Category Archives: College Football

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 13

TGIS Game of the Week

Michigan at Ohio State -7.5 – 11:00am

Michigan is banged up right now including their top player, running back Blake Corum. Ohio State carves up the Wolverines.

Top Picks of the Week

Tulane at Cincinnati UNDER 46.5 – Friday 11:00am

Tulane and Cincinnati are both led by really strong defenses. On the Bearcat side they could be without their starting QB as well… Under hits.

Arizona State at Arizona -4 – Friday 2:00pm

At this time of the year you look at who has quit… I think Arizona State fits the description. Wildcats win easily.

Nebraska at Iowa UNDER 38.5 – Friday 3:00pm

Iowa Unders.

South Carolina +14.5 at Clemson – 11:00am

South Carolina is coming off a huge victory against Tennessee. While you might think this is a letdown spot… not against Clemson. 14 and a hook is too many points.

Iowa State +10 at TCU – 3:00pm

Iowa State brings every one down into the mud. They have only lost one Big 12 game by more than double digits. Iowa State keeps it close.

LSU at Texas A&M +10 – 6:00pm

Call it a gut feeling, but I think A&M steps up for this game to try to play spoiler. They have Devon Achane coming back to play his final game for the Aggies. A&M makes this one interesting.

Tennessee at Vanderbilt +14 – 6:30pm

A Joe Milton led Vols team facing a red hot Vanderbilt team? The Commodores will keep this close.

Notre Dame +5.5 at USC – 6:30pm

USC can’t stop the run. What does the Irish do well? Run the ball. This also fits the theme of the Pac-12… whatever result could hurt the Pac-12 will happen.

Washington at Washington State +2.5 – 9:30pm

This Cougar team is playing really good football down the stretch. They are especially led by their defense. Wazzou wins the Apple Cup.

TGIS Ten Piece -College Football Week 13

By: Nick Radivoj

Sad to say that we are finally at the close of what was a very exciting College Football regular season. We are entering Week 13 with Week 12 bringing us good fortune going 8-2 on the week to bring our season total to 64-54-2 (%54) on the year. We still have plenty of rivalry weekend action to get to so let’s not be sad for reaching the end but be grateful for the exciting games we still have.

Mississippi State (7-4) at #20 Ole Miss (8-3)

When: 7 PM on 11/24

Line: Ole Miss -2.5

Total: 59

A tradition unlike any other as rivalry weekend brings us The Egg Bowl on Thanksgiving night. Many people will be able to recall past Egg Bowls as they unwind from gorging their face with Thanksgiving food and I believe that this one will not disappoint. I think we are in for what could be counted as an upset come Thursday night with Mississippi State taking down Ole Miss to bring them their 4th loss of the season. Rumors have been swirling that Lane Kiffin could end up taking the Auburn job which could have this team thinking about things other than the game in front of them. I want to note that Lane came out to squash these rumors but I will still grab the points with the Bulldogs here as Mike Leach and his team enjoy a Thanksgiving feast on and off the field this year.

The Play: Mississippi State +2.5

#19 Tulane (9-2) at #24 Cincinnati (9-2)

When: 12 PM on 11/25

Line: Cincinnati -2

O/U: 46.5

An exciting game which will help determine who will represent the AAC next weekend in Championship weekend. The line is about right here so I find myself staying away from other side but rather look towards the total. The total is on the lower side bu still see some value here in the under as both teams have formidable defenses. Even after losing a bunch of defensive talent Cincy has looked the part on that side of the football but have shown to be shaky at best on the offensive side of the ball. Winner fails to reach 30 here as we head under the total.

The Play: Under 46.5

Florida (6-5) at #16 Florida State (8-3)

When: 7 PM on 11/25

Line: Florida State -9.5

O/U: 58

It’s been a shaky year thus far for Billy Napier in his first season as Florida’s Head Coach. I think the ups and downs continue here as they fall to in state rival Florida State by double digits. Florida State HC Mike Norvell seems to have gotten this team back on track and the program heading in the right direction that he’s looking for. Jordan Travis has been one of the best improvements in College Football this year and will look to end what could be his final season off right. Give me the Seminoles at home to take it to their in state counterpart.

The Play: Florida State -9.5

Georgia Tech (5-6) at #1 Georgia (11-0)

When: 12 PM on 11/26

Line: Georgia -35.5

O/U: 49

In what used to be a competitive Clean Old Fashioned Rivalry game has slowly turned into a lopsided matchup with Georgia controlling the series. Gerogai could find themselves sleep walking through this game with their eyes on the SEC Championship game for the week following. I will be playing the over this year in hopes that Georgia continuing to do what they do scoring over 40 in this matchup with Georgia Tech tacking on another 7-10 this year to the total. In no way, shape, or form will an upset happen this year but hopefully this rivalry game becomes more competitive over the next few years.

The Play: Over 49

#3 Michigan (11-0) at #2 Ohio State (11-0)

When: 12 PM on 11/26

Line: Ohio State -7.5

O/U: 57

One of the biggest games of the College Football season falls on the last week of the season with 2 Top 3 teams facing off to see who will represent in the Big Ten Championship game. With the collapse of Tennessee, both teams could veryw ell still find themselves in the College Football Playoff but will make that dream come true with a win here. Keep an eye out on the health of RB Blake Corum in this game because if he doesn’t play then I think Michigan won’t stay within the number here. I’m banking on Corum giving it a go. I will be garbbing the points here plus the hook as laying over a touchdown here is too much for me.

South Carolina (7-4) at #8 Clemson (10-1)

When: 12 PM on 11/26

Line: Clemson -14.5

O/U: 52

Spencer Rattler and the Gamecoks had one of their best games of the year last week taking down a Top 5 team in Tennessee and playing spoiler late in the season. Rattler threw for over 400 yards and 6 TDs in the contest as they won by multiple scores. Rattler needs to take the performance he had last week and double down here against in state rival Clemson which is why I’m taking the points with the underdog here. I believe South Carolina can keep this one within 2 TDs here as they’ve shown much improvement throughout the year. Clemson is not the Tigers of old as they don’t provide the offensive firepower they used to behind Trevor Lawrence. They are a much more ground and pound type offense which will help limit the amount of possessions down the stretch for both teams.

