

Tampa Bay showed why they are one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl Sunday night against Dallas as the contest was never really in doubt. Tom Brady’s birth certificate shows that he’s 45 years of age but still has the arm of a 25 year old NFL QB. Brady connected with new weapon Julio Jones multiple times in Week 1 as the former All Pro WR looks to have regained some of his youth as he’s partaking in the TB12 method himself. Remarkably, WR Chris Godwin started Week 1 on the field as opposed to the PUP list as he recovered quickly from a torn ACL last year facing this Saints’ team, but unfortunately left Sunday’s contest early with a hamstring injury. Since his time coming to Tampa Bay, Tom has controlled the NFC South but has had his issues with New Orleans time and time again. New Orleans started the year off with a win as they managed a second half comeback against Atlanta. They welcomed back WR Michael Thomas, and he welcomed them with 2 receiving TDs in the victory. This line feels about right and with two strong defensive teams I found myself on the probable too cute side of this total.

The Play: Under 44

Carolina Panthers (0-1) at New York Giants (1-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/18

Line: Giants -2.5

O/U: 43

How long has it been since the New York football Giants have had a winning record? My fuzzy memory wants to take me all the way back to 2016 with the boat picture playoff team. Plenty of similarities with these teams as they both had pedestrian offenses in the first half last week but opened up in the second half as both teams took late leads. New York was on the receiving end of a missed game winning FG while Carolina was defeated on a last second field goal of their own. Baker Mayfield was facing heavy pressure all day from Cleveland but luckily for him this week he will not see Myles Garrett lining up opposite of him. Most of me wants to play the over here but if Carolina is able to bottle up Saquon Barkley they are live to take this one on the road.

The Play: Panthers +2.5

New England Patriots (0-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/18

Line: Patriots -1.5

O/U: 40.5

Who’s calling the offensive plays in New England? Both teams come into Sunday’s contest with shaky performances at best on the offensive side of the ball. Patriots barely managed to move the ball in Miami while Pittsburgh turned their defense into offense as they turned Joe Burrow over 5 times in this game. Unfortunately, it looks like Pittsburgh will be losing former DPOY TJ Watt for several weeks if not the year to what seems to be a torn peck. Losing Watt will be a huge blow for this Steelers defense that I’m unsure they will be able to overcome. This one is rather easy for me as New England still has one of the best coaches of all time looking to get them in the win column for the first time this season.

The Play: Patriots -1.5

Indianapolis Colts (0-0-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/18

Line: Colts -4

O/U: 47

Matt Ryan led the Colts to an unprobable 4th quarter comeback with 17 points but came up short as they ended with the first tie of the season. Colts, funny enough, sit atop the AFC South with the Texans even while not having won Week 1. Many people had high aspirations for this Indianapolis team and that will be put to the test Week 2 as they face the music this week returning to Jacksonville after their crushing Week 18 loss that kept them out of the playoffs. Jacksonville looked substantially better as they put their Urban Meyer days behind them, but Trevor Lawrence still does not look like the highly touted QB we loved gcoming out of Clemson. Colts get back on track as their front 7 has a field day in Jacksonville.

The Play: Colts -4

Miami Dolphins (1-0) at Baltimore Ravens (1-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/18

Line: Ravens -3.5

O/U: 44.5

Week 1 was a good weekend to be a first time HC in the NFL as new Dolphins’ HC Mike McDaniel began his tenure off with a division win against New England. This offense showed some of the explosion we were expecting after their offseason acquisitions but played conservatively for a majority of the game as they took a 17 point lead into halftime. Meanwhile, Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson looked every bit of his former MVP status as he easily handled the Jets on the road. This game will show as a marker for Jackson’s improvement as Miami attacked the young QB with plenty of blitzes in last year’s matchup in an effort to have him make a perfect throw. Miami’s defensive game plan worked last year and may provide even more wrinkles this year as the homer in me will be riding with Miami. Hopefully, Tua continues his strong Week 1 start on the road and leads the team to 2-0.

The Play: Dolphins +3.5

Atlanta Falcons (0-1) at Los Anageles Rams (0-1)

When: 4:05 PM on 9/18

Line: Rams -10.5

O/U: 47

A Super Bowl hangover for Matthew Stafford and the Rams? Either that or every team in the league should fear Josh Allen and the Bills. The Rams welcome Atlanta into town as what seems to be a “get right” game indicated by the opening line. Rams WR Allen Robinson signed this offseason for what he hoped would be a breakout season but left oening night with only 1 catch. We all know and trust HC Sean Mcvay to be able to get this eam right and be able to establish the run to set up his play action passing game. Atlanta could very easily be coming into this game 1-0 as they let up a 4th quarter comeback against their division rival Saints. Atlanta’s offense showed off a few wrinles in their opener as they displayed a read option between QB Marcus Mariota and RB Cordarelle Patterson which gashed New Orleans’ defense at times. Going back and forth on this one, I ultimately landed on Rams needing a statement victory along with the fact Atlanta is travelling across 3 time zones.

