By: Nick Radivoj

I went back to the drawing board this week as I’ve hit a slump in NFL action going 5-10 last week bringing the season total to 96-95-4. I’m barely hovering above .500 but still losing action with the juice so let’s get back on track here. Only 13 games of NFL action this weekend as we ewave goodbye to the Falcons, Bears, Packers, Colts, Saints, and Commanders this weekend. Let’s get ourselves healthily back over .500 with a winning Week 14.

Las Vegas Raiders (5-7) at Los Angeles Rams (3-9)

When: 8:15 PM on 12/8

Line: Raiders -6

O/U: 44

Raiders have found their groove as of late utilizing their outside threat in Devante Adams and then bruising between the tackles with Josh Jacobs. Jacobs has looked like a man running wild as he’s trying to get paid this offseason either by the Raiders or someone else. Meanwhile, Rams look like a far different team from last years Super Bowl winner as they are missing a plethora of key options on both sides of the ball. If you are playing a side the best route to go is more than likely laying the points with Vegas but I’m playing the over in this game. Raiders should be able to score on the Rams causing them to play catchup early and often. Mcvay is still regarded as one of the best offensive minds in football so we will lean on him to get us 20 points here.

The Play: Over 44

New York Jets (7-5) at Buffalo Bills (9-3)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Bills -9.5

O/U: 44

The Mike White experiment continues as he will enter his 3^rd game as the starting QB for New York. The test doesn’t get easy as he gets ready to go up against the #1 seed in the AFC in Buffalo. New York was able to upset Buffalo last time utilizing a good blend between their round game and outside weapns and I can see tha thapening again in this spot. Buffalo hasn’t looked like themselves lately and if rookie DB sensation Sauce Gardner can slow down Stefon Diggs throughout the afternoon then they should have a chance here to upset them again. I’m grabbing the points here with New York as it’s just too many in a divional matchup with playoff implications on the line.

The Play: Jets +9.5

Cleveland Browns (5-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (8-4)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Bengals -6

O/U: 47

Deshaun Watson is back in action with 1 win under his belt. It had been almost 2 years since Watson played in an NFL game and it showed on Sunday against the Texans either skipping balls to wide receivers or being wide of the mark. I expect some of that rust to continue to knock off as he gets ready for a divional matchup against Joe Burrow and the Bengals. Cincinnati will have revenge on their minds as they got blown out on Monday Night Football previously to this Browns team before Watson. I’m playing over as I believe this one has the looks of a shootout with a star-studded matchup headlined by Burrow and Watson. I expect big games from both wide receivers on opposite sides of the field in Ja’Marr Chase and Amari Cooper.

The Play: Over 47

Houston Texans (1-10-1) at Dallas Cowboys (9-3)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Cowboys -16.5

O/U: 45.5

With a line this large I don’t normally do this but I’m laying the ponts here with Dallas. Dallas is the superior team in this contest and should win easily by multiple scores. I expect Dallas’ defense to have a field day like they did on Sunday Night Football against the Colts and set up their offense with scoring opportunities deep in Houston territory. Dallas HC Mike McCarthy has seemed more than fine to run up scores against opposing teams throwing the ball late in contests that have already been secured as a win. Houston will continue their quest for the #1 pick in next years NFL Draft as they don’t have the players yet to compete in these types of games.

The Play: Cowboys -16.5

Minnesota Vikings (10-2) at Detroit Lions (5-7)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Vikings -2.5

O/U: 53

This should be one of the more exciting games of the weekend with an NFC North divisional matchup as the Lions try to get back in the NFC playoff hunt. Detroit has had one of the most explosive offenses all throughout the year and I don’t see that stopping now as Minnesota’s secondary looked susceptible to big plays downfield last week against the Jets. I expect the total to be spot on as it has one of the highest totals of the year and I still expect it to go over as a shootout is in order in Minneosta. Detroit contains explosive options in St. Brown and Swift but have now welcomed back first round WR Jameson Williams who has been ramping up and should add more excitement to this Lions offense. Minnesota will go toe to toe with Detroit behind their weapons in Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson.

The Play: Over 53

Jacksonville Jaguars (4-8) at Tennessee Titans (7-5)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Titans -3.5

O/U: 41.5

Not in love this play as Tennessee is coming off a bye but I’m grabbing the number with Jacksonville on the road. I don’t expect rookie WR Treylon Burks to be active in this game as he recovers from a concussion. Without Treylon this Titans wide receiver room isn’t scary at all which should lead to the Jaguars loading up the box to try and stop RB Derrick Henry. If the Jaguars are able to limit Henry over the course of the afternoon then I have confidence in them to not only cover but upset the Titans. The Jaguars won’t be able to run the ball on Tennessee as they have one of the best defensive lines in football so this game will depend heavily on the shoulder of Trevor Lawrence. If Lawrence is able to play like the #1 pick he is then this underdog is live to steal one on the road.

The Play: Jaguars +3.5

Philadelphia Eagles (11-1) at New York Giants (7-4-1)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Eagles -7

O/U: 45.5

It is finally time to stop fading the Eagles as they have proven time and time again to doinate opponents. Jalen Hurts showed off his passing capabilities last week as him and AJ Brown threw up some revenge stats last weekend against Tennessee. Tennessee was able to minimize the ground game from Philly but that didn’t matter over the afternoon with Hurts’ breakout this year. Staying away from the line, I’m playing the under in this game as I expect a tough divisional match up with plenty of runs coming from both sides. Saquon Barkley will be heavily leaned on again as New York doesn’t have many of outside weapons to depend on. Defensive lines will be stout in this one as we are able to take an under ticket to the window.

