By: Nick Radivoj

A forgettable Week 5 that we will put behind us looking towards the rest of the season. We went 5-10-1 in Week 5 bringing out season total to 41-38-1 (52%) on the season. We learn and we move forward! We wave a gentle goodbye to Titans, Lions, Raiders, and Texans as they begin their bye week on the beaches of Cancun so we will see them in Week 7! Still plenty of football to be watched in front of us so let’s hit the board.

Washington Commanders (1-4) at Chicago Bears (2-3)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/13

Line: Even

O/u: 38

We start off Week 6 action with an absolute thriller! Washington was en route to securing their second win of the season last week before a boneheaded play by QB Carson Wentz resulted in a turnover and a heartbreaking loss for us and the Commanders, but like a junkie we are hooked and back on the wagon! Chicago is a young team with a new HC looking for buy in from the rest of their roster but Commanders’ finally get back in the winners circle Thursday night as they are able to key in on David Montgomery and the rather ineffective passing game of the Bears. Carson Wentz gets redemption from his head coach calling him out as he leads Washington to their second win of the season.

The Play: Commanders PK

 San Francisco 49er (3-2) at Atlanta Falcons (2-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: 49ers -5.5

O/u: 43.5

49ers looked to have gotten their offense back on track over the past few weeks and will continue their success here in Atlanta. They have an embarrassment of riches on offense with Kittle, Deebo, and Aiyuk who should have success against the Falcons secondary. Meanwhile, 49ers lost their starting CB to an ACL injury in their win last week and most likely will be without star DE Nick Bosa because of a groin injury. San Francisco has an elite defense but will be missing 2 key cogs of their unit which should allow Atlanta to move the ball throughout the afternoon. Give me points and give me a lot of them.

The Play: Over 43.5

New England Patriots (2-3) at Cleveland Browns (2-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Browns -3

O/u: 42.5

For the first few years of his career, Jacoby Brissett was a backup QB for the New England Patriots so I’m sure HC Bill Belichick will have some tricks up his sleeve to confuse the former Patriot. He will know exactly what tricks up Brissett and how to attack him from a defensive perspective. On the other side of the ball, Patriots will be without Damien Harris but their backup Rhamondre Stevenson is more than capable to pickup the slack against this lackluster run defense that Cleveland has put on display so far this year. I believe over is an excellent play here as well this weekend but ultimately took the free 3 points for Patriots to cover.

The Play: Patriots +3

New York Jets (3-2) at Green Bay Packers (3-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Packers -7

O/u: 45.5

I don’t believe many people would have predicted that both teams would be coming in with the same record here in this contest Week 6. Jets have been a nice surprise as they have rattled off 3 straight wins after dropping their first 2. Rookies have been the main story line for the Jets as RB Breece Hall and WR Garret Wilson have looked explosive with the ball in their hands. Green Bay’s defense hasn’t looked as dominant as many thought them to be entering the season and I expect that to continue as New York is able to tack on some points here. Aaron Rodgers will straighten out the offense and get the ball into his best playmakers hands as New York is able to be beat downfield with their young secondary.

The Play: Over 45.5

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-3) at Indianapolis Colts (2-2-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Colts -2

O/u: 42

Colts have bounced back after their early season woes tying the Texans and losing to these Jags on the road. It seem slike the story for these two teams has been the same for as long as I can remember where they each win their home games accordingly. Jacksonville took their first one ant home and Indy will bounce back here with a healthier Jonahtan Taylor and what Sseems to be a careless with the football Trevor Lawrence as of late. Lawrence has undeniably a ton of talent but watching him on the sidelines and during games it feels like he isn’t the greatest leader of men and team motivator. Indy ties up the season series and finds themselves back on top of the AFC South.

The Play: Colts -2

Minnesota Vikings (4-1) at Miami Dolphins (3-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Vikings -3

O/u: 45.5

Dolphins came out of the gates hot and explosive after winning their first 3 but have quickly found themselves nearing .500 after dropping 2 straight. As a Dolphins fan, I may be biased here but think this is a spot that Miami either needs to win or needs to keep it close. It’s still warm down in South Beach and the heat will have an impact on this indoor Minnesota team that travels down to Miami t play this game. Hopefully, Miami will retain one of their 2 starting CBs who have been out with injury because if they don’t you may see Justin Jefferson running wild come Sunday afternoon. Vikings have started the year out hot but I believe this is a let down opportunity for them on the road facing a Dolphins team who finds themselves backed up in a corner.

The Play: Dolphins +3

Cincinnati Bengals (2-3) at New Orleans Saints (2-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Bengals -1.5

O/u: 43.5

Super Bowl hangover has been a thing for both Cincinnati and Los Angeles this year as both teams find themselves at 2-3 on the year. Cincy lost in primtime last week against divisional rival Baltimore but will look to bounce back here against New Orleans. Cincy won’t be too uncomfortable in this environment down in New Orleans as star QB Joe Burrow and WR Ja’Marr Chase played their college ball just down the road at LSU. It seems that Tee Higgins will be back and available for the Bengals and with a team aspiring to make a deep playoff run this is a game you need to win on the road. New Orleans may have QB Jameis Winston back in this one but trending towards WR Chris Olave being out with a concussion. Cincy takes the win and heads back home at .500.

