Category Archives: College Football

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 8

By: Nick Radivoj

The upsets are beginning to take place as Week 7 left us with 2 Top 10 teams going down and earning their first loss of the season in USC and Alabama. Should we expect another one? Recapping Week 7, we went 7-3 on the weekend improving us to 40-30 (57%) on the year. Still plenty of exciting match ups in Week 8 as we have 5 Top 25 matchups. Let’s not waste anymore time and get to the picks!

Virginia (2-4) at Georgia Tech (3-3)

When: 7 PM on 10/20

Line: GT -3

O/U: 45.5

Growing up a Georgia Tech fan, I couldn’t resist the chance to talk about them on a relatively quiet week around College Football. Georgia Tech, funny enough, controls their own destiny in terms of winning the ACC Coastal division and playing in the ACC Championship. They are coming off 2 straight wins after letting go of HC Geoff Collins and are sitting at 3-3 on the year with a 2-1 ACC record. Meanwhile, Virginia shows to be one of the worst teams in the conference as they are currently 0-3 in conference play. Georgia Tech has captured lightning in a bottle now and continues their hot streak behind interim HC Brent Key.

The Play: Georgia Tech -3

Kansas (5-2) at Baylor (3-3)

When: 12 PM on 10/22

Line: Baylor -8

O/U: 59.5

Both teams enjoyed their short stay in the Top 25 as they find themselves on the outside looking in now. Even after their QB Jalon Daniels went down, Kansas still found some fire power on offense putting up over 40 in their defeat against Oklahoma. Baylor is also coming off a loss of their own as they lost to West Virginia 43-40 in Week 7 action. Really not too much to dive into here as Kansas shows repeatedly that their defense can’t stop a nosebleed but contains an offense to put up points with the best of them. Points and a lot of them.

The Play: Over 59.5

#14 Syracuse (6-0) at #5 Clemson (7-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/22

Line: Clemson -13.5

O/U: 50

The final 2 undefeated ACC teams are set to square off and catapult both of themselves hire in the polls with a victory. Both Syracuse QBs Garrett Shrader and Clemson QB DJ Uiagalelei have looked better than expected thus far this year but still show signs of lacluster play which could be capitalized on at any point. Clemson held a multiscore lead last week against Florida State but allowed the Seminoles to slowly creep back into the contest winning by only 6 at the end. I think they come back home and levelset their minds as they look to show the College Football world that they are back and should be noticed as a National Championship contender. Clemson dominates Cuse at home and tells the Orange to see them basketball season.

The Play: Clemson -13.5

#7 Ole Miss (7-0) at LSU (5-2)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/22

Line: LSU -1.5

O/U: 66.5

Ole Miss finds themselves entering Baton Rouge with an undefeated record and finds themselves atop the SEC West by themselves for the first time this year. Will their time at the top be short lived? I believe so as Jackson Dart and the Rebels team suffer their first loss of the season. They’ve shown signs of slipping the past few weeks and it may catch up with them here as LSU brings a different type of atmosphere and play they haven’t seen yet this year. Ole Miss accustomed to their 3-3-5 defense to slow down passing offenses will collide with an LSU ground game which may provide them an advantage.LSU takes this at home to find their 6th win in Brian Kelly’s short time as head coach.

The Play: LSU -1.5

#9 UCLA (6-0) at #10 Oregon (5-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/22

Line: Oregon -6

O/U: 70.5

Will another undefeated California team go down this weekend? After USC went on the road last weekend as underdogs losing to Utah, UCLA continues the trend as underdogs travelling to Eugene, Oregon. Dorian Thompson Robinson has rejuvenated a Bruin offense which high QB player looking like a different player this year. DTR brings a fun combination of athleticism combined with arm strength which is a deadly combo when finally tuned. Oregon continues their hot streak after falling to Georgia first game of the season behind Bo Nix. Both offenses are high powered and could easily fly over this total but not often do we recommend shooting over 70 point totals. Rather, we take the points with a hungry Bruin team who may suffer their first loss of the season but under a touchdown.

The Play: UCLA +6

#20 Texas (5-2) at Oklahoma State (5-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/22

Line: Texas -6

OU: 64.5

Ewers and the Longhorns were almost caught sleeping last weekend barely prevailing over Iowa State late. This could be because of a rather young Texas team or because of the fat they were looking ahead to this game and I believe the latter is more likely. Texas brings into town a rather scary combination with HC Sark’s offensive mind combined with DC Gary Patterson defensive game planning.. Spencer Sanders and the Cowboys almost upset division rival TCU last weekend but ended up losing in a game needing 2 overtimes. The team will surely be exhausted and deflated after leading for a majority of that game. Longhorn nation adds insult to injury as Ewers earns another win in his young career.

The Play: Texas -6

#24 Mississippi State (5-2) at #6 Alabama (6-1)

When: 7 PM on 10/22

Line: Alabama –21

O/U: 62

Alabama suffers there first loss to Tennesee in 15 years and come back home to face yet another Top 25 team in Mississippi State. Oddly, Mississippi State has been the opponent to face Alabama the past 3 times they have suffered a regular season loss. Unfortunately for them, the past 2 times have not been well for them and neither will this time s Alabama will surely get right in this game. I would love to be a fly on the wall in a Nick Saban practice right now as the team has continuously beat themselves with penalties and careless turnovers and it finally caught up to them. Will Anderson, Dallas Turner, and the defense will get back to playing elite football while Bryce gets the offense back clicking.

The Play: Alabama -21

Minnesota (4-2) at #16 Penn State (5-1)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/22

Line: Penn State -5

O/U: 44.5

Penn State comes back home after suffering their first loss of the season on the road against Michigan. Giving this one away early as I’m riding with the Nittany Lions here in a comeback spot for a night game in Happy Valley. They welcome in a Gopher team who has stumbled to score as of late having not surpassed 17 points in either of their past 2 games. Penn State and the night time atmosphere will keep Minnesota’s offense locked up while star RB Nicholas Singleton will show the world why he needs to be a household name. Penn State keeps their Big 10 hopes alive as they move to 6-1 on the year.

The Play: Penn State -5

Texas A&M (3-3) at South Carolina (4-2)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/22

Line: Texas A&M -3.5

O/U: 45

Death, taxes, and Texas A&M overs. This will be the recipe for success this year until th trend finally turns for us. TAMU has yet to show any explosion on offense but have shown time and time again to have a strong defense willing to play all 60 minutes. Jimbo does what he does best and leads a mediocre game plan up and down the field as clock burns quickly for us. TAMU defense will bottle up Spencer Rattler for a heavy part of the night and unless a few turnovers will lead to quick scores I think we can ship this one in.

The Play: Under 45

#17 Kansas State (5-1) at #8 TCU (6-0)

When: 8 PM on 10/22

Line: TCU –3.5

O/U: 58.5

TCU remains undefeated as they come from behind to take down Oklahoma State in double overtime last weekend. They look to stay perfect as they welcome in a Top 25 Kansas State team who always seems to find themselves playing spoilers. Kansas State has demonstrated capability to win games multiple ways either in a defensive battle or a offensive shootout and their opponent here my indicate what wy this goes as TCU has scored over 38 in every game thus far. Max Duggan and the Horned Frog offense stays hot and Kansas State is left with no other choice but to run with them.

