Week 8 College Football Preview

2019 SEASON RECORD: 46-38

Week 8 Game of the Week

#16 Michigan (+9.5) at #7 Penn State – Saturday 6:30pm

Game Preview: Michigan travels to Happy Valley to try and keep their Big Ten hopes alive. A loss would put them two games behind both Penn State and Ohio State. Both of these teams have good defenses, but struggle offensively. Expect a low scoring game and what I think will be a Michigan upset. Sprinkle that moneyline.

Pick: Michigan 21-20

Top Picks of the Week (All Times CST)

#4 Ohio State (-27) at Northwestern – Friday 7:30pm

Ohio State is blowing out everyone in the Big Ten right now and Northwestern is near the bottom of it. Northwestern flat out can’t score. 28 points is not nearly a high enough spread. Ohio State wins big.

#9 Florida (-5) at South Carolina – Saturday 11:00am

South Carolina had a great win over Georgia, but the game was more Georgia losing than South Carolina winning it. The Gamecocks have improved since QB Ryan Hillinski, but he will be playing Saturday with a knee injury. 5 points is not enough against a legitimate top ten Florida team.

West Virginia (+33.5) at #5 Oklahoma – Saturday 11:00am

Coming off a big win against Texas watch out for a let down. No Oklahoma won’t lose, but 33.5 points is a lot. Remember Oklahoma didn’t cover a similar spread against Kansas. Oklahoma wins 48-20.

Oregon State (+11.5) at Cal – Saturday 1:30pm

I’m putting my faith in backup Cal QB Devon Modster (being bad). Modster is 23/49 229 yards 1 TD 3 INTs on the season. Oregon State has played some teams tough in the Pac-12 and should cover. They might even win which means MONEYLINE SPRINKLE.

#2 LSU (-18.5) at Mississippi State OVER 61 – Saturday 2:30pm

LSU overs never disappoint and have been easy money all year. As for the line, Mississippi State is bad. They are not good on offense and they are not good on defense. In conclusion, this line is too low… LSU by 30.

#18 Baylor at Oklahoma State UNDER 68.5 – Saturday 3:00pm

Just like LSU overs have killed it this year, Baylor Unders have done just as well. The under has hit three of the last four weeks, the one exception being the Baylor/Texas Tech 2OT game. Oklahoma State has a good offense, but the Baylor defense has been impressive.

Rice (-4) at UTSA – Saturday 3:00pm

Rice is the greatest 0-6 team of all time. Rice played Baylor tough and only lost by 8 points. UTSA lost 63-14 to the same Baylor team. Transitive property mean Rice wins by a touchdown or more.

Kansas at #15 Texas (-21) – Saturday 6:00pm

The line is too low. TCU and Oklahoma beat Kansas by 37 and 25 points. Fully trust Texas to be able to cover 22 points at home.

#14 Boise State (-6.5) at BYU – Saturday 9:15pm

It has been a long time since BYU has beat Tenessee and USC. Since then, the Cougars have just not been good. This includes losing to a very bad South Florida team. Boise State should be ready to play and be able to win by a touchdown or more.

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Week 7 College Football Preview

2019 SEASON RECORD: 38-34

Week 7 Game(s) of the Week

#7 Florida (+13.5) at #5 LSU OVER 54.5 – Saturday 7:00pm

Game Preview: Florida just keeps on winning. There hasn’t been much of a drop off since QB Feleipe Franks was injured, in fact the offense may have gotten better. The Florida defense faces their biggest test with LSU’s new explosive offense. Joe Burrow is no Bo Nix. Look for LSU to win a tight, higher scoring game.

Pick: LSU 35-24

#11 Texas (+11) vs. #6 Oklahoma UNDER 75 – Saturday 11:00am

Game Preview: Red River Showdown. Jalen Hurts. Sam Ehlinger. If Texas wants to keep this close the challenge will be stopping Hurts. An underrated factor in this game has been the improved Oklahoma defense. Over the last 4 games the Sooners have not gave up more than 20 points.

