NFL Fantasy | Thank God It's Saturday

Calvin Johnson

Johnson is the clear number one fantasy wide receiver in the NFL. He has the most talent and production out of anyone at the wide receiver position to put up high fantasy numbers. Last year he had almost 1500 yards and 12 touchdown, and he wasn’t even fully healthy. Expect big numbers from Megatron this year and don’t be afraid to use a late first round pick on him.

A.J. Green

You could go either way between A.J. Green and Demaryius Thomas. Green is my second rated wide receiver because he is the most targeted wide receiver in the NFL. He is a constant target for Dalton and a very good deep threat. He will have a few down week due to the inconsistency of Dalton, but expect another monster year for Green.

Demaryius Thomas

Thomas had a huge breakout year with Manning’s record breaking year. He finished second in the NFL in receiver fantasy points with over 1400 yards and 14 touchdowns. The question will be how much of a drop off Manning will have from his record breaking year. I don’t believe he will have the same production he did last year as he has two talented receivers around him in Emmanuel Sanders and Wes Welker along with decreased numbers from Manning. He will however finish in the top five in fantasy points out of receivers and have another great year with Peyton as his quarterback.

Julio Jones

Julio Jones was off to a monstrous start to the 2013 season before he got hurt and had to miss the final 11 games. Jones was on pace to be the top fantasy wide receiver last year and would have helped a sluggish Atlanta offense. Julio Jones does have injury concerns as he has struggled to stay on the field all 16 games. Expect a bounce back year for Julio though and be one of the top wide receivers in fantasy.

Dez Bryant

Bryant had a great year finishing 7^th in fantasy points, and second in touchdowns with 13. He remains Romo’s favorite target, especially in the red zone. Bryant sometimes disappears in the Dallas offense with seven games of single digit fantasy production. Bryant will have to become a little more consistent in the Dallas offense to become an elite wide receiver. However, his talent is there to have another great fantasy year with Romo and the Dallas offense.

Brandon Marshall

Marshall has been a tremendous wide receiver for the Chicago Bears the past two years. He has finished as a top five wide receiver in that time and a combined 25 touchdowns. He is a great red zone target and should continue being a very productive wide receiver. A possible negative could be Alshon Jeffery taking away some of his production, but I think the difference will be minor and both will flourish. Under Marc Trestman’s offense expect another great year for Brandon Marshall.

Jordy Nelson

Jordy has been Aaron Rodgers top wide receiver for the past few seasons and has been extremely productive. What hurt his production last year was the absence of Aaron Rodgers for half of the season. Although with the numbers Jordy put up when Rodgers played the entire game, he was projected for the season to finish as a top three wide receiver. That is elite production over names like Calvin Johnson, A.J. Green and Dez Bryant. Jordy Nelson is a solid wide receiver who should see a spike in production with Green Bay going to the hurry up offense and Aaron Rodgers being back. You can take Jordy Nelson and know you are getting a legitimate number one wide receiver.

Antonio Brown

Brown enjoyed an incredible breakout year with 110 catches and almost 1500 yards, almost doubling his production from the year before. He continues this year as the number one wide receiver for Ben Roethlisberger as he will try to replicate last year’s production. Emmanuel Sanders is also gone this year so look for his targets to possibly even increase. Brown is definitely a number one receiver this year despite not having the big name.

Alshon Jeffery

After a disappointing rookie season, Alshon Jeffery
had a breakout year finishing in the top ten in fantasy points for wide receivers. He has fit well in Marc Trestman’s offense stretching the field as a deep threat and shows a great ability to go up for jump balls. He will also explode for a great game every once in a while as he had over 200 yards twice last year. Still, Jeffery is not the top wide receiver on his, team so that hurts him a little in production. However, expect another good year from Alshon Jeffery and you can trust him as a good number one wide receiver.

10. Randall Cobb

Last year was supposed to be Cobb’s breakout year, however that ended quickly after his injury five games into the season. He had a few productive games going over 100 yards and a touchdown against the 49ers and the Redskins. In a contract year, look for this to be Cobb’s breakout year. He should get a lot of receptions running out of the slot and with Green Bay’s new hurry up offense. The downside is he could fail to produce up to number one wide receiver standards that we’ve come to expect from him. Take him as a fringe number one wide receiver as a guy with elite upside.

11. Vincent Jackson

The wide receiver position starts to dip a little bit right here with Vincent Jackson. Jackson has all the tools of a number one fantasy receiver, but his situation and consistency makes him a fringe number one wide receiver. He was incredibly inconsistent last year having three over 20 point games, but also having five games scoring 3 points or less. A lot of that has to do with the quarterback. Picking Vincent Jackson comes with a lot of risk, but the upside is there if there quarterback Josh McCown can be productive and reliable.