The Play: Over 58.5

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 7

OVERALL RECORD: 208-169-5 (55.2%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 37-30-4 (55.2%)

TGIS was HOT in week 6 going 9-4-1. This puts us at 55.2% on the year which is also the exact same percentage we have overall (also congrats to us for hitting 200 wins). But the 24 hour celebration rule has expired, enough partying. LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 6 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#3 Alabama -7 at #6 Tennessee – 2:30pm

Will Bryce Young start? Will he not start? That is the question every bettor has to ponder for the TGIS Game of the Week. If Bryce Young does start, this line is way too low as Tennessee’s secondary is a below average unit. However, if Jalen Milroe starts, this line is too high as Tennessee has a great run defense and can focus on shutting down the run. On the offensive side it is going to be a great battle between Tennessee’s wide receivers: Cedric Tillman (I bet he plays), Jalin Hyatt, and Bru McCoy and Alabama’s secondary. However, Tennessee will need to get the ball out quick because nobody in the country can block Will Anderson and Dallas Turner. Overall, I think there is a 70% chance Bryce Young plays and this is gambling… so give me the advantageous line of -7.

Pick: Alabama 38-27

Top Picks of the Week

Iowa State at #22 Texas -16 – 11:00am

Iowa State can’t score at all. Meanwhile, Texas with Quinn Ewers at quarterback has been statistically one of the best offenses in the nation. Texas in a blowout at home.

#19 Kansas +9 at Oklahoma OVER 62.5 – 11:00am

I know, Dillon Gabriel should be back. But Kansas showed they can still move the ball with backup QB Jason Bean last week against TCU when they averaged 7.5 yards per play. Lance Leipold has an entire week to game plan with Jason Bean now and I think they can have success against a really bad Oklahoma defense. Kansas keeps this close with their backup QB…. and also POINTS POINTS POINTS.

Minnesota at #24 Illinois OVER 38 – 11:00am

I still believe in Minnesota’s offense with Tanner Morgan at quarterback and Kirk Ciarocca at OC. The Golden Gopher offense had one bad game against Purdue, but still averaged over 5 yards per play. On the other side of the ball, Illinois could have some success in the run game with Chase Brown. Give me the over 38.

#8 Oklahoma State at #13 TCU OVER 68.5 – 2:30pm

I’ll keep it short and sweet… I don’t trust either defense. Over hits in a very high scoring game.

Arkansas -1.5 at BYU – 2:30pm

Another quarterback injury question, will KJ Jefferson start? I’m not sure it matters as all year BYU has struggled to stop the run. Arkansas will run it on them all day in Provo, Utah. Arkansas by a touchdown.

#25 James Madison at Georgia Southern +12.5 – 3:00pm

James Madison has only played one tough game this year… that was App State where it was a close one score game. I love the James Madison story, but getting double digit points on the road is disrespectful to Georgia Southern. Give me the points.

#4 Clemson -3.5 at Florida State – 6:30pm

Florida State  has had some major injuries including Jared Verse. This is not a deep Florida State team either where the backups are not Power 5 ready players. I did a double take with this line and I’m going to take the bait. Clemson takes care of business and wins by over a touchdown.

#16 Mississippi State -4 at #22 Kentucky – 6:30pm

The theme this week is quarterback questions and if there is no Will Levis, there is no chance Kentucky keeps this within one score. Backup QB Kaiya Sheron is a huge drop off in talent level. Not to mention they will most likely miss their top two wide receivers in this game. The line is way too low, Bulldogs win big.

#7 USC +3.5 at #20 Utah OVER 63 – 7:00pm

I still do not trust the USC defense, especially against the run. However, I’m not really trusting Utah’s defense after giving up 42 to UCLA. USC and Utah will both be able to put up points. I like the over and the cover.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 7

By: Nick Radivoj

Onto Week 7 and we hope it treats us as kind as Week 6 did as we went 7-3 on the weekend giving us a total 33-27 (55%) on the year. It’s unfortunate the amount of question marks we have leading into the weekend on star QBs but we will do our best to maneuver around the board as we dive right in to a packed weekend slate!

#10 Penn State (5-0) at #5 Michigan (6-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/15

Line: Michigan -7

O/u: 52

Both teams come into this contest undefeated on the year and set to kick off what is sure to be an exciting Week 7 of College Football. This game will feature 2 top running backs with Penn State’s Nick Singleton and Michigan’s Blake Corum  Corum has been the brightest point of Michigan’s offense this year but QB JJ McCarthy hasn’t looked too shbby himself throwing for over 300 yards last weekend against Indiana. In a Top 10 matchup like this, you would surely trust a veteran player to keep you in the game down towards the stretch but Sean Clifford doesn’t give me the warm and fuzzies with his roller coaster play over the years. After dropping a spot in the rankings, I believe Michigan will come ready to play aiming to run it up on Penn State but will ultimately land on the over here.

The Play: Over 52

#19 Kansas (5-1) at Oklahoma (3-3)

When: 12 PM on 10/15

Line: Oklahoma -69

O/u: 64.5

Kansas travels on the road after losing their first game last week losing by a touchdown against TCU. Oklahoma is trying to dust the cobwebs from off their face as after starting the year 3-0 they have followed that up with 3 straight losses. Oklahoma should be welcoming their QB Dillon Gabriel back this week from injury which should be a major boost to the offense which scored a thrilling 0 points last week against Texas. We shall see how a young Kansas team bounces back after facing adversity with Qb Jalon Daniels out for the season. Early in the week I was on Oklahoma when they were favored by 6.5 but now that the line crept up over the touchdown mark with a hook I can’t strongly back that. With how the defenses have looked for both teams throughout the year the over is where I find myself in the Big 12 matchup.

The Play: Over 64.5

#3 Alabama (6-0) at #6 Tennessee (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/15

Line: Alabama -7

O/U: 65.5

Alabama luckily sneaks out a win against Texas A&M last weekend and it shows as they drop 2 spots in the rankings this week. The biggest question here is if Heisman winning QB Bryce Young will play for Alabama this weekend. He left the game against Arkansas 2 weeks ago early into the 2nd quarter and hasn’t taken a snap since then. He was dressed and warming up on the sideline in both the second half of the Arkansas game and beginning of Texas A&M game so this pick is based on the understanding that he will be a go for this weekend. If not, I strongly recommend you grab Tennessee and the points as fast as you can. This game is a spot were Alabama comes back and asserts their dominance on the College Football world. Offense continues to look good behind Jahmyr Gibbs with Bryce back under center and defense steps up big against an explosive Tennessee offense.

The Play: Alabama -7

#8 Oklahoma State (5-0) at #13 TCU (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/15

Line: TCU -3.5

O/U: 68.5

Yet another undefeated Top 15 matchup of the weekend! Whatever you are doing Saturday afternoon you might need to reevaluate as you aren’t going to want to miss all the excitement. TCU jumps up to #13 in the polls after winning back-to-back ranked games against Oklahoma and Kansas putting up 93 points total in the 2 wins. It took every bit of the second half explosion between Kansas and TCU to reach what this total is currently at and unfortunately I think TCU comes back down to Earth a tad. The Sooners don’t have the defense they had last year but are going to manage some stops here against the Horned Frogs. The key here for our under is needing Oklahoma State to maintain possession for a healthy part of this game as they try to eliminate as many TCU possessionas possible by shortening this game.

