All posts by nickradivoj

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 9

By: Nick Radivoj

We recap Week 8 with a lackluster 4-6 record bringing us to 44-36 (55%) on the year. Last week easily could have given us another winning record as we were a mere point away from a total we played along with some spreads we could have easily landed our way on. We learn and we move forward as Week 9 provides us an exciting slate to look forward to.

#2 Ohio State (7-0) at #13 Penn State (6-1)

When: 10 PM on 10/29

Line: Ohio State -15.5

O/U: 61

CJ Stroud and the Buckeye offense have finally hit their stride looking explosive in every facet of their offense. Stroud has his eyes on a Heisman Trophy this year but better yet a National Championship as Ohio State has everything they need to compete. Penn State is better equipped to face Ohio State than they were Michigan as they contain a better pass defense than rush defense but ultimately it won’t be enough to quiet this Ohio State team. Penn State’s QB Sean Clifford could be the game changer in this one either being Jekyll or Hyde but with his shaky track record I don’t expect him to shock the world. This one may be close early but Buckeyes pull away big late.

The Play: Ohio State -15.5

#7 TCU (7-0) at West Virginia (3-4)

When: 12 PM on 10/29

Line: TCU -7.5

O/U: 69

TCU could have very well found themselves coming into this game with their first loss of the season were it not for a second half explosion from the Horned Frogs and some injury luck on their side with Kansas State starting QB going down in that contest. They were almost caught slipping and it almost caught them so I fully expect the Horned Frogs to be ready in this one. West Virginia is coming off a horrific 48-10 loss by the hands of Texas Tech and I see more of the same in this game. Max Duggan and TCU’s offense shouldn’t have too much difficulty moving the ball against West Virginia and building themselves a comfortable lead will make this already pass happy West Virginia team even more one dimensional. TCU keeps their perfect season going with a blowout win.

The Play: TCU -7.5

Florida (4-3) at #1 Georgia (7-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/29 (Jacksonville)

Line: Georgia –22.5

O/U: 57

Both teams come into this contest well rested as they are both coming off a bye. Although lacking in the passing game, Florida QB Anthony Richardson brings a different skill set behind center that Georgia and most every other team haven’t seen this year. Richardson is very capable to killing opposing defenses in the run game but still needs to develop tenfold as a passer. Georgia should handle this one rather easily as the Gators are still a year or so away from competing under Billy Napier’s new regime. I think Georgia builds an early lead and looks to get out of dodge as they prepare for their biggest game net week against Tennessee. Early lead for Georgia leads to running the ball the rest of the game.

The Play: Under 57

#8 Oregon (6-1) at California (3-4)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/29

Line: Oregon -17

O/U: 58

Oregon has quietly dominated their schedule after the beating they took from Georgia Week 1 of this College Football season. Oregon’s domination continues as they find themselves playing one of the worst teams in the Pac 12 in California. As long as Bo Nix’s road woes don’t show up here then I think this game should look awfully similar to the one played last weekend against UCLA. I’m going to keep this one short and sweet just like Oregon will for us behind Bo Nix and this rather explosive offense located in Eugene.

The Play: Oregon -17

#9 Oklahoma State (6-1) at #22 Kansas State (5-2)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/29

Line: Kansas State -1.5

O/U: 56

A tale of two stories for these teams as Oklahoa State comes from behind late against Texas to win while Kansas State folds over an 18 point lead to ultimately lose by 10 against TCU. Kansas State didn’t score a point in the 2nd half but much of that is do to their starting QB exiting the game with injury. Martinez is expected to be back for this game which is great news for the Wildcats as they didn’t find much success moving the ball behind their backup QB not scoring a single point after halftime. Meanwhile, Spencer Sanders and company look to keep their Big 12 Championship dreams alive but face a difficult contest going on the road to face Kansas State. I believe under could be a great play in this one, but Kansas State has shown time and time again the ability to play spoilers at home.

The Play: Kansas State -1.5

#17 Illinois (6-1) at Nebraska (3-4)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/29

Line: Illinois -7.5

O/U: 50.5

No, you aren’t dreaming Illinois still finds themselves in the Top 25 here in Week 9 of this College Football season. Unfortunately for them, I think their run ends here with a potential outright underdog winner for Nebraska. I’m taking the points here with the Cornhuskers as some young teams aren’t built to win on the road. Nebraska’s offense seems to have hit their stride here scoring over 35 in 2 of their last 3 and winning 2 since the firing of Scott Frost. Meanwhile, Illinois’ offense has takena  little bit of a step back and with a young team going on the road I will gladly take the points for a Nebraska cover.

The Play: Nebraska +7.5

#19 Kentucky (5-2) at Tennessee (7-0)

When: 7 PM on 10/29

Line: Tennessee -12.5

O/U: 63.5

Death, taxes, and a Tennessee over. Tennessee fans and faithful find themselves experiencing the highest of highs being ranked #3 in the nation with what should be the biggest game of the year next week facing off against #1 Georgia in Athens. I know this game is coming up and most likely so do Tennessee players so let’s hope we aren’t overlooking Kentucky here and slip up before the big dance. Hendon Hooker and this Volunteer offense provide too much explosion for Kentucky, or any team, to contain. Tennessee’s hurry up offense and explosive plays leave opposing defenses drained and defeated. Kentucky should be playing catch up which will help us find ourselves over this total. I love taking Will Levis in big games but can’t find myself pciking against Tennessee after having seen how they’ve looked the past few weeks.

The Play: Over 63.5

Michigan State (3-4) at #4 Michigan (7-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/29

Line: Michigan -22

O/U: 54.5

Week 9 welcomes us with an exciting matchup between these in state Big Ten rivals. A tale of 2 stories for these two teams as Michigan has its eyes set on a Big Ten Championship game and potential College Football Playoff berth while Michigan State is scratching and clawing their way to try and stay bowl eligible. As displayed throughout the year, one of the easiest ways to take down Michigan State is through the air passing. Michigan has shown the ability to pass the ball all over the field but at the same time are much more of a run team behind star RB Blake Corum. The BIg House will surely add an extra element to this game as it will be packed for a night time showdown with the Spartans. Michigan’s defense isn’t as stout as normally would expect but don’t go up against much talent in Michigan State so this one should result in a blow out on paper but never know what to expect in a rivalry game.

The Play: Michigan -22

#15 Ole Miss (7-1) at Texas A&M (3-4)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/29

Line: Ole Miss -2.5

O/U: 55

How will Ole Miss bounce back after taking their first loss of the season? The Rebels seemed to be on their way to their 8th win of the year last season jumping out to an early 17-3 lead before LSU came stormng back to take that one away in a big win for the Tigers. Ole Miss stays somewhat alive for the SEC West needing a little help from friends, but they will all but seal their fate if they don’t win in College Station this weekend. Texas A&M is coming off a loss of their own losing to South Carolina on the road last weekend but will have the 12th man behind them in this one to impact Ole Miss. Both teams enjoy running the ball here and with that continuously keeping the clock ticking I will gladly find myself on yet another Texas A&M under. Neither team crosses the 30 mark as we cash another under in Kyle Field.

The Play: Under 55

Pittsburgh (4-3) at #21 North Carolina (6-1)

When: 8 PM on 10/29

Line: North Carolina -2.5

O/U: 64

Pat Narduzzi and this Pittsburgh team look like a far cry away from the team we saw last year with QB Kenny Pickett. Their offensive playcalling seems to have fallen back to old school football as opposed to the scheme they were running last year and it shows on tape and in the stat sheets. I normally love playing  aNorth Carolina over but with a major question mark in regards to Pittsburgh’s offense I can’t recommend. North Carolina’s defense has been shaky all year which should lead to some easier drives for Pittsburgh than they have experienced as of late but Pitt will be going up against a buzzsaw in North Carolina’s offense. Drake May has continued to impress throughout the year and will showcase this high powered Tar Heel offense under the lights as North Carolina wins this one at home.

The Play: North Carolina -2.5

NFL Week 8 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

Week 7 was not as welcoming as we would have liked as we go a putrid 4-10 on the week bringing the season total to 51-55-2 (48%) on the year. We still have plenty of NFL action to make this up for the rest of the year and it all starts with NFL Week 8. We welcome the Bills, Eagles, Rams, and Vikings back from bye as well as say goodbye to Chiefs and Chargers for a week. No time to waste so let’s dive in!

Baltimore Ravens (4-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/27

Line: Ravens -1.5

O/U: 45

Tom Brady may very well be close to blowing a gasket in Tampa as he suffered his worst loss of the season last week against Carolina and maybe even worst loss in his career. Offense was sputtering all day unable to move the ball consistently throughout the afternoon. If the Bucs have any aspiration of post season football it starts here, offense needs to get back on track and that starts with the man under center connecting with the weapons he has outside in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Meanwhile, Ravens bring to town an explosive offense of their own as they finally welcomed back WR Rashod Bateman last week from injury. Bateman makes explosive plays able to take it to the house at any given time. I expect the Bucs to finally find their way north of 20 points and for the Ravens to not be too far behind.

The Play: Over 45

Denver Broncos (2-5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-5)

When: 9:30 AM on 10/30 (London)

Line: Jaguars -2.5

O/U: 39.5

This could very well be the biggest game for both Russel Wilson and Nathaniel Hackett in their short time as Denver Broncos. Rumors are circling that if Broncos don’t win this game then Hackett could find himself on the way out only 8 games into his first season as Head Coach. With their backs up against a wall, I will take the points with the Broncos here. I wish I could have gotten on this line earlier at 3.5 but still feel like there’s a chance this offense could get back on track behind Russ. Jacksonville is a young team in their own right who have shown that they aren’t able to win games late either which could bode well for Denver here. Russ better be Dangerous this week over the pond or his Broncos could find themselves in trouble early in this 2022 season.

The Play: broncos +2.5

Carolina Panthers (2-5) at Atlanta Falcons (3-4)

When: 1 PM on 10/30

Line: Falcons -4.5

O/U: 42

Panthers find their second win of the season shortly after trading away their star RB to the San Francisco 49ers. Coincidence? I think not. All joking aside, Panthers getting draft capital from CMC is good for their long term growth as a franchise as they are nowhere close to being able to win now. Panthers now have the luxury to spreading the ball around as they have no need to force feed anyone the ball as no one demands that kind of power over this offense. Carolina’s secondary is beaten up but luckily find themselves playing an Atlanta team who rarely sees themselves throw more than 20 times a game this year. Atlanta wins this game but I will take the points with the division dog as I can grab main key numbers of 3 and 4 with Carolina.

The Play: Panthers +4.5

Chicago Bears (3-4) at Dallas Cowboys (5-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/30

Line: Cowboys -10

O/U: 42.5

The Play: Under 42.5

Miami Dolphins (4-3) at Detroit Lions (1-5)

When: 1 PM on 10/30

Line: Dolphins -3.5

O/U: 51.5

Miami welcomed their starting QB back last week as Tua is now 4-0 on the season in games he starts and finishes. This offense seems to be firing on all cylinders with Tua behind center as opposed to the backups they had the prior 3 weeks. Shocking. Detroit has one of the worst defenses in the NFL and I expect Miami to capitalize here with explosive plays from Tyreek, Waddle, and Mostart come Sunday afternoon. Detroit has calmed down from their explosion they put on display earlier in the season but barring turnovers they should find themselves over 20 points here as well. Miami has been playing multiple backup level players in their secondary as they have been dealing with injury which Lions QB Jared Goff should exploit. Dolphins win as they swim over the total in the Motor City.

