Clemson won convincingly over Miami 42-17 and it is clear no team will challenge them in the ACC. The Tigers are in danger of losing the #1 spot to the winner of Alabama/Georgia this week only due to their strength of schedule.
2. Alabama Crimson Tide
647 yards and 48 points to Ole Miss… not good. However, the offense was absolutely flawless with Mac Jones going for 28/32 and 417 yards and Najee Harris running for 206 yards and 5 TDs. We’ll find out Saturday whether the defense really is suspect or the performance was just a wacky anomaly.
3. Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia has the best defense in the nation. But their offense continues to look pedestrian with Jake From 2.0 aka the Mailman aka Stetson Bennett IV. The battle with Bama will be a true test for both units on whether they are the best team in the SEC.
4. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Notre Dame messed around with Duke and Florida State… but I’m forced to put them at #4. Not because the Fighting Irish have been impressive, but because there are so few teams undefeated with very few games played. Let’s see if they mess around against Louisville on Saturday also.
5. Oklahoma State Cowboys
Nothing has changed with Oklahoma State after a bye week last week and this week due to a cancelled game. It is clear the Oklahoma State defense has improved from last season. The Pokes will face their first real test against Iowa State in a few weeks. I still believe this team has playoff potential in the pedestrian Big 12.
6. North Carolina Tar Heels
Another team that is just an above average, undefeated team. 4 point win against Boston College? Ew. 56-45 shutout against Virginia Tech? Eh. We have to let the season develop to see if North Carolina stays this high. The Tar Heels next three games are against Florida State, NC State, and Virginia.
7. Texas A&M Aggies
Texas A&M moves back into the top ten with their win over Florida. I honestly don’t understand how you can rank Florida above the Aggies, but there are plenty dumb AP voters who did just that. The Aggies are good… not great.
8. Florida Gators
The upset loss has Florida down, but not out. Florida is still a major contender in the SEC East with their explosive offense… the defense remains a huge issue though. The scenario remains the same: Beat Georgia to win the East.
9. Miami Hurricanes
My opinion of Miami remains unchanged. Possibly the second best team in the ACC, but nowhere near ready to compete with Clemson. Clemson was able to keep D’Eriq King in the pocket and make him throw. Can other ACC teams do that? We will wait and see.
EARN YOUR LOGO (#10)
10. Cincinnati Bearcats
Cincinnati has not played anyone decent, but the bye week leaves them in the ten spot. If the Bearcats win their next three games (Tulsa, SMU, and Memphis) pencil them into the top ten and as the Group of Five team with the best shot at a New Year’s Six bowl.
TGIS went 5-8 last week after being fooled by LSU and Florida. I’ve learned and I’m moving forward… HERE IS THIS WEEK’S PICKS:
Week 6 Game of the Week (All Times CST)
#3 Georgia at #2 Alabama (-3.5) – Saturday 7:00pm
Game Preview: No Saban? No problem. The Alabama defensive performance against Ole Miss was pathetic. But it has caused a major overreaction instead of looking at the brightside… Alabama’s offense is lethal. The game comes down to a simple concept: Mac Jones > Stetson Bennett. Sure Georgia has the edge on defense, but I don’t see Georgia’s offense being able to keep up with Bama’s. Bama wins. (UPDATE: Saban is one negative test from coaching… hope you grabbed the line when it was at -3.5)
Pick: Alabama 31-24
Top Picks of the Week
Auburn (-3) at South Carolina – Saturday 11:00am
Auburn squeaked out a close victory against Arkansas, but they are still a better team than the Gamecocks. We learned last week from LSU a big win over Vandy doesn’t make a team good… so don’t be fooled by the Cocks 41-7 win. Auburn by at least a touchdown.
Pittsburgh (+13.5) at Miami – Saturday 11:00am
Pittsburgh plays solid defense and will be able to contain D’Eriq King. They may not win against the Hurricanes, but they will keep it within two touchdowns.
Kansas at West Virginia (-22.5) – Saturday 11:00am
If Kansas is an underdog by less than four touchdowns take the other team. Kansas has lost to Coastal Carolina by 15, Baylor by 33, and Oklahoma State by 40. Take West Virginia.
Louisville (+17) at #4 Notre Dame– Saturday 1:30pm
I just can’t quit Louisville. Their defense is awful, but they can put up points. Notre Dame couldn’t even cover against Florida State… the Cardinals will be fine.
Duke at NC State (-4.5) – Saturday 2:30pm
This isn’t enough points… NC State is the much better team and Duke won’t be able to keep up. NC State by double digits.
Ole Miss (-1.5) at Arkansas Under 76– Saturday 2:30pm
Keep an eye on this one before kickoff. Ole Miss has some unknown COVID cases. Regardless I think Ole Miss is one of the better teams in the SEC despite their terrible defense. I also don’t trust Feleipe Franks with a point total of 76. Ole Miss wins 41-30.
#11 Texas A&M (-5) at Mississippi State – Saturday 3:00pm
Mississippi State is not good. The LSU game fooled all of us. Texas A&M wins by over a touchdown and KJ Costello keeps throwing interceptions.
North Carolina (-13.5) at Florida State – Saturday 6:30pm
Florida State is still awful… I don’t care that they covered against Notre Dame. North Carolina in a blowout.
Boston College (+12.5) at Virginia Tech – Saturday 7:00pm
The ACC is random… but I don’t understand this line. Boston College has proved to be better than expected at 3-1 and hasn’t lost a game by more than four points (against North Carolina that thumped VT by double digits). The line is way too large and is worth a moneyline sprinkle.
Game Preview: Get ready… the game of the day comes early. Kentucky runs the ball efficiently behind a great offensive line and has a bundle of returning talent on defense. Auburn… also plays good defense, but lost many of the key starters off last year’s team. This will be a low scoring game where I like Kentucky with the upset. I STILL DO NOT TRUST BO NIX.
Pick: Kentucky 24-20
Top Picks of the Week
Kansas State at #3 Oklahoma (OVER 59.5) – Saturday 11:00am
Kansas State gave up 35 points to Arkansas State who didn’t have 12 of their starters. Oklahoma might score 60 on their own. Over hits with ease.
#23 Iowa State (-2.5) at TCU (UNDER 47)– Saturday 1:30pm
TCU is without their starting quarterback and will start Matthew Downing (first career start). Iowa State struggled mightily on offense in their first game against Louisiana-Lafayette. This game screams the under and an Iowa State close win.
#22 Army (+14) at #13 Cincinnati – Saturday 2:30pm
Army has outscored their opponents 79-7 in their first two games. Trust the slow pace Army offense to keep it within two scores against a good Cincinnati team.
#9 Texas at Texas Tech (UNDER 70.5)– Saturday 2:30pm
Unders have been killing it early in the year. Texas does not have a bad defense either so look for this game to be under 70.5. 38-21 Texas wins.
Duke at Virginia (-4.5) – Saturday 3:00pm
Duke has some major injuries on defense including to cornerback Mark Gilbert. 4.5 points is not nearly enough for a solid team like Virginia (I mean they were in the Orange Bowl last year). Look for the Cavs to win by a touchdown or more.
#2 Alabama (-27) at Missouri- Saturday 6:00pm
Always take Nick Saban in season openers. Especially when the opposing team has 12 players out due to COVID and shaky quarterback play. Alabama by a million.
#16 Tennessee (-3.5) at South Carolina – Saturday 6:30pm
Something must be going on here. Tennessee is at least a touchdown better than the Gamecocks who have an average defense and zero playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. I’m taking the bait by picking the better team to win by more than 3.5.
Florida State at #12 Miami (-11.5) – Saturday 6:30pm
Florida State has zero offense. Miami is now explosive with D’Eriq King at quarterback and plays solid defense. Miami wins big in this Saturday night game.
Not exactly the start we hoped for… BUT WE ARE BACK. After a few upsets in Week 1, here is your Week 2 slate:
Week 2 Game of the Week (All Times CST)
#17 Miami (+2.5) at #18 Louisville – Saturday 6:30pm
Game Preview: Miami is coming off a 31-14 win against UAB where they ran for over 300 rushing yards. You know who is not good stopping the run? Louisville. This is a matchup nightmare for Louisville and not only do I think Miami covers, but they win the ball game behind D”Eriq King. I’ve been hurt before by Miami… I’m ready to be hurt again.
Pick: Miami 37-31
Top Picks of the Week
Houston at Baylor (-4) – Saturday 11:00am (CANCELLED)
While I know Baylor lost a ton of talent from last year’s team, they still have Charlie Brewer and straight up are the better football team than Houston. This is a Houston team that finished 4-8 last season including finishing the year 1-4. Baylor wins and covers.
Tulsa at #10 Oklahoma State (-23.5) (UNDER 66.5) – Saturday 11:00am
I’m a huge believer in Oklahoma State this year. Defensively they’ll be improved and offensively they’ll continue to score points. However, 66.5 points is too many points for a game where it is both teams first time on the field. Cowboys win 41-17.
#14 UCF at Georgia Tech (+7.5)– Saturday 2:30pm
Georgia Tech looked pretty good last week and now face a UCF team that has not played a football game yet. This is a moneyline sprinkle opportunity as Georgia Tech has the team to pull the upset behind true freshman quarterback Jeff Sims.
Louisiana Tech (+5.5) at Southern Miss- Saturday 6:30pm
This line honestly doesn’t make sense to me. Louisiana Tech is coming off a 10-3 season. Southern Miss looked horrible against South Alabama… Don’t overthink this, Louisiana Tech is the easy pick.
Wake Forest (+2.5) at NC State – Saturday 7:00pm
Quarterback Sam Hartman played well in Week 1 as Wake Forest battled with Clemson. On the other side, I do not trust NC State’s starting QB Devin Leary. Wake Forest is ultimately the better football team and should beat NC State. Give me the 2.5 points too for comfort!
WE ARE BACK BABY!!! With the first week of Power 5 College Football we are tipping our toe in the water this week with a few game previews and bets. I went 56% last year… going 60% this year. LET’S GOO!
Week 1 Game of the Week (All Times CST)
Louisiana-Lafayette (+12) at #23 Iowa State – Saturday 11:00am
Game Preview: You may laugh at this game at first glance. But the projected Sun Belt Champions taking on an Iowa State team that is known to struggle with early season opponents? Yes please. Louisiana-Lafayette returned most of their offensive talent from last year and will keep it close.
Pick: Iowa State 31-21
Top Picks of the Week
Arkansas State at Kansas State (UNDER 54.5)
Arkansas State only scored 24 points on a bad Memphis defense. They will not put up many points against a Kansas State football team that likes to control time of possession. Kansas State/Arkansas State under.