I like the Sooners in a closer game…The line is too big for this rivalry game and 75 points is way too many for an Over/Under.

Pick: Oklahoma 38-31

Top Picks of the Week (All Times CST)

#20 Virginia (+2.5) at Miami – Friday 7:00pm

How do you trust Miami right now? They are 2-3, lost to a bad Virginia Tech team, and struggled with a bad Central Michigan team. Putting it simply… Miami is bad. Virginia should win this easily.

Colorado (+21) at #13 Oregon – Friday 9:00pm

Oregon just does not blow out average Pac-12 teams. They only beat Stanford and Cal by 15 and 10 points. Colorado should be able to cover.

#1 Alabama (-17) at #24 Texas A&M OVER 61 – Saturday 2:30pm

Texas A&M struggling with Arkansas puts them on fraud alert. Alabama should score a lot of points, but they won’t shut the Aggies out. Alabama wins 45-24.

Washington State at Arizona State (-1.5) – Saturday 2:30pm

The Cougars are falling apart. Getting the Sun Devils at home as a 1.5 point favorite is a steal.

Michigan State at #8 Wisconsin OVER 40.5 – Saturday 2:30pm

Wisconsin can score points. Michigan State’s defense just gave up 31 points to Indiana and will give up around the same to Wisconsin. The Badgers may get the over by themselves. Take the over.

Iowa State at West Virginia (+10) – Saturday 3:00pm

So Texas was favored by 11 at West Virginia and Iowa State is favored by 10? Iowa State isn’t great and the Mountaineers are capable of covering.

#10 Penn State at #17 Iowa UNDER 41.5 – Saturday 2:30pm

Iowa just lost 10-3 to Michigan. The Hawkeye defense should able to hold Penn State’s offense. Meanwhile, Iowa’s offense is not good. This will be your classic low scoring Big Ten game.

 

 

Week 6 College Football Preview

2019 SEASON RECORD: 33-28

Week 6 Game of the Week

#7 Auburn (-3) at #10 Florida UNDER 48.5 – Saturday 2:30pm

Game Preview: Bo Nix finally looked like a decent quarterback last week, but can he do it against a good defense? In fact, both of these defenses are great. It will be a low scoring slugfest. A lot of people are thinking Auburn blows out Florida, I don’t. Auburn wins a close defensive battle.

Pick: Auburn 20-14

Top Picks of the Week (All Times CST)

#18 UCF at Cincinnati (+4) – Friday 7:00pm

Friday night in Cincinnati and their field will be looking like this..

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How do you bet against that? Also, I honestly believe Cincinnati is a better team than UCF. The Bearcats offense has picked up fire scoring 35 and 52 the last two weeks. Friday night, black field, and four points? Bearcats cover/win.

#21 Oklahoma State (-10) at Texas Tech – Saturday 11:00am

Texas Tech is an awful team without their starting QB Alan Bowman. They can’t move the ball and don’t have much of a defense. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State is a solid top 20 team. Blowout win Cowboys.

#6 Oklahoma (-31.5) at Kansas – Saturday 11:00am

This line is too low! The Sooners offense is blowing Big 12 defenses away and Kansas is one of the worst of them. The Sooners defense is also better… expect this to be a 59-17 type game.

Maryland (-12) at Rutgers – Saturday 11:00pm

I can’t quit Maryland. Especially when you tempt me with a 12 point line to a terrible Rutgers team that just fired their coach. I keep thinking of Maryland blowing out Syracuse by almost 40 points. If Maryland doesn’t cover this they will be finally on my DONEZO list.

#11 Texas (-11) at West Virginia – Saturday 2:30pm

Only 11 points? I get the game is at West Virginia, but West Virginia is terrible. They only beat Kansas by 5 and lost to Missouri by 31. Meanwhile, Texas is obviously a very good team that can score. Longhorns should win big.

Illinois (+14) at Minnesota – Saturday 2:30pm

Minnesota has won games by 3, 3, and 7 points. Illinois has lost one game by 3 points. Both teams have faced similar opponents. I’m not a math major, but that sounds like a cover.

