Another OK, above 50% week for TGIS. But if you have been paying attention to the Miller Lite Minute… we are an astounding 10-3 through the first four weeks!! We are going to have the success of the Miller Lite bleed over into these week 5 locks… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:
Week 5 Game of the Week (All Times CST)
#2 Alabama at #20 Arkansas UNDER 61 – 6:00pm
Alabama has a top five defense in the nation and should be able to slow down Arkansas’ attack. Meanwhile, Alabama’s offense has not shown it can travel on the road (last five ranked road games 1-4 against the spread). If you were to take Arkansas +17.5 I wouldn’t hate it… But I like the under more.
Pick: Alabama 34-17.
TOP PICKS OF THE WEEK
#4 Michigan -10.5 at Iowa – 11:00am
Maryland kept up with Michigan in their 34-27 game because they could throw the ball around. That is something Iowa absolutely cannot do. Michigan takes care of business.
Purdue at #21 Minnesota -12.5 – 11:00am
Starting QB Aidan O’Connell is most likely out along with a few other players. Meanwhile, Tanner Morgan and offensive coordinator Kirk Ciarrocca are picking up where they left off after Minnesota’s 2019 season where they finished 11-2. Minnesota keeps rolling.
Wake Forest at Florida State -6.5 – 11:00am
Jordan Travis came back from injury against Boston College last week and looked fantastic. Wake Forest can’t stop anyone, Florida State wins this one by 10.
Virginia Tech at North Carolina OVER 51 – 11:00am
Notre Dame had scored 55 points all season before playing North Carolina… they then scored 45 points against them last week. Meanwhile the Tar Heels have scored more than 32 points in every game this season. Over easily hits.
#18 Oklahoma -6.5 at TCU – 2:30pm
TCU’s offense looked very good against SMU… but that was SMU Oklahoma will have a bounce back week and Venables will get the defense right. By the way… nothing is wrong with the Oklahoma offense after racking up 7.5 yards per play against Kansas State.
Michigan State at Maryland -7 – 2:30pm
I told you last week Michigan State’s secondary was trash. Maryland can throw the ball and take advantage. Maryland wins big.
Cal at Washington State UNDER 53.5 – 4:30pm
The offenses aren’t as good as they seem from last week (even though both team put up over 40 points). The number is inflated… expect a low scoring ugly game.
LSU -8 at Auburn – 6:00pm
Auburn has a terrible offensive line, they can’t run the ball, the wide receivers are not good, most of their quarterbacks are banged up… should I go on? LSU blows them out and this is Bryan Harsin’s last game as the head coach.
#10 NC State at #5 Clemson OVER 40 – 6:30pm
Clemson just played a 51-45 game and the Over/Under is 40 points??? Clemson’s secondary is still banged up and quarterback Devin Leary will be able to take advantage. I expect more of a 27-24 type of game.
We have started just OK in 2022. However if you have been paying attention to the Miller Lite Minute… we are an astounding 7-2 through the first three weeks with two undefeated weeks (for you three game parlayers out there). We are going to have a great week 4… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:
Week 4 Game of the Week (All Times CST)
#10 Arkansas +2 vs. #23 Texas A&M UNDER 48.5 – 6:00pm
Texas A&M showed a slight improvement to the offense against Miami… but it still was not great. I’d expect a low scoring game with Arkansas loving to run the ball and Texas A&M attempting to do whatever they do with Max Johnson. Arkansas has had really bad injury luck to their defensive backs, but returns a few guys including starter Myles Slusher for this game. Texas A&M won’t be able to take advantage anyways…
Pick: Arkansas 21-17.
TOP PICKS OF THE WEEK
#17 Baylor+3 at Iowa State UNDER 46 – 11:00am
This Baylor team averaged 3.6 yards per play against BYU. Meanwhile, the Iowa State Cyclones averaged just 4 yards per play against Iowa. These are two average offenses that won’t be able to score. Expect a low scoring, tough battle in Ames. Also give me the 3 points with the Baylor Bears.
TCU -2 at SMU – 11:00am
The Battle of the Iron Skillet is set to be played in Dallas, Texas. I really like TCU as they have a better defense and the more talented team. Expect quite a bit of points, but TCU to pull it off especially after SMU’s performance against Maryland. TCU 38-31
#5 Clemson -7 at #21 Wake Forest – 11:00am
Wake Forest had just 11 yards rushing from their running backs against Liberty and you expect them to stay within a touchdown of Clemson? No way, Clemson by double digits.
#20 Florida +11 at #11 Tennessee – 2:30pm
Tennessee’s offense will score, but Florida can keep this a single digit ball game. I expect it to be like the 7 point game Tennessee played with Pittsburgh (the close game between Florida and USF was a look ahead game… write it off).
Minnesota -3 at Michigan State – 2:30pm
The Michigan State secondary is absolutely garbage. Offensive coordinator Kirk Ciarrocca and quarterback Tanner Morgan will be able to take advantage. Minnesota wins decisively.
Notre Dame at North Carolina -1.5 – 2:30pm
The battle of a bad offense (Notre Dame) verse a poor defense (North Carolina). The difference here is that North Carolina’s offense is the best unit of the bunch with one of the top quarterbacks in the nation: Drake Maye. North Carolina wins this and the Notre Dame nightmare season continues.
Texas at Texas Tech UNDER 60 – 2:30pm
The Texas defense is much improved from last year and that will give Texas Tech quarterback Donovan Smith some trouble, especially considering his interceptions issues the last few games. Additionally, Texas has been much more conservative with Hudson Card in the lineup than when they let Quin Ewers sling the ball around. The under 60 is the play here.
#7 USC -6.5 at Oregon State – 8:30pm
USC’s offense looks fantastic. But the defense is still an issue as they gave up over 6 yards per play with Fresno State quarterback Jake Haener still in the lineup (before he was injured). The Oregon State offensive line, one of the best in the Pac-12, may be able to take advantage. But this is too much offense for Oregon State to keep up. USC 45-35.
#13 Utah -14.5 at Arizona State – 9:30pm
Utah will get back to dominate football and Arizona State may just quit after their coach Herm Edwards was fired this past week. Utah runs away with it.
The big question going into this game is whether wide receivers Puka Nacua and Gunner Romney will play. .. or whether Romney will miss out on Oregon like the 2012 election. During BYU’s game against Baylor they showed some vulnerability against the run. Oregon has a good offensive line which can take advantage of the BYU defensive line. I like Oregon to win.
Pick: Oregon 27-21
#13 Miami +5.5 at #24 Texas A&M – 8:00pm
Can Texas A&M get back on track? After a terrible game against Appalachian State where their offense could not move the ball at all, the Aggies now have the Hurricanes coming to College Station. I’m expecting this to be a very close game. Expect Texas A&M to perform much better this week… but I’m still taking Miami. It comes down to trusting Tyler Van Dyke over Texas A&M. We are not locking this one up though due to the wild card that is Texas A&M football right now.
Pick: Miami 21-20
Top Picks of the Week
Air Force -15 at Wyoming – Friday 7:00pm
Air Force just got done absolutely obliterating Colorado 41-10 and rushing for 435 yards. What does Wyoming not do well? Stop the run. Air Force is an underrated team and who I think will end up winning the Mountain West. Air Force wins big.
#1 Georgia -24 at South Carolina – 11:00am
South Carolina’s offensive line has not been good in the first two games of the season. Now they are facing a vicious Georgia defensive front seven. Georgia took their foot off the pedal last week against Samford because Samford head coach Chris Hatcher gave Kirby Smart his first job. The Dawgs won’t be as nice to South Carolina. Georgia wins big.
Purdue at Syracuse (-0) – 11:00am
If you haven’t noticed, new Syracuse offensive coordinator Robert Anae has flipped this offense around with a new offense. Sean Tucker is one of the most underrated running backs in the nation for the Orange… and why I like them to win at home.
Vanderbilt +2.5 at Northern Illinois – 2:30pm
Northern Illinois has beat Eastern Illinois (FCS) by 7 and lost to Tulsa by 3. No way would I pick them to beat Vanderbilt where quarterback Mike Wright has been impressive. Vanderbilt is a competent team that ends up winning this game.
