TGIS NFL Preview – Week 14

By: Nick Radivoj

I went back to the drawing board this week as I’ve hit a slump in NFL action going 5-10 last week bringing the season total to 96-95-4. I’m barely hovering above .500 but still losing action with the juice so let’s get back on track here. Only 13 games of NFL action this weekend as we ewave goodbye to the Falcons, Bears, Packers, Colts, Saints, and Commanders this weekend. Let’s get ourselves healthily back over .500 with a winning Week 14.

Las Vegas Raiders (5-7) at Los Angeles Rams (3-9)

When: 8:15 PM on 12/8

Line: Raiders -6

O/U: 44

Raiders have found their groove as of late utilizing their outside threat in Devante Adams and then bruising between the tackles with Josh Jacobs. Jacobs has looked like a man running wild as he’s trying to get paid this offseason either by the Raiders or someone else. Meanwhile, Rams look like a far different team from last years Super Bowl winner as they are missing a plethora of key options on both sides of the ball. If you are playing a side the best route to go is more than likely laying the points with Vegas but I’m playing the over in this game. Raiders should be able to score on the Rams causing them to play catchup early and often. Mcvay is still regarded as one of the best offensive minds in football so we will lean on him to get us 20 points here.

The Play: Over 44

New York Jets (7-5) at Buffalo Bills (9-3)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Bills -9.5

O/U: 44

The Mike White experiment continues as he will enter his 3rd game as the starting QB for New York. The test doesn’t get easy as he gets ready to go up against the #1 seed in the AFC in Buffalo. New York was able to upset Buffalo last time utilizing a good blend between their round game and outside weapns and I can see tha thapening again in this spot. Buffalo hasn’t looked like themselves lately and if rookie DB sensation Sauce Gardner can slow down Stefon Diggs throughout the afternoon then they should have a chance here to upset them again. I’m grabbing the points here with New York as it’s just too many in a divional matchup with playoff implications on the line.

The Play: Jets +9.5

Cleveland Browns (5-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (8-4)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Bengals -6

O/U: 47

Deshaun Watson is back in action with 1 win under his belt. It had been almost 2 years since Watson played in an NFL game and it showed on Sunday against the Texans either skipping balls to wide receivers or being wide of the mark. I expect some of that rust to continue to knock off as he gets ready for a divional matchup against Joe Burrow and the Bengals. Cincinnati will have revenge on their minds as they got blown out on Monday Night Football previously to this Browns team before Watson. I’m playing over as I believe this one has the looks of a shootout with a star-studded matchup headlined by Burrow and Watson. I expect big games from both wide receivers on opposite sides of the field in Ja’Marr Chase and Amari Cooper.

The Play: Over 47

Houston Texans (1-10-1) at Dallas Cowboys (9-3)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Cowboys -16.5

O/U: 45.5

With a line this large I don’t normally do this but I’m laying the ponts here with Dallas. Dallas is the superior team in this contest and should win easily by multiple scores. I expect Dallas’ defense to have a field day like they did on Sunday Night Football against the Colts and set up their offense with scoring opportunities deep in Houston territory. Dallas HC Mike McCarthy has seemed more than fine to run up scores against opposing teams throwing the ball late in contests that have already been secured as a win. Houston will continue their quest for the #1 pick in next years NFL Draft as they don’t have the players yet to compete in these types of games.

The Play: Cowboys -16.5

Minnesota Vikings (10-2) at Detroit Lions (5-7)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Vikings -2.5

O/U: 53

This should be one of the more exciting games of the weekend with an NFC North divisional matchup as the Lions try to get back in the NFC playoff hunt. Detroit has had one of the most explosive offenses all throughout the year and I don’t see that stopping now as Minnesota’s secondary looked susceptible to big plays downfield last week against the Jets. I expect the total to be spot on as it has one of the highest totals of the year and I still expect it to go over as a shootout is in order in Minneosta. Detroit contains explosive options in St. Brown and Swift but have now welcomed back first round WR Jameson Williams who has been ramping up and should add more excitement to this Lions offense. Minnesota will go toe to toe with Detroit behind their weapons in Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson.

The Play: Over 53

Jacksonville Jaguars (4-8) at Tennessee Titans (7-5)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Titans -3.5

O/U: 41.5

Not in love this play as Tennessee is coming off a bye but I’m grabbing the number with Jacksonville on the road. I don’t expect rookie WR Treylon Burks to be active in this game as he recovers from a concussion. Without Treylon this Titans wide receiver room isn’t scary at all which should lead to the Jaguars loading up the box to try and stop RB Derrick Henry. If the Jaguars are able to limit Henry over the course of the afternoon then I have confidence in them to not only cover but upset the Titans. The Jaguars won’t be able to run the ball on Tennessee as they have one of the best defensive lines in football so this game will depend heavily on the shoulder of Trevor Lawrence. If Lawrence is able to play like the #1 pick he is then this underdog is live to steal one on the road.

The Play: Jaguars +3.5

Philadelphia Eagles (11-1) at New York Giants (7-4-1)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Eagles -7

O/U: 45.5

It is finally time to stop fading the Eagles as they have proven time and time again to doinate opponents. Jalen Hurts showed off his passing capabilities last week as him and AJ Brown threw up some revenge stats last weekend against Tennessee. Tennessee was able to minimize the ground game from Philly but that didn’t matter over the afternoon with Hurts’ breakout this year. Staying away from the line, I’m playing the under in this game as I expect a tough divisional match up with plenty of runs coming from both sides. Saquon Barkley will be heavily leaned on again as New York doesn’t have many of outside weapons to depend on. Defensive lines will be stout in this one as we are able to take an under ticket to the window.

The Play: Under 45.5

Baltimore Ravens (8-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-7)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Steelers -2.5

O/U: 37

Easiest one of the weekend as I grab the ponts with the Ravens here. Lamar Jackson will be out but backup QB Tyler Huntley has proven that he can come in and give Baltimore great spot starts to keep them afloat as they wait for Lamar to come back from injury. I expect Baltimore’s defense to shut down this Pittsburgh offense as Huntley will be able to do enough to not only cover but win this game for a tight AFC North between Baltimore and Cincinnati.

The Play: Ravens +2.5

Kansas City Chiefs (9-3) at Denver Broncos (3-9)

When: 4:05 PM on 12/11

Line: Chiefs -9

O/U: 43

Kansas City is coming off 2 losses last weekend as they lost to Cincinnati for a 3rd straight time and also lost the #1 seed in the AFC. I expect a major bounce back from this Chiefs team as they line up against a Denver team with minimal offensive explosion. Denver has a phenomenal defense but going up against Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes is a tall task to keep them in this game. I expect Kansas City to come out swinging to get the team back on track. Kansas City wins by multiple scores here as Denver shows again an inability to consistently move the ball over the course of 4 quarters.

The Play: Chiefs -9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6) at San Francisco 49ers (8-4)

When: 4:25 PM on 12/11

Line: 49ers -3.5

O/U: 37.5

Under is the play and should be a relatively easy one. 49ers will be without their QB Jimmy G for an extended amount of time and will be rolling with rookie QB Brock Purdy. Brock looked decent in his action against the Dolphins coming in after Jimmy’s injury but he was still the last pick in last year’s draft for a reason. I expect Kyle Shanahan to have an excellent game plan for the young QB to get the ball out quick to their playmakers outside. The reason under is such a tasty play is that this San Francisco defense should lock down a underwhelming Tampa Bay offense. With their starting QB out, San Francisco will lean even more on their top defensive unit to keep games close for them if the offense hits a wall.