Auburn (5-6) at #7 Alabama (9-2)

When: 3:30 PM on 11/26

Line: Alabama -22

O/U: 49

Although battling for their 10th win of the season, it has ben a disappointing season for Alabama who had aspirations of winning it all this year. Their chances of the College Football Playoff are slim to none but still need to show up here to take down their instate rival. I would normally recommend grabbing the number here with Auburn as this game is most always a close one but landed on the under here instead. This Alabama offense has been shaky all throughout the year and don’t think that changes here with a mix up most likely around the corner on offense next year. I wouldn’t count Alabama out for long as they are sure to be back with revenge on their mind next year.

The Play: Under 49

#9 Oregon (9-2) at #21 Oregon State (8-3)

When: 3:30 PM on 11/26

Line: Oregon -3

O/U: 58

Oregon got back on track last weekend taking down Utah by 3. Their offense didn’t look as explosive as it had over the prior few months of football which is a concern here, but I still find myself laying the points with the Ducks. Oregon has slim hopes but if there is chaos in front of them they may still have a back door chance of making the College Football Playoff. With those slim chances aliv, they need to take care of the business in front of them which starts with their in state rival in Oregon State. Bo Nix has shown to be well equipped to win the big games for Oregon and needs to prove strong again to keep Oregon’s hopes alive.

The Play: Oregon -3

#15 Notre Dame (8-3) at #6 USC (10-1)

When: 7:30 PM on 11/26

Line: USC -5.5

O/U: 64.5

I believe win out and they are in is the story for this USC football team. It has been an exciting year on offense for the Trojans as Lincoln Riley along with transfer QB Caleb Williams have shown their explosion week in and week out.  Unfortunately for USC, Lincoln Riley brought his offense and his poor Big 12 defense along with him as USC has on eof the worst defenses from the teasm remaining in the Top 10. If USC ends up getting their name called for the College Football Playoff I think that the journey will be short lived as they won’t be able to hang with other Top teams with their defense the way it is. Given everything that has been said, I am taking the points here with Notre Dame as they will be able to do whatever they want on the offensive side of the ball and if their defense shows up here they are live to upset the Trojans and ruin any playoff aspirations.

The Play: Notre Dame +5.5

Kansas (6-5) at #12 Kansas State (8-3)

When: 7:30 PM on 11/26

Line: Kansas State -12

O/U: 62.5

I ended up easily on the over here as Kansas State has shown explosion on offense over the past few weeks. I strongly believe that Kansas State will score near 40 themselves and will be banking on Kansas to provide the rest for me to get to the window with this over ticket. Kansas State is looking to seal the deal here to punch their ticket to the Big 12 Championship so I don’t expect them to be caught sleeping here during rivalry weekend.

The Play: Over 62.5

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 12

OVERALL RECORD: 235-193-8 (54.9%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 64-54-7 (54.2%)

Coming down the final stretch and the battle to go above 55% continues. Last week TGIS was slightly over the 55% mark finishing 5-4-1. This week… we go undefeated. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 12 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

USC at UCLA +2.5 – 7:00pm

This is the best team USC has faced. There will be plenty of points scored, but I trust the UCLA defense a little bit more. The UCLA loss last week against Arizona was a fluke as the Wildcat’s quarterback Jayden De Lauria was making some very lucky hero ball plays. Things get back to normal with a UCLA win.

Game Pick: UCLA 45-41

Top Picks of the Week

#4 TCU at Baylor Over 57.5 – 11:00am

TCU scored 17 points and Baylor only scored 3 points last week, why in the world would I take the Over? Because things get back to normal with Blake Shapen moving this offense and TCU will be able to take advantage of a bad Baylor secondary. Over hits with ease.

Boston College +21 at Notre Dame – 1:30pm

Notre Dame has messed around with bad teams all year and I still don’t trust them to move the ball. 3 touchdowns is too many.

#1 Georgia -22.5 at Kentucky – 2:30pm

Have you seen Will Levis and the Kentucky offense play the last few weeks?

Miami at #10 Clemson UNDER 48.5 – 2:30pm

Miami can’t really score… and neither can Clemson. The under the key number of 48 is the play.

Texas at Kansas +10 –  2:30pm

Not sure if Jalon Daniels is going to play (game-time decision), but Kansas as a double digit dog at home against a Texas team that plays everyone close? Give me Kansas all day.

Iowa at Minnesota OVER 32 – 3:00pm

Defensive touchdowns exist… and Iowa has moved it (a little) better the last few weeks. 32 is the lowest point total I have ever seen so we are going over.

Georgia Tech +21 at North Carolina – 4:30pm

Another ACC team that plays everyone close, Georgia Tech covers the 3 touchdown spread.

Ole Miss -1.5 at Arkansas – 6:30pm

If KJ Jefferson doesn’t play, this line makes no sense. Arkansas can not move the ball with Malik Hornsby. Ole Miss wins comfortably.

Utah at Oregon OVER 60 – 9:30pm

Utah will be able to take advantage against a poor Oregon secondary. I know Bo Nix might not play, but I still think the Ducks can move the ball. Give me the over.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 11

OVERALL RECORD: 230-189-7 (54.9%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 59-50-6 (54.1%)

It is hard to win bets later in the year. Vegas has pinpointed these teams and lines where finding variance is tough. The last two weeks TGIS has finished 5-5…. we will find the advantage this week though. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 11 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#4 TCU +7.5 at #18 Texas – 6:30pm

The ultimate battle of two opposite teams. Texas starts fast and blows leads. TCU starts slow and comes back. We love TCU to backdoor cover this.

Pick: Texas 34-31

Top Picks of the Week

East Carolina +5.5 at Cincinnati – Friday 7:00pm

East Carolina beat UCF by 21 and is a legitimate team with Holton Ahlers at QB. Meanwhile, we have been fading Cincinnati all year. I like the moneyline sprinkle here too… ECU easy money.

Colorado +34.5 at #9 USC – Friday 8:30pm

Way too many points for this bad USC defense. I know Colorado is bad, but even they can score on USC.

#7 LSU -3 at Arkansas – Saturday 11:00am

LSU is coming off a huge win against Alabama. Arkansas is coming off a terrible loss to Liberty. I don’t understand how the line is only 3 points… LSU is the pick here.