Kansas +10 at Houston – 3:00pm
Houston has played in two straight overtime games where they have scored at least 30 points. Kansas is also coming off a 55-42 OT win where their defense did not play well. I think both teams will be able to score plenty of points with Kansas keeping it close. Take a Lance Leipold coached team to make this a game.
Texas Tech +10.5 at NC State – 6:00pm
NC State plays a very conservative style of play where winning by double digits is unlikely. Plus this is a very scrappy, decent Tech team that will keep it close. Texas Tech covers (maybe even worth a little money line sprinkle).
Michigan State +3.5 at Washington UNDER 57 – 6:30pm
Jalen Berger and Jarek Broussard are one of the best running back combos in college football for the Spartans. Michigan State is the much better team and you get 3.5 points. Meanwhile, I’m not trusting the untested Washington offense with Michael Penix at quarterback. This is going to be a low scoring Michigan State win.
We always have done well in week one here at TGIS as we take advantage of Vegas mistaken evaluations of a few teams and spreads. Last week we finished 7-5-1, not great, not bad… decent. Now onto Week 2 where we will be on the road to Austin… LET’S GET TO THE PICKS:
Week 2 Games of the Week (All Times CST)
#1 Alabama -20 at Texas – 11:00am
This may be the best Alabama defense since 2016. Add in an inexperienced Texas offensive line… I do not think Texas will be able to move the ball. Bama wins this in a blowout. I’m talking a 52-10 kind of blowout.
Top Picks of the Week
Louisville at Central Florida -6.5 – Friday 6:30pm
Louisville looked absolutely awful against Syracuse. They could not stop a dual threat in quarterback Garrett Shrader. You know who starts for quarterback at UCF? Former Ole Miss dual threat quarterback John Rhys Plumlee who threw for 308 yards and ran for 87 yards in his first game starting for UCF. Plumlee is going to give this Louisville trouble in the Bounce House.
South Carolina +8.5 at #16 Arkansas – 11:00am
Arkansas played decently against Cincinnati, but nine points against another good SEC team? Way too many points. Arkansas most likely wins, but think this will be close.
#24 Tennessee -6.5 at #17 Pittsburgh – 2:30pm
Pittsburgh Coach Pat Narduzzi is back to playing conservative football despite having a decent quarterback. Meanwhile, Tennessee will play fast and efficient offense with quarterback Hendon Hooker. Pitt won’t be able to keep up with the scoring, Tennessee by double digits.
Iowa State +3.5 at Iowa UNDER 41.5 – 3:00pm
Iowa’s offense is the ugliest thing I’ve ever seen. They had 166 total yards and 2.7 yards per play against South Dakota State. The under and taking Iowa State with the points is an easy call.
#25 Houston at Texas Tech -2.5 OVER 65.5 – 3:00pm
Texas Tech hired offensive coordinator Zach Kittley from Western Kentucky. Kittley loves to play fast and throw the ball around. I’m not worried about Texas Tech’s starting quarterback Tyler Shough being out for the game. If we are being honest, backup quarterback Donovan Smith is just as good, maybe even better. The Red Raiders beat Houston after the Cougars just scraped by a triple OT game against UTSA.
#20 Kentucky at #12 Florida -5.5 – 6:00pm
The key is if running back Chris Rodriguez is still suspended. Coach Stoops hasn’t came out and said anything regarding his status, but without him, Kentucky struggled to run the ball against Miami (Ohio). Florida will be a much bigger challenge especially with star quarterback Anthony Richardson coming off a huge win against Utah. Florida wins this in the Swamp by over a touchdown.
#10 USC -9 at Stanford – 6:30pm
Stanford doesn’t have the offense to keep it close with USC. Caleb Williams and USC are going to score a ton of points. USC in a blowout.
Arizona State at #11 Oklahoma State OVER 58 – 6:30pm
I don’t know if you saw Oklahoma State’s defense… but they gave up 44 points against Central Michigan. I also think the Cowboys will have success offensively. A 58 point total is way too low (hope you got it at the start of the week when it was at 54.5).
#9 Baylor at #21 BYU -3.5 – 9:15pm
BYU looked like a legit top 25 team against South Florida in week 1. I think they will be able to take advantage again as they face a Baylor team that lost a ton of key secondary players from last year. I really like BYU over Baylor as the better team, ignore Baylor being ranked in the AP poll top ten. BYU gets the big victory in the Mormons vs. Baptists.
We finally have a full-lineup of college football games this Saturday (and some sprinkled in on Thursday, Friday, Sunday, and Monday). Time for an action packed weekend after a little appetizer in week 0 (one where we finished 1-2). We are leaving that behind us… LET’S GET TO THE PICKS:
Week 1 Games of the Week (All Times CST)
#11 Oregon vs. #3 Georgia (-17) – 2:30pm (Atlanta, GA)
In a “neutral field” game in Atlanta, the Bulldogs are the more talented team. Sure they lost quite a few players on the defensive side of the ball to the NFL draft, but Georgia has the depth to reload. Where they really excel is at the skill positions with a great wide receiver and tight end room which will make it easy to score points. Finally, in a four-year tradition at TGIS, WE DO NOT TRUST BO NIX. Georgia in a blowout.
Pick: Georgia 42-17
#23 Cincinnati at #19 Arkansas (-6) – 2:30pm
An exciting matchup comes to Fayetteville where the Hogs are less than a touchdown favorite against Cincinnati. Nine players were drafted off of the 2021 Bearcat team including six on the defensive side of the ball. That isn’t easy to replace. Arkansas runs all over Cincinnati in a double digit win.
Pick: Arkansas 31-17
#5 Notre Dame at #2 Ohio State OVER 59 – 6:30pm
This 17.5 point line is about right. No way I am going to start out the year betting against one of the most talented offenses in the nation (Ohio State if it wasn’t obvious). What I am betting against is that there is a massive improvement from the Buckeyes defense. Notre Dame puts up some points to help with the over.
Pick: Ohio State 45-27
Top Picks of the Week
Penn State (-3.5) at Purdue – Thursday 7:00pm
Purdue lost their two best players off of last year’s team: edge rusher George Karlaftis and WR David Bell. Purdue doesn’t have the talent to replace them, especially at wide receiver. With Penn State’s best unit being in the secondary they will take advantage and force Purdue QB Aidan O’Connell into throwing some bad balls. Penn State is the better team and wins by over a touchdown.
Illinois (+3) at Indiana – Friday 7:00pm
Illinois will run the ball with running back Chase Brown all over a bad Indiana defense. Illinois is the better team and we will gladly take the points.
TCU (-13.5) at Colorado – Friday 9:00pm
Colorado is the worst team in the Pac-12 as they lost a ton of players to the transfer portal. TCU on the other hand has more talent than you’d think. TCU in a blowout.
North Carolina (-1.5) at Appalachian State – Saturday 11:00am
I wish the Tar Heels looked more impressive against Florida A&M last week. But I’m still trusting my gut. North Carolina as a middle to upper tier ACC team over just an OK App State team.
#13 NC State (-11.5) at East Carolina – Saturday 11:00am
NC State has an awesome defense and one of the best QBs in the country. I consider the Wolf Pack a fringe top ten team and believe they will easily handle the ECU Pirates.
Arizona (+6) at San Diego St. – Saturday 2:30 pm
San Diego State was a super conservative team last year. The fact is they do not blow teams out. Look for Arizona to be much better than last year with QB Jayden De Laura transferring from Washington State. I actually like a moneyline sprinkle on it as well with the Wildcats pulling the upset..
Tulsa (-6.5) at Wyoming – Saturday 2:30 pm
We are starting the year with a “Fade the bottom of the Mountain West” principle (this applies to Wyoming, Hawaii and Nevada as they may be a few of the worst teams in the FBS which was caused by transfers leaving). A Tulsa team led by Senior QB Davis Brin will handle Wyoming just fine.
Texas State (+1) at Nevada – Saturday 4:30 pm
(See Tulsa/Wyoming analysis…. same principle applies).
Georgia State at South Carolina (-12.5) – Saturday 6:30 pm
South Carolina has the Spencer Rattler era starting as less than a two touchdown favorite at home against Georgia State. Georgia State isn’t very good against the pass… look for the Gamecocks to blow them out of the water. Take South Carolina.
Florida State vs. LSU (-3) – Sunday 6:30 pm (New Orleans, LA)
LSU has one of the best receiving groups in the nation and a very good defensive line. LSU is the more talented team that will take advantage of what basically is a home game in New Orleans. LSU by a touchdown.
