NFL Week 10 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

We are officially into Week 10 action as we welcome the Broncos, Browns, Cowboys, Giants, Steelers, and 49ers from their bye. We wave goodbye to the Bengals, Jets, Patriots , and Ravens to their bye week and to Week 9 overall as we went 5-7-1 on the weekend bringing out season total to 68-65-4 (51%) on the year. We have been hovering near the 50% mark throughout the year so let’s dive into Week 10 to take us over the hump.

Atlanta Falcons (4-5) at Carolina Panthers (2-7)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/10

Line: Falcons -3

O/U: 44

PJ Walker gets the nod again to start at QB for the Panthers which surprisingly may be a good thing for this offense. He has shown flashes of good play but we see in the end why he isn’t an NFL starting QB. I will be grabbing the points here with the Panthers at home to cover in a game in which they should have won against the Falcons 2 weeks ago. Both teams do not provide too much explosion on the offensive side of the ball so hopefully we can get an exciting Thursday Night Football game to keep us thrilled.

The Play: Panthers +3

Seattle Seahawks (6-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5)

When: 9:30 AM on 11/13 (Germany)

Line: Buccaneers -2.5

O/U: 44.5

The NFL heads over to Germany to showcase a Geno Smith versus Tom Brady matchup. Surprsignly, Seattle has been the better team this year behind a late career breakout from Geno Smith who has displayed a brilliant command of this offense utilizing his weapons outside and new toy in RB Kenneth Walker. Walker is always a threat to break off an explosive play but will be going up against an above average Bucs run defense. Tom Brady may have found something in TE Cade Ottin who helped them to take down The Rams last week at home providing a sparkto this Bucs offense.

The Play: Buccaneers -2.5

Minnesota Vikings (7-1) at Buffalo Bills (6-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Bills -6

O/U: 46

The football world took a deep breath in unison last week as Josh Allen suffered an injury to his UCL on his throwing arm in last weeks loss to the Jets. It looks like the injury won’t be too serious and that Allen will look to play through but I don’t expect this offense to bring back all of the explosive plays 1 week after suffering this injury. Buffalo is a tough place to play and DC Leslie Frazier for the Bills will have a good gameplan schemed up to slow down an exciting Vikings offense with Justin Jefferson and Dalvin Cook. I wish I could have offered an under earlier in the week with a key number of 47 and 48 available but still feel this goes under the total.

The Play: Under 46

Detroit Lions (2-6) at Chicago Bears (3-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Bears -3

O/U: 48.5

One of the most explosive offenses over the past month going up against one of the worst defenses in the NFL brings me to an easy pick as I will be playing the over here. Chicago has scored 29 points or more the past 3 games facing the Cowboys, Patriots, and Dolphins throughout that stretch and should find themselves north of 20 yet agin. Detroit was able to shut down a Packers offense last week but the numbers are misleading as Green Bay had 3 turnovers inside Detroits side of the field causing a misleading number. Detroit’s explosive offense has quieted down since what they showed earlier in the year bt are going up Chicago who isn’t the terrifying defense we all love and remember.

The Play: Over 48.5

Denver Broncos (3-5) at Tennessee Titans (5-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Titans -3

O/U: 39

Death, taxes, and going under in a Denver Broncos football game. It’s possible that Denver got the offense back on track and clicking during the bye week but we can only use the data we have from throughout this season. Patrick Surtain will be looking for work this afternoon as he is used most afternoons to lock down opposing star WRs and with Tennessee not having on eof those I’m curious who they have him lined up against. I expect a heavy dose of Derrick Henry in this game with their still being doubts on who starts behind center for the Titans. Both teams burn clock as we get out of dodge under the total.

The Play: Under 39

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Chiefs -9.5

O/U: 50.5

If I were to set the line of Trevor Lawrence turnovers in this game at 1.5 would you take the over or the under? I would take the over here which is why I will be laying the points with Kansas City here. Kansas City shouldn’t have issues moving tehb all on a young Jaguars defense and taking advantage of short fields from Jaguars turnovers they should find themselves up quick. Jacksonville is an exciting young team with a bright future over the next few years but they are still a ways away from making noise. Trevor Lawrence struggles to not turn the ball over and seems rather defeated when that happens and the team gets down in a game. I will take the experience with Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes to get us to the window.

The Play: Chiefs -9.5

Cleveland Browns (3-5) at Miami Dolphins (6-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Dolphins -4

O/U: 48.5

Miami comes back after taking home 2 road wins against NFC North opponents in the Lions and Bears. Both games ended rather closer than they should have but the Dolphins have shown capable to close games out late. Miami’s passing defense has been shaky at best throughout the season but is going up against a former QB of theirs in Jacoby Brisset. Miami should have good knowledge of how to impact Jacoby throughout this game and should focus their defensive game plan on loading the box to stop running backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Cleveland’s defense has allowed big plays all year and I expect more of the same this weekend with Miami’s high powered offense coming back home. Miami covers here and takes their 3rd win in a row.