The Play: Under 45.5

Baltimore Ravens (8-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-7)

When: 1 PM on 12/11

Line: Steelers -2.5

O/U: 37

Easiest one of the weekend as I grab the ponts with the Ravens here. Lamar Jackson will be out but backup QB Tyler Huntley has proven that he can come in and give Baltimore great spot starts to keep them afloat as they wait for Lamar to come back from injury. I expect Baltimore’s defense to shut down this Pittsburgh offense as Huntley will be able to do enough to not only cover but win this game for a tight AFC North between Baltimore and Cincinnati.

The Play: Ravens +2.5

Kansas City Chiefs (9-3) at Denver Broncos (3-9)

When: 4:05 PM on 12/11

Line: Chiefs -9

O/U: 43

Kansas City is coming off 2 losses last weekend as they lost to Cincinnati for a 3^rd straight time and also lost the #1 seed in the AFC. I expect a major bounce back from this Chiefs team as they line up against a Denver team with minimal offensive explosion. Denver has a phenomenal defense but going up against Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes is a tall task to keep them in this game. I expect Kansas City to come out swinging to get the team back on track. Kansas City wins by multiple scores here as Denver shows again an inability to consistently move the ball over the course of 4 quarters.

The Play: Chiefs -9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6) at San Francisco 49ers (8-4)

When: 4:25 PM on 12/11

Line: 49ers -3.5

O/U: 37.5

Under is the play and should be a relatively easy one. 49ers will be without their QB Jimmy G for an extended amount of time and will be rolling with rookie QB Brock Purdy. Brock looked decent in his action against the Dolphins coming in after Jimmy’s injury but he was still the last pick in last year’s draft for a reason. I expect Kyle Shanahan to have an excellent game plan for the young QB to get the ball out quick to their playmakers outside. The reason under is such a tasty play is that this San Francisco defense should lock down a underwhelming Tampa Bay offense. With their starting QB out, San Francisco will lean even more on their top defensive unit to keep games close for them if the offense hits a wall.

The Play: Under 37.5

Carolina Panthers (4-8) at Seattle Seahawks (7-5)

When: 4:25 PM on 12/11

Line: Seahawks -3.5

O/U: 43.5

Carolina is coming off their bye and travelling across a few timezones to face off against Seattle in this contest. I normally fade teams travelling across timezones but think it’s not as big of a problem in this game as Carolina should be well rested off their bye. I would have grabbed the points with Carolina earlier in the week as they were originally given 6 points but that was quickly bought down to the number we currently have at 3.5. Since we missed the value with the line we will instead play the over as we’ve seen over the past few weeks that Seattle’s defense is a tad fraudulent from what they have showed earlier this season. I expect Carolina to have some success of their own on offense and Seattle to do what they have been throughout this year with their outside weapons in DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.

The Play: Over 43.5

Miami Dolphins (8-4) at Los Angeles Chargers (6-6)

When: 8:20 PM on 12/11

Line: Dolphins -3

O/U: 50.5

Miami is facing adversity as they suffered their first loss in what seems like a long time. Luckily, they should be welcoming back their starting LT Terron Armstead in this matchup which should help Tua have a clearner pocket to throw the ball to his outside weapons in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. I’m expecting a big day from the speedy duo as Los Angeles has been susceptible to big plays on the outside and in the run game. I’m laying the points here with Miami but playng the over could also be a safer play as the Chargers are playing for the playoff lives. Los Angeles has fallen back to .500 and with a loss here will face an uphill climb to make the playoffs so I expect Brandon Staley to be full throttle in this game to get the Chargers in the win column. Justin Herbert should be able to take advantage of a weak Miami secondary if he has enough time to get the ball out to his playmakers. I’m laying th epoins with the road warriors but this is sure to be one of the best games of Week 14.

The Play: Dolphins -3

New England Patriots (6-6) at Arizona Cardinals (4-8)

When: 8:15 PM on 12/12

Line: Patriots -1

O/U: 44

After an exciting Sunday Night Football matchup we are welcomed by a relatively unexciting Monday night matchup. I expect an offense revitalized in New England as it seems the QB Mac Jones and several others have been calling out the playcalling and inability to score. With that, I will be playing the over as I believe New England gets their offense back on track and the Cardinals to have a good offensive game plan ready as they come off their bye. I expect Arizona to be able to stretch the Patriots out wide and downfield with Deandre Hopkins and Hollywood Brown.

The Play: Over 44

By: Nick Radivoj

Week 13 is here as we wave goodbye to the Cardinals and Panthers for one week as they enjoy their Winter Break hopefully on a beach somewhere. The ball did not bounce our way Week 12 as we ended up going 7-9 bringing our season total to 91-54-4 (51.7%) on the year. A lot of great NFL action ahead of us with several opportunities to take advantage of value plays so let’s not waste any time as we dive right in to Week 13.