The Play: Under 68.5

#15 NC State (5-1) at #18 Syracuse (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/15

Line: Syracuse -3.5

O/u: 44.5

You can pinch yourself because you aren’t dreaming with Syracuse remaining undefeated and Kansas being undefeated up until last week. Is this College Football or Basketball? Syracuse comes into this Top 25 matchup off a bye last week while NC State managed to come from behind 2 TDs to end up winning 19-17 last weekend against Florida State. Bigger news in this one is the health of NC State QB Devin Leary as he was seen wearing a sling on the sideline last week and is currently unknown whether he will play or not this upcoming weekend. I hate to play another total here but given Leary’s status I don’t feel comfortable playing either side and will land on under instead. NC State has shown throughout the year to have one of the best defensive fronts in the ACC and will manage to keep pressure on Syracuse throughout the afternoon. Syracuse in a close one but give us the under.

The Play: Under 44.5

Arkansas (3-3) at BYU (4-2)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/15

Line: Arkansas -1.5

O/u: 63

Both teams, come into this game formerly ranked and coming off a loss from last weekend. Arkansas has lost 3 straight but should have their QB KJ Jefferson back behind center. Meanwhile, Jaren Hall and the Cougars are looking to bounce back after falling to Notre Dame 28-20 last Saturday. Without sounding too much like a broken record, I would suggest once again to grab BYU plus the points if it comes out that KJ isn’t playing in this game. If he does, I fully believe in KJ Jefferson and the Razorbacks to get their season back on track after losing 3 straight. The running game of Jefferson combined with Rocket Sanders should be too much for BYU to contain throughout the afternoon.

The Play: Arkansas -1.5

LSU (4-2) at Florida (4-2)

When: 7 PM on 10/15

Line: Florida -2.5

O/U: 49.5

Last week’s game in Death Valley was over as quickly as it seemed to have started as Tennessee put it on LSU early as they capitalized on some early Tiger turnovers. Lucily, LSU doesn’t have to look out for as much offensive firepower here as Anthony Richardson and the Gators haven’t looked the part on offense after their opening win against Utah. I believe Brian Kelly will get his team back on track here and prepared for a battle in The Swamp – how lucky are Gators fans with another night game to watch their team? The outcome of this game lies heavily on the shoulder of Anthony Richardson as he can be a game changing quarterback but still has a lot to learn and clean up playing the opposition. Richardson has been a bigger threat on the ground than through the air this season. I wish we could have gotten the full 3 here with LSU but going to take the underdogs in this one.

The Play: LSU +2.5

#4 Clemson (6-0) at Florida State (4-2)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/15

Line: Clemson -3.5

O/u: 51

Florida State has dropped 2 straight after starting the year off hot winning their first 4. Clemson comes in unscathed with a perfect record under QB DJ U who has looked much improved from last season. If this game was a noon kickoff I would have no doubt in my mind that Clemson would run away here but with a night kickoff inside Doak Campbell I believe anything is possible. DJ has looked better than he has last year but I feel like the hostile atmosphere will have an impact on his play on the field and the Tigers’ offense as a whole. I believe the Tigers’ ultimately win this game but will play under instead as their offense struggled a little under the lights and their stout defensive line continues to eat up opposing quarterbacks.

The Play: Under 51

#16 Mississippi State (5-1) at Kentucky (4-25)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/15

Line: Mississippi State -7

O/U: 46.5

Death, taxes, and Kentucky football covering for me on the Ten Piece. This is assuming that Will Levis will be back for this game but with a night game under the lights I believe the Wildcts are a live underdog here in this one. Will Rogers and the Bulldogs offense has looked very impressive their last 2 games as they handedly beat Texas A&M and Arkansas. Key thing to note is that both of those wins were at home and it’s much more difficult in College Football to bring that same type of play on the road. I think Kentucky plays their game here allowing Chris Rodriguez and the run game to help them control the clock and keep this one close down to the wire.

The Play: Kentucky +7

#7 USC (6-0) at #20 Utah (4-2)

When: 8 PM on 10/15

Line: Utah -3.5

O/U: 63

USC’s offense has been relatively quiet over the past few weeks from what they had been putting on display to start the season. I expect Caleb Williams and the Trojan offense to get back on track and do more of the same of what UCLA did last week to this Utah defense. Meanwhile, Cam Rising and the Utes look to get back in the winners’ circle after dropping their second game this season losing to UCLA last Saturday. Utah brings a matchup that most Pac 12 teams can’t bring against USC as they are more power based as opposed to finesse.  The line is favorable for all of the Joe’s out there to take USC but I’m riding with Rising and Williams to give us a late night of points.

The Play: Over 63

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 6

OVERALL RECORD: 199-165-4 (54.7%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 28-26-3 (51.9%)

We had a chance last week for our 200th victory overall. But we will get it this week as we are spraying the board. Oh and by the way… the Miller Lite Minute is 12-4 on the season. LET’S GET TO THE PICKS

Week 6 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#8 Tennessee -2.5 at #25 LSU – 11:00am

I guess this the game of the week? But anyways, LSU was lucky to win against Auburn after only putting up 270 total yards and 3.6 yards per play. That won’t beat this Tennessee team that has scored at least 34 points every game this year. LSU will not be able to score enough points to keep up.

Pick: Tennessee 38-27

TOP PICKS OF THE WEEK

Louisville -3 at Virginia – 11:00am

Virginia has been struggling all year with no offensive line and a stagnant Tony Elliot offense. After getting beat by Duke 38-17, look for Virginia to fall big against Louisville (I have faith starting Louisville QB Malik Cunningham will play).

Arkansas +9.5 at #23 Mississippi State – 11:00am

This line is way too big. Arkansas has won the last two games against Mississippi State with Barry Odom at DC. The Razorbacks defense will continue to have a good plan of attack to slow down this Bulldog offense. I like Arkansas and maybe even a little moneyline sprinkle at +275.

#5 Clemson -20.5 at Boston College – 11:00am

Boston College has a terrible offensive line that is decimated by injuries. Clemson’s defensive line will take advantage. And do not look now, but DJU is actually playing decent at QB this year. Clemson in a blowout.

#17 TCU at #19 Kansas Over 67.5 – 11:00am

I do not trust Kansas’ defense to slow down this TCU offense. I also think Kansas and Jalon Daniels will be able to enter a track meet with TCU to keep the scoring pace. Over hits.

Texas -7 vs Oklahoma – 11:00am

Oklahoma’s defense is just awful. There were scheme breaks everywhere against TCU last week. Meanwhile, Quinn Ewers could be back and Dillon Gabriel may miss the game… seven points is nowhere near enough even though it is a rivalry game. Texas by double digits.

Texas Tech +10 at #7 Oklahoma State – 2:30pm

Oklahoma State is ranked 7th but is fraudulent. The Pokes were outgained by Baylor and the defense gave up 6.5 yards per play. What do we do? FADE THE FRAUDS. Texas Tech keeps it close.

#3 Ohio State -26.5 at Michigan State – 3:00pm

I have told you the last two weeks Michigan State’s secondary is awful. They have zero shot to stop the best passing attack in the Big Ten… Ohio State.