Hand up. We had a mediocre 2021 betting record finishing the year around 54%. But we have studied all off season for this moment. WE ARE READY TO FIRE AWAY AT WEEK 0. There are just a handful of games, but still plenty of action to be had.
WE ARE BACK. WE ARE BACK. WE ARE BACK. LET’S GET TO THE PICKS:
Week 0 Game of the Week (All Times CST)
Northwestern vs Nebraska (-12) – 11:30am (Dublin, Ireland)
LIVE FROM DUBLIN, IRELAND FOR HIGH FLYING BIG TEN ACTION. New Nebraska offensive coordinator Mark Whipple comes from Pittsburgh where he put up an offensive clinic. He will try to show off in his first game with experienced transfer QB Casey Thompson. Meanwhile, Northwestern’s defense was absolutely awful last year and lost their best player, Brandon Joseph, via transfer to Notre Dame. Look for a blowout in Dublin, Nebraska by 2+ touchdowns.
Pick: Nebraska 31-10
Top Pick(s) of the Week
North Texas at UTEP (+1) – 8:00pm
North Texas lost dynamic twin brother defensive ends Gabriel and Grayson Murphy. Now, they have a very inexperienced defensive line. On the other side, UTEP brings back 14 starters. I give UTEP the slight edge as a better team… then you add in the fact that it is at home and UTEP is getting points. UTEP is the play.
Vanderbilt (-6.5) at Hawaii – 9:30pm
Hawaii had ten starters leave on the defensive side and has a new head coach in Timmy Chang. Compare that to Vanderbilt who has 13 starters returning with a decent recruiting class coming in. Vanderbilt is way more talented than one of the worst teams in the Mountain West. Do not overrate the Hawaii homefield advantage, especially with them playing at Ching Field (seating capacity 9,300) while Aloha Stadium is under construction. Vanderbilt by over a touchdown.
Heisman trophy winning quarterback Bryce Young leads a very talented Alabama team. However, this year’s team may be led more by their defense. The strength is at edge rusher where Will Anderson, Dallas Turner, and Chris Braswell are all dangerous. The Crimson Tide still has strong units outside of this on the defense including secondary, linebacker and defensive line. As for the offense, transfer wide receivers Jermaine Burton, Tyler Harrell, and running back Jahmyr Gibbs will all step in and be major contributors. The major question mark and weakness of this team is at offensive tackle after Evan Neal was drafted in the top ten. Expect transfer offensive tackle Tyler Steen to fill in at left tackle, but right tackle remains wide open. Regardless, expect one of the better Nick Saban teams this year with the expectation being an appearance in the National Title.
2. Ohio State Buckeyes
Projected Record: 13-0
The Buckeyes were uncharacteristically bad on defense last year finishing 59th overall. Now Ryan Day has brought in new DC Jim Knowles from Oklahoma State to change that. There are still questions on how good this defense can be with linebacker and cornerback being a mystery. The defense will be heavily reliant on Sophomore defensive linemen like JT Tuimoloau, Jack Sawyer, and Tyleik Williams. Offensively, Ohio State will be one of the best in the nation with the top receiving group, top running back (TreVeyon Henderson), and a top quarterback (CJ Stroud). The great offense will be enough to get through the Big Ten, but the defense will need to step up if the Buckeyes want to be legitimate national title contenders.
3. Georgia Bulldogs
Projected Record: 12-1
Georgia is back after their 2021 national championship win. However, the Bulldogs lost a ton on the defensive side. They still have plenty of talent to star on this team including one of the best defensive lineman in the country Jalen Carter. Nolan smith and Rober Beal also return as the starting pass rushers. The concern remains at inside linebacker as they lost three guys who were all drafted in the first three rounds. Also there is a question on who starts opposite of star cornerback Kellen Ringo. On offense, returning quarterback Stetson Bennett is efficient. But he struggled against elite defenses by often turning the ball over and is the least talented starter on offense. Georgia’s skill positions are deep with studs including Adonis Mitchell and Arian Smith at wideout. Georgia also has by far the deepest, most talented tight end room with Brock Bowers, Arik Gilbert, and Darnell Washington. The offensive line is also one of the best in the nation. Overall, this has a team with enough talent to make the college football playoffs again. But replacing that much defensive talent to the NFL won’t be easy and may lead to an early College Football Playoff exit.
4. Texas A&M Aggies
Projected Record: 10-2
Texas A&M comes into the year with the overall number one recruiting class and a loaded roster. This is especially true on the defensive side of the ball where they finished in the top ten last year. The secondary returns almost anybody including talented corner Jaylon Jones and safety Antonio Johnson. The question on that side of the ball is who steps up at defensive line after losing their top four guys off last year’s team? Lucky for the Aggies they have six five star freshman coming in and talented returning guys in Tunmise Adeleye, and McKinley Jackson. As for the offense, the Aggies have wide receivers ready to step in, but the best of the bunch might be true freshman Evan Stewart. Expect the offensive line to also be a solid, deep unit. There is one major question keeping this football team from reaching their potential… quarterback. The Aggies need Max Johnson, Haynes King, or Connor Weigman to step up if they want a chance at the SEC West or even the playoff. My gut tells me they’re not going to get that type of production and they’ll drop a few games during SEC play.
5. Utah Utes
Projected Record: 12-1
Utah was very close to a Rose Bowl victory last year against Ohio State. Now Utah returns their starting quarterback, Cam Rising, who had Utah playing as a top ten offense last year. The offense will be led through the tight ends Brant Kuithe and Dalton Kincaid. On defense, Utah’s strength is at linebacker with Lander Barton and Mohamoud Diabate. It should be a strong unit, but they will need to find an edge rusher (Van Fillinger could be that guy). Overall, this should be the favorite in the Pac-12 and a potential College Football playoff team.
6. Clemson Tigers
Projected Record: 12-1
Clemson had an incredibly disappointing year last year and still finished 10-3. The problem last year was the offense as they finished 100th in yards per game. Whether they improve will be a major indicator on how far this team goes. If DJ Uiagalelei continues to decline look for true freshman Cade Klubnik to take over. On defense this is one of the greatest defensive lines in the country and, even after losing some key pieces in the secondary, Clemson should still finish as a top ten defense in the nation. Overall, I expect this team to be carried by the defense and the offense to improve from last season. Expect them to be on top of the ACC and be a college football playoff contender.
7. Michigan Wolverines
Projected Record: 10-2
The Wolverines are coming off a great season where they won the Big Ten and made the playoffs. The offense will be good again with either JJ McCarthy or Cade McNamara leading the group. Michigan has one of the deepest groups in the Big Ten at wide receiver, second to Ohio State. The question this year will be how Michigan replaces a ton of key leaders to their defense. The defensive line is especially thin and could keep Michigan from returning to the playoffs. Overall, this is a good team, but replacing that much defensive talent will be tough to make a return trip to the playoffs.
8. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Projected Record: 9-3
The Marcus Freeman era starts at Notre Dame. Notre Dame is led by a strong offensive and defensive line. Tyler Buckner will take over as the starting QB along with a questionable wide receiver room. Overall, expect the Fighting Irish to be led by their defense. But the offense will need to step up if they want to be a legitimate playoff contender.
9. Oklahoma Sooners
Projected Record: 11-2
The Brent Venables era starts in Norman with a ton of turnover. The Sooners have the most talent in the Big 12, but return only eight starters from last year’s team. On offense UCF transfer Dillon Gabriel takes over at quarterback and instantly becomes one of the best in the conference. He has two talented receivers to throw to in Marvin Mims and Theo Wease. The offense will be explosive with new OC Jeff Lebby, but will need to get better offensive line play. On defense the Sooners are coming off a year where they finished 79th overall. The secondary was a huge issue last year and Brent Venables will have his hands full fixing it. Oklahoma will rely on a few transfers on the defensive line Jeffery Johnson from Tulane and Jonah La’ulu from Hawaii. Overall, this Oklahoma team is a mystery heading into the year where their success will depend heavily on the defense. The expectation should be Big 12 champions, but there are many contenders in the conference that can compete with this team.