Buffalo Bills (8-3) at New England Patriots (6-5)

When: 8:15 PM on 12/1

Line: Bills -5

O/U: 43.5

An exciting AFC East divisional matchup is set for a Thursday Night Football matchup between a team fighting for the #1 seed and a team fighting to get into the big dance. I’m grabbing the number here with the Patriots at home as they will need to throw the kitchen sink at the Bills in order to get an upset. Buffalo has looked more vulnerable over the past month of football and I expect New England to give a heavy dose of Rhomandre Stevenson throughout the night. I believe over is a good play here as well as New England’s defense looks more human after Minnesota’s offensive explosion against them on Thanksgiving night.

The Play: Patriots +5

Pittsburgh Steelers (4-7) at Atlanta Falcons (5-7)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Steelers -1

O/U: 43

I will be laying the points here with the road team as Pittsburgh gets hot coming off a MNF win against Indy. Pittsburgh has too many offensive weapons for Atlanta to quiet down all afternoon which will lead to the Steelers soaring over 20 points. TJ Watt is back and so is a scary defense in Pittsburgh as the whole nature of the defense is different with him in the lineup. I expect heavy pressure all day on Marcus Mariota and potentially a few turnovers which will account for some easy scores for Kenny Pickett.

The Play: Steelers -1

Green Bay Packers (4-8) at Chicago Bears (3-9)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Packers -3

O/U: 42.5

Aaron Rodgers or Jordan Love? Either way no problem. Chicago has a bottom tier defense which Green Bay should be able to capitalize on. I believe that Justin Fields may not be back for this game either as there is no need to rush him back from injury with nothing to play for down the stretch here. Chicago is already down their top receiving option in Darnell Mooney who suffered a season ending ankle injury so adding a long term Fields’ injury on top of that by rushing him back wouldn’t be great news for a young Chicago team. If Fields does end up playing I love this play a little less but still feel that Green Bay will come out victorious in either outcome.

The Play: Packers -3

Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7) at Detroit Lions (4-7)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Lions -1

O/U: 51.5

Not many times you can find me suggesting a Detroit Lions under and you won’t find it here either. Detroit’s defense has been better as of late but if Trevor Lawrence is build off his last game throwing over 300 yards and 3 touchdowns last week then I feel good. Detroit will provide what we have seen most all season on offense which is explosion from an exciting and unique offense. Be on the lookout for redzone to jump over to this game a lot throughout the afternoon as a shootout should be in store for these two young teams.

The Play: Over 51.5

New York Jets (7-4) at Minnesota Vikings (9-2)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Vikings -3

O/U: 45.5

Under is the play here as New York has shown to have a top defense in the NFL which should be up for the task in slowing down Justin Jefferson and this Minnesota explosive offense. I don’t expect Mike White’s offensive output to continue as he was able to go up against a bottom tier defense I Chicago last week. Minnesota is different than Chicago both in terms of talent on defense and location. Location may seem like a weird thing to lock in on but Minnesota has one of the best home field advantages in football which should throw some confusion at a relatively young New York offense.

The Play: Under 45.5

Washington Commanders (7-5) at New York Giants (7-4)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Commanders -2.5

O/U: 40.5

NFC East divisional match up which could go a long way in determining who ends up making the playoffs later in the season. New York has the injury bug at wide receiver as they will be without 3 of their top options on the outside. New York’s biggest threat on offense is their star RB in Saquon Barkley which is surprisingly good news for Washington. Washington has one of the best defensive lines in football which should be up for the task in slowing down New York. Meanwhile, Washington has a nice plethora of weapons on the outside to attack New York deep and expose their outside corners. If it wasn’t obvious enough already I will be laying the points with the road team here.

The Play: Commanders -2.5

Tennessee Titans (7-4) at Philadelphia Eagles (10-1)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Eagles -5.5

O/U: 44.5

Philadelphia has one of the best records in football but has shown some vulnerability over the past few weeks of football. Ever since Jordan Davis went down with injury Philly’s run defense has been susceptible against both Washington and Green Bay over the past couple of weeks. I expect a heavy dose of Derrick Henry in this contest and the Titans try to control the clock and the game. Philly is a run first type of team and Tennessee has a very stout defensive line which should be up for the task here led by Jeffrey Simmons. If this doesn’t get ugly fast I have confidence in Tennessee to keep this one within the number. If Philly jumps out to a big lead all bets are off if Ryan Tannehill has to play catch up.

The Play: Titans +5.5

Denver Broncos (3-8) at Baltimore Ravens (7-4)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Ravens -8

O/U: 38.5

I have flipped multiple times in this contest as I originally laid the points with Baltimore then came back to potentially play the under. Ultimately, I land on the home team laying the points here as Baltimore wins by double digits. My biggest fear in this match up is that Baltimore will have a double digit lead late as each of their losses have come at the hands of losing a double digit lead late. Luckily, Baltimore will be tasked with stopping one of the worst defenses in the NFL in Denver. Denver is unable to string together plays for long drives and don’t have explosion o offense to score in 1 play. Baltimore should be able to control the ground game similarly to how Carolina did last week against Denver at home. Lamar and company earn their 8^th win of the season as Denver falls yet again.

