Category Archives: College Football

2020 College Football Way-Too-Early Top Teams

1. Clemsonorange

Clemson will have to replace most of the offensive line, Tee Higgins, Amari Rodgers, and Travis Etienne. But with Trevor Lawrence, Justyn Ross, and a deep WR core they should be fine. The defense was semi-young this year and return a lot of starters. Clemson will be dangerous again in 2020.

2. Ohio Stateohio state

The offense should be the best in the Big Ten again with Justin Fields and most of the offensive line back. WR Garrett Wilson is coming off a great freshman season and will be the number 1 target. The question will be on defense where they replace many talented starters including Chase Young and Jeffrey Okudah.

3. AlabamaAlabama logo

Tua is gone, but the combination of Mac Jones and Bryce Young keeps the quarterback position a strength. The offense will stay a strength, but can the 2019 defense improve? The youth last year will have an extra year of maturity and their defensive MVP Dylan Moses will actually play in 2020. The dynasty isn’t over…

4. LSULSU Tigers

The champions return most of their defense including star CB Derek Stingley. The offense also has plenty of weapons with Biletnikoff winner WR Ja’Marr Chase and Terrance Marshall. However, Myles Brennan is not Joe Burrow and a run like 2019 is not likely.

5. Oregon1238px-Oregon_Ducks_logo.svg

They lose Justin Herbert and most of their offensive line. However,  rumors are going around Eugene that there won’t be much of a drop off to new starting QB Tyler Shough. The defense will continue to be solid especially with how Oregon has been recruiting. They’ll compete for the Pac-12 and the defense will keep them in the playoff conversation again.

6. Georgia

Georgia Logo

A boatload of defensive returning talented players come back next year for Georgia. But Georgia has to replace four offensive lineman to a struggling offense. The offense may be getting an upgrade with Wake Forest graduate transfer QB Jamie Newman as the probable starter. The defense is talented, but without the offense improving playoffs are out of the question.

Florida logo

7. Florida

QB Kyle Trask and almost the entire defensive secondary returns after two straight 10+ win seasons. Dan Mullen has something going on there and should compete with Georgia for the SEC East.

8. Penn Statepenn_state_nittany_lions_2005-pres

The entire offense comes back and the defense returns their MVP LB Micah Parsons. If the Nittany Lions plug and play some new quality starters on defense, the playoffs is not out of the question. QB Sean Clifford will need to step up his play in order to achieve this top ten ranking.

9. Wisconsin2000px-Wisconsin_Badgers_logo.svg

The Badgers return several quality starters on each side of the ball, but lose their MVP in RB Jonathan Taylor. If they can find a substitute to the impact of Taylor a Big Ten Championship isn’t out of the question.

10. Oklahoma

OU

The Oklahoma defense went from terrible to average in 2019. The defense was actually pretty young so a jump to an above average defense is possible. No LB Kenneth Murray, NT Neville Gallimore, or CB Parnell Motley will make an impact. The offense is also a question mark. The entire offensive line is back, but they lose their two playmakers Jalen Hurns and CeeDee Lamb. It’ll be the start of the QB Spencer Rattler era, but many questions remain with the 2020 Sooners.

11. Texas A&MTexas A&M Logo

Year 3 of the Jimbo Fisher era at Texas A&M and this team looks promising. Sure the team returns their starting QB Kellen Mond and four out of the five starters on the offensive line. But where the promise lies is in the young, talented defense that returns nine starters. A&M will be a tough opponent in the SEC in 2020.

12. Oklahoma StateOSU Logo

QB Spencer Sanders, WR Tylan Wallace, and RB Chuba Hubbard are all back on offense. The 82nd ranked defense only loses one starter and will most certainly improve. The Cowboys are a sleeper for the Big 12 Championship in 2020.

13. AuburnAuburn Tigers Logo

The offensive line and defensive line will be hit hard by graduating senior departures. Add in the question of does Bo Nix take a leap in performance from his average Freshman year. The offense does have skill position weapons, but the defense declining has Auburn outside the top ten.

14. Michigan1280px-Michigan_Wolverines_logo.svg

Michigan loses their quarterback and four offensive lineman to an offense that mostly struggled in 2019. WR Nico Collins and WR Ronnie Bell are the few bright spots to the start of the QB Dylan McCaffrey era. The defense gets a few key pieces back including DE Kwity Paye and S Dax Hill… but lose other key starters mostly in the secondary. Overall, the team isn’t as strong as 2019.

15. Notre DameNotre Dame

QB Trevor Book and the top two linebackers back is a major plus for the Fighting Irish. The negatives? They lose their entire secondary and their top skill position player returning is Braden Lenzy… who had a total of 254 yards.

Why Tua Could Return to Alabama

Tua Tagovailoa could actually be coming back? Many have scoffed at the idea including Joseph Goodman from AL.com. Goodman asks the question, why would Tua come back? He even admits he is having a hard time thinking of any reasons he should come back and alleges that if you hope he comes back to Alabama you are SELFISH.

So let’s help Goodman out with why it makes sense for Tua to comeback:

  1. Financial Gain

“Tua will make millions if he goes to the NFL next year.” Yes, that is true. But to really understand what is to gain, it has to start with analyzing the projected earnings of the total contract for first round picks (Forbes.com):

#1 Pick: $35.2 Million ($21 Million Signing Bonus)
#2 Pick: $33.6 Million
#3 Pick: $32.6 Million
#4 Pick: $31.4 Million
#5 Pick: $29.3 Million

#10 Pick: $18.9 Million ($10 Million Signing Bonus)
#15 Pick: $14.9 Million
#20 Pick: $12.6 Million
#25 Pick: $11.8 Million
#30 Pick: $10.5 Million

The difference  between being a top five pick and falling out of the top ten is about double the contract value. Right now with Tua’s hip injury he isn’t guaranteed to be in the top five. Rather, if he came back for his senior season and proved he was healthy, he would solidify top five contract status. The difference? At least $15 million dollars including $10 million just in signing bonus. Going back to school to be a top five pick is worth it especially considering the NFL first round contract is for four years with a fifth year option.

