All posts by Tyler Vesely

TGIS Championship Week Preview

What an absolutely ugly finish to the season we have had. We finished with a 2-8 record last week where everything went sideways… But we are moving on for Championship Week. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Top Picks of the Week

#11 Utah vs. #4 USC Over 65.5 – 7:00pm

The last game finished Utah 43-42. Both quarterbacks threw for over 380 yards and moved the ball with ease. Expect the same thing with both offenses putting up plenty of points. We’re taking the over.

#10 Kansas State vs. #3 TCU Over 60.5 – 11:00am

Another game where I expect to see plenty of points. Kansas State was averaging 12.5 yards per play against TCU before their starting quarterbacks went down. But that TCU offense also put it on, scoring 21 second half points. We are taking the over.

Coastal Carolina +9 at Troy – 2:30pm

I know Coastal lost to James Madison 47-7. But Coastal Carolina was resting players preparing for this game right here. They keep it close against Troy in the Sun Belt Championsip.

#22 UCF at #18 Tulane -2.5 – 3:00pm

This is me trusting Willie Fritz. Tulane will play tough defense against UCF. I know UCF beat Tulane a few weeks ago, but UCF has struggled against two bad teams since then (South Florida and Navy). Give me Tulane and laying the points.

#9 Clemson vs. #23 North Carolina +8 – 7:00pm

I trust Drake Maye to be able to keep it close with Clemson. Especially since the weakness of Clemson is their secondary. This one will be a close one.

Purdue vs. #2 Michigan -16.5 – 7:00pm

Remember Michigan against Iowa in the Big Ten Championship last year? Expect the same this year with Michigan treating it as a playoff warm up and blowing out Purdue.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 13

TGIS Game of the Week

Michigan at Ohio State -7.5 – 11:00am

Michigan is banged up right now including their top player, running back Blake Corum. Ohio State carves up the Wolverines.

Top Picks of the Week

Tulane at Cincinnati UNDER 46.5 – Friday 11:00am

Tulane and Cincinnati are both led by really strong defenses. On the Bearcat side they could be without their starting QB as well… Under hits.

Arizona State at Arizona -4 – Friday 2:00pm

At this time of the year you look at who has quit… I think Arizona State fits the description. Wildcats win easily.

Nebraska at Iowa UNDER 38.5 – Friday 3:00pm

Iowa Unders.

South Carolina +14.5 at Clemson – 11:00am

South Carolina is coming off a huge victory against Tennessee. While you might think this is a letdown spot… not against Clemson. 14 and a hook is too many points.

Iowa State +10 at TCU – 3:00pm

Iowa State brings every one down into the mud. They have only lost one Big 12 game by more than double digits. Iowa State keeps it close.

LSU at Texas A&M +10 – 6:00pm

Call it a gut feeling, but I think A&M steps up for this game to try to play spoiler. They have Devon Achane coming back to play his final game for the Aggies. A&M makes this one interesting.

Tennessee at Vanderbilt +14 – 6:30pm

A Joe Milton led Vols team facing a red hot Vanderbilt team? The Commodores will keep this close.

Notre Dame +5.5 at USC – 6:30pm

USC can’t stop the run. What does the Irish do well? Run the ball. This also fits the theme of the Pac-12… whatever result could hurt the Pac-12 will happen.

Washington at Washington State +2.5 – 9:30pm

This Cougar team is playing really good football down the stretch. They are especially led by their defense. Wazzou wins the Apple Cup.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 12

OVERALL RECORD: 235-193-8 (54.9%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 64-54-7 (54.2%)

Coming down the final stretch and the battle to go above 55% continues. Last week TGIS was slightly over the 55% mark finishing 5-4-1. This week… we go undefeated. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 12 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

USC at UCLA +2.5 – 7:00pm

This is the best team USC has faced. There will be plenty of points scored, but I trust the UCLA defense a little bit more. The UCLA loss last week against Arizona was a fluke as the Wildcat’s quarterback Jayden De Lauria was making some very lucky hero ball plays. Things get back to normal with a UCLA win.