The Play: Ravens -8

Cleveland Browns (4-7) at Houston Texans (1-9-1)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Browns -7

O/U: 47

11 week suspension is up and Deshaun Watson is officially cleared to play again in the NFL. I’m excited to see how this game pans out as Watson returns to Houston where he spent every year of his career so far. I expect a blow out from Cleveland here as they will be too much to handle for Houston both offensively and defensively. Kyle Allen started for Houston last week and looked rather lost out there as Miai was able to pressure Allen all throughout the afternoon. I expect Myles Garrett to have the same kind of impact in this one as turnovers should be in order for this Cleveland defense.

The Play: Browns -7

Seattle Seahawks (6-5) at Los Angeles Rams (3-8)

When: 4:05 PM on 12/4

Line: Seahawks -8

O/U: 41.5

This will be short and sweet as I lay the points with Seattle on the road. The amount of players not playing for Los Angeles will be too much to overcome as they will be without Cooper Kupp, Allen Robinson, a majority of their offensive line starters, Matthew Stafford, and Aaron Donald in this one. Seattle has dropped 2 straight as they became the hunted as opposed to the hunter and need to establish that they are a team to be feared going into their late season push.

The Play: Seahawks -8

Miami Dolphins (8-3) at San Francisco 49ers (47-4)

When: 4:05 PM on 12/4

Line: 49ers -3.5

O/U: 46.5

The apprentice meets the master in this one as former OC for the 49esrs Mike McDaniel comes back to California to upset the home favorites. Unfortunately, Miami will be without one of their prized offseason acquisitions in Terron Armstead. This is a rather big loss as Armstead has been one of the best OTs in football when playing this year. Without him, I expect constant pressure coming from the left side as Nick Bosa will be challenging to block single handed. Double teams are sure to be in order all afternoon for Mr. Bosa. I expect Miami to stay away from the run game and attack San Francisco through the air with their speed demons they have on the outside. 49ers on offense will be able to attack Miami through the air as well as Miami has had difficulty stopping tight ends this year. I expect a big game from George Kittle and Miami’s top WR’s as this one goes flying over the total.

The Play: Over 46.5

Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (7-4)

When: 4:25 PM on 12/4

Line: Chiefs –2.5

O/U: 52.5

A rather easy one here for me as Kansas City looks for their redemption from last year as they dropped 2 pivotal games against Cincinnati last year. If Kansas City loses this game not only does their confidence shake in terms of beating Cincy but they will have lost the #1 seed in the playoffs with 5 games left to play if Buffalo beats New England on Thursday night. Andy Reid will have the team up and ready to play for this one with an improved defense to help stop Joe Burrow and company.  If you would rather stick away from a side then the over would be a fun and exciting way to keep in touch with what’s happening in this one.

The Play: Chiefs -2.5

Los Angeles Chargers (6-5) at Las Vegas Raiders (4-7)

When: 4:25 PM on 12/4

Line: Chargers -2

O/U: 50.5

Most of me wanted to lay the points here with Justin Herbert and the Chargers but I ultimately land on the over. I believe Josh Jacobs will have a field day against Los Angeles run defense as long as he comes into the game healthy. Las Vegas can pair their ground game nicely with Devante Adams outside to put up north of 20 points in this one. Meanwhile, Chargers will be able to move the ball on Las Vegas’ defense as Seattle easily threw up over 30 last weekend. Justin Herbert throws for 3 touchdowns again and continue their playoff push.

The Play: Over 50.5

Indianapolis Colts (4-7-1) at Dallas Cowboys (8-3)

When: 8:20 PM on 12/4

Line: Cowboys -11

O/U: 44

Dallas has looked every bit the part of a Super Bowl contender throughout this year. They have a top defense behind young players like Micah Parsons and Trevon Diggs. When Dallas’ offense gets clicking with the weapons they have paired with their defense they will be a tough out late in the season as playoffs game around. I expect Dallas’ defense to shut down what little offense Indy has and for Dallas to build up a lead to take the air out of the ball in the second half. Dallas reaches the 20 point threshold but their top defense quiets Indy to under 17 as we land an under win.

The Play: Under 44

New Orleans Saints (4-8) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6)

When: 8:15 PM on 12/5

Line: Buccaneers -3.5

O/U: 40

Both offenses have looked rather pedestrian over the past month or so of football but we stand here on Monday Night Football to play the over. These 2 teams know each other and know what the other is best at. New Orleans won’t waste their time trying to run the ball against Tampa and will air the ball out to attack the weakest part of their defense being their back end. Meanwhile, Tampa has found a better compliment of the run and pass game as of late and depending on which New Orleans defense shows up they could have their way on offense with their top weapons outside.

The Play: Over 40

By: Nick Radivoj

We are on to Week 12 action as we welcome back the Buccaneers, Dolphins, Jaguars, and Seahawks from bye. Week 11 ended up being a wash of a weekend as we ended up 6-7-1 on the weekend bringing our season total to 84-76-5 (52.5%) on the year. We have no one on bye this week as everyone will be joining in on the Thanksgiving festivities. 16 games of action to get to with little time to waste so let’s dive right in!

Buffalo Bills (7-3) at Detroit Lions (4-6)

When: 12:30 PM on 11/24

Line: Bills -9

O/U: 54

Start your Thanksgiving off right laying the points here with the Buffalo Bills. Buffalo shouldn’t be strained too much on the offensive end as I’m expecting north of 30 this Turkey day from the team in Western New York. Detroit’s defense has been better as of late but should get exposed here by a Buffalo team with a Top 5 offense in the NFL behind Josh Allen. Detroit has displayed their offensive capabilities throughout the season but I expect a Leslie Frazier led defense to pull together a few stops in time for Buffalo to build upon a 2 or even 3 score lead. I would make sure to fill up your Thanksgiving plate to kick back and watch what should be a high scoring game for the first of 3 NFL Thanksgving games.