12. Andre Johnson

Johnson is still a very productive wide receiver despite not having a reliable quarterback and entering his 12^th season in the NFL. Andre Johnson remains a very good wide receiver and the clear number one for the Texans. However, he put up a lot of inconsistent weeks due to lackluster quarterback play. Now the Texans have Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback, but it is still up in the air how productive they can be together. That will be the risk when taking Johnson and whether he can be consistent week in and week out.

13. Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen had a very good rookie year becoming one of Phillip Rivers’s favorite targets. Look for Allen to take another step towards being a top ten wide receiver in his second year. He must become a bigger part of the offense though if he wants to become a number one wide receiver. Out of the top twenty fantasy wide receivers last year, Keenan Allen had the least amount of targets. Hopefully Keenan Allen can build off of last year’s rookie season and become a reliable fantasy wide receiver.

14. Pierre Garcon

Only one player last year had at least five catches ever single game last year. No it wasn’t A.J. Green, Demaryius Thomas or Megatron… it was Pierre Garcon. Garcon is highly underrated in fantasy football as a consistant weekly option. He won’t put any 2-3 point dud weeks as he his always in the game plan. He isn’t a deep threat, but he can be very successful with the number of receptions he gets. Look for the addition of Desean Jackson to help Pierre Garcon get open and more receiving yards. He should be looked at as a top 15 wide receiver and a top 10 wide receiver in PPR leagues.

15. Desean Jackson

Desean Jackson is a very good deep threat at the wide receiver position for the Redskins. This is a weapon that Robert Griffin III has not had during his NFL career. If RGIII can get back to his rookie form, look for Desean Jackson to have a great year. The risk with Desean Jackson is that he and RGIII do not have the deep threat chemistry and he struggles. It is a major risk/reward with Desean Jackson because he did finish as a top ten wide receiver last year. However, RGIII reliability is still in question which would make Desean Jackson inconsistent if the quarterback struggles.

Adrian Peterson

Peterson is the most talented running back in the league. He has consistently produced great fantasy numbers since he has gotten in the league and had another good year last year despite getting injured. He is the Minnesota Vikings offense right now so expect a lot of carries this year. He isn’t as big of a factor in the passing game as Jamaal Charles or Lesean McCoy, but he will give you consistent rushing stats with a lot of touchdowns. He is definitely worth the number one pick in your fantasy draft.

Jamaal Charles

Charles won a lot of fantasy playoff games this past year with his five touchdown performance against the Raiders. He finished as the highest scoring running back in the league last year and if you end up with him in your fantasy draft this year, expect another great season. He is the number one option in the air and on the ground in Andy Reid’s offense Last year he had 70 catches and 259 carries not to mention he was targeted in the passing game 104 times. Jamaal Charles has been an explosive back since he came to the league, take him early and know you got one of the elite fantasy backs this year.

Lesean McCoy

McCoy had a breakout year in Chip Kelly’s first season as he finished with the second most fantasy points out of running backs and easily had the most rushing yards out of any back. This year the Eagles hope to continue having their explosive offense and Lesean McCoy will take the lead role. The main reason I have Jamaal Charles above McCoy is the question of how much of an impact Darren Sproles will have on McCoy’s production. Sproles is an excellent receiver out of the backfield and McCoy could see a decrease in touches this year. Nonetheless Lesean McCoy remains a premier fantasy option and one of the young running back stars in this league.

Matt Forte

A lot of people say that there are three elite fantasy running backs this year, however I believe Forte should be in this category of elite running backs. He finished third in fantasy points for running backs last year and is a major factor in the receiving game. Last season Forte had more receptions than McCoy and Charles, it is an undervalued facet of his game. Forte to me is an elite fantasy back option, what keeps him a little bit behind the other three is the receivers Chicago has along with the great passing game. Still if you get Forte in your fantasy draft, know you have an elite fantasy running back you can rely on week after week.

Marshawn Lynch

Lynch had a great year last year finishing fourth in fantasy points. Lynch gets the benefit of playing for a team that runs it more than any other team in the NFL along with being a major goal line running back as seen by his league leading 12 Touchdown runs. A downside of Lynch is the possible emergence of Christine Michael and Robert Turbin. The Seahawks will most likely decrease the amount of carries Lynch gets and give the backups a bigger role in the offense. Another downside of Lynch’s game that keeps him from being elite is he has a limited role in the passing game. To be considered elite in my opinion, you have to be explosive receiver out of the backfield as well as on the ground to get maximize production. Even with these fall backs Lynch is a solid fantasy option in the first round due to his explosiveness on the ground as well as being a running back that will have a lot of touchdowns this year.

