OVERALL RECORD: 179-143-1 (55.6%)
2022 SEASON RECORD: 8-7-1 (53.3%)
We always have done well in week one here at TGIS as we take advantage of Vegas mistaken evaluations of a few teams and spreads. Last week we finished 7-5-1, not great, not bad… decent. Now onto Week 2 where we will be on the road to Austin… LET’S GET TO THE PICKS:
Week 2 Games of the Week (All Times CST)
#1 Alabama -20 at Texas – 11:00am
This may be the best Alabama defense since 2016. Add in an inexperienced Texas offensive line… I do not think Texas will be able to move the ball. Bama wins this in a blowout. I’m talking a 52-10 kind of blowout.
Top Picks of the Week
Louisville at Central Florida -6.5 – Friday 6:30pm
Louisville looked absolutely awful against Syracuse. They could not stop a dual threat in quarterback Garrett Shrader. You know who starts for quarterback at UCF? Former Ole Miss dual threat quarterback John Rhys Plumlee who threw for 308 yards and ran for 87 yards in his first game starting for UCF. Plumlee is going to give this Louisville trouble in the Bounce House.
South Carolina +8.5 at #16 Arkansas – 11:00am
Arkansas played decently against Cincinnati, but nine points against another good SEC team? Way too many points. Arkansas most likely wins, but think this will be close.
#24 Tennessee -6.5 at #17 Pittsburgh – 2:30pm
Pittsburgh Coach Pat Narduzzi is back to playing conservative football despite having a decent quarterback. Meanwhile, Tennessee will play fast and efficient offense with quarterback Hendon Hooker. Pitt won’t be able to keep up with the scoring, Tennessee by double digits.
Iowa State +3.5 at Iowa UNDER 41.5 – 3:00pm
Iowa’s offense is the ugliest thing I’ve ever seen. They had 166 total yards and 2.7 yards per play against South Dakota State. The under and taking Iowa State with the points is an easy call.
#25 Houston at Texas Tech -2.5 OVER 65.5 – 3:00pm
Texas Tech hired offensive coordinator Zach Kittley from Western Kentucky. Kittley loves to play fast and throw the ball around. I’m not worried about Texas Tech’s starting quarterback Tyler Shough being out for the game. If we are being honest, backup quarterback Donovan Smith is just as good, maybe even better. The Red Raiders beat Houston after the Cougars just scraped by a triple OT game against UTSA.
#20 Kentucky at #12 Florida -5.5 – 6:00pm
The key is if running back Chris Rodriguez is still suspended. Coach Stoops hasn’t came out and said anything regarding his status, but without him, Kentucky struggled to run the ball against Miami (Ohio). Florida will be a much bigger challenge especially with star quarterback Anthony Richardson coming off a huge win against Utah. Florida wins this in the Swamp by over a touchdown.
#10 USC -9 at Stanford – 6:30pm
Stanford doesn’t have the offense to keep it close with USC. Caleb Williams and USC are going to score a ton of points. USC in a blowout.
Arizona State at #11 Oklahoma State OVER 58 – 6:30pm
I don’t know if you saw Oklahoma State’s defense… but they gave up 44 points against Central Michigan. I also think the Cowboys will have success offensively. A 58 point total is way too low (hope you got it at the start of the week when it was at 54.5).
#9 Baylor at #21 BYU -3.5 – 9:15pm
BYU looked like a legit top 25 team against South Florida in week 1. I think they will be able to take advantage again as they face a Baylor team that lost a ton of key secondary players from last year. I really like BYU over Baylor as the better team, ignore Baylor being ranked in the AP poll top ten. BYU gets the big victory in the Mormons vs. Baptists.