TGIS College Football Preview – Week 4

OVERALL RECORD: 189-154-1 (55.1%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 18-16-1 (53%)

We have started just OK in 2022. However if you have been paying attention to the Miller Lite Minute… we are an astounding 7-2 through the first three weeks with two undefeated weeks (for you three game parlayers out there). We are going to have a great week 4… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 4 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#10 Arkansas +2 vs. #23 Texas A&M UNDER 48.5 – 6:00pm

Texas A&M showed a slight improvement to the offense against Miami… but it still was not great. I’d expect a low scoring game with Arkansas loving to run the ball and Texas A&M attempting to do whatever they do with Max Johnson. Arkansas has had really bad injury luck to their defensive backs, but returns a few guys including starter Myles Slusher for this game. Texas A&M won’t be able to take advantage anyways…

Pick: Arkansas 21-17.

TOP PICKS OF THE WEEK

#17 Baylor +3 at Iowa State UNDER 46 – 11:00am

This Baylor team averaged 3.6 yards per play against BYU. Meanwhile, the Iowa State Cyclones averaged just 4 yards per play against Iowa. These are two average offenses that won’t be able to score. Expect a low scoring, tough battle in Ames. Also give me the 3 points with the Baylor Bears.

TCU -2 at SMU – 11:00am

The Battle of the Iron Skillet is set to be played in Dallas, Texas. I really like TCU as they have a better defense and the more talented team. Expect quite a bit of points, but TCU to pull it off especially after SMU’s performance against Maryland. TCU 38-31

#5 Clemson -7 at #21 Wake Forest – 11:00am

Wake Forest had just 11 yards rushing from their running backs against Liberty and you expect them to stay within a touchdown of Clemson? No way, Clemson by double digits.

#20 Florida +11 at #11 Tennessee – 2:30pm

Tennessee’s offense will score, but Florida can keep this a single digit ball game. I expect it to be like the 7 point game Tennessee played with Pittsburgh (the close game between Florida and USF was a look ahead game… write it off).

Minnesota -3 at Michigan State – 2:30pm

The Michigan State secondary is absolutely garbage. Offensive coordinator Kirk Ciarrocca and quarterback Tanner Morgan will be able to take advantage. Minnesota wins decisively.

Notre Dame at North Carolina -1.5 – 2:30pm

The battle of a bad offense (Notre Dame) verse a poor defense (North Carolina). The difference here is that North Carolina’s offense is the best unit of the bunch with one of the top quarterbacks in the nation: Drake Maye. North Carolina wins this and the Notre Dame nightmare season continues.

Texas at Texas Tech UNDER 60 – 2:30pm

The Texas defense is much improved from last year and that will give Texas Tech quarterback Donovan Smith some trouble, especially considering his interceptions issues the last few games. Additionally, Texas has been much more conservative with Hudson Card in the lineup than when they let Quin Ewers sling the ball around. The under 60 is the play here.

#7 USC -6.5 at Oregon State – 8:30pm

USC’s offense looks fantastic. But the defense is still an issue as they gave up over 6 yards per play with Fresno State quarterback Jake Haener still in the lineup (before he was injured). The Oregon State offensive line, one of the best in the Pac-12, may be able to take advantage. But this is too much offense for Oregon State to keep up. USC 45-35.

#13 Utah -14.5 at Arizona State – 9:30pm

Utah will get back to dominate football and Arizona State may just quit after their coach Herm Edwards was fired this past week. Utah runs away with it.

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