By: Nick Radivoj

Week 13 is here as we wave goodbye to the Cardinals and Panthers for one week as they enjoy their Winter Break hopefully on a beach somewhere. The ball did not bounce our way Week 12 as we ended up going 7-9 bringing our season total to 91-54-4 (51.7%) on the year. A lot of great NFL action ahead of us with several opportunities to take advantage of value plays so let’s not waste any time as we dive right in to Week 13.

Buffalo Bills (8-3) at New England Patriots (6-5)

When: 8:15 PM on 12/1

Line: Bills -5

O/U: 43.5

An exciting AFC East divisional matchup is set for a Thursday Night Football matchup between a team fighting for the #1 seed and a team fighting to get into the big dance. I’m grabbing the number here with the Patriots at home as they will need to throw the kitchen sink at the Bills in order to get an upset. Buffalo has looked more vulnerable over the past month of football and I expect New England to give a heavy dose of Rhomandre Stevenson throughout the night. I believe over is a good play here as well as New England’s defense looks more human after Minnesota’s offensive explosion against them on Thanksgiving night.

The Play: Patriots +5

Pittsburgh Steelers (4-7) at Atlanta Falcons (5-7)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Steelers -1

O/U: 43

I will be laying the points here with the road team as Pittsburgh gets hot coming off a MNF win against Indy. Pittsburgh has too many offensive weapons for Atlanta to quiet down all afternoon which will lead to the Steelers soaring over 20 points. TJ Watt is back and so is a scary defense in Pittsburgh as the whole nature of the defense is different with him in the lineup. I expect heavy pressure all day on Marcus Mariota and potentially a few turnovers which will account for some easy scores for Kenny Pickett.

The Play: Steelers -1

Green Bay Packers (4-8) at Chicago Bears (3-9)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Packers -3

O/U: 42.5

Aaron Rodgers or Jordan Love? Either way no problem. Chicago has a bottom tier defense which Green Bay should be able to capitalize on. I believe that Justin Fields may not be back for this game either as there is no need to rush him back from injury with nothing to play for down the stretch here. Chicago is already down their top receiving option in Darnell Mooney who suffered a season ending ankle injury so adding a long term Fields’ injury on top of that by rushing him back wouldn’t be great news for a young Chicago team. If Fields does end up playing I love this play a little less but still feel that Green Bay will come out victorious in either outcome.

The Play: Packers -3

Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7) at Detroit Lions (4-7)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Lions -1

O/U: 51.5

Not many times you can find me suggesting a Detroit Lions under and you won’t find it here either. Detroit’s defense has been better as of late but if Trevor Lawrence is build off his last game throwing over 300 yards and 3 touchdowns last week then I feel good. Detroit will provide what we have seen most all season on offense which is explosion from an exciting and unique offense. Be on the lookout for redzone to jump over to this game a lot throughout the afternoon as a shootout should be in store for these two young teams.

The Play: Over 51.5

New York Jets (7-4) at Minnesota Vikings (9-2)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Vikings -3

O/U: 45.5

Under is the play here as New York has shown to have a top defense in the NFL which should be up for the task in slowing down Justin Jefferson and this Minnesota explosive offense. I don’t expect Mike White’s offensive output to continue as he was able to go up against a bottom tier defense I Chicago last week. Minnesota is different than Chicago both in terms of talent on defense and location. Location may seem like a weird thing to lock in on but Minnesota has one of the best home field advantages in football which should throw some confusion at a relatively young New York offense.

The Play: Under 45.5

Washington Commanders (7-5) at New York Giants (7-4)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Commanders -2.5

O/U: 40.5

NFC East divisional match up which could go a long way in determining who ends up making the playoffs later in the season. New York has the injury bug at wide receiver as they will be without 3 of their top options on the outside. New York’s biggest threat on offense is their star RB in Saquon Barkley which is surprisingly good news for Washington. Washington has one of the best defensive lines in football which should be up for the task in slowing down New York. Meanwhile, Washington has a nice plethora of weapons on the outside to attack New York deep and expose their outside corners. If it wasn’t obvious enough already I will be laying the points with the road team here.

The Play: Commanders -2.5

Tennessee Titans (7-4) at Philadelphia Eagles (10-1)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Eagles -5.5

O/U: 44.5

Philadelphia has one of the best records in football but has shown some vulnerability over the past few weeks of football. Ever since Jordan Davis went down with injury Philly’s run defense has been susceptible against both Washington and Green Bay over the past couple of weeks. I expect a heavy dose of Derrick Henry in this contest and the Titans try to control the clock and the game. Philly is a run first type of team and Tennessee has a very stout defensive line which should be up for the task here led by Jeffrey Simmons. If this doesn’t get ugly fast I have confidence in Tennessee to keep this one within the number. If Philly jumps out to a big lead all bets are off if Ryan Tannehill has to play catch up.

The Play: Titans +5.5

Denver Broncos (3-8) at Baltimore Ravens (7-4)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Ravens -8

O/U: 38.5

I have flipped multiple times in this contest as I originally laid the points with Baltimore then came back to potentially play the under. Ultimately, I land on the home team laying the points here as Baltimore wins by double digits. My biggest fear in this match up is that Baltimore will have a double digit lead late as each of their losses have come at the hands of losing a double digit lead late. Luckily, Baltimore will be tasked with stopping one of the worst defenses in the NFL in Denver. Denver is unable to string together plays for long drives and don’t have explosion o offense to score in 1 play. Baltimore should be able to control the ground game similarly to how Carolina did last week against Denver at home. Lamar and company earn their 8^th win of the season as Denver falls yet again.