10. NC State Wolfpack
Projected Record: 10-2
The Wolfpack have a really solid team going into 2022 and they are led by the best quarterback in the ACC, Devin Leary. If NC State opens up the passing game and lets him throw more, this is a team that could take down Clemson in the ACC Atlantic. Especially, because this team is so good defensively with ten returning starters to a top 20 defense. The defense is led by one of the best linebacker duos in college football between Drake Thomas and Payton Wilson. Overall, if I knew NC State would open up the offense a little more I would trust them to take down Clemson… but even if they don’t I still see this team with a good chance of getting to double digit wins.
11. Miami Hurricanes
Projected Record: 10-3
Miami found their quarterback of the future with the emergence of Tyler Van Dyke last year. Along with Van Dyke, Miami also has a solid offensive line and some talented tight ends. On defense this team was young last year, but return a ton of starters and added quality players via the transfer portal. The strength will be in the secondary after Miami played three talented freshman last year. West Virginia transfer Akheem Mesidor and Leonard Taylor make up a solid defensive tackle duo. Overall, in Mario Cristobal’s first season as head coach he has a solid team. If the defense matures quickly and the offense continues their momentum from last year… this is a legitimate ACC contender.
12. USC Trojans
Projected Record: 10-3
The Lincoln Riley era starts at USC. Coming with Riley are a ton of impact skill position transfers and quarterback Caleb Williams. The offense should be one of the nation’s best. Defense is another story. The linebackers, Alabama transfer Shane Leee and Romolo Heights were the best players on the defense in the spring. But the secondary and defensive line are not strong units. Overall, the offense will put up almost 40 points per game. But the defense will keep this team from being a playoff team.
13. Penn State Nittany Lions
Projected Record: 9-3
Penn State is coming off two disappointing years including finishing 7-6 last year. Starting quarterback Sean Clifford is back again for his super senior season, but there are questions on what his ceiling is. The offensive line has to make an improvement as they struggled last year, especially in the run game. Even with the loss of Jahan Dotson, Penn State still has quality receivers including Parker Washington, Keandre Lambert-Smith, and Michael Tinsley (transfer from Western Kentucky). Defensively, the Nittany Lions lost five guys to the NFL Draft along with losing defensive coordinator Brent Prye. Despite the losses, expect a very good defense, especially in the secondary. Overall, look for James Franklin to turn it around and compete with Michigan for the number two spot in the Big Ten East.
14. Oregon Ducks
Projected Record: 9-3
Dan Lanning enters his first season with quite a bit of talent leftover from Mario Cristobal. The offensive line is by far the strength with four strong starters returning. The skill positions and whether Auburn transfer QB Bo Nix can thrive in the Pac-12 are the main questions. Another position of strength is the front seven where Oregon has legitimate defensive lineman and linebacker sprinkled throughout. On defense the secondary will be the question, but getting transfer cornerback Christian Gonzalez from Colorado will help. Overall, do not expect much of a drop off as Oregon is still a legitimate Pac-12 contender.
15. Ole Miss Rebels
Projected Record: 9-3
Ole Miss is coming off a very good season where they finished in the top 10-15 team with a Sugar Bowl appearance. Last season will be tough to repeat after losing Matt Corral. Quarterbacks Jaxon Dart and Luke Altmyer will compete for the starting job. While Ole Miss did lose their starting quarterback, they were aggressive in the portal and pulled Zach Evans and Ulyssess Bentley to make up a great RB room. As for the pass catchers Jonathan Mingo leads the unit with help from Jordan Watkins from Louisville and a high upside TE in Michael Trigg. The offensive line could be improved as well led by Jeremy James at left tackle. The question will be can the defense repeat as an effective unit after finishing in the top 35 last year. The Achilles heel of last year’s team was a poor run defense. JJ Pegues from Auburn will attempt to help as they are playing him at nose tackle. Cedric Johnson will also be a key defensive player on the edge after a solid 6.5 sacks last year. The Rebels should be solid at defensive back again, but linebacker is a major question. Overall, this is a talented team whose success will be dependent on how Dart or Altmyer replaces Matt Corral.
16. Pittsburgh Panthers
Projected Record: 9-3
Coming off an ACC title, Pittsburgh returns 14 starters. However, they are losing first round quarterback Kenny Pickett and Biletnikoff award winner WR Jordan Addison. Still, with their entire offensive line coming back and a good replacement in USC transfer QB Kedon Slovis, Pittsburgh is in a good position to repeat as the ACC Coastal champion. This is especially true on defense where they return almost all of their defensive lineman and a solid secondary. Also returning is Habakkuk Baldonado who finished with 9 sacks last year. Overall this is a really good team, but I worry about coach Pat Narduzzi getting too conservative after his Offensive Coordinator Mark Whipple left for Nebraska.
17. Texas Longhorns
Projected Record: 9-4
Texas is coming off a disappointing 5-7 season. But there is huge optimism in Steve Sarkisian’s second season. The offense is loaded and has a top five receiving group in the country with Xavier Worthy, Jordan Whittington, and Isaiah Neyor. Add in top running back Bijan Robinson and highly ranked QB Quinn Ewers, this offense has a chance to be special. However, offensive line is a huge issue where the Longhorns might have to start two true freshman offensive tackles. Defensively, they were awful last year finishing 100th in total yards per game. The interior defensive line isn’t bad with Keondre Coburn and Alfred Collins, but I do not see any premier pass rushers on the roster. The Longhorns also are weak at linebacker as they’ve been searching the transfer portal all offseason. The secondary remains shaky as well, but Ohio State transfer Ryan Watts will help the improvement. Overall, with an inexperienced offensive line and average defense I don’t see Texas as a college football playoff contender. However, they have enough offense to be in the mix for a Big 12 title.
18. Tennessee Volunteers
Projected Record: 9-3
When Hendon Hooker took over at starting quarterback for the Vols last year, this became a legitimate top ten offense. Expect a similar explosive offense. The offensive line was good last year and now returns four out of the five starters. The key will be filling in the left tackle spot with Darnell Wright moving back to right tackle. The wide receiver room is also solid with Cedric Tillman coming off a 1000 yard season and transfer Bru McCoy could be a wildcard. As for the defense, the Vols unit finished in the top 50 last year. The defense will have some work replacing their top three defensive lineman and try to improve what was an inconsistent pass rush from last year. One guy that will be relied on to be a key rusher is defensive end Byron Young. Another stud on the defense is linebacker Jeremy Banks, but the Vols will need another linebacker to step up (possibly Juwan Mitchell after only playing 3 games last year). This defense needs to improve in the secondary after finishing near the bottom of the SEC in passing yards against. Expect this defense to finish in the middle of the SEC conference. Overall, this is a quality team who has a legitimate shot at finishing second in the SEC East.
19. Minnesota Golden Gophers
Projected Record: 9-4
The Golden Gophers return a bunch of starters on offense and defense coming off a nine win season. However, the offense needs to improve, especially quarterback Tanner Morgan. Luckily for Minnesota they get back Kurt Ciarrocca at offensive coordinator from their successful 2019 season. Mohamed Ibrahim is also one of the best running backs in the Big Ten back from an Achilles injury, while Chris Autmen-Bell is one of the conference’s top receiver. The defense was a top ten defense last year, but lost a few guys. However, they have enough talent still left to finish on top of the Big Ten West. Overall, expect this to be one of coach PJ Fleck’s most talented teams.
20. Wisconsin Badgers
Projected Record: 9-3
The Badgers had an absolute beast of a defense in 2021. But now they have to replace some key pieces at linebacker and in the secondary. Wisconsin went in the transfer portal to grab three cornerbacks to help out. They have a strong defensive line led by Keanu Benton. But the offense will have to make major improvements this year, led by star running back Braelon Allen, if they want to win the Big Ten West. Overall, expect a strong defense that will most likely be held back by an average offense from being a top team in the nation. However, they still will be the favorite to win the Big Ten West.
21. BYU Cougars
Projected Record: 9-3
BYU returns almost everyone back to what was a 10-3 team last year. The Cougar offense finished in the top 20 in offensive yards per game after a great season by quarterback Jaren Hall. The offense should be fantastic again, but it is defensively where BYU needs to improve. With ten starters coming back expect that to happen. Overall, BYU is very talented and will give the premier teams on their schedule trouble (Baylor, Oregon, Notre Dame, and Arkansas).
