OVERALL RECORD: 195-159-3 (55.1%)
2022 SEASON RECORD: 24-21-2 (53.3%)
Another OK, above 50% week for TGIS. But if you have been paying attention to the Miller Lite Minute… we are an astounding 10-3 through the first four weeks!! We are going to have the success of the Miller Lite bleed over into these week 5 locks… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:
Week 5 Game of the Week (All Times CST)
#2 Alabama at #20 Arkansas UNDER 61 – 6:00pm
Alabama has a top five defense in the nation and should be able to slow down Arkansas’ attack. Meanwhile, Alabama’s offense has not shown it can travel on the road (last five ranked road games 1-4 against the spread). If you were to take Arkansas +17.5 I wouldn’t hate it… But I like the under more.
Pick: Alabama 34-17.
TOP PICKS OF THE WEEK
#4 Michigan -10.5 at Iowa – 11:00am
Maryland kept up with Michigan in their 34-27 game because they could throw the ball around. That is something Iowa absolutely cannot do. Michigan takes care of business.
Purdue at #21 Minnesota -12.5 – 11:00am
Starting QB Aidan O’Connell is most likely out along with a few other players. Meanwhile, Tanner Morgan and offensive coordinator Kirk Ciarrocca are picking up where they left off after Minnesota’s 2019 season where they finished 11-2. Minnesota keeps rolling.
Wake Forest at Florida State -6.5 – 11:00am
Jordan Travis came back from injury against Boston College last week and looked fantastic. Wake Forest can’t stop anyone, Florida State wins this one by 10.
Virginia Tech at North Carolina OVER 51 – 11:00am
Notre Dame had scored 55 points all season before playing North Carolina… they then scored 45 points against them last week. Meanwhile the Tar Heels have scored more than 32 points in every game this season. Over easily hits.
#18 Oklahoma -6.5 at TCU – 2:30pm
TCU’s offense looked very good against SMU… but that was SMU Oklahoma will have a bounce back week and Venables will get the defense right. By the way… nothing is wrong with the Oklahoma offense after racking up 7.5 yards per play against Kansas State.
Michigan State at Maryland -7 – 2:30pm
I told you last week Michigan State’s secondary was trash. Maryland can throw the ball and take advantage. Maryland wins big.
Cal at Washington State UNDER 53.5 – 4:30pm
The offenses aren’t as good as they seem from last week (even though both team put up over 40 points). The number is inflated… expect a low scoring ugly game.
LSU -8 at Auburn – 6:00pm
Auburn has a terrible offensive line, they can’t run the ball, the wide receivers are not good, most of their quarterbacks are banged up… should I go on? LSU blows them out and this is Bryan Harsin’s last game as the head coach.
#10 NC State at #5 Clemson OVER 40 – 6:30pm
Clemson just played a 51-45 game and the Over/Under is 40 points??? Clemson’s secondary is still banged up and quarterback Devin Leary will be able to take advantage. I expect more of a 27-24 type of game.