The Play: Ravens -8

Cleveland Browns (4-7) at Houston Texans (1-9-1)

When: 1 PM on 12/4

Line: Browns -7

O/U: 47

11 week suspension is up and Deshaun Watson is officially cleared to play again in the NFL. I’m excited to see how this game pans out as Watson returns to Houston where he spent every year of his career so far. I expect a blow out from Cleveland here as they will be too much to handle for Houston both offensively and defensively. Kyle Allen started for Houston last week and looked rather lost out there as Miai was able to pressure Allen all throughout the afternoon. I expect Myles Garrett to have the same kind of impact in this one as turnovers should be in order for this Cleveland defense.

The Play: Browns -7

Seattle Seahawks (6-5) at Los Angeles Rams (3-8)

When: 4:05 PM on 12/4

Line: Seahawks -8

O/U: 41.5

This will be short and sweet as I lay the points with Seattle on the road. The amount of players not playing for Los Angeles will be too much to overcome as they will be without Cooper Kupp, Allen Robinson, a majority of their offensive line starters, Matthew Stafford, and Aaron Donald in this one. Seattle has dropped 2 straight as they became the hunted as opposed to the hunter and need to establish that they are a team to be feared going into their late season push.

The Play: Seahawks -8

Miami Dolphins (8-3) at San Francisco 49ers (47-4)

When: 4:05 PM on 12/4

Line: 49ers -3.5

O/U: 46.5

The apprentice meets the master in this one as former OC for the 49esrs Mike McDaniel comes back to California to upset the home favorites. Unfortunately, Miami will be without one of their prized offseason acquisitions in Terron Armstead. This is a rather big loss as Armstead has been one of the best OTs in football when playing this year. Without him, I expect constant pressure coming from the left side as Nick Bosa will be challenging to block single handed. Double teams are sure to be in order all afternoon for Mr. Bosa. I expect Miami to stay away from the run game and attack San Francisco through the air with their speed demons they have on the outside. 49ers on offense will be able to attack Miami through the air as well as Miami has had difficulty stopping tight ends this year. I expect a big game from George Kittle and Miami’s top WR’s as this one goes flying over the total.

The Play: Over 46.5

Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (7-4)

When: 4:25 PM on 12/4

Line: Chiefs –2.5

O/U: 52.5

A rather easy one here for me as Kansas City looks for their redemption from last year as they dropped 2 pivotal games against Cincinnati last year. If Kansas City loses this game not only does their confidence shake in terms of beating Cincy but they will have lost the #1 seed in the playoffs with 5 games left to play if Buffalo beats New England on Thursday night. Andy Reid will have the team up and ready to play for this one with an improved defense to help stop Joe Burrow and company.  If you would rather stick away from a side then the over would be a fun and exciting way to keep in touch with what’s happening in this one.

The Play: Chiefs -2.5

Los Angeles Chargers (6-5) at Las Vegas Raiders (4-7)

When: 4:25 PM on 12/4

Line: Chargers -2

O/U: 50.5

Most of me wanted to lay the points here with Justin Herbert and the Chargers but I ultimately land on the over. I believe Josh Jacobs will have a field day against Los Angeles run defense as long as he comes into the game healthy. Las Vegas can pair their ground game nicely with Devante Adams outside to put up north of 20 points in this one. Meanwhile, Chargers will be able to move the ball on Las Vegas’ defense as Seattle easily threw up over 30 last weekend. Justin Herbert throws for 3 touchdowns again and continue their playoff push.

The Play: Over 50.5

Indianapolis Colts (4-7-1) at Dallas Cowboys (8-3)

When: 8:20 PM on 12/4

Line: Cowboys -11

O/U: 44

Dallas has looked every bit the part of a Super Bowl contender throughout this year. They have a top defense behind young players like Micah Parsons and Trevon Diggs. When Dallas’ offense gets clicking with the weapons they have paired with their defense they will be a tough out late in the season as playoffs game around. I expect Dallas’ defense to shut down what little offense Indy has and for Dallas to build up a lead to take the air out of the ball in the second half. Dallas reaches the 20 point threshold but their top defense quiets Indy to under 17 as we land an under win.

The Play: Under 44

New Orleans Saints (4-8) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6)

When: 8:15 PM on 12/5

Line: Buccaneers -3.5

O/U: 40

Both offenses have looked rather pedestrian over the past month or so of football but we stand here on Monday Night Football to play the over. These 2 teams know each other and know what the other is best at. New Orleans won’t waste their time trying to run the ball against Tampa and will air the ball out to attack the weakest part of their defense being their back end. Meanwhile, Tampa has found a better compliment of the run and pass game as of late and depending on which New Orleans defense shows up they could have their way on offense with their top weapons outside.

The Play: Over 40

By: Nick Radivoj

We are on to Week 12 action as we welcome back the Buccaneers, Dolphins, Jaguars, and Seahawks from bye. Week 11 ended up being a wash of a weekend as we ended up 6-7-1 on the weekend bringing our season total to 84-76-5 (52.5%) on the year. We have no one on bye this week as everyone will be joining in on the Thanksgiving festivities. 16 games of action to get to with little time to waste so let’s dive right in!

