All posts by nickradivoj

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 6

By: Nick Radivoj

Got ourselves back into the winners circle this past weekend going 6-4 moving us to 26-24 (52%) on the year. We have plenty of work left to do as we may have a winning record but are losing from the juice on the year. Plenty of action in Week 6 so let’s see what value we spotted so far.

#8 Tennessee (4-0) at #25 LSU (4-1)

When: 12 PM on 10/8

Line: Tennessee -3

O/u: 64

The SEC supplies us with yet another TOP 25 matchup to start off Week 6 of College Football on Saturday afternoon. These two teams seem to be on opposite sides of the spectrum here as LSU comes in with a rather pedestrian offense but a solid defense while Tennessee has an explosive offense but a questionable defense at times. Jayden Daniels managed to get LSU the come from behind victory last week versus Auburn but did not have the greatest of showings doing so. This game being played in Death Valley is a great neutralizer for LSU against Tennessee, but the Volunteers did not play last week as they are working with 2 weeks of time to prepare for this matchup. Tennessee’s offense will take a hit as they will still be without their top receiving option who is recovering from ankle surgery. LSU will offer the toughest defense that Tennessee will have played to date and I’m unsure that the Tigers offense can take advantage of a secondary that can be thrown on. I don’t believe either of these teams reach 35 in this SEC matchup so give me the under here.

The Play: Under 64

#17 TCU (4-0) at #19 Kansas (5-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/8

Line: TCU -7

O/U: 67.5

We welcome both teams into the Top 25 for the first time this year and for the first time since 2009 for Kansas. If the rankings weren’t the first shock to you you’ll be excited to hear that College Gameday will be travelling to Kansas this week for yes a football game. Max Duggan and the Horned Frogs gave Oklahoma a beat down that they (and me) won’t forget for a while as they dropped 55 points on the Sooners. Both offenses have looked high powered to start the year behind Max Duggan and Jalon Daniels and that trend continues this weekend as we are sure to see some Big 12 football. This number is too large to lay here for me with TCU but with their offense putting up 48 points per game to start the year we easily find ourselves on the over for this game.

The Play: Over 67.5

Arkansas (3-2) at #23 Mississippi State (4-1)

When: 12 PM on 10/8

Line: Mississippi State -8

O/u: 61.5

This line has moved a lot since the open as the health of Arkansas QB KJ Jefferson is in question. Arkansas’ offense would take a major hit if their signal caller can’t end up going in thi sone as they have suffered back-to-back losses. Although the final score reflects Alabama winning by 23, Arkansas was a 2-point conversion away from only trailing the now #1 team in the nation by 3 points entering the 4th quarter at home before their defense let Alabama run wild. Mississippi State HC Mike Leach and QB Will Rogers are surely licking their lips this week as Arkansas brings into town a defense that is vulnerable in the passing game which is a terrific sign for an air raid offense like the Bulldogs possess. It’s unfortunate that the health of KJ is unknown at this time but with that being the case I intend to stay way from any side here and suggest the over until hearing more.

The Play: Over 61.5

Texas (3-2) at Oklahoma (3-2)

When: 12 PM on 10/8 (Dallas, TX)

Line: Texas -7

O/u: 65.5

For the first time since 1998, the Red River Rivalry between these two games will feature a showdown where neither team is ranked. The once defensive mastermind Brent Venables has a lot of work to do as Oklahoma has dropped 2 games in a row and the defense has looked horrific in the process. A keynote to be on the lookout for is who starts at QB for both teams as Texas QB Quinn Ewers could be making his return this weekend and Oklahoma QB Dillon Gabriel is questionable to play this weekend after leaving early against TCU with an injury. With how Oklahoma’s defense has looked over the past few weeks and the chances of Dillon Gabriel playing highly unlikely I don’t see anyway to back the Sooners In this spot here. I normally would love taking the points with both Arkansas and Oklahoma this weekend but can’t in good faith with the questions both team shave at QB. Texas QB Steve Sarkisian will surely have players running wide open Saturday afternoon against a patchy Oklahoma defense and with Gary Patterson holding down the Longhonr defense against what should be a backup QB I’ll gladly take Texas.

The Play: Texas -7

Auburn (3-2) at #2 Georgia (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/8

Line: UGA -30

O/u: 49

Check your local milk cartons as there might be a missing poster for this Georgia team. After playing an unusual game against Kent State they followed that up by barely pulling out a win over a middling Missouri team on the road. Forget dropping to #2 in the polls as this Georgia team is lucky to have escaped last week with a victory. Meanwhile, Aubur drops to 3-2 on the year following a loss to LSU in which they led for a good majority of the game. Georgia is favored by over 4 touchdowns here and I believe they cover this number finally after missing that mark over the past few games. Auburn fans and faithful have been up in arms wanting HC Bryan Harsin out and after what transpires in Athens Saturday afternoon I believe they finally get their wish.

The Play: UGA -30

#11 Utah (4-1) at #18 UCLA (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/8

Line: Utah -4.5

O/u: 65

Cameron Rising and the Utes have looked explosive on offense and have gotten back on track after their road loss against Florida to start the year. Meanwhile, UCLA has looked just as talented offensively behind seasoned vet Dorian Thompson Robinson (DTR). DTR has displayed the ability to operate this Chip Kelly offense leading the Bruins to an undefeated record so far. Utah shouldn’t be challenged too much o offense as UCLA’s defensive unit is weak but will have their hands full trying to stop DTR. I could see a UCLA upset win over Utah at home but leaning towards the over as I believe this will be a high scoring affair.

The Play: Over 65

#3 Ohio State (5-0) at Michigan State (2-3)

When: 4 PM on 10/8

Line: OSU -26.5

O/u: 64

His one is a rather simple one for me as I will easily be laying the points here with the Buckeyes. The only reason for any worry here is that this game is on the road for Ohio State and over the years have shown to be vulnerable taking their game on the road. Michigan State has one of the worst secondaries in the Big 10 and CJ Stroud and the Buckeyes offense will be sure to exploit it this weekend. Meanwhile, Michigan State has lost their offense losing 3 straight and only putting up a combined 20 points over the last 2 games against the likes of Maryland and Minnesota. Ohio State has better talent on defense than both of those teams and should get out of East Lansing rather comfortably with a cover.

The Play: Ohio State -26.5

Washington State (4-1) at USC (5-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/8

Line: USC -13

O/u: 66

This game will offer an exciting matchup between Cameron Ward and Caleb Williams as both are off to terrific starts this year. Everyone and their mother knows that USC has a high powered offense but only those who have watched the Trojans will know that their defense is prone to giving up big players and will be what holds this USC team back late in the year. Their defense gives up a shade under 20 points a game which puts them near the Top 30 in scoring defense but this number is very misleading. Cameron Ward has impressed thus far as  a Cougar and will continue as their passing attack will be able to exploit USC’s poor defense. Ultimately, I believe USC will still win this game but if the Trojans end up going undefeated with a a Pac 12 championship I look forward to fading them once they play in the College Football Playoff.

The Play: Washington State +13

#16 BYU (4-1) at Notre Dame (2-2)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/8 (Las Vegas, Nevada)

Line: Notre Dame -3.5

O/u: 52

Both teams are coming into this game with ample time to prepare as both had a bye last week. Neither team should have a home field advantage in this matchup as this game will be played in Nevada. BRYU QB Jaren Hall has impressed all year and will face yet another tough defense as he has done so all season long already facing off against Baylor and Oregon. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has seemed to get their season back on track with 2 straight wins after starting their season off 0-2. I think the line for this one is on the money here and instead will play the under as both of these teams bring in underrated defenses. I expect both teams to try and establish the run game and the winning team won’t cross over the 30 mark in this one.

The Play: Under 52

Texas A&M (3-2) at #1 Alabama (5-0)

When: 8 PM on 10/8

Line: Alabama -24

O/u: 51.5

A big sigh of relief could be heard around the country from Tuscaloosa as QB Bryce Young is listed as day to day suffering an AC joint sprain last week against Arkansas. Alabama was leading Arkansas by multiple scores when Bryce left the game against Arkansas in the 2nd quarter and fans watched in disbelief as the lead slowly dwindled downt o just 5 points. We finally get the clash of Jimbo Fisher and Nick Saban that we have been waiting for since Texas A&M’s upset win last year and all the heated discussions between the two this offseason. A&M has struggled all year to move the ball behind both Max Johnson and Haynes King and without their best receiving option I’m unsure how they will be able to go toe for toe with Alabama. Meanwhile, RB Jahmyr Gibbs finally burst onto the scene as the transfer put up over 200 rushing yards against Arkansas with 2 70+ yard touchdowns in the 4th quarter to seal the win for the Tide. I believe the under is a great play here but as an Alabama fan I want to see this team blow the doors off here in payback fashion from what happened last year in College Station.

The Play: Alabama -24

NFL Week 5 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

I was unable to capitalize on my Week 3 performance as Week 4 gave me a 7-9 record as I total to 36-28 (56%) on the year. A rather frustrating performance from Week 4 given that a few overs were there for the taken but missed because of either no scoring in the second half by a team or no points scored in the entire 4th quarter from either side. Reagrdless, we are back for Week 5 firing at the board.

Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1) at Denver Broncos (2-2)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/6

Line: Broncos -3

O/u: 43.5

The injury bug has hit both of these running back rooms as Colts Jonathan Taylor is dealing with an injury of his own that may either keep him ot or slow him down while Broncos suffered worse news as Javontae Williams suffered a torn ACL in their last matchup. Under is the play here as neither of these offenses seem to be able to move the ball easily throughout any of thir games so far either with bad playcalling or not having the athletes out there to make the needed plays. Colts are an indoor team coming to play in the outside at Mile High so don’t forget about that element as conditioning could play a factor in this game com elate, but good news for Matt Ryan is I heard ducks fly better at higher altitude.

The Play: Under 43.5

New York Giants (3-1) at Green Bay Packers (3-1)

When: 9:30 AM on 10/9 (London)

Line: Packers -8

O/u: 41.5

If you wake up early on Sunday mornings then brew yourself a nice cup of coffee and enjoy some early football as we have another game overseas this week. Aaron Rodgers looks to lead the Packers to their 4th straight win on the season after coming out flat in their opening game against Minnesota. Slowly but surely, it seems like Rodgers is starting to connect with his new weapons as earlier this year it seemed they were often not in sync. Green Bay seemed to underestimate the Patriots last week as they barely escaped in overtime with a win, so I expect them to be prepared this week for whatever Brian Daboll and the Giants have ready to throw at them. Run at them may be the correct phrase as Saquon Barkley is healthy and looks like his 1st round caliber self again and if the Packers are able to key in on him and bottle him up then this Giants offense is in for a long day.

Packers -8

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3) at Buffao Bills (3-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Bills -14

O/u: 47

The Kenny Pickett era has begun 4 games into the season as the rookie will make his first start this week on the road in Buffalo. Unfortunately, Buffalo is not the most welcoming of places for a rookie to have his first start and with this being only the second home game for the Bills this season, so I expect the fans to be rowdy and full of energy. The line speaks for itself here as Vegas is expecting a blowout but I’m never high on laying 2 TDs against a professional football team so that leaves us with either taking the points with Pitt or looking towards the total here. Although their offensive line seems to be overpowered on paper by the Bills defensive line, Pittsburgh does have weapons on the outside to attack a banged-up Bills secondary. I will most likely regret this, but I will take the points in hopes of a backyard cover here for us late.

The Play: Steelers +14

Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Chargers -3

O/u: 48

Justin Herbert brings his team back to .500 on the year after gutting out a great performance against Houston. You can see that Herbert isn’t 100 percent healthy still but he’s still managing to gut it out for his team. Los Angeles is hopeful to get Keenan Allen finally back this week to pair him alongside Mike Williams and Austin Ekeler who broke out last week totalling 3 total touchdowns. Cleveland, on the other hand, comes home after a disappointing last second loss to the Falcons on the road. Keep an eye out on the status of both of Cleveland’s defensive ends because if they are unable to give it a go then life gets a whole lot easier for Justin Herbert not having to worry about them. Just as I did in the first 4 weeks, I will continue to fade Jacoby Brissett and this Browns team.

The Play: Chargers -3

Chicago Bears (2-2) at Minnesota Vikings (3-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Vikings -7

O/u: 44

My hope of Justin Fields becoming a dynamic QB in the NFL gets smaller and smaller as the weeks dwindle by. He has yet to look the part and the blame isn’t fully on him as Chicago’s front office did very little to help him out whether it be regarding his offensive line or offensive weapons. I do not intend on backing him here either as Minnesota has one of the best home field advantages in the NFL and the fan swill make it difficult on Fields’ all throughout the contest. Color me very shocked here if Minnesota doesn’t come out of this game with multiple turnovers forced. Vikings don’t have the strongest of defenses in the NFL but with what Chicago can throw at them and this home environment give me the Vikings.

