Category Archives: College Football

Championship Week College Football Preview

OVERALL RECORD: 168-133-3 (55.8%)

2021 SEASON RECORD: 90-77-2 (53.9%)

Started hot, ended cold for a 6-8 week. Doesn’t matter. It is championship week and we are going undefeated… HERE ARE THIS WEEK’S PICKS:

Championship Game of the Week (All Times CST)

Alabama (+6.5) vs Georgia UNDER 50.5 – 3:00pm

The quarterback edge goes to Bama, but I still have no idea how Alabama’s offensive line blocks that Georgia front seven. Alabama is still a top four team in the nation and keeps it close. Dawgs in a close classic.

Pick: Georgia 24-21

Top Picks of the Week

Western Kentucky -2.5 vs UTSA – Friday 6:00pm

What does TGIS do each week? Bet Western Kentucky.

Oregon vs Utah -2.5 – Friday 7:00pm

We saw this game two weeks ago when Utah crushed Oregon by 30 points. Utah wins again.

Houston +10.5 vs Cincinnati – 3:00pm

A huge matchup to watch is Cincinnati’s average offensive line versus a very good Houston defensive line. Houston keeps it close and may mess around and win. I like a little Houston moneyline sprinkle as well.

USC at Cal -4.5 – 10:00pm

USC was protesting this game earlier this week. The Trojans have totally quit. Cal by double digits.

Week 13 College Football Preview

OVERALL RECORD: 162-125-3 (56.4%)

2021 SEASON RECORD: 84-69-2 (54.9%)

10-2 LAST WEEK!!! We are hot just at the right time entering the last week of a full slate. Happy Thanksgiving… HERE ARE THIS WEEK’S PICKS:

Week 13 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

Ohio State at Michigan UNDER 64.5– 11:00am

Yes I saw Ohio State’s offense go off last week. But Michigan’s defense is much better than Michigan State’s. Not to mention Michigan State was missing quite a few starters last week. I expect Michigan to keep this close and the under to hit.

Pick: Ohio State 34-28

Top Picks of the Week

Ole Miss +2.5 at Mississippi State UNDER 64 – Thursday 6:30pm

Ole Miss’ injuries scare me a little bit… but they’re a better team the Mississippi State. Expect some rainy and windy conditions that will keep the score low.

Army +3.5 at Liberty – 11:00am

Liberty cannot stop the run as evidenced from their 42-14 loss to Louisiana. That is all Army does. Army wins.

Wake Forest at Boston College OVER 64 – 11:00am

Boston College has Phil Jurkovec back and Wake Forest’s defense is terrible. Expect a ton of points.

Alabama at Auburn OVER 55.5 – 2:30pm

I expect Alabama’s offense to continue to keep up the high scoring. I’m not sure which Alabama defense shows up so we will just take the over.

Penn State -1 at Michigan State – 2:30pm

Michigan State may still have players out. Meanwhile, Penn State is getting healthy and are the better team. Penn State wins this one.

Western Kentucky +1.5 at Marshall – 2:30pm

If you haven’t noticed… TGIS takes Western Kentucky every week. This strategy has remained highly profitable with Western Kentucky going 9-2 against the spread. This week is another blind Western Kentucky bet.

Wisconsin -7 at Minnesota – 3:00pm

Like we said last week, Wisconsin blows out bad teams and keeps it close against decent teams. Minnesota is kind of in the middle. Wisconsin by 10.

Texas A&M at LSU UNDER 46.5 – 6:00pm

Both of these defenses are good. Both of these offenses are average. The under hits.

Kentucky +3 at Louisville – 6:30pm

Wrong team favored. Louisville has looked good against bad ACC teams… Kentucky is not that. Kentucky wins.

Oklahoma +4.5 at Oklahoma State UNDER 50 – 6:30pm

Oklahoma and Oklahoma State’s offenses have really struggled this year. Meanwhile both of these defenses have been stout. So take the under and take the points.

BYU -7 at USC – 9:30pm

USC has absolutely quit and has nothing to play for. BYU in a blowout.