Buffalo Bills (7-3) at Detroit Lions (4-6)

When: 12:30 PM on 11/24

Line: Bills -9

O/U: 54

Start your Thanksgiving off right laying the points here with the Buffalo Bills. Buffalo shouldn’t be strained too much on the offensive end as I’m expecting north of 30 this Turkey day from the team in Western New York. Detroit’s defense has been better as of late but should get exposed here by a Buffalo team with a Top 5 offense in the NFL behind Josh Allen. Detroit has displayed their offensive capabilities throughout the season but I expect a Leslie Frazier led defense to pull together a few stops in time for Buffalo to build upon a 2 or even 3 score lead. I would make sure to fill up your Thanksgiving plate to kick back and watch what should be a high scoring game for the first of 3 NFL Thanksgving games.

The Play: Bills -9

New York Giants (7-3) at Dallas Cowboys (7-3)

When: 4:30 PM on 11/24

Line: Cowboys -9

O/U: 44.5

Enjoy America’s team with a big plate of Turkey and sides as the Thanksgiving meals should be underway by the team this game gets underway. Unfortunately, I will be playing under in this game as I expect Dallas to run away and hide in this game as New York lost yet another offensive weapon in Wandale Robinson last week. Dallas will focus in on elite RB Saquon Barkley but after that don’t face many threats with this New York team. Although I’m playing the under I would even recommend laying the points here with Dallas as I think their combination of offensive skill players with an exciting defense will be too much for New York to overcome.

The Play: Under 44.5

New England Patriots (6-4) at Minnesota Vikings (8-2)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/24

Line: Vikings -2.5

O/U: 42.5

I originally leaned towards laying the points with the home team here in the final of 3 tNFL Thanksgiving games but landed on under instead. Under is the play because New England has a snail’s pace of an offense but combined with a top defense along with defensive mind should equal a quiet afternoon for this Vikings team that was just stifled by Dallas all afternoon to the tune of a 40-3 loss. New England will have a plan to double or even triple star WR Justin Jeffersson all afternoon and with the health of LT Christian Darrisaw up in the air could lean to a long day for Kirk Cousins. New England should be able to score a few touchdowns on offense as opposed to last week here but still any drive they do have resulting in points will surely bleed the clock dry.

The Play: Under 42.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-5) at Cleveland Browns (3-7)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Buccaneers -3

O/U: 42.5

Buccaneers come off their week of rest to head on the road to face Jacoby Brissett for the final time this season as Deshaun Watson’s suspension is set to be over following this game. I lean on laying the points here with the road team as it appears that the offense has found their stride over the past game showing a more well rounded rushing attack to pair with their passing game. Tampa is more vulnerable through the air on defense versus the ground game which Cleveland will attempt to establish over the course of the afternoon through Nick Chubb. Chubb will be welcomed by a brick wall of Buccaneers having no fun over the course of the afternoon. Bucs win again as they strengthen their hold on a weak NFC South.

The Play: Buccaneers -2.5

Cincinnati Bengals (6-4) at Tennessee Titans (7-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Bengals -1.5

O/U: 42.5

A rematch of the AFC Divisional round from last year is set to go underway Sunday in Tennessee as the Titans are looking for redemption from last years late game collapse. Ryan Tannehill will be looking for redemption himself as his multiple interceptions last year were a leading cause of Tennessee falling to Cincy in last years playoff run. Tennessee should still own the point of attack with their talented defensive line but I believe Cincy will be able to take advantage of Tennessee’s secondary throughout the afternoon. Keep an eye out on Ja’Marr Chase as he is set to return to practice this week and could end up playin gin this game as well. Cincy’s defense is a far cry away from what they shouwed on their playoff run last year giving up 30 to a quiet Steelers’ offense last week. I’m excited to watch this game to see who ends up victorious as I will be staying off either side but playing the over as Tennessee’s offense has something to prove.

The Play: Over 42.5

Houston Texans (1-8-1) at Miami Dolphins (7-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Dolphins -13

O/U: 46

Miami comes off their week of rest to welcome in a Houston team with only 1 win on the year. I originally started breaking down this game aiming towards taking the over here but the more and more I talked about Miami’s offense against Houston’s defense I found myself laying the points with the home team. I figured Miami’s explosive offense will easily find themselves swimming north of 30 and unless Houston starts to show some explosion on offense that we haven’t seen all year then Miami should win here by multiple scores. Miami scores over 30 while Houston doesn’t cross through the “teens”.

The Play: Dolphins -13

Chicago Bears (3-8) at New York Jets (6-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Jets -4.5

O/U: 41

The squeaky wheel gets the grease and I think that is what will happen here for the New York Jets. Zach Wilson is coming off one of his worst performances as a professional QB and will look to bounce back against Chicago who has one of the worst defenses in the NFL. New York has shown that they have a top tier defense and needs an offense capable to score points to both keep them in games and win them late as they fell 10-3 last week to the Patriots with a touchdown coming late in the contest via special teams for New England. I think this could be one of Zach Wilson’s last games as a starter if he doesn’t come out looking great. Note: keep an eye out on the health of Justin Fields as he currently has a sprained shoulder and could be sitting out this game to recover.