#6 Alabama -11.5 at #11 Ole Miss – 2:30pm

The Ole Miss defense is totally banged up. Expect a similar result of the Mississippi State game after the Tennessee loss.

Wisconsin at Iowa Under 36 – 2:30pm

Neither offense will be able to score on the opposing defense. Expect a defensive battle and low scoring game.

#22 UCF at #16 Tulane -1.5 – 2:30pm

Not sure if John Rhys Plumlee or Mickey Keene is starting at QB for UCF. Doesn’t matter, I like Tulane’s defense against both of them.

#3 Georgia -16.5 at Mississippi State – 6:00pm

Kirby Smart and Nick Saban both have the formula to play defense against Mike Leach. Expect a blowout.

#15 North Carolina at Wake Forest -3.5 – 6:30pm

North Carolina allowed Virginia to score 28 points… Wake Forest might score a million.

Florida State -6.5 at Syracuse – 7:00pm

This Syracuse team is reeling after losing their starting quarterback and their best defensive player. Seminoles in a blowout.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 11

By: Nick Radivoj

We are on to Week 11 of College Football as we were welcomed with another upset from Week 10 with LSU taking down Alabama and now controlling their own destiny to reach Atlanta for the SEC Championship game and a College Football Playoff berth. Last week provided us with a wash of a weekend going 5-5 bringing the season total to 53-46-1 (53.5%) on the year. Plenty of Top 25 matchups and opportunities for teams to play spoiler late in the season here so let’s get to it!

Missouri (4-5) at #5 Tennessee (8-1)

When: 12 PM on 11/12

Line: Tennessee -21

O/U: 56.5

Tennessee’s reign as the number 1 team in the country was short lived as they fall to Georgia on the road. Not all hope is lost because if they handle their business they can find themselves sneaking through the backdoor to the College Football Playoff party. I’ll take Tennessee to cover in a blowout here as the offense gets back on track after being quieted by a top Georgia defense. Star WRs Hiyatt and Tillman will get back in their groove and start looking like star wideouts again. Missouri falls on the road big.

The Play: Tennessee -21

#7 LSU (7-2) at Arkansas (5-4)

When: 12 PM on 11/12

Line: LSU -3

O/U: 64

LSU won their biggest game of the season to date taking down Alabama and now controlling their own destiny to find themselves in Atlanta playing for an SEC Championship game. They now need to shake off the excitement and get ready for their next biggest game of the season as they still need to handle the business in front of them – can the young team do it? I’m grabbing the key number of 3 here with the Razorbacks as this team often loves to play spoiler and can see them doing it yet again to someone at home. They face a similar attack in practice everyday as both teams are led by running QBs so that should give them an advantage there. I’m not in love with this play here but with fans storming the field and players going crazy for a win last week at home cwill they be able to get up for this game?

The Play: Arkansas +3

Oklahoma (5-4) at West Vrginia (3-6)

When: 12 PM on 11/12

Line: Oklahoma -8

O/U: 66

Definitely not the story book start for this Oklahoma regime afte taking over for longtime HC Lincoln Riley but the season isn’t over yet with plenty of time to right the ship for the future. I expect more of the same here in this one as Oklahoma’s offense behind QB Dillon Gabriel. The issue doesn’t lie with the offense but more so the defense as throughout the entire year they’ve shown uncapable of stopping opposing offenses. West Virginia doesn’t offer a whole lot but score is one thing that they can do. I believe this game will illustrate perfectly what Big 12 football has been over the years in  a shootout to the finish line.

The Play: Over 66

#9 Alabama (7-2) at #11 Ole Miss (8-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 11/12

Line: Alabama -12

O/U: 63.5

One of the easier plays of the weekend as I will be laying the points here with Alabama. Alabama has been one of the most talented teams throughout the year but just hasn’t been able to put it all together on the field. Their SEC West champion hopes are dwindling away and are in the hands of others as opposed to controlling their own destiny. I expect Nick Saban to get Bryce Young and this team ready as the remainder of these games could be as an audition for both players and coordinators as I expect some shakeups to be made here in the offseason. Ole Miss offense is mainly through the ground game and being one dimensional I expect Bamaa to be able to lock in on Dart and the ground attack. Any hopes Alabama does have for a late season run needs to be showcased here as they take care of business.

The Play: Alabama -12

#22 UCF (7-2) at #17 Tulane (8-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 11/12

Line: Tulane -2

O/U: 54.5

A Top 25 matchup most no one would have predicted entering this season as UCF and Tulane square off in a battle to see who will be leading the AAC. I will be fading Gus Malzahn in this spot here as  hi soffense seems to be rather 1 dimensional these days with the Knights. I’m hoping that UCF QB John Rhys Plumlee is cleared to start this game as Tulane will look to load the box to stop the rushing attack since Plumlee isn’t the most dangerous of threats to throw the ball. Green Wave keep their streak alive and take down the Knights from Florida.

The Play: Tulane -2

#1 Georgia (9-0) at Mississippi State (6-3)

When: 7 PM on 11/12

Line: Georgia -16.5

O/U: 53.5

The National Champion Georgia Bulldogs find themselves atop of the College Football world yet again after taking down then #1 Tennessee in dominating fashion at home. The offense seemed to be clicking on all cylinders along with the defense. Georgia was able to shut down Tennessee explosive passing game and I expect more of the same here as Kirby Smart will be able to develop a game plan to shut down the Bulldog’s air raid attack. Georgia gets out of Starkville with a 3 score lead with their eyes still on the prize for another National Championship run.

The Play: Georgia -16.5

#25 Washington (7-2) at #6 Oregon (8-1)

When: 7 PM on 11/12

Line: Oregon -13.5

O/U: 72.5

An exciting Pac 12 matchup awaits in Eugene, Oregon this weekend in what could showcase the team that ends up coming out victorious in the Pac 12. These offenses showcase some skilled offensive play led by QBs Bo Nix for Oregon and Michael Penix for Washington. Penix has been an exciting revelation for what used to be a relatively unexciting Washington offense. Meanwhile, Bo Nix looks like a completely different person from his days at Auburn as he has been lighting up the scoreboards and opponents this season. Oregon’s early season loss might be explained away as a first time Head Coach led by a transfer QB not quite clicking on all cylinders right off the bat. I expect more of the same here as Oregon should pile over 040 points and with Penix and the Huskies playing catchup I see this one heading over on yet another high total of the weekend.