The Play: Vikings -7

Detroit Lions (1-3) at New England Patriots (1-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Patriots -3

O/u: 46.5

I learned my lesson and if the Lions are playing then I’m playing the over. Detroit has one of the highest scoring offenses in the league but when you couple that with the worst defense in the NFL then it’s not a recipe for success. For this game make sure to keep an eye on the injry report for Swift, St. Brown, and Brian Hoyer as whether these players are inactive or playing could severely move both the total and spread here. Regardless, Patriots should dhave a field day on the ground with their 2 headed monster.

The Play: Over 45.5

Seattle Seahawks (2-2) at New Orleans Saints (1-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Saints -5.5

O/u: 46

Geno Smith has been one of the biggest surprises in the NFL this season as he has looked rather impressive in his first 4 starts. Seahawks finally got the run game going against Detroit last week but playing the worst defense in the NFL may have something to do with that. Saints return from London empty handed but should get Jameis Winston back this week behind center. Over is the play here as New Orleans shouldn’t have too much difficulty moving the ball on Seattle as they, along with the Lions, have one of the worst defenses in the league. If Geno Smith continues to cook then we should be cruising over the total.

The Play: Over 46

Miami Dolphins (3-1) at New York Jets (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Dolphins -3

O/u: 44.5

No Tua, no problem for the Dolphins in this one. Miami is coming off having extra rest and a disappointing effort against Cincinnati last Thursday. Keep an eye on the health of both Dolphins’ starting cornerbacks as Byron Jones should return from the IR and Xavien Howard left the matchup against the Bengals early. I expect for the defense to get back on track mixing up their coverages and confusing the relatively inexperienced Zach Wilson. Ne York has explosive wide receivers on the outside in Elijah Moore and Garret Wilson but Zach Wilson hasn’t shown the ability to consistently get them the ball to create plays. Running game finally gets on track for Miami here as they run away with the win and run back down to Miami to hopefully get Tua back for Week 6.

The Play: Dolphins -3

Atlanta Falcons (2-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Buccaneers -8.5

O/u: 48

Although in a losing effort, Buccaneers finally got their offense back on track with Mike Evans returning from suspension and Chris Godwin returning from injury. Unfortunately, Tampa’s offense may have found a groove, but their defense underwhelmed as they had over 40 points dropped on them on Sunday Night Football. Luckily, Tampa’s defense gets to face off against the likes of Marcus Mariota who looks far from what everyone remembers at Oregon. Atlanta has lost their leading running back on the year and seem to have forgotten who Kyle Pitts is as he gets under utilized game in and game out. Tampa rights their ship and catapults back into first place.

The Play: Buccaneers -8.5

Tennessee Titans (2-2) at Washington Commanders (1-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Titans -2.5

O/u: 42.5

I’m unsure how anyone can logically back the Commanders after seeing what they have put on display over the first few weeks of the season thus far. The offense has been rather abysmal despite having talent in spots over the field while the defensive players seem to hate their DC Jack del Rio. None of this is a recipe for success and ultimately Ron Rivera is on a sinking ship in Washington as this is going to be blown up after this year. Titans have gotten their season back on track winning 2 straight behind King Henry and I expect the trend to continue here. Titans defense is susceptible to plays downfield and I expect Wentz and company to put together a better offensive outing this week.

The Play: Over 42.5

Houston Texans (0-3-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Jaguars -7

O/u: 44.5

If we are Trevor Lawrence we are going to chalk up what happened in Phily because of the rain and forget about it moving forward. Jacksonville has surprised us how they have played to start this year but are they good enough to be laying a touchdown even against Houston? This is a divisional matchup for the Texans  who played another division foe tight earlier this year in the Colts to a tie. The offseason hype of Damian Pierce seemed to have finally come to fruition as he totaled over 100 yards on the ground last week against the Chargers. I’m taking the points here with the divisional dog here and if the game isn’t close late then back door is sure to be alive.

Texans +7

San Francisco 49ers (2-2) at Carolina Panthers (1-3)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/9

Line: 49ers -6.5

O/u: 39

This is going against the trend here with the over play. Through 4 games the 49ers have hit the under in all of them and Panthers aren’t far behind. As trends like this occur, people will often blindly take the under and with oddsmakers knowing this they will make a line to favor themselves into an over win. We saw how good the 49ers defense were on Monday Night football but travelling across country on a short week could have an impact on the unit. If they weren’t already, Panthers players and staff are fighting for their jobs and need to show up or possibly be looking for work come Tuesday morning. San Francisco’s offense opened up last week with Jimmy getting in a more of a rhythm coming back in the starting role and from injury.

The Play: Over 39

Dallas Cowboys (3-1) at Los Angeles Rams (2-2)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/9

Line: Rams -4.5

O/u: 43.5

Rams look like a far cry from the team that won the Super Bowl just 8 months ago as they seem to miss Odell badly on offense. Cooper Kupp may always be open but he can’t be the only focal point of your offense. Meanwhile, Cooper Rush has filled in nicely since Dak suffered his injury winning 3 straight games. I’m banking on Sean Mcvay and his stars to right their ship as I lay the points here. The Cooper Rush experiment behind this banged up offensive line will get a heavy dose of Aaron Donald throughout this game mixed in with Jalen Ramsey getting in your head. Rams may finally use their big offseason addition in Allen Robinson as they paid him to be their top guy next to Kupp but has yet to produce. I don’t love this one here but something’s got to give.

The Play: Rams -4.5

Philadelphia Eagles (4-0) at Arizona Cardinals (2-2)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/9

Line: Eagles -5

O/u: 49.5

Arizona has gotten themselves back to .500 but welcome an Eagles team to town that look like one of the best team in football right now. Kyler Murray and the offense looked nonexistent in the first half but finally were able to find their stride in the second half ultimately putting up 26 in the game. Jalen Hurts finally looked human against the Jaguards last week but the grond game behind Miles Sanders was able to secure the win regardless. Eagles win a close one on the road here but give me the Cardinals to cover.

The Play: Cardinals +5

Cincinnati Bengals (2-2) at Baltimore Ravens (2-2)

When: 8:20 PM on 10/9

Line: Ravens -3

O/u: 48.5

Both teams find themselves at 2-2 entering this game with two different paths to get there as Bengals have fought back starting the year off 0-2 while Baltimore has surrendered 2 double digit leads at home in both of their losses. Marlon Humphrey has looked like one of the best corners in football so far but he is only 1 man. This isn’t your Ravens defense of old with Ray Lewis and Ed Reed as they have been prone to giving up points and big plays. Bengals are coming off of a long week of rest as they played last Thursday and seemed to have found some magic late in that contest downfield to both Higgins and Chase. This won’t be your father’s AFC North matchup as I expect a defensive struggle here.

The Play: Over 48.5

Las Vegas Raiders (1-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-1)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/10

Line: Chiefs -7

O/u: 51

It’s hard to not back the Chiefs after seeing what they did to a good Buccaneers team on the road on Sunday Night Football. Derek Carrr managed to get their first win this season but find themselves with a tough task as they travel on the road to Arrowhead for a primetime Monday Night Football game. Vegas finally found some magic in former 1st round pick Josh Jacobs as his breakout game led them to a win. Ultimately, I believe the Chiefs are too overwhelming with what they can do to you on offense as Patrick Mahomes has shown a mastery of this offense so far taking what the defense gives him. Raiders put up a fight but Kansas City is too much at the end.

The Play: Chiefs -7

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 5

By: Nick Radivoj

It feels like the season had just started and here we are already entering October football – enjoy it while it lasts folks! We are 20-20 so far on the year losing some dough on the juice but this just might be the week we break through like we did in NFL. An exciting slate of games is upon us with numerous Top 25 matchups so in we go.

#4 Michigan (4-0) at Iowa (3-1)

When: 12 PM on 10/1

Line: Michigan -10.5

O/u: 42

A tale of two stories for this Iowa team as they are top in the nation in scoring defense but dead last in total offense. Their defense as always is one of the best in the country and will be able to get pressure on JJ McCarthy all day long but will have their hands full as Michigan has one of the top running backs in the nation in Blake Corum. Michigan passed its first true test this season as they prevailed over Maryland but will face the toughest defense this year to date. I don’t feel comfortable taking the points here with Iowa given with how their offense has looked so far this season but with this being the first real defense Michigan has seen laying the points doesn’t seem that appetizing for me as well.

The Play: Under 42

#7 Kentucky (4-0) at #17 Ole Miss (4-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/1

Line: Ole Miss -6.5

O/u: 54.5

This matcup kicks off an exciting College Football Saturday as Kentucky and Ole Miss lead the first of 5 Top 25 matchups. This game will showcase good versus good as Ole Miss brings in one of the top rushing attacks in the nation being ranked 4th nationally. Kentucky brings in a Top 30 ranked rush defense as it was on display earlier in the season quieting Florida’s impressive run game. Kentucky will also be getting Chris Rodriguez back from suspension this week as the star from last year will provide much needed balance to this Wildcat offense. Kentucky’s Will Levis has an NFL caliber arm but has had very little time to make decisions in the pocket as his offensive line has not been as formidable as it was last year. Kentucky will get a boost from the return of Chris Rodriguez and putting my faith in Will Levis to keep this one within a touchdown.

The Play: Kentucky +6.5

#18 Oklahoma (3-1) at TCU (3-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/1

Line: Oklahoma -6.5

O/u: 68.5

Oklahoma travels on the road as they look to bounce back after their first loss of the season. Oklahoma Dillon Gabriel has been nothing short of impressive this year after transferring over from UCF. Oklahoma’s defense will have their hands full this week as TCU QB Max Duggan has led the Horned Frogs to a 3-0 start. Offense was not the issue for Oklahoma in their loss last week as the offense racked up over 500 yards of offense and over 7 yards per play. What killed the Sooners was their inefficient rate of converting 3rd downs as they were below 25 percent in doing so last week. The over seem sto be a logical play but I’m backing an angry Oklahoma team to come out of Texas with a win by a touchdown or more.

The Play: Oklahoma -6.5

#2 Alabama (4-0) at #20 Arkansas (3-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Alabama -17.5

O/u: 61

This game could have been featuring 2 undefeated teams and a potential Top 10 matchup were it not for a missed field goal to win the game for Arkansas at the end. Alabama seems to have found their groove again after their close scare in Austin earlier in the year. Alabama will face a familiar face in Arkansas’ defense as transfer LB Drew Sanders leads this defense in the nation currently in sacks. Arkansas is coming off a heartbreaking loss but will have their fans behind them to create havoc for Alabama communicating throughout the contest. Ultimately, I believe Alabama’s passing attack will be too much for Arkansas to handle with their limited secondary. Alabama leaves Arkansas winning by 3 touchdowns as Will Anderson keeps this Alabama defense stout.

The Play: Alabama -17.5

#9 Oklahoma State (3-0) at #16 Baylor (3-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Baylor -2.5

O/u: 56.5

Oklahoma State comes into Waco, Texas undefeated on the year as they take on the Bears for their first Big 12 conference game. The 2 teams squared off last year in the Big 12 Championship game with Baylor winning 21-16. The final score would have cruised way under the total we have this weekend but keep in mind that Oklahoma State lost their defensive coordinator to Ohio State and is still trying to regain their form they ad last year. Spencer Sanders has impressed so far this year for Oklahoma State, but this will be his biggest test yet. The best part of this Oklahoma State defense is probably their front 4 so I expect Baylor QB Blake Shapen to take advantage of throwing the ball downfield as opposed to running into their stout line. This game will lie heavily on the shoulders of Spencer Sanders as last year he threw 7 of his 12 interceptions on the year to a Baylor defender. If he can keep the turnover worthy plays to a minimum then the Sooners have a shot to upset this week. Give me Baylor with the home field advantage in this sure to be close match up.

The Play: Baylor -2.5

#22 Wake Forest at #23 Florida State (4-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Florida State -6.5

O/u: 65.5

Sam Hartman and the Deacons come into Tallahassee after a heartbreaking loss to #5 Clemson at home in overtime. Wake led a majority of the second half and seemed to be on their way to an upset win before Clemson fought back to ultimately win in 2OT. Meanwhile, Jordan Travis and the Seminoles are perfect so far this season but face their toughest match to date with a highly ranked Wake Forest team. You can see how much playing at home versus on the road matters in College Football as Wake were 7 point underdogs to Clemson at home and now nearly 7 point underdogs to Florida State on the road as Clemson and FSU would not be a pick’em on a natural field currently. I still don’t love the idea of laying a big number like this with a young Florida State team who still needs to prove their new Top 25 ranking so let’s have a fun shootout down in Florida.

The Play: Over 65.5

#17 Texas A&M (3-1) at Mississippi State (3-1)

When: 4 PM on 10/1

Line: Mississippi State -3.5

O/u: 45.5

Texas A&M managed to recover after their shocking loss to Appalachian State with back to back Top 25 wins over Miami and conference rival Arkansas. Although they got the win, Texas A&M still looks rather lost on offense. Ultimately, I believe the Aggies luck will run out as the injuries begin to pile up. Texas A&M may have won their last 2 match ups but were outgained in both of them and rather lucky to have snuck out a win against Arkansas with a 99 yard fumble return. Aggies have a stout defense but better in the run game rather than through the air. Mike Leach’s air raid offense test you far and wide as Mississippi State QB Will Rogers will look for their first conference win this season. Bulldogs win and put Texas A&M’s luck to bed.