Week 12 College Football Preview

OVERALL RECORD: 152-123-3 (55.3%)

2021 SEASON RECORD: 74-67-2 (52.5%)

Extremely average week finishing 5-6-1. We are back and going undefeated this week… HERE ARE THIS WEEK’S PICKS:

Week 12 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

Michigan State at Ohio State UNDER 68.5– 11:00am

Ohio State’s offense has really turned it on as of late. But 68.5 points is too many, considering Michigan State has played in quite a few low scoring games. Michigan State could make this tight which scares me away from the spread. Give me the under 68.5.

Pick: Ohio State 38-24

Top Picks of the Week

Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky -10 – 11:00am

Western Kentucky does nothing but cover spreads. Why would I stop betting them?

Iowa State at Oklahoma UNDER 59.5 – 11:00am

Oklahoma’s offense has looked terrible the past few weeks. Add in a stagnant Iowa State offense and the under is an easy call.

Washington at Colorado +6.5 – 2:00pm

No coach and a terrible offense, Washington shouldn’t be a touchdown favorite over anyone.

Arkansas at Alabama -21 – 2:30pm

For a defense to slow down Alabama’s offense you need to be able to get after the quarterback. Arkansas ranks 13th in the SEC in sacks. Alabama’s offense scores at will.

Michigan -15 at Maryland – 2:30pm

Taulia’s numbers verse tough defenses aren’t great. Michigan in a route.

Minnesota -7.5 at Indiana – 2:30pm

Indiana has quit and given up. This should be a double digit spread.

Nebraska +9 at Wisconsin – 3:00pm

Nebraska is much better than their record says they are. Nebraska will keep this game close.

Virginia +14.5 at Pitt – 2:30pm

If Brennan Armstrong plays this is an easy cover. If he doesn’t… hold on tight.

Florida at Missouri +9 – 3:00pm

The weather will be cold in Missouri. Add in a Florida team that has basically quit? Missouri covers and possibly wins.

Baylor at Kansas State -1 – 4:30pm

Kansas State has been solid as of late with QB Skylar Thompson. Baylor falls after their biggest win since the Art Briles era. Note: I am 0-4 picking against Baylor… I am ready to be hurt again .

Vanderbilt at Ole Miss UNDER 64.5 – 6:30pm

Ole Miss’ defense has significantly improved. Vanderbilt barely scores and we escape with an under.

Week 11 College Football Preview

OVERALL RECORD: 147-117-2 (55.7%)

2021 SEASON RECORD: 69-61-0 (53.1%)

Back on track after a 8-3-1 week! Let’s keep it going… HERE ARE THIS WEEK’S PICKS:

Week 11 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

Texas A&M at Ole Miss OVER 56– 6:00pm

I think the Ole Miss offense picks it up this week. Not to mention Texas A&M can score against bad defenses. Expect a close, decently high scoring game.

Pick: Ole Miss 35-34

Top Picks of the Week

Cincinnati at South Florida +23.5 – 5:00pm FRIDAY

Cincinnati has played three bottom 25 FBS teams the past three weeks… I don’t expect them to cover against another bottom 25 team. South Florida covers

Michigan at Penn State +1.5 – 11:00am

I don’t trust Michigan as a road favorite against a good Penn State team.

Houston -24.5 at Temple– 11:00am

Temple has absolutely quit as a football team. Houston in a blowout

Western Kentucky -18 at Rice – 1:00pm

Western Kentucky puts up a bunch of points and has covered all season. Trust them to cover here.

Miami -2.5 at Florida State – 2:30pm

Miami has the number three offense in the country since Tyler Van Dyke took over. They cover.

Purdue +21 at Ohio State – 2:30pm

Ohio State blows out bad teams and keeps it close against decent teams. Purdue is decent… take Purdue.

Notre Dame at Virginia +6 – 3:00pm

This line is really nice if Brennan Armstrong plays. Take the risk as Virginia has a good shot to pull the upset.

TCU +13 at Oklahoma State OVER 54.5– 7:00pm

TCU is frisky now with Chandler Morris. Their defense is still bad so expect a high scoring game.