But what about his injury status?

  1. Recovery Time from his Injury

Tua right now is on crutches and can’t stand for an extended period of time due to his hip injury. His timeline for his injury recovery looks like this:

Late February 2020: Resumes athletic activity
Spring 2020: Can start throwing again
April 23, 2020: NFL Draft
May-July 2020: Fully Healthy

There is a possibility Tua will not be cleared to throw before the NFL Draft requiring teams to chance a draft pick that he will be 100% back to normal. A risky move for an NFL team especially at the top of the first round. Tua will also not be fully healthy while NFL teams do their extensive physicals and examinations of him. Wouldn’t it be prudent to fully recover a hip injury without having countless examinations on you? But again he could get hurt playing College Football in 2020.

So what happens if he gets hurt?

  1. Protected by Insurance

Part of the reason Alabama LB Dylan Moses came back was due to insurance coverage if he drops in value. Tua could do something similar so he is further protected if his stock drops due to injury or loss of value. A max of $10 million insurance policy is allowed by the NCAA and will offer a safety net due to the unexpected. Given his top fifteen NFL draft projection by the NFL Advisory Committee, the payout will be large. Plus Nick Saban is an insurance expert.

1.jpeg

  1. National Championship and Legacy of an All-Time great

Peyton Manning came back for his senior season. The entire Clemson defensive line came back for their senior seasons despite being projected first round picks. Sometimes guys just love playing for their school and finishing out on a high note.

Not only that… Tua hasn’t won a Heisman despite being one of the all-time great college quarterbacks. He would have a chance to break the SEC passing touchdowns record and the NCAA Career Passer Rating Record. But most importantly… he’d have the chance to win another National Championship. After a 10-2, injury plagued year and Coach Orgeron saying “Roll Tide, What? F**K YOU!” Tua and Alabama could be heading for a 2020 revenge tour.

Tua’s Decision

Tua will decide what is best for Tua. But saying there is “no reason to comeback” is flat out wrong. There are risks to coming back and risks to declaring. No matter what he chooses, it is clear Alabama nation will support him despite how selfish Goodman thinks the Crimson Tide fan base is. Until then, we will wait and get teased by Tua’s Instagram.

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TGIS Bowl Picks

2019 SEASON RECORD: 91-75-1 (54.8%)

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFFS – December 28th

Peach Bowl
Orlando, FL
#1 LSU (-13.5) vs. #4 Oklahoma UNDER 76- 3:00pm

Game Preview: LSU’s offense is rolling with Joe Burrow (Bureaux). While the Oklahoma’s defense is improved it is nowhere near ready for LSU. LSU’s defense has also been much better giving up on average 12.3 points in their last three games. The Oklahoma offense will not be able to keep up. LSU to the Championship

Pick: LSU 45-24

Fiesta Bowl
Orlando, FL
#2 Ohio State vs. #3 Clemson (-2)- 7:00pm

Game Preview: The best game of bowl season. Ever since Clemson had their scare against North Carolina, they have been unstoppable. Ohio State will be by far their toughest opponent though. Both defenses are good, but not elite. This will come down to the offenses. Trevor Lawrence, Travis Etienne, Justyn Ross, and Tee Higgins are too dangerous and will lead Clemson to the championship.

Pick: Clemson 34-20

BOWL PICKS (All Times CST)

December 20

Bahamas Bowl
Nassau, Bahamas
Buffalo (-6.5) vs. Charlotte – 1:00pm

Buffalo is one of the most up and down teams. However, when they are on they put up a ton of points. They’ll turn it up for the Bahamas.

Frisco Bowl
Frisco, TX
Kent State vs. Utah State (-7.5)- 6:30pm

The last game for Utah State QB Jordan Love. He’ll put on a show despite being cited for marijuana possession earlier this week.

December 21

New Mexico Bowl
Albuquerque, NM
Central Michigan vs. San Diego (-3.5)- 1:00pm

San Diego State is a very good Mountain West team finishing the year at 9-3. Central Michigan on the other hand played well in MACtion, but the MAC isn’t a strong conference. Aztecs win by double digits.

Cure Bowl
Orlando, FL
Liberty vs. Georgia Southern (-5)- 1:30pm

Liberty may be the worst bowl team out there. They played a weak schedule including New Mexico State twice. Georgia Southern wins.

Boca Raton Bowl
Boca Raton, FL
FAU vs. SMU (-3) OVER 69.5- 2:30pm

No Lane Kiffin will have an impact. SMU has slumped down the stretch, but they’re still a good team. Expect a high scoring game.

Camellia Bowl
Montgomery, AL
Arkansas State vs. Florida International (+2.5)- 4:30pm

Butch Davis got his team pumped up enough to beat Miami, he is good enough to get them motivated to beat Arkansas State in a bowl game

Las Vegas Bowl
Las Vegas, NV
#19 Boise State vs. Washington (-3.5)- 6:30pm

Chris Petersen’s last game as a coach for the Huskies against his former team. Boise State has played some close games with below average opponents. Washington wins with their talent.

New Orleans Bowl
New Orleans, LA
#20 Appalachian State (-16) vs. UAB- 8:00pm

UAB played a weak non-conference and got destroyed by FAU. Appalachian State wins big.

December 23

Gasparilla Bowl
Tampa, FL
Marshall (+18) vs. UCF- 1:30pm

From a New Years Six bowl to the Gasparilla Bowl. UCF wins, but doesn’t blow out a decent Marshall team.

December 24

Hawaii Bowl
Honolulu, HI
BYU (-1.5) vs. Hawaii- 7:00pm

The Hawaii bowl is back on Christmas Eve! BYU is the better team and wins on the island.

December 26

Independence Bowl
Shreveport, LA
Louisiana Tech vs. Miami (-6.5)- 3:00pm

Miami already has some players sitting out and ended the season terribly. But less than a touchdown favorite against Louisiana Tech? I’m not going that far.