The Play: Mississippi State -3.5

LSU (3-1) at Auburn (3-1)

When: 7 PM on 10/1

Line: LSU -9

O/u: 45.5

Jordan-Hare night game? Hopefully LSU faithful say a prayer before the match up Saturday night as there’s surely going to be a crazy play or 2 happen inside that haunted stadium. A key to look out for is the health of LSU QB Jayden Daniels as he is recovering from injury from last weeks matchup. Although 3-1, Auburn is not the team we all know from years past as fans are up in arms with the direction of their beloved team as they barely eked out a win against a below average Missouri team at home. There are very few circumstances now this year where I will back the Auburn Tigers as they have questions at QB and questions moving the ball on offense in general. Since the health of LSU QB Jayden Daniels is till rather bleak currently it leaves me with one faithful Auburn play for this week and that is to see some bad football.

The Play: Under 45.5

#10 NC State (4-0) at #5 Clemson (4-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Clemson -6.5

O/u: 40

Clemson returns home unblemished as they fend off Wake Forest in double overtime. After exhausting themselves they don’t come back for an easy matchup as they are faced with yet another Top 25 contest. Luckily, Clemson will have home field advantage this time and the impact of Death Valley rocking in a night game. Wake Forest QB Sam Hartman continuously picked on a young and inexperienced Clemson secondary either completing a long pass or forcing a pass interference flag to continue their drive. If Devin Leary can take note of what Hartman did this past week then an upset might be on the table, but no doubt Dabo will have an answer. With such a lower total, Vegas is predicting an offensive struggle for these two teams and if Clemson can clean up their secondary points may be hard to come by for the Wolfpack. Fool me once can’t get fooled again? Clemson by a touchdown.

The Play: Clemson -6.5

Georgia (4-0) at Missouri (2-2)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/1

Line: UGA -28

O/u: 54.5

Kirby Smart is a Nick Saban disciple, and the apple doesn’t fall far from the tree on one thing here. Georgia and Alabama led teams nearly always come out firing after a game in which they didn’t play up to their standards. Some may look at the box score and be confused as Georgia ultimately won the contest by 3 scores, but they looked far from the #1 team in the nation last Saturday. They looked sloppy on offense and the defense looked lackluster throughout the afternoon giving up the most points it had in a very long time to a Kent State team. No disrespect to Kent State and the program they are running but you would always expect Georgia to handle that game better than they did. Georgia wins this one in a blowout as Missouri is one of the bottom teams in the SEC.

The Play: UGA -28

NFL Week 4 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

Week 3 was kind to us as we had an explosive 12-4 record on the week bringing our total on the year to 29-19. We can’t celebrate and rest on our loreals as we still have plenty of weeks in front of us and more work to do. A fun slate of games are in front of us so let’s find the value!

Miami Dolphins (3-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-2)

When: 8:15 PM on 9/29

Line: Bengals -4

O/u: 47

Joe Burrow gets his Bengals team back on track as they get their first win of the season last weekend against the Jets. After their road victory, they welcome in the undefeated Miami Dolphins who are coming off of back-to-back games in which they took the lead late inside the 4th quarter. This game surely favors the Bengals here on paper as the Dolphins must travel over 1000 miles on short rest after exerting themselves against both Baltimore and Buffalo. The defense is sure to be gassed as they were on the field for 90 plays and nearly 40 minutes against Buffalo. With that exhaustion, I believe Cincinnati will be able to put up scores and with an explosive offense of their own Miami will be in recovery mode to try to come from behind yet again. Bengals ultimately win this game, but we will see if they can cover from the sidelines.

The Play: Over 47

Minnesota Vikings (2-1) at New Orleans Saints (1-2)

When: 9:30 AM on 10/2 (London)

Line: Vikings -2.5

O/u: 44

Minnesota and New Orleans will kick off our first overseas game of the 2022 NFL Season as they are set to match up in London. Kirk Cousins gets redemption from his primetime flop against Philadelphia as he leads Minnesota to a late come from behind win over their division rival Detroit. Meanwhile, New Orleans is looking to bounce back after dropping two games in a row following their Week 1 heroics. Key notes to keep an eye out for are Saints WRs Jarvis Landry and Michael Thomas as they both left last Sunday’s game at one point with injuries. New Orleanshas struggled in their first few game sto get the offense going early as majority of their points have come from second half scoring. It’s quite possible that trend ends here as Minnesota doesn’t bring one of the top defenses in the league to town but again neither did the Falcons or Panthers. I’m looking for their scoring draught to end for New Orleans while Minnesota unleashes star WR Justin Jefferson after he has been relatively quiet since his Week 1 explosion.

The Play: Over 44

Cleveland Browns (2-1) at Atlanta Falcons (1-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Browns -1.5

O/u: 49.5

Atlanta has been a nice surprise to start off this year as they finally get their first win last weekend against Seattle. Although it was their first win, Atlanta has been in both of their first 2 games with the Saints and Rams. Cleveland is coming to Atlanta on the road after long rest as they played division rival Pittsburgh in the past Thursday night game. In Jacoby Brissett has been serviceable in the first 3 games this season as Cleveland waits patiently for Deshaun Watson’s suspension to run its course. The script is laid out for us as we know Cleveland will utilize their two top running backs and limit the opportunity for Brissett to lose the game. I expect Cleveland to control the clock with their run game and for Atlanta’s offense to come back to Earth as this one stays under.

The Play: Under 49.5

Washington Commanders (1-2) at Dalls Cowboys (???

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Cowboys -3

O/u: 41.5

Dallas has survived their first 2 games without QB Dak Prescott as they’ve won 2 in a row behind backup Cooper Rush. Meanwhile, Washington has dropped 2 in a row after their home win against the Jaguars in Week 1. Carson Wentz and the Commanders offense have looked half asleep in their past two games as the offense has done little to nothing in the first halves and only putting up points in garbage time when the games are all but done. Maybe, just maybe, Washington can get their offense back on track here if they are able to protect Wentz and with Washington’s defense often resembling Swisss cheese I will begrudgingly play the over.

The Play: Over 41.5

Seattle Seahawks (1-2) at Detroit Lions (1-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Lions -4.5

O/u: 50

This Detroit Lions team is exciting to watch as they provide explosive plays across the field everywhere on offense. They are a fun team but a young team as well as they need to work on closing out games as we saw them last week lose a lead late to division rival Minnesota. Seattle also comes in looking for their second win on the year as they drop back-to-back games after beating their ex-QB Russel Wilson in Week 1. As seen by the previous weeks, I usually love playing over in Detroit games as they provide explosion on offense and a defense that can be scored on. My intention here earlier in the week was to take Seattle with the 6 points but as the health of Lions offensive weapons have come into question the line has dropped a point and a half. Losing value in playing Seattle, I now am playing the under with less offensive weapons for Goff to utilize and a Seattle team that would rather play slow than have a shootout.

The Play: Under 50

Tennessee Titans (1-2) at Indianapolis Colts (1-1-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Colts -3

O/u: 42.5

These 2 division rivals finally secured their first win of the season last week. Both Tennesee and Indianapolis were the front runners to win their division earlier this summer but have looked far from a team destined to make a playoff run. It seemed that Tennessee was able to get their offense back on track last week while Indy managed to squeak out a victory by capitalizing on turnovers against the Chiefs. Prior to the season, I expected these division foes to split their head-to-head matchup against one another and still feel like that will be the outcome. With the line seeming right on point, I turn my attention to the total and see value in playing the over here as Jonathan Taylor and Derrick Henry finally show the NFL why they are the two best in the game.

The Play: Over 42.5

Chicago Bears (2-1) at New York Giants ((((

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Giants -3

O/U: 39

Go ahead and pinch yourself because no you aren’t dreaming as the records are accurate here with both teams coming in with a 2-1 record. New York has impressed me so far this year while the Bears have won off poor weather conditions and playing a bad Texans team. Unfortunately, Giants lost Sterling Shephard for the season as he tore his ACL in Monday’s contest against the Cowboys. DaDaniel Jones should have more time to get his playmakers the ball as Chicago doesn’t have nearly the pass rushers that Dallas has. Justin Fields has started the year off with 2 wins in 3 games but still doesn’t look like the once highly touted prospect that he was. A sloppy game that I gladly won’t have on my tv.

The Play: Giants -3

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-0)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Eagles -6.5

O/u: 48

Doug Pederson revenge game? The revenge game theory didn’t work as well last week as Carson Wentz most likely needs to check his boxers after that performance but I have more faith in Dougie P! He has impressed us with how the Jagshave played so far this season who currently own sole possession of the ARC South. Meanwhile, Jalen Hurts and the Eagles look like juggernauts as their past 2 games have essentially been over mid-way through the 3rd quarter. I expect more of the same for both teams as Hurts will lead the Eagles offense to multiple scoring drives with Trevor Lawrence not lagging far behind. Points won’t be at a premium in this one as Philly fans finally get a fun game on the way.

The Play: Over 48

New York Jets (1-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Steelers -3.5

O/u: 40.5

No analysis on this one these are two bad teams that I’m excited to not have on screen here. Zach Wilson is set to return Sunday but don’t cheer yet as that may not be a good thing. This will be my shortest write up to date and probably all season but go Steelers.

The Play: Steelers -3.5

Buffalo Bills (2-1) at Baltimore Ravens (2-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Bills -3.5

O/u: 51.5

This game will feature a match up between what should be the top leaders currently in the MVP race. Buffalo comes off their first loss this season and share a commonality with Baltimore as both teams suffered their sole loss to the Miami Dolphins. Baltimore’s defense does not look like the defense as old as they have been susceptible to big plays over the past few weeks and that recipe is not one for success as you welcome in an explosive Josh Allen offense. Buffalo’s secondary has been pretty banged up as of late as they were without both of their starting safeties last week and still await for Tre’Davious White’s return from the IR. I trust Josh Allen to get his offense back on track after only scoring 17 points on over 90 plays and combine that with how Lamar Jackson has showcased this season leads us to an easy conclusion.

The Play: over 51.5

Los Angeles Chargers (1-2) at Houston Texans (0-1-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Chargers -5

O/u: 44

Chargers have caught the injury bug and they caught it bad as they lose their LT for the rest of the season. Justin Herbert is already a tad banged up himself so losing his blind side protector is something to note. They should be getting Keenan Allen back this week and have playmakers throughout the offense and defense. HC Brandon Staley needs to get back a Chargers team on track that had playoff aspirations to start the year. Luckily, they face a Houston team that has looked more like a Top 5 pick in the NFL Draft after their Week 1 contest against the Colts. Davis Mills doesn’t look like the long term solution and if the Chargers have playoff hopes they will handle this one and handle it easily.

The Play: Chargers -5

Arizona Cardinals (1-2) at Carolina Panthers (1-2)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/2

Line: Panthers -1.5

O/u: 42.5

This will be an ugly play here is I go with the over but stay with me here. Under totals are cashing at an all-time percentage throughout the first few weeks of the NFL season and that percentage is bound to regress towards the mean. I think Week 4 is the week that you will be taking over tickets to the window. Baker Mayfield should be able to take advantage of this poor Cardinals secondary as long as he remembers that he has an explosive weapon in DJ Moore. Meanwhile, Arizona has been one of the best road teams as underdogs since Kyler has taken over behind center. A final of 24-20 gets us to the window.

The Play: Over 42.5

New England Patriots (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (2-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/2

Line: Packers -10

O/u: 40.5

What used to be an exciting match up featuring Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers has now lost even ore juice as second year QB Mac Jones looks to be out with injury for several weeks suffering an injury in last Sunday’s loss against the Ravens. Backup QB Brian Hoyer should be filling in for the injured Mac Jones and isn’t welcomed to the starting lineup with a plethora of weapons as New England’s offense has looked subpar to say the least to start this year. Green Bay has gone under the total in all 3 games so far this year while New England has gone to the window with 2 under totals snd with how these teams are designed to play another under is in the cards. New England will surely throw the kitchen sink at back to back MVP Aaron Rodgers in an attempt to slow their offense down and New England’s offense doesn’t look to threatening to a much improved Green Bay defense.

The Play: Under 40.5

Denver Broncos (2-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (0-3)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/2

Line: Raiders -2.5

O/u: 45.5

I wouldn’t let the record fool you as Denver has looked far from a winning team so far. Russ and the offense seem to be out of sorts through the first 3 weeks of the season as their punter was getting more work in their win against San Francisco than their kicker. Las Vegas is truly the key to this game as they come in still looking for their first win under their new head coach. Falling to 0-4 on the season for a team that made the playoffs last year and looking to improve on that would be rather disastrous. This game can easily determine how this game goes for Las Vegas as they can either right the ship or call in the season early as it’s an uphill climb to make a postseason push after starting off 0-4. Give me Raiders or get ready to start hearing the fire McDaniels chants in Vegas.