The Play: Bills -9

New York Giants (7-3) at Dallas Cowboys (7-3)

When: 4:30 PM on 11/24

Line: Cowboys -9

O/U: 44.5

Enjoy America’s team with a big plate of Turkey and sides as the Thanksgiving meals should be underway by the team this game gets underway. Unfortunately, I will be playing under in this game as I expect Dallas to run away and hide in this game as New York lost yet another offensive weapon in Wandale Robinson last week. Dallas will focus in on elite RB Saquon Barkley but after that don’t face many threats with this New York team. Although I’m playing the under I would even recommend laying the points here with Dallas as I think their combination of offensive skill players with an exciting defense will be too much for New York to overcome.

The Play: Under 44.5

New England Patriots (6-4) at Minnesota Vikings (8-2)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/24

Line: Vikings -2.5

O/U: 42.5

I originally leaned towards laying the points with the home team here in the final of 3 tNFL Thanksgiving games but landed on under instead. Under is the play because New England has a snail’s pace of an offense but combined with a top defense along with defensive mind should equal a quiet afternoon for this Vikings team that was just stifled by Dallas all afternoon to the tune of a 40-3 loss. New England will have a plan to double or even triple star WR Justin Jeffersson all afternoon and with the health of LT Christian Darrisaw up in the air could lean to a long day for Kirk Cousins. New England should be able to score a few touchdowns on offense as opposed to last week here but still any drive they do have resulting in points will surely bleed the clock dry.

The Play: Under 42.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-5) at Cleveland Browns (3-7)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Buccaneers -3

O/U: 42.5

Buccaneers come off their week of rest to head on the road to face Jacoby Brissett for the final time this season as Deshaun Watson’s suspension is set to be over following this game. I lean on laying the points here with the road team as it appears that the offense has found their stride over the past game showing a more well rounded rushing attack to pair with their passing game. Tampa is more vulnerable through the air on defense versus the ground game which Cleveland will attempt to establish over the course of the afternoon through Nick Chubb. Chubb will be welcomed by a brick wall of Buccaneers having no fun over the course of the afternoon. Bucs win again as they strengthen their hold on a weak NFC South.

The Play: Buccaneers -2.5

Cincinnati Bengals (6-4) at Tennessee Titans (7-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Bengals -1.5

O/U: 42.5

A rematch of the AFC Divisional round from last year is set to go underway Sunday in Tennessee as the Titans are looking for redemption from last years late game collapse. Ryan Tannehill will be looking for redemption himself as his multiple interceptions last year were a leading cause of Tennessee falling to Cincy in last years playoff run. Tennessee should still own the point of attack with their talented defensive line but I believe Cincy will be able to take advantage of Tennessee’s secondary throughout the afternoon. Keep an eye out on Ja’Marr Chase as he is set to return to practice this week and could end up playin gin this game as well. Cincy’s defense is a far cry away from what they shouwed on their playoff run last year giving up 30 to a quiet Steelers’ offense last week. I’m excited to watch this game to see who ends up victorious as I will be staying off either side but playing the over as Tennessee’s offense has something to prove.

The Play: Over 42.5

Houston Texans (1-8-1) at Miami Dolphins (7-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Dolphins -13

O/U: 46

Miami comes off their week of rest to welcome in a Houston team with only 1 win on the year. I originally started breaking down this game aiming towards taking the over here but the more and more I talked about Miami’s offense against Houston’s defense I found myself laying the points with the home team. I figured Miami’s explosive offense will easily find themselves swimming north of 30 and unless Houston starts to show some explosion on offense that we haven’t seen all year then Miami should win here by multiple scores. Miami scores over 30 while Houston doesn’t cross through the “teens”.

The Play: Dolphins -13

Chicago Bears (3-8) at New York Jets (6-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Jets -4.5

O/U: 41

The squeaky wheel gets the grease and I think that is what will happen here for the New York Jets. Zach Wilson is coming off one of his worst performances as a professional QB and will look to bounce back against Chicago who has one of the worst defenses in the NFL. New York has shown that they have a top tier defense and needs an offense capable to score points to both keep them in games and win them late as they fell 10-3 last week to the Patriots with a touchdown coming late in the contest via special teams for New England. I think this could be one of Zach Wilson’s last games as a starter if he doesn’t come out looking great. Note: keep an eye out on the health of Justin Fields as he currently has a sprained shoulder and could be sitting out this game to recover.

The Play: Jets -4.5

Atlanta Falcons (5-6) at Washington Commanders (6-5)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Commanders -4

O/U: 42

Washington has been on a roll as of late and I think that trend continues as they take down the Falcons at home. What leads me to the Commanders here is the fact that they will be without one of their top receiving options in TE Kyle Pitts as he found his way on injured reserve. Atlanta is already a team that doesn’t pass the ball well and without Pitts they don’t look scary on that front. Washington has one of the best defensive lines in football and has been stifling rushing offenses for a better part of this season and should quiet Atlanta’s rushing attack throughout the afternoon. With all of the weapons they have on offense, Washington should find themselves with scoring opportunities against Atlanta while finding themselves now 2 games above .500.