The Play: Over 51.5

Arizona Cardinals (3-4) at Minnesota Vikings (5-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/30

Line: Vikings -3.5

O/U: 49

Buyers beware as the new Call of Duty gets released this weekend so Cardinals QB Kyler Murray could be showing up sleepy for this one. Cardinals welcomed back a much-needed Deandre Hopkins who added a great jolt of energy coming back from suspension. Byron Murphy has had good success this year defending against opposing #1 WRs but Justin Jefferson brings too much big play potential to be silenced all game. Ultimately, Minnesota wins by 4 with a bye week to prepare for this game and an intense home field advantage which should mess up the timing of Arizona’s offense. 

The Play: Vikings -3.5

Las Vegas Raiders (2-4) at New Orleans Saints (2-5)

When: 1 PM on 10/30

Line: Raiders -2

O/U: 48

Raiders RB Josh Jacobs has been playing like a player possessed over his last 3 games as he has averaged over 140 rushing yards in each and totaled 6 touchdowns over the same stretch. Raiders offense has shown to be explosive putting up over 30 last week while also giving up over 20 to a rather bad Texans’ offense. New Orleans brings big play potential with rookie WR Chris Olave and RB Alvin Kamara wich should help us go over this total. New Orleans needs to beware of Raiders edge rushers coming in to sack whoever they plan to start this week but besides that should find matchups over the field to attack.

The Play: Over 48

New England Patriots (3-4) at New York Jets (5-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/30

Line: Patriots -1.5

O/U: 40

New England got embarrassed on Monday Night Football losing by almost 20 to Chicago at home. After taking a 14-10 lead early in the second quarter the patriots found themselves not scoring another point for the rest of the game. Patriots should come out firing behind Mac Jones this week to get themselves back to .500 on the year. New York lost an explosive rookie this past week in Breece Hall as the running back suffered a torn acl. Missing that explosive play potential, New York will need to find a way to make plasy in othe r ways behind second year QB Zach Wilson. Wilson hasn’t been asked to do much this season thus far as they have leaned heavily on a run game and solid defense, but with the run game taking  ahuge hit ther could be trouble brewing in New York. Patriots defense takes advantage of a still unexperienced Zach Wilson and get themselves back to .500.

The Play: Patriots -1.5

Pittsburgh Steelers (2-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (6-0)

When: 1 PM on 10/30

Line: Eagles -11

O/U: 43

We welcome back the only undefeated team remaining in football from bye as the Eagles are set to host their in-state counterpart in the Pittsburgh Steelers. My expectation is for this high powered Philadelphia offense to come out firing on all cylinders and for the Steelers to have to play catchup early. Philadelphia getting up early will give us variance for Pittsbuurgh throwing to get back in the game either creating turnovers and short fields or Pitt finding the endzone to reach thsis number. Eagles to score close to 30 while Steelers get over double digits as well.

The Play: Over 43

Tennessee Titans (4-2) at Houston Texans (1-4-1)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/30

Line: Titans -2

O/U: 40.5

We all saw what Josh Jacobs did this past weekend to the Houston Texans defense and why are we to think that Derrick Henry won’t do more of the same. Over the past few year, Derrick Henry has dominated the Texanans’ and I expect that trend to continue as he will rush for over 100 and most likely snag a few rushing touchdowns of his own in this one. Davis Mills has shown flashes of talent but still demonstrates that he isn’t a long term solution at the QB position. Titans stay hot after starting the year off shaky as they move to 5-2.

The Play: Titans -2

Washington Commanders (3-4) at Indianapolis Colts (3-3-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/30

Line: Colts -3

O/U: 40

Indianapolis Colts have seemed to have enough of the Matt Ryan experiment as the long tenured QB has been delegated to the bench as Indy will move forward the Sam Ehlinger as their starting QB along with Nick Foles as their primary backup. This game will feature backup QBs on both sides of the field as Washingto will still be without Carson Wentz but seemed to have found some spark on offense behind their backup. Washington’s Taylor Heinecke may be the backup but has had experience in the starting role over the past few years. Colts will more than likely lean on Jonathan Taylor and the run game this weekend as Ehlinger makes his first career start in the NFL which should bode well for Washington’s defense as they are much better defending the run than the pass. I’m grabbin the number of 3 here with the underdog but don’t love anything in this game overall.

The Play: Commanders +3

San Francisco 49ers (3-4) at Los Angeles Rams (3-3)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/30

Line: 49ers -1.5

O/U: 43

A rather tough season so far for both of these California teams as both have underwhelmed. Both offenses should get a nice jolt of energy as Rams should be welcoming back WR Van Jefferson while 49ers will be incorporating new weapon Christian McCaffrey more into the offense. This 49ers team looks deadly to face on paper as they now have playmakers all over the field in CMC, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle but will the trigger man behind center be able to take advantage of his weaons on the outside. The two teams faced off earlier this year with Rams losing 24-9 on the road. I expect Sean Mcvay and this Rams offense to look more in sync now with a field stretcher coming back into the fray and a much needed bye helping the offense return to form. Both teams get into double digits and hopefully end with a 24-20 final.

The Play: Over 43

New York Giants (6-1) at Seattle Seahawks (4-3)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/30

Line: Seahawks -3

O/U: 45.5

New York enters this game 6-1 as everyone expected earlier in the offseason. Both Geno Smith and Daniel Jones have impressed this year showcasing a good handle of their offenses leading to Seahawks being atop the NFC West and the Giants having one of the best records in football. Seattle will be without star WR DK Metcalf as he is recovering from an injury, so I expect the offense to lean more towards running the ball behind rookie RB Kenneth Walker. Same goes for New York as Daboll and the Giants offense have leaned heavily on RB Saquon Barkley throughout this year. I expect both teams to keep this one on the ground for a main portion of this game and to try to enter the 4th quarter in a 1 possession game in an attempt to win it late. One thing that scares me is the obvious breakaway potential that both of these running backs contain able to pop off an 80 yard touchdown at any point. We are aiming for a 24-20 final here to cash an under for us.

The Play: Under 45.5

Green Bay Packers (3-4) at Buffalo Bills (5-1)

When: 8:20 PM on 10/30

Line: Bills -11.5

O/U: 47.5

In hopes of being fully transparent, I will throw the disclaimer that I hate this pick and it’s mainly a grab at Aaron Rodgers being this large of an underdog. This Packers team can very well just not be good but they still have one of the best QBs to ever play the position. Bad news for Green Bay is that they are going up against one of the best teams in the NFL currently on the road. Buffalo isn’t an easy place to play along with the fact that they have playmakers littered all over the offense and deefense. The more I dive into this game the more I hate it for Green Bay but I’m going to assume that Lafleur and company can get something figured out on the offensive end and keep this one within 11.

The Play: Packers +11.5

Cincinnati Bengals (4-3) at Cleveland Browns (2-5)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/31

Line: Bengals -3

O/U: 47

This Bengals offense has changed drastically since the start of the year. To begin the season, Bengals offensive gameplan had been running on 1st and 2nd  down with Mixon and then depending on Joe Burrow to play hero ball on 3rd down which led to turnovers, sacks, and drives being killed. Now, Bengals HC Zac Taylor has allowed Burrow to have more control at the line using his best skillset of being able to dissect a defense and take advantage of mismatches that they may have. I believe Bengals should take this one but won’t discount an AFC North primetime game as Cleveland has playmakers of their own to keep this one within a field goal.

The Play: Over 47

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 8

By: Nick Radivoj

The upsets are beginning to take place as Week 7 left us with 2 Top 10 teams going down and earning their first loss of the season in USC and Alabama. Should we expect another one? Recapping Week 7, we went 7-3 on the weekend improving us to 40-30 (57%) on the year. Still plenty of exciting match ups in Week 8 as we have 5 Top 25 matchups. Let’s not waste anymore time and get to the picks!

Virginia (2-4) at Georgia Tech (3-3)

When: 7 PM on 10/20

Line: GT -3

O/U: 45.5

Growing up a Georgia Tech fan, I couldn’t resist the chance to talk about them on a relatively quiet week around College Football. Georgia Tech, funny enough, controls their own destiny in terms of winning the ACC Coastal division and playing in the ACC Championship. They are coming off 2 straight wins after letting go of HC Geoff Collins and are sitting at 3-3 on the year with a 2-1 ACC record. Meanwhile, Virginia shows to be one of the worst teams in the conference as they are currently 0-3 in conference play. Georgia Tech has captured lightning in a bottle now and continues their hot streak behind interim HC Brent Key.

The Play: Georgia Tech -3

Kansas (5-2) at Baylor (3-3)

When: 12 PM on 10/22

Line: Baylor -8

O/U: 59.5

Both teams enjoyed their short stay in the Top 25 as they find themselves on the outside looking in now. Even after their QB Jalon Daniels went down, Kansas still found some fire power on offense putting up over 40 in their defeat against Oklahoma. Baylor is also coming off a loss of their own as they lost to West Virginia 43-40 in Week 7 action. Really not too much to dive into here as Kansas shows repeatedly that their defense can’t stop a nosebleed but contains an offense to put up points with the best of them. Points and a lot of them.

The Play: Over 59.5

#14 Syracuse (6-0) at #5 Clemson (7-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/22

Line: Clemson -13.5

O/U: 50

The final 2 undefeated ACC teams are set to square off and catapult both of themselves hire in the polls with a victory. Both Syracuse QBs Garrett Shrader and Clemson QB DJ Uiagalelei have looked better than expected thus far this year but still show signs of lacluster play which could be capitalized on at any point. Clemson held a multiscore lead last week against Florida State but allowed the Seminoles to slowly creep back into the contest winning by only 6 at the end. I think they come back home and levelset their minds as they look to show the College Football world that they are back and should be noticed as a National Championship contender. Clemson dominates Cuse at home and tells the Orange to see them basketball season.

The Play: Clemson -13.5

#7 Ole Miss (7-0) at LSU (5-2)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/22

Line: LSU -1.5

O/U: 66.5

Ole Miss finds themselves entering Baton Rouge with an undefeated record and finds themselves atop the SEC West by themselves for the first time this year. Will their time at the top be short lived? I believe so as Jackson Dart and the Rebels team suffer their first loss of the season. They’ve shown signs of slipping the past few weeks and it may catch up with them here as LSU brings a different type of atmosphere and play they haven’t seen yet this year. Ole Miss accustomed to their 3-3-5 defense to slow down passing offenses will collide with an LSU ground game which may provide them an advantage.LSU takes this at home to find their 6th win in Brian Kelly’s short time as head coach.

The Play: LSU -1.5

#9 UCLA (6-0) at #10 Oregon (5-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/22

Line: Oregon -6

O/U: 70.5

Will another undefeated California team go down this weekend? After USC went on the road last weekend as underdogs losing to Utah, UCLA continues the trend as underdogs travelling to Eugene, Oregon. Dorian Thompson Robinson has rejuvenated a Bruin offense which high QB player looking like a different player this year. DTR brings a fun combination of athleticism combined with arm strength which is a deadly combo when finally tuned. Oregon continues their hot streak after falling to Georgia first game of the season behind Bo Nix. Both offenses are high powered and could easily fly over this total but not often do we recommend shooting over 70 point totals. Rather, we take the points with a hungry Bruin team who may suffer their first loss of the season but under a touchdown.

The Play: UCLA +6

#20 Texas (5-2) at Oklahoma State (5-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/22

Line: Texas -6

OU: 64.5

Ewers and the Longhorns were almost caught sleeping last weekend barely prevailing over Iowa State late. This could be because of a rather young Texas team or because of the fat they were looking ahead to this game and I believe the latter is more likely. Texas brings into town a rather scary combination with HC Sark’s offensive mind combined with DC Gary Patterson defensive game planning.. Spencer Sanders and the Cowboys almost upset division rival TCU last weekend but ended up losing in a game needing 2 overtimes. The team will surely be exhausted and deflated after leading for a majority of that game. Longhorn nation adds insult to injury as Ewers earns another win in his young career.