Game Pick: UCLA 45-41

Top Picks of the Week

#4 TCU at Baylor Over 57.5 – 11:00am

TCU scored 17 points and Baylor only scored 3 points last week, why in the world would I take the Over? Because things get back to normal with Blake Shapen moving this offense and TCU will be able to take advantage of a bad Baylor secondary. Over hits with ease.

Boston College +21 at Notre Dame – 1:30pm

Notre Dame has messed around with bad teams all year and I still don’t trust them to move the ball. 3 touchdowns is too many.

#1 Georgia -22.5 at Kentucky – 2:30pm

Have you seen Will Levis and the Kentucky offense play the last few weeks?

Miami at #10 Clemson UNDER 48.5 – 2:30pm

Miami can’t really score… and neither can Clemson. The under the key number of 48 is the play.

Texas at Kansas +10 –  2:30pm

Not sure if Jalon Daniels is going to play (game-time decision), but Kansas as a double digit dog at home against a Texas team that plays everyone close? Give me Kansas all day.

Iowa at Minnesota OVER 32 – 3:00pm

Defensive touchdowns exist… and Iowa has moved it (a little) better the last few weeks. 32 is the lowest point total I have ever seen so we are going over.

Georgia Tech +21 at North Carolina – 4:30pm

Another ACC team that plays everyone close, Georgia Tech covers the 3 touchdown spread.

Ole Miss -1.5 at Arkansas – 6:30pm

If KJ Jefferson doesn’t play, this line makes no sense. Arkansas can not move the ball with Malik Hornsby. Ole Miss wins comfortably.

Utah at Oregon OVER 60 – 9:30pm

Utah will be able to take advantage against a poor Oregon secondary. I know Bo Nix might not play, but I still think the Ducks can move the ball. Give me the over.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 11

OVERALL RECORD: 230-189-7 (54.9%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 59-50-6 (54.1%)

It is hard to win bets later in the year. Vegas has pinpointed these teams and lines where finding variance is tough. The last two weeks TGIS has finished 5-5…. we will find the advantage this week though. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 11 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#4 TCU +7.5 at #18 Texas – 6:30pm

The ultimate battle of two opposite teams. Texas starts fast and blows leads. TCU starts slow and comes back. We love TCU to backdoor cover this.

Pick: Texas 34-31

Top Picks of the Week

East Carolina +5.5 at Cincinnati – Friday 7:00pm

East Carolina beat UCF by 21 and is a legitimate team with Holton Ahlers at QB. Meanwhile, we have been fading Cincinnati all year. I like the moneyline sprinkle here too… ECU easy money.

Colorado +34.5 at #9 USC – Friday 8:30pm

Way too many points for this bad USC defense. I know Colorado is bad, but even they can score on USC.

#7 LSU -3 at Arkansas – Saturday 11:00am

LSU is coming off a huge win against Alabama. Arkansas is coming off a terrible loss to Liberty. I don’t understand how the line is only 3 points… LSU is the pick here.

#6 Alabama -11.5 at #11 Ole Miss – 2:30pm

The Ole Miss defense is totally banged up. Expect a similar result of the Mississippi State game after the Tennessee loss.

Wisconsin at Iowa Under 36 – 2:30pm

Neither offense will be able to score on the opposing defense. Expect a defensive battle and low scoring game.

#22 UCF at #16 Tulane -1.5 – 2:30pm

Not sure if John Rhys Plumlee or Mickey Keene is starting at QB for UCF. Doesn’t matter, I like Tulane’s defense against both of them.

#3 Georgia -16.5 at Mississippi State – 6:00pm

Kirby Smart and Nick Saban both have the formula to play defense against Mike Leach. Expect a blowout.

#15 North Carolina at Wake Forest -3.5 – 6:30pm

North Carolina allowed Virginia to score 28 points… Wake Forest might score a million.

Florida State -6.5 at Syracuse – 7:00pm

This Syracuse team is reeling after losing their starting quarterback and their best defensive player. Seminoles in a blowout.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 10

OVERALL RECORD: 225-184-7 (55%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 54-45-6 (54.5%)

There were so many close loses and bad beats last week. Still, TGIS finished 5-5. We will look to go undefeated on College Football’s BIGGEST weekend. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 10 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#1 Tennessee at #3 Georgia UNDER 66.5

Georgia has seen all the game film on the Tennessee offense. Guess what? The key is to not let Jalin Hyatt get deep. This Georgia secondary is plenty talented to keep Tennessee from breaking open the flood gates. On the offensive side of the ball, I see Georgia running the ball and having a conservative offensive game plan. I don’t see this being a shootout like the Alabama/Tennessee game, but think it will still be a classic.