The Play: Jets -4.5

Atlanta Falcons (5-6) at Washington Commanders (6-5)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Commanders -4

O/U: 42

Washington has been on a roll as of late and I think that trend continues as they take down the Falcons at home. What leads me to the Commanders here is the fact that they will be without one of their top receiving options in TE Kyle Pitts as he found his way on injured reserve. Atlanta is already a team that doesn’t pass the ball well and without Pitts they don’t look scary on that front. Washington has one of the best defensive lines in football and has been stifling rushing offenses for a better part of this season and should quiet Atlanta’s rushing attack throughout the afternoon. With all of the weapons they have on offense, Washington should find themselves with scoring opportunities against Atlanta while finding themselves now 2 games above .500.

The Play: Commanders -4

Denver Broncos (3-7) at Carolina Panthers (3-8)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Broncos -2.5

O/U: 36

Here is the game I hope to not have anywhere on my screen over the course of Sunday afternoon. I will keep this one short and simple as I will laythe points again here with Denver (they can’t let me down every week can they). It seems as if the playcalling duties have switched hands in Denver and that possibly can change the fortune of their offense going forward. I trust Denver’s defense to hush whatever Carolina has to offer and as long as Denver’s offense can put up a mere 17 they should find themselves with a win and the cover.

The Play: Broncos -2.5

Baltimore Ravens (7-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-7)

When: 1 PM on 11/27

Line: Ravens -4

O/U: 43.5

Baltimore’s offense has seemed to have lost their way as the explosion we saw at the beginning of the season has been nowhere to be found as of late. Jacksonville comes back from a week of bye rest to welcome in Baltimore. I was originally slated to take the under here in this game but landed on taking the points with the home underdog. I think Coach Doug Pederson will have a good game plan designed to pick apart at Baltimore’s weaknesses. Jacksonville has shown to be a better team than last year but unable to close games late which is perfect as I grab 4 points. Baltimore ultimately wins this game late with a Justin Tucker field goal helping them win on the road but helping us get to the window with the underdog.

The Play: Jaguars +4

Los Angeles Chargers (5-5) at Arizona Cardinals (4-7)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/27

Line: Chargers -4.5

O/U: 47.5

Chargers offense seems to have found their stride with the return of Keenan Allen and breakout of WR Josh Palmer on Sunday night against Kansas City. Justin Herbert will be leaned on heavily down the stretch run for Los angeles as they try to make a playoff push. Chargers defense has shown to be shaky at best over the course of the season being decimated by injuries. I wish I could throw a disclaimer on this play with the health of Kyler Murray still in question but feel confident on this over total if the franchise QB is able to suit up in this ocontest.

The Play: Over 47.5

Las Vegas Raiders (3-7) at Seattle Seahawks (6-4)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/27

Line: Seahawks -3.5

O/U: 47.5

Seattle welcomes in in Las Vegas after having a week of rest to prepare for this game coming off their bye week. I believe Seattle will be up and ready for this game which is why I will lay the points. Seattle’s defense has been a nice surprise as they have found some late gems in the draft to bolster their back end of their defense, but the main reason I find myself laying the points here is because of their offense. I believe in Geno Smith and the numerous weapons he has on the outside paired with the breakout of RB Kenneth Walker will be too much for this Vegas team to stop. The line ends up just right as the Seahawks win by 4 late in the second half.

The Play: Seahawks -3.5

Los Angeles Rams (3-7) at Kansas City Chiefs (8-2)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/27

Line: Chiefs -14.5

O/U: 44

What looked like once a great game on paper prior to the start of the season now looks like an overwhelming game with Chiefs slotted to win big. Rather than laying the points with the Chiefs I will be playing the under as I figure that Kansas City will be up quick and rather than run up the score they will burn clock over the course of Sunday afternoon and get out of dodge under the total. I don’t expect a lot from Los Angeles on offense as they are without their best offesnvie weapon still in Cooper Kupp and are slated to be without starting QB Matthew Stafford yet again. Not a whole lot to break down on offense for the Rams here as this one shouldn’t be close.

The Play: Under 44

New Orleans Saints (4-7) at San Francisco 49ers (6-4)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/27

Line: 49ers -9

O/U: 43

It looks as if the 49ers have finally figured I tout on offense as they put up 38 points on Monday night in Mexico against their division rival Arizona Cardinals. I expect more of the same here for San Francisco as they should find themselves close to 30 again if not over and with a New Orleans team who isn’t afraid to throw the ball deep they should help us get over the total in this one. My only fear in this game is that an elite San Francisco defense shows up yet again and quiets New Orleans to under 14 points which will find us under the total, but ultimately believe that garbage time will be our friend.

The Play: Over 43

Green Bay Packers (4-7) at Philadelphia Eagles (9-1)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/27

Line: Eagles -7

O/U: 46.5

One of the hardest games of the weekend to break down as the line and total seem right on point. I finally landed on playing the over as Philly will get their offense back on track with Aaron Rodgers trying to play hero ball late. Not in love with this play at all as I can also see how this one goes comfortably under the total here. The more I continue to think the more I continue to doubt so will keep this one short and sweet as both teams find themselves above 20 in this contest helping us secure the over.