Duke -3 at Georgia Tech – 3:00pm

It was very impressive for Georgia Tech to go on the road and beat Pittsburgh. But it was a little fluky with Jeff Sims only having 102 passing yards. Duke has been the better team and hasn’t fired their coach this year, unlike Georgia Tech. Vegas has not caught up on Duke, Blue Devils win by a touchdown.

Army +17 at Wake Forest – 6:30pm

Wake Forest could not stop Army last year when they had 595 yards of total offense. Army will keep this close.

Iowa +4 at Illinois – 6:30pm

No I don’t trust Iowa to score, but I don’t really trust Illinois to score on Iowa either. Take the 4 points and run. (The under 35.5 is tempting)

South Carolina +10.5 at #13 Kentucky – 6:30pm

The battle of the bad offensive lines. Kentucky is favored by way too many points here. Northern Illinois was able to keep it a single digit deficit against Kentucky… South Carolina can do it too. (Update: Kentucky starting QB Will Levis is questionable for the game).

Texas A&M at #1 Alabama -23.5 – 7:00pm

This is a revenge game for Alabama similar to 2020 against LSU. Alabama’s players are motivated to demolish a banged up A&M team (injuries to the starting QB and all across the defense). Look for Bryce Young to play and Alabama to win BIG.

#12 Oregon -13 at Arizona – 8:00pm

Arizona gave up 49 points against Cal… I can’t trust them at all. Oregon’s offense has been rolling and they’ll roll here. Oregon wins big in Tuscon.

BONUS PICK THAT DIDN’T MAKE THE CARD

Kent State -5.5 at Miami (Ohio) – 2:30pm

Kent State put up 736 yards of offense last week against Ohio and I think they’re the best team in the MAC. Miami Ohio continues to have their starting QB Brett Gabbert out. Kent State wins big.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 6

By: Nick Radivoj

Got ourselves back into the winners circle this past weekend going 6-4 moving us to 26-24 (52%) on the year. We have plenty of work left to do as we may have a winning record but are losing from the juice on the year. Plenty of action in Week 6 so let’s see what value we spotted so far.

#8 Tennessee (4-0) at #25 LSU (4-1)

When: 12 PM on 10/8

Line: Tennessee -3

O/u: 64

The SEC supplies us with yet another TOP 25 matchup to start off Week 6 of College Football on Saturday afternoon. These two teams seem to be on opposite sides of the spectrum here as LSU comes in with a rather pedestrian offense but a solid defense while Tennessee has an explosive offense but a questionable defense at times. Jayden Daniels managed to get LSU the come from behind victory last week versus Auburn but did not have the greatest of showings doing so. This game being played in Death Valley is a great neutralizer for LSU against Tennessee, but the Volunteers did not play last week as they are working with 2 weeks of time to prepare for this matchup. Tennessee’s offense will take a hit as they will still be without their top receiving option who is recovering from ankle surgery. LSU will offer the toughest defense that Tennessee will have played to date and I’m unsure that the Tigers offense can take advantage of a secondary that can be thrown on. I don’t believe either of these teams reach 35 in this SEC matchup so give me the under here.

The Play: Under 64

#17 TCU (4-0) at #19 Kansas (5-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/8

Line: TCU -7

O/U: 67.5

We welcome both teams into the Top 25 for the first time this year and for the first time since 2009 for Kansas. If the rankings weren’t the first shock to you you’ll be excited to hear that College Gameday will be travelling to Kansas this week for yes a football game. Max Duggan and the Horned Frogs gave Oklahoma a beat down that they (and me) won’t forget for a while as they dropped 55 points on the Sooners. Both offenses have looked high powered to start the year behind Max Duggan and Jalon Daniels and that trend continues this weekend as we are sure to see some Big 12 football. This number is too large to lay here for me with TCU but with their offense putting up 48 points per game to start the year we easily find ourselves on the over for this game.

The Play: Over 67.5

Arkansas (3-2) at #23 Mississippi State (4-1)

When: 12 PM on 10/8

Line: Mississippi State -8

O/u: 61.5

This line has moved a lot since the open as the health of Arkansas QB KJ Jefferson is in question. Arkansas’ offense would take a major hit if their signal caller can’t end up going in thi sone as they have suffered back-to-back losses. Although the final score reflects Alabama winning by 23, Arkansas was a 2-point conversion away from only trailing the now #1 team in the nation by 3 points entering the 4th quarter at home before their defense let Alabama run wild. Mississippi State HC Mike Leach and QB Will Rogers are surely licking their lips this week as Arkansas brings into town a defense that is vulnerable in the passing game which is a terrific sign for an air raid offense like the Bulldogs possess. It’s unfortunate that the health of KJ is unknown at this time but with that being the case I intend to stay way from any side here and suggest the over until hearing more.

The Play: Over 61.5

Texas (3-2) at Oklahoma (3-2)

When: 12 PM on 10/8 (Dallas, TX)

Line: Texas -7

O/u: 65.5

For the first time since 1998, the Red River Rivalry between these two games will feature a showdown where neither team is ranked. The once defensive mastermind Brent Venables has a lot of work to do as Oklahoma has dropped 2 games in a row and the defense has looked horrific in the process. A keynote to be on the lookout for is who starts at QB for both teams as Texas QB Quinn Ewers could be making his return this weekend and Oklahoma QB Dillon Gabriel is questionable to play this weekend after leaving early against TCU with an injury. With how Oklahoma’s defense has looked over the past few weeks and the chances of Dillon Gabriel playing highly unlikely I don’t see anyway to back the Sooners In this spot here. I normally would love taking the points with both Arkansas and Oklahoma this weekend but can’t in good faith with the questions both team shave at QB. Texas QB Steve Sarkisian will surely have players running wide open Saturday afternoon against a patchy Oklahoma defense and with Gary Patterson holding down the Longhonr defense against what should be a backup QB I’ll gladly take Texas.

The Play: Texas -7

Auburn (3-2) at #2 Georgia (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/8

Line: UGA -30

O/u: 49

Check your local milk cartons as there might be a missing poster for this Georgia team. After playing an unusual game against Kent State they followed that up by barely pulling out a win over a middling Missouri team on the road. Forget dropping to #2 in the polls as this Georgia team is lucky to have escaped last week with a victory. Meanwhile, Aubur drops to 3-2 on the year following a loss to LSU in which they led for a good majority of the game. Georgia is favored by over 4 touchdowns here and I believe they cover this number finally after missing that mark over the past few games. Auburn fans and faithful have been up in arms wanting HC Bryan Harsin out and after what transpires in Athens Saturday afternoon I believe they finally get their wish.

The Play: UGA -30

#11 Utah (4-1) at #18 UCLA (5-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/8

Line: Utah -4.5

O/u: 65

Cameron Rising and the Utes have looked explosive on offense and have gotten back on track after their road loss against Florida to start the year. Meanwhile, UCLA has looked just as talented offensively behind seasoned vet Dorian Thompson Robinson (DTR). DTR has displayed the ability to operate this Chip Kelly offense leading the Bruins to an undefeated record so far. Utah shouldn’t be challenged too much o offense as UCLA’s defensive unit is weak but will have their hands full trying to stop DTR. I could see a UCLA upset win over Utah at home but leaning towards the over as I believe this will be a high scoring affair.