Game Pick: Georgia 34-24

Top Picks of the Week

Duke -10 at Boston College – Friday 6:00pm

Boston College is literally using defensive lineman to play offensive line.. After losing to UConn 13-3, we are all over Duke.

Air Force vs Army Under 40.5 – 10:30am

Academy service unders are 42-9-1. Just take the under and take the win.

#17 North Carolina -7 at Virginia – 11:00am

This line went from -11 to -7 after defensive players Noah Taylor and Des Evans were announced out for the season… the shift in the line is way too big. I cannot imagine Virginia’s offense being able to keep up with the Drake Maye-led North Carolina offense.

Texas Tech +9.5 at #7 TCU -11:00am

This line is too big. The key is to take Baylor’s 45-17 win last week against the Red Raiders with a grain of salt as Baylor was able to confuse Texas Tech quarterback Behren Morton with scheme diversity. I don’t think TCU’s 90th ranked defense can do that. Texas Tech will keep this game tight and this is worth a moneyline sprinkle at +275.

Navy +20 at Cincinnati – 3:00pm

20 points is too many for this Cincinnati team who has messed around with bad teams before (specifically South Florida). Navy keeps this close.

#24 Texas at #13 Kansas State OVER 54 – 6:00pm

You just saw the Wildcats scorch Oklahoma State’s defense winning 48-0. I like Texas to score some points coming off the bye week in what is a pivotal game to see who will take control of who will go to the Big 12 championship. Over 54 all day.

#6 Alabama -12.5 at #10 LSU – 6:00pm

Alabama needed the bye week. I can see this being a statement game for the Tide who flat out do not lose when they play at Tiger Stadium (Bryant-Denny West). Jayden Daniels won’t be ready for this Tide defense. With the line under two touchdowns, give me the Tide.

#5 Clemson -3.5 at Notre Dame – 6:30pm

I have no idea how Notre Dame will move it on Clemson. The key is to attack Notre Dame’s secondary which I can’t see Notre Dame doing. Further, the Fighting Irish’s win against Syracuse was kind of fraudulent after Syracuse QB went out of the game. I’m all over Clemson in this one and believe they will win comfortably.

Florida State -7 at Miami – 6:30pm

There was exactly zero touchdowns scored in the Miami and Virginia 14-12 (4OT) game. Miami’s QB Jake Garcia has a lot of talent, but is not developed yet. Miami’s offense won’t be able to keep their scoring up with Jordan Travis and Florida State. Florida State -7.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 9

OVERALL RECORD: 220-179-7 (55.1%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 49-40-6 (55.1%)

Well last week we went 4-6-2 (not sure what is happening with all the ties this year). After the lackluster week we are hitting exactly 55.1% both on the season and overall. That is decent… but TGIS can do better. This is a major dog week with multiple highly ranked teams going on the road. Get ready for a wild one… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 9 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#2 Ohio State at #13 Penn State UNDER 61.5 – 11:00am

Don’t let the 54 points against Iowa fool you, the Ohio State offense did not look great against Iowa. It was more of the Iowa offense just being the worst offense I’ve ever seen and not being able to stay on the field. Meanwhile, Ohio State’s defense has played well so far this season. I’m going to bet this game stays under control with Penn State trying to establish the run.

Game Pick: Ohio State 34-20

Top Picks of the Week

East Carolina +3 at BYU– Friday 7:00pm

BYU is a flat out bad football team. Last week Liberty’s third string quarterback Johnathan Bennett completed 82.8% of his passes against the BYU defense. This was after he completed a little over 50% of his passes against Gardner-Webb and UMass. East Carolina has a solid quarterback in Holton Ahlers, I believe ECU can win this game, give me the points while you are at it.

Oklahoma -1 at Iowa State – 11:00am

Oklahoma is a totally different team with quarterback Dillon Gabriel healthy. No way Iowa State can score enough points to keep up.