The Play: Texas -6

#24 Mississippi State (5-2) at #6 Alabama (6-1)

When: 7 PM on 10/22

Line: Alabama –21

O/U: 62

Alabama suffers there first loss to Tennesee in 15 years and come back home to face yet another Top 25 team in Mississippi State. Oddly, Mississippi State has been the opponent to face Alabama the past 3 times they have suffered a regular season loss. Unfortunately for them, the past 2 times have not been well for them and neither will this time s Alabama will surely get right in this game. I would love to be a fly on the wall in a Nick Saban practice right now as the team has continuously beat themselves with penalties and careless turnovers and it finally caught up to them. Will Anderson, Dallas Turner, and the defense will get back to playing elite football while Bryce gets the offense back clicking.

The Play: Alabama -21

Minnesota (4-2) at #16 Penn State (5-1)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/22

Line: Penn State -5

O/U: 44.5

Penn State comes back home after suffering their first loss of the season on the road against Michigan. Giving this one away early as I’m riding with the Nittany Lions here in a comeback spot for a night game in Happy Valley. They welcome in a Gopher team who has stumbled to score as of late having not surpassed 17 points in either of their past 2 games. Penn State and the night time atmosphere will keep Minnesota’s offense locked up while star RB Nicholas Singleton will show the world why he needs to be a household name. Penn State keeps their Big 10 hopes alive as they move to 6-1 on the year.

The Play: Penn State -5

Texas A&M (3-3) at South Carolina (4-2)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/22

Line: Texas A&M -3.5

O/U: 45

Death, taxes, and Texas A&M overs. This will be the recipe for success this year until th trend finally turns for us. TAMU has yet to show any explosion on offense but have shown time and time again to have a strong defense willing to play all 60 minutes. Jimbo does what he does best and leads a mediocre game plan up and down the field as clock burns quickly for us. TAMU defense will bottle up Spencer Rattler for a heavy part of the night and unless a few turnovers will lead to quick scores I think we can ship this one in.

The Play: Under 45

#17 Kansas State (5-1) at #8 TCU (6-0)

When: 8 PM on 10/22

Line: TCU –3.5

O/U: 58.5

TCU remains undefeated as they come from behind to take down Oklahoma State in double overtime last weekend. They look to stay perfect as they welcome in a Top 25 Kansas State team who always seems to find themselves playing spoilers. Kansas State has demonstrated capability to win games multiple ways either in a defensive battle or a offensive shootout and their opponent here my indicate what wy this goes as TCU has scored over 38 in every game thus far. Max Duggan and the Horned Frog offense stays hot and Kansas State is left with no other choice but to run with them.

The Play: Over 58.5

NFL Preview Week 7

By: Nick Radivoj

We are on to Week 7 as we finished 6-7-1 last weekend bringing out season total to 47-45-2 (51%). Several games that felt should have gone our way this past weekend with Niners, Panthers, and Dolphins to name a few but we take our lumps and charge on. We elcome back a few teams from bye and say goodbye to the Rams, Bills, Eagles, and Vikings.

New Orleans Saints (2-4) at Arizona Cardinals (2-4)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/20

Line: Cardinals -1.5

O/U: 45

Just as quickly as Cardinals get good news of Deandrew Hopkins being reinstated for this game the bad news quickly follows as WR Hollywood Brown seems to be out for a long time with injury. Cardinals have also traded for veteran WR Robbie Anderson which along with Hopkins should help this offense get back on track. New Orleans has WR questions of their own as they were without Chris Olave and Michael Thomas last week and should welcome at least one back into the fold this week. New Orleans has at least looked the part this year while Arizona only sows up for half a game if that. Taking the free points here with what very well could be the better team in this one.

The Play: Saints +1.5

Atlanta Falcons (3-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Bengals -6

O/U: 47.5

Atlanta has been one of the best surprises of the year as the tea is just a few wins away from already surpassing their season total from earlier in the preseason. Atlanta is also perfect on the year thus far against the spread which may come to a screeching halt come Sunday afternoon. Cincinnati has seemed to hit their stride on offense this past weekend coming from behind on the road to take down New Orleans. I envision Cincinnati holding a two score lead late into this game and become worried about yet another back door cover for this Falcons’ team, so the total is where I go. Both teams here seem keen on establishing the run game which helps us keep the clock ticking.

The Play: Under 47.5

Detroit Lions (1-4) at Dallas Cowboys (4-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Cowboys -7

O/U: 48

We welcome back the Detroit Lions off bye and Cowboys QB Dak Prescott as well returning from injury. Huge praise should go out to Cooper Rush in Cowboy Country as he performed admirably leading Dallas to 4 wins over the 5 games that Dak was out. Dak should be licking his lips as he gets welcomed back from injury to face one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Dallas should have no problem scoring over 24 in tis game and with Detroit bringing in a high-powered offense of their own this one has a high scoring affair in the making. Lions should have full health back from playmakers in Swift and St. Brown which should lead this offense to get back on track and forget what they put on the field against New England.

The Play: Over 48

Indianapolis Colts (3-2-1) at Tennessee Titans (3-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Titans -3

O/U: 42.5

After missing 2 games most people are expecting a return from Colts RB Jonathan Taylor which should provide another explosive option for Indy after they were able to finally get the passing game going. Both teams have found their groove after struggling to start off the season. These teams have already faced off this year with Titans taking the victory 24-17 in Indy. The Colts seem to be on their revenge tour as they managed to get back at Jacksonville last week after losing to them earlier in the season and I think the same is going to happen here. Side thought – incredibly strange for Indy to have played 5 division games through the first 7 weeks of the year. Both teams are even in this matchup so take the points we will.

The Play: Colts +3

Green Bay Packers (3-3) at Washington Commanders (2-4)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Packers -5.5

O/U: 41.5

While many teams have surprised us with how well they have played this year, Green Bay is one of the few teams to surprise us with how bad they’ve looked so far. Defense came into the year expecting to be top half of the league but find themselves on the other side while offense led by back-to-back MVP Aaron Rodgers looks pedestrian at best. Luckily, Green Bay finally gets back on track here facing a Washington team who has shown inconsistency moving the ball so far this year. Washington has explosive players on offense, but their offensive line is severely lacking talent and with a backup QB starting this game it could be a recipe for disaster.

The Play: Packers -5.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3) at Carolina Panthers (1-5)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Bucs -10.5

O/U: 40.5

Two offenses that have sputtered most of this year leaves us with only one option as we go under. Tom Brady and the Bucs haven’t looked to be in sync so far this year and unless they put up 35 themsleves I can’t see this going over. Carolina is in full rebuild mode now trying to shop their assets for draft capital and looking towards the future. Who will be starting at QB for these Carolina Panthers? No matter who I believe Tampa Bay gets their defense locked in not allowing Carolina to pass into double digits. Bucs to cover is another good option here but playing under here instead.

The Play: Under 40.5

New York Giants (5-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Jaguars -3

O/U: 42.5

Jaguars lose a heartbreaker late to drop to 2-4 on the year after coming out of the gates hot. Meanwhile, New York Giants have one of the best records in football at 5-1 just like everyone expected. New York is in for some regression. I believe Jaguars take this one at home as New York is in a let down game here coming from behind to beat the Ravens and celebrating their hot start of the year. There aren’t too many outside weapons for Jacksonville to lock in on but need to be very cautious of RB Saquon Barkley as he brings the potential to pop off a big one at any moment. Trevor Lawrence get his Jags back into the winners circle as New York suffers their second loss of the season.

The Play: Jaguars -3

Cleveland Browns (2-4) at Baltimore Ravens (3-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/23

Line: Ravens -6.5

O/U: 46.5

Ravens are one of the most talented teams in the league but seem to struggle closing games out as all of their losses this year have come from giving up a lead late. Baltimore should have an easy time running the ball Sunday as Cleveland has one of the worst rushing defenses in the league currently. Offensively, Cleveland seems to be counting down the weeks until they can welcome Deshaun Watson back from suspension as they struggle to move the ball consistently with backup QB Jacoby Brissett. With all of that being said, I think this spread is too much to pass up in a divisional matchup against 2 hated fivals. I have faith in Nick Chubb and this rushing offense to keep this one within a touchdown.

The Play: Browns +6.5

New York Jets (4-2) at Denver Broncos (2-4)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/23

Line: Broncos -2.5

O/U: 39.5

I normally would automatically play the under for a Broncos game but as the line has already moved 3 points I can’t recommend it after losing too much value. New York has been hot as of late, but with a young team playing in altitude I don’t expect their best. Broncos defense has been one of the best in the league so far but with the lack of production on the offensive side it doesn’t show in the win column. Russ and the offense finally finish in the endzone and take this one at home.

The Play: Broncos -2.5

Houston Texans (1-3-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (1-4)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/23

Line: Raiders -7

O/U: 45.5

Both teams here should be well rested as they are coming off of their bye week on the beaches of Cancun. I may be disrespecting this Raiders team as a whole but I don’t believe they should be favored by a touchdown over any team right now in the NFL. They’ve shown promise over the past few weeks by running the offense a little more through Josh Jacobs allowing the field to open back up for Derek Carrr and the weapons outside. Houston seems to have struck some gold with Damian Pierce as the rookie RB has looked explosive with the ball in his hands. I believe the Raiders take this one but Houston shows more life than many would expect either losing late or giving us the back door cover.

The Play: Texans +7

Seattle Seahawks (3-3) at Los Angeles Chargers (4-2)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/23

Line:  Chargers -6.5

O/U: 51

I wish I could put a disclaimer in but if Keenan Allen plays I believe Chargers finally get their offense back on track and score over 30 themselves. After getting bottled up on Monday Night Football by a very good Denver defense, Los Angeles will come out firing as Allen is set to return to pair with Mike Williams and Austin Ekeler. I wouldn’t let last week fool you as Seattle has one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Although the defense is lacking, Geno Smith and the offense have been a well oiled machine this year behind some nice outside weaons and new RB Kenneth Walker taking the carries now. Chargers win and get us over the total.

The Play: Over 51

Kansas City Chiefs (4-2) at San Francisco 49ers (3-3)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/23

Line: Chiefs -3

O/U: 48

Kansas City may have very well seen the top seed in the AFC slip from their fingertips last week as Buffalo took a late lead in their matchup last week and took the #1 seed in the conference. There are a few trends I always follow and one of those is trusting Big Red off of a bye or a loss. I fully expect Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid to get this team back on track as they will face off against a depleted 49ers team. This game has the ability to get ugly quick if San Francisco doesn’t get some injury luck go their way this week for both Nick Bosa and Trent Williams. Just like in the Super Bowl, Chiefs take this one and cover.

The Play: Chiefs -3

Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4) at Miami Dolphins (3-3)

When: 8:20 PM on 10/23

Line: Dolphins -7

O/U: 44

After winning their first 3 games, Miami follows it up by losing 3 straight but there seems to be light at the end of the tunnel as Miami will finally welcome back their starting QB Tua Tagovailoa after he missed the past almost 3 games from injury. This offense looks to be on another level with Tua leading the way and in no way do I see the Dolphins’ losing this game on Sunday Night Football while the team commemorates their 1972 undefeated team. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has some QB issues of their own as rookie QB Kenny Pickett left last Sunday’s game with concussion and will have to pass through concussion protocol in order to play this week. Miami wins this game as offense and defense finally get back on track.

The Play: Dolphins -7

Chicago Bears (2-4) at New England Patritos (3-3)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/24

Line: Patriots -7.5

O/U: 39.5

This game has everything in the making for New England to come out and put a beat down on Chicago. Chicago is a ground team first wanting to establish the run and with New England bottling up Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt last week I think they will be ready for this Bears attack. Bill Belichick will surely have a defensive plan up his sleeve to confuse the second year QB in Justin Fields. Fields has a ton of potential but often shows an inability to read the field in front of him and get baited into making turnover worthy throws. Patriots take it at home putting themselves back over .500.