Nevada +3 at San Diego State – 9:30pm

San Diego State has kept teams to low scores this year. That won’t happen against Carson Strong and Nevada. I actually like Nevada to win this game.

Washington State +14 at Oregon – 9:30pm

I don’t trust Oregon to cover 14 points against anyone, especially not the (surprising) second place team in the Pac-12. Washington State covers.

Week 10 College Football Preview

OVERALL RECORD: 139-114-1 (54.9%)

2021 SEASON RECORD: 61-58-0 (51.3%)

Yes we were 4-8 last week. No further questions at this time. We are still over .500 on the year and going to be killing this week… HERE ARE THIS WEEK’S PICKS:

Week 10 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

Auburn at Texas A&M UNDER 49.5– 11:00am

Texas A&M is underrated as the 4th ranked defense in the nation. I believe the Aggie defense can shut down Bo Nix. Further, if you do a deep dive on Zach Calzada, his games against Mizzou and South Carolina were just alright. Auburn’s defense is much tougher. The Aggies win a close, low scoring game.

Pick: Texas A&M 27-21

Top Picks of the Week

Army vs Air Force UNDER 37 – 10:30am

Unders are 39-9-1 in service academy games. Tom Fornelli special, take the under.

Liberty at Ole Miss -9.5 – 11:00am

I know Ole Miss is banged up. But only 9.5 points? Liberty lost to Louisiana Monroe… take Ole Miss.

Baylor at TCU OVER 58 – 2:30pm

TCU’s defense has looked awful and with no Gary Patterson it isn’t going to get better. Think both of these offenses put up points Saturday. Take the OVER.

Michigan State at Purdue (+3) – 2:30pm

Michigan State is fools gold. This is where it ends.

Navy +21 vs Notre Dame – 2:30pm

Notre Dame isn’t great at stopping the run. Navy keeps this within 3 touchdowns.

Wisconsin (-12.5) at Rutgers – 2:30pm

Wisconsin has been blowing teams out recently with big wins against Iowa and Purdue. Rutgers isn’t good… another Wisconsin blowout win.

NC State (-2.5) at Florida State – 3:00pm

There is a flu virus going around at Florida State athletic department. NC State is more talented than the Seminoles. Wolfpack win.

Tennessee (+1) at Kentucky- 6:00pm

Wrong team favored with these teams having opposite trajectories. Trust Hedon Hooker with Tennessee.

Texas at Iowa State OVER 60 – 6:00pm

Iowa State runs up the score on a bad Texas defense. I also think Texas has some late scores on an Iowa State defense that let up 38 points to West Virginia. Take the OVER

Houston (-13) at South Florida – 6:30pm

Houston’s offense has been on fire. Houston beats up on a bad USF team

Oregon at Washington UNDER 50.5 – 6:30pm

It’s going to be cold, windy, and raining. Add in two bad quarterbacks and the under is the easy call.

Week 9 College Football Preview

OVERALL RECORD: 135-106-1 (56%)

2021 SEASON RECORD: 57-50-0 (53.3%)

Well. Another average week and we keep drifting down to 50%. Time to switch things up in Week 9. Minor setback for a major comeback… HERE ARE THIS WEEK’S PICKS:

Week 9 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

Michigan at Michigan State UNDER 51– 11:00am

Honestly think both of these teams are closer to frauds than serious playoff contenders. This is evidenced by close games against mediocre Big Ten teams. I expect both defenses to show up and keep this a low scoring game… tossup so we are taking the under 51.

Pick: Michigan State 24-23

Top Picks of the Week

Navy (+11) at Tulsa – Friday 6:30pm

Navy has been playing teams tough these last few weeks (7 point loss to Cincinnati). Take the 11 points and maybe a money line sprinkle.

Iowa at Wisconsin OVER 36.5 – 11:00am

Do I think these offenses are good? No. But I think there could be enough short fields off turnovers where this (very) low point total hits.

Texas (+3) at Baylor – 11:00am

Texas is going just a short distance north. I have them slotted as a better team than Baylor and expect them to win.

