TGIS Ten Piece – Week 7

By: Nick Radivoj

Onto Week 7 and we hope it treats us as kind as Week 6 did as we went 7-3 on the weekend giving us a total 33-27 (55%) on the year. It’s unfortunate the amount of question marks we have leading into the weekend on star QBs but we will do our best to maneuver around the board as we dive right in to a packed weekend slate!

#10 Penn State (5-0) at #5 Michigan (6-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/15

Line: Michigan -7

O/u: 52

Both teams come into this contest undefeated on the year and set to kick off what is sure to be an exciting Week 7 of College Football. This game will feature 2 top running backs with Penn State’s Nick Singleton and Michigan’s Blake Corum  Corum has been the brightest point of Michigan’s offense this year but QB JJ McCarthy hasn’t looked too shbby himself throwing for over 300 yards last weekend against Indiana. In a Top 10 matchup like this, you would surely trust a veteran player to keep you in the game down towards the stretch but Sean Clifford doesn’t give me the warm and fuzzies with his roller coaster play over the years. After dropping a spot in the rankings, I believe Michigan will come ready to play aiming to run it up on Penn State but will ultimately land on the over here.

The Play: Over 52

#19 Kansas (5-1) at Oklahoma (3-3)

When: 12 PM on 10/15

Line: Oklahoma -69

O/u: 64.5

Kansas travels on the road after losing their first game last week losing by a touchdown against TCU. Oklahoma is trying to dust the cobwebs from off their face as after starting the year 3-0 they have followed that up with 3 straight losses. Oklahoma should be welcoming their QB Dillon Gabriel back this week from injury which should be a major boost to the offense which scored a thrilling 0 points last week against Texas. We shall see how a young Kansas team bounces back after facing adversity with Qb Jalon Daniels out for the season. Early in the week I was on Oklahoma when they were favored by 6.5 but now that the line crept up over the touchdown mark with a hook I can’t strongly back that. With how the defenses have looked for both teams throughout the year the over is where I find myself in the Big 12 matchup.

The Play: Over 64.5

#3 Alabama (6-0) at #6 Tennessee (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/15

Line: Alabama -7

O/U: 65.5

Alabama luckily sneaks out a win against Texas A&M last weekend and it shows as they drop 2 spots in the rankings this week. The biggest question here is if Heisman winning QB Bryce Young will play for Alabama this weekend. He left the game against Arkansas 2 weeks ago early into the 2nd quarter and hasn’t taken a snap since then. He was dressed and warming up on the sideline in both the second half of the Arkansas game and beginning of Texas A&M game so this pick is based on the understanding that he will be a go for this weekend. If not, I strongly recommend you grab Tennessee and the points as fast as you can. This game is a spot were Alabama comes back and asserts their dominance on the College Football world. Offense continues to look good behind Jahmyr Gibbs with Bryce back under center and defense steps up big against an explosive Tennessee offense.

The Play: Alabama -7

#8 Oklahoma State (5-0) at #13 TCU (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/15

Line: TCU -3.5

O/U: 68.5

Yet another undefeated Top 15 matchup of the weekend! Whatever you are doing Saturday afternoon you might need to reevaluate as you aren’t going to want to miss all the excitement. TCU jumps up to #13 in the polls after winning back-to-back ranked games against Oklahoma and Kansas putting up 93 points total in the 2 wins. It took every bit of the second half explosion between Kansas and TCU to reach what this total is currently at and unfortunately I think TCU comes back down to Earth a tad. The Sooners don’t have the defense they had last year but are going to manage some stops here against the Horned Frogs. The key here for our under is needing Oklahoma State to maintain possession for a healthy part of this game as they try to eliminate as many TCU possessionas possible by shortening this game.

The Play: Under 68.5

#15 NC State (5-1) at #18 Syracuse (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/15

Line: Syracuse -3.5

O/u: 44.5

You can pinch yourself because you aren’t dreaming with Syracuse remaining undefeated and Kansas being undefeated up until last week. Is this College Football or Basketball? Syracuse comes into this Top 25 matchup off a bye last week while NC State managed to come from behind 2 TDs to end up winning 19-17 last weekend against Florida State. Bigger news in this one is the health of NC State QB Devin Leary as he was seen wearing a sling on the sideline last week and is currently unknown whether he will play or not this upcoming weekend. I hate to play another total here but given Leary’s status I don’t feel comfortable playing either side and will land on under instead. NC State has shown throughout the year to have one of the best defensive fronts in the ACC and will manage to keep pressure on Syracuse throughout the afternoon. Syracuse in a close one but give us the under.