Duke at #10 Notre Dame (-20) – Saturday 1:30pm
Love the favorites this week and with COVID and limited fans… bet on the talent. I project Duke to be one of the worst Power 5 teams in College Football which makes Notre Dame by 20 points an easy bet.
#1 Clemson (-32.5) at Wake Forest– Saturday 6:30pm
Clemson is absolutely loaded with talent on both sides of the ball. Even their backups will go out and dominate to make an early statement. Additionally, Wake Forest coach Dave Clawson was quoted saying they haven’t been practicing tackling as much… the Navy coach said the same thing and was blown out 55-3 against BYU. Clemson is the easy pick.
Coastal Carolina at Kansas (-6.5) – Saturday 9:00pm
The night cap of everyone’s Saturday, Les Miles is looking for revenge after losing to Coastal Carolina last year. While I don’t think Kansas is a very good Power 5 team, they should take care of business as they are slightly improved from last year.
The offense will be explosive again with Trevor Lawrence and a boatload of skill players (RB Travis Etienne, WR Joe Ngata, and WR Amari Rodgers). The weakness will be Clemson replacing four starters on the offensive line.
On defense, Clemson’s talented recruiting classes over the last few years all step in. The defensive line returns just about everybody plus instant impact freshman DT Bryan Breese. While the defensive line is a strength the secondary replaces everyone except CB Derion Kendrick. Hero of the Semi-Final game safety Nolan Turner will also step in at one of the safety spots. At linebacker, Clemson loses first round pick Isaiah Simmons and team leader Chad Smith. LB James Skalski returns, but they need another linebacker to step up.
Final Outlook: Clemson is one of the most talented teams in College Football and an all-ACC schedule will keep them free of real challengers until the playoff.
2. Alabama Crimson Tide
Projected Record: 10-1
Although Alabama does not have Tua returning, the offense should continue to be explosive. Wide receivers Devonta Smith, Jaylen Waddle, and John Metchie will be one of the most dangerous trios in the nation, Alabama returns the best offensive line in the nation and RB Najee Harris is a top five running back. The major question will be if Mac Jones holds onto the starting job over the top recruit in the country Bryce Young.
Last year Alabama’s defense was different… as in they weren’t dominant. However, expect a major improvement especially with LB Dylan Moses returning after missing last season with a torn ACL. The defensive line is deep and talented after the Crimson Tide was forced to play young players last year due to injuries. A key for the Tide is finding who will step up as the edge pass rushers following Terrell Lewis and Anfernee Jennings heading to the NFL. Reports out of camp say true freshman Will Anderson is a “grown man and beast”. Learn the name now. In the secondary, safety Jordan Battle is a breakout candidate after a tremendous freshman season and CB Patrick Surtain Jr. is one of the best in the country.
Final Outlook: Alabama has the roster to be National Champions, but without an elite quarterback and a tough SEC schedule makes it a tough road. However, this team has the most talented roster in the country. Expect Alabama to be out on a 2020 revenge tour.
3. Georgia Bulldogs
Projected Record: 9-2
People are doubting Georgia since Jamie Newman opted out of the season… it is a mistake. JT Daniels may have beat out Newman and is a better fit for new offensive coordinator Todd Monken. Outside of the quarterback position, Georgia has talent with RB Zamir White, RB James Cook, WR George Pickens, and Florida State graduate transfer TE Tre McKitty. Where I am concerned with the offense is replacing four starters including both tackles. Another major concern is will someone other than George Pickens step up at wide receiver?
The Bulldogs strength continues to be their defense as they are absolutely loaded and will most likely be a top three defense in the nation. Georgia returns almost all of their linebackers from last season including Monty Rice and Nakobe Dean. Additionally, they have a talented edge rushing tandem of Azeez Ojulari and Nolan Smith and a great defensive line that includes senior DE Malik Herring. The secondary is also filled with studs including Safety Richard LeCounte, CB Eric Stokes, and CB Tyson Campbell.
Final Outlook: Georgia might have the top defense in the nation, but the question remains can they improve offensively. The addition of JT Daniels helps, but JT Daniels missed last year with an injury. Anyways, Georgia is the top contender in the SEC East and has a realistic shot at the playoffs with only three major conferences playing.
4. Florida Gators
Projected Record: 8-2
Kyle Trask is the best starting quarterback the Gators have had since Tim Tebow (Will Grier is debatable). While Florida finally found a competent quarterback, the skill positions took a hit from losing three starting wide receivers and starting RB. The main questions about this group is can new starting RB Dameon Pierce handle taking over the full load? Will new talented WRs Trevon Grimes and Kadarius Toney be able to step in Van Jefferson and Freddie Swain’s shoes? What isn’t a question is their best receiving target is back in TE Kyle Pitts. The offensive line is also experienced returning four starters from last year. The offense should be above average again, but don’t expect them to be Steve Spurrier’s Gator offenses from the 1990s.
Just like the year prior, this team will be lead by their defense again. Defensive Ends Zachary Carter and Georgia transfer Brenton Cox are tasked to replace last year’s dangerous NFL duo of Jabari Zuniga/Jonathan Greenard. In the secondary, corners Marco Wilson and Kaiir Elam make for a strong duo. Although Florida lost their leading tackler from last season, Ventrell Miller has shown to be capable of taking over. Even with the losses of some key pieces to the 2019 Gator defense, this unit is still talented.
Final Outlook: Florida is Georgia’s biggest competition in the East as they are good on both sides of the ball, but you have to give the edge to Georgia right now.
5. LSU Tigers
Projected Record: 7-3
Coming off a dream season, the 2019 LSU Tigers were one of the best of all-time. But now they must replace an elite quarterback (Joe Burrow) with Myles Brennan. Not only the quarterback, but 16 players from that team went to the NFL Combine. On offense alone they must replace four starters on the offensive line, two starting tight ends, their starting running back and two wide receivers. Despite all these losses, LSU does return a few solid receivers and a capable running back in Chris Curry. Losing Jamarr Chase due to opting out will hurt.
The defense was also hit hard by departures to the linebacking group which saw Patrick Queen and Jacob Phillips leave for the NFL Draft and Marcel Brooks hit the transfer portal. The replacements will include Damone Clark and North Dakota State transfer Jabril Cox (FCS All-American). The defensive line should be fine as they return Tyler Shelvin (UPDATE: Shelvin Opting out), Siaka Ika, and Glen Logan. Even with the loss of Kristian Fulton, Grant Delpit, and Kary Vincent Jr (opt out)… safety JaCoby Stevens and CB Derek Stingley are key pieces to the defense back to lead the secondary.
Final Outlook: LSU is still a talented team, but losing that many talented players to the NFL and opt outs will not be easy to overcome. Add in a quarterback who hasn’t seen much action and it is practical to expect LSU to take a step back.
6. Oklahoma Sooners
Projected Record: 9-1
Blue chip QB Spencer Rattler steps into the starting role along with highly rated WRs Theo Wease, Jadon Haselwood, Charleston Rambo, and 1,000 yard UCLA grad transfer Theo Howard. The established offensive line willl again lead the way for back-to-back 1,000 yard rusher Kennedy Brooks (Just kidding, he opted-out). Either way it’s Lincoln Riley… this offense will be explosive.
The question over the last few years continues to be the defense. Key DE Ronnie Perkins is suspended for the first five games, DT Jalen Redmond opeted out of the season, and all three nose guards Oklahoma used last year have moved on. That puts the pressure on top JUCO DT Perrion Winfrey to step in and boost the defensive line. The linebackers are experienced with DaShaun White, Nik Bonitto and Caleb Kelly. But the secondary led by safety Delarrin Turner-Yell must improve. The Sooners do have most of their corners returning including Tre Brown, Jaden Davis, and Tre Norwood, but the unit must improve if the Sooners want to land back in the playoffs.
Final Outlook: The Sooners have a pattern. Lose one easy game, win the Big 12, and then get their face kicked-in during the Playoffs. This is looking like one of those years with questions remaining on the defense and how quick new QB Spencer Rattler will be ready to roll. Oklahoma is the most talented team in the Big 12, but without an improvement to their defense I can’t see them as a National Title Contender.
7. Oklahoma State Cowboys
Projected Record: 7-3
Oklahoma State is poised to be the breakout team in the Big 12 with an offense that is as explosive as any in the conference (including Oklahoma). The Cowboys return Biletnikoff finalist Tylan Wallace and Heisman-hopeful running back Chuba Hubbard. The key is QB Spencer Sanders being more consistent after a decent freshman campaign.
The defense returns just about everyone. The ultimate question is will their average defense become a good defense? Oklahoma State’s defense is led by their linebackers Amen Obongeminga and Malcolm Rodriguez. While Obongemeniga led the team with 5 sacks last year, they need to find someone else who can create pressure. The secondary needs a major improvement after finishing 102nd in the nation last year in pass defense. The Cowboys get a boost with talented safety Calvin Bundage returning after missing last year with an injury and also safety Kolby Harvel-Peel returning after his five interception season.
Final Outlook: Oklahoma State could be your surprise Big 12 champions if Spencer Sanders takes a step forward and the defense improves. If not… they will probably be an above average Big 12 team again. This is one of Mike Gundy’s most talented teams ever and the matchups against Oklahoma and Texas will have Big 12 championship game implications.
8. Texas A&M Aggies
Projected Record: 7-3
The Aggies return a ton of starters to an 8-5 team that beat everyone they were supposed to beat and lost to everyone they were supposed to lose to. Kellen Mond is back for his senior year and so is their leading rusher Isaiah Spiller, leading receiver Jhamon Ausbon, talented tight ends Jalen Wydermyer/Baylor Cupp, and a veteran offensive line. Depth at running back and wide receiver are a concern, but the Aggies offense will go as far as Kellen Mond takes them.
The Aggies return 8 starters to a pretty good defense from 2019. The defensive line is talented up front with Demarvin Leal and Bobby Brown III. The Aggies also return their top two tacklers LBs Anthony Hines and Buddy Johnson. The secondary was suspect at times last year, but returns most of the starters and has depth with 5-star cornerback Jaylon Jones and top JUCO cornerback Brian George.
Final Outlook: The question remains, is Kellen Mond ready to take a step forward? This should be the season A&M finally takes the step forward with their talent on defense, but consistency will be key with an all SEC schedule.
9. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Projected Record: 8-3
The final year of QB Ian Book. The Fighting Irish quarterback has had his up and downs, but is largely an effective quarterback. Notre Dame also returns their entire offensive line. The main question is where are they going to find the skill players after RB Tony Jones, WR Chase Claypool, and TE Cole Kmet left for the NFL. A rushing and receiving option will have to step up for this Notre Dame offense to be as effective as last year.
Defensively Notre Dame returns a few key starters including sack leader OLB Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah and tackle leader LB Drew White. However, Notre Dame lost quite a bit of defensive talent to the NFL including CB Troy Pride, safeties Alohi Gilman and Jalen Elliott, and pass rushers Khalid Kareem and Julian Okwara. Sophomore safety Kyle Hamilton led the team in interceptions last year with 4 interceptions and will look to have an expanded role this season. Notre Dame will also have the help of two grad transfers in the secondary with Nick McCloud (NC State) and Isaiah Pryor (Ohio State).
Final Outlook: Notre Dame will be solid with an experienced quarterback, strong offensive line, and a solid defense. Beating Clemson seems unlikely though as the offense doesn’t have enough firepower. Expect a good, not great season.
10. Texas Longhorns
Projected Record: 9-3 (7-2 Big 12)
The offense may have lost wide receivers Devin Duvernay and Collin Johnson, but Michigan grad transfer Tarik Black should provide a nice replacement along with Brennan Eagles. At running back Keontay Ingram and top recruit true freshman RB Bijan Robinson will lead the group. The offensive line should be solid returning three starters and one of the nations best in OT Samuel Cosmi. Finally last, and certainly not least, the Longhorn offense will go as far as QB Sam Ehlinger leads it. Ehlinger may have been a little overhyped going into last season, but after a rough year he might be underrated entering 2020.
New Defensive Coordinator Chris Ash enters Austin in an attempt to turn the defense around. The biggest issue last year was injuries in the secondary. While safety Caden Sterns is the star, cornerbacks Jalen Green and D’Shawn Jamison must play better in 2020. The best player up front is Joseph Ossai who returns after he had 13.5 tackles for loss and 5 sacks last season. With nine returning starters, expect a much better unit.
Final Outlook: Last year I told everyone to pump the breaks with Texas being a National Title contender as they had to replace a lot of starters. This year’s Texas team will be better and challenge for a spot in the Big 12 Championship. With a lot of talent returning on defense and Sam Ehlinger leading the offense, Texas should have a solid season and is a playoff contender.
11. Virginia Tech Hokies
Projected Record: 9-4 (6-2 ACC)
QB Heldon Hooker comes back after taking the starting job last year and playing strong down the stretch. The skill positions are alright with Kansas Grad Transfer Khalil Herbert/Rutgers transfer Khalil Blackshear at running back and Tre Turner returning as the leading receiver. Virginia Tech returns a ton of talent on the offensive line and also adds transfer Brock Hoffman from Coastal Carolina.
Virginia Tech returns almost everybody to a defense that ranked 42nd nationally. CBs Caleb Farley and Jermaine Waller would have formed one of the best cornerback duos in the ACC, but Farley opted out of the season. Instead, Devin Taylor who was a start cornerback for Illinois State steps in to try and replace Farley. LB Rayshard Ashby is the leader on the defense coming off a 120 tackle season. The defensive line returns everyone, but need better production.
Final Outlook: Virginia Tech has a nice offense and an even better defense. There will be tough competition to make it to the ACC Championship game, but the Hokies are a legitimate contender.
12. Tennessee Volunteers
Projected Record: 9-3 (6-2 SEC)
The main question is who will start at quarterback after both Jarrett Guarantano and Brian Maurer received playing time last year. Freshman Harrison Bailey was a wildcard to start, but with no spring practice it looks like he will have to wait his turn. The offensive unit is led by its experienced offensive line. With incoming Georgia transfer Cade Mays (if his waiver appeal is granted) and dominant guard Trey Smith, this unit is one of the best in the country. The Vols have to find a receiver to step up after losing Jauan Jennings and Marquez Callaway to graduation.
Head Coach Jeremy Pruitt has this defense heading in the right direction. LB Henry Too-To’o is one of the best in the conference and the defensive line is stout also with Darel Middleton, Aubrey Solomon, and Emmit Gooden. Add in a secondary who finished 16th in the nation in passing yards allowed led by CB Bryce Thompson and this defense should be looked at as a legitimate unit.
Final Outlook: A veteran defense and great offensive line makes the Vols a wildcard contender in the SEC East. However, it will probably be another year until we talk about them as true contenders in the SEC East.
13. North Carolina Tar Heels
Projected Record: 7-3
Mack Brown is coming off a great first season turning the program around with a surprising winning record. Now this team could take the next step and may actually make the ACC Championship. QB Sam Howell is a stud and will have his top receivers Dyami Brown and Dazz Newsome along with highly rated freshman Josh Downs. Not only that… everyone who caught a pass is back next year. The running game is also strong with 1,000 yard rusher Michael Carter and 900 yard rusher Javonte Williams. All of this firepower will be behind an experienced offensive line.
The defense is led by LB Chazz Surratt (former starting QB) who finished with 115 tackles in 2019. The North Carolina defense lost four starters, but has some instant impact freshman and young talent that will be able to step in right away. This includes one of the best names in football CB Storm Duck. The Tar Heels had a top 50 defense in 2019 which should improve with the new freshmen including reclassified 5-star CB Tony Grimes.
Final Outlook: The offense should finish top 20 nationally… if the defense makes a similar jump, North Carolina will be in the ACC Championship and a potential top ten team.
14. Auburn Tigers
Projected Record: 6-4
Can you trust Bo Nix? He had his moments, but completed just 57.5% of his passes as Auburn mostly won with the ground game. Now Auburn must replace the entire offensive line and has no clear starter at running back. The receiver room is one experienced unit with Seth Williams, Anthony Schwartz, and Eli Stove all returning. However, unless Bo Nix takes a step forward, this offense might be in trouble.
The defense also is replacing a lot from last year including four of five secondary starters, and two key defensive linemen Derrick Brown and Marlon Davidson. DE Big Kat Bryant, DT Tyrone Truesdell, LB KJ Britt and OLB Owen Pappoe are solid returning starters, but there isn’t much else. Auburn has work to do on this end of the ball.
Final Outlook: A questionable offense with major replacements needed on defense… Auburn will most likely not be competing for a SEC West title in 2020.
15. Kentucky Wildcats
Projected Record: 5-5
QB Terry Wilson is back after his season ending injury which forced Kentucky to use a receiver at quarterback last year. Kentucky has a stable of running backs returning led by Asim Rose and returns one of the best offensive lines in the conference. Nobody knows how good this receiving unit is because… well… they never threw the ball last year.
The defense returns most of their starters after finishing 21st in the nation last year. The unit is led by OLB Jamar Watson who returns after a 6.5 sack season.
Final Outlook: People will overlook Kentucky, but this is a legitimate team in the East. It may not be sexy, but they’ll win a lot of games by running the ball and playing good defense.
16. Florida State Seminoles
Projected Record: 6-4
At quarterback, James Blackman is back, but he has just been average during his time at Florida State. Freshman Chubba Purdy (brother of Brock Purdy at Iowa State) is talented and has a real chance to overtake the starting job. Jashaun Corbin (A&M transfer) will compete with Khalan Laborn for time in the backfield, while WR Tamarrion Terry is coming off an almost 1200 yard season They will need someone to step up as a second option at receiver. The main goal for the Seminoles this year is will be try to have an offensive line that isn’t an embarrassment. If they can improve, the offense may surprise some people.
On defense, they have talented defensive lineman with DT Marvin Wilson and DE Joshua Kaindoh. The defense also returns starters at linebacker and in the secondary with some solid players including corners Akeem Dent and Asante Samuel Jr. The secondary is also led by safety Hamsah Nasirildeen. The defense has talent, but will need to improve as a unit.
Final Outlook: Florida State’s talented defense and improved offense separates them from the rest of the ACC Atlantic (other than Clemson).
17. Iowa State Cyclones
Projected Record: 6-3
The Cyclones may have finished 7-6, but their five Big 12 losses were by just an average of a little over 4 points per game. Returning is one of the conference’s best quarterbacks in Brock Purdy and almost a 1,000 yard rusher in Breece Hall. Even with one of the top quarterbacks in the nation this offense will face its share of challenges. Particularly on the offensive line after losing four starters and at the skill position where options are limited.
On defense, Iowa State returns the bulk of their starters from last year that finished as one of the best in the Big 12 (not saying much). The unit is led by DE JaQuon Bailey, LB Mike Rose, and safety Greg Eisworth in 2020.
Final Outlook: Matt Campbell transforming Iowa State into a consistent winner in the Big 12 is impressive. The Cyclones have the opportunity to advance to be a true Big 12 championship contender, but replacing almost their entire offensive line will be tough.
Projected Record: 6-4
Coach Lashlee is the new Offensive Coordinator after leaving Baylor. He inherits QB D’Eriq King as the new leader of the offense after his transfer from Houston. King doesn’t have many proven options at receiver and will need Dee Wiggins and Will Mallory to prove reliable. King however will have one of the top tight ends in the country with Brevin Jordan. At running back Cam’Ron Harris will take over for Deejay Dallas. Miami needs to figure out how to develop the offensive line after an abysmal year.
Miami returns talent to a top twenty defense. DE Gregory Rousseau and Quincy Roche (Temple/AAC Defensive POY) lead the defensive line along with UCLA transfer Jaelen Phillips. All three give Miami plenty of options rushing the passer. CB Al Blades Jr. and S Bubba Bolden are back to lead the strong secondary unit While Miami lost linebackers Shaquille Quarterman and Michael Pinckney to the NFL, Zach McCloud should take over nicely.
Final Outlook: Miami was a strong defense with absolutely no offense last year. King gives them a spark on offense so they can actually compete for the ACC Coastal this year.
19. Pittsburgh Panthers
Projected Record: 6-4
On offense, Pittsburgh struggled to move the football last season. The Panthers need starting QB Kenny Picket to take a step forward after throwing 13 TDs and 9 INTs. Taysir Mack will be the best receiver returning and AJ Davis ran for 530 yards last year. Pittsburgh also returns four out of five starters on the offensive line.
Pitt’s front seven is one of the best in the ACC. Last year they were third in the nation in sacks and return defensive end Patrick Jones. Pittsburgh will also have four returning starters to a strong secondary from last season. Pitt’s defense ranked 15th in the nation last year and might be even better in 2020.
Final Outlook: The defense will carry this group as a tough opponent for anybody. A dominant defense and decent offense could make Pittsburgh a surprise contender in the ACC.
