What an absolutely ugly finish to the season we have had. We finished with a 2-8 record last week where everything went sideways… But we are moving on for Championship Week. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Top Picks of the Week

#11 Utah vs. #4 USC Over 65.5 – 7:00pm

The last game finished Utah 43-42. Both quarterbacks threw for over 380 yards and moved the ball with ease. Expect the same thing with both offenses putting up plenty of points. We’re taking the over.

#10 Kansas State vs. #3 TCU Over 60.5 – 11:00am

Another game where I expect to see plenty of points. Kansas State was averaging 12.5 yards per play against TCU before their starting quarterbacks went down. But that TCU offense also put it on, scoring 21 second half points. We are taking the over.

Coastal Carolina +9 at Troy – 2:30pm

I know Coastal lost to James Madison 47-7. But Coastal Carolina was resting players preparing for this game right here. They keep it close against Troy in the Sun Belt Championsip.

#22 UCF at #18 Tulane -2.5 – 3:00pm

This is me trusting Willie Fritz. Tulane will play tough defense against UCF. I know UCF beat Tulane a few weeks ago, but UCF has struggled against two bad teams since then (South Florida and Navy). Give me Tulane and laying the points.

#9 Clemson vs. #23 North Carolina +8 – 7:00pm

I trust Drake Maye to be able to keep it close with Clemson. Especially since the weakness of Clemson is their secondary. This one will be a close one.

Purdue vs. #2 Michigan -16.5 – 7:00pm

Remember Michigan against Iowa in the Big Ten Championship last year? Expect the same this year with Michigan treating it as a playoff warm up and blowing out Purdue.

TGIS Game of the Week

Michigan at Ohio State -7.5 – 11:00am

Michigan is banged up right now including their top player, running back Blake Corum. Ohio State carves up the Wolverines.

Top Picks of the Week

Tulane at Cincinnati UNDER 46.5 – Friday 11:00am

Tulane and Cincinnati are both led by really strong defenses. On the Bearcat side they could be without their starting QB as well… Under hits.

Arizona State at Arizona -4 – Friday 2:00pm

At this time of the year you look at who has quit… I think Arizona State fits the description. Wildcats win easily.

Nebraska at Iowa UNDER 38.5 – Friday 3:00pm

Iowa Unders.

South Carolina +14.5 at Clemson – 11:00am

South Carolina is coming off a huge victory against Tennessee. While you might think this is a letdown spot… not against Clemson. 14 and a hook is too many points.

Iowa State +10 at TCU – 3:00pm

Iowa State brings every one down into the mud. They have only lost one Big 12 game by more than double digits. Iowa State keeps it close.

LSU at Texas A&M +10 – 6:00pm

Call it a gut feeling, but I think A&M steps up for this game to try to play spoiler. They have Devon Achane coming back to play his final game for the Aggies. A&M makes this one interesting.

Tennessee at Vanderbilt +14 – 6:30pm

A Joe Milton led Vols team facing a red hot Vanderbilt team? The Commodores will keep this close.

Notre Dame +5.5 at USC – 6:30pm

USC can’t stop the run. What does the Irish do well? Run the ball. This also fits the theme of the Pac-12… whatever result could hurt the Pac-12 will happen.

Washington at Washington State +2.5 – 9:30pm

This Cougar team is playing really good football down the stretch. They are especially led by their defense. Wazzou wins the Apple Cup.

OVERALL RECORD: 235-193-8 (54.9%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 64-54-7 (54.2%)

Coming down the final stretch and the battle to go above 55% continues. Last week TGIS was slightly over the 55% mark finishing 5-4-1. This week… we go undefeated. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 12 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

USC at UCLA +2.5 – 7:00pm

This is the best team USC has faced. There will be plenty of points scored, but I trust the UCLA defense a little bit more. The UCLA loss last week against Arizona was a fluke as the Wildcat’s quarterback Jayden De Lauria was making some very lucky hero ball plays. Things get back to normal with a UCLA win.

Game Pick: UCLA 45-41

Top Picks of the Week

#4 TCU at Baylor Over 57.5 – 11:00am

TCU scored 17 points and Baylor only scored 3 points last week, why in the world would I take the Over? Because things get back to normal with Blake Shapen moving this offense and TCU will be able to take advantage of a bad Baylor secondary. Over hits with ease.

Boston College +21 at Notre Dame – 1:30pm

Notre Dame has messed around with bad teams all year and I still don’t trust them to move the ball. 3 touchdowns is too many.

#1 Georgia -22.5 at Kentucky – 2:30pm

Have you seen Will Levis and the Kentucky offense play the last few weeks?