The Play: Rams -10.5

Seattle Seahawks (1-0) at San Francisco 49ers (0-1)

When: 4:05 PM on 9/18

Line: 49ers -10

O/U: 42.5

Standing atop the NFC West after the first week of football is none other than… the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle won a huge contest as they welcomed former QB Russel Wilson into their stadium and sent him packing with a loss. San Francisco lost a slip and slide of a football game in Chicago as the field was less than desirable to play on. Quite difficult to judge Trey Lance with all of the given weather conditions so this should be a game to see how the second year QB has progressed. 49ers should be able to move the ball on Seattle’s defense as they lose leader Jamal Adams for what looks like a lengthy amount of time. 49ers take this game, but with Geno Smith looking serviceable in Week 1 and the back door cover looking alive I will take the over.

The Play: Over 42.5

Cincinnati Bengals (0-1) at Dallas Cowboys (0-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/18

Line: Bengals -7.5

O/U: 43

Joe Burrow with most likely his worst performance as a professional QB and still the Bengals should have won against Pittsburgh. A missed PAT at the end of regulation and missed FG in overtime are a few reasons they start off with a loss rather than a win. Dallas looks like they missed WR Amari Cooper Sunday night as their offense was pedestrian outside of their opening script. Dak had no help outside of CeeDee Lamb and also got hurt in this game most likely missing several weeks. Backup QB Cooper Rush seems to be the new man under center. I usually love the trend of riding with backup QBs as the team as able to rally behind them but with the offense put on display Week 1 by Dallas I’m left with no choice but to lay the points.

The Play: Bengals -7.5

Houston Texans (0-0-1) at Denver Broncos (0-1)

When: 4:25 on 9/18

Line: Broncos -10

O/u: 45.5

Questionable decision by new Broncos HC Nathaniel Hackett on Monday night to say the least as he decides to kick a 64-yard game winning field goal as opposed to giving Broncos’ new QB Russel Wilson a chance to win the game late. Denver seemed phased by Seattle’s crowd noise throughout the game as they totaled 12 total penalties giving Seattle a third of their first downs via penalties. Houston came out quick in Week 1 with a 20-3 lead against the Colts in which they ultimately blew resulting in the first tie of the NFL season. Although leading most of the game, Houston was doubled in total yards by Matt Ryan and the Colts. The crowd and altitude will surely have an impact on Houston in Denver’s first home game of the season Let’s see what Chef Russ can do to bounce this team back into the win column with a double digit win in Week 2.

The Play: Broncos -10

Arizona Cardinals (0-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (0-1)

When: 4:25 on 9/18

Line: Raiders -6

O/U: 51.5

Difficult to say if these teams have a bottom tier defense or if their Week 1 performances were because of facing Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert. Raiders’ fans should be elated of their acquisition of Devante Adams as the star WR doesn’t seem to have missed a beat sporting silver and black this year. Another big game for Adams should be in the cards as this Arizona secondary doesn’t have anyone of major threat to slow him down. Arizona and Kyler Murray look to get their offense back on track as they managed only 1 TD in the first 3 quarters. After Kyler secured a monumental deal this offseason, he needs to come out in Week 2 and show the league why that is. Points won’t be at a premium today in this game and the backdoor is sure to be alive if the Raiders are in control.

The Play: Cardinals +6

Chicago Bears (1-0) at Green Bay Packers (0-1)

When: 8:20 on 9/18

Line: Packers -10

O/U: 42.5

Shaky start for Green Bay and Aaron Rodgers as the plethora of new WRs did not seem to be in sync with the back-to-back MVP. It’s been a while since these two teams squared off with the Bears having a better record and that will be put to a screeching halt Sunday night. Although they ended with a win, Chicago’s offense was putrid against the 49ers and it was not because of the rain either. QB Justin Fields doesn’t have the offensive line in front of him nor the weapons on the outside to help him shine in year 2. Simply put by Aaron Rodgers said to Chicago last year, “I own you”.  Offense wasn’t the only thing to underwhelm as Green bay was expected to have one of the top defenses in the league but got torched by star WR Justin Jefferson. Aaron Rodgers and his defense get their season back on track with a dominating win Sunday night over Chicago.

The Play: Packers -10

Tennessee Titans (0-1) at Buffalo Bills (1-0)

When: 7:15 PM on 9/19

Line: Bills -10

O/u: 49.5

Buffalo looked every bit the Super Bowl favorites as they beat the reigning champs by double digits in the opening game of the season (and it could have been worse). Although they lost Offensive Coordinator Brian Daboll to New York, Buffalo’s offense doesn’t seem to have missed a beat with Josh Allen under center. Tennessee was a missed game winning FG away from coming in 1-0 as well in this matchup. I don’t fully believe in this offense but HC Mike Vrabelhas my trust from what he’s done since taking this team over. Ultimately, I believe the Bills will win this game but expect the tTitans to keep this one close on the back of Derrick Henry. With long methodical drives and keeping the ball out of Josh Allen’s hands, Tennessee may just have a chance here to upset Buffalo in their home opener. Look ahead line had Bills favored by a TD so I will gladly scoop up 3 more from what could be a Week 1 overreaction.