22. Kentucky Wildcats
Projected Record: 8-4
Coach Mark Stoops has done a phenomenal job keeping Kentucky a steady 8-9 win team the last few years. Even with the new offensive coordinator, expect this to be your classic run-first team. Specifically behind talented, tough-nose running back Chris Rodriguez. Despite the offensive line losing three starters, the coaching staff seems confident in a few former four star recruits stepping up. What continues to be the concern is at wide receiver. Virginita Tech transfer Tayvion Robinson from Virginia Tech will be the top guy, but the complimentary pieces are unknown. Last but not least, quarterback Will Levis will need to improve his efficiency. He has all the tools with even a few publications projecting him as a first round NFL pick. Defensively, there are a few concerns including the defensive line and defensive back. Specifically at cornerback, someone needs to step up other than Carrington Valentine. The strength is Justin Rogers on the defensive line and the outside linebacker unit. Overall, this seems like another classic Kentucky team reliant on the run game and decent defense. But hopes of the SEC East title are too ambitious.
23. LSU Tigers
Projected Record: 8-4
Brian Kelly enters his first year as LSU’s head coach. The LSU team will look different from last year with only around six starters returning. The strength on offense is at the wide receiver position especially with one of the best in the nation, Kayshon Boutte. With very little tight end depth, expect LSU’s offense this year to go with more four wide receiver sets. Who is throwing the ball to the receivers is a major question going into the season with a three quarterback battle brewing between Arizona State transfer Jayden Daniels, Garrett Nussmeier, and Myles Brennan. The offensive line is also a concern as the Tigers lost all four of their snap count guys from last year. On the other hand, the defense has a chance to be solid with a talented defensive line that features Jaquelin Roy and Mason Smith. The edge is also a position of strength with rushers Ali Gaye and Ben Ojulari. A key position on the defensive side of the ball is defensive back where they lost 4 out of their five top defensive backs. LSU brought in four defensive back transfers including Arkansas transfers Joe Foucha and Greg Brooks to help the back end. Overall, LSU is still a talented team. But the questions at quarterback, offensive line and defensive back keeps them in the middle of the pack of the SEC West.
24. Arkansas Razorbacks
Projected Record: 8-4
The Razorbacks are coming off an excellent 9-4 season. There is a reason for excitement in Fayetteville as the starting quarterback KJ Jefferson returns after a quality season. Also retuning is the entire offensive line. The skill positions took a hit trying to replace first round pick Treylon Burks. But Oklahoma transfer Jaden Haselwood and breakout candidate Ketron Jackson will help at wideout. Look for Dominic Johnson to be the premier running back in the offense coming off a 500 yard season. Expect him to have an even bigger season as this offense likes to focus on establishing the run game. On defense the Razorbacks will be playing a 3-2-6 base. The defense had some key losses including losing their top three defensive lineman and two impact linebackers from last year. While the defensive line remains a concern, the same can’t be said at linebacker with Bumper Pool and Alabama transfer Drew Sanders starting. The secondary is scattered with new talent including Latavious Brini from Georgia at safety and Dwight McGlothern from LSU at cornerback. Jalen Catalon also returns at safety after a disappointing year following a 2020 first team SEC season. Overall, this should be your classic, hard-nosed, Sam Pittman team that focuses on running the ball and good defense. Expect a pesky team in the SEC West.
25. Iowa Hawkeyes
Projected Record: 8-4
The Hawkeyes are coming off a 10-4 season despite having an absolute terrible offense (ranked 94th). Iowa needs Spencer Petras to improve if they want to compete at the top of the Big Ten West. Defensively, the group brings eight starters back to a talented group from last year. The linebackers are all back including Jack Campbell. Overall, Iowa will be a tough out, but the lack of offense puts a cap on their ceiling.
Wins: Oregon, Samford, South Carolina, Kent State, Missouri, Auburn, Vanderbilt, Florida, Tennessee, Mississippi State, Kentucky, Georgia Tech
Losses: Alabama (SEC Championship)
Georgia is back after their 2021 national championship win. However, the Bulldogs lost a ton on the defensive side. They still have plenty of talent to star on this team including one of the best defensive lineman in the country Jalen Carter. Nolan smith and Rober Beal also return as the starting pass rushers. The concern remains at inside linebacker as they lost three guys who were all drafted in the first three rounds. Also there is a question on who starts opposite of star cornerback Kellen Ringo. On offense, returning quarterback Stetson Bennett is efficient. But he struggled against elite defenses by often turning the ball over and is the least talented starter on offense. Georgia’s skill positions are deep with studs including Adonis Mitchell and Arian Smith at wideout. Georgia also has by far the deepest, most talented tight end room with Brock Bowers, Arik Gilbert, and Darnell Washington. The offensive line is also one of the best in the nation. Overall, this has a team with enough talent to make the college football playoffs again. But replacing that much defensive talent to the NFL won’t be easy and may lead to an early College Football Playoff exit.
When Hendon Hooker took over at starting quarterback for the Vols last year, this became a legitimate top ten offense. Expect a similar explosive offense. The offensive line was good last year and now returns four out of the five starters. The key will be filling in the left tackle spot with Darnell Wright moving back to right tackle. The wide receiver room is also solid with Cedric Tillman coming off a 1000 yard season and transfer Bru McCoy could be a wildcard. As for the defense, the Vols unit finished in the top 50 last year. The defense will have some work replacing their top three defensive lineman and try to improve what was an inconsistent pass rush from last year. One guy that will be relied on to be a key rusher is defensive end Byron Young. Another stud on the defense is linebacker Jeremy Banks, but the Vols will need another linebacker to step up (possibly Juwan Mitchell after only playing 3 games last year). This defense needs to improve in the secondary after finishing near the bottom of the SEC in passing yards against. Expect this defense to finish in the middle of the SEC conference. Overall, this is a quality team who has a legitimate shot at finishing second in the SEC East.
3. Kentucky Wildcats
Projected Record: 8-4
Wins: Miami (Ohio), Youngstown State, Northern Illinois, South Carolina, Mississippi State, Missouri, Vanderbilt, Louisville
Losses: Florida, Ole Miss, Tennessee, Georgia
Coach Mark Stoops has done a phenomenal job keeping Kentucky a steady 8-9 win team the last few years. Even with the new offensive coordinator, expect this to be your classic run-first team. Specifically behind talented, tough-nose running back Chris Rodriguez. Despite the offensive line losing three starters, the coaching staff seems confident in a few former four star recruits stepping up. What continues to be the concern is at wide receiver. Virginita Tech transfer Tayvion Robinson from Virginia Tech will be the top guy, but the complimentary pieces are unknown. Last but not least, quarterback Will Levis will need to improve his efficiency. He has all the tools with even a few publications projecting him as a first round NFL pick. Defensively, there are a few concerns including the defensive line and defensive back. Specifically at cornerback, someone needs to step up other than Carrington Valentine. The strength is Justin Rogers on the defensive line and the outside linebacker unit. Overall, this seems like another classic Kentucky team reliant on the run game and decent defense. But hopes of the SEC East title are too ambitious.
4. Florida Gators
Projected Record: 7-5
Wins: Kentucky, South Florida, Eastern Washington, Missouri, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Florida State
Losses:Utah, Tennessee, LSU, Georgia, Texas A&M
Coach Billy Napier takes over for Dan Mullen after a disappointing season for the Gators. However, the season wasn’t a total loss as there were glimpses of stardom from quarterback Anthony Richardson. He has all the tools to make Florida a tough team in the SEC East. The offense has major issues though as the wide receiver position is unproven. Florida hopes Justin Shorter can be the guy to step up at WR. The offensive line will need to step forward from last year for this offense to reach its potential. Transfer offensive lineman Ocyrus Torrence will help after finishing last year as a first team All-Sun Belt. On defense, Gervon Dexter is the stud that leads the defensive line. But the defensive depth is incredibly thin especially at linebacker, safety and defensive tackle. The strength of this team is at defensive back especially after Jalen Kimber transferred from Georgia. Overall, this team has some talent but the lack of depth is a major concern. Expect just an OK first year from the Gators.