The Play: Over 72.5

#19 Kansas State (6-3) at Baylor (6-3)

When: 7 PM on 11/12

Line: Baylor -2.5

O/U: 53

I’m expecting Big 12 style football to show up yet again as this one will be going over the total. I would prefer to have a clearer depiction of who will be starting behind center for the Wildcats but still believe that Kansas State will move the ball down the field to provide us with a shootout. Meanwhile, the Bears have shown over the past month of football that their offense can stand toe to toe with most anyone in College Football. Winner reaches the 30 mark and loser isn’t far too behind as we go over the total.

The Play: Over 53

#4 TCU (9-0) at #18 Texas (6-3)

When: 7:30 PM on 11/12

Line: Texas -7

O/U: 64.5

Texas ha showcased week in and out that they have some of the most talent in College Football but also display why they have 3 losses som far on the season. They are a young talented team who haven’t quite figured out yet how to win a tight game. Meanwhile, TCU stays unbeaten managing to hold off Texas Tech winning 34-24. The score doesn’t do the game much justice as it was tied for relatively most of the afternoon. Star WR Quentin Johnston exited the game early against Texas Tech and was aunable to return impacting the Horned Frog offense greatly as they didn’t look the same bit explosive without him. Keep an eye out on any injury update regarding the star WR because if he can’t suit up and play then this one won’t be close.  I feel as if the spread is taking that injury into consideration so as will I. I’m playing the under here as we won’t be getting an afternoon of trading touchdowns but rather methodically driving the ball and if Johnston plays he surely won’t be 100 percent.

The Play: Under 64

#15 North Carolina (8-1) at Wake Forest (6-3)

When: 7:30 PM on 11/12

Line: Wake Forest -3.5

O/U: 76.5

Never in my wildest dreams would I think I would find myself suggesting an over with a total this high but alas here I am. This could prove to be one of the most exciting games of this football season ans it delivers us with two exciting offenses led by two talented QBs in Drake Maye for North Carolina and Sam Hartman for Wake Forest. Both teams find themselves staring at the mirror here as they have high powered offenses but defenses that struggle mightily. I don’t expect either one of these teams to have much success stopping the other and believe both teams could reach the 40 point threshold here.

The Play: Over 76.5

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 10

OVERALL RECORD: 225-184-7 (55%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 54-45-6 (54.5%)

There were so many close loses and bad beats last week. Still, TGIS finished 5-5. We will look to go undefeated on College Football’s BIGGEST weekend. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 10 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#1 Tennessee at #3 Georgia UNDER 66.5

Georgia has seen all the game film on the Tennessee offense. Guess what? The key is to not let Jalin Hyatt get deep. This Georgia secondary is plenty talented to keep Tennessee from breaking open the flood gates. On the offensive side of the ball, I see Georgia running the ball and having a conservative offensive game plan. I don’t see this being a shootout like the Alabama/Tennessee game, but think it will still be a classic.

Game Pick: Georgia 34-24

Top Picks of the Week

Duke -10 at Boston College – Friday 6:00pm

Boston College is literally using defensive lineman to play offensive line.. After losing to UConn 13-3, we are all over Duke.

Air Force vs Army Under 40.5 – 10:30am

Academy service unders are 42-9-1. Just take the under and take the win.

#17 North Carolina -7 at Virginia – 11:00am

This line went from -11 to -7 after defensive players Noah Taylor and Des Evans were announced out for the season… the shift in the line is way too big. I cannot imagine Virginia’s offense being able to keep up with the Drake Maye-led North Carolina offense.

Texas Tech +9.5 at #7 TCU -11:00am

This line is too big. The key is to take Baylor’s 45-17 win last week against the Red Raiders with a grain of salt as Baylor was able to confuse Texas Tech quarterback Behren Morton with scheme diversity. I don’t think TCU’s 90th ranked defense can do that. Texas Tech will keep this game tight and this is worth a moneyline sprinkle at +275.

Navy +20 at Cincinnati – 3:00pm

20 points is too many for this Cincinnati team who has messed around with bad teams before (specifically South Florida). Navy keeps this close.

#24 Texas at #13 Kansas State OVER 54 – 6:00pm

You just saw the Wildcats scorch Oklahoma State’s defense winning 48-0. I like Texas to score some points coming off the bye week in what is a pivotal game to see who will take control of who will go to the Big 12 championship. Over 54 all day.

#6 Alabama -12.5 at #10 LSU – 6:00pm

Alabama needed the bye week. I can see this being a statement game for the Tide who flat out do not lose when they play at Tiger Stadium (Bryant-Denny West). Jayden Daniels won’t be ready for this Tide defense. With the line under two touchdowns, give me the Tide.

#5 Clemson -3.5 at Notre Dame – 6:30pm

I have no idea how Notre Dame will move it on Clemson. The key is to attack Notre Dame’s secondary which I can’t see Notre Dame doing. Further, the Fighting Irish’s win against Syracuse was kind of fraudulent after Syracuse QB went out of the game. I’m all over Clemson in this one and believe they will win comfortably.

Florida State -7 at Miami – 6:30pm

There was exactly zero touchdowns scored in the Miami and Virginia 14-12 (4OT) game. Miami’s QB Jake Garcia has a lot of talent, but is not developed yet. Miami’s offense won’t be able to keep their scoring up with Jordan Travis and Florida State. Florida State -7.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 10

By: Nick Radivoj

We enter Week 10 of the College Football season which also brings us the first ranking of the College Football poll. A shake up inside the Top 3 as Tennesssee finds themselves atop the College Football landscape for the first time in decades. Before jumping into Week 10 action let’s recap the week that was. Week 9 brought us a 4-5-1 record on the week bringing us to 48-41-1 (54%) on the season. We have multiple exciting Top 10 matchups this weekend so let’s not waste anymore time and jump in to the action.