The Play: Raiders -2

Kansas City Chiefs (2-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1)

When: 8:20 PM on 10/2

Line: Chiefs -2

O/u: 45

Finally, an exciting matchup to look forward to on Sunday Night Football as we get a Super Bowl rematch with Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady. Both teams still have their QBs under center, but the teams look a tad different this year as Mahomes lost one of his explosive weapons to South Beach this year in Tyreek Hill and the once best offensive line in football in front of Tom Brady has become familiar with the injury bug. Both teams are coming off a loss and with historical information I love trusting Big Red (Andy Reid) off of a bye or coming off of a loss. There’s a chance this game does not end up taking place in Tampa Bay because of Hurricane Ian and if that happens that eliminates any home field advantage the Bucs would have in this one. Welcome the Chiefs back into the winners circle after this contest.

The Play: Chiefs -2

Los Angeles Rams (2-1) at San Francisco 49ers (1-2)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/3

Line: 49ers -2.5

O/u: 42

San Francisco looks out of sorts this year on offense as the team hasn’t scored over 17 in 2 out of their first 3 games to start the season. Facing off a Super Bowl winner from last year in the Rams may not be the best formula for success but in the past few years Kyle Shanahan and company have owned the Rams in the regular season. I look for the offense to get back on track a little bit with Deebo Samuel finally getting himself in the endzone. I projected these teams to split games during the season with each winning their home contest so with 49ers having the home field advantage I will be riding with the team in San Fran.

The Play: 49ers -2.5

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 4

By: Nick Radivoj

A losing 4-6 Week 3 brings us back to average on the season as we are now 15-15 losing some money on the juice. Quite the frustrating weekend as We barely missed the under in a few games and while staying up late to watch Fresno State and USC we had a QB injury quickly put the kiss of death on that line. We learn and we move forward as we are on to College Football Week 4.

Maryland (3-0) at #4 Michigan (3-0)

When: 12 PM on 9/24

Line: Michigan -16.5

O/u: 65.5

High powered offenses will be squaring off in Ann Arbor come Saturday as Maryland comes in averaging 40 points per game while Michigan is scoring over 55 points a game. These numbers may be deceiving as neither team has faced off against a Big 10 opponent yet. Although they have been scoring in bunches as of late, Michigan and Jim Harbaugh coached teams are not known for running teams off the field but more so tough defense. The spread has stayed steady a majority of the week while the total has gone up by almost 3 points. I expect these teams to come back to Big 10 football with Michigan coasting to a win.

The Play: Under 65.5

#5 Clemson (3-0) at #21 Wake Forest (3-0)

When: 12 PM on 9/24

Line: Clemson -7

O/u: 55.5

Something smells here with this line and I may find myself in a trap. Clemson, with their below standard offense, managed to beat Wake Forest 48-27 last year. With improvement in the offense and still a top Clemson defense I’m unsure how this Clemson team doesn’t blow out Wake Forest on the road here. Wake Forest barely snuck out with a win over Liberty last week. Clemson has a clear talent advantage in the trenches here and will surely dominate in the run game like they did last year. I also like playing the over here in this spot but will end up laying the points with Clemson.

The Play: Clemson -7

#20 Florida (2-1) at #11 Tennessee (3-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Tennessee -10.5

O/U: 62.5

Anthony Richardson and the Gators have laid a few eggs in back-to-back weeks after an impressive Week 1 Top 10 win over Utah. Since then, Anthony Richardson has looked more like a project than a top quarterback in this year’s upcoming NFL Draft. The season look ahead line for this game was Tennessee favored by 8 points as we see the line creep up to the Volunteers favored by 11 now. I don’t feel comfortable laying that many points with a Tennessee team but that doesn’t mean I’m eager to take them with Florida. Glancing at the total, I see value in playing the over as Florida should be able to move the ball on this Tennessee team while Hendon Hooker and the Vols should be able to match them on their own.

The Play: Over 62.5

#22 Texas (2-1) at Texas Tech (2-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Texas -6.5

O/u: 60

Texas Tech QB Donovan Smith has underwhelmed during his 2 starts after coming in Week 1 for injured Tyler Shough. He has turned over the ball in each of his starts thus far and with the Longhorns coming to town I envision the ball flying in harms way yet again. Meanwhile, Hudson Card brought the Longhorns back to the winners’ circle after losing on a last second field goal the week prior. Card is leading the offense now that Ewers is recovering from injury and although Card was a starter last year he doesn’t provide quite the explosion that Ewers does when he was lined up behind center. Texas DC Gary Patterson will sure have a plan to confuse the ripe Red Raider quarterback.

The Play: Under 60

Notre Dame (1-2) at North Carolina (3-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: North Carolina -1.5

O/u: 57

First one is always the hardest, right? Notre Dame HC Marcus Freeman secured his first win last week as they grinded out a 24-17 win over California. Plenty of teams are in this new wave of College Football spreading the field out and passing the ball down field, but Notre Dame is not one of those teams. Marcus Freeman is keen on getting back to his roots and playing hard nosed defense for 60 minutes while playing power football on the offensive side. Meanwhile, Drake May and North Carolina provide fireworks and quick soring drives with explosive plays. One of the best ways to limit an offense like that from clicking is by having them sit on the sideline longer. Once again, a slow grind it out game that stays under the total for us going to the window.

The Play: Under 57

James Madison (2-0) at Appalachian State (2-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Appalachian State -8

O/U: 58

Appalachian State survives gameday last week as they win in the final seconds off a Hail Mary by QB Chase Brice. Appalachian State has had two long drawn-out games that have gassed this team as they upset Texas A&M on the week prior to their comeback win last week. James Madison comes in as an undefeated team and a perennial powerhouse in their conference and in a spot where Appalachian State is sure to run out of gas give me James Madison to cover here with a potential outright winner.

The Play: James Madison +8

#15 Oregon (2-1) at Washington State (3-0)

When: 4 PM on 9/24

Line: Oregon -6.5

O/u: 57.5

Oregon travels on the road after an impressive victory over a #12 ranked BYU team. Bo Nix often seems like two different quarterbacks when he plays at home versus on the road so we shall see if we get Jekyll or Hide this upcoming week. Meanwhile, JUCO transfer QB Cam Ward has led the Cougars to a 3-0 start as he’s impressed in his first action in Power 5 so far. Washington State’s defense has impressed along with the offense this year as they have one of the top scoring defenses in the Pac 12 currently.  Dependent on which Bo Nix arrives game time on Saturday I believe that Washington State has a chance to win this game outright but with Dan Lanning interested in running the ball to minimize Nix’s turnover opportunities I will yet again play an Oregon under.

The Play: Under 57.5

#10 Arkansas (3-0) at #23 Texas A&M (2-1)

When: 7 PM on 9/24

Line: Texas A&M -2

O/u: 48.5

KJ Jefferson and the Razorbacks were almost caught sleeping last weekend looking ahead to this game as they pulled off a second half come from behind win to remain undefeated. The Aggies right their ship by taking down a highly ranked Miami team that came into town. How luck are these Aggie fans? It can’t get much better than multiple Top 15 night games. Although Texas A&M is the home team this rivalry game is played in Dallas for a mutual site game every year.  Jimbo Fisher seemed much happier with Max Johnson’s play over what he had received from Haynes King over the prior weeks. I trust KJ Jefferson and Arkansas’ offense over what A&M has put on display this year so far but with the inability for both of these teams to push the ball down field I believe the under is a good play.

The Play: Under 48.5

Vanderbilt (3-1) at #2 Alabama (3-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Alabama -40

O/u: 59

I should have seen it last week but I’m not going to miss it this week. Alabama should have been the play last week as opposed to the under as we all know Nick Saban lights a fire under his team after a loss or a close win as everything is a learning experience with this man. Saban knows what can happen to a team if they are caught looking ahead as Alabama plays a Top ranked Arkansas team next. Bryce Young will be set to get back on track to tune up after throwing a few interceptions in last week’s contest. I look for Alabama to put it on them early so that we can get out of dodge with no injuries for their next contest against Arkansas.

The Play: Alabama -40

Wisconsin (2-1) at #3 Ohio State (3-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Ohio State -18.5

O/u: 57

The Ohio State offense we all know and love was finally back this past Saturday against Toledo as the Buckeyes explode for 77 points on the day. Ohio State DC Jim Noles is slowly getting his scheme implemented but still doesn’t have his defense playing like he wants them. As for Wisconsin, the blueprint is out on how to slow this Ohio State team if you watch the recap of their first game against Notre Dame. DC Jim Leonhard will surely be able to take notes from that game as Notre Dame eliminated any plays from going over the top and forced Ohio State to prove they could score through long drives down the field. I would love to play the under again hear but to not pull my hair out rooting for too many unders this weekend I will take the points with the Badgers.

The Play: Wisconsin +18.5

NFL Week 3 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

An unfortunate wash of a weekend in Week 2 as I finish with an average 8-8 record across the board bringing the season total to 17-15 (still up!). This NFL Week 3 slate seems a lot tougher to dissect so join me as we maneuver our way through the board to pick out the best bet from each game!

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-1)

When: 8:15 PM on 9/22

Line: Browns -4.5

O/u: 38.5

A pair of division rivals are set to face off Thursday night to jump start us into Week 3 of NFL action. This Steelers team will look different than the last time Cleveland faced them as they will be missing their defensive star TJ Watt to injury and Hall of Fame QB Big Ben to retirement. The Jacoby Brissett experience has been a roller coaster to start the season as Cleveland finds themselves at .500 currently but could easily be both defeated and undefeated. Pittsburgh’s offense is still pedestrian from last year as OC Matt Canada’s offense refuses to take deep shots down the field but rather play in a 5 yard box away from the line of scrimmage. I rarely encourage taking the under in low totals but with Mitch Trubisky and Jacoby Brissett at the helm I don’t see any other way.

The Play: Under 38.5

Houston Texans (0-1-1) at Chicago Bears (1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Bears -2.5

O/u: 40.5

Two quarterbacks from the 2021 NFL Draft are set to face off for the first time in Davis Mills and Justin Fields. Both teams are projected to have a high pick in next year’s draft but both have been a nice surprise to start this year as Houston has been in both of their first two games and Chicago started off the year with an underdog win. Chicago may be rebuilding but they really need to see what they have in QB Justin Fields as throwing the ball 14 times per game isn’t the best way to evaluate what you have in him. On the other hand, Davis Mills has led Houston down the wire in both of their games but unable to seal the victory come closing time. Cheers to hoping the Bears open their playbook and Houston continues to move the ball down the field. I’m a happy camper to not be tuning into this game on Sunday.

The Play: Over 40.5

Las Vegas Raiders (0-2) at Tennessee Titans (0-2)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Raiders -2.5

O/u: 45.5

Titans HC Mike Vrabel looked absolutely disgusted on the sideline Monday night as Tennessee was pummeled by Buffalo by 34. After losing their home opener on a missed game winning field goal, Tennessee comes back home in an attempt to find their first win of the season welcoming in the also defeated Raiders. Las Vegas was on their way to securing their first win last week but blew a 20-0 lead as Kyler Murray brought back Arizona for their first win. Titans OT Taylor Lewan left Monday’s game early with an injury and will be a player to keep an eye out for as Tennessee will be tasked with keeping their QB upright against Maxx Crosby and Chandler Jones. Although Monday’s loss left an incredibly poor taste in my mouth, I will keep faith in Mike Vrabel to right the ship here at home with the points.

The Play: Titans +2.5

Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Chiefs -6.5

O/u: 49.5

The Colts come into this game still defeated on the year as they are unable to get the monkey off their back losing yet again to Jacksonville in Florida. Keep an eye out for injury updates on Colts WR Michael Pittman as he was unable to play last week and without him Indy is unable to move the ball downfield. Kansas City comes on the road undefeated after an exciting home win Thursday night against the Chargers. The key to beating any star QB is to limit the amount of possessions that team gets and insert variance into the mix hoping for a turnover or two. Indy will lean on the back of their star running back in order to win the time of possession battle and maybe, just maybe, sneak out a win. Colts plus the points is in play here but rather play the under with slow methodical drives sure to come.

The Play: Under 49.5

Buffalo Bills (2-0) at Miami Dolphins (2-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Bills -5.5

O/u: 53.5

Buffalo looks every bit the Super Bowl favorite as they crush the Titans 41-7 in their home opener. As a Dolphins fan, I truly won’t believe they can beat the Bills until they finally do as this team has owned Miami for the past several years. Bills offseason signee Von Miller has seemed to transform their defensive front 7 as they have caused havoc in both games thus far and will be the biggest test for Miami’s new look offensive line. Miami showed off their new offense this past week as they managed to come back down 3 touchdowns in the 4th quarter to overcome Baltimore. Tua had the game of his short career as he threw for over 450 yards and 6 TDs but will need to build off this game as he welcomes Josh Allen and the undefeated Bills. I’m unable to back Miami until they prove it but that doesn’t mean I’m going against them so with too much offensive talent on display give me points and give me a lot of them.