The Play: Titans +10

Minnesota Vikings (1-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (1-0)

When: 8:30 on 9/19

Line: Eagles -2

O/u: 50.5

Star wideouts were on display last week for both teams as Justin Jefferson and AJ Brown put on a clinic in their 2022 debut. Both offenses demonstrated the ability to put north of 24 points up each week. The only question we have here is how will Primetime Kirk Cousins look? My guess is great. A monkey has been taken off Kirk Cousins back now that he has a new head coach in town. Mike Zimmer was a great head coach in his tenure but the open tension between himself and his starting QB had to have played a part in Kirk’s play throughout the season. I know for me I do a tad better with my leaders building me up rather than tearing me down. A tough act for these teams to follow in Week 1 but expect another fireworks show and its not even 4th of July.

The Play: Over 50.5

TGIS NFL Week 1 Preview and Picks

By: Nick Radivoj

The long wait is finally over as the NFL season is back! NFL sits back and relaxes as the story lines unfold themselves with plenty of exciting Week 1 match ups. Hopefully you paid attention this offseason as there are several teams trotting out new starting QBs. Join us weekly as we breakdown the NFL slate and provide a best bet.

Buffalo Bills (0-0) at Los Angeles Rams (0-0)

When: 8:20 PM on 9/8

Line: Bills -2.5

O/U: 52

Week 1 of NFL football kicks off with what could have been a Super Bowl matchup last year as the Bills were just 13 seconds away from punching their ticket to the AFC championship game for a potential Super Bowl bid. These two teams provide a few of the most high-powered offenses in the NFL as this game is star studded with talent on both sides of the ball. QB Josh Allen is a top pick for this year’s MVP and for good reason. Although led by Allen, the Bills defense will be showing off a new piece from this offseason as Von Miller brings his talents over from the Rams as he helped them hoist the Lombardi trophy last year. Unfortunately, theBills will not have Tre’davious White for this game and will be tested with Triple Crown winner last year Cooper Kupp and a new shiny toy in Allen Robinson. Bills are set out to prove that they are this year’s favorites as they take a win back home to Buffalo.

The Play: Bills -2.5

Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) at Detroit Lions (1-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: Eagles -4

O/U: 48.5

After making the playoffs last year, the Eagles are everyone’s dark horse team to make even more noise as they added WR AJ Brown and several defensive pieces this offseason. A make it or break it type year for QB Jalen Hurts as he enters year 3 with a team set up for success. Eagles have one of the best rosters in football but shouldn’t overlook this Lions team as they always compete under HC Dan Campbell. Lions are still a year or so away from making loud noise and are a potential game changing QB away from contending in the NFC North moving forward. I like this game to have points and a lot of them.

The Play: Over 48.5

San Francisco 49ers (0-0) at Chicago Bears (0-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: 49ers -7

O/U: 41.5

There’s a new QB under center in San Francisco as Trey Lance takes the baton from Jimmy Garoppolo. Lance is set up for success as HC Kyle Shanahan led offenses are very QB friendly with offensive weapons everywhere on the field. Bears QB Justin Fields on the other hand has not been helped as much as his 2021 draft counterpart as they have one of the worst offensive lines in football along with few weapons for him to utilize on offense. Keep an eye out on the weather for this game as there seems to be rain out in the forecast but as long as the weather holds up I love the 49ers to take this one easily.

The Play: 49ers -7

Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (0-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: Bengals -6.5

O/U: 44.5

Mitchell Trubisky looks to take over for the Steelers under center as Big Ben finally sails off into the sunset. He is faced with a tough Week 1 opponent as the Bengals are coming off of a Super Bowl appearance. Are Super Bowl hangovers a real thing? This game will highlight plenty of offensive weapons on both sides of the ball. Cincinnati bolstered their offensive line this offseason and will be tested early and often as Defensive Player of the Year TJ Watt looks to build off of his 22.5 sacks last season. The over would normally be in play for me here but something about a division dog intrigues me. I expect the Bengals to win this one but for Pittsburgh to keep it close.

The Play: Steelers +6.5

New England Patriots (0-0) at Miami Dolphins (0-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: Dolphins -3

O/U: 46.5

These aren’t your Miami Dolphins you’ve grown accustomed to as they brought in a load of talent to help Tua succeed in year 3. Miami welcomes in electric WR Tyreek Hill as he plans to earn the title Legion of Zoom for the team down in South Beach. On the other side, QB Mac Jones has not been helped as much this offseason as he lost his Offensive Coordinator and has no notable additions on offense besides former Dolphins WR Devante Parker. Miai will be without CB Byron Jones for the first 4 weeks of the season as he was placed on the PUP list but I don’t see New England having the weapons to exploit that loss. Dolphins HC Mike Mcdanielwill look to start his first year off on a high note with a home victory.