Texas Tech (4-4) at #7 TCU (8-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/5

Line: TCU -9.5

O/U: 69.5

TCU has been one of the more exciting revelations in College Football this season behind their high-powered offense. U OC Garrett Riley might have a familiar name to most as he is brother of offensive mastermind Lincoln Riley. Garrett has shown that the apple hasn’t fallen far from the family tree as TCU displays one of the best offenses in football week in and out. TCU has aspirations of bigger things in the playoffs but needs to play one week at a time as we’ve seen throughout this season that any team can fall on any given Saturday. TCU went on the road and won by 10 last weekend behind QB Max Duggan’s big day but the score may be a little misleading as the game was close the entire time and got stretched to 10 points with under a minute left to play. Texas Tech got throttled by Baylor at home by 28 points and I’m unsure how we don’t see more of the same this week as they travel on the road to face an undefeated TCU team. I was leaning towards a potential under here but see this Horned Frogs team winning by double digits against their in state rival.

The Play: TCU -9.5

#17 North Carolina (7-1) at Virginia (3-5)

When: 12 PM on 11/5

Line: North Carolina -7.5

O/U: 59

It’s looking like a potential North Carolina Clemson matchup awaits us in early December to determine who will win the ACC. North Carolina behind first year starting QB Drake Maye has looked every bit the part this year on offense but seem to struggle on the defensive side of the ball. Virginia has been one of the bottom teams in the ACC this year and doesn’t have the weapons on offense to be able to expose North Carolina consistently throughout the 60 minutes of this contest. This line started at 9.5 earlier in the week with money coming in on the Cavaliers to bring it back down to 7. I will gladly take one of the high powered offenses in the ACC to run away with this one as Virginia won’t be able to hold serve against the Tar Heels. Virginia couldn’t surpass 12 points with 4 overtimes against Miami last Saturday while North Carolina can put up over 12 points in under 4 minutes.

The Play: North Carolina -7

Florida (4-4) at Texas A&M (3-5)

When: 12 PM on 11/5

Line: Texas A&M -3

O/U: 54

This play is based more on outside factors of a program needing a win more than what is displayed on the field. Jimbo Fisher got more out of QB Conner Weigman than he’s gotten all year from Max Johnson or Haynes King so Texas A&M may have finally found their stride on offense. Both teams are coming off losses from last week but while A&M can stay at home Florida has to return from Jacksonville then head west to play this game in College Station. Florida QB Anthony Richardson seemed a little hobbled against Georgia beind a minimal threat on the ground to run and without that threat he becomes very one dimensional ass a limited passing QB at this point in his career. Jimbo and this Aggie program needs a win and can’t fall to 3-6 after the strides they had in last years recruiting cycle.

The Play: Texas A&M -3

#1 Tennessee (8-0) at #3 Georgia (8-0)

When: 3:30 PM

Line: Georgia -8.5

O/U: 65.5

After 8 weeks of undefeated football, I finally am a believer of this Tennessee football team. They may not pull off the upset inside Athens, but I think they keep this one within the number. Unfortunate for Georgia as they lose one of their top defensive players in Nolan Smith for the season before their biggest game of the year. Nolan is a key contributor to Georgia’s defense and one of the biggest leaders as this is his 4th year in the program. Meanwhile, Tennessee got star WR Cedric Tillman back from an ankle injury to pair with breakout speedster Jalin Hyatt. QB Hendon Hooker has displayed a mastery of this offense as he can beat you threw the air and then pick up first downs on the ground when everything is defended perfectly on the back end. Georgia’s speed on defense will be something that Tennessee hasn’t faced all year but when their hurry up offense gets going it’s hard for anyone to stop. Georgia will need their offense to snap back into shape as QB Stetson Bennett has looked shaky over the past few weeks throwing a pair of interceptions last week against Florida. Florida doesn’t have the offensive firepower to take advantage of mistakes but this Volunteer defense does.

The Play: Tennessee +8.5

#18 Oklahoma State (6-2) at Kansas (5-3)

When: 3:30 PM on 11/5

Line: Oklahoma State -2

O/U: 65.5

Oklahoma State is looking for revenge on the state of Kansas in this game as they suffered a beat down of 48-0 by the hands of Kansas State last week. QB Spencer Sanders was under pressure all afternoon by Wildcat defenders but should face an easier time in this one as Kansas doesn’t have nearly as talented a defensive line as their in state counterparts. Kansas showed to have offensive firepower earlier in the season behind QB Jalon Daniels but have since been quieted after his injury. Backup QB Jason Bean has shown flashes at times but still doesn’t show the hold of the offense that Daniels had earlier. Mike Gundy and the Cowboys team get back on track going 1-1 inside the state of Kansas.

The Play: Oklahoma State -2

#6 Alabama (7-1) at #10 LSU (6-2)

When: 7 PM on 11/5

Line: Alabama -13

O/U: 58

These teams share a few tings in common coming into this game in that they are both coming off of a bye and both have their lone SEC loss handed to them by Tennessee. No favors were handed here to Alabma as they go into a hostile environment at night in Death Valley to take on a Top 15 ranked LSU team. LSU has progressed all year under first year HC Brian Kelly but will have one of their tougher tasks ahead of them in slowing down former Heisman winning QB Bryce Young. Bryce has showcased why many think he will be a top QB in next years NFL Draft and this Alabama team could very well find themselves with a few more losses were in not for his late game heroics. Alabama’s defense got back on track prior to the bye and I expec tt a good game plan to keep LSU’s offense under transfer QB Jayden Daniels in check. A night game will surely have an impact on Bama’s offense which has shown signs to struggle on the road as they don’t clearly have a number one WR to lean on week over week. Points at a premium here.

The Play: Under 58

#24 Texas (5-3) at #13 Kansas State (6-2)

When: 7 PM on 11/5

O/U: Texas -2.5

O/U: 54.5

In Sark I trust. I’m laying the points here with the Longhorns as I have full faith in Coach Sark and star QB Quinn Ewers to pull this one off on the road. Defensive Coordinator Gary Patterson will surely have a good game plan up his sleeve to be able to quiet this Kansas State offense who seems to be able to move the ball despite who is behind center these days. Teas’ offensive line will have a tough test ahead of them as Kansas State has one of the better defensive lines in the Big 12 which was on display last week sacking Oklahoma State QB Spencer Sanders repeadtedly throughout the afternoon. With all of that being said, I trust Coach Sark’s playcalling here to have players running wide open just as he did as OC for Alabama. Texas is a talented young team who struggles to close out games at the end but look to change the narrative here.