The Play: Over 65

#3 Ohio State (5-0) at Michigan State (2-3)

When: 4 PM on 10/8

Line: OSU -26.5

O/u: 64

His one is a rather simple one for me as I will easily be laying the points here with the Buckeyes. The only reason for any worry here is that this game is on the road for Ohio State and over the years have shown to be vulnerable taking their game on the road. Michigan State has one of the worst secondaries in the Big 10 and CJ Stroud and the Buckeyes offense will be sure to exploit it this weekend. Meanwhile, Michigan State has lost their offense losing 3 straight and only putting up a combined 20 points over the last 2 games against the likes of Maryland and Minnesota. Ohio State has better talent on defense than both of those teams and should get out of East Lansing rather comfortably with a cover.

The Play: Ohio State -26.5

Washington State (4-1) at USC (5-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/8

Line: USC -13

O/u: 66

This game will offer an exciting matchup between Cameron Ward and Caleb Williams as both are off to terrific starts this year. Everyone and their mother knows that USC has a high powered offense but only those who have watched the Trojans will know that their defense is prone to giving up big players and will be what holds this USC team back late in the year. Their defense gives up a shade under 20 points a game which puts them near the Top 30 in scoring defense but this number is very misleading. Cameron Ward has impressed thus far as  a Cougar and will continue as their passing attack will be able to exploit USC’s poor defense. Ultimately, I believe USC will still win this game but if the Trojans end up going undefeated with a a Pac 12 championship I look forward to fading them once they play in the College Football Playoff.

The Play: Washington State +13

#16 BYU (4-1) at Notre Dame (2-2)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/8 (Las Vegas, Nevada)

Line: Notre Dame -3.5

O/u: 52

Both teams are coming into this game with ample time to prepare as both had a bye last week. Neither team should have a home field advantage in this matchup as this game will be played in Nevada. BRYU QB Jaren Hall has impressed all year and will face yet another tough defense as he has done so all season long already facing off against Baylor and Oregon. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has seemed to get their season back on track with 2 straight wins after starting their season off 0-2. I think the line for this one is on the money here and instead will play the under as both of these teams bring in underrated defenses. I expect both teams to try and establish the run game and the winning team won’t cross over the 30 mark in this one.

The Play: Under 52

Texas A&M (3-2) at #1 Alabama (5-0)

When: 8 PM on 10/8

Line: Alabama -24

O/u: 51.5

A big sigh of relief could be heard around the country from Tuscaloosa as QB Bryce Young is listed as day to day suffering an AC joint sprain last week against Arkansas. Alabama was leading Arkansas by multiple scores when Bryce left the game against Arkansas in the 2nd quarter and fans watched in disbelief as the lead slowly dwindled downt o just 5 points. We finally get the clash of Jimbo Fisher and Nick Saban that we have been waiting for since Texas A&M’s upset win last year and all the heated discussions between the two this offseason. A&M has struggled all year to move the ball behind both Max Johnson and Haynes King and without their best receiving option I’m unsure how they will be able to go toe for toe with Alabama. Meanwhile, RB Jahmyr Gibbs finally burst onto the scene as the transfer put up over 200 rushing yards against Arkansas with 2 70+ yard touchdowns in the 4th quarter to seal the win for the Tide. I believe the under is a great play here but as an Alabama fan I want to see this team blow the doors off here in payback fashion from what happened last year in College Station.

The Play: Alabama -24

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 5

OVERALL RECORD: 195-159-3 (55.1%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 24-21-2 (53.3%)

Another OK, above 50% week for TGIS. But if you have been paying attention to the Miller Lite Minute… we are an astounding 10-3 through the first four weeks!! We are going to have the success of the Miller Lite bleed over into these week 5 locks… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 5 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#2 Alabama at #20 Arkansas UNDER 61 – 6:00pm

Alabama has a top five defense in the nation and should be able to slow down Arkansas’ attack. Meanwhile, Alabama’s offense has not shown it can travel on the road (last five ranked road games 1-4 against the spread). If you were to take Arkansas +17.5 I wouldn’t hate it… But I like the under more.

Pick: Alabama 34-17.

TOP PICKS OF THE WEEK

#4 Michigan -10.5 at Iowa – 11:00am

Maryland kept up with Michigan in their 34-27 game because they could throw the ball around. That is something Iowa absolutely cannot do. Michigan takes care of business.

Purdue at #21 Minnesota -12.5 – 11:00am

Starting QB Aidan O’Connell is most likely out along with a few other players. Meanwhile, Tanner Morgan and offensive coordinator Kirk Ciarrocca are picking up where they left off after Minnesota’s 2019 season where they finished 11-2. Minnesota keeps rolling.

Wake Forest at Florida State -6.5  – 11:00am

Jordan Travis came back from injury against Boston College last week and looked fantastic. Wake Forest can’t stop anyone, Florida State wins this one by 10.

Virginia Tech at North Carolina OVER 51 – 11:00am

Notre Dame had scored 55 points all season before playing North Carolina… they then scored 45 points against them last week. Meanwhile the Tar Heels have scored more than 32 points in every game this season. Over easily hits.

#18 Oklahoma -6.5 at TCU – 2:30pm

TCU’s offense looked very good against SMU… but that was SMU Oklahoma will have a bounce back week and Venables will get the defense right. By the way… nothing is wrong with the Oklahoma offense after racking up 7.5 yards per play against Kansas State.

Michigan State at Maryland -7 – 2:30pm

I told you last week Michigan State’s secondary was trash. Maryland can throw the ball and take advantage. Maryland wins big.

Cal at Washington State UNDER 53.5 – 4:30pm

The offenses aren’t as good as they seem from last week (even though both team put up over 40 points). The number is inflated… expect a low scoring ugly game.

LSU -8 at Auburn – 6:00pm

Auburn has a terrible offensive line, they can’t run the ball, the wide receivers are not good, most of their quarterbacks are banged up… should I go on? LSU blows them out and this is Bryan Harsin’s last game as the head coach.

#10 NC State at #5 Clemson OVER 40 – 6:30pm

Clemson just played a 51-45 game and the Over/Under is 40 points??? Clemson’s secondary is still banged up and quarterback Devin Leary will be able to take advantage. I expect more of a 27-24 type of game.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 5

By: Nick Radivoj

It feels like the season had just started and here we are already entering October football – enjoy it while it lasts folks! We are 20-20 so far on the year losing some dough on the juice but this just might be the week we break through like we did in NFL. An exciting slate of games is upon us with numerous Top 25 matchups so in we go.

#4 Michigan (4-0) at Iowa (3-1)

When: 12 PM on 10/1

Line: Michigan -10.5

O/u: 42

A tale of two stories for this Iowa team as they are top in the nation in scoring defense but dead last in total offense. Their defense as always is one of the best in the country and will be able to get pressure on JJ McCarthy all day long but will have their hands full as Michigan has one of the top running backs in the nation in Blake Corum. Michigan passed its first true test this season as they prevailed over Maryland but will face the toughest defense this year to date. I don’t feel comfortable taking the points here with Iowa given with how their offense has looked so far this season but with this being the first real defense Michigan has seen laying the points doesn’t seem that appetizing for me as well.