The Play: Under 37.5

Carolina Panthers (4-8) at Seattle Seahawks (7-5)

When: 4:25 PM on 12/11

Line: Seahawks -3.5

O/U: 43.5

Carolina is coming off their bye and travelling across a few timezones to face off against Seattle in this contest. I normally fade teams travelling across timezones but think it’s not as big of a problem in this game as Carolina should be well rested off their bye. I would have grabbed the points with Carolina earlier in the week as they were originally given 6 points but that was quickly bought down to the number we currently have at 3.5. Since we missed the value with the line we will instead play the over as we’ve seen over the past few weeks that Seattle’s defense is a tad fraudulent from what they have showed earlier this season. I expect Carolina to have some success of their own on offense and Seattle to do what they have been throughout this year with their outside weapons in DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.

The Play: Over 43.5

Miami Dolphins (8-4) at Los Angeles Chargers (6-6)

When: 8:20 PM on 12/11

Line: Dolphins -3

O/U: 50.5

Miami is facing adversity as they suffered their first loss in what seems like a long time. Luckily, they should be welcoming back their starting LT Terron Armstead in this matchup which should help Tua have a clearner pocket to throw the ball to his outside weapons in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. I’m expecting a big day from the speedy duo as Los Angeles has been susceptible to big plays on the outside and in the run game. I’m laying the points here with Miami but playng the over could also be a safer play as the Chargers are playing for the playoff lives. Los Angeles has fallen back to .500 and with a loss here will face an uphill climb to make the playoffs so I expect Brandon Staley to be full throttle in this game to get the Chargers in the win column. Justin Herbert should be able to take advantage of a weak Miami secondary if he has enough time to get the ball out to his playmakers. I’m laying th epoins with the road warriors but this is sure to be one of the best games of Week 14.

The Play: Dolphins -3

New England Patriots (6-6) at Arizona Cardinals (4-8)

When: 8:15 PM on 12/12

Line: Patriots -1

O/U: 44

After an exciting Sunday Night Football matchup we are welcomed by a relatively unexciting Monday night matchup. I expect an offense revitalized in New England as it seems the QB Mac Jones and several others have been calling out the playcalling and inability to score. With that, I will be playing the over as I believe New England gets their offense back on track and the Cardinals to have a good offensive game plan ready as they come off their bye. I expect Arizona to be able to stretch the Patriots out wide and downfield with Deandre Hopkins and Hollywood Brown.

The Play: Over 44

TGIS Championship Week Preview

What an absolutely ugly finish to the season we have had. We finished with a 2-8 record last week where everything went sideways… But we are moving on for Championship Week. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Top Picks of the Week

#11 Utah vs. #4 USC Over 65.5 – 7:00pm

The last game finished Utah 43-42. Both quarterbacks threw for over 380 yards and moved the ball with ease. Expect the same thing with both offenses putting up plenty of points. We’re taking the over.

#10 Kansas State vs. #3 TCU Over 60.5 – 11:00am

Another game where I expect to see plenty of points. Kansas State was averaging 12.5 yards per play against TCU before their starting quarterbacks went down. But that TCU offense also put it on, scoring 21 second half points. We are taking the over.

Coastal Carolina +9 at Troy – 2:30pm

I know Coastal lost to James Madison 47-7. But Coastal Carolina was resting players preparing for this game right here. They keep it close against Troy in the Sun Belt Championsip.

#22 UCF at #18 Tulane -2.5 – 3:00pm

This is me trusting Willie Fritz. Tulane will play tough defense against UCF. I know UCF beat Tulane a few weeks ago, but UCF has struggled against two bad teams since then (South Florida and Navy). Give me Tulane and laying the points.

#9 Clemson vs. #23 North Carolina +8 – 7:00pm

I trust Drake Maye to be able to keep it close with Clemson. Especially since the weakness of Clemson is their secondary. This one will be a close one.

Purdue vs. #2 Michigan -16.5 – 7:00pm

Remember Michigan against Iowa in the Big Ten Championship last year? Expect the same this year with Michigan treating it as a playoff warm up and blowing out Purdue.

TGIS College Football Preview – Championship Weekend

By: Nick Radivoj

A sad tear drops from my eye as we look towards Championship weekend to close out what was an exciting regular season for College Football. Plenty of Top 10 upsets occurred throughout the year which is exactly why us fans watch the sport. It seems for the first time in a while there has been plenty of parody to look forward to in the College Football atmosphere and I can’t wait to do it all over again next College Football regular season. The final regular season week brought us an unfortunate wash as we end up going 5-5 bringing our season total to 69-59-2 (54%) on the year. We still have some great Championship matchups to look forward to so let’s not dwell on what’s gone but be happy with what’s still in front of us!

#11 Utah (9-3) at #4 USC (11-1)

When: 8 PM on 12/2

Line: USC -3

O/U: 67

An exciting rematch for the Pac 12 Championship as USC looks for redemption from a loss to Utah earlier in the season. I expect more of the same as the last time these 2 played with offensive explosion as USC won’t be able to stop Utah and USC will do what they’ve been doing all year on the offensive side of the ball. I expect this game to come down to the wire and maybe even the last second as this game will most likely determine if USC makes the College Football Playoff or not. Utah brings a certain type of toughness to Pac 12 football which USC isn’t as accustomed to but should still find their way on offense as this goes over the total as we start Championship weekend 1-0.

The Play: Over 67

#10 Kansas State (9-3) at #3 TCU )12-0)

When: 12 PM on 12/3

Line: TCU -2.5

O/U: 62

Another title game and another redemption story as Kansas State is looking to take down undefeated TCU. In their first contest, Kansas State was up 28-10 before allowing a 28-0 run to occur as TCU ended up winning 38-28 in that game. What the average fan may not know is that Kansas State was without their starting QB in this game after he helped them build up a 28-10 lead. After he went down the Wildcat offense turned stagnant and unable to move the ball like they had earlier in the game. I see Kansas State getting their redemption in this game health permitting. Kansas State has found explosion on offense as of late and bolster a tough defensive line which should make it hard for Max Duggan and company to make explosive plays over the course of the afternoon. Kansas State upsets TCU as they are left waiting to see if they will make it into the College Football Playoff.

The Play: Kansas State +2.5

#14 LSU (9-3) at #1 Georgia (12-0)

When: 4 PM on 12/3

Line: Georgia -17.5

O/U: 51

Georgia ends up winning this game and adding another SEC Championship trophy to their collection here as they have their eyes still set on the biggest prize of them all. They win this game but don’t end up covering as LSU will keep this one within 17. Several times throughout the 2022 campaign Georgia has looked rather lost on offense and LSU will be able to contain them for a good part of this game. Georgia will have their explosive plays with Brock Bowers but the key is to keep those explosive plays to a minimum. With a loss last weekend, LSU may have found themselves on the outside looking in on the College Football playoff but still have a lot to play for in Brian Kelly’s first year as HC of the LSU Tigers.

The Play: LSU +17.5

#22 UCF (9-3) at #18 Tulane (10-2)

When: 4 PM on 12/3

Line: Tulane -3.5

O/U: 56.5

Another title game and another rematch from the regular season. As we look back into the first matchup we see that UCF took down Tulane by a score of 38-31. That’s a total of 69 points here which would soar over the current over under which makes me think this total is something to stay away from as Oddsmakers seem to know something more than we currently do about this match up. Another thing I like it while preparing for rematch games is who won the first match up as it is incredibly difficult to beat a good team twice. UCF won the first matchup by 7 but also won the turnover battle recovering 2 of Tulane’s 3 fumbles. I expect Tulane to have a better grip on the ball and their offense here as I ride with the numbers and lay the points here with Tulane as they take home the AAC title.

The Play: Tulane -3.5

Purdue (8-4) at #2 Michigan (12-0)

When: 8 PM on 12/3

Line: Michigan -16.5

O/U: 51.5

Michigan comes into the Big 10 Championship game with their biggest win of the season taking down Ohio State on the road by 3 scores. Regardless of how this game turns out, Michigan has stamped their ticket into the College Football Playoff with their resume built throughout the season. I expect them to win this game comfortably and do what they have over a majority of the season and go under the total. Michigan’s defense will keep the Boilermakers in check and for Michigan’s offense to show less explosion than they did against Ohio State. Michigan will sail close to 30 points and unless this is a nail biter late we will be standing with an under ticket in our hand with no signs of sweating.