The Play: Texas -2.5

#4 Clemson (8-0) at Notre Dame (5-3)

When: 7:30 PM on 11/5

Line: Clemson -4

O/U: 44.5

This play would have easily been the under if I were able to release this earlier in the week. Total sat at 47.5 earlier in the week before being bought down to the current total of 44.5. I’m with the people here as I’m expecting a defensive minded and ground game type of game. I don’t expect Dabo to come out throwing the ball with DJ Uiagalelei but rather maintain and establish the ground game. DJ has shown in his time as a starter to both show flashes of great play but then make boneheaded mistakes giving everyone doubts when he drops back to pass. Clemson’s stout defensive line will set the tone for them on defense but it is the secondary which scares me in this contest as they have been the weak link on defnese throughout the year. If Clemson has any playoff hopes they need to come out of South Bend with a win here but this game will be a fight until the end. Clemson wins by 3 but Notre Dame proves to be a great team with the cover.

The Play: Notre Dame +4

Florida State (5-3) at Miami (4-4)

When: 7:30 PM on 11/5

Line: Florida State -7.5

O/U: 53

A major battle inside the state of Florida for these once top football programs. Both teams hope to have found their head coaches for the future in Mario Cristobal for Miami and Mike Norvell for Florida State. Patience is a virtue for these fan bases as it takes time to establish a culture and get your guys in the building to then win some football games. With all that being said, Miami has struggled to score points against Power 5 defenses as they barely managed to score 14 last weekend in a 4 overtime win over Virginia. No disrespect to Virginia but they aren’t exactly the 1985 Chicago Bears. Although they have struggled on offense, Miami has sent out a stout defense to keep their team within arms reach and I expect that to continue here. I would have loved to grab the touchdown and hook with the Hurricanes here but as I still believe they are far away from the talent Florida State has on the offensive end I will play the under. Miami’s defense will be able to keep the Seminoles in check but if they pop off for a few scores Miami’s offense does not have the firepower to keep it within 7.

The Play: Under 53

#20 Wake Forest (6-2) at #21 NC State (6-2)

When: 8 PM on 11/5

Line: Wake Forest -4.5

O/U: 54

Rather unusual weekends for these two teams last weekend as Wake Forest ended up getting routed by Louisville on the road and NC State managed a come from behind win in the 4th quarter. NC State has missed their star QB Devin Leary since his injury earlier in the season but have managed to find wins behind their strong defensive line and care for the ball on the offensive side of the ball. Wake Forest has shown signs of offensive explosion over the course of the year but was quieted last weekend against the Cardinals. NC State’s key to the game will be not not lose it on the offensive side of the ball and give their defense a chance to make plays. Every drive should end for a kick for this Wolfpack team whether it be a point after, field goal, or punt. Wake Forest runs a mesh point style offense where it drags out the run pass option as long as it can making the opposing defense to commit one way or the other. This results in some illegal man downfield penalties but big explosion plays as well. I trust NC State’s strong defensive line to blow up the mesh point and create havoc for Sam Hartman and the Deacons throughout the night. Yet again points will be at a premium.

The Play: Under 54

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 9

OVERALL RECORD: 220-179-7 (55.1%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 49-40-6 (55.1%)

Well last week we went 4-6-2 (not sure what is happening with all the ties this year). After the lackluster week we are hitting exactly 55.1% both on the season and overall. That is decent… but TGIS can do better. This is a major dog week with multiple highly ranked teams going on the road. Get ready for a wild one… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 9 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#2 Ohio State at #13 Penn State UNDER 61.5 – 11:00am

Don’t let the 54 points against Iowa fool you, the Ohio State offense did not look great against Iowa. It was more of the Iowa offense just being the worst offense I’ve ever seen and not being able to stay on the field. Meanwhile, Ohio State’s defense has played well so far this season. I’m going to bet this game stays under control with Penn State trying to establish the run.

Game Pick: Ohio State 34-20

Top Picks of the Week

East Carolina +3 at BYU– Friday 7:00pm

BYU is a flat out bad football team. Last week Liberty’s third string quarterback Johnathan Bennett completed 82.8% of his passes against the BYU defense. This was after he completed a little over 50% of his passes against Gardner-Webb and UMass. East Carolina has a solid quarterback in Holton Ahlers, I believe ECU can win this game, give me the points while you are at it.

Oklahoma -1 at Iowa State – 11:00am

Oklahoma is a totally different team with quarterback Dillon Gabriel healthy. No way Iowa State can score enough points to keep up.

Notre Dame at #16 Syracuse UNDER 47.5 – 11:00am

Syracuse’s defense has been very good this year and may get their star cornerback Garrett Williams back. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has struggled to score. This one will be low scoring.

Northwestern at Iowa UNDER 37.5 – 2:30pm

Iowa unders. End of story. Especially against Northwestern.

#9 Oklahoma State at #22 Kansas State OVER 56 – 2:30pm

Have you seen Big 12 games recently? The last three Oklahoma State games have all had over 72 total points. I’m betting on Adrian Martinez playing and this over hitting with ease.

#8 Oregon -17 at Cal – 2:30pm

Oregon’s offense has been unstoppable against Pac-12 competition. On the other side is a Cal team that was beat by Colorado and has averaged under 5 yards per play against the last two weeks. This won’t be a Golden Bear trap, expect a huge day for Bo Nix against Cal.

#10 USC -15.5 at Arizona – 6:00pm

You know that terrible Cal offense I just talked about? The Wildcats gave up 49 points to them. Arizona won’t be able to stop USC at all.

#19 Kentucky at #3 Tennessee -12.5 – 6:00pm

Tennessee has too much offense and the Vols defensive line will dominate against a bad Kentucky offensive line. Tennessee wins big, huge, gigantically.

Michigan State at #4 Michigan -21.5 – 6:30pm

Michigan State had 7 rushing yards when they played Ohio State. They’re not going to be able to run on Michigan either. I’ve said it all year to fade this Michigan State team… don’t stop now.