Notre Dame at #16 Syracuse UNDER 47.5 – 11:00am

Syracuse’s defense has been very good this year and may get their star cornerback Garrett Williams back. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has struggled to score. This one will be low scoring.

Northwestern at Iowa UNDER 37.5 – 2:30pm

Iowa unders. End of story. Especially against Northwestern.

#9 Oklahoma State at #22 Kansas State OVER 56 – 2:30pm

Have you seen Big 12 games recently? The last three Oklahoma State games have all had over 72 total points. I’m betting on Adrian Martinez playing and this over hitting with ease.

#8 Oregon -17 at Cal – 2:30pm

Oregon’s offense has been unstoppable against Pac-12 competition. On the other side is a Cal team that was beat by Colorado and has averaged under 5 yards per play against the last two weeks. This won’t be a Golden Bear trap, expect a huge day for Bo Nix against Cal.

#10 USC -15.5 at Arizona – 6:00pm

You know that terrible Cal offense I just talked about? The Wildcats gave up 49 points to them. Arizona won’t be able to stop USC at all.

#19 Kentucky at #3 Tennessee -12.5 – 6:00pm

Tennessee has too much offense and the Vols defensive line will dominate against a bad Kentucky offensive line. Tennessee wins big, huge, gigantically.

Michigan State at #4 Michigan -21.5 – 6:30pm

Michigan State had 7 rushing yards when they played Ohio State. They’re not going to be able to run on Michigan either. I’ve said it all year to fade this Michigan State team… don’t stop now.

#15 Ole Miss at Texas A&M UNDER 55– 6:30pm

Texas A&M is suspending players, has two offensive lineman out for the year and starting QB Haynes King has a bad shoulder. I would take Ole Miss, but they have injuries as well. 55 points is too high of an Over/Under for a Texas A&M game, especially with Wegman most likely starting. Give me the under all day.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 8

OVERALL RECORD: 216-173-5 (55.5%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 45-34-4 (57%)

TGIS was HOT AGAIN in week 7 going 8-4. We are now a blistering 57% heading up towards our goal of 60%. on the year. Only way we are going to get there is to keep the win streak going… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 8 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#9 UCLA +6 at #10 Oregon – 2:30pm

Expect a rainy game as that is what is in the forecast all weekend in Eugene, Oregon. These are two explosive offenses which could be a preview of the Pac-12 championship. Both teams will rely on the run, but could still hit explosives against the defense. Also both Dorian Thomas-Robinson and Bo Nix are completing above 70%. How will the rain affect the matchup? We will find out… Just give me the points

Pick: 35-31 UCLA

Top Picks of the Week

Virginia at Georgia Tech -3 – Thursday 6:30pm

During the college football year it is important to find the frauds and terrible teams and fade them. It is where the term “fade the frauds” started. Well in this case Virginia is a fraud, bad, no good for nothing team. Their offensive line is awful. Their offensive style is awful. Georgia Tech wins this big. FADE THE FRAUDS.

Cincinnati at SMU +3.5 – 11:00am

Nobody has been watching Cincinnati since the Arkansas game, but let me fill you in… they’ve been been messing around all year. The Bearcats had a really close game with a bad South Florida team and now they are laying points on the road? No thank you, give me Tanner Mordecai, SMU and the points.

Kansas +8 at Baylor OVER 58 – 11:00am

Both of these teams were just in shoot outs totaling 83 points and 94 points. Now we get a point total of just 58 points? Sign me up. Kansas backup quarterback Jason Bean wasn’t too bad scoring 42 points against Oklahoma. Oh ya… Baylor also could be without their starting quarterback Blake Sharpen. Expect another shoot out and Kansas to keep it close.

#14 Syracuse at #5 Clemson UNDER 51.5 – 11:00am

Syracuse wasn’t able to score over 24 points against Virginia or NC State. Do you think they’ll be able to score points against Clemson? No. Syracuse’s defense is also sneaky good. Expect a low scoring ugly game.

BYU -6.5 at Liberty – 2:30pm

Liberty was just in a tight one with Gardner Webb. I know they are 6-1, but their strength of schedule is terrible. BYU gets it back on track with a double digit win.