Quick Lane Bowl
Detroit, MI
Eastern Michigan vs. Pittsburgh (-11)- 7:00pm

Eastern Michigan finished last in the MAC West and is somehow faced against one of the better ACC teams… Pitt wins big.

December 27

Millitary Bowl
Annapolis, MD
North Carolina (-4.5) vs. Temple – 11:00am

North Carolina will be excited to be there in Mack Brown’s first year. They seem to be going the right direction following their 41-10 win over NC State. Tar Heels by a touchdown

Pinstripe Bowl
New York, NY
Michigan State vs. Wake Forest (+4.5)- 2:20pm

Two very average football teams who didn’t finish the season great. I’d take Wake Forest and the points.

Texas Bowl
Houston, TX
#25 Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M (-7)- 5:45pm

Oklahoma State is not the same without Spencer Sanders. A&M can minimize Chuba Hubbard and finally get their quality win.

Holiday Bowl
San Diego, CA
#16 Iowa vs. #22 USC (+2)- 7:00pm

Iowa finished the season struggling against Nebraska and Illinois. USC meanwhile posted an average of 46.5 points in their last two games. I’m going with the hot team and emerging USC QB Kedon Slovis.

Cheez-It Bowl
Phoenix, AZ
Air Force vs. Washington State (+3)- 9:15pm

Air Force lost twice this year to Boise State and Navy. They haven’t seen an offense like the Cougars yet though. Washington State QB Anthony Gordon plays great in his last game as a Coug.

December 28

Camping World Bowl
Orlando, FL
#15 Notre Dame (-3) vs. Iowa State- 11:00am

Notre Dame’s offense has been rolling, but they face a tougher Iowa State defense. I don’t trust Iowa State’s offense against the Notre Dame defense though. Fighting Irish win by double digits.

Cotton Bowl Classic
Arlington, TX
#10 Penn State vs. #17 Memphis (+6.5)- 11:00am

There’s a lot going on in this game. Memphis coach Mike Norvell isn’t coaching and they face a tough Penn State defense. But I don’t really trust the Penn State offense or Memphis defense. I have no idea what will happen so I’m just going to take the points and the team more motivated to play in this game. At least I’m honest with you guys.

December 30

First Responder Bowl
Dallas, TX
Western Kentucky (-2.5) vs. Western Michigan- 11:30am

Western Kentucky have played good football down the stretch including beating Arkansas 45-19. Western Kentucky also has played the better schedule. Really like the Hilltoppers here.

Music City Bowl
Nashville, TN
Louisville vs. Mississippi State (-4.5)- 3:00pm

Louisville couldn’t handle Kentucky’s run game… no idea how they are going to stop Mississippi State. Bulldogs win without the Cowbells.

Redbox Bowl
Santa Clara, CA
California vs. Illinois (+6.5)- 3:00pm

I have no idea what to expect from Illinois. They are good enough to beat Wisconsin, but can be bad enough to lose to Northwestern. It will be a low scoring affair though so take Illinois with the points and just hold on.

Orange Bowl
Miami Gardens, FL
#9 Florida (-14.5) vs. #24 Virginia- 7:00pm

Virginia’s offensive line is bad. Florida’s defensive line is really good. Expect a blow out in the Orange Bowl.

December 31

Belk Bowl
Charlotte, NC
Kentucky vs. Virginia Tech (-3)- 11:00am

Kentucky’s offense the second half of the season has been to run the ball with Lynn Bowden. Virginia Tech’s Defensive Coordinator Bud Foster coaches his last game and should be able to figure out a plan to stop him. Hokies win a close one.

Sun Bowl
El Paso, TX
Arizona State (-5.5) vs. Florida State – 1:00pm

All season we’ve trusted Herm Edwards… why stop now. QB Jayden Daniels is a special freshman and RB Eno Benjamin plays in his last game. Florida State’s best player RB Cam Akers is also skipping. Sun Devils win big.

Liberty Bowl
Memphis, TN
Kansas State vs. Navy (+1) UNDER 52- 2:45pm

If you love QBs throwing it all over the field… this game is not for you. Expect Run, run, run, and more run plays. Navy runs the ball better and wins.

Arizona Bowl
Tuscon, AZ
Georgia State vs. Wyoming (-7)- 3:30pm

Trust a good team in the Mountain West over an average Sun Belt team.

Alamo Bowl
San Antonio, TX
#11 Utah (-7) vs. Texas – 6:30pm

Utah’s run game is going to give the Texas defense trouble. Their defensive line should also not make it easy on Sam Ehlinger. Texas may be able to keep it close, but I don’t see them winning. Utah by 9.

January 1

Citrus Bowl
Orlando, FL
#13 Alabama (-7) vs. #14 Michigan OVER 59- Noon

Alabama has basically their entire team playing. Mac Jones and the Bama offense should outscore Michigan by a decent margin and try to make a statement. Alabama 41-24.

Outback Bowl
Tampa, FL
#12 Auburn (-7) vs. #18 Minnesota- Noon

Minnesota’s top linebacker is sitting out the bowl game. The Tigers will be by far the toughest defense the Golden Gophers face. Auburn wins by double digits.

Rose Bowl
Pasadena, CA
#6 Oregon (+3) vs. #8 Wisconsin – 4:00pm

Oregon’s the better football team and can minimize RB Johnathan Taylor’s impact on the game. It should be close, but Oregon wins.

Sugar Bowl
Pasadena, CA
#5 Georgia (-6.5) vs. #7 Baylor UNDER 41 – 7:45pm

Expect very little scoring. Georgia’s left tackle is sitting out the game and their right tackle might be also. Their offense has not been great and Baylor’s defense isn’t bad. Still the Georgia defense will give Baylor more problems. 24-10 Georgia.

January 2

Birmingham Bowl
Birmingham, AL
#21 Cincinnati (-7) vs. Boston College UNDER 55 – 4:00pm

With no AJ Dillon and an interim coach I don’t see Boston College being able to do much. Like the UNDER.