20. Virginia Cavaliers
Projected Record: 5-5
Virginia had a great year and competed with Florida in the Orange Bowl. The task now is replacing QB Bryce Perkins. The competition will most likely be between Keytaon Thompson (Mississippi State transfer) and Brennan Armstrong. Not only must they replace the quarterback, but also the top two wide receivers with Hasise Dubois and Joe Reed. Terrell Jana will be poised to become the number one option coming off a 886 yard receiving year. Virginia has a strong offensive line, but will also need to find a reliable running option since Bryce Perkins was the main rushing threat last season.
The defense will be a strength for Virginia who returns most of their starters to a top 50 defense. The strength is in the front seven with linebackers Noah Taylor, Charles Snowden and Zane Zandier. Safety Joey Blount returns to lead a decent secondary.
Final Outlook: The offense replaces too much after a cinderella season last year. Virginia could still possibly compete for the ACC Coastal, but I don’t think it will be likely.
21. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Projected Record: 4-5
The first season didn’t go quite as planned for Matt Wells. However, the 2020 Red Raiders are poised for a breakout. Alan Bowman is a talented passer who has unfortunately had his first two seasons cut short. RB SaRodorick Thompson is a workhorse and he will have help in the backfield with Alabama graduate transfer Chadarius Townsend. The Red Raider wide receivers is a deep unit with T.J Vasher along with Erik Ezukanama, Dalton Rigdon, McClane Mannix, and Seth Collins. The offensive line is solid on the interior, but Tech will have to replace both tackles. Expect this offense to be among the Big 12’s best.
As always with Tech, defense will be the issue. The Red Raiders are replacing first round pick Jordyn Brooks and NFL draft pick DT Broderick Washington. There are still some solid players left including DE Eli Howard back as the primary pass rusher and two solid linebackers with Riko Jeffers and JUCO transfer Krishon Merriweather. Defensive backs are a huge issue after finishing 128th last season. They return starters to the secondary, but will have to make an improvement if they want to contend in the Big 12.
Final Outlook: Expect a bounce back year for Texas Tech after a tough 4-8 season with many close loses. The offense will be great and the defense will be not as terrible as last year.
22. Louisville Cardinals
Projected Record: 5-5
Coach Satterfield’s offense put a little life into this team last year including promoting RB Javian Hawkins who finshed with over 1500 yards.. The offense is led by their receiving group of Tutu Atwell, Dez Fitzpatrick, and Marshon Ford. The issue will be the offensive line who last year (other than departed first-round pick Mekhi Becton) was not good. QB Malik Cunningham will also have to continue to improve.
While offensively Louisville improved, defense remains an issue after finishing 102nd in the nation. Louisville returns multiple starters including linebackers CJ Avery, Dorian Etheridge, and Rodjay Burns.
Final Outlook: Coach Satterfield has improved the offense, but the defense has a ways to go. Louisville should be a .500 team this fall.
23. Baylor Bears
Projected Record: 4-5
Former Coach Matt Rhule did a fantastic job bringing Baylor back to double digit wins for the first time since 2015. New coach Dave Aranda takes over now with major work to do after losing major talent off last year’s squad. QB Charlie Brewer is back as one of the best in the Big 12. However, the offensive line must improve and they need a replacement for dynamic WR Denzel Mims.
The defense is an even bigger issue as they return just two starters with LB Terrel Bernard and CB Raleigh Texada. The defense was absolutely gutted by graduates and early departures to the NFL. Arkansas State grad transfer DE William Bradley-King will ease some of the growing pains and make an immediate needed impact.
Final Outlook: This Baylor team is nothing like last year’s 11-3 team. While Charlie Brewer is a fine quarterback, the defensive exodus is too big to overlook. Baylor will compete in the middle of the Big 12.
24. Ole Miss Rebels
Projected Record: 3-7
What new Head Coach Lane Kiffin does with this offense will be interesting. Ole Miss finished as a top three SEC offense and top ten national rushing offense. Ole Miss returns both QBs John Rhys Plumlee and Matt Corral along with thalented sophomore rusher Jerrion Ealy. WR Elijah Moore is also solid finishing with 850 yards last season, but they will need another receiving option to step up. The offensive line should also be a decent unit for the Rebels.
On defense, Ole Miss was absolutely burned through the air finishing 120th nationally. The secondary and interior defensive line are the areas of concern. However, Ole Miss has a talented linebacker unit with Lakia Henry, Jacquez Jones, and MoMo Sanogo. The sack leader DE Sam Williams also returns. With the added experience, Ole Miss should make an improvement.
Final Outlook: Ole Miss is an extremely intriguing team going into 2020. Ole Miss is talented enough to surprise a few teams with their offense under Lane Kiffin.
25. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Projected Record: 3-7
Mike Leach had his biggest victory getting KJ Costello as a grad transfer quarterback from Stanford. Costello and returning RB Kylin Hill should be the best at their respective positions in the SEC. The questions remain how Mike Leach can install his air raid offense with Mississippi State’s lack of top end receivers and an adequate offensive line. Alabama grad transfer WR Tyrell Shavers should play right away alongside Osirus Mitchell.
The defense took a step back last year from a unit in 2018 that was one of the nations best. Mississippi State may make another regression after losing some key starters. The defensive line will be the strength with Nathan Pickering and Kobe Jones leading. LB Erroll Thompson is also extremely talented and the leader of the defense.
Final Outlook: Mississippi State has a talented quarterback and running back, but installing Leach’s offense in year one may be difficult. Add in an average defense and a .500 season seems likely.
26. TCU Horned Frogs
Projected Record: 4-5
QB Max Duggan was back after an up-and-down freshman year, but an undisclosed heart condition leaves TCU without a proven QB. The starting quarterback won’t have much help returning after losing four starting offensive linemen, first round pick WR Jalen Reagor, and their top two running backs. TCU did receive some great summer news that five-star RB Zachary Evans and Nebraska transfer WR JD Spielman would be joining the team. While he does have some issues off the field, Evans has the talent to start right away for the Horned Frogs. Spielman will also be WR1.
TCU will have to be led by their defense which was ranked the best in the Big 12. TCU has one of the most talented safety tandems in the nation with Ar’Darius Washington and Trevone Moehrig. Leading tackler LB Garrett Wallow (125 tackles) is also back to lead the defense. In order to increase their sack total from just 22 last year, TCU landed Oklahoma grad transfer DE Mark Jackson. TCU has enough returning talent to make up for the players lost to the NFL including DT Ross Blacklock, CB Jeff Gladney, and safety Vernon Scott.
Final Outlook: TCU missed out on a bowl last year and has its challenges replacing the talent they lost to the NFL. However, head coach Gary Patterson will have this defense ready. TCU is not a serious contender to compete for the Big 12 championship game, and without Max Duggan for a portion of the year should finish in the middle to bottom of the Big 12 standings.
27. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Projected Record: 4-6
Former starting QB Jamie Newman transferred and is replaced with QB Sam Hartman who saw some action last year. They only return three starters to the offense, however Sage Surrat is one of the best receivers in the country, but will need someone else to step up. The rest of the unit includes an offensive line that returns the interior and RB Kenneth Walker who averaged 5.7 yards per carry last year.
Defensively, Carlos Bashum is back after a 11 sack season and returns with three other defensive line starter. At linebacker Wake Forest brings back a nice duo of Jacquez Williams and Ryan Smenda. The challenge will be replacing the secondary.
Final Outlook: Wake Forest replaces a lot of starters, but never doubt Dave Clawson to put together a solid football team in a weak division.
28. Kansas State Wildcats
Projected Record: 3-6
Head Coach Chris Kleiman overachieved in his first season with the Wildcats finishing 8-5 and even upsetting Oklahoma. 2020 will be tougher. The offensive line is the issue as they replace everyone. Yes, the Wildcats have to replace the center, the two guards, and the two tackles. This is a team that relies on the offensive line. QB Skylar Thompson is a capable, but Kansas State only has one other returning starter. This offense may have a rough year.
On defense, Kansas State has DE Wyatt Hubert Jr. leading the unit following his 7-sack season. LB Justin Hughes also returns after missing the year due to a torn ACL. The secondary was solid finishing 33rd in the nation in pass defense and returns most of their starters. Overall the defense will lead this 2020 team.
Final Outlook: Chris Kleiman is a fantastic coach. But with how many starters the Wildcats lost on offense… 2020 might be a challenge to just finish in the middle of the Big 12.
29. Arkansas Razorbacks
Projected Record: 2-8
The offense and defense were abysmal in their 2-10 season last year. However, this 2020 Arkansas team could surprise some people with a great staff put together by head coach Sam Pittman which includes offensive coordinator Kendall Briles and defensive coordinator Barry Odom. The offense returns eight starters and adds Florida grad transfer QB Feleipe Franks. This is a decent enough offense, especially with 1100 yard rusher Rakeem Boyd, to take a step forward from last season.
The defense landed quite a few graduate transfers including Clemson DE Xavier Kelly, Oklahoma LB Levi Draper, and Arkansas State CB Jerry Jacobs. The group should help the six returning starters to the defensive unit. The defense is led by second leading tackler from last season LB Bumper Pool. The Razorbacks will improve from their 110th ranked defense last year.
Final Outlook: This team’s outlook looks much better than last year as there is some decent talent sprinkled throughout the roster. Arkansas is facing one of the hardest schedules as they play all top 7 teams in the SEC. Still, look for Arkansas to win their first SEC game since 2017.
30. Missouri Tigers
Projected Record: 3-7
It will be a major test for new Head Coach Eli Drinkwitz. The offense has a new starting quarterback with Shawn Robinson, transfer at TCU. While Robinson displayed a talented arm during his time at TCU, he was often inconsistent with his accuracy. Add in an inconsistent offensive line and this offense might struggle. At the skill positions Missouri has only a few legitimate options including RB Larry Roundtree and Virginia Tech graduate transfer Damon Hazelton (All-ACC recognition the past two years).
Missouri’s defense was actually good last year ranking in the top 20. Drinkwitz was impressed enough to keep the entire defensive coaching staff. The defense returns most of its starters including LB Nick Bolton, a potential first round pick and SEC leader in tackles. Safeties Tyree Gillespie and Joshuah Bledsoe are a strong safety combination and 310-pounder DT Kobie Whiteside (6.5 sacks) is a disrupter.
Final Outlook: This is where the bottom of the SEC East starts. While Missouri should have a solid defense, their offense is filled with questions. The questions are amplified as Head Coach Eli Drinkwitz didn’t have the opportunity to install his offense during spring practice. Don’t expect anything special from Missouri.