The Play: Under 51.5

#9 Clemson (10-2) at#23 North Carolina (9-3)

When: 8 PM on 12/3

Line: Clemson -7.5

O/U: 63.5

As I look at this game I think of the Wake Forest game against Clemson earlier in the season. Wake was able to stretch Clemson’s defense deep either creating explosive plays or drawing pass interference penalties to create scoring opportunities. I expect this game to look similar to that one as North Carolina QB Drake Maye will be able to pick on Clemson’s secondary as opposed to running into a brick wall being Clemson’s defensive line. Meanwhile, Clemson’s offense should have a field day of their own as North Carolina brings to table one of the worst defenses in the ACC. Unfortunately, Clemson will be on the outside looking in of the playoffs this year as they were upset by South Carolina last week but will still have a lot to play for to add another ACC Championship trophy to their mantle.

NFL Week Preview – Week 13

By: Nick Radivoj

Week 13 is here as we wave goodbye to the Cardinals and Panthers for one week as they enjoy their Winter Break hopefully on a beach somewhere. The ball did not bounce our way Week 12 as we ended up going 7-9 bringing our season total to 91-54-4 (51.7%) on the year. A lot of great NFL action ahead of us with several opportunities to take advantage of value plays so let’s not waste any time as we dive right in to Week 13.

Buffalo Bills (8-3) at New England Patriots (6-5)

When: 8:15 PM on 12/1

Line: Bills -5

O/U: 43.5

An exciting AFC East divisional matchup is set for a Thursday Night Football matchup between a team fighting for the #1 seed and a team fighting to get into the big dance. I’m grabbing the number here with the Patriots at home as they will need to throw the kitchen sink at the Bills in order to get an upset. Buffalo has looked more vulnerable over the past month of football and I expect New England to give a heavy dose of Rhomandre Stevenson throughout the night. I believe over is a good play here as well as New England’s defense looks more human after Minnesota’s offensive explosion against them on Thanksgiving night.

The Play: Patriots +5

Pittsburgh Steelers (4-7) at Atlanta Falcons (5-7)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Steelers -1

O/U: 43

I will be laying the points here with the road team as Pittsburgh gets hot coming off a MNF win against Indy. Pittsburgh has too many offensive weapons for Atlanta to quiet down all afternoon which will lead to the Steelers soaring over 20 points. TJ Watt is back and so is a scary defense in Pittsburgh as the whole nature of the defense is different with him in the lineup. I expect heavy pressure all day on Marcus Mariota and potentially a few turnovers which will account for some easy scores for Kenny Pickett.

The Play: Steelers -1

Green Bay Packers (4-8) at Chicago Bears (3-9)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Packers -3

O/U: 42.5

Aaron Rodgers or Jordan Love? Either way no problem. Chicago has a bottom tier defense which Green Bay should be able to capitalize on. I believe that Justin Fields may not be back for this game either as there is no need to rush him back from injury with nothing to play for down the stretch here. Chicago is already down their top receiving option in Darnell Mooney who suffered a season ending ankle injury so adding a long term Fields’ injury on top of that by rushing him back wouldn’t be great news for a young Chicago team. If Fields does end up playing I love this play a little less but still feel that Green Bay will come out victorious in either outcome.

The Play: Packers -3

Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7) at Detroit Lions (4-7)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Lions -1

O/U: 51.5

Not many times you can find me suggesting a Detroit Lions under and you won’t find it here either. Detroit’s defense has been better as of late but if Trevor Lawrence is build off his last game throwing over 300 yards and 3 touchdowns last week then I feel good. Detroit will provide what we have seen most all season on offense which is explosion from an exciting and unique offense. Be on the lookout for redzone to jump over to this game a lot throughout the afternoon as a shootout should be in store for these two young teams.

The Play: Over 51.5

New York Jets (7-4) at Minnesota Vikings (9-2)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Vikings -3

O/U: 45.5

Under is the play here as New York has shown to have a top defense in the NFL which should be up for the task in slowing down Justin Jefferson and this Minnesota explosive offense. I don’t expect Mike White’s offensive output to continue as he was able to go up against a bottom tier defense I Chicago last week. Minnesota is different than Chicago both in terms of talent on defense and location. Location may seem like a weird thing to lock in on but Minnesota has one of the best home field advantages in football which should throw some confusion at a relatively young New York offense.

The Play: Under 45.5

Washington Commanders (7-5) at New York Giants (7-4)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Commanders -2.5

O/U: 40.5

NFC East divisional match up which could go a long way in determining who ends up making the playoffs later in the season. New York has the injury bug at wide receiver as they will be without 3 of their top options on the outside. New York’s biggest threat on offense is their star RB in Saquon Barkley which is surprisingly good news for Washington. Washington has one of the best defensive lines in football which should be up for the task in slowing down New York. Meanwhile, Washington has a nice plethora of weapons on the outside to attack New York deep and expose their outside corners. If it wasn’t obvious enough already I will be laying the points with the road team here.

The Play: Commanders -2.5

Tennessee Titans (7-4) at Philadelphia Eagles (10-1)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Eagles -5.5

O/U: 44.5

Philadelphia has one of the best records in football but has shown some vulnerability over the past few weeks of football. Ever since Jordan Davis went down with injury Philly’s run defense has been susceptible against both Washington and Green Bay over the past couple of weeks. I expect a heavy dose of Derrick Henry in this contest and the Titans try to control the clock and the game. Philly is a run first type of team and Tennessee has a very stout defensive line which should be up for the task here led by Jeffrey Simmons. If this doesn’t get ugly fast I have confidence in Tennessee to keep this one within the number. If Philly jumps out to a big lead all bets are off if Ryan Tannehill has to play catch up.

The Play: Titans +5.5

Denver Broncos (3-8) at Baltimore Ravens (7-4)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Ravens -8

O/U: 38.5

I have flipped multiple times in this contest as I originally laid the points with Baltimore then came back to potentially play the under. Ultimately, I land on the home team laying the points here as Baltimore wins by double digits. My biggest fear in this match up is that Baltimore will have a double digit lead late as each of their losses have come at the hands of losing a double digit lead late. Luckily, Baltimore will be tasked with stopping one of the worst defenses in the NFL in Denver. Denver is unable to string together plays for long drives and don’t have explosion o offense to score in 1 play. Baltimore should be able to control the ground game similarly to how Carolina did last week against Denver at home. Lamar and company earn their 8th win of the season as Denver falls yet again.

The Play: Ravens -8

Cleveland Browns (4-7) at Houston Texans (1-9-1)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Browns -7

O/U: 47

11 week suspension is up and Deshaun Watson is officially cleared to play again in the NFL. I’m excited to see how this game pans out as Watson returns to Houston where he spent every year of his career so far. I expect a blow out from Cleveland here as they will be too much to handle for Houston both offensively and defensively. Kyle Allen started for Houston last week and looked rather lost out there as Miai was able to pressure Allen all throughout the afternoon. I expect Myles Garrett to have the same kind of impact in this one as turnovers should be in order for this Cleveland defense.

The Play: Browns -7

Seattle Seahawks (6-5) at Los Angeles Rams (3-8)

When: 4:05 PM on 12/4

Line: Seahawks -8

O/U: 41.5

This will be short and sweet as I lay the points with Seattle on the road. The amount of players not playing for Los Angeles will be too much to overcome as they will be without Cooper Kupp, Allen Robinson, a majority of their offensive line starters, Matthew Stafford, and Aaron Donald in this one. Seattle has dropped 2 straight as they became the hunted as opposed to the hunter and need to establish that they are a team to be feared going into their late season push.