Gator Bowl
Jacksonville, FL
Indiana vs. Tennessee (-1.5)- 6:00pm

Tennessee have won it’s last five… Indiana has lost two of its last three. Tennessee wins and this line is too easy.

January 3

Famous Idaho Bowl
Boise, ID
Nevada (+7.5) vs. Ohio – 2:30pm

I’m taking Nevada that beat a good San Diego State team. Ohio has been blowing out MAC teams, but Nevada should at least cover.

January 4

Armed Forces Bowl
Fort Worth, TX
Southern Miss (+7) vs. Tulane – 11:30am

Tulane has QB Justin McMillan who is up and down. Southern Miss is talented enough to keep this game close.

January 6

Lending Tree Bowl
Mobile, AL
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Miami (Ohio) (+14)- 6:30pm

The MAC Champs can keep it within 14.

Week 14 College Football Preview

2019 SEASON RECORD: 87-67-1 (56.5%)

Week 14 Games of the Week

#10 Michigan (+8.5) at #1 Ohio State – Saturday 11:00am

Game Preview: THE GAME. Michigan hasn’t beat Ohio State since 2011. Michigan comes into this game hot winning their last four games by over 24 points. Ohio State had their first challenge last week against Penn State. They get challenged again against Michigan and win a close one.

Pick: Ohio State 31-24

#5 Alabama (-3.5) at #16 Auburn – Saturday 2:30pm

Game Preview: I trust Mac Jones over Bo Nix. Auburn will be much tougher than Arkansas and Western Carolina however. If Alabama keeps the Auburn offense in check they should win by double digits.

Pick: Alabama 34-20

Top Picks of the Week (All Times CST)

Texas Tech (+10) at Texas UNDER 65– Friday 11:00am

Texas Tech hasn’t lost a game by more than 3 points since Mid-October. Texas hasn’t beat a team by more than 3 points since October 5th. This game will be close and low scoring.

Virginia Tech (-2.5) at Virginia– Friday 11:00am

Virginia Tech has played great down the stretch. They’ll win and head to the ACC Championship to play Clemson.

Cincinnati (+11.5) at Memphis – Friday 2:30pm

The spread is too big for two similar AAC teams. This should be a great game.

South Florida (+23.5) at UCF – Saturday 8:00pm

All year UCF has proven to be an adequate team that doesn’t blow anybody out. South Florida covers.

Wake Forest (-3.5) at Syracuse – Saturday 11:30am

Reading the ACC is tough, but I know this much… Syracuse is awful. Take Wake.

#12 Wisconsin (-2.5) at #8 Minnesota UNDER 48.5 – Saturday 2:30pm

The battle for Paul Bunyan’s Axe. The weather in this game will be cold with cross winds so don’t expect a lot of points. Wisconsin hasn’t been great the last few weeks, but neither has Minnesota. Wisconsin wins.

Texas A&M (+17) at #2 LSU – Saturday 6:00pm

LSU’s defense has not been great. Kellen Mond will be able to put up points and keep the game close.

#7 Oklahoma at #21 Oklahoma State (+12) – Saturday 7:00pm

Oklahoma hasn’t beat a team by double digits the last four games. I don’t expect them to do it in an away rivalry game. Oklahoma State may pull the upset so definitely a money line sprinkle opportunity.

 

 

Final Playoff Contenders – Week 13

ELIMINATED AFTER WEEK 13: Oregon and Penn State

1. LSU Tigers

LSU Tigers

Resume

Record: 11-0

Best Wins: #5 Alabama, #10 Florida, #16 Auburn

Losses: None

Remaining Schedule: Texas A&M, SEC Championship (#4 Georgia)

LSU has the best resume with wins over #5 Alabama, #10 Florida, and #16 Auburn. They have also looked dominant against inferior opponents except for their lackluster defense. If LSU finishes the year undefeated they will have the #1 or #2 spot on lock. LSU has also built their resume enough where they can afford one loss and still be firmly in the playoffs. However, don’t be surprised even if LSU finishes undefeated Ohio State jumps LSU.

Path to the Playoff: Don’t Lose Twice.

2. Ohio State Buckeyes

780px-Ohio_State_Buckeyes_logo.svg

Resume

Record: 11-0

Best Wins: #12 Penn State, #13 Wisconsin, #17 Cincinnati

Losses: None

Remaining Schedule:  @ #14 Michigan, Big Ten Championship

Ohio State has dominated everyone on their schedule. Their resume is slowly improving with the win over Penn State. The Buckeyes best quality opponents will happen over the next few weeks to end the year  Even with a loss to Michigan, Ohio State has done enough to get in as a one loss Big Ten champion as long as they win the Big Ten.

Path to the Playoff: Either 1. Finish regular season undefeated; or 2. One loss and Big Ten Champs

3. Clemson Tigers

orange

Resume

Record: 11-0

Best Wins: None

Losses: None

Remaining Schedule: @ South Carolina, ACC Championship

Clemson has killed everyone on their schedule… except for a one point win against North Carolina. Since the Tar Heel game, Clemson hasn’t had a scare by any of their opponents. Clemson will finish the season without playing a Top 25 team except maybe Virginia Tech (that’s how bad the ACC is). As long as Clemson wins out they’re in.

Path to the Playoff: If they don’t win-out, they’re out.

4. Georgia Bulldogs

Georgia Logo

Resume

Record: 10-1

Best Wins: #10 Florida, #15 Notre Dame, #16 Auburn

Losses: South Carolina 20-17 OT

Remaining Schedule: @ Georgia Tech, SEC Championship (LSU)

The South Carolina loss is looking worse. However, it won’t matter if they beat LSU in the SEC Championship. The wins against Florida, Notre Dame, and Auburn have them currently as the best 1-loss team.