31. West Virginia Mountaineers
Projected Record: 2-7
Last year was an expected down year for West Virginia, but they were still competitive down the stretch. Austin Kendall and Jarret Doege will be the QB battle to watch going into the Fall. Kendall started most of the games last year, but the Mountaineers had more success in the three games Doege started. The Mountaineers additionally lost most of its offensive line. The receivers are actually pretty solid with Sophomore Sam James coming off a 69 catch season and established former Alabama receiver T.J. Simmons.
Defensively, the Mountaineers should make an improvement to an average defense last year getting most of their starters back. Another Alabama transfer Vandarius Cowan will look to impact the defense along with DL Darius Stills and safety Tykee Smith. The corner position is young and questionable after losing both starters from last year.
Final Outlook: I think Jarret Doege holds onto the starting quarterback role and the Mountaineers continue to be competitive in head coach Neal Brown’s second season. However, it is too challenging of a road to finish in the middle of the Big 12.
32. NC State Wolfpack
Projected Record: 3-7
Coming off a 4-8 season. There isn’t a lot to get excited for on offense with QB Devin Leary leading the group. Last year Leary completed only 48% of his passes for only 8 TDs and 5 INTs. Other than that they have a few good skill players including Zonovan (Bam) Knight coming off 745 yard season and WR Emeka Emezie. NC State also return all five starting offensive lineman which will help.
The defense didn’t play great last year and must replace most of their starters. There are a few young promising players, but this is going to be a project.
Final Outlook: NC State’s offense and defense might both struggle in 2020. It is hard to get excited for this team unless quarterback Devin Leary takes a huge step forward.
33. South Carolina Gamecocks
Projected Record: 2-8
The offense is filled with more questions than answers. It starts at quarterback where sophomore Ryan Hillinski must make an improvement after only completing 58.1% last year. There are rumors floating out of Columbia it will actually be Colorado State QB Collin Hill taking the starting snaps. Either way the quarterback will have to find help as the receivers are unproven and the offensive line is average. The lone bright spot was freshman MarShawn Lloyd, who was a top fifty recruit… but he was lost for the season. This offense is the definition of shaky.
A defense that was average last year loses a few key starters including first round pick Javon Kinlaw, DJ Wonnum, and TJ Brunson. The loss of these key Gamecocks leaves the defense with holes they may not be able to fill. However, South Carolina returns its sack leader from last year DE Aaron Sterling (6 sacks), the leading tackler Ernest Jones (97 tackles), and a talented cornerback duo of Jaycee Horn (son of Joe Horn) and Israel Mukuamu. There is also five-star true freshman DE Jordan Burch who should receive action right away.
Final Outlook: South Carolina will finish in the bottom half of the SEC East. With an offense full of questions, a defense who lost several key starters from last year, and an all-SEC schedule…getting over 3 wins will be a struggle.
34. Boston College Eagles
Projected Record: 3-7
Coming off a 6-7 season, Boston College hired new head coach Jeff Hafley (former Ohio State D-Coordinator). Quarterback Anthony Brown also transferred to Oregon and left the position wide open. The decision will most likely be between Dennis Grosel and Notre Dame transfer QB Phil Jurkovec. RB David Bailey steps into AJ Dillon’s role as an experienced runner rushing behind one of the best offensive lines in the ACC. They should keep to running the ball because Boston College lacks receiving threats other than Kobay White.
On defense Boston College returns a decent amount of starters… to a bad defense that finished 125th. LB Max Richardson and CB Brandon Sebastian are the few bright spots. With Coach Hafley, the defense will definitely finish better than 122nd in passing yards which is where it finished last year.
Final Outlook: Boston College is in a transition year. The goal for Coach Hafley is to run the ball and try to get back the tough nose Eagles teams from the past.
35. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Projected Record: 3-7
The Yellow Jackets continue their transition from running the option two years ago. The quarterback competition is wide open and could even result in freshman Jeff Sims beating out incumbant starter James Graham. RB Jordan Mason is a stud and true freshman Jahmyr Gibbs turned down powerhouse schools for the chance to play for the Yellow Jackets right away. At receiver, Georgia Tech returns everyone… but they will need the leader to have more than 396 yards like last year. The offensive line added two grad transfers and a good recruiting class which should help the continued transition.
The secondary leads the defense after finishing 36th in the nation last year. With most of the starters returning, including one of the best corners in the conference in Tre Swilling, they will be good again. Where the defense must improve is in the front seven.
Final Outlook: Georgia Tech is adding some serious talent in recruiting and should be a legitimate player in the ACC over the next few years. However, with too many young starters… expect just a slight improvement from last year.
36. Syracuse Orange
Projected Record: 2-8
QB Tommy Devitto is back, but the offense is tasked with replacing 1000 yard receiver Trishton Jackson and leading rusher Moe Neal. Look for RB Abdul Adams and WR Taj Harris to fill in.
Safety Andre Cisco is one of the best in the Nation as he leads the country in career interceptions. Other than him and the cornerback duo of Trill Williams and Ifeatu Melifonwu… there isn’t much to be optimistic about.
Final Outlook: Syracuse looks to just have an adequate offense and adequate defense. This is a program that has definitely lost steam since their 10-3 season in 2018.
37. Duke Blue Devils
Projected Record: 1-9
QB Chase Brice arrives from Clemson to take over the starting job. Brice won’t have many dynamic options at receiver like he did at Clemson. The best receiving option for the Blue Devils is senior TE Noah Gray. The offensive line is experienced with four starters returning. The running back Deon Jackson will try again to lead the offense coming off 641 yards and 6 TDs.
The defense is led by their DEs in Victor Dimukeje and Chris Rumph who combined for 15 sacks. In the secondary J’Marick Woods transfers from Michigan and should be an instant impact player. Safety Marquis Waters will be a key piece from last year and lead the secondary again. Duke has a chance to improve from last year where they ranked 57th, but continue to be an average defense.
Final Outlook: Duke has an average defense and a poor offense with not a lot of weapons. With the improvements to mid-tier ACC from last year, getting just a few wins will be an accomplishment.
38. Kansas Jayhawks
Projected Record: 2-10 (0-9 Big 12)
Les Miles needed all the magic to be 3-9 in 2019. The problem in 2020 is they don’t have a clear-cut starting QB. That is kind of important. What they do have is one of the best players in the Big 12 with RB Pooka Williams. The issue remains Pooka will be stuck behind a bad offensive line that also lost three starters.
The defense was terrible last year and after losing a ton of starters, they will most likely be terrible again. Young sophomore LB Gavin Potter is one of the few bright spots if you want to be impressed with something. But that is about all you can be impressed with… this defensive unit will finish close to last in the Big 12.
Final Outlook: Kansas is picking up their recruiting efforts, but it will take another year before they escape being the doormat of the Big 12. Bad offense… Bad Defense… The Mad Hatter has his work cut out for him.
39. Vanderbilt Commodores
Projected Record: 0-10
Vanderbilt doesn’t have a legitimate quarterback option as the competition is between freshman Ken Seals and JUCO transfer Jeremy Moussa. Vanderbilt also replaces a trio of key players on offense with RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn, WR Kalija Lipscomb, and TE Jared Pinkney. Not to mention the offensive line is also bad. All signs point to this being a historically terrible offense
Vanderbilt returns basically their entire defense… that finished 101st in the nation. Defensive lineman Dayo Odeyingbo is a legitimate player, but there aren’t many other bright spots on defense.
Final Outlook: Not only do I not think Vanderbilt will not win a SEC game, I don’t see them being competitive. The Vanderbilt offense could be historically bad and the defense is nothing to rely on. Vanderbilt is in for another rough season.
The Ducks biggest task will be replacing quarterback Justin Herbert. The competition will be between Boston College transfer Anthony Brown and Redshirt Sophomore Tyler Sholough. The new starter will be protected by the Oregon offensive line which returns 2021 top five pick Penei Sewell, but must replace all four other starters. At the skill position look for WR Johnny Johnson III and RB CJ Verdell to lead the group.
The Oregon Ducks defense will be one of the best in the nation. The Ducks get their entire defensive line back led by DE Kayvon Thibodeaux who had 9 sacks as a freshman. Senior DTs Jordon Scott and Austin Faoliu also should lead the way and are pro prospects. Linebackers are a young talented group where highly rated freshman Noah Sewell and Justin Flowe may contribute. The entire secondary is also back led by potential first round pick Jevon Holland. This is all pretty good for a team who ranked 9th in scoring defense last year.
Final Outlook: Oregon’s defense will be dominant, but the offense needs to develop if they have playoff aspirations.
2. California Golden Bears
Projected Record: 9-3 (7-2 Pac 12)
The key is keeping Chase Garbers healthy. Garbers was 8-0 when he played the entire game. Along with Garbers, Cal gets almost their entire receiving core back and also 914 yard rusher 230-pound RB Christopher Brown Jr. back. The offense also returns all of their offensive line starters which means Cal should have one of the best offenses in the Pac-12.
Cal last year was led by their defense. However they lose major contributors LB Evan Weaver, Safety Jaylinn Hawkins, and Safety Ashtyn Davis. Cal does return key corners Camryn Bynum and Elijah Hicks, as well as linebackers Kuony Deng. and Cameron Goode (9.5 sacks). While the defense does lose key starters, they should be solid again.
Final Outlook: Cal might be a surprise top-25 team to the general public, but they are legit.
3. Washington Huskies
Projected Record: 8-4 (6-3 Pac 12)
New head coach Jimmy Lake takes over for Chris Petersen. The biggest issue is what they will do at quarterback? None of the QBs have started a game, but Jacob Sirmon is the most likely to get the starting role. Sirmon has a strong arm, but accuracy is a question. The offensive line must also replace three starters. At receiver, Puka Nucua is a young talented guy and Terrell Bynum has shown promise. Overall, this offense is a big fat question mark going into next year.
The team will be led by the defense which ranked 15th in scoring defense returns almost everyone. Defensive back Elijah Molden last year led the team in tackles and interceptions. Molden is a potential All-American and first round pick. In the front seven, OLB Joe Tryon returns off a 8.5 sack season and DL Levi Onwuzurike will lead the defensive line.
Final Outlook: The offense struggled last year and I do not see them getting any better. The team will be led again by a strong defense.
4. Oregon State Beavers
Projected Record: 6-6 (4-5 Pac 12)
Oregon State is moving in the right direction after finishing 5-7 and winning four games in conference. Head Coach Jonathan Smith now enters his third season. The offense will have some challenges replacing QB Jake Luton, WR Isaiah Hodges, and three offensive linemen. QB Tristan Gebbia is ready to take over after seeing some action last year along with RB Jermar Jefferson. At receiver Champ Flemmings comes back and Florida State transfer Tre’Shaun Harrison may receive a waiver to play right away.
