TGIS College Football Preview – Week 7

OVERALL RECORD: 208-169-5 (55.2%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 37-30-4 (55.2%)

TGIS was HOT in week 6 going 9-4-1. This puts us at 55.2% on the year which is also the exact same percentage we have overall (also congrats to us for hitting 200 wins). But the 24 hour celebration rule has expired, enough partying. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 6 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#3 Alabama -7 at #6 Tennessee – 2:30pm

Will Bryce Young start? Will he not start? That is the question every bettor has to ponder for the TGIS Game of the Week. If Bryce Young does start, this line is way too low as Tennessee’s secondary is a below average unit. However, if Jalen Milroe starts, this line is too high as Tennessee has a great run defense and can focus on shutting down the run. On the offensive side it is going to be a great battle between Tennessee’s wide receivers: Cedric Tillman (I bet he plays), Jalin Hyatt, and Bru McCoy and Alabama’s secondary. However, Tennessee will need to get the ball out quick because nobody in the country can block Will Anderson and Dallas Turner. Overall, I think there is a 70% chance Bryce Young plays and this is gambling… so give me the advantageous line of -7.

Pick: Alabama 38-27

Top Picks of the Week

Iowa State at #22 Texas -16 – 11:00am

Iowa State can’t score at all. Meanwhile, Texas with Quinn Ewers at quarterback has been statistically one of the best offenses in the nation. Texas in a blowout at home.

#19 Kansas +9 at Oklahoma OVER 62.5 – 11:00am

I know, Dillon Gabriel should be back. But Kansas showed they can still move the ball with backup QB Jason Bean last week against TCU when they averaged 7.5 yards per play. Lance Leipold has an entire week to game plan with Jason Bean now and I think they can have success against a really bad Oklahoma defense. Kansas keeps this close with their backup QB…. and also POINTS POINTS POINTS.

Minnesota at #24 Illinois OVER 38 – 11:00am

I still believe in Minnesota’s offense with Tanner Morgan at quarterback and Kirk Ciarocca at OC. The Golden Gopher offense had one bad game against Purdue, but still averaged over 5 yards per play. On the other side of the ball, Illinois could have some success in the run game with Chase Brown. Give me the over 38.

#8 Oklahoma State at #13 TCU OVER 68.5 – 2:30pm

I’ll keep it short and sweet… I don’t trust either defense. Over hits in a very high scoring game.

Arkansas -1.5 at BYU – 2:30pm

Another quarterback injury question, will KJ Jefferson start? I’m not sure it matters as all year BYU has struggled to stop the run. Arkansas will run it on them all day in Provo, Utah. Arkansas by a touchdown.

#25 James Madison at Georgia Southern +12.5 – 3:00pm

James Madison has only played one tough game this year… that was App State where it was a close one score game. I love the James Madison story, but getting double digit points on the road is disrespectful to Georgia Southern. Give me the points.

#4 Clemson -3.5 at Florida State – 6:30pm

Florida State  has had some major injuries including Jared Verse. This is not a deep Florida State team either where the backups are not Power 5 ready players. I did a double take with this line and I’m going to take the bait. Clemson takes care of business and wins by over a touchdown.

#16 Mississippi State -4 at #22 Kentucky – 6:30pm

The theme this week is quarterback questions and if there is no Will Levis, there is no chance Kentucky keeps this within one score. Backup QB Kaiya Sheron is a huge drop off in talent level. Not to mention they will most likely miss their top two wide receivers in this game. The line is way too low, Bulldogs win big.

#7 USC +3.5 at #20 Utah OVER 63 – 7:00pm

I still do not trust the USC defense, especially against the run. However, I’m not really trusting Utah’s defense after giving up 42 to UCLA. USC and Utah will both be able to put up points. I like the over and the cover.

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