Path to the Playoff: If they win-out they are in

5. Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama logo

Resume

Record: 10-1

Best Wins: None

Losses: #1 LSU 45-40

Remaining Schedule: @ #16 Auburn

They’ve won big against everyone except #1 LSU. Alabama will need to win out to have a chance. In that case, their best win will be against Auburn. What may trip up Alabama is a 1-loss Conference Champion. Some will say Bama doesn’t have a great win, but their Auburn win may be better than any of the other 1-loss conference champions. If Alabama wins out, you have to like their chances of getting in.

Path to the Playoff: Win out with Mac Jones looking dominant, Georgia loses once, and get ranked above the other 1-loss conference champion(s).

OR

Win out with Mac Jones looking above average, Georgia loses once, two loss Big 12 Champion, and a two loss Pac 12 Champion.

6. Utah Utes

2000px-Utah_Utes_logo.svg

Resume

Record: 10-1

Best Wins: None

Losses: USC 30-23

Remaining Schedule: Colorado, Pac 12 Championship

The Utes have a cake walk to end the regular season. A seven point loss to USC remains a dagger in the resume and their only chance at a quality win is in the PAC 12 championship against Oregon. The Oregon loss to Arizona State makes the quality win less impressive. Utah will be in the discussion if they win out, especially with their string of blow out wins. I believe a one loss Utah with a win over Oregon beats out a one loss Big 12 champion.

Path to the Playoff: Win out and Georgia loses.

7. Oklahoma Sooners

OU

Resume

Record: 10-1

Best Wins: #13 Baylor, #23 Iowa State

Losses: Kansas State 48-41

Remaining Schedule: @ #22 Oklahoma State, Big 12 Championship (Baylor)

Oklahoma may finish the year with a bad loss and not many impressive wins. The Big 12 has eaten itself alive. Oklahoma did have an impressive comeback win over Baylor, but their playoff chances have taken a major hit if with their four straight average showings. Oklahoma is in a position where they are behind a one loss Utah right now.

Path to the Playoff: Win Out, Georgia loses, Alabama loses, two loss Pac 12 Champion

8. Minnesota Golden Gophers

1280px-Minnesota_Golden_Gophers_logo.svg

Resume

Record: 10-1

Best Wins: #10 Penn State

Losses: #20 Iowa

Remaining Schedule: #13 Wisconsin, Big Ten Championship

Yes they are undefeated and have looked impressive the past few weeks, but what hangs over the Golden Gophers is winning 3 terrible non-conference games by a total of 13 points. They now have a loss to an average Iowa team as well. However, winning out with wins over Wisconsin and Ohio State would probably put them in.

Path to the Playoff: Win out (this would create some chaos for the committee)

9. Baylor Bears

Baylor Logo

Resume

Record: 10-1

Best Wins: #22 Oklahoma State, #24 Iowa State

Losses: #7 Oklahoma 34-31

Remaining Schedule: Kansas, Big 12 Championship (Oklahoma)

Baylor blew it against Oklahoma. What Baylor needs is Oklahoma to win out and beat them in the Big 12 championship. Even after this I still think they need some help mostly because of their bad non-conference schedule and close games with bad teams (Texas Tech, West Virginia, TCU). Baylor doesn’t pass the eye test so they have to win out and receive some help.

Path to the Playoff: Win out and need a lot of help

Conference Championship Paths

ACC Championship

ACC Atlantic

Clemson- Clinched

ACC Coastal 

Virginia- Clinches with win over Virginia Tech.

Virginia Tech- Clinches with wins over Pittsburgh and Virginia.

Pittsburgh- Clinches with wins over Virginia Tech and Boston College, and a Virginia loss to Virginia Tech.

Big 12 Championship

Oklahoma- Clinches with a win against TCU or Oklahoma State.

Baylor- Clinches with a win against Texas or Kansas.

If Baylor or Oklahoma lose out these teams are still in contention: 

Oklahoma State, Texas, and Iowa State

Big 10 Championship

Big 10 West

Minnesota- Clinches with win over Wisconsin.

Wisconsin- Clinches with win over Purdue and Minnesota.

Big 10 East

Ohio State- Clinches with win over Penn State or Penn State loss to Rutgers.

Penn State- Clinches with win over Ohio State and Rutgers.

Pac 12 Championship

Pac 12 North

Oregon- Clinched

Pac 12 South

Utah- Clinches with wins over Arizona and Colorado; or a USC loss to UCLA.

USC- Clinches with win over UCLA and a Utah loss.

SEC Championship

SEC West

LSU- Clinches with win against Arkansas or Texas A&M.

Alabama- Clinches with win against Auburn and LSU losing to Arkansas and Texas A&M.

SEC East 

Georgia- Clinched

Week 13 College Football Preview

2019 SEASON RECORD: 77-66-1

Week 13 Game of the Week

#8 Penn State (+18.5) at #2 Ohio State – Saturday 2:30pm

Game Preview: Ohio State is a week out from facing Michigan. However, this game is the biggest on Ohio State’s schedule and will determine who wins the Big Ten East. Penn State will be locked in, but does Ohio State get caught looking forward to its rival Michigan? Penn State has a good enough defense to keep Justin Fields from going wild. If Penn State wants a chance at winning they need a major improvement on offense from QB Sean Clifford. Ohio State wins, but Penn State keeps it interesting.

Pick: Ohio State 34-21

Top Picks of the Week (All Times CST)

#21 Oklahoma State (-6.5) at West Virginia– Saturday 11:00am

The Cowboys in the last three weeks have beat Iowa State, TCU, and Kansas by a touchdown or more. I like Oklahoma State’s offense to continue that trend and put it on West Virginia (4-6).

Illinois (+15.5) at #17 Iowa– Saturday 11:00am

The most points Iowa has scored over the past six games? 26. Iowa does not have a high scoring offense. Illinois has turned it around and is actually bowl bound. Illinois keeps it within two touchdowns.

Kansas (+24.5) at #22 Iowa State – Saturday 11:00am

Another big spread in the Big 12 that I think will end up a close game. Iowa State is off a big win against Texas and a let down maybe coming. 24.5 is too many points for the Mad Hatter and Kansas.