The defense has made major improvements from an absolute terrible defense in 2018. The front seven is excellent with their two top linebackers Avery Roberts and Omar Speight returning along with All-American DE Hamlicar Rashed (14 sacks). The secondary returns almost all of their starters as well.
Final Outlook: Coach Smith has made a tremendous turnaround to make Oregon State a competitive team in the Pac-12. Look for Oregon State to possibly make a bowl.
5. Stanford Cardinals
Projected Record: 6-6 (4-5 Pac 12)
KJ Costello transferred to Mississippi State and David Mills now takes over full time. The offense stunk in 2019, but return receivers Michael Wilson and Simi Fehoko. Austin Jones will have to step up at running back. The offensive line will be led by highly regarded offensive tackles Walker Little and Foster Sarrell.
Stanford used to always have a reliable defense… it was not in 2019. Now the defense has gone through additional loses with grad transfers on the defensive line and secondary going to SMU, Indiana, and UCLA. The linebackers lose three out of the four starters. What the defense does have are DE Thomas Booker and great cover corner Paulson Adebo.
Final Outlook: Stanford has taken a tumble and is no longer the Rose Bowl contenders from the past. They won’t finish 4-8 like last year, but don’t expect a major improvement.
6. Washington State Cougars
Projected Record: 5-7 (2-7 Pac 12)
New head coach Nick Rolovich takes over for Mike Leach. What the offense does have left is Max Borghi who is an underrated player and one of the best running backs in the Pac-12. The offense might be focused around him without an experienced option at quarterback. Cammon Copper is the most likely option to start. Washington State also loses their top three wide receivers. This offense will be nowhere near the top ten which they finished in last year.
The defense struggled last year giving up over 31 points per game. The defense is led by their linebacker group including Jahad Woods who is coming off a 141 tackle year. Safety Skyler Thomas is a multi-year starter coming off a 4 INT season. The defense should improve from being awful last year.
Final Outlook: An offense that is falling back to average and a not great defense? The Cougars will be fighting in the bottom of the Pac-12.
Pac 12 South
1. USC Trojans
Projected Record: 9-3 (8-1 Pac 12)
USC is coming off an 8-5 season, but finished 7-2 in the conference. The offense is loaded with Kedon Slovis at QB and a talented group of receivers including Amon-Ra St. Brown, Tyler Vaughns, Drake London, and 5-star redshirt freshman Bru McCoy. The run game is led by Vavae Malepeai, but USC does not run the ball much with Graham Harrell at Offensive Coordinator. Four of the five offensive linemen return with first-round pick Austin Jackson the only one leaving. He will be replaced by All-Pac 12 offensive lineman Alijah Vera-Tucker who will move from left guard to left tackle.
The defense struggled last year, finishing 6th in the Pac-12. However, almost the entire defense returns in 2020. DE Drake Jackson leads the group coming off an All-Pac 12 second team year as a freshman. DL Jay Tufele was named USC defensive lineman of the year. Safety Talanoa Hufanga leads the secondary as a tackling machine with 141 tackles over his 18 career games. Also safety Isaiah Pola-Mao is a very active safety with 73 tackles and 4 INTs.
Final Outlook: Good offense? Check. Good Defense? Check. Worst division in college football? Check. There should be no reason Clay Helton can’t lead USC to a Pac-12 South division title.
2. Arizona State Sun Devils
Projected Record: 8-4 (5-4 Pac 12)
Arizona State was a pleasant surprise at 8-5 with QB Jayden Daniels coming off a fantastic freshman season. However, the Sun Devils will be tasked with replacing RB Eno Benjamin, WR Brandon Aiyuk, and WR Kyle Williams. WR Frank Darby is returning after a 600 yard season and a major deep threat option. Another issue is the offensive line, who struggled last year and must replace three starters. Obviously Herm Edwards sees the issue and brought in graduate transfer offensive tackles Henry Hattis (Stanford) and Kellen Diesch (Texas A&M).
The defense returns eight starters from a defense that ranked 35th in scoring defense. The defense is good against the run, but will need to improve getting to the quarterback finishing with just 26 sacks on the season. DE Jermayne Lole is back after leading the group with 6.5 sacks. The linebackers are a position of strength with Darien Butler leading the group. The secondary is also loaded with talent including corners Chase Lucas and Jack Jones.
Final Outlook: Arizona State will be USC’s biggest threat in the South. Coach Herm Edwards in his third season might be able to take the next step turning the Sun Devils into a top-25 team.
3. Utah Utes
Projected Record: 7-5 (4-5 Pac 12)
The offense was alright last season, but must replace some key pieces. Graduate transfer QB Jake Bentley (South Carolina) most likely takes over for Tyler Huntley and RB Devin Brumfield replaces Zack Moss. The leading receiver on this team is Tight End Brant Kuithe, which means having an actual receiver step-up will help the offense. A brightspot for the offense is the offensive line returns four starters and JUCO four-star Bamidele Olaseni.
The defense was fantastic last year finishing second overall in total defense. However, Utah loses nine starters from that 2019 defense. Only DE Mika Tafua and LB Devin Lloyd return. Utah has to replace the entire secondary and will have to start some young players.
Final Outlook: A really young defense and not much fire power on offense means the Utes will take a step back from their 11-3 season last year.
4. Arizona Wildcats
Projected Record: 5-7 (3-6 Pac 12)
QB Grant Gunnell is back after a few impressive performances as a freshman, even outplaying Khalil Tate. There aren’t many proven skill position players, but they do have Oregon grad transfer WR Brenden Schooler and WR Jamarye Joiner. RB Gary Brightwell will take over for JJ Taylor who was a key piece to the offense over the past few years. Arizona does have a good offensive line that brings most of their starters back from last year.
Arizona’s defense returns a lot of starters but will need an increase in production after finishing 120th last year. The unit was going to be led by linebackers Colin Schooler and Tony Fields, but it sounds like Tony Fields might be transferring. Add in a secondary that struggled last year and lost top CB Jace Whitaker, the defense won’t be great again
Final Outlook: With a bad defense and a questionable offense, Arizona will be fighting just for a bowl game this year.
5. UCLA Bruins
Projected Record: 5-7 (2-7 Pac 12)
Chip Kelly had UCLA to 3-9 in 2018 and 4-8 in 2019. Maybe they can be 5-7 in 2020? Chip Kelly hasn’t turned around UCLA as planned. Dorian Thompson-Robinson made a step in his sophomore year, but he is still completing less than 60% of his passes. RB Demetric Felton and Duke Grad Transfer RB Brittain Brown will attempt to replace Joshua Kelley. Additionally, UCLA doesn’t bring much back at receiver. The Bruins offensive line was young last year and returns three starters.
The defense ranked 11th in the Pac-12 and was just flat out bad. In the secondary, the Bruins lost their best corner with Darnay Holmes. They will try to replace him with Stanford Grad Transfer Obi Eboh. Additionally, UCLA replaces four starters at linebacker and the defensive line is dangerously thin. DT Osa Odighizuwa leads the defensive line.
Final Outlook: It is year three for Chip Kelly and there is still not much talent on the roster. The only saving grace is the bottom of the Pac-12 South is also horrible.
6. Colorado Buffaloes
Projected Record: 3-9 (1-8 Pac 12)
Colorado hired Karl Dorrell after Mel Tucker’s exit to Michigan State. Returning at quarterback is Tyler Lytle who threw a total of 1 pass last year. Other than K.D. Nixon, there isn’t many other options at receiver. The Buffs return the entire running back stable including lead RB Alex Fontenot along with most of their offensive line which should help the running attack.
On defense they were bad last year giving up 31.8 points per game. Safety Derrion Rakestraw is a strong starter, but will need someone else to step up in the secondary. The Buffs return their entire defensive line including sack leader (5.5 sacks) DE Terrance Lang. 113 tackle leader Nate Landman returns and is the leader of the defense.
Final Outlook: Coach Mel Tucker didn’t leave much talent in Boulder. With a new quarterback and struggling defense, this could be a rough season.
QB Jordan Fields is back, but the offense will need to replace RB J.K. Dobbins and a trio of WRs KJ Hill, Binjimen Victor, and Austin Mack. Even with the losses at these skill positions Ohio State still has great options including receivers Chris Olave, Garrett Wilson, and true freshman Julian Flemming. The offense also got a huge boost with Oklahoma transfer RB Trey Sermon, who should take over the starting role. The line will continue to be a strength with three returning starters led by potential first round guard Wyatt Davis.
The defensive line replaces a few key starters including elite All-American Chase Young. The Buckeyes have some veteran defensive line players ready to step in, but the unit won’t be as dominant as last year. Instead the Linebackers will lead the defense in 2020 as one of the best in the country with Baron Browning, Tuf Borland, and Pete Werner. The biggest question for Ohio State is replacing two first round NFL cornerbacks in Damon Arnette and Jeffrey Okudah, as well as All-Big Ten safety Jordan Fuller. Other than returning cornerback Shaun Wade, there’s many unknowns in the secondary. There is also a depth question after two senior defensive backs for Ohio State were kicked off the team in February following Felony kidnapping and rape charges.
Final Outlook: Ohio State is the clear number one Big Ten title contender with an easier conference schedule. However, the defense isn’t as strong as last year after key losses in the secondary and defensive line. The offense should carry this team to a Big Ten title, but I think this team is not as strong as last year’s team. I project a Playoff semi-finals loss for the Buckeyes.
This is a talented Penn State team that will go as far as returning QB Sean Clifford takes them. Clifford has his limitations, but if he makes a jump the Nittany Lions are a true contender in the Big Ten. At running back they are set with Journey Brown (202 yards in the Cotton Bowl) and high-upside Noah Cain. The biggest challenge for the Nittany Lions is a wide receiver stepping up to replace KJ Hamler. WR Jahan Dotson most likely takes over that role, but he isn’t as dynamic as Hamler. Their best receiving threat right now is TE Pat Freiermuth who is one of the best in the nation. The offensive line has experience returning four starters.
On defense, LB Micah Parsons opted out for the 2021 NFL Draft as one of the best in the nation and a certain first round pick. Two of the linebacker spots will be filled by new starters including Ellis Brooks and former five-star Brandon Smith. On the defensive line they have to replace Yetur Gross-Matos, but returning DE Shaka Toney (6.5 sacks in 2019) should help with that. The biggest weakness is at defensive back where they started a young group last year. CB Lamont Wade is a rising star, but will need the rest of the group to pick it up.
