It’s officially College Football betting season. Each week I will post 8-10 bets for the week including a best bet of the week. This week will be prop bets before the season starts:
Best Bet of the Week
Kansas Over 3 (-115)
My favorite college prop bet. Kansas starts the season with Southeast Missouri, Central Michigan and Ohio. That should be 3 wins right there! Which means they only have to win one Big 12 game to cash the ticket. Worst case scenario- they don’t win a Big 12 game and it’s a push. This should be an improved Kansas team who will pull an upset or two.
Regular Season Wins Prop Bets
Oklahoma State Over 9 (-125)
This is a team that is a favorite to win the Big 12. They have a dynamic offense returning with Mason Rudolph, Justice Hill and James Washington. 9-3 should be the minimum. The non-conference isn’t too tough with only Pittsburgh as the possible loss. If they finish 3-0 in non-conference, 7-2 will get them to 10-2 and the over.
NC State Over 7.5 (-105)
The Wolfpack are going to be good this year. They have one of the top defensive lines in the country and a ton of returning starters. I can honestly see NC State finishing as a top ten team. They should have beaten Clemson last year and will be improved. The schedule is tricky with Florida State, Louisville, Notre Dame and Clemson. But they should pull an upset or two out of those games and finish at worst 8-4.
Maryland Over 3.5 (-155)
Only 3.5 games?? Maryland is not great, but is a team that is more than capable of 4 wins. Especially considering they went 6-7 last year and had a top 20 recruiting class. They do have tough games against Texas, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Michigan and Penn State. However four wins out of Towson, UCF, Minnesota, Northwestern, Indiana, Rutgers and Michigan State should be manageable.
Texas Tech Under 5.5 -(130)
Their non-conference schedule is brutal. They could conceivably be 0-3 after Eastern Washington, Arizona State and Houston. If they go the likely 1-2 in non-conference play, they would have to finish 5-4 in the Big 12 in order to meet the over. Even 4-5 in the Big 12 is unlikely. The easy bet is the under.
TCU Under 7.5 (+120)
You even get odds here. Arkansas, Oklahoma State, Kansas State, Texas and Oklahoma are the likely loses. They could also lose to West Virginia, Texas Tech or Baylor. A team that finished 6-7 last year with an inconsistent quarterback has 7-5 written all over it.
Georgia Over 8.5 (-145)
Georgia is the best team in the SEC East. They also avoid playing Alabama and LSU from the SEC West. Notre Dame is their toughest non-conference opponent, but the schedule is definitely manageable. Auburn and Florida are tough opponents, but even if they lose both they would have to lose two more games for the over not to hit. 10-2 or 9-3 is likely.
Mississippi State Over 5.5 (-155)
The Bulldogs will be bowl eligible. They have a young talented defense with one of the better quarterbacks in the SEC. They should be 4-0 in non-conference with their toughest competition being BYU. After non-conference play, they would just need two wins from Kentucky, Texas A&M, Arkansas and Ole Miss. LSU, Georgia, Auburn and Alabama are likely losses, but this team is too talented not to be bowl eligible.
Stats Prop Bet
Jake Browning Under 3200.5 Yards Passing (-120)
First off Jake Browning didn’t throw for over 3200 yards last year in the regular season. He finished with 3,162 yards. Add to the fact that they lose John Ross and have two very talented runners with Myles Gaskin and Lavon Coleman, I think he barely gets to 3,000 yards. There is also another secret out there that nobody talks about… Jake Browning isn’t that talented of a passer. He has decent accuracy, but lacks arm strength. This isn’t a guy that is going to throw for 3,500 yards. There is also the risk he gets injured. I don’t root for injuries, but it is a factor you have to consider when betting the Over/Under on statistics. Injury risk, more reliance on the run game and the top wide receiver gone is why I am all in on under 3200 passing yards.