The Play: Under 44.5

Arkansas (3-3) at BYU (4-2)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/15

Line: Arkansas -1.5

O/u: 63

Both teams, come into this game formerly ranked and coming off a loss from last weekend. Arkansas has lost 3 straight but should have their QB KJ Jefferson back behind center. Meanwhile, Jaren Hall and the Cougars are looking to bounce back after falling to Notre Dame 28-20 last Saturday. Without sounding too much like a broken record, I would suggest once again to grab BYU plus the points if it comes out that KJ isn’t playing in this game. If he does, I fully believe in KJ Jefferson and the Razorbacks to get their season back on track after losing 3 straight. The running game of Jefferson combined with Rocket Sanders should be too much for BYU to contain throughout the afternoon.

The Play: Arkansas -1.5

LSU (4-2) at Florida (4-2)

When: 7 PM on 10/15

Line: Florida -2.5

O/U: 49.5

Last week’s game in Death Valley was over as quickly as it seemed to have started as Tennessee put it on LSU early as they capitalized on some early Tiger turnovers. Lucily, LSU doesn’t have to look out for as much offensive firepower here as Anthony Richardson and the Gators haven’t looked the part on offense after their opening win against Utah. I believe Brian Kelly will get his team back on track here and prepared for a battle in The Swamp – how lucky are Gators fans with another night game to watch their team? The outcome of this game lies heavily on the shoulder of Anthony Richardson as he can be a game changing quarterback but still has a lot to learn and clean up playing the opposition. Richardson has been a bigger threat on the ground than through the air this season. I wish we could have gotten the full 3 here with LSU but going to take the underdogs in this one.

The Play: LSU +2.5

#4 Clemson (6-0) at Florida State (4-2)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/15

Line: Clemson -3.5

O/u: 51

Florida State has dropped 2 straight after starting the year off hot winning their first 4. Clemson comes in unscathed with a perfect record under QB DJ U who has looked much improved from last season. If this game was a noon kickoff I would have no doubt in my mind that Clemson would run away here but with a night kickoff inside Doak Campbell I believe anything is possible. DJ has looked better than he has last year but I feel like the hostile atmosphere will have an impact on his play on the field and the Tigers’ offense as a whole. I believe the Tigers’ ultimately win this game but will play under instead as their offense struggled a little under the lights and their stout defensive line continues to eat up opposing quarterbacks.

The Play: Under 51

#16 Mississippi State (5-1) at Kentucky (4-25)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/15

Line: Mississippi State -7

O/U: 46.5

Death, taxes, and Kentucky football covering for me on the Ten Piece. This is assuming that Will Levis will be back for this game but with a night game under the lights I believe the Wildcts are a live underdog here in this one. Will Rogers and the Bulldogs offense has looked very impressive their last 2 games as they handedly beat Texas A&M and Arkansas. Key thing to note is that both of those wins were at home and it’s much more difficult in College Football to bring that same type of play on the road. I think Kentucky plays their game here allowing Chris Rodriguez and the run game to help them control the clock and keep this one close down to the wire.

The Play: Kentucky +7

#7 USC (6-0) at #20 Utah (4-2)

When: 8 PM on 10/15

Line: Utah -3.5

O/U: 63

USC’s offense has been relatively quiet over the past few weeks from what they had been putting on display to start the season. I expect Caleb Williams and the Trojan offense to get back on track and do more of the same of what UCLA did last week to this Utah defense. Meanwhile, Cam Rising and the Utes look to get back in the winners’ circle after dropping their second game this season losing to UCLA last Saturday. Utah brings a matchup that most Pac 12 teams can’t bring against USC as they are more power based as opposed to finesse.  The line is favorable for all of the Joe’s out there to take USC but I’m riding with Rising and Williams to give us a late night of points.

The Play: Over 63

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