Miami at #10 Clemson UNDER 48.5 – 2:30pm

Miami can’t really score… and neither can Clemson. The under the key number of 48 is the play.

Texas at Kansas +10 –  2:30pm

Not sure if Jalon Daniels is going to play (game-time decision), but Kansas as a double digit dog at home against a Texas team that plays everyone close? Give me Kansas all day.

Iowa at Minnesota OVER 32 – 3:00pm

Defensive touchdowns exist… and Iowa has moved it (a little) better the last few weeks. 32 is the lowest point total I have ever seen so we are going over.

Georgia Tech +21 at North Carolina – 4:30pm

Another ACC team that plays everyone close, Georgia Tech covers the 3 touchdown spread.

Ole Miss -1.5 at Arkansas – 6:30pm

If KJ Jefferson doesn’t play, this line makes no sense. Arkansas can not move the ball with Malik Hornsby. Ole Miss wins comfortably.

Utah at Oregon OVER 60 – 9:30pm

Utah will be able to take advantage against a poor Oregon secondary. I know Bo Nix might not play, but I still think the Ducks can move the ball. Give me the over.

OVERALL RECORD: 230-189-7 (54.9%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 59-50-6 (54.1%)

It is hard to win bets later in the year. Vegas has pinpointed these teams and lines where finding variance is tough. The last two weeks TGIS has finished 5-5…. we will find the advantage this week though. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 11 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#4 TCU +7.5 at #18 Texas – 6:30pm

The ultimate battle of two opposite teams. Texas starts fast and blows leads. TCU starts slow and comes back. We love TCU to backdoor cover this.

Pick: Texas 34-31

Top Picks of the Week

East Carolina +5.5 at Cincinnati – Friday 7:00pm

East Carolina beat UCF by 21 and is a legitimate team with Holton Ahlers at QB. Meanwhile, we have been fading Cincinnati all year. I like the moneyline sprinkle here too… ECU easy money.

Colorado +34.5 at #9 USC – Friday 8:30pm

Way too many points for this bad USC defense. I know Colorado is bad, but even they can score on USC.

#7 LSU -3 at Arkansas – Saturday 11:00am

LSU is coming off a huge win against Alabama. Arkansas is coming off a terrible loss to Liberty. I don’t understand how the line is only 3 points… LSU is the pick here.

#6 Alabama -11.5 at #11 Ole Miss – 2:30pm

The Ole Miss defense is totally banged up. Expect a similar result of the Mississippi State game after the Tennessee loss.

Wisconsin at Iowa Under 36 – 2:30pm

Neither offense will be able to score on the opposing defense. Expect a defensive battle and low scoring game.

#22 UCF at #16 Tulane -1.5 – 2:30pm

Not sure if John Rhys Plumlee or Mickey Keene is starting at QB for UCF. Doesn’t matter, I like Tulane’s defense against both of them.

#3 Georgia -16.5 at Mississippi State – 6:00pm

Kirby Smart and Nick Saban both have the formula to play defense against Mike Leach. Expect a blowout.

#15 North Carolina at Wake Forest -3.5 – 6:30pm

North Carolina allowed Virginia to score 28 points… Wake Forest might score a million.

Florida State -6.5 at Syracuse – 7:00pm

This Syracuse team is reeling after losing their starting quarterback and their best defensive player. Seminoles in a blowout.

OVERALL RECORD: 225-184-7 (55%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 54-45-6 (54.5%)

There were so many close loses and bad beats last week. Still, TGIS finished 5-5. We will look to go undefeated on College Football’s BIGGEST weekend. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 10 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#1 Tennessee at #3 Georgia UNDER 66.5

Georgia has seen all the game film on the Tennessee offense. Guess what? The key is to not let Jalin Hyatt get deep. This Georgia secondary is plenty talented to keep Tennessee from breaking open the flood gates. On the offensive side of the ball, I see Georgia running the ball and having a conservative offensive game plan. I don’t see this being a shootout like the Alabama/Tennessee game, but think it will still be a classic.

Game Pick: Georgia 34-24

Top Picks of the Week

Duke -10 at Boston College – Friday 6:00pm

Boston College is literally using defensive lineman to play offensive line.. After losing to UConn 13-3, we are all over Duke.

Air Force vs Army Under 40.5 – 10:30am

Academy service unders are 42-9-1. Just take the under and take the win.

#17 North Carolina -7 at Virginia – 11:00am

This line went from -11 to -7 after defensive players Noah Taylor and Des Evans were announced out for the season… the shift in the line is way too big. I cannot imagine Virginia’s offense being able to keep up with the Drake Maye-led North Carolina offense.