The Play: Patriots -7.5

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 7

By: Nick Radivoj

Onto Week 7 and we hope it treats us as kind as Week 6 did as we went 7-3 on the weekend giving us a total 33-27 (55%) on the year. It’s unfortunate the amount of question marks we have leading into the weekend on star QBs but we will do our best to maneuver around the board as we dive right in to a packed weekend slate!

#10 Penn State (5-0) at #5 Michigan (6-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/15

Line: Michigan -7

O/u: 52

Both teams come into this contest undefeated on the year and set to kick off what is sure to be an exciting Week 7 of College Football. This game will feature 2 top running backs with Penn State’s Nick Singleton and Michigan’s Blake Corum  Corum has been the brightest point of Michigan’s offense this year but QB JJ McCarthy hasn’t looked too shbby himself throwing for over 300 yards last weekend against Indiana. In a Top 10 matchup like this, you would surely trust a veteran player to keep you in the game down towards the stretch but Sean Clifford doesn’t give me the warm and fuzzies with his roller coaster play over the years. After dropping a spot in the rankings, I believe Michigan will come ready to play aiming to run it up on Penn State but will ultimately land on the over here.

The Play: Over 52

#19 Kansas (5-1) at Oklahoma (3-3)

When: 12 PM on 10/15

Line: Oklahoma -69

O/u: 64.5

Kansas travels on the road after losing their first game last week losing by a touchdown against TCU. Oklahoma is trying to dust the cobwebs from off their face as after starting the year 3-0 they have followed that up with 3 straight losses. Oklahoma should be welcoming their QB Dillon Gabriel back this week from injury which should be a major boost to the offense which scored a thrilling 0 points last week against Texas. We shall see how a young Kansas team bounces back after facing adversity with Qb Jalon Daniels out for the season. Early in the week I was on Oklahoma when they were favored by 6.5 but now that the line crept up over the touchdown mark with a hook I can’t strongly back that. With how the defenses have looked for both teams throughout the year the over is where I find myself in the Big 12 matchup.

The Play: Over 64.5

#3 Alabama (6-0) at #6 Tennessee (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/15

Line: Alabama -7

O/U: 65.5

Alabama luckily sneaks out a win against Texas A&M last weekend and it shows as they drop 2 spots in the rankings this week. The biggest question here is if Heisman winning QB Bryce Young will play for Alabama this weekend. He left the game against Arkansas 2 weeks ago early into the 2nd quarter and hasn’t taken a snap since then. He was dressed and warming up on the sideline in both the second half of the Arkansas game and beginning of Texas A&M game so this pick is based on the understanding that he will be a go for this weekend. If not, I strongly recommend you grab Tennessee and the points as fast as you can. This game is a spot were Alabama comes back and asserts their dominance on the College Football world. Offense continues to look good behind Jahmyr Gibbs with Bryce back under center and defense steps up big against an explosive Tennessee offense.

The Play: Alabama -7

#8 Oklahoma State (5-0) at #13 TCU (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/15

Line: TCU -3.5

O/U: 68.5

Yet another undefeated Top 15 matchup of the weekend! Whatever you are doing Saturday afternoon you might need to reevaluate as you aren’t going to want to miss all the excitement. TCU jumps up to #13 in the polls after winning back-to-back ranked games against Oklahoma and Kansas putting up 93 points total in the 2 wins. It took every bit of the second half explosion between Kansas and TCU to reach what this total is currently at and unfortunately I think TCU comes back down to Earth a tad. The Sooners don’t have the defense they had last year but are going to manage some stops here against the Horned Frogs. The key here for our under is needing Oklahoma State to maintain possession for a healthy part of this game as they try to eliminate as many TCU possessionas possible by shortening this game.

The Play: Under 68.5

#15 NC State (5-1) at #18 Syracuse (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/15

Line: Syracuse -3.5

O/u: 44.5

You can pinch yourself because you aren’t dreaming with Syracuse remaining undefeated and Kansas being undefeated up until last week. Is this College Football or Basketball? Syracuse comes into this Top 25 matchup off a bye last week while NC State managed to come from behind 2 TDs to end up winning 19-17 last weekend against Florida State. Bigger news in this one is the health of NC State QB Devin Leary as he was seen wearing a sling on the sideline last week and is currently unknown whether he will play or not this upcoming weekend. I hate to play another total here but given Leary’s status I don’t feel comfortable playing either side and will land on under instead. NC State has shown throughout the year to have one of the best defensive fronts in the ACC and will manage to keep pressure on Syracuse throughout the afternoon. Syracuse in a close one but give us the under.

The Play: Under 44.5

Arkansas (3-3) at BYU (4-2)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/15

Line: Arkansas -1.5

O/u: 63

Both teams, come into this game formerly ranked and coming off a loss from last weekend. Arkansas has lost 3 straight but should have their QB KJ Jefferson back behind center. Meanwhile, Jaren Hall and the Cougars are looking to bounce back after falling to Notre Dame 28-20 last Saturday. Without sounding too much like a broken record, I would suggest once again to grab BYU plus the points if it comes out that KJ isn’t playing in this game. If he does, I fully believe in KJ Jefferson and the Razorbacks to get their season back on track after losing 3 straight. The running game of Jefferson combined with Rocket Sanders should be too much for BYU to contain throughout the afternoon.

The Play: Arkansas -1.5

LSU (4-2) at Florida (4-2)

When: 7 PM on 10/15

Line: Florida -2.5

O/U: 49.5

Last week’s game in Death Valley was over as quickly as it seemed to have started as Tennessee put it on LSU early as they capitalized on some early Tiger turnovers. Lucily, LSU doesn’t have to look out for as much offensive firepower here as Anthony Richardson and the Gators haven’t looked the part on offense after their opening win against Utah. I believe Brian Kelly will get his team back on track here and prepared for a battle in The Swamp – how lucky are Gators fans with another night game to watch their team? The outcome of this game lies heavily on the shoulder of Anthony Richardson as he can be a game changing quarterback but still has a lot to learn and clean up playing the opposition. Richardson has been a bigger threat on the ground than through the air this season. I wish we could have gotten the full 3 here with LSU but going to take the underdogs in this one.

The Play: LSU +2.5

#4 Clemson (6-0) at Florida State (4-2)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/15

Line: Clemson -3.5

O/u: 51

Florida State has dropped 2 straight after starting the year off hot winning their first 4. Clemson comes in unscathed with a perfect record under QB DJ U who has looked much improved from last season. If this game was a noon kickoff I would have no doubt in my mind that Clemson would run away here but with a night kickoff inside Doak Campbell I believe anything is possible. DJ has looked better than he has last year but I feel like the hostile atmosphere will have an impact on his play on the field and the Tigers’ offense as a whole. I believe the Tigers’ ultimately win this game but will play under instead as their offense struggled a little under the lights and their stout defensive line continues to eat up opposing quarterbacks.

The Play: Under 51

#16 Mississippi State (5-1) at Kentucky (4-25)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/15

Line: Mississippi State -7

O/U: 46.5

Death, taxes, and Kentucky football covering for me on the Ten Piece. This is assuming that Will Levis will be back for this game but with a night game under the lights I believe the Wildcts are a live underdog here in this one. Will Rogers and the Bulldogs offense has looked very impressive their last 2 games as they handedly beat Texas A&M and Arkansas. Key thing to note is that both of those wins were at home and it’s much more difficult in College Football to bring that same type of play on the road. I think Kentucky plays their game here allowing Chris Rodriguez and the run game to help them control the clock and keep this one close down to the wire.

The Play: Kentucky +7

#7 USC (6-0) at #20 Utah (4-2)

When: 8 PM on 10/15

Line: Utah -3.5

O/U: 63

USC’s offense has been relatively quiet over the past few weeks from what they had been putting on display to start the season. I expect Caleb Williams and the Trojan offense to get back on track and do more of the same of what UCLA did last week to this Utah defense. Meanwhile, Cam Rising and the Utes look to get back in the winners’ circle after dropping their second game this season losing to UCLA last Saturday. Utah brings a matchup that most Pac 12 teams can’t bring against USC as they are more power based as opposed to finesse.  The line is favorable for all of the Joe’s out there to take USC but I’m riding with Rising and Williams to give us a late night of points.

The Play: Over 63

NFL Week 6 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

A forgettable Week 5 that we will put behind us looking towards the rest of the season. We went 5-10-1 in Week 5 bringing out season total to 41-38-1 (52%) on the season. We learn and we move forward! We wave a gentle goodbye to Titans, Lions, Raiders, and Texans as they begin their bye week on the beaches of Cancun so we will see them in Week 7! Still plenty of football to be watched in front of us so let’s hit the board.

Washington Commanders (1-4) at Chicago Bears (2-3)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/13

Line: Even

O/u: 38

We start off Week 6 action with an absolute thriller! Washington was en route to securing their second win of the season last week before a boneheaded play by QB Carson Wentz resulted in a turnover and a heartbreaking loss for us and the Commanders, but like a junkie we are hooked and back on the wagon! Chicago is a young team with a new HC looking for buy in from the rest of their roster but Commanders’ finally get back in the winners circle Thursday night as they are able to key in on David Montgomery and the rather ineffective passing game of the Bears. Carson Wentz gets redemption from his head coach calling him out as he leads Washington to their second win of the season.

The Play: Commanders PK

 San Francisco 49er (3-2) at Atlanta Falcons (2-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: 49ers -5.5

O/u: 43.5

49ers looked to have gotten their offense back on track over the past few weeks and will continue their success here in Atlanta. They have an embarrassment of riches on offense with Kittle, Deebo, and Aiyuk who should have success against the Falcons secondary. Meanwhile, 49ers lost their starting CB to an ACL injury in their win last week and most likely will be without star DE Nick Bosa because of a groin injury. San Francisco has an elite defense but will be missing 2 key cogs of their unit which should allow Atlanta to move the ball throughout the afternoon. Give me points and give me a lot of them.

The Play: Over 43.5

New England Patriots (2-3) at Cleveland Browns (2-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Browns -3

O/u: 42.5

For the first few years of his career, Jacoby Brissett was a backup QB for the New England Patriots so I’m sure HC Bill Belichick will have some tricks up his sleeve to confuse the former Patriot. He will know exactly what tricks up Brissett and how to attack him from a defensive perspective. On the other side of the ball, Patriots will be without Damien Harris but their backup Rhamondre Stevenson is more than capable to pickup the slack against this lackluster run defense that Cleveland has put on display so far this year. I believe over is an excellent play here as well this weekend but ultimately took the free 3 points for Patriots to cover.

The Play: Patriots +3

New York Jets (3-2) at Green Bay Packers (3-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Packers -7

O/u: 45.5

I don’t believe many people would have predicted that both teams would be coming in with the same record here in this contest Week 6. Jets have been a nice surprise as they have rattled off 3 straight wins after dropping their first 2. Rookies have been the main story line for the Jets as RB Breece Hall and WR Garret Wilson have looked explosive with the ball in their hands. Green Bay’s defense hasn’t looked as dominant as many thought them to be entering the season and I expect that to continue as New York is able to tack on some points here. Aaron Rodgers will straighten out the offense and get the ball into his best playmakers hands as New York is able to be beat downfield with their young secondary.

The Play: Over 45.5

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-3) at Indianapolis Colts (2-2-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Colts -2

O/u: 42

Colts have bounced back after their early season woes tying the Texans and losing to these Jags on the road. It seem slike the story for these two teams has been the same for as long as I can remember where they each win their home games accordingly. Jacksonville took their first one ant home and Indy will bounce back here with a healthier Jonahtan Taylor and what Sseems to be a careless with the football Trevor Lawrence as of late. Lawrence has undeniably a ton of talent but watching him on the sidelines and during games it feels like he isn’t the greatest leader of men and team motivator. Indy ties up the season series and finds themselves back on top of the AFC South.