Final Outlook: This is Head Coach James Franklin’s most talented team in seven seasons in Happy Valley. What could keep them from beating Ohio State and winning the Big Ten East is the lack of offensive explosion with QB Sean Clifford. If Clifford takes a step forward, the playoffs are possible.
3. Michigan Wolverines
Projected Record: 5-4
Wins: Michigan State, Indiana, Rutgers, Maryland
Losses: Minnesota, Wisconsin, Penn State, Ohio State, Iowa
The new quarterback at Michigan will be unproven Joe Milton. The offense will be deep at running back with the return of Chris Evans, Zach Charbonnet, and Hassan Haskins. At receiver Michigan loses Donovan Peoples-Jones to the NFL and Tarik Black to Texas, but the return of Nico Collins and Ronnie Bell should keep the unit solid. They also have a talented tight end in Nick Eubanks. The offensive line will be the Wolverines biggest issue replacing four starters who all were drafted in the NFL.
On defense, Michigan returns a decent amount of starters back with the strength being at defensive end with Kwity Paye and Aidan Hutchinson. Also, look for safety Dax Hill to have an All-Big Ten in his second season in Michigan.
Final Outlook: Michigan will be led by their defense as the offense has multiple uncertainties. Jim Harbaugh and the Wolverines shouldn’t be surprised with another season where they lose at least three games.
4. Indiana Hoosiers
Projected Record: 5-4
Wins: Penn State, Rutgers, Maryland, Purdue, Nebraska
Indiana actually has a pretty good offense. After finishing in the Big Ten top five in points per game and the second leading passing offense, Indiana will look to have the same production. It is led by talented QB Michael Penix who returns his top receiving targets last year with receivers Whop Philyor, Ty Fryfogle, and TE Peyton Hendershot (I promise these aren’t NCAA 14 randomly generated names). RB Stevie Scott also returns after having 2000 yards in the past two seasons. The offensive line also returns most of their starters after an average performance last year.
The defense was not great last year, but returns most of their starters. The unit is led by leading tackler LB Micah McFadden. While the defensive tackles are strong with Jerome Johnson and Demarcus Elliott, Indiana will have to find an edge rusher capable of getting to the QB. The secondary needs improvement also.
Final Outlook: Indiana was a surprise last year finishing 8-5. Look for something similar as their offense will shock the average college football fan. If someone wants a potential sleeper top 25 team, Indiana is a great answer.
5. Michigan State Spartans
Projected Record: 3-6
Wins: Rutgers, Indiana, Maryland
Losses: Michigan, Iowa, Northwestern, Ohio State, Penn State, Illinois
The offense has not been great over the past few years and now they have to replace quarterback Brian Lewerke with either Rocky Lombardi and Theo Day. What may save the offense is RB Elijah Collins, who is a talented runner and should have a 1,000 yard season. The offensive line was bad last year and will need an improvement from their returning starters. At wide receiver Jayden Reed will finally get to play after being a Freshman All-American at Western Michigan in 2018, but they’ll need someone else to step up to make this offense watchable.
The defense was solid last year, but the Spartans return just three starters to the defense. One of the lone brightspots is LB Antjuan Simmons, who is an absolute stud.
Final Outlook: Coach Mel Tucker will spend his first year with the Spartans behind following a late arrival to campus and spring practice getting cut. Add the questionable talent on the roster and this might be a tough year.
Quarterback Josh Jackson was NOT GOOD as he finished the year completing below 50% of his passes. There remains a chance that redshirt freshman QB Lance LeGendre ends up taking over the starting roll. Whoever starts at QB will have a decent receiving core with Dontay Demus, Jeshaun Jones, and five-star freshman WR Rakim Jarrett. At running back Maryland loses their top two starters, but have talented true freshmen Peny Boone and Isaiah Jacobs (Brother of Oakland Raiders Josh Jacobs) coming in. The offensive line returns three starters.
The defense also goes through a transition losing their two starting corners and safety Antoine Brooks. Maryland returns a few players to their front seven, but depth is a concern.
Final Outlook: The season was a disaster for the Terps. In the last seven games, the offense scored just 13.7 points per game. It won’t get any easier coming off their 3-9 season and 20 players in the transfer portal. Mike Locksley has increased the level of recruiting, but it may still take another year for Maryland to go bowling.
The quarterback battle will be between Nebraska grad transfer Noah Vedral and returning QB Artur Sitkowski. This should be Vedral’s job to lose as Sitkowski’s 5 TDs and 20 INTs over the past two years doesn’t signal much confidence. RB Isaih Pacheco is the lone skill player bright spot on the offense. The offensive line was horrendous last year and return only one starter. In year one under Schiano the line will involve a lot of JUCO transfers having to play right away… which means the offensive line will not be good again.
The defense returns a decent amount of starters, but there aren’t many Big Ten starting caliber players. This rebuild will take time.
Final Outlook: Greg Schiano returns with a massive rebuild job in front of him. The strategy so far has been to hit the transfer portal, but only Michigan DT Michael Dwumfour is immediately eligible. Rutgers will need a few years of Schiano’s recruiting to be competitive.
Spring practice would’ve given redshirt freshman QB Graham Mertz a chance to provide at least some competition. But with no spring ball, senior QB Jack Coan will again lead the Badgers. The challenge for the Badgers is replacing 2,000 yard rusher Johnathan Taylor. RB Nakia Watson is the most likely candidate as the second leading rusher last year. The receivers are unproven as they have to replace senior Quintez Cephus. TE Jake Ferguson was actually the second leading receiver last year and returns to the Badgers. The key for Wisconsin and the biggest strength is four of their five starting offensive linemen are back.
The defense was one of the best in the Big Ten in 2019 and only lose two starters (although they were key starters in OLB Zack Baun and ILB Chris Orr). The Badgers have the experience to replace Baun and Orr on the linebacking group and should continue to thrive. Also, the strong defensive line returns everyone. In the secondary, Caesar Williams and Faion Hicks are experienced corners, and safety Eric Burrell leads the unit. The Badgers defense should be a top ten unit in the country.
Final Outlook: Wisconsin will be led by a strong defense and a decent offense. While they may not have the fire power to beat Ohio State, the Badgers should give them a fight.
Minnesota returns quality starting QB Tanner Morgan behind an offensive line that returns everyone. Add one of the best receivers in the Big Ten with Rashod Bateman, quality starting WR Chris Autman-Bell, and solid running back Mohamed Ibrahim… this looks like a pretty fun offense.
The questions for the Golden Gophers are around the defense. Nine of the top twelve tacklers are gone including four that were drafted in the NFL. This includes All-American Antoine Winfield Jr., who was an ultimate playmaker for the Golden Gophers. Minnesota returns one defensive lineman starter and is the weakness of the defense. The secondary will continue to be alright with CB Coney Durr and Safety Jordan Howden leading.
Final Outlook: Minnesota will have one of the best offenses in the Big Ten, but can Coach P.J. Fleck replace the key losses on the defensive side? Either way, Minnesota is Wisconsin’s biggest competition in the west.
QB Spencer Petras likely takes over the starting role left by Nate Stanley. The offense will be led by running backs Tyler Goodson, coming off a great freshman season, and Mekhi Sargent. The receiving core returns everyone including explosive WR Ihmir Smith-Marsette. Although they lost talented OT Tristan Wirfs, they still have left tackle Alaric Jackson, one of the best centers in the country and a group of other strong, experienced lineman.
The defense was stout last year, only giving up 14 points per game. DE Chauncey Golston will have to step-in for A.J. Epenesa. The linebackers will most likely be led by experienced LB Djimon Colbert and Nick Niemann. The secondary will have to replace stud CB Michael Ojemudia and safety Geno Stone. The probable replacements include safety Jack Koerner and experienced senior CB Matt Hankins.
Final Outlook: Iowa’s an interesting team that could surprise some this year. If Spencer Petras steps into Nate Stanley’s shoes alright, Iowa might be a surprise Big Ten West champion.
4. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Projected Record: 3-6
Wins: Northwestern, Illinois, Purdue
Losses: Ohio State, Wisconsin, Penn State, Iowa, Minnesota, Indiana
Will Adrian Martinez actually make a step-up? That is the big question going into 2020. RB Dedrick Mills is back for his senior year after being a workhorse in 2019. WRs Omar Manning and Wan’Dale Robinson makes up a decent receiving core as Manning is a highly touted JUCO transfer and Robinson is an explosive, do-it-all player. Another bonus is the offensive line returns all of their starters.
The defense made a slight improvement in 2019, but also lose six starters in 2020. This includes three on the defensive line which will be a project. The defensive unit will most likely be led by their secondary including corners Cam Taylor-Britt and Dicaprio Bootle.
Final Outlook: The media hyped up Nebraska way too much last year, even projecting them to win the West. Nebraska should have a good team, but winning the division is out of the question.
5. Illinois Fighting Illini
Projected Record: 4-5
Wins: Purdue, Rutgers, Northwestern, Michigan State
Lovie Smith took a step forward in 2019 making a bowl game, finishing 6-7, and even upsetting Wisconsin. Will Illinois actually have a winning record in 2020? Lovie Smith loves his transfers and will have stud WR Josh Imatorbhebhe back for another year. After sitting out, former Georgia TE Luke Ford is also eligible. They will join former Michigan QB Brandon Peters and four returning starting offensive lineman. The key for Illinois will be trying to find someone to run the ball.
The linebackers are a strength with Jake Hansen and Mileo Eifler returning. The secondary is also a strength with safety Sydney Brown and corners Tony Adams and Nate Hobbs. Young DB Marquez Beason is also looked at as a young playmaker who will make an impact this year. Where Illinois needs help is along the defensive line where it’ll be tough to replace Oluwole Betiku’s 9 sacks.
Final Outlook: Illinois is no longer looked at as a bottom dweller following last season, but Lovie Smith still has a ways to go before they’re a contender. Expect 2020 to look just like 2019.
Purdue was rough last year finishing 4-8. The biggest question is who will be the starting quarterback? The competition is between Jack Plummer, Aidan O’Connell, and UCLA grad transfer Austin Burton. Burton has looked good in limited action at UCLA, while Plummer and O’Connell received starting snaps with Purdue. The receiving threats are stacked with 1000 yard receiver David Bell and potential first round pick Rondale Moore. Purdue returns four starters to the offensive line but finished 126th in rushing yards per game last year.
Defensively Purdue was horrible, allowing over 430 yards per game. The defensive line actually has some depth and talent including freshman All-American DE George Karlaftis and DT Lorenzo Neal. However, the talent in the secondary and at the linebacker position are lacking.