The Play: Seahawks -8

Miami Dolphins (8-3) at San Francisco 49ers (47-4)

When: 4:05 PM on 12/4

Line: 49ers -3.5

O/U: 46.5

The apprentice meets the master in this one as former OC for the 49esrs Mike McDaniel comes back to California to upset the home favorites. Unfortunately, Miami will be without one of their prized offseason acquisitions in Terron Armstead. This is a rather big loss as Armstead has been one of the best OTs in football when playing this year. Without him, I expect constant pressure coming from the left side as Nick Bosa will be challenging to block single handed. Double teams are sure to be in order all afternoon for Mr. Bosa. I expect Miami to stay away from the run game and attack San Francisco through the air with their speed demons they have on the outside. 49ers on offense will be able to attack Miami through the air as well as Miami has had difficulty stopping tight ends this year. I expect a big game from George Kittle and Miami’s top WR’s as this one goes flying over the total.

The Play: Over 46.5

Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (7-4)

When: 4:25 PM on 12/4

Line: Chiefs –2.5

O/U: 52.5

A rather easy one here for me as Kansas City looks for their redemption from last year as they dropped 2 pivotal games against Cincinnati last year. If Kansas City loses this game not only does their confidence shake in terms of beating Cincy but they will have lost the #1 seed in the playoffs with 5 games left to play if Buffalo beats New England on Thursday night. Andy Reid will have the team up and ready to play for this one with an improved defense to help stop Joe Burrow and company.  If you would rather stick away from a side then the over would be a fun and exciting way to keep in touch with what’s happening in this one.

The Play: Chiefs -2.5

Los Angeles Chargers (6-5) at Las Vegas Raiders (4-7)

When: 4:25 PM on 12/4

Line: Chargers -2

O/U: 50.5

Most of me wanted to lay the points here with Justin Herbert and the Chargers but I ultimately land on the over. I believe Josh Jacobs will have a field day against Los Angeles run defense as long as he comes into the game healthy. Las Vegas can pair their ground game nicely with Devante Adams outside to put up north of 20 points in this one. Meanwhile, Chargers will be able to move the ball on Las Vegas’ defense as Seattle easily threw up over 30 last weekend. Justin Herbert throws for 3 touchdowns again and continue their playoff push.

The Play: Over 50.5

Indianapolis Colts (4-7-1) at Dallas Cowboys (8-3)

When: 8:20 PM on 12/4

Line: Cowboys -11

O/U: 44

Dallas has looked every bit the part of a Super Bowl contender throughout this year. They have a top defense behind young players like Micah Parsons and Trevon Diggs. When Dallas’ offense gets clicking with the weapons they have paired with their defense they will be a tough out late in the season as playoffs game around. I expect Dallas’ defense to shut down what little offense Indy has and for Dallas to build up a lead to take the air out of the ball in the second half. Dallas reaches the 20 point threshold but their top defense quiets Indy to under 17 as we land an under win.

The Play: Under 44

New Orleans Saints (4-8) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6)

When: 8:15 PM on 12/5

Line: Buccaneers -3.5

O/U: 40

Both offenses have looked rather pedestrian over the past month or so of football but we stand here on Monday Night Football to play the over. These 2 teams know each other and know what the other is best at. New Orleans won’t waste their time trying to run the ball against Tampa and will air the ball out to attack the weakest part of their defense being their back end. Meanwhile, Tampa has found a better compliment of the run and pass game as of late and depending on which New Orleans defense shows up they could have their way on offense with their top weapons outside.

The Play: Over 40

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 13

TGIS Game of the Week

Michigan at Ohio State -7.5 – 11:00am

Michigan is banged up right now including their top player, running back Blake Corum. Ohio State carves up the Wolverines.

Top Picks of the Week

Tulane at Cincinnati UNDER 46.5 – Friday 11:00am

Tulane and Cincinnati are both led by really strong defenses. On the Bearcat side they could be without their starting QB as well… Under hits.

Arizona State at Arizona -4 – Friday 2:00pm

At this time of the year you look at who has quit… I think Arizona State fits the description. Wildcats win easily.

Nebraska at Iowa UNDER 38.5 – Friday 3:00pm

Iowa Unders.

South Carolina +14.5 at Clemson – 11:00am

South Carolina is coming off a huge victory against Tennessee. While you might think this is a letdown spot… not against Clemson. 14 and a hook is too many points.

Iowa State +10 at TCU – 3:00pm

Iowa State brings every one down into the mud. They have only lost one Big 12 game by more than double digits. Iowa State keeps it close.

LSU at Texas A&M +10 – 6:00pm

Call it a gut feeling, but I think A&M steps up for this game to try to play spoiler. They have Devon Achane coming back to play his final game for the Aggies. A&M makes this one interesting.

Tennessee at Vanderbilt +14 – 6:30pm

A Joe Milton led Vols team facing a red hot Vanderbilt team? The Commodores will keep this close.

Notre Dame +5.5 at USC – 6:30pm

USC can’t stop the run. What does the Irish do well? Run the ball. This also fits the theme of the Pac-12… whatever result could hurt the Pac-12 will happen.

Washington at Washington State +2.5 – 9:30pm

This Cougar team is playing really good football down the stretch. They are especially led by their defense. Wazzou wins the Apple Cup.

NFL Week 12 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

We are on to Week 12 action as we welcome back the Buccaneers, Dolphins, Jaguars, and Seahawks from bye. Week 11 ended up being a wash of a weekend as we ended up 6-7-1 on the weekend bringing our season total to 84-76-5 (52.5%) on the year. We have no one on bye this week as everyone will be joining in on the Thanksgiving festivities. 16 games of action to get to with little time to waste so let’s dive right in!

Buffalo Bills (7-3) at Detroit Lions (4-6)

When: 12:30 PM on 11/24

Line: Bills -9

O/U: 54

Start your Thanksgiving off right laying the points here with the Buffalo Bills. Buffalo shouldn’t be strained too much on the offensive end as I’m expecting north of 30 this Turkey day from the team in Western New York. Detroit’s defense has been better as of late but should get exposed here by a Buffalo team with a Top 5 offense in the NFL behind Josh Allen. Detroit has displayed their offensive capabilities throughout the season but I expect a Leslie Frazier led defense to pull together a few stops in time for Buffalo to build upon a 2 or even 3 score lead. I would make sure to fill up your Thanksgiving plate to kick back and watch what should be a high scoring game for the first of 3 NFL Thanksgving games.

The Play: Bills -9

New York Giants (7-3) at Dallas Cowboys (7-3)

When: 4:30 PM on 11/24

Line: Cowboys -9

O/U: 44.5

Enjoy America’s team with a big plate of Turkey and sides as the Thanksgiving meals should be underway by the team this game gets underway. Unfortunately, I will be playing under in this game as I expect Dallas to run away and hide in this game as New York lost yet another offensive weapon in Wandale Robinson last week. Dallas will focus in on elite RB Saquon Barkley but after that don’t face many threats with this New York team. Although I’m playing the under I would even recommend laying the points here with Dallas as I think their combination of offensive skill players with an exciting defense will be too much for New York to overcome.

The Play: Under 44.5

New England Patriots (6-4) at Minnesota Vikings (8-2)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/24

Line: Vikings -2.5

O/U: 42.5

I originally leaned towards laying the points with the home team here in the final of 3 tNFL Thanksgiving games but landed on under instead. Under is the play because New England has a snail’s pace of an offense but combined with a top defense along with defensive mind should equal a quiet afternoon for this Vikings team that was just stifled by Dallas all afternoon to the tune of a 40-3 loss. New England will have a plan to double or even triple star WR Justin Jeffersson all afternoon and with the health of LT Christian Darrisaw up in the air could lean to a long day for Kirk Cousins. New England should be able to score a few touchdowns on offense as opposed to last week here but still any drive they do have resulting in points will surely bleed the clock dry.