The Play: Over 53.5

Detroit Lions (1-1) at Minnesota Vikings (1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Vikings -6

O/u: 53.5

Minnesota’s offense took a major step back after their Week 1 performance as they looked lost in Philadelphia Monday night. Kirk Cousins looked every bit Primetime Kirk as he continuously threw up turnover worthy balls into the Philadelphia night. Luckily, Minnesota will welcome in a Lions team that has yet to allow less than 27 points in a game thus far. Their defense may be a work in progress, but their offense has been explosive as Detroit has put up over 35 points in each game to start the season. I expect Minnesota’s offense to get back on track behind Justin Jefferson and Dalvin Cook this week while Detroit will continue providing explosive plays on their side of the ball.

The Play: Over 53.5

Baltimore Ravens (1-1) at New England Patriots (1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Ravens -3

O/u: 43

Baltimore comes to New England with a poor taste in their mouth as they let up a 3-touchdown lead in a losing battle against the Dolphins this past Sunday. Lamar Jackson looks like a man looking for a new contract as he was nearly perfect in this game throwing for 3 TDs while adding another one on the ground against Miami. New England was able to find themselves in the win column for the first time this year as they managed to defeat another AFC North team in the Steelers. Although they managed to secure the win, New England’s offense has yet to pop off this year under second year QB Mac Jones which may not be the biggest surprise as the team did little to surround him with weapons this offseason. Baltimore’s defense can’t look any worse after allowing 35 second half points, can they? With minimal weapons on the offensive side of the ball and with running QBs often giving their defense mishaps I don’t love New England in this spot at home.

The Play: Ravens -3 

Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) at New York Jets (1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Bengals -4.5

O/u: 45.5

Super Bowl hangover? Cincinnati looks like a far cry from the team that played in last year’s Super Bowl as they start this year 0-2 and losing to a Dak Prescott-less Cowboys team. Zac Taylor could have easily found himself on the hot seat were it not for Cincinnati’s Super Bowl run last year. Joe Burrow has looked terrified this year running for his life from both TJ Watt and Micah Parsons in his first two games behind what was supposed to be one of the best revamped offensive lines in the league. Disappointed after their second loss, Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase seemed to have choice words calling out their offense. Meanwhile, New York logged their first win of the season last week in a thrilling 13-point comeback in the final 2 minutes of the game. Despite the slow start, Cincinnati will need a commanding victory this week if they have any aspirations this year for another deep playoff run.

The Play: Bengals -4.5

Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Washington Commanders (1-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Line: Eagles -6.5

O/u: 47

Jalen Hurts and the Eagles looked impressive on Monday night as they begin their season off 2-0. The Carson Wentz experience in Washington hasn’t been a horrendous start this year as the offense has put up over 24 points in both of their games to start the season. This game will display good against good as Washington’s defensive line will battle Philadelphia’s offensive line in the trenches. Commanders’ defense has been slightly overrated to start the year but if they are able to contain and get pressure on Jalen Hurts with their front 4 anything is possible. Carson Wentz will be looking for redemption against the team that gave up on him as the division dog is alive at home to take this one outright.

The Play: Commanders +6.5

New Orleans Saints (1-1) at Carolina Panthers (0-2)

When: 1 PM on 9/25

Saints -3

O/u: 41  

A few different bounces of the ball and Carolina could see themselves as undefeated as opposed to defeated entering this game. The Baker Mayfield led Panthers have looked rather sloppy thus far on offense while the defense, for the most part, has held their own. They welcome in Jameis Winston and the Saints at home as they also look to bounce back after a loss to Tom Brady last weekend. Two major factors in this game to keep an eye out for is if Saints RB Alvin Kamara will play and this game and second is if Jekyll or Hide will be playing QB for New Orleans this week. How New Orleans looks heavily correlates with whether Jameis takes care of the ball or not. If Brian Burns and company can create some short fields off turnovers for the offense then the Panthers can secure their first win this season. One thing is for certain and that is we need more characters like Jameis in the NFL as he gets me excited to watch him on the field and listen to his pressers postgame as well.

The Play: Panthers +3

Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) at Los Angeles Chargers (1-1)

When: 4:05 PM on 9/25

Line: Chargers -7

O/u: 48

Everything in my normal process tells me to lay the points with the Chargers here as the Jaguars are coming across country and 3 time zones to play in this one, but with the way Trevor Lawrence looked in Week 2 I can’t resist in backing this Jacksonville team. Under new regime, Jacksonville looks more composed and more confident out on the field as they are filled with young talent across the field. Keynote to look out for is the health of Justin Herbert as he injured his rib in Los Angeles’ loss last Thursday to Kansas City. If Jaguars do arrive in LA as expected then this game could also lead us to a shootout with the over as a good play as well but give me the young, tough Jaguars here instead.

The Play: Jaguars +7

Los Angeles Rams (1-1) at Arizona Cardinals (1-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/25

Line: Rams -3.5

O/u: 49

The Rams have not looked like the Super Bowl winner from last year as they lose handedly to Buffalo Week 1 and sneak out of LA with a win against the Falcons that should have been a whole lot easier than it was. Los Angeles was up 28-3 with little time remaining in the 3rd quarter but as soon as you look back Atlanta has the ball with a chance to win it at the end. Rams have yet to cover a game this season but that comes to a screeching halt here as Sean Mcvay has owned the Cardinals since he took over as HC for the Rams. Kyler Murray was able to pull off a miraculous comeback last weekend against the Raiders, but his heroics may not be enough this time as he isn’t left with many offensive weapons with Deandre Hopkins suspension and Arizona’s defense often resembling Swiss cheese.

The Play: Rams -3.5

Atlanta Falcons (0-2) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/25

Line: Seahawks -2

O/u: 42

Atlanta has surprised many this year as they have come out in both games and nearly stolen a win against 2 quality teams in the Saints and Rams. Atlanta has been able to move the ball on offense behind first round WR Drake London and with former 1st round pick Kyle Pitts sure to get in the mix soon this offense has the capability to be tough to stop. Meanwhile, Seattle forgot to show up playing the 49ers this week as they looked like a completely different team that played Denver the week prior. Offense seems rather uncapable of creating explosive plays with the unwillingness to throw the ball downfield to star WR DK Metcalf. Definitely not one of the top games I’m looking forward to this weekend, but Atlanta finds themselves in the winners circle for the first time this year.

The Play: Falcons +2

Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0)

When: 4:25 on 9/25

Line: Buccaneers -2

O/U: 41

Much of this game has lost its spark as Tampa Bay will be without many of their key offensive weapons with Mike Evans facing a suspension and Chris Godwin likely out with injury. Aaron Rodgers got the Packers back on track Sunday night as the offense was proficient with the defense stepping up making plays left and right. I wold normally love playing an over as low as this with Rodgers and Brady set to face each other but with both of these defenses being stout units and Tampa missing offensive players I don’t think it’s a smart play here. Rather, I will take the 2 points given to the team up in Greeen Bay as they continue to build off of their win against Chicago.

The Play: Packers +2

San Francisco 49ers (1-1) at Denver Broncos (1-1)

When: 8:20 on 9/25

Line: 49ers -1.5

O/u: 41.5

After losing their starting running back in Week 1, 49ers have the injury bug strike yet again as they lose QB Trey Lance for the rest of the season. Luckily. San Francisco still has last year’s starter Jimmy Garoppolo on the team as he slides back into the starting role. Offense shouldn’t miss a beat with Jimmy behind center as he has been the starter for the past couple years. This 49ers defense is also familiar with their opposing QB as they have faced Russel Wilson for the majority of his career when he was sporting Seahawks colors. 49ers have one of the best defensive lines in football and with a few offensive playmakers missing for Denver I see a slow day moving the ball for Russ. The altitude will surely play a factor on a California based team and with that combined with the 49ers defensive prowess I’m taking the under.

The Play: Under 45

Dallas Cowboys (1-1) at New York Giants (2-0)

When: 8:15 PM on 9/26

Line: Giants -2.5

O/u: 39.5

No Dak Prescott? No problem. The Cowboys find themselves in the winners’ circle for the first time this year after taking down Cincinnati at home. The key to that win was playing mistake free football and leaning on the back of the defense and elite pass rusher Micah Parsons. Dallas is trying to scratch and claw their way to any win they can get to keep their young season alive while awaiting on Dak to return from an injury suffered in Week 1. Meanwhile, the Giants find themselves in unknown territory as they start their season off 2-0 under their new regime. I see this game playing out a lot likeDallas’ prior game with defense causing chaos and forcing Daniel Jones to turn the ball over. Under may be the right play here but I can’t find myself on the side of two under below 40 this week.

The Play: Cowboys +2.5

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 3

By: Nick Radivoj

It feels like College Football just kicked off yesterday and here we are already entering Week 3. We had our first major upset of the year as Texas A&M loses at home to an unranked Appalachian State team causing them to fall 18 slots in the polls. Alabama sneaks out of Texas with a last second field goal as defending champs Georgia cruises along and hops up to the #1 team in doing so. We are currently 11-9 over the course of the first 2 weeks putting us up 1.1u taking the juice into consideration. Let’s give us some wiggle room with a fun Week 3 slate.

#1 Georgia (2-0) at South Carolina (1-1)

When: 12 PM on 9/17

Line: UGA -24

O/u: 52

It has only been 2 weeks but Georgia is beginning to look like a problem this year as many thought they would take a step back after losing so much from their National Championship team. Stetson Bennett has shown a mastery of this offense in distributing to playmakers left and right. Georgia cruised to a win last week over Samford while South Carolina was in a battle on the road against Arkansas. Spencer Rattler finished with a serviceable stat line although in a losing effort. Rattler will need to limit the sacks and turnover worthy plays in this one if South Carolina has a chance to pull off the upset. After fielding a historic defense last year, Georgia still seems to have a top tier defense under HC Kirby Smart. Unless I’m not taking the crowd into full context here, I think this one will get ugly as Georgia cruises to their third win this season.

The Play: Georgia -24

#6 Oklahoma (2-0) at Nebraska (1-2)

When: 12 PM on 9/17

Line: Oklahoma -11.5

O/u: 67

A new HC will lead the Cornhuskers into battle Saturday as Nebraska and Scott Frost part ways after opening the season 1-2 and losing to Georgia Southern at home. Offense did not seem to be the issue last week for Nebraska as the defense surrendered over 40 points to Georgia Southern. Meanwhile, new HC Brent Venables and transfer QB Dillon Gabriel look every bit the Big 12 front runner they are after two weeks. Never underestimate the impact playing on the road will have for college students as it’s never easy to go into unknown territory and pull out a win as shown last week by Alabama. I love following the trend of trailing teams the week after they part ways with a head coach as the team almost always seems to rally for a hard-fought battle. This historic rivalry has seen a one score game over its past few contests and I expect the same here.

The Play: Nebraska +11.5

#12 BYU (2-0) at #25 Oregon (1-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/17

Line: Oregon -3.5

O/u: 57.5

BYU travels on the road for another Top 25 matchup this week after winning in overtime last week against Baylor. In normal circumstances this would be a BYU play al day, but teams often come out flat after an emotional victory. BYU played a draining game against Baylor last week while Oregon bounced back with an easy victory over Eastern Washington putting up 70 points in the process. Having seen Bo Nix at Auburn, I’m very hesitant to lay 3.5 with the Ducks as he’s prone to make bone headed turnovers which can turn a game over on its head. I expect BYU to unfortunately come out flat this week after extending themselves against Baylor as well as Oregon HC Dan Lanning having a solid gameplan to keep BYU QB Jaren Hall in check. I find myself eyeing the total as BYU has a formidable defense of their own.

The Play: Under 57.5

#22 Penn State (2-0) at Auburn (2-0)

When: 3:30 on 9/17

Line: Penn State -3

O/u: 47

Penn State travels to Auburn in a rematch of lat year’s exciting game which ultimately came down to the wire. Something has to give here in this meeting sa Penn State is 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games against SEC opponents while Auburn is also 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games against Big 10 teams. Nick Singleton provides Penn State their first 100-yard rusher in what seems like eons as he climbs over the century mark in last week’s win over Ohio. This game will be decided in the trenches as Auburn will look to establish their run game while attacking Penn State QB Sean Clifford on the other side with a very polished defensive line. I wouldn’t be doing you any justice to be on the lookout for whatever witchcraft will be in store inside Jordan-Hare stadium as it always seems the luck falls Auburns way there. I feel like the line is exactly right here so give me a slow methodical game of running the ball here.

The Play: Under 47

#20 Ole Miss (2-0) at Georgia Tech (1-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/17

Line: Ole Miss -16

O/U: 63.5

Both teams are coming off commanding wins last week but that may not be the best thing for one of them. Georgia Tech is 1-10 against the spread in their last 11 games coming off of a win and 2-14 against the spread in their last 16 non-conference games. This contest will showcase good versus bad as Ole Miss brings in a Top 20 rushing offense while Georgia Tech has a bottom rushing defense nationally. I don’t see Georgia Tech having the firepower to keep up with Lane Kiffin’s offense as the offensive mastermind shouldn’t have too much difficulty putting up points. Georgia Tech QB Jeff Sims doesn’t have much help on offense but also doesn’t help himself making mistakes week over week. A rather easy one here as we can’t back the Jackets given their trends.