Baylor at Kansas State UNDER 51 – Saturday 2:30pm

Baylor hasn’t scored more than 23 points the past few weeks and Kansas State only scored 13 points against a below average Oklahoma State defense. This will be a low scoring game.

Arizona at Colorado (-4) – Saturday 3:30pm

QB Khalil Tate and RB JJ Taylor are questionable for Arizona. Colorado is a veteran team coming off a big win against a good Arizona State team. Buffs cover at home.

Rice (+9.5) at UAB – Saturday 6:00pm

I’m on the Rice as an underdog train. Rice should’ve beat Louisiana Tech last week as a 10 point underdog. Instead, they lost by 3 points in OT. Rice is the best 0-5 team in the country and I will keep betting them and sprinkling dollars on the moneyline. DON’T TRY TO STOP ME.

Cal at #13 Oregon OVER 46.5 – Saturday 6:00pm

“Cal has a good defense”… it’s honestly just alright. This is me trusting Justin Herbet and the Oregon offensive line to impose their will. There is no reason they shouldn’t score at least 30 points. Oregon’s defense has played well, but also haven’t faced a decent offense since their opener with Auburn. Oregon wins 35-17 and covers the over. (The line is Oregon -17.5 which is a little high for me).

 

 

Week 5 College Football Recap

Clemson Season Almost Ended

Clemson squeaked out a 21-20 win against North Carolina (2-3). If you’ve been following the TGIS posts, you know I’ve mentioned a few times (maybe 100 times) Clemson’s schedule is absolutely awful. If Clemson loses at anytime during the season, their strength of schedule keeps them out of the playoff.

Clemson currently has three teams on their schedule ranked in the top 25. All three are in jeopardy of falling out. Texas A&M has a tough schedule and have not played well. Wake Forest only beat Boston College by three points and have a few more losses left. The ACC Championship will most likely be against Virginia, but after there loss by 15 to Notre Dame I can confidently say they will have a few more losses by December. What this all means is does Clemson make the playoffs with a loss and 0 top 25 wins? Absolutely not. So Clemson must be perfect. I’m a man of fairness. I was hard on UCF’s schedule and close wins. I have to give the same treatment to Clemson.

As far as how Clemson has actually played this year… they have not been an elite team. Trevor Lawrence has been above average at best and you can tell Clemson is replacing all four starters up front. Don’t get me wrong, Clemson is still good… they just have not shown to be an elite top 5 team. Clemson will have time to figure it out as they don’t play a team better than 3-2 until November 16th.

Ohio State is Good, but let’s not OVERREACT

Ohio State demolished Nebraska 48-7 in what was supposed to be a “Big Game.” Ohio State has been unchallenged and impressive, but after this game some called them the best team in the nation. Huge overreaction.

Nebraska is not a good football team and are a product of preseason overhype. Nebraska has proven they are a below average team. They squeaked a four point win in a shootout with a bad Illinois team and already have multiple losses. So should we consider Ohio State a great team? Yes. Should we consider the Buckeyes the best team in the nation after beating a bad Nebraska team? Nope.

SMU is for Real

The AAC team that we should be monitoring to get a New York 6 bid is not UCF… it is SMU. They have blown everyone out except for a close win against TCU. TCU’s performances this year outside of that game points to TCU actually being good and is a legitimate win under SMU’s resume. We will know for sure November 2nd when SMU plays Memphis for a spot in the AAC championship.

Terrible AP Top 25 Ranking of the Week

Clemson dropped to #2 in the rankings, but is that even enough? 18 voters still decided to put Clemson atop their ballots for who knows why. I’d argue right now Alabama, Ohio State, LSU, Georgia, and Oklahoma all should be ranked above Clemson. To the 18 voters still voting Clemson #1… this is 2019 and not 2018.