The Play: Under 42

#7 Kentucky (4-0) at #17 Ole Miss (4-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/1

Line: Ole Miss -6.5

O/u: 54.5

This matcup kicks off an exciting College Football Saturday as Kentucky and Ole Miss lead the first of 5 Top 25 matchups. This game will showcase good versus good as Ole Miss brings in one of the top rushing attacks in the nation being ranked 4th nationally. Kentucky brings in a Top 30 ranked rush defense as it was on display earlier in the season quieting Florida’s impressive run game. Kentucky will also be getting Chris Rodriguez back from suspension this week as the star from last year will provide much needed balance to this Wildcat offense. Kentucky’s Will Levis has an NFL caliber arm but has had very little time to make decisions in the pocket as his offensive line has not been as formidable as it was last year. Kentucky will get a boost from the return of Chris Rodriguez and putting my faith in Will Levis to keep this one within a touchdown.

The Play: Kentucky +6.5

#18 Oklahoma (3-1) at TCU (3-0)

When: 12 PM on 10/1

Line: Oklahoma -6.5

O/u: 68.5

Oklahoma travels on the road as they look to bounce back after their first loss of the season. Oklahoma Dillon Gabriel has been nothing short of impressive this year after transferring over from UCF. Oklahoma’s defense will have their hands full this week as TCU QB Max Duggan has led the Horned Frogs to a 3-0 start. Offense was not the issue for Oklahoma in their loss last week as the offense racked up over 500 yards of offense and over 7 yards per play. What killed the Sooners was their inefficient rate of converting 3rd downs as they were below 25 percent in doing so last week. The over seem sto be a logical play but I’m backing an angry Oklahoma team to come out of Texas with a win by a touchdown or more.

The Play: Oklahoma -6.5

#2 Alabama (4-0) at #20 Arkansas (3-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Alabama -17.5

O/u: 61

This game could have been featuring 2 undefeated teams and a potential Top 10 matchup were it not for a missed field goal to win the game for Arkansas at the end. Alabama seems to have found their groove again after their close scare in Austin earlier in the year. Alabama will face a familiar face in Arkansas’ defense as transfer LB Drew Sanders leads this defense in the nation currently in sacks. Arkansas is coming off a heartbreaking loss but will have their fans behind them to create havoc for Alabama communicating throughout the contest. Ultimately, I believe Alabama’s passing attack will be too much for Arkansas to handle with their limited secondary. Alabama leaves Arkansas winning by 3 touchdowns as Will Anderson keeps this Alabama defense stout.

The Play: Alabama -17.5

#9 Oklahoma State (3-0) at #16 Baylor (3-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Baylor -2.5

O/u: 56.5

Oklahoma State comes into Waco, Texas undefeated on the year as they take on the Bears for their first Big 12 conference game. The 2 teams squared off last year in the Big 12 Championship game with Baylor winning 21-16. The final score would have cruised way under the total we have this weekend but keep in mind that Oklahoma State lost their defensive coordinator to Ohio State and is still trying to regain their form they ad last year. Spencer Sanders has impressed so far this year for Oklahoma State, but this will be his biggest test yet. The best part of this Oklahoma State defense is probably their front 4 so I expect Baylor QB Blake Shapen to take advantage of throwing the ball downfield as opposed to running into their stout line. This game will lie heavily on the shoulders of Spencer Sanders as last year he threw 7 of his 12 interceptions on the year to a Baylor defender. If he can keep the turnover worthy plays to a minimum then the Sooners have a shot to upset this week. Give me Baylor with the home field advantage in this sure to be close match up.

The Play: Baylor -2.5

#22 Wake Forest at #23 Florida State (4-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Florida State -6.5

O/u: 65.5

Sam Hartman and the Deacons come into Tallahassee after a heartbreaking loss to #5 Clemson at home in overtime. Wake led a majority of the second half and seemed to be on their way to an upset win before Clemson fought back to ultimately win in 2OT. Meanwhile, Jordan Travis and the Seminoles are perfect so far this season but face their toughest match to date with a highly ranked Wake Forest team. You can see how much playing at home versus on the road matters in College Football as Wake were 7 point underdogs to Clemson at home and now nearly 7 point underdogs to Florida State on the road as Clemson and FSU would not be a pick’em on a natural field currently. I still don’t love the idea of laying a big number like this with a young Florida State team who still needs to prove their new Top 25 ranking so let’s have a fun shootout down in Florida.

The Play: Over 65.5

#17 Texas A&M (3-1) at Mississippi State (3-1)

When: 4 PM on 10/1

Line: Mississippi State -3.5

O/u: 45.5

Texas A&M managed to recover after their shocking loss to Appalachian State with back to back Top 25 wins over Miami and conference rival Arkansas. Although they got the win, Texas A&M still looks rather lost on offense. Ultimately, I believe the Aggies luck will run out as the injuries begin to pile up. Texas A&M may have won their last 2 match ups but were outgained in both of them and rather lucky to have snuck out a win against Arkansas with a 99 yard fumble return. Aggies have a stout defense but better in the run game rather than through the air. Mike Leach’s air raid offense test you far and wide as Mississippi State QB Will Rogers will look for their first conference win this season. Bulldogs win and put Texas A&M’s luck to bed.

The Play: Mississippi State -3.5

LSU (3-1) at Auburn (3-1)

When: 7 PM on 10/1

Line: LSU -9

O/u: 45.5

Jordan-Hare night game? Hopefully LSU faithful say a prayer before the match up Saturday night as there’s surely going to be a crazy play or 2 happen inside that haunted stadium. A key to look out for is the health of LSU QB Jayden Daniels as he is recovering from injury from last weeks matchup. Although 3-1, Auburn is not the team we all know from years past as fans are up in arms with the direction of their beloved team as they barely eked out a win against a below average Missouri team at home. There are very few circumstances now this year where I will back the Auburn Tigers as they have questions at QB and questions moving the ball on offense in general. Since the health of LSU QB Jayden Daniels is till rather bleak currently it leaves me with one faithful Auburn play for this week and that is to see some bad football.

The Play: Under 45.5

#10 NC State (4-0) at #5 Clemson (4-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/1

Line: Clemson -6.5

O/u: 40

Clemson returns home unblemished as they fend off Wake Forest in double overtime. After exhausting themselves they don’t come back for an easy matchup as they are faced with yet another Top 25 contest. Luckily, Clemson will have home field advantage this time and the impact of Death Valley rocking in a night game. Wake Forest QB Sam Hartman continuously picked on a young and inexperienced Clemson secondary either completing a long pass or forcing a pass interference flag to continue their drive. If Devin Leary can take note of what Hartman did this past week then an upset might be on the table, but no doubt Dabo will have an answer. With such a lower total, Vegas is predicting an offensive struggle for these two teams and if Clemson can clean up their secondary points may be hard to come by for the Wolfpack. Fool me once can’t get fooled again? Clemson by a touchdown.

The Play: Clemson -6.5

Georgia (4-0) at Missouri (2-2)

When: 7:30 PM on 10/1

Line: UGA -28

O/u: 54.5

Kirby Smart is a Nick Saban disciple, and the apple doesn’t fall far from the tree on one thing here. Georgia and Alabama led teams nearly always come out firing after a game in which they didn’t play up to their standards. Some may look at the box score and be confused as Georgia ultimately won the contest by 3 scores, but they looked far from the #1 team in the nation last Saturday. They looked sloppy on offense and the defense looked lackluster throughout the afternoon giving up the most points it had in a very long time to a Kent State team. No disrespect to Kent State and the program they are running but you would always expect Georgia to handle that game better than they did. Georgia wins this one in a blowout as Missouri is one of the bottom teams in the SEC.

