By: Nick Radivoj

We are on to Week 7 as we finished 6-7-1 last weekend bringing out season total to 47-45-2 (51%). Several games that felt should have gone our way this past weekend with Niners, Panthers, and Dolphins to name a few but we take our lumps and charge on. We elcome back a few teams from bye and say goodbye to the Rams, Bills, Eagles, and Vikings.

New Orleans Saints (2-4) at Arizona Cardinals (2-4)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/20

Line: Cardinals -1.5

O/U: 45

Just as quickly as Cardinals get good news of Deandrew Hopkins being reinstated for this game the bad news quickly follows as WR Hollywood Brown seems to be out for a long time with injury. Cardinals have also traded for veteran WR Robbie Anderson which along with Hopkins should help this offense get back on track. New Orleans has WR questions of their own as they were without Chris Olave and Michael Thomas last week and should welcome at least one back into the fold this week. New Orleans has at least looked the part this year while Arizona only sows up for half a game if that. Taking the free points here with what very well could be the better team in this one.

The Play: Saints +1.5

Atlanta Falcons (3-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Bengals -6

O/U: 47.5

Atlanta has been one of the best surprises of the year as the tea is just a few wins away from already surpassing their season total from earlier in the preseason. Atlanta is also perfect on the year thus far against the spread which may come to a screeching halt come Sunday afternoon. Cincinnati has seemed to hit their stride on offense this past weekend coming from behind on the road to take down New Orleans. I envision Cincinnati holding a two score lead late into this game and become worried about yet another back door cover for this Falcons’ team, so the total is where I go. Both teams here seem keen on establishing the run game which helps us keep the clock ticking.

The Play: Under 47.5

Detroit Lions (1-4) at Dallas Cowboys (4-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Cowboys -7

O/U: 48

We welcome back the Detroit Lions off bye and Cowboys QB Dak Prescott as well returning from injury. Huge praise should go out to Cooper Rush in Cowboy Country as he performed admirably leading Dallas to 4 wins over the 5 games that Dak was out. Dak should be licking his lips as he gets welcomed back from injury to face one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Dallas should have no problem scoring over 24 in tis game and with Detroit bringing in a high-powered offense of their own this one has a high scoring affair in the making. Lions should have full health back from playmakers in Swift and St. Brown which should lead this offense to get back on track and forget what they put on the field against New England.

The Play: Over 48

Indianapolis Colts (3-2-1) at Tennessee Titans (3-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Titans -3

O/U: 42.5

After missing 2 games most people are expecting a return from Colts RB Jonathan Taylor which should provide another explosive option for Indy after they were able to finally get the passing game going. Both teams have found their groove after struggling to start off the season. These teams have already faced off this year with Titans taking the victory 24-17 in Indy. The Colts seem to be on their revenge tour as they managed to get back at Jacksonville last week after losing to them earlier in the season and I think the same is going to happen here. Side thought – incredibly strange for Indy to have played 5 division games through the first 7 weeks of the year. Both teams are even in this matchup so take the points we will.

The Play: Colts +3

Green Bay Packers (3-3) at Washington Commanders (2-4)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Packers -5.5

O/U: 41.5

While many teams have surprised us with how well they have played this year, Green Bay is one of the few teams to surprise us with how bad they’ve looked so far. Defense came into the year expecting to be top half of the league but find themselves on the other side while offense led by back-to-back MVP Aaron Rodgers looks pedestrian at best. Luckily, Green Bay finally gets back on track here facing a Washington team who has shown inconsistency moving the ball so far this year. Washington has explosive players on offense, but their offensive line is severely lacking talent and with a backup QB starting this game it could be a recipe for disaster.

The Play: Packers -5.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3) at Carolina Panthers (1-5)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Bucs -10.5

O/U: 40.5

Two offenses that have sputtered most of this year leaves us with only one option as we go under. Tom Brady and the Bucs haven’t looked to be in sync so far this year and unless they put up 35 themsleves I can’t see this going over. Carolina is in full rebuild mode now trying to shop their assets for draft capital and looking towards the future. Who will be starting at QB for these Carolina Panthers? No matter who I believe Tampa Bay gets their defense locked in not allowing Carolina to pass into double digits. Bucs to cover is another good option here but playing under here instead.

The Play: Under 40.5

New York Giants (5-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Jaguars -3

O/U: 42.5

Jaguars lose a heartbreaker late to drop to 2-4 on the year after coming out of the gates hot. Meanwhile, New York Giants have one of the best records in football at 5-1 just like everyone expected. New York is in for some regression. I believe Jaguars take this one at home as New York is in a let down game here coming from behind to beat the Ravens and celebrating their hot start of the year. There aren’t too many outside weapons for Jacksonville to lock in on but need to be very cautious of RB Saquon Barkley as he brings the potential to pop off a big one at any moment. Trevor Lawrence get his Jags back into the winners circle as New York suffers their second loss of the season.