The Play: Dolphins -3

Cleveland Browns (0-0) at Carolina Panthers (0-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: Panthers -2.5

O/U: 41.5

A battle between the exes takes place in Carolina as former Browns QB Baker Mayfield looks to lead his new team against Cleveland. Cleveland will be without QB Deshaun Watson for this game as he suffered an 11 game suspension. Baker has said all of the right things in the media but we all know the chip he will be playing with on his shoulder come Sunday afternoon. I truly feel that Mayfield’s play took a hit last year as he was playing with a torn labrum and he is looking to bounce back along with RB Christian McCaffrey. Not a whole lot to dive into as I will always ride with Baker in a revenge narrative.

The Play: Panthers -2.5

Indianapolis Colts (0-0) at Houston Texans (0-0)

When: 1 ET on 9/11

Line: Colts -7

O/U: 46.5

After a long career sporting a Falcons jersey, Matt Ryan will be wearing blue this year for Indy. Ryan is welcomed with a top offensive line, running back, and up and coming wide receiver in Michael Pittman. After missing the playoffs last year in a shameful Week 18 loss to the Jaguars, Indy will look to bounce back and potentially regain control of the AFC South. Their defense contains one of the best Front 7’s in football and will look to make some noise against second year QB Davis Mills. Houston is predicted to have one of the top picks in next year’s NFL Draft as they don’t have the roster yet to compete week in and week out. This Colts team will be too much for Davis Mills and company at home.

The Play: Colts -7

New Orleans Saints (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: Saints -5.5

O/U: 42.5

Atlanta is projected to have a top pick in next year’s NFL Draft and with good reason but that doesn’t mean this game will be easy for the Saints. It always seems that Atlanta plays the Saints tight in almost every contest over the years no matter the talent gap. New Orleans will be playing their first game after HC Sean Payton announced his retirement last offseason. The Saints shouldn’t have much difficulty moving the ball down the field as Atlanta is lacking in talent besides CB AJ Terrell. Many will like New Orleans to cover here but I’m playing the over as the back door will sure to be alive and division dogs at home are never fun to play with.

The Play: Over 42.5

Baltimore Ravens (0-0) at New York Jets (0-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: Ravens -7

O/U: 44.5

Jets QB Zach Wilson will have to wait to make his 2022 debut as he recovers from injury which means… Joe Flacco revenge game! Flacco demonstrated the ability to move the ball last year that even the young Wilson did not with this offense. Unfortunately for Joe, Baltimore is coming off a year missing the playoffs after an injury riddled season. Baltimore returns plenty of key starters along with QB Lamar Jackson who is playing in a contract year. New York is still a year or so away from making a leap to contender so give me Baltimore here in Week 1. Note: I would much rather play a 2 team teaser with Baltimore and Indy.

The Play: Ravens -7

Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) at Washington Commanders (0-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: Commanders -3

O/U: 44

The NFL really does a fantastic job with scheduling games with fun story lines attached to them. Commanders QB Carson Wentz was shipped out of Indy last year after failing to beat Jacksonville in Week 18 as a double digit favorite. Carson Wentz revenge game? I believe so. Wentz may be getting his final crack at being a starting QB in the NFL and has weapons to help him along the way in Scary Terry and 1st round pick Jahan Dotson. Jacksonville will sure to improve this year from the mere fact of their head coaching change going from Urban Meyer to Doug Pederson. This game feels like it will be decided late but give me the home team to prevail in Week 1.

The Play: Commanders -3

Green Bay Packers (0-0) at Minnesota Vikings (0-0)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/11

Line: Packers -1.5

O/U: 48

A new regime in town in Minnesota as they move on from HC Mike Zimmer and bring in Sean McVay’s understudy from Los Angeles, Kevin O’Connell. Green Bay will be without All Pro WR Devante Adams as he was traded to Las Vegas this offseason. Aaron Rodgers will be put to the test as he leads a core of young but talented wide receivers. I don’t often find myself betting against the back to back MVP and won’t find myself doing that here. Minnesota will surely start meshing into the season but don’t love the prospects of them hitting the ground running against this Green Bay defense.

The Play: Packers -1.5

New York Giants (0-0) at Tennessee Titans (0-0)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/11

Line: -5.5

O/U: 43.5

Former Bills HC Brian Daboll takes over in New York as he looks to lead them back into meaningful games late into the year. Unfortunately, Daboll does not have the roster to start competing early in year 1 but look for this team to compete all season long. Always keep an eye out on teams with new head coaches to see if their team either quits on him or plays hard until the final whistle. Tennessee, on the other hand, has been a playoff contender in every year under HC Mike Vrabel and don’t be surprised to find them in that situation again as they look to bounce back from a tough playoff loss last year against Cincinnati. Derrick Henry returns from injury and sets his eyes on trying to get back to 2000 rushing yards. Titans win this game but spread seems too tight to play.

