TGIS Ten Piece -College Football Week 13

By: Nick Radivoj

Sad to say that we are finally at the close of what was a very exciting College Football regular season. We are entering Week 13 with Week 12 bringing us good fortune going 8-2 on the week to bring our season total to 64-54-2 (%54) on the year. We still have plenty of rivalry weekend action to get to so let’s not be sad for reaching the end but be grateful for the exciting games we still have.

Mississippi State (7-4) at #20 Ole Miss (8-3)

When: 7 PM on 11/24

Line: Ole Miss -2.5

Total: 59

A tradition unlike any other as rivalry weekend brings us The Egg Bowl on Thanksgiving night. Many people will be able to recall past Egg Bowls as they unwind from gorging their face with Thanksgiving food and I believe that this one will not disappoint. I think we are in for what could be counted as an upset come Thursday night with Mississippi State taking down Ole Miss to bring them their 4th loss of the season. Rumors have been swirling that Lane Kiffin could end up taking the Auburn job which could have this team thinking about things other than the game in front of them. I want to note that Lane came out to squash these rumors but I will still grab the points with the Bulldogs here as Mike Leach and his team enjoy a Thanksgiving feast on and off the field this year.

The Play: Mississippi State +2.5

#19 Tulane (9-2) at #24 Cincinnati (9-2)

When: 12 PM on 11/25

Line: Cincinnati -2

O/U: 46.5

An exciting game which will help determine who will represent the AAC next weekend in Championship weekend. The line is about right here so I find myself staying away from other side but rather look towards the total. The total is on the lower side bu still see some value here in the under as both teams have formidable defenses. Even after losing a bunch of defensive talent Cincy has looked the part on that side of the football but have shown to be shaky at best on the offensive side of the ball. Winner fails to reach 30 here as we head under the total.

The Play: Under 46.5

Florida (6-5) at #16 Florida State (8-3)

When: 7 PM on 11/25

Line: Florida State -9.5

O/U: 58

It’s been a shaky year thus far for Billy Napier in his first season as Florida’s Head Coach. I think the ups and downs continue here as they fall to in state rival Florida State by double digits. Florida State HC Mike Norvell seems to have gotten this team back on track and the program heading in the right direction that he’s looking for. Jordan Travis has been one of the best improvements in College Football this year and will look to end what could be his final season off right. Give me the Seminoles at home to take it to their in state counterpart.

The Play: Florida State -9.5

Georgia Tech (5-6) at #1 Georgia (11-0)

When: 12 PM on 11/26

Line: Georgia -35.5

O/U: 49

In what used to be a competitive Clean Old Fashioned Rivalry game has slowly turned into a lopsided matchup with Georgia controlling the series. Gerogai could find themselves sleep walking through this game with their eyes on the SEC Championship game for the week following. I will be playing the over this year in hopes that Georgia continuing to do what they do scoring over 40 in this matchup with Georgia Tech tacking on another 7-10 this year to the total. In no way, shape, or form will an upset happen this year but hopefully this rivalry game becomes more competitive over the next few years.

The Play: Over 49

#3 Michigan (11-0) at #2 Ohio State (11-0)

When: 12 PM on 11/26

Line: Ohio State -7.5

O/U: 57

One of the biggest games of the College Football season falls on the last week of the season with 2 Top 3 teams facing off to see who will represent in the Big Ten Championship game. With the collapse of Tennessee, both teams could veryw ell still find themselves in the College Football Playoff but will make that dream come true with a win here. Keep an eye out on the health of RB Blake Corum in this game because if he doesn’t play then I think Michigan won’t stay within the number here. I’m banking on Corum giving it a go. I will be garbbing the points here plus the hook as laying over a touchdown here is too much for me.

South Carolina (7-4) at #8 Clemson (10-1)

When: 12 PM on 11/26

Line: Clemson -14.5

O/U: 52

Spencer Rattler and the Gamecoks had one of their best games of the year last week taking down a Top 5 team in Tennessee and playing spoiler late in the season. Rattler threw for over 400 yards and 6 TDs in the contest as they won by multiple scores. Rattler needs to take the performance he had last week and double down here against in state rival Clemson which is why I’m taking the points with the underdog here. I believe South Carolina can keep this one within 2 TDs here as they’ve shown much improvement throughout the year. Clemson is not the Tigers of old as they don’t provide the offensive firepower they used to behind Trevor Lawrence. They are a much more ground and pound type offense which will help limit the amount of possessions down the stretch for both teams.

Auburn (5-6) at #7 Alabama (9-2)

When: 3:30 PM on 11/26

Line: Alabama -22

O/U: 49

Although battling for their 10th win of the season, it has ben a disappointing season for Alabama who had aspirations of winning it all this year. Their chances of the College Football Playoff are slim to none but still need to show up here to take down their instate rival. I would normally recommend grabbing the number here with Auburn as this game is most always a close one but landed on the under here instead. This Alabama offense has been shaky all throughout the year and don’t think that changes here with a mix up most likely around the corner on offense next year. I wouldn’t count Alabama out for long as they are sure to be back with revenge on their mind next year.

The Play: Under 49

#9 Oregon (9-2) at #21 Oregon State (8-3)

When: 3:30 PM on 11/26

Line: Oregon -3

O/U: 58

Oregon got back on track last weekend taking down Utah by 3. Their offense didn’t look as explosive as it had over the prior few months of football which is a concern here, but I still find myself laying the points with the Ducks. Oregon has slim hopes but if there is chaos in front of them they may still have a back door chance of making the College Football Playoff. With those slim chances aliv, they need to take care of the business in front of them which starts with their in state rival in Oregon State. Bo Nix has shown to be well equipped to win the big games for Oregon and needs to prove strong again to keep Oregon’s hopes alive.

The Play: Oregon -3

#15 Notre Dame (8-3) at #6 USC (10-1)

When: 7:30 PM on 11/26

Line: USC -5.5

O/U: 64.5

I believe win out and they are in is the story for this USC football team. It has been an exciting year on offense for the Trojans as Lincoln Riley along with transfer QB Caleb Williams have shown their explosion week in and week out.  Unfortunately for USC, Lincoln Riley brought his offense and his poor Big 12 defense along with him as USC has on eof the worst defenses from the teasm remaining in the Top 10. If USC ends up getting their name called for the College Football Playoff I think that the journey will be short lived as they won’t be able to hang with other Top teams with their defense the way it is. Given everything that has been said, I am taking the points here with Notre Dame as they will be able to do whatever they want on the offensive side of the ball and if their defense shows up here they are live to upset the Trojans and ruin any playoff aspirations.

The Play: Notre Dame +5.5

Kansas (6-5) at #12 Kansas State (8-3)

When: 7:30 PM on 11/26

Line: Kansas State -12

O/U: 62.5

I ended up easily on the over here as Kansas State has shown explosion on offense over the past few weeks. I strongly believe that Kansas State will score near 40 themselves and will be banking on Kansas to provide the rest for me to get to the window with this over ticket. Kansas State is looking to seal the deal here to punch their ticket to the Big 12 Championship so I don’t expect them to be caught sleeping here during rivalry weekend.

The Play: Over 62.5

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