The Play: Colts -2

Minnesota Vikings (4-1) at Miami Dolphins (3-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Vikings -3

O/u: 45.5

Dolphins came out of the gates hot and explosive after winning their first 3 but have quickly found themselves nearing .500 after dropping 2 straight. As a Dolphins fan, I may be biased here but think this is a spot that Miami either needs to win or needs to keep it close. It’s still warm down in South Beach and the heat will have an impact on this indoor Minnesota team that travels down to Miami t play this game. Hopefully, Miami will retain one of their 2 starting CBs who have been out with injury because if they don’t you may see Justin Jefferson running wild come Sunday afternoon. Vikings have started the year out hot but I believe this is a let down opportunity for them on the road facing a Dolphins team who finds themselves backed up in a corner.

The Play: Dolphins +3

Cincinnati Bengals (2-3) at New Orleans Saints (2-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Bengals -1.5

O/u: 43.5

Super Bowl hangover has been a thing for both Cincinnati and Los Angeles this year as both teams find themselves at 2-3 on the year. Cincy lost in primtime last week against divisional rival Baltimore but will look to bounce back here against New Orleans. Cincy won’t be too uncomfortable in this environment down in New Orleans as star QB Joe Burrow and WR Ja’Marr Chase played their college ball just down the road at LSU. It seems that Tee Higgins will be back and available for the Bengals and with a team aspiring to make a deep playoff run this is a game you need to win on the road. New Orleans may have QB Jameis Winston back in this one but trending towards WR Chris Olave being out with a concussion. Cincy takes the win and heads back home at .500.

The Play: Bengals -1.5

Baltimore Ravens (3-2) at New York Giants (4-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Ravens -5

O/u: 44

Baltimore is able to get redemption from last year’s beat downs that the Bengals gave them as they end up winning Sunday Night. Meanwhile, New York Giants and Brian Daboll are one of the biggest surprises on the year thus far as they are 4-1 and quickly closing in on their season win total numbers. Daniel Jones has looked serviceable in this offense limiting his mistakes and leaningon the explosiveness of RB Saquon Barkley. This isn’t your Baltimore Ravens of old as they have struggled this year to run the ball causing Laar to throw it over the yard and their defense has been one fo the worst in the leagues giving up explosive play after explosive play. With a low total I land on the over but would love to Giants here.

The Play: Over 44

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-4)

When: 1 PM on 10/16

Line: Bucs -8

O/u: 43.5

A rough first start for Kenny Pickett and the Steelers might be the best way to sum it up? Over the years, both defenses here have been known as elite stop units but don’t let that trick you as they are no longer as dominant as they used to be. Tampa can be had through the air where I believe Kenny will have slightly more success than he did his first start and Pittsburgh quite frankly can’t stop anything right now without their Defensive Player of the Year candidate TJ Watt. I expect Tom Brady to get this offense back on track behind Mike Evans and Chris Godwin and for Pittsburgh to show some life after embarrassing themselves against Buffalo last week.

The Play: Over 43.5

Carolina Panthers (1-4) at Los Angeles Rams (2-3)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/16

Line: Rams -11

O/u: 41

Super Bowl hangover is right for these Rams as they look far from the team they were last year. Good news is they welcome in a Carolina team that looks even worse than they had earlier this season as now they no longer have an active head coach after firing Matt Rule. Rule will surely find himself with a pretty college contract while still collecting from Carolina – not a bad gig? Surely, Los Angeles will win this game but 11 is just too many points to lay with how they have looked to start the season so far. Matthew Stafford has a bad offensive line in front of him which should give Panthers DE Brian Burns an opportunity to tally up some sacks on the day. Rams win but back door is alive.

The Play: Panthers +11

Arizona Cardinals (2-3) at Seattle Seahawks (2-3)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/16

Line: Cardinals -3

O/u: 51

I’m starting to sound like a broken record, but Seattle has one of the worst defenses in the NFL> If Kyler and the Cardinals offense don’t start the game off half asleep then this one should be heading over quickly as we saw last week with Saints and Seahawks. Once they get down, Seattle is forced to throw the ball over the field with Geno Smith, who has looked great so far this year. With DK and Tyler Lockett on the outside, Seattle can score and make plays of their own. My only concern here is that offenses will play closer to the vest being a divisional matchup between 2 NFC West teams who are very familiar with each other.

The Play: Over 51

Buffalo Bills (4-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/16

Line: Bills -3

O/u: 54

I can’t fully believe myself that I’m doing it but I’m taking the cute play of under here. Bills are a solid play here as well as they always want to prove that they can beat Kansas City since they are the monkey on their backs during each of their layoff runs. Bills have a top defense in the league bolstered by their front 7 and Kansas City has a much improved defense from what they had on the field last year. Chiefs have rookies sprinkled everywhere on defense that are beginning to play better as a cohesive unit and as everyone has seen they don’t have the explosive offense they’ve had in years past. Their offense more lines up with having to drive down the field rather than a quick 2 play 75 yar quick touchdown. I want to see the fireworks but think this one goes under the total.

The Play: Under 54

Dallas Cowboys (4-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-0)

When: 8:20 PM on 10/16

Line: Eagles -5

O/u: 42

An exciting NFC East divisional match up is brought to us on Sunday Night Football! 4 weeks ago when Dak left Sunday Night against the Bucs I’m sure 90 percent of us didn’t think Dallas would be entering this game coming off 4 straight wins to be challenging undefeated Philadelphia for the lead atop the NFC East but here we are. Game plan is simple for Dallas as it looks like Dak will be out another week and so they will play clean ball on offense to allow their defensive unit to step up yet again to keep this one close down the stretch. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles showed some chink in their armor last week against the Cardinals so we shall see if Cooper Rush and the Cowboys are able to exploit it. Too many points not to take in a divsisional match up.

The Play: Cowboys +5

Denver Broncos (2-3) at Los Angeles Chargers (3-2)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/17

Line: Chargers -5.5

O/u: 45.5

I’m not going to waste my team or yours here as this one is easy as can be. Until the Broncos can consistently show me that they can score over 20 points I will be playing their unders. Denver has a top defensive and an offense that many have seen thus far which has been unable to move the ball throughout each of their games so far.

The Play: Under  45.5

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 6

By: Nick Radivoj

Got ourselves back into the winners circle this past weekend going 6-4 moving us to 26-24 (52%) on the year. We have plenty of work left to do as we may have a winning record but are losing from the juice on the year. Plenty of action in Week 6 so let’s see what value we spotted so far.

#8 Tennessee (4-0) at #25 LSU (4-1)

When: 12 PM on 10/8

Line: Tennessee -3

O/u: 64

The SEC supplies us with yet another TOP 25 matchup to start off Week 6 of College Football on Saturday afternoon. These two teams seem to be on opposite sides of the spectrum here as LSU comes in with a rather pedestrian offense but a solid defense while Tennessee has an explosive offense but a questionable defense at times. Jayden Daniels managed to get LSU the come from behind victory last week versus Auburn but did not have the greatest of showings doing so. This game being played in Death Valley is a great neutralizer for LSU against Tennessee, but the Volunteers did not play last week as they are working with 2 weeks of time to prepare for this matchup. Tennessee’s offense will take a hit as they will still be without their top receiving option who is recovering from ankle surgery. LSU will offer the toughest defense that Tennessee will have played to date and I’m unsure that the Tigers offense can take advantage of a secondary that can be thrown on. I don’t believe either of these teams reach 35 in this SEC matchup so give me the under here.

The Play: Under 64

#17 TCU (4-0) at #19 Kansas (5-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/8

Line: TCU -7

O/U: 67.5

We welcome both teams into the Top 25 for the first time this year and for the first time since 2009 for Kansas. If the rankings weren’t the first shock to you you’ll be excited to hear that College Gameday will be travelling to Kansas this week for yes a football game. Max Duggan and the Horned Frogs gave Oklahoma a beat down that they (and me) won’t forget for a while as they dropped 55 points on the Sooners. Both offenses have looked high powered to start the year behind Max Duggan and Jalon Daniels and that trend continues this weekend as we are sure to see some Big 12 football. This number is too large to lay here for me with TCU but with their offense putting up 48 points per game to start the year we easily find ourselves on the over for this game.

The Play: Over 67.5

Arkansas (3-2) at #23 Mississippi State (4-1)

When: 12 PM on 10/8

Line: Mississippi State -8

O/u: 61.5

This line has moved a lot since the open as the health of Arkansas QB KJ Jefferson is in question. Arkansas’ offense would take a major hit if their signal caller can’t end up going in thi sone as they have suffered back-to-back losses. Although the final score reflects Alabama winning by 23, Arkansas was a 2-point conversion away from only trailing the now #1 team in the nation by 3 points entering the 4th quarter at home before their defense let Alabama run wild. Mississippi State HC Mike Leach and QB Will Rogers are surely licking their lips this week as Arkansas brings into town a defense that is vulnerable in the passing game which is a terrific sign for an air raid offense like the Bulldogs possess. It’s unfortunate that the health of KJ is unknown at this time but with that being the case I intend to stay way from any side here and suggest the over until hearing more.

The Play: Over 61.5

Texas (3-2) at Oklahoma (3-2)

When: 12 PM on 10/8 (Dallas, TX)

Line: Texas -7

O/u: 65.5

For the first time since 1998, the Red River Rivalry between these two games will feature a showdown where neither team is ranked. The once defensive mastermind Brent Venables has a lot of work to do as Oklahoma has dropped 2 games in a row and the defense has looked horrific in the process. A keynote to be on the lookout for is who starts at QB for both teams as Texas QB Quinn Ewers could be making his return this weekend and Oklahoma QB Dillon Gabriel is questionable to play this weekend after leaving early against TCU with an injury. With how Oklahoma’s defense has looked over the past few weeks and the chances of Dillon Gabriel playing highly unlikely I don’t see anyway to back the Sooners In this spot here. I normally would love taking the points with both Arkansas and Oklahoma this weekend but can’t in good faith with the questions both team shave at QB. Texas QB Steve Sarkisian will surely have players running wide open Saturday afternoon against a patchy Oklahoma defense and with Gary Patterson holding down the Longhonr defense against what should be a backup QB I’ll gladly take Texas.

The Play: Texas -7

Auburn (3-2) at #2 Georgia (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/8

Line: UGA -30

O/u: 49

Check your local milk cartons as there might be a missing poster for this Georgia team. After playing an unusual game against Kent State they followed that up by barely pulling out a win over a middling Missouri team on the road. Forget dropping to #2 in the polls as this Georgia team is lucky to have escaped last week with a victory. Meanwhile, Aubur drops to 3-2 on the year following a loss to LSU in which they led for a good majority of the game. Georgia is favored by over 4 touchdowns here and I believe they cover this number finally after missing that mark over the past few games. Auburn fans and faithful have been up in arms wanting HC Bryan Harsin out and after what transpires in Athens Saturday afternoon I believe they finally get their wish.

The Play: UGA -30

#11 Utah (4-1) at #18 UCLA (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/8

Line: Utah -4.5

O/u: 65

Cameron Rising and the Utes have looked explosive on offense and have gotten back on track after their road loss against Florida to start the year. Meanwhile, UCLA has looked just as talented offensively behind seasoned vet Dorian Thompson Robinson (DTR). DTR has displayed the ability to operate this Chip Kelly offense leading the Bruins to an undefeated record so far. Utah shouldn’t be challenged too much o offense as UCLA’s defensive unit is weak but will have their hands full trying to stop DTR. I could see a UCLA upset win over Utah at home but leaning towards the over as I believe this will be a high scoring affair.