The Play: Over 43.5

Las Vegas Raiders (0-0) at Los Angeles Chargers (0-0)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/11

Line: Chargers -3

O/U: 52

Justin Herbert and company watched on the sidelines in dismay as their playoff hopes faded away last year against the Raiders as Daniel Carlson kicked a game winning field goal to send them home. Redemption will be spelled LAC come Sunday afternoon as Herbert will lead this high explosive offense to a Week 1 win against their AFC West Rivals. Las Vegas will be running out not only a new head coach but offensive weapon as they acquired WR Devante Adams this offseason to reunite with his Fresno State QB Derek Carr. Las Vegas contains all the weapons to provide explosion on offense but I don’t see the weapons necessary to slow down Los Angeles over the course of 60 minutes. Over is in play here but backing Herbert instead.

The Play: Chargers -3

Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) at Arizona Cardinals (0-0)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/11

Line: Chiefs -4.5

O/U: 53.5

Be on the lookout for fireworks in Arizona as this game has the highest total on the slate this weekend. Both teams have young, exciting QBs under center in Kyler Murray and Patrick Mahomes. Each QB will be without their primary target from last year as Chief’s traded WR Tyreek Hill to Miami this offseason and Cardinals Deandre Hopkins will be serving a 6 game suspension. Kansas City utilized their 2 first round picks in last year’s NFL Draft by double dipping on the defensive side of the ball trying to provide stops so that their high-powered offense can have more opportunities to score. I will put my faith in former MVP Patrick Mahomes and future Hall of Fame coach Andy Reid as opposed to a Cardinals team who fell apart down the stretch last year. 

The Play: Chiefs -4.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) at Dallas Cowboys (0-0)

When: 8:20 PM on 9/11

Line: Buccaneers -2

O/U: 50

The first Sunday of the NFL season will come to a close as last year’s first game takes center stage. I know that Tom Brady is invincible but at some point the decline has to take place. A weird offseason is an understatement for Tampa Bay as the following series of events took place: Tom Brady retires, Tom Brady unretires, HC Bruce Arians retires, and Tom Brady leaves training camp for over a week prior to season starting. These events alone are strange but all taking place with the same team seem even more odd. Brady logged over 700 pass attempts last year and most likely will near the 650 mark again as Tampa Bay loves to air it out on offense. Dallas has a rather boom or bust defense and combining that with Dallas’ ability to throw the ball downfield gives me an easy side for this one.

The Play: Over 50

Denver Broncos (0-0) at Seattle Seahawks (0-0

When: 8:15 PM on 9/12

Line: Broncos -6

O/U: 43

2022’s QB Carousel finally comes to an end with the final game of Week 1 showcasing Russel Wilson with his new team on the road against his former. We should see two totally different play styles Monday night as Denver will let Russ cook while Seattle will most likely try to control the ground game and play tough nosed defense. Denver provides Russ with all of the weapons he needs as he guns for his first MVP (vote) and another look at a deep playoff run. Seattle will sure to be rocking as the 12th man will play a factor but remember Russ isn’t a stranger in this stadium. He should have his team prepared for the noise and for their opponent as he’ll be sure to show off why Seattle should have never let him go.

The Play: Denver -6

TGIS Week 2 College Football Preview

OVERALL RECORD: 179-143-1 (55.6%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 8-7-1 (53.3%)

We always have done well in week one here at TGIS as we take advantage of Vegas mistaken evaluations of a few teams and spreads. Last week we finished 7-5-1, not great, not bad… decent. Now onto Week 2 where we will be on the road to Austin… LET’S GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 2 Games of the Week (All Times CST)

#1 Alabama -20 at Texas – 11:00am

This may be the best Alabama defense since 2016. Add in an inexperienced Texas offensive line… I do not think Texas will be able to move the ball. Bama wins this in a blowout. I’m talking a 52-10 kind of blowout.

Top Picks of the Week

Louisville at Central Florida -6.5 – Friday 6:30pm

Louisville looked absolutely awful against Syracuse. They could not stop a dual threat in quarterback Garrett Shrader. You know who starts for quarterback at UCF? Former Ole Miss dual threat quarterback John Rhys Plumlee who threw for 308 yards and ran for 87 yards in his first game starting for UCF. Plumlee is going to give this Louisville trouble in the Bounce House.

South Carolina +8.5 at #16 Arkansas – 11:00am

Arkansas played decently against Cincinnati, but nine points against another good SEC team? Way too many points. Arkansas most likely wins, but think this will be close.

#24 Tennessee -6.5 at #17 Pittsburgh – 2:30pm

Pittsburgh Coach Pat Narduzzi is back to playing conservative football despite having a decent quarterback. Meanwhile, Tennessee will play fast and efficient offense with quarterback Hendon Hooker. Pitt won’t be able to keep up with the scoring, Tennessee by double digits.