The Play: Commanders -4

Denver Broncos (3-7) at Carolina Panthers (3-8)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Broncos -2.5

O/U: 36

Here is the game I hope to not have anywhere on my screen over the course of Sunday afternoon. I will keep this one short and simple as I will laythe points again here with Denver (they can’t let me down every week can they). It seems as if the playcalling duties have switched hands in Denver and that possibly can change the fortune of their offense going forward. I trust Denver’s defense to hush whatever Carolina has to offer and as long as Denver’s offense can put up a mere 17 they should find themselves with a win and the cover.

The Play: Broncos -2.5

Baltimore Ravens (7-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-7)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Ravens -4

O/U: 43.5

Baltimore’s offense has seemed to have lost their way as the explosion we saw at the beginning of the season has been nowhere to be found as of late. Jacksonville comes back from a week of bye rest to welcome in Baltimore. I was originally slated to take the under here in this game but landed on taking the points with the home underdog. I think Coach Doug Pederson will have a good game plan designed to pick apart at Baltimore’s weaknesses. Jacksonville has shown to be a better team than last year but unable to close games late which is perfect as I grab 4 points. Baltimore ultimately wins this game late with a Justin Tucker field goal helping them win on the road but helping us get to the window with the underdog.

The Play: Jaguars +4

Los Angeles Chargers (5-5) at Arizona Cardinals (4-7)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/27

Line: Chargers -4.5

O/U: 47.5

Chargers offense seems to have found their stride with the return of Keenan Allen and breakout of WR Josh Palmer on Sunday night against Kansas City. Justin Herbert will be leaned on heavily down the stretch run for Los angeles as they try to make a playoff push. Chargers defense has shown to be shaky at best over the course of the season being decimated by injuries. I wish I could throw a disclaimer on this play with the health of Kyler Murray still in question but feel confident on this over total if the franchise QB is able to suit up in this ocontest.

The Play: Over 47.5

Las Vegas Raiders (3-7) at Seattle Seahawks (6-4)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/27

Line: Seahawks -3.5

O/U: 47.5

Seattle welcomes in in Las Vegas after having a week of rest to prepare for this game coming off their bye week. I believe Seattle will be up and ready for this game which is why I will lay the points. Seattle’s defense has been a nice surprise as they have found some late gems in the draft to bolster their back end of their defense, but the main reason I find myself laying the points here is because of their offense. I believe in Geno Smith and the numerous weapons he has on the outside paired with the breakout of RB Kenneth Walker will be too much for this Vegas team to stop. The line ends up just right as the Seahawks win by 4 late in the second half.

The Play: Seahawks -3.5

Los Angeles Rams (3-7) at Kansas City Chiefs (8-2)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/27

Line: Chiefs -14.5

O/U: 44

What looked like once a great game on paper prior to the start of the season now looks like an overwhelming game with Chiefs slotted to win big. Rather than laying the points with the Chiefs I will be playing the under as I figure that Kansas City will be up quick and rather than run up the score they will burn clock over the course of Sunday afternoon and get out of dodge under the total. I don’t expect a lot from Los Angeles on offense as they are without their best offesnvie weapon still in Cooper Kupp and are slated to be without starting QB Matthew Stafford yet again. Not a whole lot to break down on offense for the Rams here as this one shouldn’t be close.

The Play: Under 44

New Orleans Saints (4-7) at San Francisco 49ers (6-4)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/27

Line: 49ers -9

O/U: 43

It looks as if the 49ers have finally figured I tout on offense as they put up 38 points on Monday night in Mexico against their division rival Arizona Cardinals. I expect more of the same here for San Francisco as they should find themselves close to 30 again if not over and with a New Orleans team who isn’t afraid to throw the ball deep they should help us get over the total in this one. My only fear in this game is that an elite San Francisco defense shows up yet again and quiets New Orleans to under 14 points which will find us under the total, but ultimately believe that garbage time will be our friend.

The Play: Over 43

Green Bay Packers (4-7) at Philadelphia Eagles (9-1)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/27

Line: Eagles -7

O/U: 46.5

One of the hardest games of the weekend to break down as the line and total seem right on point. I finally landed on playing the over as Philly will get their offense back on track with Aaron Rodgers trying to play hero ball late. Not in love with this play at all as I can also see how this one goes comfortably under the total here. The more I continue to think the more I continue to doubt so will keep this one short and sweet as both teams find themselves above 20 in this contest helping us secure the over.

The Play: Over 46.5

Pittsburgh Steelers (3-7) at Indianapolis Colts (4-6-1)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/28

Line: Colts -2.5

O/U: 39

A thriller is slated for us on Monday night as two offensive powerhouses should combine for what is figured to be a great game. April fools. I’m playing the under here as we’ve seen the type of football that Indy wants to play under Jeff Saturday as they want to run the ball grind out the clock to put themselves in a position to win it late. I expect a heavy dose of Jonathan Taylor in this game and now that TJ Watt is back for Pittsburgh the elite defense is back as well. Both defenses are great and I expect the punters to be more involved than the field goal kickers in this one as they play ping pong back and forth throughout Monday night trying to pin the offenses deep in their own territory.