The Play: Under 42.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-5) at Cleveland Browns (3-7)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Buccaneers -3

O/U: 42.5

Buccaneers come off their week of rest to head on the road to face Jacoby Brissett for the final time this season as Deshaun Watson’s suspension is set to be over following this game. I lean on laying the points here with the road team as it appears that the offense has found their stride over the past game showing a more well rounded rushing attack to pair with their passing game. Tampa is more vulnerable through the air on defense versus the ground game which Cleveland will attempt to establish over the course of the afternoon through Nick Chubb. Chubb will be welcomed by a brick wall of Buccaneers having no fun over the course of the afternoon. Bucs win again as they strengthen their hold on a weak NFC South.

The Play: Buccaneers -2.5

Cincinnati Bengals (6-4) at Tennessee Titans (7-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Bengals -1.5

O/U: 42.5

A rematch of the AFC Divisional round from last year is set to go underway Sunday in Tennessee as the Titans are looking for redemption from last years late game collapse. Ryan Tannehill will be looking for redemption himself as his multiple interceptions last year were a leading cause of Tennessee falling to Cincy in last years playoff run. Tennessee should still own the point of attack with their talented defensive line but I believe Cincy will be able to take advantage of Tennessee’s secondary throughout the afternoon. Keep an eye out on Ja’Marr Chase as he is set to return to practice this week and could end up playin gin this game as well. Cincy’s defense is a far cry away from what they shouwed on their playoff run last year giving up 30 to a quiet Steelers’ offense last week. I’m excited to watch this game to see who ends up victorious as I will be staying off either side but playing the over as Tennessee’s offense has something to prove.

The Play: Over 42.5

Houston Texans (1-8-1) at Miami Dolphins (7-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Dolphins -13

O/U: 46

Miami comes off their week of rest to welcome in a Houston team with only 1 win on the year. I originally started breaking down this game aiming towards taking the over here but the more and more I talked about Miami’s offense against Houston’s defense I found myself laying the points with the home team. I figured Miami’s explosive offense will easily find themselves swimming north of 30 and unless Houston starts to show some explosion on offense that we haven’t seen all year then Miami should win here by multiple scores. Miami scores over 30 while Houston doesn’t cross through the “teens”.

The Play: Dolphins -13

Chicago Bears (3-8) at New York Jets (6-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Jets -4.5

O/U: 41

The squeaky wheel gets the grease and I think that is what will happen here for the New York Jets. Zach Wilson is coming off one of his worst performances as a professional QB and will look to bounce back against Chicago who has one of the worst defenses in the NFL. New York has shown that they have a top tier defense and needs an offense capable to score points to both keep them in games and win them late as they fell 10-3 last week to the Patriots with a touchdown coming late in the contest via special teams for New England. I think this could be one of Zach Wilson’s last games as a starter if he doesn’t come out looking great. Note: keep an eye out on the health of Justin Fields as he currently has a sprained shoulder and could be sitting out this game to recover.

The Play: Jets -4.5

Atlanta Falcons (5-6) at Washington Commanders (6-5)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Commanders -4

O/U: 42

Washington has been on a roll as of late and I think that trend continues as they take down the Falcons at home. What leads me to the Commanders here is the fact that they will be without one of their top receiving options in TE Kyle Pitts as he found his way on injured reserve. Atlanta is already a team that doesn’t pass the ball well and without Pitts they don’t look scary on that front. Washington has one of the best defensive lines in football and has been stifling rushing offenses for a better part of this season and should quiet Atlanta’s rushing attack throughout the afternoon. With all of the weapons they have on offense, Washington should find themselves with scoring opportunities against Atlanta while finding themselves now 2 games above .500.

The Play: Commanders -4

Denver Broncos (3-7) at Carolina Panthers (3-8)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Broncos -2.5

O/U: 36

Here is the game I hope to not have anywhere on my screen over the course of Sunday afternoon. I will keep this one short and simple as I will laythe points again here with Denver (they can’t let me down every week can they). It seems as if the playcalling duties have switched hands in Denver and that possibly can change the fortune of their offense going forward. I trust Denver’s defense to hush whatever Carolina has to offer and as long as Denver’s offense can put up a mere 17 they should find themselves with a win and the cover.

The Play: Broncos -2.5

Baltimore Ravens (7-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-7)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Ravens -4

O/U: 43.5

Baltimore’s offense has seemed to have lost their way as the explosion we saw at the beginning of the season has been nowhere to be found as of late. Jacksonville comes back from a week of bye rest to welcome in Baltimore. I was originally slated to take the under here in this game but landed on taking the points with the home underdog. I think Coach Doug Pederson will have a good game plan designed to pick apart at Baltimore’s weaknesses. Jacksonville has shown to be a better team than last year but unable to close games late which is perfect as I grab 4 points. Baltimore ultimately wins this game late with a Justin Tucker field goal helping them win on the road but helping us get to the window with the underdog.

The Play: Jaguars +4

Los Angeles Chargers (5-5) at Arizona Cardinals (4-7)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/27

Line: Chargers -4.5

O/U: 47.5

Chargers offense seems to have found their stride with the return of Keenan Allen and breakout of WR Josh Palmer on Sunday night against Kansas City. Justin Herbert will be leaned on heavily down the stretch run for Los angeles as they try to make a playoff push. Chargers defense has shown to be shaky at best over the course of the season being decimated by injuries. I wish I could throw a disclaimer on this play with the health of Kyler Murray still in question but feel confident on this over total if the franchise QB is able to suit up in this ocontest.

The Play: Over 47.5

Las Vegas Raiders (3-7) at Seattle Seahawks (6-4)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/27

Line: Seahawks -3.5

O/U: 47.5

Seattle welcomes in in Las Vegas after having a week of rest to prepare for this game coming off their bye week. I believe Seattle will be up and ready for this game which is why I will lay the points. Seattle’s defense has been a nice surprise as they have found some late gems in the draft to bolster their back end of their defense, but the main reason I find myself laying the points here is because of their offense. I believe in Geno Smith and the numerous weapons he has on the outside paired with the breakout of RB Kenneth Walker will be too much for this Vegas team to stop. The line ends up just right as the Seahawks win by 4 late in the second half.

The Play: Seahawks -3.5

Los Angeles Rams (3-7) at Kansas City Chiefs (8-2)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/27

Line: Chiefs -14.5

O/U: 44

What looked like once a great game on paper prior to the start of the season now looks like an overwhelming game with Chiefs slotted to win big. Rather than laying the points with the Chiefs I will be playing the under as I figure that Kansas City will be up quick and rather than run up the score they will burn clock over the course of Sunday afternoon and get out of dodge under the total. I don’t expect a lot from Los Angeles on offense as they are without their best offesnvie weapon still in Cooper Kupp and are slated to be without starting QB Matthew Stafford yet again. Not a whole lot to break down on offense for the Rams here as this one shouldn’t be close.

The Play: Under 44

New Orleans Saints (4-7) at San Francisco 49ers (6-4)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/27

Line: 49ers -9

O/U: 43

It looks as if the 49ers have finally figured I tout on offense as they put up 38 points on Monday night in Mexico against their division rival Arizona Cardinals. I expect more of the same here for San Francisco as they should find themselves close to 30 again if not over and with a New Orleans team who isn’t afraid to throw the ball deep they should help us get over the total in this one. My only fear in this game is that an elite San Francisco defense shows up yet again and quiets New Orleans to under 14 points which will find us under the total, but ultimately believe that garbage time will be our friend.