#20 Texas -6 at #11 Oklahoma State – 2:30pm

Oklahoma State has their homecoming this weekend which is one of the biggest homecomings in the nation… but that doesn’t matter. Texas is coming off a letdown game against Iowa State. But they will get right this weekend as they face the Pokes’ 126th ranked passing defense. Texas wins big and takes control of their Big 12 championship hopes.

#24 Mississippi State at #6 Alabama UNDER 61.5 – 6:00pm

Mississippi State hasn’t scored a touchdown in Bryant Denny since Dak Prescott in 2014. I’m not sure what Alabama offense shows up though so we are just taking the under.

Texas A&M at South Carolina UNDER 46.5 – 6:30pm

Texas A&M’s unders have hit all year. Their young defensive front is maturing, but their offense hasn’t figured it out yet. This will be a very low scoring game.

Minnesota at #16 Penn State -4 – 6:30pm

Penn State scheduled this as their white out game. And we absolutely love them in this spot as Minnesota may not have Tanner Morgan for this game. Minnesota only had 38 total passing yards without him against Illinois… Penn State will bounce back after a bad week in Michigan.

#17 Kansas State +3.5 at #8 TCU – 7:00pm

TCU had a major comeback win in OT last week against Oklahoma State. But Oklahoma State was controlling and winning that game through three quarters. I can see TCU, 90th ranked defense, having trouble with Adrian Martinez’s legs and the run game. This is a tough spot for TCU with the Wildcats coming off a bye week. I actually like Kansas State to win outright.

Washington -7 at Cal – 9:30pm

Cal just lost to the worst FBS team, Colorado, in college football and has shown zero offense. Washington will be able to outscore them and blow them out with Michael Pennix. Washington wins big.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 7

OVERALL RECORD: 208-169-5 (55.2%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 37-30-4 (55.2%)

TGIS was HOT in week 6 going 9-4-1. This puts us at 55.2% on the year which is also the exact same percentage we have overall (also congrats to us for hitting 200 wins). But the 24 hour celebration rule has expired, enough partying. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 6 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#3 Alabama -7 at #6 Tennessee – 2:30pm

Will Bryce Young start? Will he not start? That is the question every bettor has to ponder for the TGIS Game of the Week. If Bryce Young does start, this line is way too low as Tennessee’s secondary is a below average unit. However, if Jalen Milroe starts, this line is too high as Tennessee has a great run defense and can focus on shutting down the run. On the offensive side it is going to be a great battle between Tennessee’s wide receivers: Cedric Tillman (I bet he plays), Jalin Hyatt, and Bru McCoy and Alabama’s secondary. However, Tennessee will need to get the ball out quick because nobody in the country can block Will Anderson and Dallas Turner. Overall, I think there is a 70% chance Bryce Young plays and this is gambling… so give me the advantageous line of -7.

Pick: Alabama 38-27

Top Picks of the Week

Iowa State at #22 Texas -16 – 11:00am

Iowa State can’t score at all. Meanwhile, Texas with Quinn Ewers at quarterback has been statistically one of the best offenses in the nation. Texas in a blowout at home.

#19 Kansas +9 at Oklahoma OVER 62.5 – 11:00am

I know, Dillon Gabriel should be back. But Kansas showed they can still move the ball with backup QB Jason Bean last week against TCU when they averaged 7.5 yards per play. Lance Leipold has an entire week to game plan with Jason Bean now and I think they can have success against a really bad Oklahoma defense. Kansas keeps this close with their backup QB…. and also POINTS POINTS POINTS.

Minnesota at #24 Illinois OVER 38 – 11:00am

I still believe in Minnesota’s offense with Tanner Morgan at quarterback and Kirk Ciarocca at OC. The Golden Gopher offense had one bad game against Purdue, but still averaged over 5 yards per play. On the other side of the ball, Illinois could have some success in the run game with Chase Brown. Give me the over 38.

#8 Oklahoma State at #13 TCU OVER 68.5 – 2:30pm

I’ll keep it short and sweet… I don’t trust either defense. Over hits in a very high scoring game.

Arkansas -1.5 at BYU – 2:30pm

Another quarterback injury question, will KJ Jefferson start? I’m not sure it matters as all year BYU has struggled to stop the run. Arkansas will run it on them all day in Provo, Utah. Arkansas by a touchdown.