The Play: Ole Miss -16

UL Monroe (1-1) at #2 Alabama (2-0)

When: 4 PM on 9/17

Line: Alabama -49

O/u: 60.5

I would love to be a fly on the wall in Alabama’s locker room after their narrow victory over Texas in Austin last week. For starters, Alabama came in as a 3-touchdown favorite against Texas and won on a last second field goal as time expires and the players feel the need to give the horns down sign?? Rightfully so, Nick Saban put that to a screeching halt. Nonetheless, a win is a win. Coach Saban does not have a short memory and doesn’t forget when ULM came into Alabama and upset the Tide at home in 2007. Bryce Young and company will look to get the offense back on track as they had a pedestrian game for their standards in Austin while the defense was able to keep the game tight while the offense sputtered. In no way, shape, or form am I predicting an upset from 2007 but it boils down to how much is the victory by? Ultimately, I believe defense can pitch a shutout or close to it once again while the offense does their damage to cruise in the second half.

The Play: Under 60.5

Texas Tech (2-0) at #16 NC State (2-0)

When: 7 PM on 9/17

Line: NC State -9.5

O/U: 55.5

Texas Tech heads on the road this week to face another Top 25 team in NC State after prevailing over Houston at home. Texas Tech QB Donovan Smith was able to pull off the overtime win over Houston but didn’t look as sharp as he did in Week 1 throwing 3 interceptions in this contest. A performance like that on the road will surely find Texas Tech in the losers’ circle. Devin Leary and the Wolfpack cruised to a Week 2 victory after escaping their first contest against East Carolina with a win. I don’t want to sound too much like a broken record but with Texas Tech coming off an emotional overtime victory and travelling on the road doesn’t sound like a winning recipe to me. A tad unsure how I find myself laying the points with NC State again after they broke my heart in the opening game of the season but here I am.

The Play: NC State -9.5

#11 Michigan State (2-0) at Washington (2-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 9/17

Line: Washington -3.5

O/u: 56.5

Both teams come into this contest 2-0 but both will have their first real test of the season here as they didn’t face A Power 5 team over the first 2 weeks of the season. Where Washington is most vulnerable is in the secondary as they lost multiple starters last year to the NFL draft and are pretty banged up in the secondary to start this year as well. The question here is if Michigan State can exploit that weakness? Unfortunately, I don’t believe that the talent under center is there for the Spartans to capitalize on the road against a tough Huskies team. I’m interested to see how this one unfolds as I haven’t had the pleasure to watch much of either of these team sthis year.

The Play: Washington -3.5

#13 Miami (2-0) at #24 Texas A&M (1-1)

When: 9 PM on 9/17

Line: TAMU -5.5

O/u: 45

Texas A&M found themselves looking ahead to this game last week as they lose to Appalachian State at home as 19-point favorites. This game lost some of its shine as TAMU falls 18 points in the rankings to 24. I guess Jimbo Fisher may need to give Nick Saban an apology as it isn’t quite as easy as he says it is to win with the undisputed top recruiting class. New Miami HC Mario Cristobal and QB Tyler Van Dyke will face their toughest test in their short time together as a night game inside Kyle Field is no easy task. Jimbo Fisher will need to get his offense back on track as it’s quite embarrassing to only put up 14 points against an Appalachian State defense that gave up over 60 to North Carolina the week prior (7 of TAMU’s points came off of a kick return TD as well). This game will fall on the shoulders of Tyler Van Dyke and if he can withstand the pressure and noise come Saturday night in College Station. Give me a 1 score game with TAMU prevailing in the end.

The Play: Miami +5.5

Fresno State (1-1) at #7 USC (2-0)

When: 10:30 PM on 9/17

Line: USC -12

O/u: 73.5

Lincoln Riley and Caleb Williams cruise to another win as they take down Stanford at home last week. The offense seems to be in midseason form as Riley brings in a balanced attack able to establish the run and throw downfield with weapon Jordan Addison on the outside. USC’s defense is still an unknown as they did give up some points to Stanford last week and will face a tougher test this week as Fresno State brings a more prevalent offense to town behind QB Jake Haener. I don’t see either one of these defenses slowing down the opposing offense this weekend and would have loved playing the over but can’t recommend as it’s moved 5 points off its opening total of 68.5. Stanford found themselves within 2 TD’s last week and with a better offense I see Fresno State in this game late.

The Play: Fresno State +12

NFL Week 2 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

NFL Week 1 comes to a close and leaves fans drooling for more as there was plenty of excitement to go around. We had multiple underdogs win outright as well as a couple games needing extra time to decide a winner… or not? We leave opening week of football with a 9-7 record and up 1.3u taking into account the juice. I believe a lot of meat was left on the bone and very well could have had a better week so let’s pick up where we left off and dive into Week 2!

Los Angeles Chargers (1-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-0)

When: 8:15 PM on 9/15

Line: Chiefs -4

O/U: 54.5

No Tyreek Hill? No problem. Patrick Mahomes came out last Sunday with an absolute masterpiece totaling 5 TDs on the day. More impressively, Kansas City held Kyler Murray and the Cardinals to 1 TD over 3 quarters as they tacked on 2 more in mop up duty in the final quarter. Chiefs’ new look defense held up against Arizona but will be faced with a tougher task Thursday night as one of the best young QBs in the league comes to town. Unfortunately, it looks as if Herbert won’t have one of his top options in Keenan Allen as he left Sunday’s game early with a hamstring injury. Mike Williams underwhelmed with only 2 catches in his Week 1 debut and will need to have a bigger game if Chargers expect to win. Key matchup to watch is versatile Safety Derwin James against TE Travis Kelce as he led Kansas City in receiving last week. I may be getting too cute with this play here but both defenses are mproved from last year and I’m not expecting the shootout that most are predicting.

The Play: Under 54.5

New York Jets (0-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/18

Line: Browns -6

O/U: 40

Ugly is the best word to describe these two passing offenses in Week 1. Both QBs averaged under 5.2 yards per attempt in their Week 1 performances. Cleveland is rather lucky to have secured a win last week as they landed 2 rather questionable flags on their game winning FG drive. We quickly glance at the line as there’s a close to zero percent chance I will lay a TD with Jacoby Brissett at QB for the Browns. Cleveland illustrated how their offense will run as they patiently wait for Deshaun Watson’s suspension to run its course. My suggestion to teams facing Cleveland Is to load up the box to stop Cleveland’s 2 headed monsters at running back and make Jacoby beat you. Begrudgingly, I will take Jets to cover here with a strong defensive game plan and signs of hopeful life from their offense. It can’t get any worse for Flacco, can it?

The Play: Jets +6

Washington Commanders (1-0) at Detroit Lions (0-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/15

Line: Lions -2.5

O/U: 48.5

Commanders’ fans got the full Carson Wentz experience in Week 1 as he turned over the ball a few times on some rather ugly plays. With that being said, he still led Washington in a 4th quarter comeback to prevail against the Jaguars. This offense could be explosive with playmakers on the outside if Wentz is able to minimize his mistakes over the course of the season. Meanwhile, a track meet took place in Detroit last week as the Lions lost a close one to Philadelphia 38-35. Lions HC Dan Campbell may have had one of the more intriguing introductory press conferences to date but he truly inspires his team to play hard until the clock shows 0’s. Detroit will be a tough out in almost every game this year and if they are able to hold off Washington’s pass rush I love their odds in covering here but landed on the total instead.

The Play: Over 48.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0) at New Orleans Saints (1-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/18

Line: Buccaneers -3

O/U: 44

Tampa Bay showed why they are one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl Sunday night against Dallas as the contest was never really in doubt. Tom Brady’s birth certificate shows that he’s 45 years of age but still has the arm of a 25 year old NFL QB. Brady connected with new weapon Julio Jones multiple times in Week 1 as the former All Pro WR looks to have regained some of his youth as he’s partaking in the TB12 method himself. Remarkably, WR Chris Godwin started Week 1 on the field as opposed to the PUP list as he recovered quickly from a torn ACL last year facing this Saints’ team, but unfortunately left Sunday’s contest early with a hamstring injury. Since his time coming to Tampa Bay, Tom has controlled the NFC South but has had his issues with New Orleans time and time again. New Orleans started the year off with a win as they managed a second half comeback against Atlanta. They welcomed back WR Michael Thomas, and he welcomed them with 2 receiving TDs in the victory. This line feels about right and with two strong defensive teams I found myself on the probable too cute side of this total.

The Play: Under 44

Carolina Panthers (0-1) at New York Giants (1-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/18

Line: Giants -2.5

O/U: 43

How long has it been since the New York football Giants have had a winning record? My fuzzy memory wants to take me all the way back to 2016 with the boat picture playoff team. Plenty of similarities with these teams as they both had pedestrian offenses in the first half last week but opened up in the second half as both teams took late leads. New York was on the receiving end of a missed game winning FG while Carolina was defeated on a last second field goal of their own. Baker Mayfield was facing heavy pressure all day from Cleveland but luckily for him this week he will not see Myles Garrett lining up opposite of him. Most of me wants to play the over here but if Carolina is able to bottle up Saquon Barkley they are live to take this one on the road.

The Play: Panthers +2.5

New England Patriots (0-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/18

Line: Patriots -1.5

O/U: 40.5

Who’s calling the offensive plays in New England? Both teams come into Sunday’s contest with shaky performances at best on the offensive side of the ball. Patriots barely managed to move the ball in Miami while Pittsburgh turned their defense into offense as they turned Joe Burrow over 5 times in this game. Unfortunately, it looks like Pittsburgh will be losing former DPOY TJ Watt for several weeks if not the year to what seems to be a torn peck. Losing Watt will be a huge blow for this Steelers defense that I’m unsure they will be able to overcome. This one is rather easy for me as New England still has one of the best coaches of all time looking to get them in the win column for the first time this season.

The Play: Patriots -1.5

Indianapolis Colts (0-0-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1)

When: 1 PM on 9/18

Line: Colts -4

O/U: 47

Matt Ryan led the Colts to an unprobable 4th quarter comeback with 17 points but came up short as they ended with the first tie of the season. Colts, funny enough, sit atop the AFC South with the Texans even while not having won Week 1. Many people had high aspirations for this Indianapolis team and that will be put to the test Week 2 as they face the music this week returning to Jacksonville after their crushing Week 18 loss that kept them out of the playoffs. Jacksonville looked substantially better as they put their Urban Meyer days behind them, but Trevor Lawrence still does not look like the highly touted QB we loved gcoming out of Clemson. Colts get back on track as their front 7 has a field day in Jacksonville.

The Play: Colts -4

Miami Dolphins (1-0) at Baltimore Ravens (1-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/18

Line: Ravens -3.5

O/U: 44.5

Week 1 was a good weekend to be a first time HC in the NFL as new Dolphins’ HC Mike McDaniel began his tenure off with a division win against New England. This offense showed some of the explosion we were expecting after their offseason acquisitions but played conservatively for a majority of the game as they took a 17 point lead into halftime. Meanwhile, Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson looked every bit of his former MVP status as he easily handled the Jets on the road. This game will show as a marker for Jackson’s improvement as Miami attacked the young QB with plenty of blitzes in last year’s matchup in an effort to have him make a perfect throw. Miami’s defensive game plan worked last year and may provide even more wrinkles this year as the homer in me will be riding with Miami. Hopefully, Tua continues his strong Week 1 start on the road and leads the team to 2-0.

The Play: Dolphins +3.5

Atlanta Falcons (0-1) at Los Anageles Rams (0-1)

When: 4:05 PM on 9/18

Line: Rams -10.5

O/U: 47

A Super Bowl hangover for Matthew Stafford and the Rams? Either that or every team in the league should fear Josh Allen and the Bills. The Rams welcome Atlanta into town as what seems to be a “get right” game indicated by the opening line. Rams WR Allen Robinson signed this offseason for what he hoped would be a breakout season but left oening night with only 1 catch. We all know and trust HC Sean Mcvay to be able to get this eam right and be able to establish the run to set up his play action passing game. Atlanta could very easily be coming into this game 1-0 as they let up a 4th quarter comeback against their division rival Saints. Atlanta’s offense showed off a few wrinles in their opener as they displayed a read option between QB Marcus Mariota and RB Cordarelle Patterson which gashed New Orleans’ defense at times. Going back and forth on this one, I ultimately landed on Rams needing a statement victory along with the fact Atlanta is travelling across 3 time zones.