#13 Michigan (-9) at Indiana – Saturday 2:30pm

Michigan is different team than the one that was blown out against Wisconsin.  Meanwhile, I still have not bought into Indiana as a top Big Ten team. Michigan should win by double digits even with Ohio State on the horizon next week.

Texas A&M (+14) at #4 Georgia – Saturday 2:30pm

Georgia’s offense has not improved. They’ve averaged 22 ppg in their last five games. A&M’s offense is good enough to put up points against the Dawgs and cover the spread.

Texas (+5.5) at #14 Baylor – Saturday 2:30pm

All Texas does is play close games and Vegas keeps putting them as the underdog. I actually like them to win this one in Waco. Baylor suffered a devastating comeback defeat against Oklahoma and I’m not sure how they will bounce back. Texas moneyline.

#25 SMU at Navy (-3.5) – Saturday 2:30pm

SMU will struggle to stop Navy’s offense. SMU gave up over 50 points the last two games. On the other hand, Navy has scored on average around 44 points in their last two AAC games. SMU loses a tough away game. 3.5 points won’t mean much in this high scoring affair. The over is also a possible play here.

Purdue (+24.5) at #12 Wisconsin – Saturday 3:00pm

Wisconsin hasn’t won a game by this spread since October 12. Purdue’s third string QB, Aidan O’Connor, came in and didn’t do bad against Northwestern and actually won the game by two points. Purdue covers.

#6 Oregon at Arizona State (+14.5) – Saturday 6:30pm

Believe in Herm Edwards. Oregon comes to town looking forward to their Pac-12 championship battle with Utah. Freshman QB Jayden Daniels has really developed and will be a key in keeping it close. I believe this will be a crazy one in Tempe with a potential upset. Never trust Pac-12 favorites down the stretch.

TCU (+18) at #9 Oklahoma – Saturday 7:00pm

TGIS will be there live.Oklahoma has lost to Kansas State and barely escaped Iowa State and Baylor in their last three games. 18 points is way too many against a decent TCU team. TCU’s defense will keep Oklahoma from running up the score. I would also not rule out a possible upset.

 

Final Playoff Contenders- Week 12

1. LSU Tigers

LSU Tigers

Resume

Record: 10-0

Best Wins: #5 Alabama, #10 Florida, #16 Auburn

Losses: None

Remaining Schedule: Arkansas, #24 Texas A&M, SEC Championship (#4 Georgia)

LSU has by far the best resume with wins over #5 Alabama, #10 Florida, and #16 Auburn. They have also looked dominant against inferior opponents except for their lackluster defense. If LSU finishes the year undefeated they will have the #1 or #2 spot on lock. LSU has also built their resume enough where they can afford one loss and still be firmly in the playoffs.

Path to the Playoff: Don’t Lose Twice.

2. Ohio State Buckeyes

780px-Ohio_State_Buckeyes_logo.svg

Resume

Record: 10-0

Best Wins: #14 Wisconsin, #17 Cincinnati

Losses: None

Remaining Schedule: #9 Penn State, @ #14 Michigan, Big Ten Championship

Ohio State has dominated everyone on their schedule. Their best quality opponents will happen at the end of the year (no Cincinnati and Indiana are not quality wins). Ohio State has done enough to get in as a one loss Big Ten champion as long as they win the Big Ten.

Path to the Playoff: Either 1. Finish regular season undefeated; or 2. One loss and Big Ten Champs

3. Clemson Tigers

orange

Resume

Record: 11-0

Best Wins: #24 Texas A&M

Losses: None

Remaining Schedule: @ South Carolina, ACC Championship

Clemson has killed everyone on their schedule… except for a one point win against North Carolina. Since the Tar Heel game, Clemson hasn’t had a scare by any of their opponents. Clemson will finish the season without playing a Top 25 team (that’s how bad the ACC is). As long as Clemson wins out they’re in.

Path to the Playoff: If they don’t win-out, they’re out.

4. Georgia Bulldogs

Georgia Logo

Resume

Record: 9-1

Best Wins: #10 Florida, #15 Notre Dame, #16 Auburn

Losses: South Carolina 20-17 OT

Remaining Schedule: #24 Texas A&M, @ Georgia Tech, SEC Championship

The South Carolina loss is looking worse every week especially after the loss to Appalachian State. The wins against Florida and Notre Dame have them currently as the best 1-loss team. A second loss will knock them out of the playoffs and that second loss is likely with Texas A&M and LSU still left.

Path to the Playoff: If they win-out they are in

5. Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama logo

Resume

Record: 9-1

Best Wins: #24 Texas A&M

Losses: #1 LSU 45-40

Remaining Schedule: Western Carolina, @ #16 Auburn

They’ve won big against everyone except #1 LSU. Alabama will need to win out to have a chance. In that case, their best win will be against Auburn. What may trip up Alabama is a 1-loss Conference Champion. Some will say Bama doesn’t have a great win, but their Auburn win may be better than any of the other 1-loss conference champions. If Alabama wins out, you have to like their chances of getting in.

Path to the Playoff: Win out with Mac Jones looking dominant, Georgia loses once, and get ranked above the other 1-loss conference champion(s).

OR

Win out with Mac Jones looking above average, Georgia loses once, two loss Big 12 Champion, and a two loss Pac 12 Champion.

6. Oregon Ducks

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Resume

Record: 9-1

Best Wins: None

Losses: #16 Auburn 27-21

Remaining Schedule: @ Arizona State, Oregon State, Pac 12 Championship

Oregon’s only chance at a good win is against Utah in the PAC 12 Championship. The resume isn’t great as they played some average teams really close including Washington and Washington State. A loss to Auburn may end up being the tie breaker between Alabama and Oregon depending on what happens in the Iron Bowl with Mac Jones. Still, I think Oregon is in a position where if they win out they are in.

Path to the Playoff: Win Out and Georgia loses.