#15 Ole Miss at Texas A&M UNDER 55– 6:30pm

Texas A&M is suspending players, has two offensive lineman out for the year and starting QB Haynes King has a bad shoulder. I would take Ole Miss, but they have injuries as well. 55 points is too high of an Over/Under for a Texas A&M game, especially with Wegman most likely starting. Give me the under all day.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 9

By: Nick Radivoj

We recap Week 8 with a lackluster 4-6 record bringing us to 44-36 (55%) on the year. Last week easily could have given us another winning record as we were a mere point away from a total we played along with some spreads we could have easily landed our way on. We learn and we move forward as Week 9 provides us an exciting slate to look forward to.

#2 Ohio State (7-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1)

When: 10 PM on 10/29

Line: Ohio State -15.5

O/U: 61

CJ Stroud and the Buckeye offense have finally hit their stride looking explosive in every facet of their offense. Stroud has his eyes on a Heisman Trophy this year but better yet a National Championship as Ohio State has everything they need to compete. Penn State is better equipped to face Ohio State than they were Michigan as they contain a better pass defense than rush defense but ultimately it won’t be enough to quiet this Ohio State team. Penn State’s QB Sean Clifford could be the game changer in this one either being Jekyll or Hyde but with his shaky track record I don’t expect him to shock the world. This one may be close early but Buckeyes pull away big late.

The Play: Ohio State -15.5

#7 TCU (7-0) at West Virginia (3-4)

When: 12 PM on 10/29

Line: TCU -7.5

O/U: 69

TCU could have very well found themselves coming into this game with their first loss of the season were it not for a second half explosion from the Horned Frogs and some injury luck on their side with Kansas State starting QB going down in that contest. They were almost caught slipping and it almost caught them so I fully expect the Horned Frogs to be ready in this one. West Virginia is coming off a horrific 48-10 loss by the hands of Texas Tech and I see more of the same in this game. Max Duggan and TCU’s offense shouldn’t have too much difficulty moving the ball against West Virginia and building themselves a comfortable lead will make this already pass happy West Virginia team even more one dimensional. TCU keeps their perfect season going with a blowout win.

The Play: TCU -7.5

Florida (4-3) at #1 Georgia (7-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/29 (Jacksonville)

Line: Georgia –22.5

O/U: 57

Both teams come into this contest well rested as they are both coming off a bye. Although lacking in the passing game, Florida QB Anthony Richardson brings a different skill set behind center that Georgia and most every other team haven’t seen this year. Richardson is very capable to killing opposing defenses in the run game but still needs to develop tenfold as a passer. Georgia should handle this one rather easily as the Gators are still a year or so away from competing under Billy Napier’s new regime. I think Georgia builds an early lead and looks to get out of dodge as they prepare for their biggest game net week against Tennessee. Early lead for Georgia leads to running the ball the rest of the game.

The Play: Under 57

#8 Oregon (6-1) at California (3-4)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/29

Line: Oregon -17

O/U: 58

Oregon has quietly dominated their schedule after the beating they took from Georgia Week 1 of this College Football season. Oregon’s domination continues as they find themselves playing one of the worst teams in the Pac 12 in California. As long as Bo Nix’s road woes don’t show up here then I think this game should look awfully similar to the one played last weekend against UCLA. I’m going to keep this one short and sweet just like Oregon will for us behind Bo Nix and this rather explosive offense located in Eugene.

The Play: Oregon -17

#9 Oklahoma State (6-1) at #22 Kansas State (5-2)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/29

Line: Kansas State -1.5

O/U: 56

A tale of two stories for these teams as Oklahoa State comes from behind late against Texas to win while Kansas State folds over an 18 point lead to ultimately lose by 10 against TCU. Kansas State didn’t score a point in the 2nd half but much of that is do to their starting QB exiting the game with injury. Martinez is expected to be back for this game which is great news for the Wildcats as they didn’t find much success moving the ball behind their backup QB not scoring a single point after halftime. Meanwhile, Spencer Sanders and company look to keep their Big 12 Championship dreams alive but face a difficult contest going on the road to face Kansas State. I believe under could be a great play in this one, but Kansas State has shown time and time again the ability to play spoilers at home.

The Play: Kansas State -1.5

#17 Illinois (6-1) at Nebraska (3-4)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/29

Line: Illinois -7.5

O/U: 50.5

No, you aren’t dreaming Illinois still finds themselves in the Top 25 here in Week 9 of this College Football season. Unfortunately for them, I think their run ends here with a potential outright underdog winner for Nebraska. I’m taking the points here with the Cornhuskers as some young teams aren’t built to win on the road. Nebraska’s offense seems to have hit their stride here scoring over 35 in 2 of their last 3 and winning 2 since the firing of Scott Frost. Meanwhile, Illinois’ offense has takena  little bit of a step back and with a young team going on the road I will gladly take the points for a Nebraska cover.

The Play: Nebraska +7.5

#19 Kentucky (5-2) at Tennessee (7-0)

When: 7 PM on 10/29

Line: Tennessee -12.5

O/U: 63.5

Death, taxes, and a Tennessee over. Tennessee fans and faithful find themselves experiencing the highest of highs being ranked #3 in the nation with what should be the biggest game of the year next week facing off against #1 Georgia in Athens. I know this game is coming up and most likely so do Tennessee players so let’s hope we aren’t overlooking Kentucky here and slip up before the big dance. Hendon Hooker and this Volunteer offense provide too much explosion for Kentucky, or any team, to contain. Tennessee’s hurry up offense and explosive plays leave opposing defenses drained and defeated. Kentucky should be playing catch up which will help us find ourselves over this total. I love taking Will Levis in big games but can’t find myself pciking against Tennessee after having seen how they’ve looked the past few weeks.