MY TOP 25

  1. Alabama
  2. LSU
  3. Ohio State
  4. Georgia
  5. Oklahoma
  6. Clemson
  7. Auburn
  8. Wisconsin
  9. Penn State
  10. Florida
  11. Oregon
  12. Notre Dame
  13. Texas
  14. Iowa
  15. Washington
  16. Oklahoma State
  17. SMU
  18. Boise State
  19. Wake Forest
  20. Utah
  21. Michigan
  22. Virginia
  23. Arizona State
  24. Michigan State
  25. Baylor

Week 5 College Football Preview

2019 SEASON RECORD: 27-22

Week 5 Game of the Week

#21 USC (+10.5) at #17 Washington – Saturday 2:30pm

Game Preview: This game is pending on the health of USC QB Kedon Slovis. USC is coming off a huge win over Utah and I think they keep the momentum going by playing Washington close. I like Washington to win, but USC covers.

Pick: Washington 27-21

Top Picks of the Week (All Times CST)

Northwestern at #8 Wisconsin (-24) – Saturday 11:00am

Northwestern can’t score and Wisconsin has given up 14 points in THREE GAMES. No way Northwestern gets into the double digits. Wisconsin has also scored at least 35 points each week. Meaning the closest the score will be is 35-10. Wisconsin covers.

BYU (-1.5) at Toledo – Saturday 11:00am

BYU is battle tested with their tough schedule and a win over USC. Toledo has snuck by Colorado State and lost to Kentucky by 14. BYU wins and covers.

Wake Forest (-6.5) at Boston College UNDER 71 – Saturday 2:30pm

I do not understand this line at all. Never forget Boston College lost to Kansas by double digits. Boston College also isn’t a high scoring team and faces an underrated defense in Wake Forest. Wake Forest beats Boston College 35-17. That’s covering the spread by 12 points and the under by almost 20 points.

#18 Virginia (+12.5) at #10 Notre Dame – Saturday 2:30pm

Notre Dame surprisingly kept it close against Georgia. But Virginia is one of the best teams in the ACC and 12.5 is too many points. Irish win by a touchdown.

Ole Miss at #2 Alabama (-35) – Saturday 2:30pm

Hope you got the line early. Alabama covers.

SMU(-7) at South Florida – Saturday 3:00pm

SMU outplayed TCU and is a very good football team. With former Texas QB Shane Buechele leading, SMU might be the favorite to win the AAC. South Florida on the hand is awful and lost to Georgia Tech. SMU wins BIG.

Kansas State at Oklahoma State (-4) – Saturday 6:00pm

Oklahoma State is at home and coming off a loss to Texas. Despite the loss, Cowboys are a lot better football team than Kansas State. Pokes bounce back.

Louisiana Tech at Rice (+10) – Saturday 6:00pm

Rice is the best 0-4 team in the country. The Owls have played Army, Wake Forest, and Baylor all tough. I don’t only like Rice to cover, I LOVE them on the money line. Rice wins their first game this weekend.

#5 Ohio State (-17) at Nebraska – Saturday 6:30pm

You get in a close shootout with Illinois, you’re not staying within 20 points of Ohio State. Buckeyes win big and cover again. (Ohio State have been cover kings this year).

Washington State at #19 Utah (-4.5) – Saturday 9:00pm

I know I said I’d quit Utah. But they’re still a good football team. You also have the Cougars coming off a terrible late night loss against UCLA. Utah wins by over a touchdown.

Week 4 College Football Recap

The UCF “Dominance” is Over

IT IS OVER! IT IS FINALLY OVER! We will not have to hear “UCF should be in the Playoffs”. UCF lost to an average 2-2 Pittsburgh team. One of the few decent teams they have had on their schedule the past three years. To commemorate UCF’s last two years of ” Dominance” here are all the teams they have beaten (Only one finished in the top 20):

2017
#10 Auburn 10-4
#21 USF 10-2 (Won Bowl Game by three points against 6-7 Texas Tech)
#25 Memphis 10-3 (Lost Bowl Game to 8-5 Iowa State)
FIU 8-5
Navy 7-6
Temple 7-6
Maryland 4-8
Cincinnati 4-8
UConn 3-9
East Carolina 3-9
Austin Peay (FCS)