The Play: Over 46.5

Pittsburgh Steelers (3-7) at Indianapolis Colts (4-6-1)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/28

Line: Colts -2.5

O/U: 39

A thriller is slated for us on Monday night as two offensive powerhouses should combine for what is figured to be a great game. April fools. I’m playing the under here as we’ve seen the type of football that Indy wants to play under Jeff Saturday as they want to run the ball grind out the clock to put themselves in a position to win it late. I expect a heavy dose of Jonathan Taylor in this game and now that TJ Watt is back for Pittsburgh the elite defense is back as well. Both defenses are great and I expect the punters to be more involved than the field goal kickers in this one as they play ping pong back and forth throughout Monday night trying to pin the offenses deep in their own territory.

The Play: Under 39

By: Nick Radivoj

We are on to Week 11 of NFL action as we welcome back from bye the Bengals, Patriots, Jets, and Ravens. We wave farewell to the Dolphins, Seahawks, Buccaneers, and Jaguars for a week as they look to unwind with a nice drink on the beaches of Mexico. Week 10 brought us good fortune as we end up going 10-4 on the week bringing out season total to 78-69-4 (53%) on the year. Even though we are missing my Miami Dolphins for Week 11 there is still a lot of exciting action to be seen so let’s not waste any time tas we jump right in.

Tennessee Titans (6-3) at Green Bay Packers (4-6)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/17

Line: Packers -3

O/U: 41.5

I wouldn’t quite count out the Packers just yet as they have a chance to make a fun towards one of the Wildcard teams in a weak NFC. The defensive game plan should be simple here for Green Bay as they should load the box to stop Derrick Henry and force Ryan Tannehill to beat you downfield. I loved this line when it was Green Bay -1 but still feel as if the Packers will come out victorious here by 4 and get their season back on track. Green Bay will lean on their ground game here to keep a strong Tennessee defensive line at bay led by star Defensive Tackel Jeffrey Simmons. Simmons can turn just about any game plan upside down with his pressure coming from the inside but as long as Green Bay is able to establish the run and let Aaron Rodgers facilitate to his playmakers outside then this one should get us to the window.

The Play: Packers -3

Chicago Bears (3-7) at Atlanta Falcons (4-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Falcons -3

O/U: 50

The script has flipped for Chicago as they started the year off sluggish on offenser but have since found their groove scoring 28 or more in their last 4 games. Justin Fields has shown to be a threat with his legs as he’s able to break away from defenders in the open field with his blazing speed. I would normally play the over here given that Chicago has one of the worst defenses in the NFL but don’t think Atlanta’s offense has enough firepower to take advantage. I’m playing the Bears with the points here as I grab a key number of 3 looking towards Chicago to keep this one close with a field goal late deciding the winner.

The Play: Bears +3

Cleveland Browns (3-6) at Buffalo Bills (6-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Bills -8.5

O/U: 43.5

I would keep an eye out on the weather forecast in Western New York come Sunday afternoon as this total has already moved 3.5 points because of over 3 feet of snow predicted in the forecast. If the snow comes then that would point towards this game being controlled more on the ground than through the air which favors the Browns here who have one of the best rushing attacks in the NFL bolstered by RB Nick Chubb. Buffalo is built to play through the air utilizing on eof the best quarterbacks in the league in Josh Allen. Snow will surely have an ipact on the passing attack and with Buffalo’s rushing attack being one of the worst in the NFL that leads me to grabbing the points here with Cleveland. Note: Buffalo’s run offense isn’t strong on paper as they lean on Josh Allen and the passing game to do most of their work for them.

The Play: Browns +8.5

Philadelphia Eagles (8-1) at Indianapolis Colts (4-5-1)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Eagles -6.5

O/U: 45

Finally, Washington takes down the undefeated Eagles in Week 10 as the 1972 Miami Dolphins can pop their champagne as they are still the only undefeated team in NFL history. Washington ran the ball on the Eagles over 40 times Monday night owning the time of possession battle an dlimiting the amount of possessions Philadelphia’s explosive offense could have. Philly will still be without DT Jordan Davis in this one which is a big concern as their rushing defense greatly drops when they are without the rookie defensive lineman. I believe the Eagles win this one but Indy will follow the same recipe that Washington did on Monday night giving a heavy dose of Jonathan Taylor to this Eagles defense. Eagles get back in the win column but Interim HC Jeff Saturday is 2-0 against the spread.

The Play: Colts +6.5

New York Jets (6-3) at New England Patriots (5-4)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Patriots -3

O/U: 38.5

Both teams should be coming into this one well rested a they are coming off a Week 10 bye. This will be their second time playing this year with the first going New England’s way late in the second half. This game will depend mightily on the shoulders and mind of QB Zach Wilson. Wilson has been prone to costly turnovers over the course of his young career but if he is able to minimize those mistakes then New York should find themselves within the number here and even in the winners circle. Under is also a good play here with both defenses being strong but with it being difficult to beat teams twice in the NFL I ultimately land on grabbing the points with the road dog.

The Play: Jets +3

Los Angeles Rams (3-6) at New Orleans Saints (3-7)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Saints -4

O/U: 38.5

When you thought Los Angeles season couldn’t get any worse they are hit with new s of Coope rKupp heading to the IR for a minimum of 4 weeks. Ultimately, I expect Kupp to be shut down for the rest of the season because in 4 weeks time the Rams should be nearing elimination for the playoffs and shouldn’t risk further injury from their star WR. Luckily for the Rams, they should be getting their star QB back as Matthew Stafford is set to return from injury but is welcomed by an offense without his morning cup of coffee friend. New Orleans should be able to quiet a stagnant Rams offense throughout the afternoon and once the Saints get a lead behind their offensive weapons they will end up taking the air out of the football getting out of dodge with a win and an under victory. 2022 season is over for Los Angeles but they pushed all of their chips in to secure a Super Bowl last year so who really can complain.