Final Outlook: Purdue should have a better season than in 2019, but the defense will continue to be a weakness. With one of the best duos at receiver with Rondale Moore and David Bell, the offense will have to carry the team.
The Wildcats have taken a major fall since winning the Big Ten West in 2018. Their offense was terrible averaging a little over 16 points per game. The four quarterbacks that played last year combined for only six touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Based on their performance from last season, incoming Indiana grad transfer Peyton Ramsey should win the job with no problem. Northwestern have a stable of running backs returning, but will have to find some skill players at the wide receiver position other than Riley Lees. Left tackle Rashawn Slater is one of the best in the Big Ten and leads the offensive line.
Northwestern has one of the Big Ten’s best group of linebackers with seniors Blake Gallagher, Paddy Fisher, and Chris Bergin. The secondary also returns almost all of their starters from a strong group last year. The key will to find someone who can rush the passer on the defensive line.
Final Outlook: The offense will be slightly improved and the defense should be solid. However, finding wins in the Big Ten is tough, especially when you play Penn State from the Big Ten East. Expect a more competitive Northwestern team than last year.
We are down to the last week in the College Football Playoff. The debate is heating up and there are six teams that will have their playoff chances decided this weekend. Here is a look at what I believe each of these 6 teams need to do in order to lock up a playoff spot:
1. Alabama (11-1)
Their Resume: Alabama has been very impressive since their one loss at Ole Miss. The Crimson Tide has three wins against top 25 teams after a rivalry win against Auburn. A win this weekend will give them everything you look for. Quality wins, only one quality loss and a conference championship in the toughest conference in the nation. They also pass the eye test with a great stretch of games against LSU, Mississippi State and Auburn.
What they need to do to make the playoffs: A win against Missouri on Saturday will not only clinch a playoff spot, but more than likely the number one seed in the playoffs. A loss in the SEC Championship would diminish their chances, but not totally put them out. They would need some help most likely two out of these top six teams to lose.
.What they have left: SEC Championship Vs. Missouri
2. Oregon (11-1)
Their Resume: They have three top 25 wins and a very good non conference victory against Michigan State. Oregon hasn’t even had a close game since their loss against Arizona beating teams by an average of 24 points. The Oregon Ducks will have a shot at the conference championship against Arizona which will just add to their impressive resume.
What they need to do to make the playoffs: Friday is amust win for Oregon against Arizona that will be for the conference championship. If they lose I do not see them getting a shot at the playoffs. With a win I believe they will be right there in the second seed for the playoffs.
What they have left: Pac-12 Championship Vs. Arizona
3. Florida St. (12-0)
Their Resume: They’re still undefeated. Florida State continues to find ways to win close games against average teams. They do not have a signature victory as they’ve only beaten the number 19th and 21st ranked team. Notre Dame looked like a signature win, but they have been exposed as an average 7-5 team. They really haven’t passed the eye test, but you have to give them credit for going undefeated. They will have another chance to add to their resume against their toughest opponent yet with Georgia Tech in the ACC Championship.
What they need to do to make the playoffs: They need a win and they’re in. Going undefeated and winning the ACC Championship will be plenty for getting a bid to the College Playoff. With a loss I believe Florida State is done and do not have a chance at the playoffs. In case of a loss, Florida State would not have a signature win on their schedule.
What they have left: ACC Championship Vs. Georgia Tech
4. TCU (10-1)
Their Resume: TCU had a big statement blowout against Texas on Thanksgiving day. They have looked good all season and pass the eye test. TCU also has two top 25 wins on their resume with a very impressive blowout of Kansas State. Their one downfall is losing a close game at Waco against Baylor. Baylor is also fighting for a playoff position, but I believe TCU right now has looked better and has a better resume with their non conference victory against Minnesota. A win this weekend will also give them a share of the Big 12 championship.
What they need to do to make the playoffs: The four spot in the playoffs is where things get interesting. TCU has one more chance to be impressive to look good for the playoff committee against Iowa State. I believe they will need to beat them soundly to stay in the top four with Ohio State and Baylor on their heels. If Baylor looks good this weekend it could lead the committee to look at Baylor and TCU as a tie, which I believe Baylor would get the nod due to head to head.
What they have left: Vs. Iowa State
First 2 Out
5. Baylor (10-1)
Their Resume: Baylor has impressive victories against Oklahoma and TCU, with a chance for a third against Kansas State this weekend. They have one bad loss against West Virginia by fourteen points that I believe holds them back. They also only won by two points against Texas Tech this past weekend. Their non conference also includes SMU, Northwestern State and Buffalo. I believe right now TCU has the advantage over Baylor in the eye test and a better resume. That could change this weekend as a win will most likely give them a share of the Big 12 championship with TCU.
What they need to do to make the playoffs: Baylor needs a win and to look good doing it against Kansas State. TCU has looked better than them and they do not have the resume that TCU does. A convincing victory over Kansas State could change that. I believe if it is neck and neck between TCU and Baylor then the victory over TCU gets them into the playoff.
What they have left: Vs. Kansas State
6. Ohio State (11-1)
Their Resume: Ohio State will have a chance to add to their resume with the Big Ten championship this weekend against Wisconsin. However, they do lack quality wins as the only top 25 victory they have is against Michigan State. They also have a bad loss against Virginia Tech. They have looked good since that loss, but do not have the quality wins to jump Baylor or TCU. Another wrinkle to their resume is that JT Barrett looks to be done for the year and they will have to rely on Cardale Jones. The playoff committee does consider injuries, so I do not believe they will put an Ohio State team without their starting quarterback over Baylor or TCU.
What they need to do to make the playoffs: They need to win against Wisconsin and do it convincingly. Cardale Jones must look good in order to pass the eye test in front of the committee. I do not believe they have the resume to pass TCU or Baylor. More than likely I believe they are going to have to rely on a few losses in front of them to make the playoffs. I think they are a distant third behind TCU and Baylor for that fourth spot after the JT Barrett injury.
What they have left: Big Ten Championship Vs. Wisconsin
The College Football Playoff Debate is heating up. With only three weeks to go in the season, the playoffs should include four of these seven contenders. Here are my current rankings of the top 7 contenders:
1. Alabama (9-1)
What they have going for them: Alabama has looked like the best team recently with a 59-0 win against A&M, a win at LSU and against Mississippi State. Their one loss was a close game in Oxford against the 8th ranked Ole Miss Rebels. Based on the eye test, leading the SEC and a big win against Mississippi State makes Alabama the top team.
What they have against them: Alabama currently only has one top 25 victory. This past weekend wasn’t a great weekend for Alabama past opponents. LSU lost to Arkansas and Texas A&M lost to Missouri. However, if they win out they will have wins against Auburn and the SEC East which should give them the Resume they need to be the number one team
What they have left: Vs. Western Carolina, Vs. Auburn, SEC Championship
2. Oregon (9-1)
What they have going for them: They have three top 25 wins and probably one of the most impressive resumes around. Currently Oregon has taken down the teams ranked 10th, 11th and 20th. Their only loss was a close one against 15th ranked Arizona. Oregon has also been playing extremely well since the October 2nd loss with an average victory of 21.6 points.
What they have against them: Oregon really doesn’t have a signature win. They have a lot of good wins, but the lack of a signature win separates Alabama from Oregon. The SEC in my opinion has been a better conference this year then the Pac 12 also.
What they have left: Vs. Colorado, At Oregon State, Pac-12 Championship
3. Florida St. (10-0)
What they have going for them: They’re undefeated. Florida State has found a way to win every game they have been in. They have played some decent teams with wins against Notre Dame, Clemson, Louisville and Miami. It looks like they will run away with the ACC Championship.
What they have against them: They do not have a win over a top 25 team. The non-conference win against Oklahoma State looks even worse now that they are 5-5. With this soft schedule, they haven’t looked impressive in their victories. If it was only about going undefeated Marshall would be a top 4 team. Florida State is in the top four because they are undefeated, but one loss I believe would eliminate them from playoff contention.
What they have left: Vs. Boston College, Vs. Florida, ACC Championship
4. TCU (9-1)
What they have going for them: TCU has an impressive resume this season. So far they have two wins against top 25 teams Kansas State and Oklahoma. Their one loss was a close one against Baylor in Waco. If they win out it looks like they will be Co-Champions of the Big 12.
What they have against them: They stay in the top four, despite their struggle to beat a bad Kansas team. Even though they still won, it does keep the distance between them and Mississippi State much smaller. If they do end up Co-Champions with Baylor the committee will most likely look at Baylor as the champions.
What they have left: At Texas, Vs. Iowa State
5. Mississippi State (9-1)
What they have going for them: They are a one loss SEC West team whose only loss was to a very good Alabama team. They have a quality win over Auburn and could get another quality win in the Egg Bowl over Ole Miss. Mississippi State passes the eye test too with Dak Prescott and a very good defense.
What they have against them: Just like Alabama they currently have only one win against a top 25 opponent. However, they are not in position to play in the SEC championship. With one of the criteria the committee looks at being conference champions, it could leave Mississippi State out of the top four teams. Right now they are on the fringe with their resume, but there is a possibility they get pushed out by a conference champion.
What they have left: Vs. Vanderbilt, At Ole Miss
6. Baylor (8-1)
What they have going for them: Baylor has two impressive victories against Oklahoma and TCU. The win against TCU means if they win out they will be looked at by the committee as the Big 12 champions. Other than their one loss Baylor has looked pretty impressive winning at an average of 34.5 points per game. Baylor still has Kansas State left which would give them another impressive victory.
What they have against them: They have one bad loss to West Virginia where they were beaten by 14 points. Baylor also has had a very soft non-conference schedule playing SMU, Northwestern State and Buffalo. The main thing that will hold them back is a combination of the weak schedule and loss to West Virginia.
What they have left: Vs. Oklahoma State, At Texas Tech, Vs. Kansas State
7. Ohio State (9-1)
What they have going for them: Ohio State has played much better since the loss to Virginia Tech. JT Barrett has improved throughout the season which has led to their 8 game winning streak. They also have a solid win at East Lansing over Michigan State. Right now it looks like they are in line to be in the Big Ten championship against Wisconsin.
What they have against them: An early loss against a bad Virginia Tech (5-5) team at home is their killer. They also only have the one signature win against Michigan State on their resume and The Big 10 is not as strong as the other major conferences so their soft schedule plays against them. They will need to have an impressive finish to the season to be in that final four.
What they have left: Vs. Indiana, Vs. Michigan, Big Ten Championship