Shane Beamer comes into his second year after vastly exceeding expectations in year one. The bar just got set higher after acquiring a few transfer portal guys including Spencer Rattler. Helping out Rattler will be a few decent receivers (Josh Vann and Arkansas State transfer Corey Rucker) and a tight end room with Jaheim Bell and his former Oklahoma TE Austin Stogner. The running back room is also talented with Wake Forest transfer Christian Beal-Smith and Marshawn Lloyd. The offensive line is experienced, but will have to take a step forward after a down year last year. On defense, the Gamecocks are led by their secondary and in particular Cam Smith, who will move to nickel this year. The front seven will be OK, but Jordan Burch will have to fill the hole left by Kingsley Engbare on the defensive line. Overall, expect the Gamecocks to make a small step towards being a solid team in the SEC East.
6. Missouri Tigers
Projected Record: 4-8
Wins: Louisiana Tech, Abilene Christian, Vanderbilt, New Mexico State
Missouri struck out in the transfer portal filling the quarterback position. Now it will turn to returning backup and bowl game starter Brady cook at QB. However, this is a team that is very excited about their wide receiver room with star freshman Luther Burden, Mookie Cooper, and leading receiver from last year Tauskie Dove. Where this team needs to focus on is stopping the run after finishing 126th in the nation last year. Jayden Jernigan from Oklahoma state may help, but it needs to be a point of emphasis if this team will find any success. The secondary is solid returning four starters including Ennis Rakestraw returning from an ACL injury. Overall, this is a decent team, but a lack of a true starting quarterback and weakness against the run could keep them near the bottom of the SEC.
7. Vanderbilt Commodores
Projected Record: 3-9
Wins: Hawaii, Elon, Northern Illinois
Losses: Wake Forest, Alabama, Ole Miss, Georgia, Missouri, South Carolina, Kentucky, Florida, Tennessee
Vanderbilt remains a huge work in progress. The offensive line continues to be a huge issue and in the SEC that isn’t a good thing. As for quarterback look for Mike Wright to take over for Ken Sells as the starting quarterback. There also a few guys who could step up at receiver including Will Sheppard and true freshman Jayden McGowan. Again, the main question offensively is if this line can be competent in the SEC. On the defensive side, the Commodores returns a decent amount of starters. Add in a few transfers including UConn transfer CB Jeremy Lucien and Clemson transfer LB Kane Patterson, and this defense should improve from last in the SEC last year. Overall, Vanderbilt is focusing on high school development and recruiting. With it only being Clark Lea’s second year as head coach, expect something similar to Vanderbilt’s 0-8 SEC record last year.
Heisman trophy winning quarterback Bryce Young leads a very talented Alabama team. However, this year’s team may be led more by their defense. The strength is at edge rusher where Will Anderson, Dallas Turner, and Chris Braswell are all dangerous. The Crimson Tide still has strong units outside of this on the defense including secondary, linebacker and defensive line. As for the offense, transfer wide receivers Jermaine Burton, Tyler Harrell, and running back Jahmyr Gibbs will all step in and be major contributors. The major question mark and weakness of this team is at offensive tackle after Evan Neal was drafted in the top ten. Expect transfer offensive tackle Tyler Steen to fill in at left tackle, but right tackle remains wide open. Regardless, expect one of the better Nick Saban teams this year with the expectation being an appearance in the National Title.
2. Texas A&M Aggies
Projected Record: 10-2
Wins: Sam Houston, Appalachian State, Miami, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Auburn, UMass, LSU
Losses: Alabama, South Carolina
Texas A&M comes into the year with the overall number one recruiting class and a loaded roster. This is especially true on the defensive side of the ball where they finished in the top ten last year. The secondary returns almost anybody including talented corner Jaylon Jones and safety Antonio Johnson. The question on that side of the ball is who steps up at defensive line after losing their top four guys off last year’s team? Lucky for the Aggies they have six five star freshman coming in and talented returning guys in Tunmise Adeleye, and McKinley Jackson. As for the offense, the Aggies have wide receivers ready to step in, but the best of the bunch might be true freshman Evan Stewart. Expect the offensive line to also be a solid, deep unit. There is one major question keeping this football team from reaching their potential… quarterback. The Aggies need Max Johnson, Haynes King, or Connor Weigman to step up if they want a chance at the SEC West or even the playoff. My gut tells me they’re not going to get that type of production and they’ll drop a few games during SEC play.
3. Ole Miss Rebels
Projected Record: 9-3
Wins: Troy, Central Arkansas, Georgia Tech, Tulsa, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Auburn, LSU, Mississippi State
Losses: Texas A&M, Alabama, Arkansas
Ole Miss is coming off a very good season where they finished in the top 10-15 team with a Sugar Bowl appearance. Last season will be tough to repeat after losing Matt Corral. Quarterbacks Jaxon Dart and Luke Altmyer will compete for the starting job. While Ole Miss did lose their starting quarterback, they were aggressive in the portal and pulled Zach Evans and Ulyssess Bentley to make up a great RB room. As for the pass catchers Mingo leads the unit with help from Watkins from Louisville and a high upside TE in Michael Trigg. The offensive line could be improved as well led by Jeremy James at left tackle. The question will be can the defense repeat as an effective unit after finishing in the top 35 last year. The Achilles heel of last year’s team was a poor run defense. JJ Pegues from Auburn will attempt to help as they are playing him at nose tackle. Cedric Johnson will also be a key defensive player on the edge after a solid 6.5 sacks last year. The Rebels should be solid at defensive back again, but linebacker is a major question. Overall, this is a talented team whose success will be dependent on how Dart or Altmyer replaces Matt Corral.
4. LSU Tigers
Projected Record: 8-4
Wins: Florida State, Southern, Mississippi State, New Mexico, Auburn, Florida, Arkansas, UAB
Losses: Tennessee, Ole Miss, Alabama, Texas A&M
Brian Kelly enters his first year as LSU’s head coach. The LSU team will look different from last year with only around six starters returning. The strength on offense is at the wide receiver position especially with one of the best in the nation, Kayshon Boutte. With very little tight end depth, expect LSU’s offense this year to go with more four wide receiver sets. Who is throwing the ball to the receivers is a major question going into the season with a three quarterback battle brewing between Arizona State transfer Jayden Daniels, Garrett Nussmeier, and Myles Brennan. The offensive line is also a concern as the Tigers lost all four of their snap count guys from last year. On the other hand, the defense has a chance to be solid with a talented defensive line that features Jaquelin Roy and Mason Smith. The edge is also a position of strength with rushers Ali Gaye and Ben Ojulari. A key position on the defensive side of the ball is defensive back where they lost 4 out of their five top defensive backs. LSU brought in four defensive back transfers including Arkansas transfers Joe Foucha and Greg Brooks to help the back end. Overall, LSU is still a talented team. But the questions at quarterback, offensive line and defensive back keeps them in the middle of the pack of the SEC West.
5. Arkansas Razorbacks
Projected Record: 8-4
Wins: Cincinnati, South Carolina, Missouri State, Mississippi State, BYU, Liberty, Ole Miss, Missouri
Losses: Texas A&M, Alabama, Auburn, LSU
The Razorbacks are coming off an excellent 9-4 season. There is a reason for excitement in Fayetteville as the starting quarterback KJ Jefferson returns after a quality season. Also retuning is the entire offensive line. The skill positions took a hit trying to replace first round pick Treylon Burks. But Oklahoma transfer Jaden Haselwood and breakout candidate Ketron Jackson will help at wideout. Look for Dominic Johnson to be the premier running back in the offense coming off a 500 yard season. Expect him to have an even bigger season as this offense likes to focus on establishing the run game. On defense the Razorbacks will be playing a 3-2-6 base. The defense had some key losses including losing their top three defensive lineman and two impact linebackers from last year. While the defensive line remains a concern, the same can’t be said at linebacker with Bumper Pool and Alabama transfer Drew Sanders starting. The secondary is scattered with new talent including Latavious Brini from Georgia at safety and Dwight McGlothern from LSU at cornerback. Jalen Catalon also returns at safety after a disappointing year following a 2020 first team SEC season. Overall, this should be your classic, hard-nosed, Sam Pittman team that focuses on running the ball and good defense. Expect a pesky team in the SEC West.
6. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Projected Record: 6-6
Wins: Memphis, Arizona, Bowling Green, Kentucky, Auburn, East Tennessee State
Losses: LSU, Texas A&M, Arkansas, Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss
Quarterback Will Rogers leads the Bulldogs back after a 7-6 season. The offensive line remains a concern as they are faced with replacing both starting tackles. The Bulldogs also must find a wide receiver to replace former wide receiver Makai Polk’s 1046 yards. Mike Leach has his work cut out after finishing 59th in scoring offense last year. The strength of this team actually is on the defensive end with a loaded front seven. The secondary is led by Emmanuel Forbes at corner. Richardson and Marcus Banks, a transfer from Alabama complete a decent cornerback room. Overall, Mississippi State is a solid team, but faces a tough uphill battle in the SEC West.
7. Auburn Tigers
Projected Record: 5-7
Wins: Mercer, San Jose State, Missouri, Arkansas, Western Kentucky
Losses: Penn State, LSU, Georgia, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, Texas A&M, Alabama
Auburn had an eventful offseason that ended with the administration bringing back Coach Bryan Harsin for a second season. It won’t be any easier this year. For one, the Tigers still have to decide who is the starter between Zach Calzada, TJ Finley or Robby Ashford. The offensive line returns most of the starters from last year, but needs to make an improvement. On the offensive side it is Tank Bigsby at running back who will have to lead the offense as the receivers are unproven. The strength of this team is on the defensive line led by (Wooden, Marquis Harris, Northwestern transfer, Hollis). Overall, Auburn is one of the least talented teams in the SEC West and face a difficult schedule. Expect Auburn to be a fringe bowl team.
Wins: Florida, Southern Utah, San Diego State, Arizona State, Oregon State, UCLA, USC, Washington State, Arizona, Stanford, Colorado
Losses: Oregon
Utah was very close to a Rose Bowl victory last year against Ohio State. Now Utah returns their starting quarterback, Cam Rising, who had Utah playing as a top ten offense last year. The offense will be led through the tight ends Brant Kuithe and Dalton Kincaid. On defense, Utah’s strength is at linebacker with Lander Barton and Mohamoud Diabate. It should be a strong unit, but they will need to find an edge rusher (Van Fillinger could be that guy). Overall, this should be the favorite in the Pac-12 and a potential College Football playoff team.
The Lincoln Riley era starts at USC. Coming with Riley are a ton of impact skill position transfers and quarterback Caleb Williams. The offense should be one of the nation’s best. Defense is another story. The linebackers, Alabama transfer Shane Leee and Romolo Heights were the best players on the defense in the spring. But the secondary and defensive line are not strong units. Overall, the offense will put up almost 40 points per game. But the defense will keep this team from being a playoff team.
Dan Lanning enters his first season with quite a bit of talent leftover from Mario Cristobal. The offensive line is by far the strength with four strong starters returning. The skill positions and whether Auburn transfer QB Bo Nix can thrive in the Pac-12 are the main questions. Another position of strength is the front seven where Oregon has legitimate defensive lineman and linebacker sprinkled throughout. On defense the secondary will be the question, but getting transfer cornerback Christian Gonzalez from Colorado will help. Overall, do not expect much of a drop off as Oregon is still a legitimate Pac-12 contender.
Losses: Fresno State, USC, Utah, Stanford, Washington
What an incredible job Johnathan Smith has done turning around this Oregon State program. The Beavers have another strong team this year with a good offensive line and returning most of their skill players. Quarterback Chance Nolan will have to step up if they want to go to the next level. Defensively, while there is some concern on the defensive line, the linebackers and secondary are solid. Overall, expect Oregon State to go bowling again and finish in the middle to upper tier of the Pac 12.
5. Washington State Cougars
Projected Record: 7-5
Wins: Idaho, Colorado State, Oregon, Cal, Arizona State, Arizona, Washington
Jake Dickert enters his first full season after taking over as head coach last year. His season will be locked to talented Incarnate Word QB transfer Cam Ward. The offense has an offensive line issue and questions on who will step up at wide receiver. Defensively there are real secondary questions after losing four of six starters to an average defense. Overall, I expect this team is good enough to make a bowl, but can’t see them as a legit contender in the Pac-12.
6. Washington Huskies
Projected Record: 6-6
Wins: Kent State, Portland State, Stanford, Arizona, Oregon State, Colorado
Losses: Michigan State, UCLA, Arizona State, Cal, Oregon, Washington State
The issue with Washington continues to be their offense. Michael Penix transfers from Indiana to be presumably the new starting quarterback, but the offense finished 114th last year and I don’t see them making a vast improvement. Defensively this group will be a good unit despite only returning three starters. Overall, this is a little bit of a rebuild for new coach Kalen Deboer where making a bowl game will be a good season for the Huskies.
7. UCLA Bruins
Projected Record: 6-6
Wins: Bowling Green, Alabama State, South Alabama, Colorado, Washington, USC
Losses: Utah, Oregon, Stanford, Arizona State, Arizona, Cal
UCLA finally made progress under Chip Kelly finishing 8-4 last year. Now they have Dorian Thompson-Robinson and and Zach Charbonnet back at quarterback and running back. The offensive line is decent, but they lost quite a few talented pass catchers of last year’s team. On defense, UCLA’s unit has some legitimate concerns with five out of the six defensive backs gone. Overall, UCLA will score points, but the defense could hold this team back.
8. Arizona Wildcats
Projected Record: 5-7
Wins: San Diego State, Cal, Colorado, UCLA, Arizona State
Losses: Mississippi State, North Dakota State, Oregon, Washington, USC, Utah, Washington State
Arizona is coming off a 1-11 season where they played much better than their record would indicate. Part of the problem was at quarterback. But now stepping in is Washington State transfer Jayden de Laura who played well last season. Also at Arizona is stud UTEP transfer Jacob Cowing. On defense, they return most of the starters to an average unit. Overall, a tough schedule makes it tough for the Wildcats to finish with a good record. But a bowl game could still be a possibility and would be an excellent season for Arizona.
9. California Golden Bears
Projected Record: 5-7
Wins: UC Davis, UNLV, Washington, Stanford, UCLA
Losses: Notre Dame, Arizona, Washington State, Colorado, Oregon, USC, Oregon State
Cal is coming off a rough 5-7 season. But I honestly don’t see it getting any better. The offense wasn’t great last year and it could get worse with losing Chase Garbers, the wide receivers, and most of their offensive line. The team will have to be led by the defense that lost most of their starters. Jackson Sirmon, a transfer from Washington, will be a major contributor. Overall, this team is in a bit of a rebuild where a bowl game should be celebrated.
10. Stanford Cardinals
Projected Record: 4-8
Wins: Colgate, Oregon State, UCLA, Washington State
Stanford had an abysmal year in 2021, finishing 3-9 with a bad offense and defense. The good news is the offense brings back almost everyone including talented quarterback Tanner McKee. Stanford does have two solid wide receivers with Elijah Higgins and Benjamin Yurosek, but the offensive line isn’t great. On defense, the line is thin with very little depth or talented guys. The secondary is the strength of this team led by corner Kyu Blu Kelly. Overall, the deficiencies at defensive and offensive line will bring this team down, but quarterback Tanner McKee could bring them a few surprising wins.
Arizona State has totally fallen apart after losing all but five starters off last year’s team due to transfers, the NFL Draft, and graduation. It is an absolute dumpster fire with the upcoming NCAA sanctions over their head. As for the team, the offensive line, secondary, and skill players aren’t great. The one bright spot is Florida transfer QB Emory Jones could be alright. Overall, expect this to be Herm Edwards last year with a bowl game being unlikely.
Colorado is going through major changes after 23 players left the program. Brandon Lewis returns to lead what was one of the worst offenses in power five college football last year. Transfer RJ Snead from Baylor will help lead the wide receivers. The defense wasn’t great last year and only returns four starters. Overall, don’t expect much from Colorado this year.
Clemson had an incredibly disappointing year last year and still finished 10-3. The problem last year was the offense as they finished 100th in yards per game. Whether they improve will be a major indicator on how far this team goes. If DJ Uiagalelei continues to decline look for true freshman Cade Klubnik to take over. On defense this is one of the greatest defensive lines in the country and, even after losing some key pieces in the secondary, Clemson should still finish as a top ten defense in the nation. Overall, I expect this team to be carried by the defense and the offense to improve from last season. Expect them to be on top of the ACC and be a college football playoff contender.