7. Utah Utes

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Resume

Record: 9-1

Best Wins: None

Losses: USC 30-23

Remaining Schedule: @ Arizona, Colorado, Pac 12 Championship

The Utes have a cake walk to end the regular season. A seven point loss to USC remains a dagger in the resume and their only chance at a quality win is in the PAC 12 championship against Oregon. Utah will be in the discussion if they win out, especially with their recent blow out wins. I believe a one loss Utah with a win over Oregon beats out a one loss Big 12 champion.

Path to the Playoff: Win out and Georgia loses.

8. Oklahoma Sooners

OU

Resume

Record: 9-1

Best Wins: #13 Baylor

Losses: Kansas State 48-41

Remaining Schedule: TCU, @ #22 Oklahoma State, Big 12 Championship

Oklahoma may finish the year with a bad loss and not many impressive wins. The Big 12 has eaten itself alive. Oklahoma did have an impressive comeback win over Baylor, but their playoff chances would take a major hit if Texas beats Baylor next week. Oklahoma is in a position where they are behind a one loss Pac 12 champion right now.

Path to the Playoff: Win Out, Georgia loses, two loss Pac 12 Champion

9. Minnesota Golden Gophers

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Resume

Record: 9-1

Best Wins: #10 Penn State

Losses: #20 Iowa

Remaining Schedule: @ Northwestern, #15 Wisconsin, Big Ten Championship

Yes they are undefeated and have looked impressive the past few weeks, but what hangs over the Golden Gophers is winning 3 terrible non-conference games by a total of 13 points. They now have a loss to an average Iowa team as well. However, winning out with wins over Wisconsin and Ohio State would probably put them in.

Path to the Playoff: Win out (this would create some chaos for the committee)

10. Penn State Nittany Lions

penn_state_nittany_lions_2005-pres

Resume

Record: 9-1

Best Wins: #9 Penn State

Losses: None

Remaining Schedule: @ #2 Ohio State, Rutgers, Big Ten Championship

The loss against Minnesota wasn’t really that tough of a blow. The fact remains Penn State still has to beat the Buckeyes for a chance. They would also get a chance to revenge their Minnesota loss in the Big Ten Championship. The close game against Indiana won’t do them any favors for the eye test though.

Path to the Playoff: Win out (Creates Chaos)

11. Baylor Bears

Baylor Logo

Resume

Record: 9-1

Best Wins: #22 Oklahoma State

Losses: #10 Oklahoma 34-31

Remaining Schedule: Texas, Kansas, Big 12 Championship

Baylor blew it against Oklahoma. What Baylor needs is Oklahoma to win out and beat them in the Big 12 championship. Even after this I still think they need some help mostly because of their bad non-conference schedule and close games with bad teams (Texas Tech, West Virginia, TCU). Baylor doesn’t pass the eye test so they have to win out and receive some help.

Path to the Playoff: Win out and need a lot of help

Week 12 College Football Preview

2019 SEASON RECORD: 67-63

Week 12 Game of the Week

#4 Georgia at #12 Auburn (+3) Under 45 – Saturday 2:30pm

Game Preview: A struggling Georgia offense plays a really good Auburn defense. A freshman quarterback faces a really good Georgia defense. In conclusion, this game will be a low scoring slug fest. Auburn wins in a close one.

Pick: Auburn 20-17

#10 Oklahoma at #13 Baylor (+10) – Saturday 6:30pm

Game Preview: Oklahoma has struggled with Kansas State and Iowa State. They are favored on the road at Baylor who has Gameday for the first time in about four years. This may be the best defense Jalen Hurts has faced and Baylor could slow their offense down. Baylor will be ready to play in a close one. Oklahoma pulls it out though.

Pick: Oklahoma 34-31

Top Picks of the Week (All Times CST)

#5 Alabama (-17.5) at Mississippi State– Saturday 11:00am

This line only makes sense if Mac Jones is starting. Even if he is this line is too low. Alabama wins big in a bounce back game.

Tulane at Temple (+6)– Saturday 11:00am

Temple plays really good defense and Tulane’s QB struggles to throw the ball. Temple could win this game so I’m definitely taking the six points at home.

#19 Texas (+7) at Iowa State – Saturday 11:00am

It will be cold… but not enough to lay seven points with the Cyclones. Texas is the better team and not only will cover, but will win. Definitely worth a money line sprinkle.

Wake Forest (+34.5) at #3 Clemson – Saturday 2:30pm

Clemson will blow out the rest of their ACC opponents, but this will be the best team they face in the regular season. 34.5 is way too many points. Wake Forest keeps it interesting going into the second half… before they lose by 21. Clemson 45-24.

#8 Minnesota at #20 Iowa (-3) – Saturday 3:00pm

Minnesota’s historic run ends here. Iowa’s defense will do a much better job against Minnesota at home than Penn State did. Iowa wins a close low scoring game at home.

Rice (+14.5) at Middle Tennessee State – Saturday 3:30pm

Both teams are bad, The 0-9 Rice Owls can keep it close enough. I still don’t think Rice is THAT awful and could even get their first win here.

#1 LSU (-21) at Ole Miss OVER 65 – Saturday 6:00pm

LSU won’t stop scoring and they could get 50 points by themselves. Ole Miss has scoring potential on offense too. LSU wins big in a blowout high-scoring game.

South Carolina at Texas A&M (-11) – Saturday 6:30pm

South Carolina has gone down hill ever since beating Georgia. Texas A&M at home off the bye should win big and be ranked next week.

UCLA (+21) at #7 Utah OVER 51.5 – Saturday 7:00pm

Not only do I like UCLA to cover, but I think this is going to be a Utah loss. UCLA and their offense has turned it around and won their last three games by double digits. Utah is very beatable and has played some close games against average teams. The key will be UCLA slowing down Zack Moss and the running game. I like the over and UCLA to win throwing a huge wrench in the Pac-12 South.