The Play: Over 43

Green Bay Packers (4-7) at Philadelphia Eagles (9-1)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/27

Line: Eagles -7

O/U: 46.5

One of the hardest games of the weekend to break down as the line and total seem right on point. I finally landed on playing the over as Philly will get their offense back on track with Aaron Rodgers trying to play hero ball late. Not in love with this play at all as I can also see how this one goes comfortably under the total here. The more I continue to think the more I continue to doubt so will keep this one short and sweet as both teams find themselves above 20 in this contest helping us secure the over.

The Play: Over 46.5

Pittsburgh Steelers (3-7) at Indianapolis Colts (4-6-1)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/28

Line: Colts -2.5

O/U: 39

A thriller is slated for us on Monday night as two offensive powerhouses should combine for what is figured to be a great game. April fools. I’m playing the under here as we’ve seen the type of football that Indy wants to play under Jeff Saturday as they want to run the ball grind out the clock to put themselves in a position to win it late. I expect a heavy dose of Jonathan Taylor in this game and now that TJ Watt is back for Pittsburgh the elite defense is back as well. Both defenses are great and I expect the punters to be more involved than the field goal kickers in this one as they play ping pong back and forth throughout Monday night trying to pin the offenses deep in their own territory.

The Play: Under 39

TGIS Ten Piece -College Football Week 13

By: Nick Radivoj

Sad to say that we are finally at the close of what was a very exciting College Football regular season. We are entering Week 13 with Week 12 bringing us good fortune going 8-2 on the week to bring our season total to 64-54-2 (%54) on the year. We still have plenty of rivalry weekend action to get to so let’s not be sad for reaching the end but be grateful for the exciting games we still have.

Mississippi State (7-4) at #20 Ole Miss (8-3)

When: 7 PM on 11/24

Line: Ole Miss -2.5

Total: 59

A tradition unlike any other as rivalry weekend brings us The Egg Bowl on Thanksgiving night. Many people will be able to recall past Egg Bowls as they unwind from gorging their face with Thanksgiving food and I believe that this one will not disappoint. I think we are in for what could be counted as an upset come Thursday night with Mississippi State taking down Ole Miss to bring them their 4th loss of the season. Rumors have been swirling that Lane Kiffin could end up taking the Auburn job which could have this team thinking about things other than the game in front of them. I want to note that Lane came out to squash these rumors but I will still grab the points with the Bulldogs here as Mike Leach and his team enjoy a Thanksgiving feast on and off the field this year.

The Play: Mississippi State +2.5

#19 Tulane (9-2) at #24 Cincinnati (9-2)

When: 12 PM on 11/25

Line: Cincinnati -2

O/U: 46.5

An exciting game which will help determine who will represent the AAC next weekend in Championship weekend. The line is about right here so I find myself staying away from other side but rather look towards the total. The total is on the lower side bu still see some value here in the under as both teams have formidable defenses. Even after losing a bunch of defensive talent Cincy has looked the part on that side of the football but have shown to be shaky at best on the offensive side of the ball. Winner fails to reach 30 here as we head under the total.

The Play: Under 46.5

Florida (6-5) at #16 Florida State (8-3)

When: 7 PM on 11/25

Line: Florida State -9.5

O/U: 58

It’s been a shaky year thus far for Billy Napier in his first season as Florida’s Head Coach. I think the ups and downs continue here as they fall to in state rival Florida State by double digits. Florida State HC Mike Norvell seems to have gotten this team back on track and the program heading in the right direction that he’s looking for. Jordan Travis has been one of the best improvements in College Football this year and will look to end what could be his final season off right. Give me the Seminoles at home to take it to their in state counterpart.

The Play: Florida State -9.5

Georgia Tech (5-6) at #1 Georgia (11-0)

When: 12 PM on 11/26

Line: Georgia -35.5

O/U: 49

In what used to be a competitive Clean Old Fashioned Rivalry game has slowly turned into a lopsided matchup with Georgia controlling the series. Gerogai could find themselves sleep walking through this game with their eyes on the SEC Championship game for the week following. I will be playing the over this year in hopes that Georgia continuing to do what they do scoring over 40 in this matchup with Georgia Tech tacking on another 7-10 this year to the total. In no way, shape, or form will an upset happen this year but hopefully this rivalry game becomes more competitive over the next few years.

The Play: Over 49

#3 Michigan (11-0) at #2 Ohio State (11-0)

When: 12 PM on 11/26

Line: Ohio State -7.5

O/U: 57

One of the biggest games of the College Football season falls on the last week of the season with 2 Top 3 teams facing off to see who will represent in the Big Ten Championship game. With the collapse of Tennessee, both teams could veryw ell still find themselves in the College Football Playoff but will make that dream come true with a win here. Keep an eye out on the health of RB Blake Corum in this game because if he doesn’t play then I think Michigan won’t stay within the number here. I’m banking on Corum giving it a go. I will be garbbing the points here plus the hook as laying over a touchdown here is too much for me.

South Carolina (7-4) at #8 Clemson (10-1)

When: 12 PM on 11/26

Line: Clemson -14.5

O/U: 52

Spencer Rattler and the Gamecoks had one of their best games of the year last week taking down a Top 5 team in Tennessee and playing spoiler late in the season. Rattler threw for over 400 yards and 6 TDs in the contest as they won by multiple scores. Rattler needs to take the performance he had last week and double down here against in state rival Clemson which is why I’m taking the points with the underdog here. I believe South Carolina can keep this one within 2 TDs here as they’ve shown much improvement throughout the year. Clemson is not the Tigers of old as they don’t provide the offensive firepower they used to behind Trevor Lawrence. They are a much more ground and pound type offense which will help limit the amount of possessions down the stretch for both teams.

Auburn (5-6) at #7 Alabama (9-2)

When: 3:30 PM on 11/26

Line: Alabama -22

O/U: 49

Although battling for their 10th win of the season, it has ben a disappointing season for Alabama who had aspirations of winning it all this year. Their chances of the College Football Playoff are slim to none but still need to show up here to take down their instate rival. I would normally recommend grabbing the number here with Auburn as this game is most always a close one but landed on the under here instead. This Alabama offense has been shaky all throughout the year and don’t think that changes here with a mix up most likely around the corner on offense next year. I wouldn’t count Alabama out for long as they are sure to be back with revenge on their mind next year.

The Play: Under 49

#9 Oregon (9-2) at #21 Oregon State (8-3)

When: 3:30 PM on 11/26

Line: Oregon -3

O/U: 58

Oregon got back on track last weekend taking down Utah by 3. Their offense didn’t look as explosive as it had over the prior few months of football which is a concern here, but I still find myself laying the points with the Ducks. Oregon has slim hopes but if there is chaos in front of them they may still have a back door chance of making the College Football Playoff. With those slim chances aliv, they need to take care of the business in front of them which starts with their in state rival in Oregon State. Bo Nix has shown to be well equipped to win the big games for Oregon and needs to prove strong again to keep Oregon’s hopes alive.

The Play: Oregon -3

#15 Notre Dame (8-3) at #6 USC (10-1)

When: 7:30 PM on 11/26

Line: USC -5.5

O/U: 64.5

I believe win out and they are in is the story for this USC football team. It has been an exciting year on offense for the Trojans as Lincoln Riley along with transfer QB Caleb Williams have shown their explosion week in and week out.  Unfortunately for USC, Lincoln Riley brought his offense and his poor Big 12 defense along with him as USC has on eof the worst defenses from the teasm remaining in the Top 10. If USC ends up getting their name called for the College Football Playoff I think that the journey will be short lived as they won’t be able to hang with other Top teams with their defense the way it is. Given everything that has been said, I am taking the points here with Notre Dame as they will be able to do whatever they want on the offensive side of the ball and if their defense shows up here they are live to upset the Trojans and ruin any playoff aspirations.