2018
#24 Cincinnati 11-2 (Won bowl game by 4 points against 6-7 Virginia Tech)
Temple 8-5
Memphis 8-6
South Florida 7-6
Pitt 7-7
SMU 5-7
FAU 5-7
ECU 3-9
Navy 3-10
UConn 1-11
South Carolina State (FCS)

Seven Teams Above the Rest

Alabama, Clemson, LSU, Georgia, Oklahoma, Ohio State, and Wisconsin. Those are the elite teams so far this season. Wisconsin joined the discussion when they absolutely crushed Michigan. Wisconsin isn’t flashy, but they play good defense, run the ball, and don’t turn the ball over. It is almost a foregone conclusion it’ll be Ohio State vs. Wisconsin for the Big Ten Championship.

And no I didn’t forget Auburn. It was an impressive win against Texas A&M this weekend, but they are not an elite team with Bo Nix. You can’t be elite with a quarterback that completes under 50% of his passes. Bo Nix will have to evolve for Auburn to have a chance as a top team.

One Loss Teams in the Hunt

Oregon, Texas, and Notre Dame all have impressive losses and are not out of the playoff race. Oregon and Texas could win-out, win their conference, and be right in prime playoff position. Will they? Probably not, but the opportunity is there.

Trouble in Michigan

I tried to tell you, their defense is not good. The Michigan offense isn’t good either. This is a flat out average Big Ten team in a lot of trouble. Jim Harbaugh is in year 5 and these are all his players. There is no where to point the finger, but at Harbaugh. He has changed Michigan to a constant top 25 team, but they’re not an elite program.  Despite all the recruits and all the hype, Michigan is just an above average Big Ten team.

Terrible AP Top 25 Ranking of the Week

SMU (4-0) Big win over TCU: Unranked

UCF (3-1) Loss to 2-2 Pitt, Win over 1-3 Stanford: #22

Nice job AP… Nice job

MY TOP 25

  1. Alabama
  2. Clemson
  3. LSU
  4. Georgia
  5. Oklahoma
  6. Ohio State
  7. Wisconsin
  8. Auburn
  9. Florida
  10. Oregon
  11. Texas
  12. Penn State
  13. Notre Dame
  14. Iowa
  15. Virginia
  16. Kansas State
  17. Cal
  18. Washington
  19. USC
  20. Utah
  21. Boise State
  22. Wake Forest
  23. Texas A&M
  24. SMU
  25. Michigan

Week 4 College Football Preview

2019 SEASON RECORD: 21-15

Week 4 Game(s) of the Week

Notre Dame at Georgia (-14) UNDER 58 – Saturday 7:00pm

Game Preview: This line is exactly right… Georgia’s defense will keep Notre Dame in check. Georgia’s offense will score, but not enough where I’m confident in them covering or overshooting the over. The UNDER is the play here.

Pick: Georgia 31-17

Auburn at Texas A&M (-3.5) – Saturday 2:30pm

Game Preview: YOU CANT TRUST BO NIX. Nix has completed one good pass against Oregon and people think he is the next coming of Cam Newton. Auburn will flat out struggle to move the ball. I do think Auburn’s defense will hold the Aggies for awhile, but Kellen Mond does just enough and A&M wins by a touchdown.

Pick: Texas A&M 23-17

Top Picks of the Week (All Times CST)

Utah (-3.5) at USC – Friday 8:00pm

LOCK OF THE WEEK. Utah isn’t getting any respect. USC has a true freshman quarterback facing a loaded Utah defense. Utah wins by double digits.

Michigan at Wisconsin (-3) OVER 43.5 – Saturday 11:00am

Wisconsin has shown to be the better team during the season. Michigan also can’t stop the run…. 43.5 is too low of an O/U  for a Wisconsin team that has scored an average of 55 points per game. These defenses aren’t that great. WISCONSIN and the OVER are the moves.