Texas Tech +9.5 at #7 TCU -11:00am

This line is too big. The key is to take Baylor’s 45-17 win last week against the Red Raiders with a grain of salt as Baylor was able to confuse Texas Tech quarterback Behren Morton with scheme diversity. I don’t think TCU’s 90th ranked defense can do that. Texas Tech will keep this game tight and this is worth a moneyline sprinkle at +275.

Navy +20 at Cincinnati – 3:00pm

20 points is too many for this Cincinnati team who has messed around with bad teams before (specifically South Florida). Navy keeps this close.

#24 Texas at #13 Kansas State OVER 54 – 6:00pm

You just saw the Wildcats scorch Oklahoma State’s defense winning 48-0. I like Texas to score some points coming off the bye week in what is a pivotal game to see who will take control of who will go to the Big 12 championship. Over 54 all day.

#6 Alabama -12.5 at #10 LSU – 6:00pm

Alabama needed the bye week. I can see this being a statement game for the Tide who flat out do not lose when they play at Tiger Stadium (Bryant-Denny West). Jayden Daniels won’t be ready for this Tide defense. With the line under two touchdowns, give me the Tide.

#5 Clemson -3.5 at Notre Dame – 6:30pm

I have no idea how Notre Dame will move it on Clemson. The key is to attack Notre Dame’s secondary which I can’t see Notre Dame doing. Further, the Fighting Irish’s win against Syracuse was kind of fraudulent after Syracuse QB went out of the game. I’m all over Clemson in this one and believe they will win comfortably.

Florida State -7 at Miami – 6:30pm

There was exactly zero touchdowns scored in the Miami and Virginia 14-12 (4OT) game. Miami’s QB Jake Garcia has a lot of talent, but is not developed yet. Miami’s offense won’t be able to keep their scoring up with Jordan Travis and Florida State. Florida State -7.

OVERALL RECORD: 220-179-7 (55.1%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 49-40-6 (55.1%)

Well last week we went 4-6-2 (not sure what is happening with all the ties this year). After the lackluster week we are hitting exactly 55.1% both on the season and overall. That is decent… but TGIS can do better. This is a major dog week with multiple highly ranked teams going on the road. Get ready for a wild one… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 9 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#2 Ohio State at #13 Penn State UNDER 61.5 – 11:00am

Don’t let the 54 points against Iowa fool you, the Ohio State offense did not look great against Iowa. It was more of the Iowa offense just being the worst offense I’ve ever seen and not being able to stay on the field. Meanwhile, Ohio State’s defense has played well so far this season. I’m going to bet this game stays under control with Penn State trying to establish the run.

Game Pick: Ohio State 34-20

Top Picks of the Week

East Carolina +3 at BYU– Friday 7:00pm

BYU is a flat out bad football team. Last week Liberty’s third string quarterback Johnathan Bennett completed 82.8% of his passes against the BYU defense. This was after he completed a little over 50% of his passes against Gardner-Webb and UMass. East Carolina has a solid quarterback in Holton Ahlers, I believe ECU can win this game, give me the points while you are at it.

Oklahoma -1 at Iowa State – 11:00am

Oklahoma is a totally different team with quarterback Dillon Gabriel healthy. No way Iowa State can score enough points to keep up.

Notre Dame at #16 Syracuse UNDER 47.5 – 11:00am

Syracuse’s defense has been very good this year and may get their star cornerback Garrett Williams back. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has struggled to score. This one will be low scoring.

Northwestern at Iowa UNDER 37.5 – 2:30pm

Iowa unders. End of story. Especially against Northwestern.

#9 Oklahoma State at #22 Kansas State OVER 56 – 2:30pm

Have you seen Big 12 games recently? The last three Oklahoma State games have all had over 72 total points. I’m betting on Adrian Martinez playing and this over hitting with ease.

#8 Oregon -17 at Cal – 2:30pm

Oregon’s offense has been unstoppable against Pac-12 competition. On the other side is a Cal team that was beat by Colorado and has averaged under 5 yards per play against the last two weeks. This won’t be a Golden Bear trap, expect a huge day for Bo Nix against Cal.

#10 USC -15.5 at Arizona – 6:00pm

You know that terrible Cal offense I just talked about? The Wildcats gave up 49 points to them. Arizona won’t be able to stop USC at all.

#19 Kentucky at #3 Tennessee -12.5 – 6:00pm

Tennessee has too much offense and the Vols defensive line will dominate against a bad Kentucky offensive line. Tennessee wins big, huge, gigantically.