The Play: Over 63.5

Michigan State (3-4) at #4 Michigan (7-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/29

Line: Michigan -22

O/U: 54.5

Week 9 welcomes us with an exciting matchup between these in state Big Ten rivals. A tale of 2 stories for these two teams as Michigan has its eyes set on a Big Ten Championship game and potential College Football Playoff berth while Michigan State is scratching and clawing their way to try and stay bowl eligible. As displayed throughout the year, one of the easiest ways to take down Michigan State is through the air passing. Michigan has shown the ability to pass the ball all over the field but at the same time are much more of a run team behind star RB Blake Corum. The BIg House will surely add an extra element to this game as it will be packed for a night time showdown with the Spartans. Michigan’s defense isn’t as stout as normally would expect but don’t go up against much talent in Michigan State so this one should result in a blow out on paper but never know what to expect in a rivalry game.

The Play: Michigan -22

#15 Ole Miss (7-1) at Texas A&M (3-4)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/29

Line: Ole Miss -2.5

O/U: 55

How will Ole Miss bounce back after taking their first loss of the season? The Rebels seemed to be on their way to their 8th win of the year last season jumping out to an early 17-3 lead before LSU came stormng back to take that one away in a big win for the Tigers. Ole Miss stays somewhat alive for the SEC West needing a little help from friends, but they will all but seal their fate if they don’t win in College Station this weekend. Texas A&M is coming off a loss of their own losing to South Carolina on the road last weekend but will have the 12th man behind them in this one to impact Ole Miss. Both teams enjoy running the ball here and with that continuously keeping the clock ticking I will gladly find myself on yet another Texas A&M under. Neither team crosses the 30 mark as we cash another under in Kyle Field.

The Play: Under 55

Pittsburgh (4-3) at #21 North Carolina (6-1)

When: 8 PM on 10/29

Line: North Carolina -2.5

O/U: 64

Pat Narduzzi and this Pittsburgh team look like a far cry away from the team we saw last year with QB Kenny Pickett. Their offensive playcalling seems to have fallen back to old school football as opposed to the scheme they were running last year and it shows on tape and in the stat sheets. I normally love playing  aNorth Carolina over but with a major question mark in regards to Pittsburgh’s offense I can’t recommend. North Carolina’s defense has been shaky all year which should lead to some easier drives for Pittsburgh than they have experienced as of late but Pitt will be going up against a buzzsaw in North Carolina’s offense. Drake May has continued to impress throughout the year and will showcase this high powered Tar Heel offense under the lights as North Carolina wins this one at home.

The Play: North Carolina -2.5

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 8

OVERALL RECORD: 216-173-5 (55.5%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 45-34-4 (57%)

TGIS was HOT AGAIN in week 7 going 8-4. We are now a blistering 57% heading up towards our goal of 60%. on the year. Only way we are going to get there is to keep the win streak going… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 8 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#9 UCLA +6 at #10 Oregon – 2:30pm

Expect a rainy game as that is what is in the forecast all weekend in Eugene, Oregon. These are two explosive offenses which could be a preview of the Pac-12 championship. Both teams will rely on the run, but could still hit explosives against the defense. Also both Dorian Thomas-Robinson and Bo Nix are completing above 70%. How will the rain affect the matchup? We will find out… Just give me the points

Pick: 35-31 UCLA

Top Picks of the Week

Virginia at Georgia Tech -3 – Thursday 6:30pm

During the college football year it is important to find the frauds and terrible teams and fade them. It is where the term “fade the frauds” started. Well in this case Virginia is a fraud, bad, no good for nothing team. Their offensive line is awful. Their offensive style is awful. Georgia Tech wins this big. FADE THE FRAUDS.

Cincinnati at SMU +3.5 – 11:00am

Nobody has been watching Cincinnati since the Arkansas game, but let me fill you in… they’ve been been messing around all year. The Bearcats had a really close game with a bad South Florida team and now they are laying points on the road? No thank you, give me Tanner Mordecai, SMU and the points.

Kansas +8 at Baylor OVER 58 – 11:00am

Both of these teams were just in shoot outs totaling 83 points and 94 points. Now we get a point total of just 58 points? Sign me up. Kansas backup quarterback Jason Bean wasn’t too bad scoring 42 points against Oklahoma. Oh ya… Baylor also could be without their starting quarterback Blake Sharpen. Expect another shoot out and Kansas to keep it close.

#14 Syracuse at #5 Clemson UNDER 51.5 – 11:00am

Syracuse wasn’t able to score over 24 points against Virginia or NC State. Do you think they’ll be able to score points against Clemson? No. Syracuse’s defense is also sneaky good. Expect a low scoring ugly game.

BYU -6.5 at Liberty – 2:30pm

Liberty was just in a tight one with Gardner Webb. I know they are 6-1, but their strength of schedule is terrible. BYU gets it back on track with a double digit win.

#20 Texas -6 at #11 Oklahoma State – 2:30pm

Oklahoma State has their homecoming this weekend which is one of the biggest homecomings in the nation… but that doesn’t matter. Texas is coming off a letdown game against Iowa State. But they will get right this weekend as they face the Pokes’ 126th ranked passing defense. Texas wins big and takes control of their Big 12 championship hopes.

#24 Mississippi State at #6 Alabama UNDER 61.5 – 6:00pm

Mississippi State hasn’t scored a touchdown in Bryant Denny since Dak Prescott in 2014. I’m not sure what Alabama offense shows up though so we are just taking the under.

Texas A&M at South Carolina UNDER 46.5 – 6:30pm

Texas A&M’s unders have hit all year. Their young defensive front is maturing, but their offense hasn’t figured it out yet. This will be a very low scoring game.

Minnesota at #16 Penn State -4 – 6:30pm

Penn State scheduled this as their white out game. And we absolutely love them in this spot as Minnesota may not have Tanner Morgan for this game. Minnesota only had 38 total passing yards without him against Illinois… Penn State will bounce back after a bad week in Michigan.

#17 Kansas State +3.5 at #8 TCU – 7:00pm

TCU had a major comeback win in OT last week against Oklahoma State. But Oklahoma State was controlling and winning that game through three quarters. I can see TCU, 90th ranked defense, having trouble with Adrian Martinez’s legs and the run game. This is a tough spot for TCU with the Wildcats coming off a bye week. I actually like Kansas State to win outright.

Washington -7 at Cal – 9:30pm

Cal just lost to the worst FBS team, Colorado, in college football and has shown zero offense. Washington will be able to outscore them and blow them out with Michael Pennix. Washington wins big.