The Play: Under 38.5

Detroit Lions (3-6) at New York Giants (7-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Giants -3

O/U: 46

The Play: Over 46

Carolina Panthers (3-7) at Baltimore Ravens (6-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Ravens -12

O/U: 43

The bye week came at a great time for Baltimore as they have been it with the injury bug an offense over the past few weeks. I expect Coach Harbaugh to have a good game plan to face off against poor Panthers team which is looking more into 2023 than this year. Carolina will look to establish the ground game and if Baltimore is successful in shutting that down then they should have a relatively easy afternoon making QB PJ Walker beat them through the air. I normally hate laying a spread this high but see value in a well rested Ravens team putting it to a bottom feeder team in the Panthers right now.

The Play: Ravens -12

Washington Commanders (5-5) at Houston Texans (1-7-1)

When: 1 PM on 11/20

Line: Commanders -3

O/U: 40.5

Commanders take down the once undefeated Eagles on Monday night football and now travel on the road to face a bad Houston team. Houston has one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL which should see a heavy dose of both Brian Robinson Jr and Antonio Gibson throughout the afternoon as Washington will look to get themselves above .500 and back in the playoff push. Washington rushed over 40 times against the Eagles and I expect more of the same here against Houston. Washington’s defense is vulnerable more through the air as opposed to the ground game as they have one of the better defensive lines in the league but I don’t see Davis Mills being able to take advantage of a skeptical Washington secondary.

The Play: Commanders -3

Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) at Denver Broncos (3-6)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/20

Line: Broncos -2.5

O/U: 41.5

I end up shocking myself here as I’m laying the points here with Denver as opposed to playing the under which I have grown accustomed to in Broncos games. I expect star DB Patrick Surtain to end up following WR Devante Adams over the course of the afternoon quieting Derek Carr’s favorite target. One of the main reasons I love the Broncos in this spot her is the home field advantage of the altitude. Denver is used to their altitude as they deal with it on a daily asis but road teams coming in get wiped out from the altitude and end up drained come 4^th quarter which is when Denver will secure this win for us. Denver will be without WR Jerry Jeudy which isn’t great for an already shaky offense but I will put my faith in Russel Wilson to make enough plays late to get us to the window.

The Play: Broncos -2.5

Dallas Cowboys (6-3) at Minnesota Vikings (8-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/20

Line: Cowboys -1

O/U: 47.5

Trends are meant to be broken. A year ago Minnesota was victim to falling short in 1 score games but the script has flipped as they have dominated in that category so far thi season. They managed to escape out of Buffalo with a win after trailing by 3 scores late in the 3^rd quarter. They have an exciting offense headlined by star WR Justin Jefferson who very well may have earned himself the title of best WR in the NFL. I’m looking forward to the matchup between Jefferson and star DB Trevon Diggs. Both teams are coming off overtime games last week which should lead to some exhaustion playing another 10 minutes of brutal football. Cowboys fell short to Green Baay last weekend but find themselves back in the win column as they take down  one of the top dogs in the NFC.

The Play: Cowboys -1

Cincinnati Bengals (5-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/20

Line: Bengals -5

O/U: 41

TJ Watt is back for Pittsburgh and seems like he hasn’t missed a beat helping the Steelers overcome New Orleans last week at home. Cincy will still be without star WR Ja’Marr Chase here as he is still recovering from an injury suffered a month earlier. I expect the Steelers defense to have a great impact on this game similarly to what they did to Joe Burrow and Cincy earlier in the season in Week 1. Even without Chase, Cincy has playmakers sprinkled throughout their offense which makes them difficult to stop but have shown to be stagnant at times. Under is also a good play here with Pittsburgh having a great defense combined with a relatively robust offense behind rookie QB Kenny Pickett. Pickett has shown flashes of excellence but quickly followed by rookie mistakes which makes it hard to back Pittsburgh’s offense. Cincy comes back to Ohio with a win but fail to cover.

The Play: Steelers +5

Kansas City Chiefs (7-2) at Los Angeles Chargers (5-4)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/20

Line: Chiefs -7.5

O/U: 50

We are getting close to having must win games for Los Angeles here soon as a loss here will bring the Bolts back down to .500 and in jeopardy of falling further in the standings. Both WR’s Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are practicing this week for Los Angeles and eyeing a return to action Sunday Night against Kansas City but another week of rest could be beneficial for both players with their given injuries. Similarly to last Sunday night, I will be grabbing the touchdown number here plsu the hook as I believe Justin Herbert and the Chargers keep this one within one score with the winner being decided late in the 4^th quarter. Injuries have decimated this Chargers season thus far but with a win here they find themselves right back into the thick of it for the late season playoff push.