The Play: Rams -10.5

Seattle Seahawks (1-0) at San Francisco 49ers (0-1)

When: 4:05 PM on 9/18

Line: 49ers -10

O/U: 42.5

Standing atop the NFC West after the first week of football is none other than… the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle won a huge contest as they welcomed former QB Russel Wilson into their stadium and sent him packing with a loss. San Francisco lost a slip and slide of a football game in Chicago as the field was less than desirable to play on. Quite difficult to judge Trey Lance with all of the given weather conditions so this should be a game to see how the second year QB has progressed. 49ers should be able to move the ball on Seattle’s defense as they lose leader Jamal Adams for what looks like a lengthy amount of time. 49ers take this game, but with Geno Smith looking serviceable in Week 1 and the back door cover looking alive I will take the over.

The Play: Over 42.5

Cincinnati Bengals (0-1) at Dallas Cowboys (0-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/18

Line: Bengals -7.5

O/U: 43

Joe Burrow with most likely his worst performance as a professional QB and still the Bengals should have won against Pittsburgh. A missed PAT at the end of regulation and missed FG in overtime are a few reasons they start off with a loss rather than a win. Dallas looks like they missed WR Amari Cooper Sunday night as their offense was pedestrian outside of their opening script. Dak had no help outside of CeeDee Lamb and also got hurt in this game most likely missing several weeks. Backup QB Cooper Rush seems to be the new man under center. I usually love the trend of riding with backup QBs as the team as able to rally behind them but with the offense put on display Week 1 by Dallas I’m left with no choice but to lay the points.

The Play: Bengals -7.5

Houston Texans (0-0-1) at Denver Broncos (0-1)

When: 4:25 on 9/18

Line: Broncos -10

O/u: 45.5

Questionable decision by new Broncos HC Nathaniel Hackett on Monday night to say the least as he decides to kick a 64-yard game winning field goal as opposed to giving Broncos’ new QB Russel Wilson a chance to win the game late. Denver seemed phased by Seattle’s crowd noise throughout the game as they totaled 12 total penalties giving Seattle a third of their first downs via penalties. Houston came out quick in Week 1 with a 20-3 lead against the Colts in which they ultimately blew resulting in the first tie of the NFL season. Although leading most of the game, Houston was doubled in total yards by Matt Ryan and the Colts. The crowd and altitude will surely have an impact on Houston in Denver’s first home game of the season Let’s see what Chef Russ can do to bounce this team back into the win column with a double digit win in Week 2.

The Play: Broncos -10

Arizona Cardinals (0-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (0-1)

When: 4:25 on 9/18

Line: Raiders -6

O/U: 51.5

Difficult to say if these teams have a bottom tier defense or if their Week 1 performances were because of facing Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert. Raiders’ fans should be elated of their acquisition of Devante Adams as the star WR doesn’t seem to have missed a beat sporting silver and black this year. Another big game for Adams should be in the cards as this Arizona secondary doesn’t have anyone of major threat to slow him down. Arizona and Kyler Murray look to get their offense back on track as they managed only 1 TD in the first 3 quarters. After Kyler secured a monumental deal this offseason, he needs to come out in Week 2 and show the league why that is. Points won’t be at a premium today in this game and the backdoor is sure to be alive if the Raiders are in control.

The Play: Cardinals +6

Chicago Bears (1-0) at Green Bay Packers (0-1)

When: 8:20 on 9/18

Line: Packers -10

O/U: 42.5

Shaky start for Green Bay and Aaron Rodgers as the plethora of new WRs did not seem to be in sync with the back-to-back MVP. It’s been a while since these two teams squared off with the Bears having a better record and that will be put to a screeching halt Sunday night. Although they ended with a win, Chicago’s offense was putrid against the 49ers and it was not because of the rain either. QB Justin Fields doesn’t have the offensive line in front of him nor the weapons on the outside to help him shine in year 2. Simply put by Aaron Rodgers said to Chicago last year, “I own you”.  Offense wasn’t the only thing to underwhelm as Green bay was expected to have one of the top defenses in the league but got torched by star WR Justin Jefferson. Aaron Rodgers and his defense get their season back on track with a dominating win Sunday night over Chicago.

The Play: Packers -10

Tennessee Titans (0-1) at Buffalo Bills (1-0)

When: 7:15 PM on 9/19

Line: Bills -10

O/u: 49.5

Buffalo looked every bit the Super Bowl favorites as they beat the reigning champs by double digits in the opening game of the season (and it could have been worse). Although they lost Offensive Coordinator Brian Daboll to New York, Buffalo’s offense doesn’t seem to have missed a beat with Josh Allen under center. Tennessee was a missed game winning FG away from coming in 1-0 as well in this matchup. I don’t fully believe in this offense but HC Mike Vrabelhas my trust from what he’s done since taking this team over. Ultimately, I believe the Bills will win this game but expect the tTitans to keep this one close on the back of Derrick Henry. With long methodical drives and keeping the ball out of Josh Allen’s hands, Tennessee may just have a chance here to upset Buffalo in their home opener. Look ahead line had Bills favored by a TD so I will gladly scoop up 3 more from what could be a Week 1 overreaction.

The Play: Titans +10

Minnesota Vikings (1-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (1-0)

When: 8:30 on 9/19

Line: Eagles -2

O/u: 50.5

Star wideouts were on display last week for both teams as Justin Jefferson and AJ Brown put on a clinic in their 2022 debut. Both offenses demonstrated the ability to put north of 24 points up each week. The only question we have here is how will Primetime Kirk Cousins look? My guess is great. A monkey has been taken off Kirk Cousins back now that he has a new head coach in town. Mike Zimmer was a great head coach in his tenure but the open tension between himself and his starting QB had to have played a part in Kirk’s play throughout the season. I know for me I do a tad better with my leaders building me up rather than tearing me down. A tough act for these teams to follow in Week 1 but expect another fireworks show and its not even 4th of July.

The Play: Over 50.5

TGIS NFL Week 1 Preview and Picks

By: Nick Radivoj

The long wait is finally over as the NFL season is back! NFL sits back and relaxes as the story lines unfold themselves with plenty of exciting Week 1 match ups. Hopefully you paid attention this offseason as there are several teams trotting out new starting QBs. Join us weekly as we breakdown the NFL slate and provide a best bet.

Buffalo Bills (0-0) at Los Angeles Rams (0-0)

When: 8:20 PM on 9/8

Line: Bills -2.5

O/U: 52

Week 1 of NFL football kicks off with what could have been a Super Bowl matchup last year as the Bills were just 13 seconds away from punching their ticket to the AFC championship game for a potential Super Bowl bid. These two teams provide a few of the most high-powered offenses in the NFL as this game is star studded with talent on both sides of the ball. QB Josh Allen is a top pick for this year’s MVP and for good reason. Although led by Allen, the Bills defense will be showing off a new piece from this offseason as Von Miller brings his talents over from the Rams as he helped them hoist the Lombardi trophy last year. Unfortunately, theBills will not have Tre’davious White for this game and will be tested with Triple Crown winner last year Cooper Kupp and a new shiny toy in Allen Robinson. Bills are set out to prove that they are this year’s favorites as they take a win back home to Buffalo.

The Play: Bills -2.5

Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) at Detroit Lions (1-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: Eagles -4

O/U: 48.5

After making the playoffs last year, the Eagles are everyone’s dark horse team to make even more noise as they added WR AJ Brown and several defensive pieces this offseason. A make it or break it type year for QB Jalen Hurts as he enters year 3 with a team set up for success. Eagles have one of the best rosters in football but shouldn’t overlook this Lions team as they always compete under HC Dan Campbell. Lions are still a year or so away from making loud noise and are a potential game changing QB away from contending in the NFC North moving forward. I like this game to have points and a lot of them.

The Play: Over 48.5

San Francisco 49ers (0-0) at Chicago Bears (0-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: 49ers -7

O/U: 41.5

There’s a new QB under center in San Francisco as Trey Lance takes the baton from Jimmy Garoppolo. Lance is set up for success as HC Kyle Shanahan led offenses are very QB friendly with offensive weapons everywhere on the field. Bears QB Justin Fields on the other hand has not been helped as much as his 2021 draft counterpart as they have one of the worst offensive lines in football along with few weapons for him to utilize on offense. Keep an eye out on the weather for this game as there seems to be rain out in the forecast but as long as the weather holds up I love the 49ers to take this one easily.

The Play: 49ers -7

Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (0-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: Bengals -6.5

O/U: 44.5

Mitchell Trubisky looks to take over for the Steelers under center as Big Ben finally sails off into the sunset. He is faced with a tough Week 1 opponent as the Bengals are coming off of a Super Bowl appearance. Are Super Bowl hangovers a real thing? This game will highlight plenty of offensive weapons on both sides of the ball. Cincinnati bolstered their offensive line this offseason and will be tested early and often as Defensive Player of the Year TJ Watt looks to build off of his 22.5 sacks last season. The over would normally be in play for me here but something about a division dog intrigues me. I expect the Bengals to win this one but for Pittsburgh to keep it close.

The Play: Steelers +6.5

New England Patriots (0-0) at Miami Dolphins (0-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: Dolphins -3

O/U: 46.5

These aren’t your Miami Dolphins you’ve grown accustomed to as they brought in a load of talent to help Tua succeed in year 3. Miami welcomes in electric WR Tyreek Hill as he plans to earn the title Legion of Zoom for the team down in South Beach. On the other side, QB Mac Jones has not been helped as much this offseason as he lost his Offensive Coordinator and has no notable additions on offense besides former Dolphins WR Devante Parker. Miai will be without CB Byron Jones for the first 4 weeks of the season as he was placed on the PUP list but I don’t see New England having the weapons to exploit that loss. Dolphins HC Mike Mcdanielwill look to start his first year off on a high note with a home victory.

The Play: Dolphins -3

Cleveland Browns (0-0) at Carolina Panthers (0-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: Panthers -2.5

O/U: 41.5

A battle between the exes takes place in Carolina as former Browns QB Baker Mayfield looks to lead his new team against Cleveland. Cleveland will be without QB Deshaun Watson for this game as he suffered an 11 game suspension. Baker has said all of the right things in the media but we all know the chip he will be playing with on his shoulder come Sunday afternoon. I truly feel that Mayfield’s play took a hit last year as he was playing with a torn labrum and he is looking to bounce back along with RB Christian McCaffrey. Not a whole lot to dive into as I will always ride with Baker in a revenge narrative.

The Play: Panthers -2.5

Indianapolis Colts (0-0) at Houston Texans (0-0)

When: 1 ET on 9/11

Line: Colts -7

O/U: 46.5

After a long career sporting a Falcons jersey, Matt Ryan will be wearing blue this year for Indy. Ryan is welcomed with a top offensive line, running back, and up and coming wide receiver in Michael Pittman. After missing the playoffs last year in a shameful Week 18 loss to the Jaguars, Indy will look to bounce back and potentially regain control of the AFC South. Their defense contains one of the best Front 7’s in football and will look to make some noise against second year QB Davis Mills. Houston is predicted to have one of the top picks in next year’s NFL Draft as they don’t have the roster yet to compete week in and week out. This Colts team will be too much for Davis Mills and company at home.

The Play: Colts -7

New Orleans Saints (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: Saints -5.5

O/U: 42.5

Atlanta is projected to have a top pick in next year’s NFL Draft and with good reason but that doesn’t mean this game will be easy for the Saints. It always seems that Atlanta plays the Saints tight in almost every contest over the years no matter the talent gap. New Orleans will be playing their first game after HC Sean Payton announced his retirement last offseason. The Saints shouldn’t have much difficulty moving the ball down the field as Atlanta is lacking in talent besides CB AJ Terrell. Many will like New Orleans to cover here but I’m playing the over as the back door will sure to be alive and division dogs at home are never fun to play with.

The Play: Over 42.5

Baltimore Ravens (0-0) at New York Jets (0-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: Ravens -7

O/U: 44.5

Jets QB Zach Wilson will have to wait to make his 2022 debut as he recovers from injury which means… Joe Flacco revenge game! Flacco demonstrated the ability to move the ball last year that even the young Wilson did not with this offense. Unfortunately for Joe, Baltimore is coming off a year missing the playoffs after an injury riddled season. Baltimore returns plenty of key starters along with QB Lamar Jackson who is playing in a contract year. New York is still a year or so away from making a leap to contender so give me Baltimore here in Week 1. Note: I would much rather play a 2 team teaser with Baltimore and Indy.

The Play: Ravens -7

Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) at Washington Commanders (0-0)

When: 1 PM on 9/11

Line: Commanders -3

O/U: 44

The NFL really does a fantastic job with scheduling games with fun story lines attached to them. Commanders QB Carson Wentz was shipped out of Indy last year after failing to beat Jacksonville in Week 18 as a double digit favorite. Carson Wentz revenge game? I believe so. Wentz may be getting his final crack at being a starting QB in the NFL and has weapons to help him along the way in Scary Terry and 1st round pick Jahan Dotson. Jacksonville will sure to improve this year from the mere fact of their head coaching change going from Urban Meyer to Doug Pederson. This game feels like it will be decided late but give me the home team to prevail in Week 1.