Michigan State at #4 Michigan -21.5 – 6:30pm

Michigan State had 7 rushing yards when they played Ohio State. They’re not going to be able to run on Michigan either. I’ve said it all year to fade this Michigan State team… don’t stop now.

#15 Ole Miss at Texas A&M UNDER 55– 6:30pm

Texas A&M is suspending players, has two offensive lineman out for the year and starting QB Haynes King has a bad shoulder. I would take Ole Miss, but they have injuries as well. 55 points is too high of an Over/Under for a Texas A&M game, especially with Wegman most likely starting. Give me the under all day.

OVERALL RECORD: 216-173-5 (55.5%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 45-34-4 (57%)

TGIS was HOT AGAIN in week 7 going 8-4. We are now a blistering 57% heading up towards our goal of 60%. on the year. Only way we are going to get there is to keep the win streak going… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 8 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#9 UCLA +6 at #10 Oregon – 2:30pm

Expect a rainy game as that is what is in the forecast all weekend in Eugene, Oregon. These are two explosive offenses which could be a preview of the Pac-12 championship. Both teams will rely on the run, but could still hit explosives against the defense. Also both Dorian Thomas-Robinson and Bo Nix are completing above 70%. How will the rain affect the matchup? We will find out… Just give me the points

Pick: 35-31 UCLA

Top Picks of the Week

Virginia at Georgia Tech -3 – Thursday 6:30pm

During the college football year it is important to find the frauds and terrible teams and fade them. It is where the term “fade the frauds” started. Well in this case Virginia is a fraud, bad, no good for nothing team. Their offensive line is awful. Their offensive style is awful. Georgia Tech wins this big. FADE THE FRAUDS.

Cincinnati at SMU +3.5 – 11:00am

Nobody has been watching Cincinnati since the Arkansas game, but let me fill you in… they’ve been been messing around all year. The Bearcats had a really close game with a bad South Florida team and now they are laying points on the road? No thank you, give me Tanner Mordecai, SMU and the points.

Kansas +8 at Baylor OVER 58 – 11:00am

Both of these teams were just in shoot outs totaling 83 points and 94 points. Now we get a point total of just 58 points? Sign me up. Kansas backup quarterback Jason Bean wasn’t too bad scoring 42 points against Oklahoma. Oh ya… Baylor also could be without their starting quarterback Blake Sharpen. Expect another shoot out and Kansas to keep it close.

#14 Syracuse at #5 Clemson UNDER 51.5 – 11:00am

Syracuse wasn’t able to score over 24 points against Virginia or NC State. Do you think they’ll be able to score points against Clemson? No. Syracuse’s defense is also sneaky good. Expect a low scoring ugly game.

BYU -6.5 at Liberty – 2:30pm

Liberty was just in a tight one with Gardner Webb. I know they are 6-1, but their strength of schedule is terrible. BYU gets it back on track with a double digit win.

#20 Texas -6 at #11 Oklahoma State – 2:30pm

Oklahoma State has their homecoming this weekend which is one of the biggest homecomings in the nation… but that doesn’t matter. Texas is coming off a letdown game against Iowa State. But they will get right this weekend as they face the Pokes’ 126^th ranked passing defense. Texas wins big and takes control of their Big 12 championship hopes.

#24 Mississippi State at #6 Alabama UNDER 61.5 – 6:00pm

Mississippi State hasn’t scored a touchdown in Bryant Denny since Dak Prescott in 2014. I’m not sure what Alabama offense shows up though so we are just taking the under.

Texas A&M at South Carolina UNDER 46.5 – 6:30pm

Texas A&M’s unders have hit all year. Their young defensive front is maturing, but their offense hasn’t figured it out yet. This will be a very low scoring game.

Minnesota at #16 Penn State -4 – 6:30pm

Penn State scheduled this as their white out game. And we absolutely love them in this spot as Minnesota may not have Tanner Morgan for this game. Minnesota only had 38 total passing yards without him against Illinois… Penn State will bounce back after a bad week in Michigan.

#17 Kansas State +3.5 at #8 TCU – 7:00pm

TCU had a major comeback win in OT last week against Oklahoma State. But Oklahoma State was controlling and winning that game through three quarters. I can see TCU, 90^th ranked defense, having trouble with Adrian Martinez’s legs and the run game. This is a tough spot for TCU with the Wildcats coming off a bye week. I actually like Kansas State to win outright.

Washington -7 at Cal – 9:30pm

Cal just lost to the worst FBS team, Colorado, in college football and has shown zero offense. Washington will be able to outscore them and blow them out with Michael Pennix. Washington wins big.