The Play: Chargers +7.5

San Francisco 49ers (5-4) at Arizona Cardinals (4-6)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/21 (Mexico)

Line: 49ers -8

O/U: 43.5

We had outside of the United States yet again as these NFC West rivals head down to Mexico city fo this contest. It’s looking like Arizona will be without their franchise QB yet agin as Kyler Murray looks to be sidelined with injury. I was planning on grabbing the points with the underdog if Kyler wound up playing aswe’ve seen this elite 49ers defense to struggle some against QBs who can make plays with their legs and go off script. Ultimately, I landed on the under here as 49ers should be able to hush Arizona’s offense with a backup QB at the helm. With not a lot of threat in a shootout I expect 49ers to run the ball while on offense to kill clock and shorten the game quickly behind the use of Christian Mccaffrey and Elijah Mitchell. Mexico unfortunately gets a snooze fest as we find ourselves with an under ticket in hand.

The Play: Cardinals +8

By: Nick Radivoj

We are officially into Week 10 action as we welcome the Broncos, Browns, Cowboys, Giants, Steelers, and 49ers from their bye. We wave goodbye to the Bengals, Jets, Patriots , and Ravens to their bye week and to Week 9 overall as we went 5-7-1 on the weekend bringing out season total to 68-65-4 (51%) on the year. We have been hovering near the 50% mark throughout the year so let’s dive into Week 10 to take us over the hump.

Atlanta Falcons (4-5) at Carolina Panthers (2-7)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/10

Line: Falcons -3

O/U: 44

PJ Walker gets the nod again to start at QB for the Panthers which surprisingly may be a good thing for this offense. He has shown flashes of good play but we see in the end why he isn’t an NFL starting QB. I will be grabbing the points here with the Panthers at home to cover in a game in which they should have won against the Falcons 2 weeks ago. Both teams do not provide too much explosion on the offensive side of the ball so hopefully we can get an exciting Thursday Night Football game to keep us thrilled.

The Play: Panthers +3

Seattle Seahawks (6-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5)

When: 9:30 AM on 11/13 (Germany)

Line: Buccaneers -2.5

O/U: 44.5

The NFL heads over to Germany to showcase a Geno Smith versus Tom Brady matchup. Surprsignly, Seattle has been the better team this year behind a late career breakout from Geno Smith who has displayed a brilliant command of this offense utilizing his weapons outside and new toy in RB Kenneth Walker. Walker is always a threat to break off an explosive play but will be going up against an above average Bucs run defense. Tom Brady may have found something in TE Cade Ottin who helped them to take down The Rams last week at home providing a sparkto this Bucs offense.

The Play: Buccaneers -2.5

Minnesota Vikings (7-1) at Buffalo Bills (6-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Bills -6

O/U: 46

The football world took a deep breath in unison last week as Josh Allen suffered an injury to his UCL on his throwing arm in last weeks loss to the Jets. It looks like the injury won’t be too serious and that Allen will look to play through but I don’t expect this offense to bring back all of the explosive plays 1 week after suffering this injury. Buffalo is a tough place to play and DC Leslie Frazier for the Bills will have a good gameplan schemed up to slow down an exciting Vikings offense with Justin Jefferson and Dalvin Cook. I wish I could have offered an under earlier in the week with a key number of 47 and 48 available but still feel this goes under the total.

The Play: Under 46

Detroit Lions (2-6) at Chicago Bears (3-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Bears -3

O/U: 48.5

One of the most explosive offenses over the past month going up against one of the worst defenses in the NFL brings me to an easy pick as I will be playing the over here. Chicago has scored 29 points or more the past 3 games facing the Cowboys, Patriots, and Dolphins throughout that stretch and should find themselves north of 20 yet agin. Detroit was able to shut down a Packers offense last week but the numbers are misleading as Green Bay had 3 turnovers inside Detroits side of the field causing a misleading number. Detroit’s explosive offense has quieted down since what they showed earlier in the year bt are going up Chicago who isn’t the terrifying defense we all love and remember.

The Play: Over 48.5

Denver Broncos (3-5) at Tennessee Titans (5-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Titans -3

O/U: 39

Death, taxes, and going under in a Denver Broncos football game. It’s possible that Denver got the offense back on track and clicking during the bye week but we can only use the data we have from throughout this season. Patrick Surtain will be looking for work this afternoon as he is used most afternoons to lock down opposing star WRs and with Tennessee not having on eof those I’m curious who they have him lined up against. I expect a heavy dose of Derrick Henry in this game with their still being doubts on who starts behind center for the Titans. Both teams burn clock as we get out of dodge under the total.

The Play: Under 39

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Chiefs -9.5

O/U: 50.5

If I were to set the line of Trevor Lawrence turnovers in this game at 1.5 would you take the over or the under? I would take the over here which is why I will be laying the points with Kansas City here. Kansas City shouldn’t have issues moving tehb all on a young Jaguars defense and taking advantage of short fields from Jaguars turnovers they should find themselves up quick. Jacksonville is an exciting young team with a bright future over the next few years but they are still a ways away from making noise. Trevor Lawrence struggles to not turn the ball over and seems rather defeated when that happens and the team gets down in a game. I will take the experience with Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes to get us to the window.

The Play: Chiefs -9.5

Cleveland Browns (3-5) at Miami Dolphins (6-3)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Dolphins -4

O/U: 48.5

Miami comes back after taking home 2 road wins against NFC North opponents in the Lions and Bears. Both games ended rather closer than they should have but the Dolphins have shown capable to close games out late. Miami’s passing defense has been shaky at best throughout the season but is going up against a former QB of theirs in Jacoby Brisset. Miami should have good knowledge of how to impact Jacoby throughout this game and should focus their defensive game plan on loading the box to stop running backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Cleveland’s defense has allowed big plays all year and I expect more of the same this weekend with Miami’s high powered offense coming back home. Miami covers here and takes their 3^rd win in a row.