Western Michigan at Syracuse (-5) UNDER 65.5 – Saturday 11:00am

Ok… Syracuse isn’t that bad. Sure they don’t have an offense, but they can beat Western Michigan by more than five points in the Carrier dome. Also… they don’t have an offense so 65.5 is way too high of an O/U.

Michigan State at Northwestern (+9.5) – Saturday 11:00am

WE DON’T TRUST MICHIGAN STATE AS AN (almost) DOUBLE DIGIT FAVORITE

Appalachian State at North Carolina (-3) – Saturday 2:30pm

This isn’t a big enough line. North Carolina isn’t nearly as bad as the early preseason projections. Meanwhile Appalachian State has played East Tennessee State and Charlotte this year (no I didn’t make these teams up). North Carolina wins by a touchdown or more.

SMU at TCU (-9.5) – Saturday 2:30pm

TCU can run the ball and whoever they start at quarterback will do enough to win by double digits.

South Carolina (+10) at Missouri – Saturday 3:00pm

These two teams are similar to me. So if I get one with ten points I’m going to take it. Also, the Hillinski led Cocks are differently than the Jake Bentley Cocks. South Carolina covers.

West Virginia (-4.5) at Kansas – Saturday 6:00pm

They’re still Kansas. West Virginia is bad, but not as bad as Kansas. Because they’re Kansas. And why would I bet on Kansas? So I’m taking the team that’s not Kansas. Because Kansas is Kansas.

Oregon (-10) at Stanford – Saturday 6:00pm

Put all the money on Oregon because Oregon will put all the points on Stanford. You know why? Oregon is really good and Stanford stinks. This isn’t the Stanford of a few years ago. Stanford has been getting bullied by teams that aren’t known as physical teams (USC and UCF). AND GUESS WHAT?? Oregon has one of the best offensive lines in the country. OREGON BY A MILLION.

 

 

Week 3 College Football Recap

Not much happened this week so I’m going to rant about how bad the ACC is. But if you did take a nap all weekend here is your quick review:

Iowa/Iowa State was delayed for about five hours and Iowa wins by 1. BYU Mormons said no to Trojans. Maryland is fake, Michigan State is whack, Florida State is bad. Oklahoma and Hurts continue to score. TCU beats the wheels off Purdue. Arizona and Tech decided not to score during PAC 12 AFTER DARK. UCF actually impressive. Kentucky is still alright. Florida loses Feleipe. Bama and Syracuse still untested. Buckeyes kings of the Big 10. AND Penn State wins ugly.

ALRIGHT NOW TO TALK ABOUT THE ACC…

The ACC is the WORST Conference

The All Crappy Conference. What a terrible weekend. Disclaimer: this does not include Clemson. Sure Trevor Lawrence has 4 Touchdowns and 5 Interceptions, but he’ll turn it around. The point is they have zero challengers in their conference. Let’s take a look:

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ACC Atlantic

Boston College– Lost by double digits to Kansas. Yes Kansas. The team that just lost to Coastal Carolina… Kansas.

NC State– Lost by double digits to a terrible West Virginia team.

Wake Forest– Actually not awful…

Louisville– Also not awful… comparing to last year’s team.

Florida State– Actually Awful. A Louisiana Monroe extra point from possibly being 0-3.

Syracuse– Turns out Maryland wasn’t good… Syracuse was just bad. They have as much offense as the Dolphins.

ACC Coastal

Virginia– I guess they’re the best in the Coastal. Even if they almost lost to Florida State. So I guess they’re the best bad team.

North Carolina– Not great, not bad. Outclassed by Wake Forest.

Duke– Has played nobody except Alabama. At least they have a quality loss.

Miami– The “U” stands for Underachievers

Georgia Tech- LOST TO THE CITADEL. Just in case you were wondering Citadel came into the game 0-2 with losses to Towson and Elon.

Pittsburgh– Respectable. Competitive against Penn State… Still 1-2.