Iowa State +3.5 at Iowa UNDER 41.5 – 3:00pm

Iowa’s offense is the ugliest thing I’ve ever seen. They had 166 total yards and 2.7 yards per play against South Dakota State. The under and taking Iowa State with the points is an easy call.

#25 Houston at Texas Tech -2.5 OVER 65.5 – 3:00pm

Texas Tech hired offensive coordinator Zach Kittley from Western Kentucky. Kittley loves to play fast and throw the ball around. I’m not worried about Texas Tech’s starting quarterback Tyler Shough being out for the game. If we are being honest, backup quarterback Donovan Smith is just as good, maybe even better. The Red Raiders beat Houston after the Cougars just scraped by a triple OT game against UTSA.

#20 Kentucky at #12 Florida -5.5 – 6:00pm

The key is if running back Chris Rodriguez is still suspended. Coach Stoops hasn’t came out and said anything regarding his status, but without him, Kentucky struggled to run the ball against Miami (Ohio). Florida will be a much bigger challenge especially with star quarterback Anthony Richardson coming off a huge win against Utah. Florida wins this in the Swamp by over a touchdown.

#10 USC -9 at Stanford – 6:30pm

Stanford doesn’t have the offense to keep it close with USC. Caleb Williams and USC are going to score a ton of points. USC in a blowout.

Arizona State at #11 Oklahoma State OVER 58 – 6:30pm

I don’t know if you saw Oklahoma State’s defense… but they gave up 44 points against Central Michigan. I also think the Cowboys will have success offensively. A 58 point total is way too low (hope you got it at the start of the week when it was at 54.5).

#9 Baylor at #21 BYU -3.5 – 9:15pm

BYU looked like a legit top 25 team against South Florida in week 1. I think they will be able to take advantage again as they face a Baylor team that lost a ton of key secondary players from last year. I really like BYU over Baylor as the better team, ignore Baylor being ranked in the AP poll top ten. BYU gets the big victory in the Mormons vs. Baptists.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 2

By Nick Radivoj

The College Football season is officially underway as Week 1 is in the books. We finished off Week 1 at 5-5 losing a little bit on the juice. I’m not sure which hurts more: feeling as if you are on the right side of the game but end up losing, or being completely wrong and missing big time. On to Week 2 to get us all in the win column!

#1 Alabama (1-0) at Texas (1-0)

When: 12 ET on 9/10

Line: Alabama -20

O/U: 65.5

Both teams showcased their high powered offenses last week as they each put up north of 50 points in their season home openers. This game highlights 2 highly touted QBs with Bryce Young and Redshirt Freshman Quinn Ewers. In his first outing wearing burnt orange, Ewers didn’t disappoint as he threw for over 200 yards along with 2 passing touchdowns and an interception. Bryce Young showed off why he was the Heisman winner last year as he accumulated 6 total touchdowns on the day. The key to the game will boil down to turnovers. Ewers has a gunslinging reputation which could lead to turnovers providing the Tide a short field and easy path to score. Alabama shouldn’t face too much difficulty on offense as Texas doesn’t have the guys yet to slow down this offense. The over can very well be in play here depending if Texas can score over 20.

The play: Alabama -20

#10 USC (1-0) at Stanford (1-0)

When: 7:30 PM ET on 9/10

Line: USC -9

O/u: 67

These aren’t your Trojans and Cardinals of old as both teams are looking to bounce back after a rocky 2021 campaign. The Lincoln Riley experience started off with fireworks in Southern California as the Trojans put up 66 points in Week 1. QB Caleb Williams seems to have Riley’s offensive plan under his belt as he nearly had a perfect day for his first start as a Trojan. Williams wasn’t the only Pac 12 QB to impress last Saturday as Stanford’s Tanner McKee threw for over 300 yards himself with the team logging almost 9 yards per play. Once again the key will come down to turnovers as Stanford put the ball on the ground 4 times last week against Colgate, losing 3 of them along with an interception in the air. Stanford will need to ensure the turnover battle stays close in this one in order to give themselves a chance against a Top 10 team. Ultimately, I’m looking towards Riley to have brought over that Big 12 defense as he did his high powered offense.

The Play: Over 67

South Carolina (1-0) at #16 Arkansas (1-0)

When: 12 PM ET on 9/10

Line: Arkansas -8.5

O/U: 53

QB KJ Jefferson looked like a seasoned vet with 4 total touchdowns as Arkansas managed to hold off Cincinnati at home last week. He seems to find himself at home with receivers named Trey as he gets himself a new target in Trey Knox (2 TDs Week 1) as he tries to replace production left by first round WR Treylon Burks. As par for the course this year, South Carolina trots out transfer QB Spencer Rattler as their new signal caller. Although the colors may have changed a little it seems that the QB underneath as not as we see more of the same from Rattler with 2 turnovers Week 1 against Georgia State. Coming off an emotional win from Week 1, Arkansas may come out a little slow but still can’t envision how they don’t handle their business at home.