Boston College (+6.5) at Syracuse – 2:30pm

Boston College has to turn it around somewhere. Why not the Carrier Dome? 6.5 points is way too many points between two bottom dweller ACC teams.

Georgia vs Florida (+14.5) – 2:30pm

Florida can keep it close for awhile. Especially considering this will be Georgia’s biggest test all season. Florida covers.

Texas Tech at Oklahoma OVER 67 – 2:30pm

Oklahoma is missing four of their five starting secondary players. Not to mention, Texas Tech can’t stop anyone. Over hits.

Charlotte at Western Kentucky (-17.5) – 3:00pm

Western Kentucky was blown out 38-9 by FAU. Western Kentucky is much better than their record.

Kansas (+30.5) at Oklahoma State- 6:00pm

Lance Leipold has Kansas playing much tougher in Big 12 play. After a close game with Oklahoma, expect Kansas to keep the difference under 30.5 points. Especially given Oklahoma State’s offense is nothing special.

Ole Miss (+3) at Auburn – 6:00pm

Ole Miss (not Auburn) is the second best team in the SEC West.

Penn State (+19) at Ohio State – 6:30pm

Ohio State’s blowout Big Ten wins have come against teams 1-11 in the Big Ten. Penn State has Sean Clifford healthier than the Illinois game… Penn State loses by 10-14 points.

UCLA (+6.5) at Utah – 9:00pm

Utah struggles stopping the run. UCLA runs the ball extremely well. Take the Bruins.

Week 8 College Football Preview

OVERALL RECORD: 131-100-1 (57%)

2021 SEASON RECORD: 53-44-0 (54.6%)

A solid week betting last week as we are keeping our betting total right around 55%. Week 8 is kind of a weak slate but regardless… HERE ARE THIS WEEK’S PICKS:

Week 8 Games of the Week (All Times CST)

Oklahoma State (+7.5) at Iowa State– 11:00am

There are 0 ranked matchups this week… so I guess Oklahoma State/Iowa State is the game of the week? I expect this to be low scoring and ugly with two very good defenses. In that type of game you have to take the 7.5 points.

Pick: Iowa State 24-20

Top Picks of the Week

Wake Forest at Army (+3) – 11:00am

Undefeated Wake Forest has been playing close games for weeks now. They finally get exposed against the Troops and take their first L.

Kansas State (+1) at Texas Tech- 11:00am

This is a simple play. Skylar Thompson > backup QB Henry Colombi. Kansas State wins on the road.

Clemson (+3.5) at Pitt – 2:30pm

I know the Clemson offense is terrible… but the defense is still elite based on ACC standards. I actually like Clemson to cover and possibly win.

LSU at Ole Miss UNDER 76 – 2:30pm

Ole Miss unders have cashed the last two weeks. Add in the fact Matt Corrall is banged up after running the ball 30 times last week… principle under.

Oregon at UCLA (-1) – 2:30pm

Don’t be fooled by Oregon’s top ten rating… they’ve played abysmal offensive football the last few weeks. UCLA finally catches them as TGIS is not an Anthony Brown believer website.

NC State (-3) at Miami – 2:30pm

NC State is the best team in the ACC. Give me the Wolfpack.

South Carolina at Texas A&M UNDER 45 – 6:30pm

South Carolina lost their starting Quarterback for the year. Now he faces a really good Texas A&M defense. Take the under and hope South Carolina doesn’t score.

USC at Notre Dame UNDER 58 – 6:30pm

Notre Dame doesn’t have a quarterback and plays good defense. USC has to come to chilly South Bend after getting beat by double digits two out of the last three weeks. Expect an ugly low scoring game.

Utah (-3) at Oregon State – 6:30pm

Utah is 3-0 since Cameron Rising took over at quarterback and have won by double digits each game. Take the Utes.