Virginia Tech- Tough game with Furman and lost to Boston College… you know…the team that lost to Kansas.

Basically this isn’t even a real conference anymore. No more talking about the Pac-12… ACC is now officially the worst Power Five conference. The schools are counting down the two months until College Basketball season and should have about 20 people in the stands by then.

Now we are only a few games into the season and maybe a team like Virginia or Wake Forest makes this more than a one team conference. But I doubt it. This conference through a few cupcakes at the beginning of the season have shown why the ACC is the WORST.

Terrible AP Top 25 Ranking of the Week

THEY ARE STILL RANKING WASHINGTON OVER CAL. This is over a week after Cal beat Washington at home. I thought maybe it was because the game was late last week and it would be corrected this week… NOPE. Washington ranked 22 and Cal 23.

MY TOP 25

  1. Clemson
  2. Alabama
  3. Georgia
  4. LSU
  5. Oklahoma
  6. Ohio State
  7. Notre Dame
  8. Utah
  9. Auburn
  10. Wisconsin
  11. Florida
  12. Michigan
  13. Texas A&M
  14. Oregon
  15. Texas
  16. UCF
  17. Penn State
  18. Oklahoma State
  19. Iowa
  20. Boise State
  21. Virginia
  22. Cal
  23. Kansas State
  24. Washington State
  25. TCU

Week 3 College Football Preview

Week 3 Game of the Week

#19 Iowa (-2.5) at Iowa State – Saturday 6:30pm

Game Preview: At the start of the year I believed this game was going to be a big Cyclone win. However, a 2OT game close win against Northern Iowa changed my view. I honestly think this game is a toss up and I wouldn’t touch it. BUT ITS THE GAME OF THE WEEK AND I GOTTA PICK IT. I like a close, low scoring Iowa win based on what I’ve seen. Also, what a terrible weekend of football that this is the game of the week.

Pick: Iowa 20-14

Top Picks of the Week (All Times CST)

SEASON RECORD: 13-9

Washington State at Houston OVER 73.5 – Friday 8:15pm

Mike Leach and Dana Holgersen facing off with explosive offenses. Washington State has played two lowly opponents and have scored 50+. Houston put over 30 points in each game including against an improved Oklahoma defense. Expect a lot of points deep into Friday night.

#21 Maryland (-7) at Temple – Saturday 11:00am

This is stealing and an example of Vegas not reacting to early results. Maryland offense is rolling and has been blowing teams out. I truly believe Maryland is in the top part of the Big Ten and therefore should beat Temple by double digits. Call him Coach Mike LOCKsley this week.

#6 Ohio State (-15.5) at Indiana – Saturday 11:00am

I have no idea how this line isn’t in the 20s. Indiana is not very good and Ohio State just got done blowing out a good Cincinnati team. Ohio State wins big.

Oklahoma State (-13.5) at Tulsa – Saturday 2:30pm

Oklahoma State may play on the road, but Tulsa is right down the road. Tulsa is better than last year, but in no way should be under two touchdown underdogs against a dangerous Cowboy team. It is the game after Oklahoma State’s Backbone Booster Boone Pickens death too. They’ll win big in his honor.

#24 USC (-3.5) at BYU – Saturday 2:30pm

USC’s Freshman quarterback didn’t look like a freshman quarterback in their blow out of Stanford. BYU is coming off a comeback Tennessee win, but they’ve been outplayed in both games they’ve played. Easy logic here: USC is better than BYU so I’m betting USC.

Arizona State (+14) at #18 Michigan State – Saturday 3:00pm

Michigan State scored only 28 points against Tulsa. I’m not buying into their improved offense especially against a Power Five team. Arizona State hasn’t looked great, but they’ll keep it within two touchdowns.

#9 Florida (-7.5) at Kentucky UNDER 50 – Saturday 6:00pm

Another offense I’m not buying is Kentucky with a backup quarterback. Florida’s defense is also really good and Felipe Franks showed against Miami he has not evolved as a quarterback. I wouldn’t expect a 40 point performance from Florida. What this all equates to is not a lot of points. Florida wins 27-14.