The Play: UGA -28

TGIS College Football Preview – Week 4

OVERALL RECORD: 189-154-1 (55.1%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 18-16-1 (53%)

We have started just OK in 2022. However if you have been paying attention to the Miller Lite Minute… we are an astounding 7-2 through the first three weeks with two undefeated weeks (for you three game parlayers out there). We are going to have a great week 4… LETS GET TO THE PICKS:

Week 4 Game of the Week (All Times CST)

#10 Arkansas +2 vs. #23 Texas A&M UNDER 48.5 – 6:00pm

Texas A&M showed a slight improvement to the offense against Miami… but it still was not great. I’d expect a low scoring game with Arkansas loving to run the ball and Texas A&M attempting to do whatever they do with Max Johnson. Arkansas has had really bad injury luck to their defensive backs, but returns a few guys including starter Myles Slusher for this game. Texas A&M won’t be able to take advantage anyways…

Pick: Arkansas 21-17.

TOP PICKS OF THE WEEK

#17 Baylor +3 at Iowa State UNDER 46 – 11:00am

This Baylor team averaged 3.6 yards per play against BYU. Meanwhile, the Iowa State Cyclones averaged just 4 yards per play against Iowa. These are two average offenses that won’t be able to score. Expect a low scoring, tough battle in Ames. Also give me the 3 points with the Baylor Bears.

TCU -2 at SMU – 11:00am

The Battle of the Iron Skillet is set to be played in Dallas, Texas. I really like TCU as they have a better defense and the more talented team. Expect quite a bit of points, but TCU to pull it off especially after SMU’s performance against Maryland. TCU 38-31

#5 Clemson -7 at #21 Wake Forest – 11:00am

Wake Forest had just 11 yards rushing from their running backs against Liberty and you expect them to stay within a touchdown of Clemson? No way, Clemson by double digits.

#20 Florida +11 at #11 Tennessee – 2:30pm

Tennessee’s offense will score, but Florida can keep this a single digit ball game. I expect it to be like the 7 point game Tennessee played with Pittsburgh (the close game between Florida and USF was a look ahead game… write it off).

Minnesota -3 at Michigan State – 2:30pm

The Michigan State secondary is absolutely garbage. Offensive coordinator Kirk Ciarrocca and quarterback Tanner Morgan will be able to take advantage. Minnesota wins decisively.

Notre Dame at North Carolina -1.5 – 2:30pm

The battle of a bad offense (Notre Dame) verse a poor defense (North Carolina). The difference here is that North Carolina’s offense is the best unit of the bunch with one of the top quarterbacks in the nation: Drake Maye. North Carolina wins this and the Notre Dame nightmare season continues.

Texas at Texas Tech UNDER 60 – 2:30pm

The Texas defense is much improved from last year and that will give Texas Tech quarterback Donovan Smith some trouble, especially considering his interceptions issues the last few games. Additionally, Texas has been much more conservative with Hudson Card in the lineup than when they let Quin Ewers sling the ball around. The under 60 is the play here.

#7 USC -6.5 at Oregon State – 8:30pm

USC’s offense looks fantastic. But the defense is still an issue as they gave up over 6 yards per play with Fresno State quarterback Jake Haener still in the lineup (before he was injured). The Oregon State offensive line, one of the best in the Pac-12, may be able to take advantage. But this is too much offense for Oregon State to keep up. USC 45-35.

#13 Utah -14.5 at Arizona State – 9:30pm

Utah will get back to dominate football and Arizona State may just quit after their coach Herm Edwards was fired this past week. Utah runs away with it.

TGIS Ten Piece – Week 4

By: Nick Radivoj

A losing 4-6 Week 3 brings us back to average on the season as we are now 15-15 losing some money on the juice. Quite the frustrating weekend as We barely missed the under in a few games and while staying up late to watch Fresno State and USC we had a QB injury quickly put the kiss of death on that line. We learn and we move forward as we are on to College Football Week 4.

Maryland (3-0) at #4 Michigan (3-0)

When: 12 PM on 9/24

Line: Michigan -16.5

O/u: 65.5

High powered offenses will be squaring off in Ann Arbor come Saturday as Maryland comes in averaging 40 points per game while Michigan is scoring over 55 points a game. These numbers may be deceiving as neither team has faced off against a Big 10 opponent yet. Although they have been scoring in bunches as of late, Michigan and Jim Harbaugh coached teams are not known for running teams off the field but more so tough defense. The spread has stayed steady a majority of the week while the total has gone up by almost 3 points. I expect these teams to come back to Big 10 football with Michigan coasting to a win.

The Play: Under 65.5

#5 Clemson (3-0) at #21 Wake Forest (3-0)

When: 12 PM on 9/24

Line: Clemson -7

O/u: 55.5

Something smells here with this line and I may find myself in a trap. Clemson, with their below standard offense, managed to beat Wake Forest 48-27 last year. With improvement in the offense and still a top Clemson defense I’m unsure how this Clemson team doesn’t blow out Wake Forest on the road here. Wake Forest barely snuck out with a win over Liberty last week. Clemson has a clear talent advantage in the trenches here and will surely dominate in the run game like they did last year. I also like playing the over here in this spot but will end up laying the points with Clemson.

The Play: Clemson -7

#20 Florida (2-1) at #11 Tennessee (3-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Tennessee -10.5

O/U: 62.5

Anthony Richardson and the Gators have laid a few eggs in back-to-back weeks after an impressive Week 1 Top 10 win over Utah. Since then, Anthony Richardson has looked more like a project than a top quarterback in this year’s upcoming NFL Draft. The season look ahead line for this game was Tennessee favored by 8 points as we see the line creep up to the Volunteers favored by 11 now. I don’t feel comfortable laying that many points with a Tennessee team but that doesn’t mean I’m eager to take them with Florida. Glancing at the total, I see value in playing the over as Florida should be able to move the ball on this Tennessee team while Hendon Hooker and the Vols should be able to match them on their own.

The Play: Over 62.5

#22 Texas (2-1) at Texas Tech (2-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Texas -6.5

O/u: 60

Texas Tech QB Donovan Smith has underwhelmed during his 2 starts after coming in Week 1 for injured Tyler Shough. He has turned over the ball in each of his starts thus far and with the Longhorns coming to town I envision the ball flying in harms way yet again. Meanwhile, Hudson Card brought the Longhorns back to the winners’ circle after losing on a last second field goal the week prior. Card is leading the offense now that Ewers is recovering from injury and although Card was a starter last year he doesn’t provide quite the explosion that Ewers does when he was lined up behind center. Texas DC Gary Patterson will sure have a plan to confuse the ripe Red Raider quarterback.