The Play: Over 65

#3 Ohio State (5-0) at Michigan State (2-3)

When: 4 PM on 10/8

Line: OSU -26.5

O/u: 64

His one is a rather simple one for me as I will easily be laying the points here with the Buckeyes. The only reason for any worry here is that this game is on the road for Ohio State and over the years have shown to be vulnerable taking their game on the road. Michigan State has one of the worst secondaries in the Big 10 and CJ Stroud and the Buckeyes offense will be sure to exploit it this weekend. Meanwhile, Michigan State has lost their offense losing 3 straight and only putting up a combined 20 points over the last 2 games against the likes of Maryland and Minnesota. Ohio State has better talent on defense than both of those teams and should get out of East Lansing rather comfortably with a cover.

The Play: Ohio State -26.5

Washington State (4-1) at USC (5-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/8

Line: USC -13

O/u: 66

This game will offer an exciting matchup between Cameron Ward and Caleb Williams as both are off to terrific starts this year. Everyone and their mother knows that USC has a high powered offense but only those who have watched the Trojans will know that their defense is prone to giving up big players and will be what holds this USC team back late in the year. Their defense gives up a shade under 20 points a game which puts them near the Top 30 in scoring defense but this number is very misleading. Cameron Ward has impressed thus far as  a Cougar and will continue as their passing attack will be able to exploit USC’s poor defense. Ultimately, I believe USC will still win this game but if the Trojans end up going undefeated with a a Pac 12 championship I look forward to fading them once they play in the College Football Playoff.

The Play: Washington State +13

#16 BYU (4-1) at Notre Dame (2-2)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/8 (Las Vegas, Nevada)

Line: Notre Dame -3.5

O/u: 52

Both teams are coming into this game with ample time to prepare as both had a bye last week. Neither team should have a home field advantage in this matchup as this game will be played in Nevada. BRYU QB Jaren Hall has impressed all year and will face yet another tough defense as he has done so all season long already facing off against Baylor and Oregon. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has seemed to get their season back on track with 2 straight wins after starting their season off 0-2. I think the line for this one is on the money here and instead will play the under as both of these teams bring in underrated defenses. I expect both teams to try and establish the run game and the winning team won’t cross over the 30 mark in this one.

The Play: Under 52

Texas A&M (3-2) at #1 Alabama (5-0)

When: 8 PM on 10/8

Line: Alabama -24

O/u: 51.5

A big sigh of relief could be heard around the country from Tuscaloosa as QB Bryce Young is listed as day to day suffering an AC joint sprain last week against Arkansas. Alabama was leading Arkansas by multiple scores when Bryce left the game against Arkansas in the 2nd quarter and fans watched in disbelief as the lead slowly dwindled downt o just 5 points. We finally get the clash of Jimbo Fisher and Nick Saban that we have been waiting for since Texas A&M’s upset win last year and all the heated discussions between the two this offseason. A&M has struggled all year to move the ball behind both Max Johnson and Haynes King and without their best receiving option I’m unsure how they will be able to go toe for toe with Alabama. Meanwhile, RB Jahmyr Gibbs finally burst onto the scene as the transfer put up over 200 rushing yards against Arkansas with 2 70+ yard touchdowns in the 4th quarter to seal the win for the Tide. I believe the under is a great play here but as an Alabama fan I want to see this team blow the doors off here in payback fashion from what happened last year in College Station.

The Play: Alabama -24

NFL Week 5 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

I was unable to capitalize on my Week 3 performance as Week 4 gave me a 7-9 record as I total to 36-28 (56%) on the year. A rather frustrating performance from Week 4 given that a few overs were there for the taken but missed because of either no scoring in the second half by a team or no points scored in the entire 4th quarter from either side. Reagrdless, we are back for Week 5 firing at the board.

Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1) at Denver Broncos (2-2)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/6

Line: Broncos -3

O/u: 43.5

The injury bug has hit both of these running back rooms as Colts Jonathan Taylor is dealing with an injury of his own that may either keep him ot or slow him down while Broncos suffered worse news as Javontae Williams suffered a torn ACL in their last matchup. Under is the play here as neither of these offenses seem to be able to move the ball easily throughout any of thir games so far either with bad playcalling or not having the athletes out there to make the needed plays. Colts are an indoor team coming to play in the outside at Mile High so don’t forget about that element as conditioning could play a factor in this game com elate, but good news for Matt Ryan is I heard ducks fly better at higher altitude.

The Play: Under 43.5

New York Giants (3-1) at Green Bay Packers (3-1)

When: 9:30 AM on 10/9 (London)

Line: Packers -8

O/u: 41.5

If you wake up early on Sunday mornings then brew yourself a nice cup of coffee and enjoy some early football as we have another game overseas this week. Aaron Rodgers looks to lead the Packers to their 4th straight win on the season after coming out flat in their opening game against Minnesota. Slowly but surely, it seems like Rodgers is starting to connect with his new weapons as earlier this year it seemed they were often not in sync. Green Bay seemed to underestimate the Patriots last week as they barely escaped in overtime with a win, so I expect them to be prepared this week for whatever Brian Daboll and the Giants have ready to throw at them. Run at them may be the correct phrase as Saquon Barkley is healthy and looks like his 1st round caliber self again and if the Packers are able to key in on him and bottle him up then this Giants offense is in for a long day.

Packers -8

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3) at Buffao Bills (3-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Bills -14

O/u: 47

The Kenny Pickett era has begun 4 games into the season as the rookie will make his first start this week on the road in Buffalo. Unfortunately, Buffalo is not the most welcoming of places for a rookie to have his first start and with this being only the second home game for the Bills this season, so I expect the fans to be rowdy and full of energy. The line speaks for itself here as Vegas is expecting a blowout but I’m never high on laying 2 TDs against a professional football team so that leaves us with either taking the points with Pitt or looking towards the total here. Although their offensive line seems to be overpowered on paper by the Bills defensive line, Pittsburgh does have weapons on the outside to attack a banged-up Bills secondary. I will most likely regret this, but I will take the points in hopes of a backyard cover here for us late.

The Play: Steelers +14

Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Chargers -3

O/u: 48

Justin Herbert brings his team back to .500 on the year after gutting out a great performance against Houston. You can see that Herbert isn’t 100 percent healthy still but he’s still managing to gut it out for his team. Los Angeles is hopeful to get Keenan Allen finally back this week to pair him alongside Mike Williams and Austin Ekeler who broke out last week totalling 3 total touchdowns. Cleveland, on the other hand, comes home after a disappointing last second loss to the Falcons on the road. Keep an eye out on the status of both of Cleveland’s defensive ends because if they are unable to give it a go then life gets a whole lot easier for Justin Herbert not having to worry about them. Just as I did in the first 4 weeks, I will continue to fade Jacoby Brissett and this Browns team.

The Play: Chargers -3

Chicago Bears (2-2) at Minnesota Vikings (3-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Vikings -7

O/u: 44

My hope of Justin Fields becoming a dynamic QB in the NFL gets smaller and smaller as the weeks dwindle by. He has yet to look the part and the blame isn’t fully on him as Chicago’s front office did very little to help him out whether it be regarding his offensive line or offensive weapons. I do not intend on backing him here either as Minnesota has one of the best home field advantages in the NFL and the fan swill make it difficult on Fields’ all throughout the contest. Color me very shocked here if Minnesota doesn’t come out of this game with multiple turnovers forced. Vikings don’t have the strongest of defenses in the NFL but with what Chicago can throw at them and this home environment give me the Vikings.

The Play: Vikings -7

Detroit Lions (1-3) at New England Patriots (1-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Patriots -3

O/u: 46.5

I learned my lesson and if the Lions are playing then I’m playing the over. Detroit has one of the highest scoring offenses in the league but when you couple that with the worst defense in the NFL then it’s not a recipe for success. For this game make sure to keep an eye on the injry report for Swift, St. Brown, and Brian Hoyer as whether these players are inactive or playing could severely move both the total and spread here. Regardless, Patriots should dhave a field day on the ground with their 2 headed monster.

The Play: Over 45.5

Seattle Seahawks (2-2) at New Orleans Saints (1-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Saints -5.5

O/u: 46

Geno Smith has been one of the biggest surprises in the NFL this season as he has looked rather impressive in his first 4 starts. Seahawks finally got the run game going against Detroit last week but playing the worst defense in the NFL may have something to do with that. Saints return from London empty handed but should get Jameis Winston back this week behind center. Over is the play here as New Orleans shouldn’t have too much difficulty moving the ball on Seattle as they, along with the Lions, have one of the worst defenses in the league. If Geno Smith continues to cook then we should be cruising over the total.

The Play: Over 46

Miami Dolphins (3-1) at New York Jets (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Dolphins -3

O/u: 44.5

No Tua, no problem for the Dolphins in this one. Miami is coming off having extra rest and a disappointing effort against Cincinnati last Thursday. Keep an eye on the health of both Dolphins’ starting cornerbacks as Byron Jones should return from the IR and Xavien Howard left the matchup against the Bengals early. I expect for the defense to get back on track mixing up their coverages and confusing the relatively inexperienced Zach Wilson. Ne York has explosive wide receivers on the outside in Elijah Moore and Garret Wilson but Zach Wilson hasn’t shown the ability to consistently get them the ball to create plays. Running game finally gets on track for Miami here as they run away with the win and run back down to Miami to hopefully get Tua back for Week 6.

The Play: Dolphins -3

Atlanta Falcons (2-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Buccaneers -8.5

O/u: 48

Although in a losing effort, Buccaneers finally got their offense back on track with Mike Evans returning from suspension and Chris Godwin returning from injury. Unfortunately, Tampa’s offense may have found a groove, but their defense underwhelmed as they had over 40 points dropped on them on Sunday Night Football. Luckily, Tampa’s defense gets to face off against the likes of Marcus Mariota who looks far from what everyone remembers at Oregon. Atlanta has lost their leading running back on the year and seem to have forgotten who Kyle Pitts is as he gets under utilized game in and game out. Tampa rights their ship and catapults back into first place.

The Play: Buccaneers -8.5

Tennessee Titans (2-2) at Washington Commanders (1-3)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Titans -2.5

O/u: 42.5

I’m unsure how anyone can logically back the Commanders after seeing what they have put on display over the first few weeks of the season thus far. The offense has been rather abysmal despite having talent in spots over the field while the defensive players seem to hate their DC Jack del Rio. None of this is a recipe for success and ultimately Ron Rivera is on a sinking ship in Washington as this is going to be blown up after this year. Titans have gotten their season back on track winning 2 straight behind King Henry and I expect the trend to continue here. Titans defense is susceptible to plays downfield and I expect Wentz and company to put together a better offensive outing this week.

The Play: Over 42.5

Houston Texans (0-3-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/9

Line: Jaguars -7

O/u: 44.5

If we are Trevor Lawrence we are going to chalk up what happened in Phily because of the rain and forget about it moving forward. Jacksonville has surprised us how they have played to start this year but are they good enough to be laying a touchdown even against Houston? This is a divisional matchup for the Texans  who played another division foe tight earlier this year in the Colts to a tie. The offseason hype of Damian Pierce seemed to have finally come to fruition as he totaled over 100 yards on the ground last week against the Chargers. I’m taking the points here with the divisional dog here and if the game isn’t close late then back door is sure to be alive.

Texans +7

San Francisco 49ers (2-2) at Carolina Panthers (1-3)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/9

Line: 49ers -6.5

O/u: 39

This is going against the trend here with the over play. Through 4 games the 49ers have hit the under in all of them and Panthers aren’t far behind. As trends like this occur, people will often blindly take the under and with oddsmakers knowing this they will make a line to favor themselves into an over win. We saw how good the 49ers defense were on Monday Night football but travelling across country on a short week could have an impact on the unit. If they weren’t already, Panthers players and staff are fighting for their jobs and need to show up or possibly be looking for work come Tuesday morning. San Francisco’s offense opened up last week with Jimmy getting in a more of a rhythm coming back in the starting role and from injury.