The Play: Notre Dame +5.5

Kansas (6-5) at #12 Kansas State (8-3)

When: 7:30 PM on 11/26

Line: Kansas State -12

O/U: 62.5

I ended up easily on the over here as Kansas State has shown explosion on offense over the past few weeks. I strongly believe that Kansas State will score near 40 themselves and will be banking on Kansas to provide the rest for me to get to the window with this over ticket. Kansas State is looking to seal the deal here to punch their ticket to the Big 12 Championship so I don’t expect them to be caught sleeping here during rivalry weekend.

The Play: Over 62.5

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 12

OVERALL RECORD: 235-193-8 (54.9%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 64-54-7 (54.2%)

Coming down the final stretch and the battle to go above 55% continues. Last week TGIS was slightly over the 55% mark finishing 5-4-1. This week… we go undefeated. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 12 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

USC at UCLA +2.5 – 7:00pm

This is the best team USC has faced. There will be plenty of points scored, but I trust the UCLA defense a little bit more. The UCLA loss last week against Arizona was a fluke as the Wildcat’s quarterback Jayden De Lauria was making some very lucky hero ball plays. Things get back to normal with a UCLA win.

Game Pick: UCLA 45-41

Top Picks of the Week

#4 TCU at Baylor Over 57.5 – 11:00am

TCU scored 17 points and Baylor only scored 3 points last week, why in the world would I take the Over? Because things get back to normal with Blake Shapen moving this offense and TCU will be able to take advantage of a bad Baylor secondary. Over hits with ease.

Boston College +21 at Notre Dame – 1:30pm

Notre Dame has messed around with bad teams all year and I still don’t trust them to move the ball. 3 touchdowns is too many.

#1 Georgia -22.5 at Kentucky – 2:30pm

Have you seen Will Levis and the Kentucky offense play the last few weeks?

Miami at #10 Clemson UNDER 48.5 – 2:30pm

Miami can’t really score… and neither can Clemson. The under the key number of 48 is the play.

Texas at Kansas +10 –  2:30pm

Not sure if Jalon Daniels is going to play (game-time decision), but Kansas as a double digit dog at home against a Texas team that plays everyone close? Give me Kansas all day.

Iowa at Minnesota OVER 32 – 3:00pm

Defensive touchdowns exist… and Iowa has moved it (a little) better the last few weeks. 32 is the lowest point total I have ever seen so we are going over.

Georgia Tech +21 at North Carolina – 4:30pm

Another ACC team that plays everyone close, Georgia Tech covers the 3 touchdown spread.

Ole Miss -1.5 at Arkansas – 6:30pm

If KJ Jefferson doesn’t play, this line makes no sense. Arkansas can not move the ball with Malik Hornsby. Ole Miss wins comfortably.

Utah at Oregon OVER 60 – 9:30pm

Utah will be able to take advantage against a poor Oregon secondary. I know Bo Nix might not play, but I still think the Ducks can move the ball. Give me the over.

NFL Week 11 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

We are on to Week 11 of NFL action as we welcome back from bye the Bengals, Patriots, Jets, and Ravens. We wave farewell to the Dolphins, Seahawks, Buccaneers, and Jaguars for a week as they look to unwind with a nice drink on the beaches of Mexico. Week 10 brought us good fortune as we end up going 10-4 on the week bringing out season total to 78-69-4 (53%) on the year. Even though we are missing my Miami Dolphins for Week 11 there is still a lot of exciting action to be seen so let’s not waste any time tas we jump right in.

Tennessee Titans (6-3) at Green Bay Packers (4-6)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/17

Line: Packers -3

O/U: 41.5

I wouldn’t quite count out the Packers just yet as they have a chance to make a fun towards one of the Wildcard teams in a weak NFC. The defensive game plan should be simple here for Green Bay as they should load the box to stop Derrick Henry and force Ryan Tannehill to beat you downfield. I loved this line when it was Green Bay -1 but still feel as if the Packers will come out victorious here by 4 and get their season back on track. Green Bay will lean on their ground game here to keep a strong Tennessee defensive line at bay led by star Defensive Tackel Jeffrey Simmons. Simmons can turn just about any game plan upside down with his pressure coming from the inside but as long as Green Bay is able to establish the run and let Aaron Rodgers facilitate to his playmakers outside then this one should get us to the window.

The Play: Packers -3

Chicago Bears (3-7) at Atlanta Falcons (4-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Falcons -3

O/U: 50

The script has flipped for Chicago as they started the year off sluggish on offenser but have since found their groove scoring 28 or more in their last 4 games. Justin Fields has shown to be a threat with his legs as he’s able to break away from defenders in the open field with his blazing speed. I would normally play the over here given that Chicago has one of the worst defenses in the NFL but don’t think Atlanta’s offense has enough firepower to take advantage. I’m playing the Bears with the points here as I grab a key number of 3 looking towards Chicago to keep this one close with a field goal late deciding the winner.

The Play: Bears +3

Cleveland Browns (3-6) at Buffalo Bills (6-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Bills -8.5

O/U: 43.5

I would keep an eye out on the weather forecast in Western New York come Sunday afternoon as this total has already moved 3.5 points because of over 3 feet of snow predicted in the forecast. If the snow comes then that would point towards this game being controlled more on the ground than through the air which favors the Browns here who have one of the best rushing attacks in the NFL bolstered by RB Nick Chubb. Buffalo is built to play through the air utilizing on eof the best quarterbacks in the league in Josh Allen. Snow will surely have an ipact on the passing attack and with Buffalo’s rushing attack being one of the worst in the NFL that leads me to grabbing the points here with Cleveland. Note: Buffalo’s run offense isn’t strong on paper as they lean on Josh Allen and the passing game to do most of their work for them.

The Play: Browns +8.5

Philadelphia Eagles (8-1) at Indianapolis Colts (4-5-1)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Eagles -6.5

O/U: 45

Finally, Washington takes down the undefeated Eagles in Week 10 as the 1972 Miami Dolphins can pop their champagne as they are still the only undefeated team in NFL history. Washington ran the ball on the Eagles over 40 times Monday night owning the time of possession battle an dlimiting the amount of possessions Philadelphia’s explosive offense could have. Philly will still be without DT Jordan Davis in this one which is a big concern as their rushing defense greatly drops when they are without the rookie defensive lineman. I believe the Eagles win this one but Indy will follow the same recipe that Washington did on Monday night giving a heavy dose of Jonathan Taylor to this Eagles defense. Eagles get back in the win column but Interim HC Jeff Saturday is 2-0 against the spread.

The Play: Colts +6.5

New York Jets (6-3) at New England Patriots (5-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Patriots -3

O/U: 38.5

Both teams should be coming into this one well rested a they are coming off a Week 10 bye. This will be their second time playing this year with the first going New England’s way late in the second half. This game will depend mightily on the shoulders and mind of QB Zach Wilson. Wilson has been prone to costly turnovers over the course of his young career but if he is able to minimize those mistakes then New York should find themselves within the number here and even in the winners circle. Under is also a good play here with both defenses being strong but with it being difficult to beat teams twice in the NFL I ultimately land on grabbing the points with the road dog.

The Play: Jets +3

Los Angeles Rams (3-6) at New Orleans Saints (3-7)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Saints -4

O/U: 38.5

When you thought Los Angeles season couldn’t get any worse they are hit with new s of Coope rKupp heading to the IR for a minimum of 4 weeks. Ultimately, I expect Kupp to be shut down for the rest of the season because in 4 weeks time the Rams should be nearing elimination for the playoffs and shouldn’t risk further injury from their star WR. Luckily for the Rams, they should be getting their star QB back as Matthew Stafford is set to return from injury but is welcomed by an offense without his morning cup of coffee friend. New Orleans should be able to quiet a stagnant Rams offense throughout the afternoon and once the Saints get a lead behind their offensive weapons they will end up taking the air out of the football getting out of dodge with a win and an under victory. 2022 season is over for Los Angeles but they pushed all of their chips in to secure a Super Bowl last year so who really can complain.