Week 7 College Football Preview

OVERALL RECORD: 123-94-1 (56.7%)

2021 SEASON RECORD: 45-38-0 (54.2%)

Another average .500 week with us losing three games on the final play. Big week 7 coming though… HERE ARE THIS WEEK’S PICKS:

Week 7 Games of the Week (All Times CST)

Kentucky at Georgia (-21.5)– 11:00am

The one good defense Kentucky played they had a total of 224 yards. Kentucky is going to struggle moving the ball and also has a few key injuries. Expect Georgia to win handedly just like they did against Arkansas and Auburn.

Pick: Georgia 38-10

Top Picks of the Week

Florida (-11.5) at LSU- 11:00am

LSU can’t stop the run and lost their best offensive weapon in Kayshon Boutte. Where does Florida excel? Running the football with Emory Jones. Florida wins big as Coach Orgeron’s days as a LSU head coach are numbered.

Michigan State (-4.5) at Indiana – 11:00am

I’m still riding the Michigan State is underrated train. They definitely can win by a touchdown against a bad Indiana team.

Nebraska (-4) at Minnesota – 11:00am

Ever since the Illinois game Nebraska has not been bad. Meanwhile, Minnesota is a struggling team with a mediocre quarterback. Nebraska gets a much needed win.

Rutgers (-2) at Northwestern- 11:00am

Northwestern may have a few offensive lineman out. That doesn’t go well for an offense who scored 7 points against Nebraska. Rutgers wins.

BYU (+6.5) at Baylor – 2:30pm

I’m not buying the Baylor hype. BYU can play this as a tight game and get the cover.

Western Kentucky (-12.5) at Old Dominion – 2:30pm

Old Dominion gave up 45 points to Liberty… expect the same for this explosive Western Kentucky offense.

Alabama (-17.5) at Mississippi State – 6:30pm

If you listened to Nick Saban all week, this is a monumental game to see how they bounceback. Expect them to put it on the Bulldogs. Bama by 24.

Ole Miss (-2) at Tennessee UNDER 83 – 6:30pm

83 points is too many and Ole Miss is the better football team. Easy call.

NC State (-3) at Boston College- 6:30pm

Boston College is still starting a backup quarterback and struggle to stop the run. Bam Knight will have a field day. NC State wins big.

TCU at Oklahoma UNDER 65 – 6:30pm

TCU is without their starting quarterback and running back for the game. Oklahoma is starting a true freshman quarterback… under hits with ease.

Army (+14) at Wisconsin – 7:00pm

I’m still fading Wisconsin’s offense. Army slow pace of offense keeps this a low scoring close game. Army covers.

Arizona State at Utah OVER 50.5 – 9:00pm

Utah’s offense is a little more explosive with Cameron Rising at quarterback. Expect the over to hit with ease.

Week 6 College Football Preview

OVERALL RECORD: 116-87-1 (57.1%)

2021 SEASON RECORD: 37-31-0 (54.4%)

TGIS was so close to having a good week 5… thanks a lot LSU. Anyway, we will try to improve on our 6-6 record from last week… HERE ARE THIS WEEK’S PICKS:

Week 6 Games of the Week (All Times CST)

Texas at Oklahoma OVER 63.5– 11:00am

It is the Red River Shootout which means the actual game is a coin flip. I expect this to turn into an offensive game with both the Texas and Oklahoma defenses looking suspect. Lincoln Riley vs. Steve Sarkisian. Take the over.

Pick: Oklahoma 38-31

Penn State (+2) at Iowa – 3:00pm

Expect a low scoring ugly game. Iowa’s offense did look much better against Maryland… but I still trust Penn State’s offense way more. Penn State wins a close one.

Pick: Penn State 20-14

Top Picks of the Week

Temple (+29.5) at Cincinnati – FRIDAY 6:00pm

Temple has made some improvements over their last two games, including beating a decent Memphis team. D’Wan Mathis and Temple will keep it within four touchdowns.

Arkansas at Ole Miss (-5.5) – 11:00am

Ole Miss’ offense is still elite and in my opinion by far the second best team in the SEC West. Ole Miss takes care of business.

Michigan State (-5) at Rutgers – 11:00am

Michigan State’s the much better football team with an offense that averages almost 38 points per game. Michigan State covers.