#25 James Madison at Georgia Southern +12.5 – 3:00pm

James Madison has only played one tough game this year… that was App State where it was a close one score game. I love the James Madison story, but getting double digit points on the road is disrespectful to Georgia Southern. Give me the points.

#4 Clemson -3.5 at Florida State – 6:30pm

Florida State  has had some major injuries including Jared Verse. This is not a deep Florida State team either where the backups are not Power 5 ready players. I did a double take with this line and I’m going to take the bait. Clemson takes care of business and wins by over a touchdown.

#16 Mississippi State -4 at #22 Kentucky – 6:30pm

The theme this week is quarterback questions and if there is no Will Levis, there is no chance Kentucky keeps this within one score. Backup QB Kaiya Sheron is a huge drop off in talent level. Not to mention they will most likely miss their top two wide receivers in this game. The line is way too low, Bulldogs win big.

#7 USC +3.5 at #20 Utah OVER 63 – 7:00pm

I still do not trust the USC defense, especially against the run. However, I’m not really trusting Utah’s defense after giving up 42 to UCLA. USC and Utah will both be able to put up points. I like the over and the cover.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 6

OVERALL RECORD: 199-165-4 (54.7%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 28-26-3 (51.9%)

We had a chance last week for our 200th victory overall. But we will get it this week as we are spraying the board. Oh and by the way… the Miller Lite Minute is 12-4 on the season. LET’S GET TO THE PICKS

Week 6 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#8 Tennessee -2.5 at #25 LSU – 11:00am

I guess this the game of the week? But anyways, LSU was lucky to win against Auburn after only putting up 270 total yards and 3.6 yards per play. That won’t beat this Tennessee team that has scored at least 34 points every game this year. LSU will not be able to score enough points to keep up.

Pick: Tennessee 38-27

TOP PICKS OF THE WEEK

Louisville -3 at Virginia – 11:00am

Virginia has been struggling all year with no offensive line and a stagnant Tony Elliot offense. After getting beat by Duke 38-17, look for Virginia to fall big against Louisville (I have faith starting Louisville QB Malik Cunningham will play).

Arkansas +9.5 at #23 Mississippi State – 11:00am

This line is way too big. Arkansas has won the last two games against Mississippi State with Barry Odom at DC. The Razorbacks defense will continue to have a good plan of attack to slow down this Bulldog offense. I like Arkansas and maybe even a little moneyline sprinkle at +275.

#5 Clemson -20.5 at Boston College – 11:00am

Boston College has a terrible offensive line that is decimated by injuries. Clemson’s defensive line will take advantage. And do not look now, but DJU is actually playing decent at QB this year. Clemson in a blowout.

#17 TCU at #19 Kansas Over 67.5 – 11:00am

I do not trust Kansas’ defense to slow down this TCU offense. I also think Kansas and Jalon Daniels will be able to enter a track meet with TCU to keep the scoring pace. Over hits.

Texas -7 vs Oklahoma – 11:00am

Oklahoma’s defense is just awful. There were scheme breaks everywhere against TCU last week. Meanwhile, Quinn Ewers could be back and Dillon Gabriel may miss the game… seven points is nowhere near enough even though it is a rivalry game. Texas by double digits.

Texas Tech +10 at #7 Oklahoma State – 2:30pm

Oklahoma State is ranked 7th but is fraudulent. The Pokes were outgained by Baylor and the defense gave up 6.5 yards per play. What do we do? FADE THE FRAUDS. Texas Tech keeps it close.

#3 Ohio State -26.5 at Michigan State – 3:00pm

I have told you the last two weeks Michigan State’s secondary is awful. They have zero shot to stop the best passing attack in the Big Ten… Ohio State.

Duke -3 at Georgia Tech – 3:00pm

It was very impressive for Georgia Tech to go on the road and beat Pittsburgh. But it was a little fluky with Jeff Sims only having 102 passing yards. Duke has been the better team and hasn’t fired their coach this year, unlike Georgia Tech. Vegas has not caught up on Duke, Blue Devils win by a touchdown.

Army +17 at Wake Forest – 6:30pm

Wake Forest could not stop Army last year when they had 595 yards of total offense. Army will keep this close.