The Play: Dolphins -4

Houston Texans (1-6-1) at New York Giants (6-2)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line: Giants -6

O/U: 40.5

One of the more unappealing games in the Sunday afternoon slate which I hoope not to have on my screen besides scoring plays. New York is coming off a bye an dshould be well rested with a good game plan to attack this Houston defense. I expect several big plays to be made from RB Saquon Barkley over the course of the afternoon and for the Texans to be playing from behind yet again. They will be forced to throw the ball and either leading to scores or potential turnovers as we are gunning for the over here.

The Play: Over 40.5

New Orleans Saints (3-6) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-6)

When: 1 PM on 11/13

Line:  Saints -2.5

O/U: 41.5

New Orleans drops on Monday Night football giving up 27 points to a Baltimore offense who was without 4 of their top contributors on offense. New Orleans as able to shut down the Raiders offense the week prior but came back to their norm as they have been a bad ddefense over the 9 weeks we have playes so far. Pittsburgh will slowly add more on to the plate of rookie QB Kenny Pickett as he gets his professional legs underneath him. New Orleans will air the ball out on offense utilizing their new weapon in rookie WR Chris Olave. Both teams find themselves over 20 aswe find ourselves with a winning play of over.

The Play: Over 41.5

Indianapolis Colts (3-5-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (2-6)

When: 4:05 PM on 11/13

Line: Raiders -6.5

O/U: 42.5

A new regime is underway in Indy as former C Jeff Saturday now takes the reigns as interim Head Coach for the Colts. Meanwhile, Las Vegas has a coach of their own on the hot seat as the Raiders blow another lead to the Jaguars last weekend. Las Vegas looked to be running away with a win having a 3 score lead last weekend which slowly faded away into a 27-20 loss by the hands of Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars. Las Vegas has too much talent on offense to be getting shutout in a half let alone an entire game from a couple weeks back. This gaem screams to take Vegas but I will take the points with a new Interim HC trying to make a name for himself in todays NFL.

The Play: Colts +6.5

Dallas Cowboys (6-2) at Green Bay Packers (3-6)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/13

Line: Cowboys -5

O/U: 43

R-e-l-a-x. Relax! This isn’t your Packers team of old and I very well could be falling into a trap here but I will put my faith in Aaron Rodgers to have this team in a position to win late going up against his former coach. If the Packers have any late season aspirations then it starts and ends with this game because if they fall to 7 losses on the season it will show to be too much to overcome even for a Hall of Fame QB like Aaron Rodgers. All the numbers and all the outlying stats point towards the Cowboys winning this coming off a bye but I will put my faith one final time in the team that resides in Green Bay. If you want to stay away from this side then an under play could also prove to be good here as Dallas has a Top 10 defense in the NFL and Green Bay has played better as of late.

The Play: Packers +5

Arizona Cardinals (3-6) at Los Angeles Rams (3-5)

When: 4:25 PM on 11/13

Line: Rams -3

O/U: 43.5

I’m laying the points with the Rams here at home which may cause some unease in most people’s stomachs but not mine. Sean Mcvay has shown that he has dominated the Cardinals in his tenure as Head Coach of the Rams and I think that trend continues here with Los Angeles finally finding themselves in the win column. Los Angeles has come out hot the past few games scoring on their opening scripts but the offensive efficiency has fallen over the course of the game late in the second half. They need to figure out how best to utilize the talent they have on the team as the trade deadline has come and gone and no reinforcemnts are coming to help ease the storm. I expect Jalen Ramsey to follow WR Deandre Hopkins throughout the afternoon and if he is able to control him then the Cardinals don’t have a plethora of weapons to lean on to move the ball. LA finally gets a win as Kliff Kingsbury’s seat gets hotter by the week in the Arizona sun.

The Play: Rams -3

Los Angeles Chargers (5-3) at San Francisco 49ers (4-4)

When: 8:20 PM on 11/13

Line: 49ers -7

O/U: 46

Ultimately, I believe the 49ers win this game in what could be a blow out but I will be grabbing a key number of 7 here hoping the Chargers can keep this one close late. Los Angeles is crippled right no win the receiving room missing both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams but if you are one fo the best in the leagues then you will find a way to keep this one close. I have faith in Justin Herbert to attack San Francisco’s defense and keep this one within one score. 49ers shouldn’t have too much trouble moving the ball on a weak Chargers’ run defense so playing nan over card in this game may also be a good play. I’m excited to sit back as a fan to watch how Kyle Shanahan will use the combination of Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel.

The Play: Chargers +7

Washington Commanders (4-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (8-0)

When: 8:15 PM on 11/14

Line: Eagles -11

O/U: 44

Everything here screams to take Eagles to cover the points here but I will be taking the divisional dog here as the Commanders cover 11. One of the best parts of the Commanders’ defense is their rushing defense which will be going up against one of the best rushing offenses in the NFL. Commanders have shown they are capable to hang with most teams but not quite finish out at the finish line. Philadelphia almost caught slipping last week against Houston with Damian Pierce running wild against their stout defense with Washington hopefully able to do the same.

The Play: Commanders +11