The Play: Dolphins -4

Houston Texans (1-6-1) at New York Giants (6-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Giants -6

O/U: 40.5

One of the more unappealing games in the Sunday afternoon slate which I hoope not to have on my screen besides scoring plays. New York is coming off a bye an dshould be well rested with a good game plan to attack this Houston defense. I expect several big plays to be made from RB Saquon Barkley over the course of the afternoon and for the Texans to be playing from behind yet again. They will be forced to throw the ball and either leading to scores or potential turnovers as we are gunning for the over here.

The Play: Over 40.5

New Orleans Saints (3-6) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line:  Saints -2.5

O/U: 41.5

New Orleans drops on Monday Night football giving up 27 points to a Baltimore offense who was without 4 of their top contributors on offense. New Orleans as able to shut down the Raiders offense the week prior but came back to their norm as they have been a bad ddefense over the 9 weeks we have playes so far. Pittsburgh will slowly add more on to the plate of rookie QB Kenny Pickett as he gets his professional legs underneath him. New Orleans will air the ball out on offense utilizing their new weapon in rookie WR Chris Olave. Both teams find themselves over 20 aswe find ourselves with a winning play of over.

The Play: Over 41.5

Indianapolis Colts (3-5-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (2-6)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/13

Line: Raiders -6.5

O/U: 42.5

A new regime is underway in Indy as former C Jeff Saturday now takes the reigns as interim Head Coach for the Colts. Meanwhile, Las Vegas has a coach of their own on the hot seat as the Raiders blow another lead to the Jaguars last weekend. Las Vegas looked to be running away with a win having a 3 score lead last weekend which slowly faded away into a 27-20 loss by the hands of Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars. Las Vegas has too much talent on offense to be getting shutout in a half let alone an entire game from a couple weeks back. This gaem screams to take Vegas but I will take the points with a new Interim HC trying to make a name for himself in todays NFL.

The Play: Colts +6.5

Dallas Cowboys (6-2) at Green Bay Packers (3-6)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/13

Line: Cowboys -5

O/U: 43

R-e-l-a-x. Relax! This isn’t your Packers team of old and I very well could be falling into a trap here but I will put my faith in Aaron Rodgers to have this team in a position to win late going up against his former coach. If the Packers have any late season aspirations then it starts and ends with this game because if they fall to 7 losses on the season it will show to be too much to overcome even for a Hall of Fame QB like Aaron Rodgers. All the numbers and all the outlying stats point towards the Cowboys winning this coming off a bye but I will put my faith one final time in the team that resides in Green Bay. If you want to stay away from this side then an under play could also prove to be good here as Dallas has a Top 10 defense in the NFL and Green Bay has played better as of late.

The Play: Packers +5

Arizona Cardinals (3-6) at Los Angeles Rams (3-5)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/13

Line: Rams -3

O/U: 43.5

I’m laying the points with the Rams here at home which may cause some unease in most people’s stomachs but not mine. Sean Mcvay has shown that he has dominated the Cardinals in his tenure as Head Coach of the Rams and I think that trend continues here with Los Angeles finally finding themselves in the win column. Los Angeles has come out hot the past few games scoring on their opening scripts but the offensive efficiency has fallen over the course of the game late in the second half. They need to figure out how best to utilize the talent they have on the team as the trade deadline has come and gone and no reinforcemnts are coming to help ease the storm. I expect Jalen Ramsey to follow WR Deandre Hopkins throughout the afternoon and if he is able to control him then the Cardinals don’t have a plethora of weapons to lean on to move the ball. LA finally gets a win as Kliff Kingsbury’s seat gets hotter by the week in the Arizona sun.

The Play: Rams -3

Los Angeles Chargers (5-3) at San Francisco 49ers (4-4)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/13

Line: 49ers -7

O/U: 46

Ultimately, I believe the 49ers win this game in what could be a blow out but I will be grabbing a key number of 7 here hoping the Chargers can keep this one close late. Los Angeles is crippled right no win the receiving room missing both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams but if you are one fo the best in the leagues then you will find a way to keep this one close. I have faith in Justin Herbert to attack San Francisco’s defense and keep this one within one score. 49ers shouldn’t have too much trouble moving the ball on a weak Chargers’ run defense so playing nan over card in this game may also be a good play. I’m excited to sit back as a fan to watch how Kyle Shanahan will use the combination of Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel.

The Play: Chargers +7

Washington Commanders (4-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (8-0)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/14

Line: Eagles -11

O/U: 44

Everything here screams to take Eagles to cover the points here but I will be taking the divisional dog here as the Commanders cover 11. One of the best parts of the Commanders’ defense is their rushing defense which will be going up against one of the best rushing offenses in the NFL. Commanders have shown they are capable to hang with most teams but not quite finish out at the finish line. Philadelphia almost caught slipping last week against Houston with Damian Pierce running wild against their stout defense with Washington hopefully able to do the same.

The Play: Commanders +11

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