The Play: Jaguars -3

Cleveland Browns (2-4) at Baltimore Ravens (3-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Ravens -6.5

O/U: 46.5

Ravens are one of the most talented teams in the league but seem to struggle closing games out as all of their losses this year have come from giving up a lead late. Baltimore should have an easy time running the ball Sunday as Cleveland has one of the worst rushing defenses in the league currently. Offensively, Cleveland seems to be counting down the weeks until they can welcome Deshaun Watson back from suspension as they struggle to move the ball consistently with backup QB Jacoby Brissett. With all of that being said, I think this spread is too much to pass up in a divisional matchup against 2 hated fivals. I have faith in Nick Chubb and this rushing offense to keep this one within a touchdown.

The Play: Browns +6.5

New York Jets (4-2) at Denver Broncos (2-4)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/23

Line: Broncos -2.5

O/U: 39.5

I normally would automatically play the under for a Broncos game but as the line has already moved 3 points I can’t recommend it after losing too much value. New York has been hot as of late, but with a young team playing in altitude I don’t expect their best. Broncos defense has been one of the best in the league so far but with the lack of production on the offensive side it doesn’t show in the win column. Russ and the offense finally finish in the endzone and take this one at home.

The Play: Broncos -2.5

Houston Texans (1-3-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (1-4)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/23

Line: Raiders -7

O/U: 45.5

Both teams here should be well rested as they are coming off of their bye week on the beaches of Cancun. I may be disrespecting this Raiders team as a whole but I don’t believe they should be favored by a touchdown over any team right now in the NFL. They’ve shown promise over the past few weeks by running the offense a little more through Josh Jacobs allowing the field to open back up for Derek Carrr and the weapons outside. Houston seems to have struck some gold with Damian Pierce as the rookie RB has looked explosive with the ball in his hands. I believe the Raiders take this one but Houston shows more life than many would expect either losing late or giving us the back door cover.

The Play: Texans +7

Seattle Seahawks (3-3) at Los Angeles Chargers (4-2)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/23

Line:  Chargers -6.5

O/U: 51

I wish I could put a disclaimer in but if Keenan Allen plays I believe Chargers finally get their offense back on track and score over 30 themselves. After getting bottled up on Monday Night Football by a very good Denver defense, Los Angeles will come out firing as Allen is set to return to pair with Mike Williams and Austin Ekeler. I wouldn’t let last week fool you as Seattle has one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Although the defense is lacking, Geno Smith and the offense have been a well oiled machine this year behind some nice outside weaons and new RB Kenneth Walker taking the carries now. Chargers win and get us over the total.

The Play: Over 51

Kansas City Chiefs (4-2) at San Francisco 49ers (3-3)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/23

Line: Chiefs -3

O/U: 48

Kansas City may have very well seen the top seed in the AFC slip from their fingertips last week as Buffalo took a late lead in their matchup last week and took the #1 seed in the conference. There are a few trends I always follow and one of those is trusting Big Red off of a bye or a loss. I fully expect Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid to get this team back on track as they will face off against a depleted 49ers team. This game has the ability to get ugly quick if San Francisco doesn’t get some injury luck go their way this week for both Nick Bosa and Trent Williams. Just like in the Super Bowl, Chiefs take this one and cover.

The Play: Chiefs -3

Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4) at Miami Dolphins (3-3)

When: 8:20 PM on 10/23

Line: Dolphins -7

O/U: 44

After winning their first 3 games, Miami follows it up by losing 3 straight but there seems to be light at the end of the tunnel as Miami will finally welcome back their starting QB Tua Tagovailoa after he missed the past almost 3 games from injury. This offense looks to be on another level with Tua leading the way and in no way do I see the Dolphins’ losing this game on Sunday Night Football while the team commemorates their 1972 undefeated team. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has some QB issues of their own as rookie QB Kenny Pickett left last Sunday’s game with concussion and will have to pass through concussion protocol in order to play this week. Miami wins this game as offense and defense finally get back on track.

The Play: Dolphins -7

Chicago Bears (2-4) at New England Patritos (3-3)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/24

Line: Patriots -7.5

O/U: 39.5

This game has everything in the making for New England to come out and put a beat down on Chicago. Chicago is a ground team first wanting to establish the run and with New England bottling up Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt last week I think they will be ready for this Bears attack. Bill Belichick will surely have a defensive plan up his sleeve to confuse the second year QB in Justin Fields. Fields has a ton of potential but often shows an inability to read the field in front of him and get baited into making turnover worthy throws. Patriots take it at home putting themselves back over .500.

The Play: Patriots -7.5