Final Playoff Contenders

1. LSU Tigers

LSU Tigers

Resume

Record: 9-0

Best Wins: #4 Alabama, #11 Florida, #13 Auburn, #22 Texas

Losses: None

Remaining Schedule: @ Ole Miss, Arkansas, Texas A&M, SEC Championship

LSU has by far the best resume with wins over #4 Alabama, #11 Florida, #12 Auburn, and #22 Texas. They have also looked dominant against inferior opponents. If LSU finishes the year undefeated they will have the #1 or #2 spot on lock. LSU has also built their resume enough where they can afford one loss and still be firmly in the playoffs.

Path to the Playoff: Don’t Lose Twice.

2. Ohio State Buckeyes

780px-Ohio_State_Buckeyes_logo.svg

Resume

Record: 9-0

Best Wins: #15 Wisconsin, #17 Cincinnati, #24 Indiana

Losses: None

Remaining Schedule: @ Rutgers, #9 Penn State, @ #14 Michigan, Big Ten Championship

Ohio State has dominated everyone on their schedule. Their best quality opponents will happen at the end of the year (no Cincinnati and Indiana are not quality wins). Ohio State has done enough to get in as a one loss Big Ten champion as well.

Path to the Playoff: Either 1. Finish regular season undefeated; or 2. One loss and Big Ten Champs

3. Clemson Tigers

orange

Resume

Record: 9-0

Best Wins: None

Losses: None

Remaining Schedule: Wake Forest, @ South Carolina, ACC Championship

Clemson has killed everyone on their schedule… except for a one point win against North Carolina. Since the Tar Heel game Clemson hasn’t had a scare by any of their opponents. Clemson will finish the season without playing a Top 25 team (that’s how bad the ACC is). As long as Clemson wins out they’re in.

Path to the Playoff: If they don’t win-out, they’re out.

4. Georgia Bulldogs

Georgia Logo

Resume

Record: 8-1

Best Wins: #11 Florida, #16 Notre Dame

Losses: South Carolina 20-17 OT

Remaining Schedule: @ #13 Auburn, Texas A&M, @ Georgia Tech, SEC Championship

The South Carolina loss is looking worse every week especially after the loss to Appalachian State. The wins against Florida and Notre Dame have them currently as the best 1-loss team. A second loss will knock them out of the playoffs and that second loss is likely with a tough road of Auburn, Texas A&M, and the SEC championship

Path to the Playoff: If they win-out they are in

5. Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama logo

Resume

Record: 8-1

Best Wins: None

Losses: #1 LSU 45-40

Remaining Schedule: @ Mississippi State, Western Carolina, @ #13 Auburn

They’ve won big against everyone except #1 LSU. Alabama will need to win out to have a chance. In that case, their best win will be against Auburn. What may trip up Alabama is a 1-loss Conference Champion. Some will say Bama doesn’t have a great win, but their Auburn win may be better than any of the other 1-loss conference champions. If Alabama wins out, you have to like their chances of getting in.

Path to the Playoff: Win out, Georgia loses once, Baylor loses once, Minnesota loses once, and get ranked above the other 1-loss conference champion(s).

6. Oregon Ducks

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Resume

Record: 8-1

Best Wins: None

Losses: #13 Auburn 27-21

Remaining Schedule: Arizona, @ Arizona State, Oregon State, Pac 12 Championship

Oregon’s only chance at a good win is against Utah in the PAC 12 Championship. The resume isn’t great as they played some average teams really close including Washington and Washington State. A loss to Auburn may end up being the tie breaker between Alabama and Oregon depending on what happens in the Iron Bowl.

Path to the Playoff: Win Out, Georgia loses, Baylor loses, Minnesota loses, Alabama loses

7. Baylor Bears

Baylor Logo

Resume

Record: 9-0

Best Wins: #25 Oklahoma State

Losses: None

Remaining Schedule: #10 Oklahoma, #22 Texas, Kansas, Big 12 Championship

Here comes Baylor’s toughest part of the schedule with Oklahoma and Texas back-to-back. The only way I see Baylor in it is if they win out. Mostly because of their bad non-conference schedule and close games with bad teams (Texas Tech, West Virginia, TCU). Baylor doesn’t pass the eye test so they have to go undefeated.

Path to the Playoff: Win out

8. Oklahoma Sooners

OU

Resume

Record: 8-1

Best Wins: #22 Texas

Losses: Kansas State 48-41

Remaining Schedule: @ #12 Baylor, TCU, @ #25 Oklahoma State

Oklahoma may finish the year with a bad loss and not many impressive wins. The Big 12 has eaten itself alive including OU. One point wins aren’t going to impress the committee, OU has to win out.

Path to the Playoff: Win Out, Alabama and Georgia lose

9. Minnesota Golden Gophers

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Resume

Record: 8-1

Best Wins: #9 Penn State

Losses: None

Remaining Schedule: @ #23 Iowa, @ Northwestern, #15 Wisconsin, Big Ten Championship

Yes they are undefeated and have looked impressive the past few weeks, but what hangs over the Golden Gophers is winning 3 terrible non-conference games by a total of 13 points. However, winning out with the rest of their schedule would be impressive and the committee would look the other way.

Path to the Playoff: Win out or 1 loss Big Ten Champs over Ohio State (the latter creates chaos for the committee)

10. Penn State Nittany Lions

penn_state_nittany_lions_2005-pres

Resume

Record: 8-1

Best Wins: #9 Penn State

Losses: None

Remaining Schedule: #24 Indiana, @ #2 Ohio State, Rutgers, Big Ten Championship

The loss against Minnesota wasn’t really that tough of a blow. The fact remains Penn State still has to beat the Buckeyes for a chance. They would also get a chance to revenge their Minnesota loss in the Big Ten Championship.

Path to the Playoff: Win out

11. Utah Utes

2000px-Utah_Utes_logo.svg

Resume

Record: 8-1

Best Wins: None

Losses: USC 30-23

Remaining Schedule: UCLA, @ Arizona, Colorado, Pac 12 Championship

The Utes have a cake walk to end the regular season. A seven point loss to USC remains a huge dagger in the resume and their only chance at a quality win is in the PAC 12 championship against Oregon. Utah will be in the discussion if they win out, but they need some help.

Path to the Playoff: Win out and some chaos.