2. NC State Wolfpack
Projected Record: 10-2
Wins: East Carolina, Charleston Southern, Texas Tech, UConn, Florida State, Syracuse, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, Boston College, Louisville
Losses: Clemson, North Carolina
The Wolfpack have a really solid team going into 2022 and they are led by the best quarterback in the ACC, Devin Leary. If NC State opens up the passing game and lets him throw more, this is a team that could take down Clemson in the ACC Atlantic. Especially, because this team is so good defensively with ten returning starters to a top 20 defense. The defense is led by one of the best linebacker duos in college football between Drake Thomas and Payton Wilson. Overall, if I knew NC State would open up the offense a little more I would trust them to take down Clemson… but even if they don’t I still see this team with a good chance of getting to double digit wins.
3. Boston College Eagles
Projected Record: 8-4
Wins: Rutgers, Virginia Tech, Maine, Louisville, Clemson, UConn, Duke, Syracuse
Losses: Florida State, Wake Forest, NC State, Notre Dame
Coach Jeff Hafley continues to build this team in the right direction. Now with a very good defense and talented QB Phil Jurkovec and WR Zay Flowers returning, this Boston College team will be a tough out in the ACC. However, they are faced with replacing all five offensive lineman from last year. Overall, expect a solid squad who will surely make a bowl game.
4. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Projected Record: 8-4
Wins: VMI, Vanderbilt, Liberty, Army, Boston College, Louisville, Syracuse, Duke
Losses: Clemson, Florida State, NC State, North Carolina
Wake Forrest brings almost everyone back to a fringe top ten offense. This includes QB Sam Hartman and one of the best receivers in the country in AT Perry. The questions surrounding this team are on the defensive side after finishing last year 92nd in the country. Expect the defense to improve a little, but not enough to win the Atlantic like they did last year.
5. Louisville Cardinals
Projected Record: 7-5
Wins: Syracuse, UCF, Florida State, USF, Virginia, Pitt, James Madison
Losses: Boston College, Wake Forest, Clemson, NC State, Kentucky
Louisville’s offense is extremely dangerous especially with four of the five starters back on offensive line and quarterback Malik Cunningham leading. However, I see defense being the issue especially along the defensive line. Overall, I see this being one of Coach Satterfield’s best teams he has had while at Louisville and should be a solid team in the ACC.
6. Florida State Seminoles
Projected Record: 6-6
Wins: Duquesne, Boston College, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech, Syracuse, Louisiana
Florida State showed real improvement and growth last year. Now in Mike Norvell’s third year expect the best team yet. When healthy, Jordan Travis was a solid dual threat QB. The Seminoles also bring back 4 of the 5 starters on offensive line that should be decent. Defensively, expect Florida State to be solid with very good linebacker and defensive line play. They also have an edge rusher that transferred from Albany named Jared Verse who will make an immediate impact. Overall, I really like this team in the ACC. But a tough non-conference schedule featuring Florida and LSU will be tough to overcome.
7. Syracuse Orange
Projected Record: 4-8
Wins: UConn, Virginia, Wagner, Florida State
Losses: Louisville, Purdue, NC State, Clemson, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Wake Forest, Boston College
Dino Babers is going into his seventh season as the head coach of Syracuse and they’ve gone straight downhill since winning ten games in 2018. This offense will be led by their running attack between running back Sean Tucker and mobile quarterback Garrett Shrader. Still, it is hard to trust them as I don’t project them having a good offensive or defensive line. Overall, don’t expect Syracuse to go bowling in what might be Dino Babers last season as the head football coach.
ACC Coastal
1. Miami Hurricanes
Projected Record: 10-3
Wins: Bethune-Cookman, Southern Miss, Middle Tennessee, North Carolina, Virginia Tech, Duke, Virginia, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Pittsburgh
Miami found their quarterback of the future with the emergence of Tyler Van Dyke last year. Along with Van Dyke, Miami also has a solid offensive line and some talented tight ends. On defense this team was young last year, but return a ton of starters and added quality players via the transfer portal. The strength will be in the secondary after Miami played three talented freshman last year. West Virginia transfer Akheem Mesidor and Leonard Taylor make up a solid defensive tackle duo. Overall, in Mario Cristobal’s first season as head coach he has a solid team. If the defense matures quickly and the offense continues their momentum from last year… this is a legitimate ACC contender.
2. Pittsburgh Panthers
Projected Record: 9-3
Wins: West Virginia, Western Michigan, Rhode Island, Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, North Carolina, Syracuse, Virginia, Duke
Losses: Tennessee, Louisville, Miami
Coming off an ACC title, Pittsburgh returns 14 starters. However, they are losing first round quarterback Kenny Pickett and Biletnikoff award winner WR Jordan Addison. Still, with their entire offensive line coming back and a good replacement in USC transfer QB Kedon Slovis, Pittsburgh is in a good position to repeat as the ACC Coastal champion. This is especially true on defense where they return almost all of their defensive lineman and a solid secondary. Also returning is Habakkuk Baldonado who finished with 9 sacks last year. Overall this is a really good team, but I worry about coach Pat Narduzzi getting too conservative after his Offensive Coordinator Mark Whipple left for Nebraska.
Losses: Notre Dame, Virginia Tech, Miami, Pittsburgh
The Tar Heels failed to live up to expectations last year, but they actually come into this season a little underrated. The strength of this team is the front seven and especially at the defensive line. Taking over at quarterback will most likely be Drake Maye who will have explosive wide receiver Josh Downs, coming off a 1300 yard season, to throw to. If North Carolina can have the offensive line and a complimentary wide receiver step up, this could be a dangerous team. Overall, expect the Tar Heels to compete in the top half of the ACC Coastal.
4. Virginia Tech Hokies
Projected Record: 7-5
Wins: Old Dominion, Wofford, North Carolina, Miami, Georgia Tech, Duke, Liberty
Losses: Boston College, West Virginia, Pittsburgh, NC State, Virginia
The Hokies moved on from the Justin Fuente era after a 6-7 season. Now, former Penn State defensive coordinator Brent Prye takes over for the Hokies. Also coming to Blacksburg is Marshall transfer quarterback Grant Wells who is a decent option. However, there are major questions with the offensive line and at wide receiver. Overall, this team will be led by their defensive experience. Expect an average ACC team who will most likely make a bowl game.
5. Virginia Cavaliers
Projected Record: 6-6
Wins: Richmond, Old Dominion, Duke, Georgia Tech, Coastal Carolina, Virginia Tech
Losses: Illinois, Syracuse, Louisville, Miami, North Carolina, Pittsburgh
Quarterback Brennan Armstrong returns after last year’s Virginia offense finished as a top five offense. Also returning are their top three wide receivers including do it all player Keytaon Thompson. The issues for this offense are on the offensive line as they lost all of their starters from last year’s team. Add to the fact this defense was 108th last year, this is a team with major holes. Overall, Brennan Armstrong and the Virginia offense will do enough to make a bowl game.
6. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Projected Record: 2-10
Wins: Western Carolina, Duke
Losses: Clemson, Ole Miss, UCF, Pittsburgh, Virginia, Florida State, Virginia Tech, Miami, North Carolina, Georgia
Georgia Tech is a tough spot with a hard schedule and an inexperienced lineup. The Yellow Jackets return just one starter to the offensive line and zero starters in a secondary that finished 121st last year. Overall, it would be a miracle if this team makes a bowl game… don’t expect much.
7. Duke Blue Devils
Projected Record: 2-10
Wins: Temple, North Carolina A&T
Losses: Northwestern, Kansas, Virginia, Georgia Tech, North Carolina, Miami, Boston College, Virginia Tech, Pittsburgh, Wake Forest
New coach Mike Elko has a major rebuild on his hands. The defense finished 118th last year and only brings back four starters. Offensively, there isn’t a clear starter at quarterback. Overall, expect this to be one of the bottom teams in the power five.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Projected Record: 9-3
Wins: Marshall, Cal, North Carolina, BYU, Stanford, UNLV, Syracuse, Navy, Boston College
Losses: Ohio State, Clemson, USC
The Marcus Freeman era starts at Notre Dame. Notre Dame is led by a strong offensive and defensive line. Tyler Buckner will take over as the starting QB along with a questionable wide receiver room. Overall, expect the Fighting Irish to be led by their defense. But the offense will need to step up if they want to be a legitimate playoff contender.
Thank God It's Saturday 