Iowa +4 at Illinois – 6:30pm

No I don’t trust Iowa to score, but I don’t really trust Illinois to score on Iowa either. Take the 4 points and run. (The under 35.5 is tempting)

South Carolina +10.5 at #13 Kentucky – 6:30pm

The battle of the bad offensive lines. Kentucky is favored by way too many points here. Northern Illinois was able to keep it a single digit deficit against Kentucky… South Carolina can do it too. (Update: Kentucky starting QB Will Levis is questionable for the game).

Texas A&M at #1 Alabama -23.5 – 7:00pm

This is a revenge game for Alabama similar to 2020 against LSU. Alabama’s players are motivated to demolish a banged up A&M team (injuries to the starting QB and all across the defense). Look for Bryce Young to play and Alabama to win BIG.

#12 Oregon -13 at Arizona – 8:00pm

Arizona gave up 49 points against Cal… I can’t trust them at all. Oregon’s offense has been rolling and they’ll roll here. Oregon wins big in Tuscon.

BONUS PICK THAT DIDN’T MAKE THE CARD

Kent State -5.5 at Miami (Ohio) – 2:30pm

Kent State put up 736 yards of offense last week against Ohio and I think they’re the best team in the MAC. Miami Ohio continues to have their starting QB Brett Gabbert out. Kent State wins big.

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 5

OVERALL RECORD: 195-159-3 (55.1%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 24-21-2 (53.3%)

Another OK, above 50% week for TGIS. But if you have been paying attention to the Miller Lite Minute… we are an astounding 10-3 through the first four weeks!! We are going to have the success of the Miller Lite bleed over into these week 5 locks… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 5 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#2 Alabama at #20 Arkansas UNDER 61 – 6:00pm

Alabama has a top five defense in the nation and should be able to slow down Arkansas’ attack. Meanwhile, Alabama’s offense has not shown it can travel on the road (last five ranked road games 1-4 against the spread). If you were to take Arkansas +17.5 I wouldn’t hate it… But I like the under more.

Pick: Alabama 34-17.

TOP PICKS OF THE WEEK

#4 Michigan -10.5 at Iowa – 11:00am

Maryland kept up with Michigan in their 34-27 game because they could throw the ball around. That is something Iowa absolutely cannot do. Michigan takes care of business.

Purdue at #21 Minnesota -12.5 – 11:00am

Starting QB Aidan O’Connell is most likely out along with a few other players. Meanwhile, Tanner Morgan and offensive coordinator Kirk Ciarrocca are picking up where they left off after Minnesota’s 2019 season where they finished 11-2. Minnesota keeps rolling.

Wake Forest at Florida State -6.5  – 11:00am

Jordan Travis came back from injury against Boston College last week and looked fantastic. Wake Forest can’t stop anyone, Florida State wins this one by 10.

Virginia Tech at North Carolina OVER 51 – 11:00am

Notre Dame had scored 55 points all season before playing North Carolina… they then scored 45 points against them last week. Meanwhile the Tar Heels have scored more than 32 points in every game this season. Over easily hits.

#18 Oklahoma -6.5 at TCU – 2:30pm

TCU’s offense looked very good against SMU… but that was SMU Oklahoma will have a bounce back week and Venables will get the defense right. By the way… nothing is wrong with the Oklahoma offense after racking up 7.5 yards per play against Kansas State.

Michigan State at Maryland -7 – 2:30pm

I told you last week Michigan State’s secondary was trash. Maryland can throw the ball and take advantage. Maryland wins big.

Cal at Washington State UNDER 53.5 – 4:30pm

The offenses aren’t as good as they seem from last week (even though both team put up over 40 points). The number is inflated… expect a low scoring ugly game.

LSU -8 at Auburn – 6:00pm

Auburn has a terrible offensive line, they can’t run the ball, the wide receivers are not good, most of their quarterbacks are banged up… should I go on? LSU blows them out and this is Bryan Harsin’s last game as the head coach.

#10 NC State at #5 Clemson OVER 40 – 6:30pm

Clemson just played a 51-45 game and the Over/Under is 40 points??? Clemson’s secondary is still banged up and quarterback Devin Leary will be able to take advantage. I expect more of a 27-24 type of game.