The Play: Under 39

By: Nick Radivoj

We are on to Week 11 of NFL action as we welcome back from bye the Bengals, Patriots, Jets, and Ravens. We wave farewell to the Dolphins, Seahawks, Buccaneers, and Jaguars for a week as they look to unwind with a nice drink on the beaches of Mexico. Week 10 brought us good fortune as we end up going 10-4 on the week bringing out season total to 78-69-4 (53%) on the year. Even though we are missing my Miami Dolphins for Week 11 there is still a lot of exciting action to be seen so let’s not waste any time tas we jump right in.

Tennessee Titans (6-3) at Green Bay Packers (4-6)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/17

Line: Packers -3

O/U: 41.5

I wouldn’t quite count out the Packers just yet as they have a chance to make a fun towards one of the Wildcard teams in a weak NFC. The defensive game plan should be simple here for Green Bay as they should load the box to stop Derrick Henry and force Ryan Tannehill to beat you downfield. I loved this line when it was Green Bay -1 but still feel as if the Packers will come out victorious here by 4 and get their season back on track. Green Bay will lean on their ground game here to keep a strong Tennessee defensive line at bay led by star Defensive Tackel Jeffrey Simmons. Simmons can turn just about any game plan upside down with his pressure coming from the inside but as long as Green Bay is able to establish the run and let Aaron Rodgers facilitate to his playmakers outside then this one should get us to the window.

The Play: Packers -3

Chicago Bears (3-7) at Atlanta Falcons (4-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Falcons -3

O/U: 50

The script has flipped for Chicago as they started the year off sluggish on offenser but have since found their groove scoring 28 or more in their last 4 games. Justin Fields has shown to be a threat with his legs as he’s able to break away from defenders in the open field with his blazing speed. I would normally play the over here given that Chicago has one of the worst defenses in the NFL but don’t think Atlanta’s offense has enough firepower to take advantage. I’m playing the Bears with the points here as I grab a key number of 3 looking towards Chicago to keep this one close with a field goal late deciding the winner.

The Play: Bears +3

Cleveland Browns (3-6) at Buffalo Bills (6-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Bills -8.5

O/U: 43.5

I would keep an eye out on the weather forecast in Western New York come Sunday afternoon as this total has already moved 3.5 points because of over 3 feet of snow predicted in the forecast. If the snow comes then that would point towards this game being controlled more on the ground than through the air which favors the Browns here who have one of the best rushing attacks in the NFL bolstered by RB Nick Chubb. Buffalo is built to play through the air utilizing on eof the best quarterbacks in the league in Josh Allen. Snow will surely have an ipact on the passing attack and with Buffalo’s rushing attack being one of the worst in the NFL that leads me to grabbing the points here with Cleveland. Note: Buffalo’s run offense isn’t strong on paper as they lean on Josh Allen and the passing game to do most of their work for them.

The Play: Browns +8.5

Philadelphia Eagles (8-1) at Indianapolis Colts (4-5-1)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Eagles -6.5

O/U: 45

Finally, Washington takes down the undefeated Eagles in Week 10 as the 1972 Miami Dolphins can pop their champagne as they are still the only undefeated team in NFL history. Washington ran the ball on the Eagles over 40 times Monday night owning the time of possession battle an dlimiting the amount of possessions Philadelphia’s explosive offense could have. Philly will still be without DT Jordan Davis in this one which is a big concern as their rushing defense greatly drops when they are without the rookie defensive lineman. I believe the Eagles win this one but Indy will follow the same recipe that Washington did on Monday night giving a heavy dose of Jonathan Taylor to this Eagles defense. Eagles get back in the win column but Interim HC Jeff Saturday is 2-0 against the spread.

The Play: Colts +6.5

New York Jets (6-3) at New England Patriots (5-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Patriots -3

O/U: 38.5

Both teams should be coming into this one well rested a they are coming off a Week 10 bye. This will be their second time playing this year with the first going New England’s way late in the second half. This game will depend mightily on the shoulders and mind of QB Zach Wilson. Wilson has been prone to costly turnovers over the course of his young career but if he is able to minimize those mistakes then New York should find themselves within the number here and even in the winners circle. Under is also a good play here with both defenses being strong but with it being difficult to beat teams twice in the NFL I ultimately land on grabbing the points with the road dog.

The Play: Jets +3

Los Angeles Rams (3-6) at New Orleans Saints (3-7)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Saints -4

O/U: 38.5

When you thought Los Angeles season couldn’t get any worse they are hit with new s of Coope rKupp heading to the IR for a minimum of 4 weeks. Ultimately, I expect Kupp to be shut down for the rest of the season because in 4 weeks time the Rams should be nearing elimination for the playoffs and shouldn’t risk further injury from their star WR. Luckily for the Rams, they should be getting their star QB back as Matthew Stafford is set to return from injury but is welcomed by an offense without his morning cup of coffee friend. New Orleans should be able to quiet a stagnant Rams offense throughout the afternoon and once the Saints get a lead behind their offensive weapons they will end up taking the air out of the football getting out of dodge with a win and an under victory. 2022 season is over for Los Angeles but they pushed all of their chips in to secure a Super Bowl last year so who really can complain.