The Play: Over 39

Dallas Cowboys (3-1) at Los Angeles Rams (2-2)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/9

Line: Rams -4.5

O/u: 43.5

Rams look like a far cry from the team that won the Super Bowl just 8 months ago as they seem to miss Odell badly on offense. Cooper Kupp may always be open but he can’t be the only focal point of your offense. Meanwhile, Cooper Rush has filled in nicely since Dak suffered his injury winning 3 straight games. I’m banking on Sean Mcvay and his stars to right their ship as I lay the points here. The Cooper Rush experiment behind this banged up offensive line will get a heavy dose of Aaron Donald throughout this game mixed in with Jalen Ramsey getting in your head. Rams may finally use their big offseason addition in Allen Robinson as they paid him to be their top guy next to Kupp but has yet to produce. I don’t love this one here but something’s got to give.

The Play: Rams -4.5

Philadelphia Eagles (4-0) at Arizona Cardinals (2-2)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/9

Line: Eagles -5

O/u: 49.5

Arizona has gotten themselves back to .500 but welcome an Eagles team to town that look like one of the best team in football right now. Kyler Murray and the offense looked nonexistent in the first half but finally were able to find their stride in the second half ultimately putting up 26 in the game. Jalen Hurts finally looked human against the Jaguards last week but the grond game behind Miles Sanders was able to secure the win regardless. Eagles win a close one on the road here but give me the Cardinals to cover.

The Play: Cardinals +5

Cincinnati Bengals (2-2) at Baltimore Ravens (2-2)

When: 8:20 PM on 10/9

Line: Ravens -3

O/u: 48.5

Both teams find themselves at 2-2 entering this game with two different paths to get there as Bengals have fought back starting the year off 0-2 while Baltimore has surrendered 2 double digit leads at home in both of their losses. Marlon Humphrey has looked like one of the best corners in football so far but he is only 1 man. This isn’t your Ravens defense of old with Ray Lewis and Ed Reed as they have been prone to giving up points and big plays. Bengals are coming off of a long week of rest as they played last Thursday and seemed to have found some magic late in that contest downfield to both Higgins and Chase. This won’t be your father’s AFC North matchup as I expect a defensive struggle here.

The Play: Over 48.5

Las Vegas Raiders (1-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-1)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/10

Line: Chiefs -7

O/u: 51

It’s hard to not back the Chiefs after seeing what they did to a good Buccaneers team on the road on Sunday Night Football. Derek Carrr managed to get their first win this season but find themselves with a tough task as they travel on the road to Arrowhead for a primetime Monday Night Football game. Vegas finally found some magic in former 1st round pick Josh Jacobs as his breakout game led them to a win. Ultimately, I believe the Chiefs are too overwhelming with what they can do to you on offense as Patrick Mahomes has shown a mastery of this offense so far taking what the defense gives him. Raiders put up a fight but Kansas City is too much at the end.

The Play: Chiefs -7

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 5

By: Nick Radivoj

It feels like the season had just started and here we are already entering October football – enjoy it while it lasts folks! We are 20-20 so far on the year losing some dough on the juice but this just might be the week we break through like we did in NFL. An exciting slate of games is upon us with numerous Top 25 matchups so in we go.

#4 Michigan (4-0) at Iowa (3-1)

When: 12 PM on 10/1

Line: Michigan -10.5

O/u: 42

A tale of two stories for this Iowa team as they are top in the nation in scoring defense but dead last in total offense. Their defense as always is one of the best in the country and will be able to get pressure on JJ McCarthy all day long but will have their hands full as Michigan has one of the top running backs in the nation in Blake Corum. Michigan passed its first true test this season as they prevailed over Maryland but will face the toughest defense this year to date. I don’t feel comfortable taking the points here with Iowa given with how their offense has looked so far this season but with this being the first real defense Michigan has seen laying the points doesn’t seem that appetizing for me as well.

The Play: Under 42

#7 Kentucky (4-0) at #17 Ole Miss (4-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/1

Line: Ole Miss -6.5

O/u: 54.5

This matcup kicks off an exciting College Football Saturday as Kentucky and Ole Miss lead the first of 5 Top 25 matchups. This game will showcase good versus good as Ole Miss brings in one of the top rushing attacks in the nation being ranked 4th nationally. Kentucky brings in a Top 30 ranked rush defense as it was on display earlier in the season quieting Florida’s impressive run game. Kentucky will also be getting Chris Rodriguez back from suspension this week as the star from last year will provide much needed balance to this Wildcat offense. Kentucky’s Will Levis has an NFL caliber arm but has had very little time to make decisions in the pocket as his offensive line has not been as formidable as it was last year. Kentucky will get a boost from the return of Chris Rodriguez and putting my faith in Will Levis to keep this one within a touchdown.

The Play: Kentucky +6.5

#18 Oklahoma (3-1) at TCU (3-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/1

Line: Oklahoma -6.5

O/u: 68.5

Oklahoma travels on the road as they look to bounce back after their first loss of the season. Oklahoma Dillon Gabriel has been nothing short of impressive this year after transferring over from UCF. Oklahoma’s defense will have their hands full this week as TCU QB Max Duggan has led the Horned Frogs to a 3-0 start. Offense was not the issue for Oklahoma in their loss last week as the offense racked up over 500 yards of offense and over 7 yards per play. What killed the Sooners was their inefficient rate of converting 3rd downs as they were below 25 percent in doing so last week. The over seem sto be a logical play but I’m backing an angry Oklahoma team to come out of Texas with a win by a touchdown or more.

The Play: Oklahoma -6.5

#2 Alabama (4-0) at #20 Arkansas (3-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Alabama -17.5

O/u: 61

This game could have been featuring 2 undefeated teams and a potential Top 10 matchup were it not for a missed field goal to win the game for Arkansas at the end. Alabama seems to have found their groove again after their close scare in Austin earlier in the year. Alabama will face a familiar face in Arkansas’ defense as transfer LB Drew Sanders leads this defense in the nation currently in sacks. Arkansas is coming off a heartbreaking loss but will have their fans behind them to create havoc for Alabama communicating throughout the contest. Ultimately, I believe Alabama’s passing attack will be too much for Arkansas to handle with their limited secondary. Alabama leaves Arkansas winning by 3 touchdowns as Will Anderson keeps this Alabama defense stout.

The Play: Alabama -17.5

#9 Oklahoma State (3-0) at #16 Baylor (3-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Baylor -2.5

O/u: 56.5

Oklahoma State comes into Waco, Texas undefeated on the year as they take on the Bears for their first Big 12 conference game. The 2 teams squared off last year in the Big 12 Championship game with Baylor winning 21-16. The final score would have cruised way under the total we have this weekend but keep in mind that Oklahoma State lost their defensive coordinator to Ohio State and is still trying to regain their form they ad last year. Spencer Sanders has impressed so far this year for Oklahoma State, but this will be his biggest test yet. The best part of this Oklahoma State defense is probably their front 4 so I expect Baylor QB Blake Shapen to take advantage of throwing the ball downfield as opposed to running into their stout line. This game will lie heavily on the shoulders of Spencer Sanders as last year he threw 7 of his 12 interceptions on the year to a Baylor defender. If he can keep the turnover worthy plays to a minimum then the Sooners have a shot to upset this week. Give me Baylor with the home field advantage in this sure to be close match up.

The Play: Baylor -2.5

#22 Wake Forest at #23 Florida State (4-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Florida State -6.5

O/u: 65.5

Sam Hartman and the Deacons come into Tallahassee after a heartbreaking loss to #5 Clemson at home in overtime. Wake led a majority of the second half and seemed to be on their way to an upset win before Clemson fought back to ultimately win in 2OT. Meanwhile, Jordan Travis and the Seminoles are perfect so far this season but face their toughest match to date with a highly ranked Wake Forest team. You can see how much playing at home versus on the road matters in College Football as Wake were 7 point underdogs to Clemson at home and now nearly 7 point underdogs to Florida State on the road as Clemson and FSU would not be a pick’em on a natural field currently. I still don’t love the idea of laying a big number like this with a young Florida State team who still needs to prove their new Top 25 ranking so let’s have a fun shootout down in Florida.

The Play: Over 65.5

#17 Texas A&M (3-1) at Mississippi State (3-1)

When: 4 PM on 10/1

Line: Mississippi State -3.5

O/u: 45.5

Texas A&M managed to recover after their shocking loss to Appalachian State with back to back Top 25 wins over Miami and conference rival Arkansas. Although they got the win, Texas A&M still looks rather lost on offense. Ultimately, I believe the Aggies luck will run out as the injuries begin to pile up. Texas A&M may have won their last 2 match ups but were outgained in both of them and rather lucky to have snuck out a win against Arkansas with a 99 yard fumble return. Aggies have a stout defense but better in the run game rather than through the air. Mike Leach’s air raid offense test you far and wide as Mississippi State QB Will Rogers will look for their first conference win this season. Bulldogs win and put Texas A&M’s luck to bed.

The Play: Mississippi State -3.5

LSU (3-1) at Auburn (3-1)

When: 7 PM on 10/1

Line: LSU -9

O/u: 45.5

Jordan-Hare night game? Hopefully LSU faithful say a prayer before the match up Saturday night as there’s surely going to be a crazy play or 2 happen inside that haunted stadium. A key to look out for is the health of LSU QB Jayden Daniels as he is recovering from injury from last weeks matchup. Although 3-1, Auburn is not the team we all know from years past as fans are up in arms with the direction of their beloved team as they barely eked out a win against a below average Missouri team at home. There are very few circumstances now this year where I will back the Auburn Tigers as they have questions at QB and questions moving the ball on offense in general. Since the health of LSU QB Jayden Daniels is till rather bleak currently it leaves me with one faithful Auburn play for this week and that is to see some bad football.

The Play: Under 45.5

#10 NC State (4-0) at #5 Clemson (4-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Clemson -6.5

O/u: 40

Clemson returns home unblemished as they fend off Wake Forest in double overtime. After exhausting themselves they don’t come back for an easy matchup as they are faced with yet another Top 25 contest. Luckily, Clemson will have home field advantage this time and the impact of Death Valley rocking in a night game. Wake Forest QB Sam Hartman continuously picked on a young and inexperienced Clemson secondary either completing a long pass or forcing a pass interference flag to continue their drive. If Devin Leary can take note of what Hartman did this past week then an upset might be on the table, but no doubt Dabo will have an answer. With such a lower total, Vegas is predicting an offensive struggle for these two teams and if Clemson can clean up their secondary points may be hard to come by for the Wolfpack. Fool me once can’t get fooled again? Clemson by a touchdown.

The Play: Clemson -6.5

Georgia (4-0) at Missouri (2-2)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/1

Line: UGA -28

O/u: 54.5

Kirby Smart is a Nick Saban disciple, and the apple doesn’t fall far from the tree on one thing here. Georgia and Alabama led teams nearly always come out firing after a game in which they didn’t play up to their standards. Some may look at the box score and be confused as Georgia ultimately won the contest by 3 scores, but they looked far from the #1 team in the nation last Saturday. They looked sloppy on offense and the defense looked lackluster throughout the afternoon giving up the most points it had in a very long time to a Kent State team. No disrespect to Kent State and the program they are running but you would always expect Georgia to handle that game better than they did. Georgia wins this one in a blowout as Missouri is one of the bottom teams in the SEC.

The Play: UGA -28

NFL Week 4 Preview

By: Nick Radivoj

Week 3 was kind to us as we had an explosive 12-4 record on the week bringing our total on the year to 29-19. We can’t celebrate and rest on our loreals as we still have plenty of weeks in front of us and more work to do. A fun slate of games are in front of us so let’s find the value!