The Play: Commanders -3

Green Bay Packers (0-0) at Minnesota Vikings (0-0)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/11

Line: Packers -1.5

O/U: 48

A new regime in town in Minnesota as they move on from HC Mike Zimmer and bring in Sean McVay’s understudy from Los Angeles, Kevin O’Connell. Green Bay will be without All Pro WR Devante Adams as he was traded to Las Vegas this offseason. Aaron Rodgers will be put to the test as he leads a core of young but talented wide receivers. I don’t often find myself betting against the back to back MVP and won’t find myself doing that here. Minnesota will surely start meshing into the season but don’t love the prospects of them hitting the ground running against this Green Bay defense.

The Play: Packers -1.5

New York Giants (0-0) at Tennessee Titans (0-0)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/11

Line: -5.5

O/U: 43.5

Former Bills HC Brian Daboll takes over in New York as he looks to lead them back into meaningful games late into the year. Unfortunately, Daboll does not have the roster to start competing early in year 1 but look for this team to compete all season long. Always keep an eye out on teams with new head coaches to see if their team either quits on him or plays hard until the final whistle. Tennessee, on the other hand, has been a playoff contender in every year under HC Mike Vrabel and don’t be surprised to find them in that situation again as they look to bounce back from a tough playoff loss last year against Cincinnati. Derrick Henry returns from injury and sets his eyes on trying to get back to 2000 rushing yards. Titans win this game but spread seems too tight to play.

The Play: Over 43.5

Las Vegas Raiders (0-0) at Los Angeles Chargers (0-0)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/11

Line: Chargers -3

O/U: 52

Justin Herbert and company watched on the sidelines in dismay as their playoff hopes faded away last year against the Raiders as Daniel Carlson kicked a game winning field goal to send them home. Redemption will be spelled LAC come Sunday afternoon as Herbert will lead this high explosive offense to a Week 1 win against their AFC West Rivals. Las Vegas will be running out not only a new head coach but offensive weapon as they acquired WR Devante Adams this offseason to reunite with his Fresno State QB Derek Carr. Las Vegas contains all the weapons to provide explosion on offense but I don’t see the weapons necessary to slow down Los Angeles over the course of 60 minutes. Over is in play here but backing Herbert instead.

The Play: Chargers -3

Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) at Arizona Cardinals (0-0)

When: 4:25 PM on 9/11

Line: Chiefs -4.5

O/U: 53.5

Be on the lookout for fireworks in Arizona as this game has the highest total on the slate this weekend. Both teams have young, exciting QBs under center in Kyler Murray and Patrick Mahomes. Each QB will be without their primary target from last year as Chief’s traded WR Tyreek Hill to Miami this offseason and Cardinals Deandre Hopkins will be serving a 6 game suspension. Kansas City utilized their 2 first round picks in last year’s NFL Draft by double dipping on the defensive side of the ball trying to provide stops so that their high-powered offense can have more opportunities to score. I will put my faith in former MVP Patrick Mahomes and future Hall of Fame coach Andy Reid as opposed to a Cardinals team who fell apart down the stretch last year. 

The Play: Chiefs -4.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) at Dallas Cowboys (0-0)

When: 8:20 PM on 9/11

Line: Buccaneers -2

O/U: 50

The first Sunday of the NFL season will come to a close as last year’s first game takes center stage. I know that Tom Brady is invincible but at some point the decline has to take place. A weird offseason is an understatement for Tampa Bay as the following series of events took place: Tom Brady retires, Tom Brady unretires, HC Bruce Arians retires, and Tom Brady leaves training camp for over a week prior to season starting. These events alone are strange but all taking place with the same team seem even more odd. Brady logged over 700 pass attempts last year and most likely will near the 650 mark again as Tampa Bay loves to air it out on offense. Dallas has a rather boom or bust defense and combining that with Dallas’ ability to throw the ball downfield gives me an easy side for this one.

The Play: Over 50

Denver Broncos (0-0) at Seattle Seahawks (0-0

When: 8:15 PM on 9/12

Line: Broncos -6

O/U: 43

2022’s QB Carousel finally comes to an end with the final game of Week 1 showcasing Russel Wilson with his new team on the road against his former. We should see two totally different play styles Monday night as Denver will let Russ cook while Seattle will most likely try to control the ground game and play tough nosed defense. Denver provides Russ with all of the weapons he needs as he guns for his first MVP (vote) and another look at a deep playoff run. Seattle will sure to be rocking as the 12th man will play a factor but remember Russ isn’t a stranger in this stadium. He should have his team prepared for the noise and for their opponent as he’ll be sure to show off why Seattle should have never let him go.

The Play: Denver -6

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 2

By Nick Radivoj

The College Football season is officially underway as Week 1 is in the books. We finished off Week 1 at 5-5 losing a little bit on the juice. I’m not sure which hurts more: feeling as if you are on the right side of the game but end up losing, or being completely wrong and missing big time. On to Week 2 to get us all in the win column!

#1 Alabama (1-0) at Texas (1-0)

When: 12 ET on 9/10

Line: Alabama -20

O/U: 65.5

Both teams showcased their high powered offenses last week as they each put up north of 50 points in their season home openers. This game highlights 2 highly touted QBs with Bryce Young and Redshirt Freshman Quinn Ewers. In his first outing wearing burnt orange, Ewers didn’t disappoint as he threw for over 200 yards along with 2 passing touchdowns and an interception. Bryce Young showed off why he was the Heisman winner last year as he accumulated 6 total touchdowns on the day. The key to the game will boil down to turnovers. Ewers has a gunslinging reputation which could lead to turnovers providing the Tide a short field and easy path to score. Alabama shouldn’t face too much difficulty on offense as Texas doesn’t have the guys yet to slow down this offense. The over can very well be in play here depending if Texas can score over 20.

The play: Alabama -20

#10 USC (1-0) at Stanford (1-0)

When: 7:30 PM ET on 9/10

Line: USC -9

O/u: 67

These aren’t your Trojans and Cardinals of old as both teams are looking to bounce back after a rocky 2021 campaign. The Lincoln Riley experience started off with fireworks in Southern California as the Trojans put up 66 points in Week 1. QB Caleb Williams seems to have Riley’s offensive plan under his belt as he nearly had a perfect day for his first start as a Trojan. Williams wasn’t the only Pac 12 QB to impress last Saturday as Stanford’s Tanner McKee threw for over 300 yards himself with the team logging almost 9 yards per play. Once again the key will come down to turnovers as Stanford put the ball on the ground 4 times last week against Colgate, losing 3 of them along with an interception in the air. Stanford will need to ensure the turnover battle stays close in this one in order to give themselves a chance against a Top 10 team. Ultimately, I’m looking towards Riley to have brought over that Big 12 defense as he did his high powered offense.

The Play: Over 67

South Carolina (1-0) at #16 Arkansas (1-0)

When: 12 PM ET on 9/10

Line: Arkansas -8.5

O/U: 53

QB KJ Jefferson looked like a seasoned vet with 4 total touchdowns as Arkansas managed to hold off Cincinnati at home last week. He seems to find himself at home with receivers named Trey as he gets himself a new target in Trey Knox (2 TDs Week 1) as he tries to replace production left by first round WR Treylon Burks. As par for the course this year, South Carolina trots out transfer QB Spencer Rattler as their new signal caller. Although the colors may have changed a little it seems that the QB underneath as not as we see more of the same from Rattler with 2 turnovers Week 1 against Georgia State. Coming off an emotional win from Week 1, Arkansas may come out a little slow but still can’t envision how they don’t handle their business at home.

The Play: Arkansas -8.5

Appalachian State (0-1) at #6 Texas A&M (1-0)

When: 3:30 ET on 9/10

Line: Texas A&M -19

O/U: 52.5

If only every game could be what last week’s North Carolina vs. Appalachian State showed off as they had a thrilling 63-61 final. Texas A&M, on the other hand, started off rather slowly as they held a 10-0 lead for what seemed like an eternity against Sam Houston but ultimately winning 31-0. TAMU HC Jimbo Fisher has made it crystal clear that Haynes King is his guy behind center as he provides a dual threat ability that defenses need to be on the lookout for. King’s final stat line reflected over 400 yards of total offense but will need to hone in this week as he threw 2 interceptions against Sam Houston. Part of me will be banking on the fact that the 12th man won’t play as big of a factor as Chase Brice is an experienced leader for Appalachian State. I believe Jimbo will look to give the fans some fireworks as they didn’t get the full show Week 1 and as long as Appalachian State can provide me some support this has the making of another high scoring affair. 

The Play: Over 52.5

#25 Houston (1-0) at Texas Tech (1-0)

When: 4 PM ET on 9/10

Line: Texas Tech -2.5

O/U: 65.5

If you are a college football fan craving some offense then seeing an over/under like this really gets you excited. A tale of two different opening weeks as Texas Tech handled business at home while Houston scratched and clawed their way to an overtime victory on the road against UTSA. Unfortunately, Texas Tech lost their starting QB Tyler Shough for what seems to be a few weeks due to injury. The Red Raiders didn’t have to look far for his replacement as the offense didn’t skip a beat as backup QB Donovan Smith came in relief to throw for 4 TDs. Always fun to root for the over in a game like this but would rather take the safe play.

The Play: Texas Tech -2.5

Arizona State (1-0) at #11 Oklahoma State (1-0)

When: 7:30 PM ET on 9/10

Line: Oklahoma State -11

O/U: 58

I hope you didn’t miss the offseason as you might be quite confused looking at these box scores from Week 1. Former Florida QB Emory Jones is the new leader of this Arizona State team as they look to come into Stillwater to provide one of the first big upsets of the year. Meanwhile, reliable Spencer Sanders is back at the helm for the Cowboys. Week 1 looked as if we had the Cowboys of old as they put up over 50 points while Sanders threw for over 400 yards. Arizona State’s Emory Jones brings the threat of not only in the air but rushing the ball as well as he showed off his wheels with 2 rushing touchdowns in Week 1. As many saw the gaudy 102 points combined in Oklahoma State’s first game, you may be scratching your heads as I lean the other way. I expect Mike Gundy to go back to his ways from last year of controlling the pace of play while letting his defense play clean football. Play it but don’t watch it as no one enjoys rooting for an under.

The Play: Under 58

#20 Kentucky (1-0) at #12 Florida (1-0)

When: 7 PM ET on 9/10

Line: Florida -5.5

O/U: 52.5

A great year to be a Gator fan as the city is getting spoiled as they host back to back Top 25 night games. As we thought last week, The Swamp will be rocking again to aid Florida in securing another Top 25 win under their belt. Depending how the season unfolds, Anthony Richardson and Will Levis could very well be potential 1st round picks in the 2023 NFL Draft. With that being said, I’m going to ride on the coattails of Levis here – if you are going to be that guy and be a potential top pick you need to be able to come in and have a statement game for your resume. He was able to knock the rust off in Week 1 and should be looking for a big start in The Swamp. Levis’ talent combined with a potential let down factor after a huge Florida victory last week. I’m cool with the Cats losing but let’s keep it close.

The Play: Kentucky +5.5

#24 Tennessee (1-0) at #17 Pittsburgh (1-0)

When: 3:30 PM ET on 9/10

Line: Tennessee -6.5

O/U: 66

Tennessee cracks their way into the Top 25 in Week 2 after a commanding win against Ball State. Honestly, what’s not to like about this team? Tennessee seems to be everyone’s darlings this year and potentially a team to give Georgia a run for their money down the road but first they need to handle their business before looking ahead. Another fun QB matchup with Kedon Slovis for Pittsburgh along with Hendon Hooker from Tennessee. Both teams have the ability here to put up some points on the board but as we saw last week Pat Narduzzi is fine playing a one score game while running the ball. While most are expecting fireworks, I’m trending for the exact opposite.

The Play: Under 66

#9 Baylor (1-0) at #21 BYU (1-0)

When: 10:15 PM ET on 9/10

Line: BYU -3.5

O/U: 53.5

Nothing quite like getting College Football after dark. This game will mark the last time that these two schools will square off as non-conference opponents as BYU is set to join the Big 12 next year. All eyes will be set on BYU Jaren Hall as the QB picked up right where he left off last year in BYU’s Week 1 victory. I expect Baylor HC Dave Aranda to scheme up some clever defenses to confuse Hall but BYU is coming into this game with something to prove both for next year joining the Big 12 and this year gaining more respect with a higher ranking.

The Play: Over 53.5

Arkansas State (1-0) at #3 Ohio State (1-0)

When: 12 PM ET on 9/10

Line: Ohio State -43 

O/U: 68.5

Although winning against a Top 5 team in Week 1, Ohio State slides in the rankings from 2 to 3. This could be because Georgia looked every bit the reigning National Champions that they did or that people were underwhelmed by the Buckeyes showing like I was. The defense for Ohio State held up their end of the bargain last Saturday night but the offense underwhelmed for 3 quarters to say the least. I expect Ryan Day to give the fans a show of what this offense has the potential to do as we’ve grown accustomed to seeing them put up 50+ against weaker opponents. 

The Play: Ohio State -43