The Play: Under 38.5

Detroit Lions (3-6) at New York Giants (7-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Giants -3

O/U: 46

The Play: Over 46

Carolina Panthers (3-7) at Baltimore Ravens (6-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Ravens -12

O/U: 43

The bye week came at a great time for Baltimore as they have been it with the injury bug an offense over the past few weeks. I expect Coach Harbaugh to have a good game plan to face off against poor Panthers team which is looking more into 2023 than this year. Carolina will look to establish the ground game and if Baltimore is successful in shutting that down then they should have a relatively easy afternoon making QB PJ Walker beat them through the air. I normally hate laying a spread this high but see value in a well rested Ravens team putting it to a bottom feeder team in the Panthers right now.

The Play: Ravens -12

Washington Commanders (5-5) at Houston Texans (1-7-1)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Commanders -3

O/U: 40.5

Commanders take down the once undefeated Eagles on Monday night football and now travel on the road to face a bad Houston team. Houston has one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL which should see a heavy dose of both Brian Robinson Jr and Antonio Gibson throughout the afternoon as Washington will look to get themselves above .500 and back in the playoff push. Washington rushed over 40 times against the Eagles and I expect more of the same here against Houston. Washington’s defense is vulnerable more through the air as opposed to the ground game as they have one of the better defensive lines in the league but I don’t see Davis Mills being able to take advantage of a skeptical Washington secondary.

The Play: Commanders -3

Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) at Denver Broncos (3-6)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/20

Line: Broncos -2.5

O/U: 41.5

I end up shocking myself here as I’m laying the points here with Denver as opposed to playing the under which I have grown accustomed to in Broncos games. I expect star DB Patrick Surtain to end up following WR Devante Adams over the course of the afternoon quieting Derek Carr’s favorite target. One of the main reasons I love the Broncos in this spot her is the home field advantage of the altitude. Denver is used to their altitude as they deal with it on a daily asis but road teams coming in get wiped out from the altitude and end up drained come 4th quarter which is when Denver will secure this win for us. Denver will be without WR Jerry Jeudy which isn’t great for an already shaky offense but I will put my faith in Russel Wilson to make enough plays late to get us to the window.

The Play: Broncos -2.5

Dallas Cowboys (6-3) at Minnesota Vikings (8-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/20

Line: Cowboys -1

O/U: 47.5

Trends are meant to be broken. A year ago Minnesota was victim to falling short in 1 score games but the script has flipped as they have dominated in that category so far thi season. They managed to escape out of Buffalo with a win after trailing by 3 scores late in the 3rd quarter. They have an exciting offense headlined by star WR Justin Jefferson who very well may have earned himself the title of best WR in the NFL. I’m looking forward to the matchup between Jefferson and star DB Trevon Diggs. Both teams are coming off overtime games last week which should lead to some exhaustion playing another 10 minutes of brutal football. Cowboys fell short to Green Baay last weekend but find themselves back in the win column as they take down  one of the top dogs in the NFC.

The Play: Cowboys -1

Cincinnati Bengals (5-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/20

Line: Bengals -5

O/U: 41

TJ Watt is back for Pittsburgh and seems like he hasn’t missed a beat helping the Steelers overcome New Orleans last week at home. Cincy will still be without star WR Ja’Marr Chase here as he is still recovering from an injury suffered a month earlier. I expect the Steelers defense to have a great impact on this game similarly to what they did to Joe Burrow and Cincy earlier in the season in Week 1. Even without Chase, Cincy has playmakers sprinkled throughout their offense which makes them difficult to stop but have shown to be stagnant at times. Under is also a good play here with Pittsburgh having a great defense combined with a relatively robust offense behind rookie QB Kenny Pickett. Pickett has shown flashes of excellence but quickly followed by rookie mistakes which makes it hard to back Pittsburgh’s offense. Cincy comes back to Ohio with a win but fail to cover.

The Play: Steelers +5

Kansas City Chiefs (7-2) at Los Angeles Chargers (5-4)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/20

Line: Chiefs -7.5

O/U: 50

We are getting close to having must win games for Los Angeles here soon as a loss here will bring the Bolts back down to .500 and in jeopardy of falling further in the standings. Both WR’s Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are practicing this week for Los Angeles and eyeing a return to action Sunday Night against Kansas City but another week of rest could be beneficial for both players with their given injuries. Similarly to last Sunday night, I will be grabbing the touchdown number here plsu the hook as I believe Justin Herbert and the Chargers keep this one within one score with the winner being decided late in the 4th quarter. Injuries have decimated this Chargers season thus far but with a win here they find themselves right back into the thick of it for the late season playoff push.

The Play: Chargers +7.5

San Francisco 49ers (5-4) at Arizona Cardinals (4-6)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/21 (Mexico)

Line: 49ers -8

O/U: 43.5

We had outside of the United States yet again as these NFC West rivals head down to Mexico city fo this contest. It’s looking like Arizona will be without their franchise QB yet agin as Kyler Murray looks to be sidelined with injury. I was planning on grabbing the points with the underdog if Kyler wound up playing aswe’ve seen this elite 49ers defense to struggle some against QBs who can make plays with their legs and go off script. Ultimately, I landed on the under here as 49ers should be able to hush Arizona’s offense with a backup QB at the helm. With not a lot of threat in a shootout I expect 49ers to run the ball while on offense to kill clock and shorten the game quickly behind the use of Christian Mccaffrey and Elijah Mitchell. Mexico unfortunately gets a snooze fest as we find ourselves with an under ticket in hand.

The Play: Cardinals +8

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 11

OVERALL RECORD: 230-189-7 (54.9%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 59-50-6 (54.1%)

It is hard to win bets later in the year. Vegas has pinpointed these teams and lines where finding variance is tough. The last two weeks TGIS has finished 5-5…. we will find the advantage this week though. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 11 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#4 TCU +7.5 at #18 Texas – 6:30pm

The ultimate battle of two opposite teams. Texas starts fast and blows leads. TCU starts slow and comes back. We love TCU to backdoor cover this.

Pick: Texas 34-31

Top Picks of the Week

East Carolina +5.5 at Cincinnati – Friday 7:00pm

East Carolina beat UCF by 21 and is a legitimate team with Holton Ahlers at QB. Meanwhile, we have been fading Cincinnati all year. I like the moneyline sprinkle here too… ECU easy money.

Colorado +34.5 at #9 USC – Friday 8:30pm

Way too many points for this bad USC defense. I know Colorado is bad, but even they can score on USC.

#7 LSU -3 at Arkansas – Saturday 11:00am

LSU is coming off a huge win against Alabama. Arkansas is coming off a terrible loss to Liberty. I don’t understand how the line is only 3 points… LSU is the pick here.

#6 Alabama -11.5 at #11 Ole Miss – 2:30pm

The Ole Miss defense is totally banged up. Expect a similar result of the Mississippi State game after the Tennessee loss.

Wisconsin at Iowa Under 36 – 2:30pm

Neither offense will be able to score on the opposing defense. Expect a defensive battle and low scoring game.

#22 UCF at #16 Tulane -1.5 – 2:30pm

Not sure if John Rhys Plumlee or Mickey Keene is starting at QB for UCF. Doesn’t matter, I like Tulane’s defense against both of them.

#3 Georgia -16.5 at Mississippi State – 6:00pm

Kirby Smart and Nick Saban both have the formula to play defense against Mike Leach. Expect a blowout.

#15 North Carolina at Wake Forest -3.5 – 6:30pm

North Carolina allowed Virginia to score 28 points… Wake Forest might score a million.

Florida State -6.5 at Syracuse – 7:00pm

This Syracuse team is reeling after losing their starting quarterback and their best defensive player. Seminoles in a blowout.