The Play: Under 60

Notre Dame (1-2) at North Carolina (3-0)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: North Carolina -1.5

O/u: 57

First one is always the hardest, right? Notre Dame HC Marcus Freeman secured his first win last week as they grinded out a 24-17 win over California. Plenty of teams are in this new wave of College Football spreading the field out and passing the ball down field, but Notre Dame is not one of those teams. Marcus Freeman is keen on getting back to his roots and playing hard nosed defense for 60 minutes while playing power football on the offensive side. Meanwhile, Drake May and North Carolina provide fireworks and quick soring drives with explosive plays. One of the best ways to limit an offense like that from clicking is by having them sit on the sideline longer. Once again, a slow grind it out game that stays under the total for us going to the window.

The Play: Under 57

James Madison (2-0) at Appalachian State (2-1)

When: 3:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Appalachian State -8

O/U: 58

Appalachian State survives gameday last week as they win in the final seconds off a Hail Mary by QB Chase Brice. Appalachian State has had two long drawn-out games that have gassed this team as they upset Texas A&M on the week prior to their comeback win last week. James Madison comes in as an undefeated team and a perennial powerhouse in their conference and in a spot where Appalachian State is sure to run out of gas give me James Madison to cover here with a potential outright winner.

The Play: James Madison +8

#15 Oregon (2-1) at Washington State (3-0)

When: 4 PM on 9/24

Line: Oregon -6.5

O/u: 57.5

Oregon travels on the road after an impressive victory over a #12 ranked BYU team. Bo Nix often seems like two different quarterbacks when he plays at home versus on the road so we shall see if we get Jekyll or Hide this upcoming week. Meanwhile, JUCO transfer QB Cam Ward has led the Cougars to a 3-0 start as he’s impressed in his first action in Power 5 so far. Washington State’s defense has impressed along with the offense this year as they have one of the top scoring defenses in the Pac 12 currently.  Dependent on which Bo Nix arrives game time on Saturday I believe that Washington State has a chance to win this game outright but with Dan Lanning interested in running the ball to minimize Nix’s turnover opportunities I will yet again play an Oregon under.

The Play: Under 57.5

#10 Arkansas (3-0) at #23 Texas A&M (2-1)

When: 7 PM on 9/24

Line: Texas A&M -2

O/u: 48.5

KJ Jefferson and the Razorbacks were almost caught sleeping last weekend looking ahead to this game as they pulled off a second half come from behind win to remain undefeated. The Aggies right their ship by taking down a highly ranked Miami team that came into town. How luck are these Aggie fans? It can’t get much better than multiple Top 15 night games. Although Texas A&M is the home team this rivalry game is played in Dallas for a mutual site game every year.  Jimbo Fisher seemed much happier with Max Johnson’s play over what he had received from Haynes King over the prior weeks. I trust KJ Jefferson and Arkansas’ offense over what A&M has put on display this year so far but with the inability for both of these teams to push the ball down field I believe the under is a good play.

The Play: Under 48.5

Vanderbilt (3-1) at #2 Alabama (3-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Alabama -40

O/u: 59

I should have seen it last week but I’m not going to miss it this week. Alabama should have been the play last week as opposed to the under as we all know Nick Saban lights a fire under his team after a loss or a close win as everything is a learning experience with this man. Saban knows what can happen to a team if they are caught looking ahead as Alabama plays a Top ranked Arkansas team next. Bryce Young will be set to get back on track to tune up after throwing a few interceptions in last week’s contest. I look for Alabama to put it on them early so that we can get out of dodge with no injuries for their next contest against Arkansas.

The Play: Alabama -40

Wisconsin (2-1) at #3 Ohio State (3-0)

When: 7:30 PM on 9/24

Line: Ohio State -18.5

O/u: 57

The Ohio State offense we all know and love was finally back this past Saturday against Toledo as the Buckeyes explode for 77 points on the day. Ohio State DC Jim Noles is slowly getting his scheme implemented but still doesn’t have his defense playing like he wants them. As for Wisconsin, the blueprint is out on how to slow this Ohio State team if you watch the recap of their first game against Notre Dame. DC Jim Leonhard will surely be able to take notes from that game as Notre Dame eliminated any plays from going over the top and forced Ohio State to prove they could score through long drives down the field. I would love to play the under again hear but to not pull my hair out rooting for too many unders this weekend I will take the points with the Badgers.

The Play: Wisconsin +18.5

TGIS Week 3 College Football Preview

OVERALL RECORD: 185-149-1 (55.4%)

2022 SEASON RECORD: 14-12-1 (53.8%)

Week 3 Games of the Week (All Times CST)

#12 BYU at #25 Oregon -3.5 – 2:30pm

The big question going into this game is whether wide receivers Puka Nacua and Gunner Romney will play. .. or whether Romney will miss out on Oregon like the 2012 election. During BYU’s game against Baylor they showed some vulnerability against the run. Oregon has a good offensive line which can take advantage of the BYU defensive line. I like Oregon to win.

Pick: Oregon 27-21

#13 Miami +5.5 at #24 Texas A&M – 8:00pm

Can Texas A&M get back on track? After a terrible game against Appalachian State where their offense could not move the ball at all, the Aggies now have the Hurricanes coming to College Station. I’m expecting this to be a very close game. Expect Texas A&M to perform much better this week… but I’m still taking Miami. It comes down to trusting Tyler Van Dyke over Texas A&M. We are not locking this one up though due to the wild card that is Texas A&M football right now.

Pick: Miami 21-20

Top Picks of the Week

Air Force -15 at Wyoming – Friday 7:00pm

Air Force just got done absolutely obliterating Colorado 41-10 and rushing for 435 yards. What does Wyoming not do well? Stop the run. Air Force is an underrated team and who I think will end up winning the Mountain West. Air Force wins big.

#1 Georgia -24 at South Carolina – 11:00am

South Carolina’s offensive line has not been good in the first two games of the season. Now they are facing a vicious Georgia defensive front seven. Georgia took their foot off the pedal last week against Samford because Samford head coach Chris Hatcher gave Kirby Smart his first job. The Dawgs won’t be as nice to South Carolina. Georgia wins big.

Purdue at Syracuse (-0) – 11:00am

If you haven’t noticed, new Syracuse offensive coordinator Robert Anae has flipped this offense around with a new offense. Sean Tucker is one of the most underrated running backs in the nation for the Orange… and why I like them to win at home.

Vanderbilt +2.5 at Northern Illinois – 2:30pm

Northern Illinois has beat Eastern Illinois (FCS) by 7 and lost to Tulsa by 3. No way would I pick them to beat Vanderbilt where quarterback Mike Wright has been impressive. Vanderbilt is a competent team that ends up winning this game.

Kansas +10 at Houston – 3:00pm

Houston has played in two straight overtime games where they have scored at least 30 points. Kansas is also coming off a 55-42 OT win where their defense did not play well. I think both teams will be able to score plenty of points with Kansas keeping it close. Take a Lance Leipold coached team to make this a game.

Texas Tech +10.5 at NC State – 6:00pm

NC State plays a very conservative style of play where winning by double digits is unlikely. Plus this is a very scrappy, decent Tech team that will keep it close. Texas Tech covers (maybe even worth a little money line sprinkle).

Michigan State +3.5 at Washington UNDER 57 – 6:30pm

Jalen Berger and Jarek Broussard are one of the best running back combos in college football for the Spartans. Michigan State is the much better team and you get 3.5 points. Meanwhile, I’m not trusting the untested Washington offense with Michael Penix at quarterback. This is going to be a low scoring Michigan State win.