The Play: Bengals -1.5

Baltimore Ravens (3-2) at New York Giants (4-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Ravens -5

O/u: 44

Baltimore is able to get redemption from last year’s beat downs that the Bengals gave them as they end up winning Sunday Night. Meanwhile, New York Giants and Brian Daboll are one of the biggest surprises on the year thus far as they are 4-1 and quickly closing in on their season win total numbers. Daniel Jones has looked serviceable in this offense limiting his mistakes and leaningon the explosiveness of RB Saquon Barkley. This isn’t your Baltimore Ravens of old as they have struggled this year to run the ball causing Laar to throw it over the yard and their defense has been one fo the worst in the leagues giving up explosive play after explosive play. With a low total I land on the over but would love to Giants here.

The Play: Over 44

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-4)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Bucs -8

O/u: 43.5

A rough first start for Kenny Pickett and the Steelers might be the best way to sum it up? Over the years, both defenses here have been known as elite stop units but don’t let that trick you as they are no longer as dominant as they used to be. Tampa can be had through the air where I believe Kenny will have slightly more success than he did his first start and Pittsburgh quite frankly can’t stop anything right now without their Defensive Player of the Year candidate TJ Watt. I expect Tom Brady to get this offense back on track behind Mike Evans and Chris Godwin and for Pittsburgh to show some life after embarrassing themselves against Buffalo last week.

The Play: Over 43.5

Carolina Panthers (1-4) at Los Angeles Rams (2-3)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/16

Line: Rams -11

O/u: 41

Super Bowl hangover is right for these Rams as they look far from the team they were last year. Good news is they welcome in a Carolina team that looks even worse than they had earlier this season as now they no longer have an active head coach after firing Matt Rule. Rule will surely find himself with a pretty college contract while still collecting from Carolina – not a bad gig? Surely, Los Angeles will win this game but 11 is just too many points to lay with how they have looked to start the season so far. Matthew Stafford has a bad offensive line in front of him which should give Panthers DE Brian Burns an opportunity to tally up some sacks on the day. Rams win but back door is alive.

The Play: Panthers +11

Arizona Cardinals (2-3) at Seattle Seahawks (2-3)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/16

Line: Cardinals -3

O/u: 51

I’m starting to sound like a broken record, but Seattle has one of the worst defenses in the NFL> If Kyler and the Cardinals offense don’t start the game off half asleep then this one should be heading over quickly as we saw last week with Saints and Seahawks. Once they get down, Seattle is forced to throw the ball over the field with Geno Smith, who has looked great so far this year. With DK and Tyler Lockett on the outside, Seattle can score and make plays of their own. My only concern here is that offenses will play closer to the vest being a divisional matchup between 2 NFC West teams who are very familiar with each other.

The Play: Over 51

Buffalo Bills (4-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/16

Line: Bills -3

O/u: 54

I can’t fully believe myself that I’m doing it but I’m taking the cute play of under here. Bills are a solid play here as well as they always want to prove that they can beat Kansas City since they are the monkey on their backs during each of their layoff runs. Bills have a top defense in the league bolstered by their front 7 and Kansas City has a much improved defense from what they had on the field last year. Chiefs have rookies sprinkled everywhere on defense that are beginning to play better as a cohesive unit and as everyone has seen they don’t have the explosive offense they’ve had in years past. Their offense more lines up with having to drive down the field rather than a quick 2 play 75 yar quick touchdown. I want to see the fireworks but think this one goes under the total.

The Play: Under 54

Dallas Cowboys (4-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-0)

When: 8:20 PM on 10/16

Line: Eagles -5

O/u: 42

An exciting NFC East divisional match up is brought to us on Sunday Night Football! 4 weeks ago when Dak left Sunday Night against the Bucs I’m sure 90 percent of us didn’t think Dallas would be entering this game coming off 4 straight wins to be challenging undefeated Philadelphia for the lead atop the NFC East but here we are. Game plan is simple for Dallas as it looks like Dak will be out another week and so they will play clean ball on offense to allow their defensive unit to step up yet again to keep this one close down the stretch. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles showed some chink in their armor last week against the Cardinals so we shall see if Cooper Rush and the Cowboys are able to exploit it. Too many points not to take in a divsisional match up.

The Play: Cowboys +5

Denver Broncos (2-3) at Los Angeles Chargers (3-2)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/17

Line: Chargers -5.5

O/u: 45.5

I’m not going to waste my team or yours here as this one is easy as can be. Until the Broncos can consistently show me that they can score over 20 points I will be playing their unders. Denver has a top defensive and an offense that many have seen thus far which has been unable to move the ball throughout each of their games so far.

The Play: Under  45.5