Eddie Lacy

Lacy had a great rookie year finishing 6^th in fantasy points for running backs despite getting injured throughout the year. Expect an even bigger year for this Alabama Running back as Green Bay looks to up the tempo up to having more plays throughout the game. Lacy also had to go half of last season with Aaron Rodgers being out of the lineup, leading to having to run against eight and nine man fronts. The Packers have also came out and said that Lacy should have a bigger role in the passing game. However, there is always an injury risk with Lacy as he is a very violent runner. Lacy should have a very good year playing for one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL and have an increase in touchdowns. Eddie Lacy definitely warrants a first round pick as a very good number one running back for your fantasy team.

Arian Foster

It seems like ages ago when he was elite fantasy running back, however when he has been healthy he’s been very good. Last year Foster missed major time, but when he did play he averaged a very good 4.5 yards per carry. The risk with picking Foster is if he will stay healthy as he has failed to do so the past two seasons. Foster also plays on a very offensively challenged Texans team right now and will have to consistently run against eight man boxes. The upside though is a top five fantasy back if he stays healthy and is able to return to his 2011 form.

Demarco Murray

Murray has had some great fantasy production in the past. He finished ninth out of fantasy running backs last year, despite missing time. Jason Garrett has a history of throwing the ball a little too much and not sticking with the ground game. Murray, like Foster, has a history of getting injured during the year. Murray is a first round running back who will provide great production, there is an injury risk when taking Murray though.

Doug Martin

At this point in fantasy rankings, the running back position begins to decline. After a great rookie season, Martin struggled a little bit at the beginning and his season ended early after a season ending injury. Doug Martin is back healthy this year and it is still to be determined if he will return to be the running back he was in his rookie year. If he is, he can have top five fantasy running back production. Martin is a risk to take in the first round, but could yield a big reward if he returns to rookie form.

10. Le’Veon Bell

Last year Bell had a pretty good rookie year. He never really exploded for any big games, but would put up at least 9-12 points a week. Le’Veon Bell is a big running back the Steelers like to use near the goal line. He is also used quite a bit in the passing game as seen by his 45 catches despite missing the first four games. Look for Bell to take a step up in yards and touchdown production as a reliable low end number one running back.

11. Alfred Morris

Morris is a back that will be very productive on the ground game. Last year he was third in the NFL in rushing yards. However the problems come in with the backup running backs getting his goal line touches. He still finished with a good 7 touchdowns, but that could have been more if he didn’t have running backs like Roy Helu stealing his goal line carries. Alfred Morris will also provide no additional yardage in the receiving game. In the entirety of last year, Morris totaled 9 catches for 78 yards. Morris is a non-factor in the receiving game, so you must only rely on his rushing stats. Morris is still a very reliable low end number one running back who will give you plenty of rushing yards and a touchdown every now and then.

12. Zac Stacy

I am a little lower on my outlook of Zac Stacy than a lot of people. Stacy had a surprisingly good rookie year as a low round pick out of Vanderbilt. When starting the Rams leaned heavily on giving the ball to Stacy, getting the ball between 25-30 times per game. However, Stacy at times was an ineffective runner averaging only 3 yards a carry some games. I believe the Rams will not lean as heavy on Stacy this year as seen with their second round selection of Tre Mason. Stacy will still be the top back, but will not get nearly the touches as last year. Look for Stacy to be a good number two running back as he will keep his fantasy numbers high being the goal line back.

13. Reggie Bush

Bush proved last year that he is still as explosive a running back as ever. Despite missing some time due to injury, Bush still finished with over a 1000 yards rushing and 500 yards receiving. Bush has a major role in the Detroit offense and can have some weeks where he really produces. The downside is his touchdown production will never be high due to Joique Bell getting the goal line carries. He also is a major injury risk as he does have a tendency almost every year to get hurt. He has shown the ability though to be a good low end number one running back when healthy and I believe he is an excellent 2^nd round pick.

14. Ryan Matthews

Matthews had a pretty good fantasy year finishing 10^th in fantasy points out of running backs. He did it mostly on the ground with over 1250 yards and 6 touchdowns. He had a limited role in the passing game last year with newly signed Danny Woodhead, so expect to see the same role as last year. Matthews is also an injury risk, suffering a high ankle injury last year with an injury. If he is able to stay healthy, expect good rushing numbers and fantasy points from the one time first round pick.

15. Montee Ball

Some people at the start of last year assumed Montee Ball would come in and be the top running back for the Broncos. However, Knowshon Moreno had a breakout year and finished fifth in fantasy points for running backs. With Knowshon gone, Montee Ball is now in position to be the top runner for the Broncos. Ball was a very good goal line running back in college and most likely will take that role over with Moreno gone. Ball really hasn’t showed the ability to be in the top 15 for running backs, but with the high powered offense expect Ball to have a lot of touchdowns and high fantasy production.

Thank God It's Saturday

Category Archives: NFL Fantasy

NFL Fantasy Wide Receiver Review

NFL Fantasy Running Back Review