The Play: Under 38.5

Detroit Lions (3-6) at New York Giants (7-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Giants -3

O/U: 46

The Play: Over 46

Carolina Panthers (3-7) at Baltimore Ravens (6-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Ravens -12

O/U: 43

The bye week came at a great time for Baltimore as they have been it with the injury bug an offense over the past few weeks. I expect Coach Harbaugh to have a good game plan to face off against poor Panthers team which is looking more into 2023 than this year. Carolina will look to establish the ground game and if Baltimore is successful in shutting that down then they should have a relatively easy afternoon making QB PJ Walker beat them through the air. I normally hate laying a spread this high but see value in a well rested Ravens team putting it to a bottom feeder team in the Panthers right now.

The Play: Ravens -12

Washington Commanders (5-5) at Houston Texans (1-7-1)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Commanders -3

O/U: 40.5

Commanders take down the once undefeated Eagles on Monday night football and now travel on the road to face a bad Houston team. Houston has one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL which should see a heavy dose of both Brian Robinson Jr and Antonio Gibson throughout the afternoon as Washington will look to get themselves above .500 and back in the playoff push. Washington rushed over 40 times against the Eagles and I expect more of the same here against Houston. Washington’s defense is vulnerable more through the air as opposed to the ground game as they have one of the better defensive lines in the league but I don’t see Davis Mills being able to take advantage of a skeptical Washington secondary.

The Play: Commanders -3

Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) at Denver Broncos (3-6)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/20

Line: Broncos -2.5

O/U: 41.5

I end up shocking myself here as I’m laying the points here with Denver as opposed to playing the under which I have grown accustomed to in Broncos games. I expect star DB Patrick Surtain to end up following WR Devante Adams over the course of the afternoon quieting Derek Carr’s favorite target. One of the main reasons I love the Broncos in this spot her is the home field advantage of the altitude. Denver is used to their altitude as they deal with it on a daily asis but road teams coming in get wiped out from the altitude and end up drained come 4^th quarter which is when Denver will secure this win for us. Denver will be without WR Jerry Jeudy which isn’t great for an already shaky offense but I will put my faith in Russel Wilson to make enough plays late to get us to the window.

The Play: Broncos -2.5

Dallas Cowboys (6-3) at Minnesota Vikings (8-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/20

Line: Cowboys -1

O/U: 47.5

Trends are meant to be broken. A year ago Minnesota was victim to falling short in 1 score games but the script has flipped as they have dominated in that category so far thi season. They managed to escape out of Buffalo with a win after trailing by 3 scores late in the 3^rd quarter. They have an exciting offense headlined by star WR Justin Jefferson who very well may have earned himself the title of best WR in the NFL. I’m looking forward to the matchup between Jefferson and star DB Trevon Diggs. Both teams are coming off overtime games last week which should lead to some exhaustion playing another 10 minutes of brutal football. Cowboys fell short to Green Baay last weekend but find themselves back in the win column as they take down  one of the top dogs in the NFC.

The Play: Cowboys -1

Cincinnati Bengals (5-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/20

Line: Bengals -5

O/U: 41

TJ Watt is back for Pittsburgh and seems like he hasn’t missed a beat helping the Steelers overcome New Orleans last week at home. Cincy will still be without star WR Ja’Marr Chase here as he is still recovering from an injury suffered a month earlier. I expect the Steelers defense to have a great impact on this game similarly to what they did to Joe Burrow and Cincy earlier in the season in Week 1. Even without Chase, Cincy has playmakers sprinkled throughout their offense which makes them difficult to stop but have shown to be stagnant at times. Under is also a good play here with Pittsburgh having a great defense combined with a relatively robust offense behind rookie QB Kenny Pickett. Pickett has shown flashes of excellence but quickly followed by rookie mistakes which makes it hard to back Pittsburgh’s offense. Cincy comes back to Ohio with a win but fail to cover.

The Play: Steelers +5

Kansas City Chiefs (7-2) at Los Angeles Chargers (5-4)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/20

Line: Chiefs -7.5

O/U: 50

We are getting close to having must win games for Los Angeles here soon as a loss here will bring the Bolts back down to .500 and in jeopardy of falling further in the standings. Both WR’s Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are practicing this week for Los Angeles and eyeing a return to action Sunday Night against Kansas City but another week of rest could be beneficial for both players with their given injuries. Similarly to last Sunday night, I will be grabbing the touchdown number here plsu the hook as I believe Justin Herbert and the Chargers keep this one within one score with the winner being decided late in the 4^th quarter. Injuries have decimated this Chargers season thus far but with a win here they find themselves right back into the thick of it for the late season playoff push.

The Play: Chargers +7.5

San Francisco 49ers (5-4) at Arizona Cardinals (4-6)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/21 (Mexico)

Line: 49ers -8

O/U: 43.5

We had outside of the United States yet again as these NFC West rivals head down to Mexico city fo this contest. It’s looking like Arizona will be without their franchise QB yet agin as Kyler Murray looks to be sidelined with injury. I was planning on grabbing the points with the underdog if Kyler wound up playing aswe’ve seen this elite 49ers defense to struggle some against QBs who can make plays with their legs and go off script. Ultimately, I landed on the under here as 49ers should be able to hush Arizona’s offense with a backup QB at the helm. With not a lot of threat in a shootout I expect 49ers to run the ball while on offense to kill clock and shorten the game quickly behind the use of Christian Mccaffrey and Elijah Mitchell. Mexico unfortunately gets a snooze fest as we find ourselves with an under ticket in hand.

The Play: Cardinals +8