The Play: Arkansas -8.5

Appalachian State (0-1) at #6 Texas A&M (1-0)

When: 3:30 ET on 9/10

Line: Texas A&M -19

O/U: 52.5

If only every game could be what last week’s North Carolina vs. Appalachian State showed off as they had a thrilling 63-61 final. Texas A&M, on the other hand, started off rather slowly as they held a 10-0 lead for what seemed like an eternity against Sam Houston but ultimately winning 31-0. TAMU HC Jimbo Fisher has made it crystal clear that Haynes King is his guy behind center as he provides a dual threat ability that defenses need to be on the lookout for. King’s final stat line reflected over 400 yards of total offense but will need to hone in this week as he threw 2 interceptions against Sam Houston. Part of me will be banking on the fact that the 12th man won’t play as big of a factor as Chase Brice is an experienced leader for Appalachian State. I believe Jimbo will look to give the fans some fireworks as they didn’t get the full show Week 1 and as long as Appalachian State can provide me some support this has the making of another high scoring affair. 

The Play: Over 52.5

#25 Houston (1-0) at Texas Tech (1-0)

When: 4 PM ET on 9/10

Line: Texas Tech -2.5

O/U: 65.5

If you are a college football fan craving some offense then seeing an over/under like this really gets you excited. A tale of two different opening weeks as Texas Tech handled business at home while Houston scratched and clawed their way to an overtime victory on the road against UTSA. Unfortunately, Texas Tech lost their starting QB Tyler Shough for what seems to be a few weeks due to injury. The Red Raiders didn’t have to look far for his replacement as the offense didn’t skip a beat as backup QB Donovan Smith came in relief to throw for 4 TDs. Always fun to root for the over in a game like this but would rather take the safe play.

The Play: Texas Tech -2.5

Arizona State (1-0) at #11 Oklahoma State (1-0)

When: 7:30 PM ET on 9/10

Line: Oklahoma State -11

O/U: 58

I hope you didn’t miss the offseason as you might be quite confused looking at these box scores from Week 1. Former Florida QB Emory Jones is the new leader of this Arizona State team as they look to come into Stillwater to provide one of the first big upsets of the year. Meanwhile, reliable Spencer Sanders is back at the helm for the Cowboys. Week 1 looked as if we had the Cowboys of old as they put up over 50 points while Sanders threw for over 400 yards. Arizona State’s Emory Jones brings the threat of not only in the air but rushing the ball as well as he showed off his wheels with 2 rushing touchdowns in Week 1. As many saw the gaudy 102 points combined in Oklahoma State’s first game, you may be scratching your heads as I lean the other way. I expect Mike Gundy to go back to his ways from last year of controlling the pace of play while letting his defense play clean football. Play it but don’t watch it as no one enjoys rooting for an under.

The Play: Under 58

#20 Kentucky (1-0) at #12 Florida (1-0)

When: 7 PM ET on 9/10

Line: Florida -5.5

O/U: 52.5

A great year to be a Gator fan as the city is getting spoiled as they host back to back Top 25 night games. As we thought last week, The Swamp will be rocking again to aid Florida in securing another Top 25 win under their belt. Depending how the season unfolds, Anthony Richardson and Will Levis could very well be potential 1st round picks in the 2023 NFL Draft. With that being said, I’m going to ride on the coattails of Levis here – if you are going to be that guy and be a potential top pick you need to be able to come in and have a statement game for your resume. He was able to knock the rust off in Week 1 and should be looking for a big start in The Swamp. Levis’ talent combined with a potential let down factor after a huge Florida victory last week. I’m cool with the Cats losing but let’s keep it close.

The Play: Kentucky +5.5

#24 Tennessee (1-0) at #17 Pittsburgh (1-0)

When: 3:30 PM ET on 9/10

Line: Tennessee -6.5

O/U: 66

Tennessee cracks their way into the Top 25 in Week 2 after a commanding win against Ball State. Honestly, what’s not to like about this team? Tennessee seems to be everyone’s darlings this year and potentially a team to give Georgia a run for their money down the road but first they need to handle their business before looking ahead. Another fun QB matchup with Kedon Slovis for Pittsburgh along with Hendon Hooker from Tennessee. Both teams have the ability here to put up some points on the board but as we saw last week Pat Narduzzi is fine playing a one score game while running the ball. While most are expecting fireworks, I’m trending for the exact opposite.

The Play: Under 66

#9 Baylor (1-0) at #21 BYU (1-0)

When: 10:15 PM ET on 9/10

Line: BYU -3.5

O/U: 53.5

Nothing quite like getting College Football after dark. This game will mark the last time that these two schools will square off as non-conference opponents as BYU is set to join the Big 12 next year. All eyes will be set on BYU Jaren Hall as the QB picked up right where he left off last year in BYU’s Week 1 victory. I expect Baylor HC Dave Aranda to scheme up some clever defenses to confuse Hall but BYU is coming into this game with something to prove both for next year joining the Big 12 and this year gaining more respect with a higher ranking.