West Virginia (+3) at Baylor – 11:00am

Baylor hasn’t even had over 300 yards of offense in their last two games. They will struggle again against this tough West Virginia defense. West Virginia covers.

Georgia Tech (-2.5) at Duke – 11:30am

Duke is one of the worst teams in the ACC. Georgia Tech can cover.

Virginia (+2.5) at Louisville – 2:00pm

No way Louisville’s defense can hold against Virginia’s offense. The call is easy with Virginia getting points.

Florida State (+17.5) at North Carolina – 2:30pm

I can’t trust this North Carolina team who doesn’t show up week-to-week. Florida State is getting desperate… they can cover.

Georgia (-15) at Auburn – 2:30pm

You saw what Georgia did against Arkansas right? Expect the same.

Wisconsin at Illinois (+11) – 2:30pm

In Wisconsin’s three games against D1 opponents they have averaged a little over 13 points per game. How in the world do they cover an 11 point spread on the road?

Notre Dame at Virginia Tech (+2) – 6:30pm

I really think these are two even teams. Take Virginia Tech getting points at home.

Alabama (-18) at Texas A&M – 7:00pm

Texas A&M is an absolute mess with no quarterback and numerous injuries. Alabama in a blowout.

UCLA (-16) at Arizona – 9:30pm

Arizona is one of the worst teams in the Power 5 and UCLA is a solid football team. The choice is easy… UCLA wins big.

Week 5 College Football Preview

OVERALL RECORD: 110-81-1 (57.6%)

2021 SEASON RECORD: 31-25-0 (55.3%)

TGIS is back hot again with a 8-4 record in Week 4. Let’s keep it rolling into week 5… HERE ARE THIS WEEK’S PICKS:

Week 5 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

Ole Miss at Alabama UNDER 80– Saturday 2:30pm

The line is around 14 which is about right for this game as Ole Miss is a top ten team in the nation. That makes us turn our head towards the point total. Both teams will score…. but 80 points??? Way too high of an over/under. Alabama wins by two scores.

Pick: Alabama 45-31

Top Picks of the Week

Iowa at Maryland (+3.5) – FRIDAY 8:00pm

Expect a close, fun Friday night matchup between two 4-0 teams. I still don’t trust Iowa’s offense and I think a reality check is coming. I like Maryland as a home underdog.

Texas (-4.5) at TCU OVER 65 – 11:00am

Texas showed against Texas Tech that they can score by putting 70 points on the Red Raiders. Now they play a TCU team that can’t stop the run and give up huge gains in the pass game. Texas by over a touchdown.

Ohio State (-14.5) at Rutgers – 2:30pm

Rutgers has been a tough opponent this year for teams… but no way do I trust them as only a two touchdown underdog against Ohio State. The Buckeyes will get back on track.

Mississippi State (+7.5) at Texas A&M UNDER 46 – 6:00pm

You can’t trust the Texas A&M offense after only scoring 10 points against Colorado and Arkansas. Seven points and the under are easy takes.

Boston College (+15) at Clemson – 6:30pm

Clemson offense is bad right now. Add in defensive lineman Bryan Breese is out for the year… this is not a good Clemson team. Boston College can cover.

UCONN (+16) at Vanderbilt -6:30pm

I know. I know. I’ve been fading UConn all season. But Vanderbilt shouldn’t be a 16 point favorite over anyone.

Western Kentucky (+11) at Michigan State – 6:30pm

Western Kentucky has been 3-0 against the spread. Why would I stop relying on their offense now? They have a tough one in East Lansing, but Michigan State showed vulnerability against Nebraska and they can cover a double digit spread.

Auburn at LSU (-3) – 8:00pm

Auburn has a QB controversy between Bo Nix and TJ Finley… neither are very good. LSU’s offense is starting to figure it out and should win Saturday night in Baton Rouge.

Washington (+2.5) at Oregon State – 8:00pm

WRONG TEAM FAVORED. Washington has started to turn it around and will be a much tougher opponent than Oregon State’s last opponent USC. Washington pulls out a close one.