Miami Dolphins (3-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-2)

When: 8:15 PM on 9/29

Line: Bengals -4

O/u: 47

Joe Burrow gets his Bengals team back on track as they get their first win of the season last weekend against the Jets. After their road victory, they welcome in the undefeated Miami Dolphins who are coming off of back-to-back games in which they took the lead late inside the 4th quarter. This game surely favors the Bengals here on paper as the Dolphins must travel over 1000 miles on short rest after exerting themselves against both Baltimore and Buffalo. The defense is sure to be gassed as they were on the field for 90 plays and nearly 40 minutes against Buffalo. With that exhaustion, I believe Cincinnati will be able to put up scores and with an explosive offense of their own Miami will be in recovery mode to try to come from behind yet again. Bengals ultimately win this game, but we will see if they can cover from the sidelines.

The Play: Over 47

Minnesota Vikings (2-1) at New Orleans Saints (1-2)

When: 9:30 AM on 10/2 (London)

Line: Vikings -2.5

O/u: 44

Minnesota and New Orleans will kick off our first overseas game of the 2022 NFL Season as they are set to match up in London. Kirk Cousins gets redemption from his primetime flop against Philadelphia as he leads Minnesota to a late come from behind win over their division rival Detroit. Meanwhile, New Orleans is looking to bounce back after dropping two games in a row following their Week 1 heroics. Key notes to keep an eye out for are Saints WRs Jarvis Landry and Michael Thomas as they both left last Sunday’s game at one point with injuries. New Orleanshas struggled in their first few game sto get the offense going early as majority of their points have come from second half scoring. It’s quite possible that trend ends here as Minnesota doesn’t bring one of the top defenses in the league to town but again neither did the Falcons or Panthers. I’m looking for their scoring draught to end for New Orleans while Minnesota unleashes star WR Justin Jefferson after he has been relatively quiet since his Week 1 explosion.

The Play: Over 44

Cleveland Browns (2-1) at Atlanta Falcons (1-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Browns -1.5

O/u: 49.5

Atlanta has been a nice surprise to start off this year as they finally get their first win last weekend against Seattle. Although it was their first win, Atlanta has been in both of their first 2 games with the Saints and Rams. Cleveland is coming to Atlanta on the road after long rest as they played division rival Pittsburgh in the past Thursday night game. In Jacoby Brissett has been serviceable in the first 3 games this season as Cleveland waits patiently for Deshaun Watson’s suspension to run its course. The script is laid out for us as we know Cleveland will utilize their two top running backs and limit the opportunity for Brissett to lose the game. I expect Cleveland to control the clock with their run game and for Atlanta’s offense to come back to Earth as this one stays under.

The Play: Under 49.5

Washington Commanders (1-2) at Dalls Cowboys (???

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Cowboys -3

O/u: 41.5

Dallas has survived their first 2 games without QB Dak Prescott as they’ve won 2 in a row behind backup Cooper Rush. Meanwhile, Washington has dropped 2 in a row after their home win against the Jaguars in Week 1. Carson Wentz and the Commanders offense have looked half asleep in their past two games as the offense has done little to nothing in the first halves and only putting up points in garbage time when the games are all but done. Maybe, just maybe, Washington can get their offense back on track here if they are able to protect Wentz and with Washington’s defense often resembling Swisss cheese I will begrudgingly play the over.

The Play: Over 41.5

Seattle Seahawks (1-2) at Detroit Lions (1-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Lions -4.5

O/u: 50

This Detroit Lions team is exciting to watch as they provide explosive plays across the field everywhere on offense. They are a fun team but a young team as well as they need to work on closing out games as we saw them last week lose a lead late to division rival Minnesota. Seattle also comes in looking for their second win on the year as they drop back-to-back games after beating their ex-QB Russel Wilson in Week 1. As seen by the previous weeks, I usually love playing over in Detroit games as they provide explosion on offense and a defense that can be scored on. My intention here earlier in the week was to take Seattle with the 6 points but as the health of Lions offensive weapons have come into question the line has dropped a point and a half. Losing value in playing Seattle, I now am playing the under with less offensive weapons for Goff to utilize and a Seattle team that would rather play slow than have a shootout.

The Play: Under 50

Tennessee Titans (1-2) at Indianapolis Colts (1-1-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Colts -3

O/u: 42.5

These 2 division rivals finally secured their first win of the season last week. Both Tennesee and Indianapolis were the front runners to win their division earlier this summer but have looked far from a team destined to make a playoff run. It seemed that Tennessee was able to get their offense back on track last week while Indy managed to squeak out a victory by capitalizing on turnovers against the Chiefs. Prior to the season, I expected these division foes to split their head-to-head matchup against one another and still feel like that will be the outcome. With the line seeming right on point, I turn my attention to the total and see value in playing the over here as Jonathan Taylor and Derrick Henry finally show the NFL why they are the two best in the game.

The Play: Over 42.5

Chicago Bears (2-1) at New York Giants ((((

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Giants -3

O/U: 39

Go ahead and pinch yourself because no you aren’t dreaming as the records are accurate here with both teams coming in with a 2-1 record. New York has impressed me so far this year while the Bears have won off poor weather conditions and playing a bad Texans team. Unfortunately, Giants lost Sterling Shephard for the season as he tore his ACL in Monday’s contest against the Cowboys. DaDaniel Jones should have more time to get his playmakers the ball as Chicago doesn’t have nearly the pass rushers that Dallas has. Justin Fields has started the year off with 2 wins in 3 games but still doesn’t look like the once highly touted prospect that he was. A sloppy game that I gladly won’t have on my tv.

The Play: Giants -3

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-0)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Eagles -6.5

O/u: 48

Doug Pederson revenge game? The revenge game theory didn’t work as well last week as Carson Wentz most likely needs to check his boxers after that performance but I have more faith in Dougie P! He has impressed us with how the Jagshave played so far this season who currently own sole possession of the ARC South. Meanwhile, Jalen Hurts and the Eagles look like juggernauts as their past 2 games have essentially been over mid-way through the 3rd quarter. I expect more of the same for both teams as Hurts will lead the Eagles offense to multiple scoring drives with Trevor Lawrence not lagging far behind. Points won’t be at a premium in this one as Philly fans finally get a fun game on the way.

The Play: Over 48

New York Jets (1-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Steelers -3.5

O/u: 40.5

No analysis on this one these are two bad teams that I’m excited to not have on screen here. Zach Wilson is set to return Sunday but don’t cheer yet as that may not be a good thing. This will be my shortest write up to date and probably all season but go Steelers.

The Play: Steelers -3.5

Buffalo Bills (2-1) at Baltimore Ravens (2-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Bills -3.5

O/u: 51.5

This game will feature a match up between what should be the top leaders currently in the MVP race. Buffalo comes off their first loss this season and share a commonality with Baltimore as both teams suffered their sole loss to the Miami Dolphins. Baltimore’s defense does not look like the defense as old as they have been susceptible to big plays over the past few weeks and that recipe is not one for success as you welcome in an explosive Josh Allen offense. Buffalo’s secondary has been pretty banged up as of late as they were without both of their starting safeties last week and still await for Tre’Davious White’s return from the IR. I trust Josh Allen to get his offense back on track after only scoring 17 points on over 90 plays and combine that with how Lamar Jackson has showcased this season leads us to an easy conclusion.

The Play: over 51.5

Los Angeles Chargers (1-2) at Houston Texans (0-1-1)

When: 1 PM on 10/2

Line: Chargers -5

O/u: 44

Chargers have caught the injury bug and they caught it bad as they lose their LT for the rest of the season. Justin Herbert is already a tad banged up himself so losing his blind side protector is something to note. They should be getting Keenan Allen back this week and have playmakers throughout the offense and defense. HC Brandon Staley needs to get back a Chargers team on track that had playoff aspirations to start the year. Luckily, they face a Houston team that has looked more like a Top 5 pick in the NFL Draft after their Week 1 contest against the Colts. Davis Mills doesn’t look like the long term solution and if the Chargers have playoff hopes they will handle this one and handle it easily.

The Play: Chargers -5

Arizona Cardinals (1-2) at Carolina Panthers (1-2)

When: 4:05 PM on 10/2

Line: Panthers -1.5

O/u: 42.5

This will be an ugly play here is I go with the over but stay with me here. Under totals are cashing at an all-time percentage throughout the first few weeks of the NFL season and that percentage is bound to regress towards the mean. I think Week 4 is the week that you will be taking over tickets to the window. Baker Mayfield should be able to take advantage of this poor Cardinals secondary as long as he remembers that he has an explosive weapon in DJ Moore. Meanwhile, Arizona has been one of the best road teams as underdogs since Kyler has taken over behind center. A final of 24-20 gets us to the window.

The Play: Over 42.5

New England Patriots (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (2-1)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/2

Line: Packers -10

O/u: 40.5

What used to be an exciting match up featuring Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers has now lost even ore juice as second year QB Mac Jones looks to be out with injury for several weeks suffering an injury in last Sunday’s loss against the Ravens. Backup QB Brian Hoyer should be filling in for the injured Mac Jones and isn’t welcomed to the starting lineup with a plethora of weapons as New England’s offense has looked subpar to say the least to start this year. Green Bay has gone under the total in all 3 games so far this year while New England has gone to the window with 2 under totals snd with how these teams are designed to play another under is in the cards. New England will surely throw the kitchen sink at back to back MVP Aaron Rodgers in an attempt to slow their offense down and New England’s offense doesn’t look to threatening to a much improved Green Bay defense.

The Play: Under 40.5

Denver Broncos (2-1) at Las Vegas Raiders (0-3)

When: 4:25 PM on 10/2

Line: Raiders -2.5

O/u: 45.5

I wouldn’t let the record fool you as Denver has looked far from a winning team so far. Russ and the offense seem to be out of sorts through the first 3 weeks of the season as their punter was getting more work in their win against San Francisco than their kicker. Las Vegas is truly the key to this game as they come in still looking for their first win under their new head coach. Falling to 0-4 on the season for a team that made the playoffs last year and looking to improve on that would be rather disastrous. This game can easily determine how this game goes for Las Vegas as they can either right the ship or call in the season early as it’s an uphill climb to make a postseason push after starting off 0-4. Give me Raiders or get ready to start hearing the fire McDaniels chants in Vegas.

The Play: Raiders -2

Kansas City Chiefs (2-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1)

When: 8:20 PM on 10/2

Line: Chiefs -2

O/u: 45

Finally, an exciting matchup to look forward to on Sunday Night Football as we get a Super Bowl rematch with Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady. Both teams still have their QBs under center, but the teams look a tad different this year as Mahomes lost one of his explosive weapons to South Beach this year in Tyreek Hill and the once best offensive line in football in front of Tom Brady has become familiar with the injury bug. Both teams are coming off a loss and with historical information I love trusting Big Red (Andy Reid) off of a bye or coming off of a loss. There’s a chance this game does not end up taking place in Tampa Bay because of Hurricane Ian and if that happens that eliminates any home field advantage the Bucs would have in this one. Welcome the Chiefs back into the winners circle after this contest.

The Play: Chiefs -2

Los Angeles Rams (2-1) at San Francisco 49ers (1-2)

When: 8:15 PM on 10/3

Line: 49ers -2.5

O/u: 42

San Francisco looks out of sorts this year on offense as the team hasn’t scored over 17 in 2 out of their first 3 games to start the season. Facing off a Super Bowl winner from last year in the Rams may not be the best formula for success but in the past few years Kyle Shanahan and company have owned the Rams in the regular season. I look for the offense to get back on track a little bit with Deebo Samuel finally getting himself in the endzone. I projected these teams to split games during the season with each winning their home contest so with 49ers having the home field advantage I will be riding with the team in San Fran.

The Play: 49ers -2.5