The Play: Over 53.5

Arkansas State (1-0) at #3 Ohio State (1-0)

When: 12 PM ET on 9/10

Line: Ohio State -43 

O/U: 68.5

Although winning against a Top 5 team in Week 1, Ohio State slides in the rankings from 2 to 3. This could be because Georgia looked every bit the reigning National Champions that they did or that people were underwhelmed by the Buckeyes showing like I was. The defense for Ohio State held up their end of the bargain last Saturday night but the offense underwhelmed for 3 quarters to say the least. I expect Ryan Day to give the fans a show of what this offense has the potential to do as we’ve grown accustomed to seeing them put up 50+ against weaker opponents. 

The Play: Ohio State -43

TGIS Week 1 College Football Preview

OVERALL RECORD: 172-138-3 (55.5%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 1-2-0 (33.3%)

We finally have a full-lineup of college football games this Saturday (and some sprinkled in on Thursday, Friday, Sunday, and Monday). Time for an action packed weekend after a little appetizer in week 0 (one where we finished 1-2). We are leaving that behind us… LET’S GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 1 Games of the Week (All Times CST)

#11 Oregon vs. #3 Georgia (-17) – 2:30pm (Atlanta, GA)

In a “neutral field” game in Atlanta, the Bulldogs are the more talented team. Sure they lost quite a few players on the defensive side of the ball to the NFL draft, but Georgia has the depth to reload. Where they really excel is at the skill positions with a great wide receiver and tight end room which will make it easy to score points. Finally, in a four-year tradition at TGIS, WE DO NOT TRUST BO NIX. Georgia in a blowout.

Pick: Georgia 42-17

#23 Cincinnati at #19 Arkansas (-6) – 2:30pm

An exciting matchup comes to Fayetteville where the Hogs are less than a touchdown favorite against Cincinnati. Nine players were drafted off of the 2021 Bearcat team including six on the defensive side of the ball. That isn’t easy to replace. Arkansas runs all over Cincinnati in a double digit win.

Pick: Arkansas 31-17

#5 Notre Dame at #2 Ohio State OVER 59 – 6:30pm

This 17.5 point line is about right. No way I am going to start out the year betting against one of the most talented offenses in the nation (Ohio State if it wasn’t obvious). What I am betting against is that there is a massive improvement from the Buckeyes defense. Notre Dame puts up some points to help with the over.

Pick: Ohio State 45-27

Top Picks of the Week

Penn State (-3.5) at Purdue – Thursday 7:00pm

Purdue lost their two best players off of last year’s team: edge rusher George Karlaftis and WR David Bell. Purdue doesn’t have the talent to replace them, especially at wide receiver. With Penn State’s best unit being in the secondary they will take advantage and force Purdue QB Aidan O’Connell into throwing some bad balls. Penn State is the better team and wins by over a touchdown.

Illinois (+3) at Indiana – Friday 7:00pm

Illinois will run the ball with running back Chase Brown all over a bad Indiana defense. Illinois is the better team and we will gladly take the points.

TCU (-13.5) at Colorado – Friday 9:00pm

Colorado is the worst team in the Pac-12 as they lost a ton of players to the transfer portal. TCU on the other hand has more talent than you’d think. TCU in a blowout.

North Carolina (-1.5) at Appalachian State  – Saturday 11:00am

I wish the Tar Heels looked more impressive against Florida A&M last week. But I’m still trusting my gut. North Carolina as a middle to upper tier ACC team over just an OK App State team.

#13 NC State (-11.5) at East Carolina – Saturday 11:00am

NC State has an awesome defense and one of the best QBs in the country. I consider the Wolf Pack a fringe top ten team and believe they will easily handle the ECU Pirates.

Arizona (+6) at San Diego St. – Saturday 2:30 pm

San Diego State was a super conservative team last year. The fact is they do not blow teams out. Look for Arizona to be much better than last year with QB Jayden De Laura transferring from Washington State. I actually like a moneyline sprinkle on it as well with the Wildcats pulling the upset..

Tulsa (-6.5) at Wyoming – Saturday 2:30 pm

We are starting the year with a “Fade the bottom of the Mountain West” principle (this applies to Wyoming, Hawaii and Nevada as they may be a few of the worst teams in the FBS which was caused by transfers leaving). A Tulsa team led by Senior QB Davis Brin will handle Wyoming just fine.

Texas State (+1) at Nevada – Saturday 4:30 pm

(See Tulsa/Wyoming analysis…. same principle applies).

Georgia State at South Carolina (-12.5) – Saturday 6:30 pm

South Carolina has the Spencer Rattler era starting as less than a two touchdown favorite at home against Georgia State. Georgia State isn’t very good against the pass… look for the Gamecocks to blow them out of the water. Take South Carolina.

Florida State vs. LSU (-3) – Sunday 6:30 pm (New Orleans, LA)

LSU has one of the best receiving groups in the nation and a very good defensive line. LSU is the more talented team that will take advantage of what basically is a home game in New Orleans. LSU by a touchdown.