#1 Clemson at Syracuse (+28) – Saturday 6:30pm

Syracuse has played Clemson close the last two years. So you’re telling me I get them as a four touchdown under dog at home? Yes please. Keep it close Syracuse.

#12 Texas at Rice (+33) – Saturday 7:00pm

Rice has played Army and Wake Forest tough. 33 points, despite Texas’s improved offense, is too much. I think Rice makes this interesting for a quarter or two and ends up losing by 24.

#5 Oklahoma (-22.5) at UCLA – Saturday 7:00pm

UCLA is a terrible football team that will struggle to score on an improved Oklahoma defense. Meanwhile, the Oklahoma offense will put up a ton of points. Oklahoma BY A TON in this game.

Texas Tech (-2) at Arizona – Saturday 9:30pm

This game will last until 1:30am with a lot of points scored between the two. Arizona isn’t good and Texas Tech is average. The Arizona loss to Hawaii is still in my head…. Tech by a field goal or more.

 

Week 2 College Football Recap

LSU Has an Offense

LSU had the points raining down Saturday night in Texas with the 45-38 victory.  However, LSU played about as much defense as they had Air Conditioning in their locker room (none). Grant Delpit and Kristian Fulton are great players in the secondary, but Sam Ehlinger throwing for over 400 yards brings serious concerns about the other starters.

People also are finally paying attention to Joe Burrow. His stat line over his last six games is 135/187 (72%) 1915 yards 19 TDs and 2 INTs.  LSU… welcome to the Playoff Discussion.

Army Exposes Michigan

Last year Army exposed Oklahoma for their bad defense. This year Army exposed Michigan’s offense. Michigan couldn’t move the football at all as they barely escaped with a 24-21 2OT win.

Michigan averaged just 2.4 yards per carry against Army. Last week Rice averaged 6 yards per carry against this same defense. Michigan should have major concerns as they no longer look like a top team in the Big Ten.

Knoxville is Burning

Pruitt’s Tennessee team BLEW IT. BYU completed a 64 yard pass that put them in field goal range and sent the game to OT. Tennessee then lost in 2OT.

BYU and Georgia State were supposed to be the easy part of the schedule. Tennessee now has Alabama, Georgia, Florida, and Mississippi State as four of their next five games. Will Phillip Fulmer give Pruitt another season if they finish 4-8? Pruitt’s recruiting has been impressive… the on the field results have not.

Maryland and North Carolina Surprise

As for good surprises Mike Locksley has Maryland as a serious Big Ten contender. They dismantled Syracuse, scoring 40+ points in the first half and 63 points overall. It is not out of the realm of possibilities for Maryland to be 8-0 in November before their game against Michigan.

North Carolina has also been a pleasant surprise. Mack Brown has the Tar Heels 2-0 and may be a contender in the terrible ACC Coastal.

Clemson Locks Up a Playoff Spot

Clemson’s schedule somehow looks easier now than it did in the off-season. The Tigers played their toughest opponent of the season beating the Aggies at home 24-10. The Tigers likely won’t face another top 25 team the rest of the season. As long as Clemson doesn’t collapse, they’ve already solidified their playoff spot with the win on Saturday.

Worst AP Top 25 Decision

This one is easy… Washington ranked #23 above unranked California despite losing at home to California. Guess some AP voters didn’t want to stay up until 3am.

MY TOP 25

  1. Clemson
  2. Alabama
  3. Georgia
  4. LSU
  5. Oklahoma
  6. Ohio State
  7. Notre Dame
  8. Utah
  9. Auburn
  10. Florida
  11. Wisconsin
  12. Michigan
  13. Texas A&M
  14. Oregon
  15. Texas
  16. UCF
  17. Penn State
  18. Maryland
  19. Iowa
  20. Michigan State
  21. Oklahoma State
  22. Virginia
  23. Boise State
  24. USC
  25. Cal